نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

Main aap sab ko achi mood ki dua karta hoon! 4-hour chart par linear regression channel ab bhi upward position mein hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke buyers abhi active hain. Main buy karne ka soch raha hoon, lekin market correction ka intezar karunga. Jab channel ke lower limit, 0.60205 level, tak pohanch jaye, tab main yeh soch raha hoon ke kahan se buy karna hai. Main market ke against short trades mein enter nahi karna chahta, aur jab tak channel grow kar raha hai, iski zaroorat bhi nahi hai. Mere liye market mein enter karne ka sabse sahi tareeqa yeh hoga ke main channel ke lower limit se correction ke saath enter karoon. Aisa entry loss ko minimize karne mein madad karega agar koi false entry ho jaye, jisme har trader ko mushkil hoti hai. Upper limit 0.60438 level par determine ki jayegi, aur upper part of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon.
NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. Agar market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, NZD/USD ke liye crucial support level 0.5984 hai. Agar market price yahan se neeche jata hai aur 0.5984 support level ko cross karta hai, to market price aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur market neeche ja sakta hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.5909 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bearish movement ko support sector 0.5545 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Larger
gaya, to wahan se ek pullback 0.60303 tak hoga jahan se sellers enter karenge. Yeh zaroori hai ke channel ke lower edge par sell na kiya jaye. Channel ka principle simple hai - hum lower edge se buy karte hain aur upper edge se sell karte hain. Abhi, buying interesting nahi lagti kyunki channel southwards trend kar raha hai aur buying asset ki movement ke against hogi. Continuous movements around the 0.60303 level sellers ki presence show karte hain, jo decline ke liye achi chance indicate karte hain. D1 chart, jo mera main chart hai, ek bearish channel dikhata hai. D1 chart par bears ki strength mein koi shak nahi hai. Isliye, jaise ke upar mention kiya, main selling par focus karunga. Abhi, sales enter karna better hoga upper border of the channel at 0.60785 se. Decline channel 0.60153 tak execute hoga. Ek criterion growth ke liye upper edge of the D1 channel at 0.60303 par hoga, ek breakout, market ko strong sellers ke saath hold karte hue, niche bounce karte hue aur bullish activity ke signals provide karte hue. Growth 0.60785 par fade hogi aur phir downward movement retire hogi, jo downside par powerful player ko dikhayegi jisse selling opportunities ke liye dekha jaye. Isliye, buyers ko lag sakta hai ke unki opportunities somewhat restricted hain is prevailing seller-oriented environment mein. Yeh scenario highlight karta hai cautious approach adopt karne ki importance ko, carefully entry points aur risk management strategies ko assess karte hue. Fundamental analysis aur authoritative sources, including updates from the US government, pertinent news data influx provide karte hain jo NZD/USD market ke trajectory ko shape karte hain. Yeh insights essential context provide karte hain, investor sentiment ko influence karte hain, aur strategic decisions ko guide karte hain evolving market conditions ke response mein. Broader economic landscape bhi market ke complexity ko contribute karta hai. Factors raise interest rate differentials between New Zealand and the United States, geopolitical developments, and global economic indicators contribute to nuanced fluctuations observed in NZD/USD trading

Assalam-o-Alaikum doston,

Aaj hum NZDUSD currency pair ka mukhtasir tajziya karenge. Aaj, 5th September, din ki shuruat halki si upward correction ke sath hui hai aur filhal price 0.6200 ke level ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Magar overall trend ab bhi downward hi hai jo 29th August se 0.62955 ke level se shuru hui thi. Daily chart ko dekhte hue, yeh nazar aata hai ke downward movement ka sab se nazdeek optimal target 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level par hai, jo ke 0.6125 hai. Price is level ko break karne ki koshish karegi.

Downward trend ke continuation ka tajziya karte hue, 0.6125 ke level par break karna ek ahem goal hai. Yeh level Fibonacci retracement ke mutabiq, price ke downward movement ka agla major target ban chuka hai. Agar price is level ko successfully break kar leti hai, to iske baad ke targets lower levels par ho sakte hain jo market ki bearish sentiment ko reflect karenge.

Agar hum technical analysis par nazar daalain, to yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke 0.6200 ke upar ke price movements temporary correction ho sakti hain jo downward trend ko reverse nahi karti. Price ki upward movement abhi tak major resistance levels ko break nahi kar paayi hai, aur is wajah se downward trend ko continue karna feasible lagta hai.

Agar price 0.6125 ke level ko break kar deti hai, to iske baad market ko 0.6080 ke level tak bhi pohnchne ka imkaan hai, jo ke aur bhi lower support level ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Is tarah ke movements market mein bearish pressure ko reflect karte hain aur trader ko downward trend ke continuation ki signal dete hain.

In sab observations ko dekhte hue, agar aap trading decisions le rahe hain, to yeh zaroori hai ke aap price ke movement aur key support-resistance levels ko closely monitor karein. Downward trend ko samajhte hue, apni trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karna zaroori hai, aur market conditions ke mutabiq flexible rehna bhi faida mand ho sakta hai.

Shukriya.

market par dominate karne ke irade mein lag rahe hain. Market conditions ke hawale se, pichle haftay ki price movement pattern ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke price trend bullish ki taraf ja raha hai. Jo maine monitor kiya hai, uske mutabiq NZD/USD pair bullish trend ko continue kar sakta hai, kyun ke buyers ki taqat shuruat mein kafi strong thi. Agar price baad mein 0.6200 zone ke defense line ko break kar leti hai, to market ke trends larger time frame mein bhi bullish hi rahenge. Toh agar main future ko monitor karoon, to ab bhi uptrend ka chance hai, khas taur par kyunki abhi tak candlestick simple moving average zone of period 100 ke upar banay rahi hai. Iske ilawa, agar Stochastic Indicator 5,3,3 ko dekha jaye jo 20 zone ko touch kar raha hai, to yeh early trading mein downward correction ko indicate karta hai, jo weekly price movement se bhi nazar aata hai.
Aaj hum D1 period ke chart par NZD/USD currency pair ka tajziya karenge. Kal yeh pair place par sawed ho raha tha, aur pichle haftay price ka izafa hua, lekin sirf New Zealand dollar ke muqable mein nahi, balki American dollar puri market spectrum mein kamzor hua. Yeh pair pehle se bane huye descending line ke basis par girawat develop karne ki koshish kar raha tha, lekin Friday ko US se important news aayi. Jerome Powell ka speech aur US mein naye housing sales ke data ke baad, price tezi se upar chali gayi aur purani waves ke tops par bana hua descending line bhi break ho gaya. Ab price 0.6221 ke resistance ke upar ruk gayi hai. Is level ke paar jaane se yeh potential sales zone ban gaya hai. Yahan se price itni door nahi jaayegi, kyunki ascending wave already long ho chuki hai aur correction ki zaroorat hai. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone mein bend ho raha hai aur is zone ko chhodne ke liye tayyar hai. Agar younger four-hour period par dekha jaye, to MACD indicator par bearish divergence nazar aa rahi hai, jo ek strong signal hai decline ke liye, aur yeh kaam karega. Dusre currency pairs bhi US dollar ke khilaf gaye hain aur corrective rollback ki zaroorat hai. Upar se exit ke baad, mirror level formation par nazar rakhna chahiye, jaise hour chart par support resistance mein tabdeel ho jaaye aur down work kare. Downward correction ka minimum target support level 0.6159 ho sakta hai, jo closing prices par bana hai. Shayad itne lamba growth ke baad, thoda deeper down bhi ja sakte hain

Daily time frame par pair ne lower highs aur lower lows banaye hain. Kal market ne 0.6004 par open kiya tha aur trading session mein high 0.6031 aur low 0.5988 tak gaya. Is tarah kal ki trading range lagbhag 43 pips ki rahi. Market ka mood bearish lag raha hai kyun ke price daily pivot level se neeche hai aur aayan wale sessions mein daily support levels S1 aur S2 tak ja sakti hai. Indicators bhi market ki bearish strength ko support kar rahe hain. Market ne kal weekly resistance level 0.6020 ko touch kiya tha. RSI 14 bhi 50 se neeche move kar raha hai overbought hone ke baad. Ek bearish pin bar candlestick pattern bana, jis ke baad ek aur bearish candlestick ne market ki bearish strength ko confirm kiya. Market MA 200 ke neeche chal rahi hai, jo ke bearish trend ko dikhata hai. Bearish divergence bhi market ke downtrend ko support kar raha hai.
Mujhe sabhi majors mein NZD/USD sab se zyada mushkil lag raha hai. Kayi mahine ho gaye hain aur price ek specific range mein band hai. Pichle hafte ke end tak, price bilkul is range ke beech mein close hui thi. Iss surat-e-haal mein, bears ka faida yeh hai ke global downtrend abhi bhi chal raha hai, jo takreeban teen mahine purana hai. Kariban ek saal pehle, price apne max 0.6245 tak gayi thi. Yeh chart 4 ghante ka hai aur Fibo correction grid ke mutabiq, 70.0 level yani 0.6515 tak correction expected hai, jo highlighted area of prices se match karta hai. Main is highlighted area mein impulse wave 3 dekh raha hoon. Agar pichle level 0.6835 ka breakdown hota hai, toh long position open karne ka socha ja sakta hai aur impulse wave seven ko calculate kiya ja sakta hai, jahan price upar jaane ki ummed hai.

Markets ke khulne ka intezaar karna aur Asian aur European sessions mein price ke girne ki predictions dekhna thoda mushkil hai. Position kholte waqt stop loss lagana zaroori hai, kyun ke NZD/USD pair ne Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq oversold zone mein entry kar li hai. Main abhi dekh raha hoon ke price last trading session ke extremes tak jaaye, taake faisla kar saku ke buy karun ya sell. Support level strong hone ki wajah se, prices ne resistance level tak pohanch kar wapas upar jana shuru kiya. Resistance level hit karne ke baad market ne wapas rise liya kyun ke support level mazboot

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) aur US Dollar (USD) ki currency pair ne ek mazboot upar ki taraf trend dikha raha hai, jo keh lagbhag saat mahinay ki bulandi tak pohanch gaya hai. Yeh bullish momentum misaali technical indicators se supported hai, jin mein Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka 50 level se upar rehna aur 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ka 14-day EMA se zyada hona shamil hai. NZD/USD pair ne ek ascending channel ki lower bound ko tor diya hai, jo bullish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Lekin, is level se neeche break karna mumkin reversal ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Pair ke liye immediate resistance 9-day moving average ke qareeb 0.6210 par hai, jo ke saat mahinay ki buland tareen level 0.6247 ke baad aata hai. 0.6250 resistance level ko paar karna uptrend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye zaroori hai. NZD/USD pair 14-day EMA par support milne ki umeed hai, jo ke 0.6190 par hai aur ascending channel ki lower bound ke saath mail khata hai. Is level se neeche break karna bullish bias ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur pair ko 0.6100 ke psychological level ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. Agar sell-off hota hai, toh NZD/USD pair pehle 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ki taraf 0.6141 par slide kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh 61.8% Fibonacci level jo ke 0.6079 par hai, ek mumkin target ban jayega Jab ke NZD/USD pair abhi ek mazboot uptrend mein hai, zaroori hai ke key resistance levels aur momentum indicators par nazar rakhi jaye. Agar pair 0.6250 resistance ko kamyabi se tor leta hai, toh yeh apna upward journey jari rakh sakta hai 123.6% Fibonacci extension level tak jo ke 0.6300 se thoda upar hai aur mumkin hai ke December 28, 2023 ko record ki gayi buland tareen level 0.6368 tak Pohanch Jaye. Stochastic indicator overbought territory mein flat trade kar raha hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke current uptrend ab ek pause ya correction ki taraf jaa sakta hai. RSI 70 overbought mark ke thoda neeche hover kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke kuch short-term selling pressure ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar 0.6250 resistance level ko paar karne mein nakami hoti hai, toh yeh ek short-term pullback ki taraf le jaa sakta hai. Traders ko sakke baratni chahiye aur apne investments ki hifazat ke liye risk management strategies ko madde nazar rakhna chahiy

NZD/USD market ke American session ki opening se pehle, market ko daily open aur apni sabse nazdeek support ke beech upar-niche move karte hue dekha ja raha hai. Aaj market ne 0.6242 ki price se open kiya aur support level 0.6220 par hai. Jabke sabse nazdeek resistance level 0.6262 par mapped hai. Monday se is pair ki price movement choti-choti fluctuations ke sath chal rahi hai. Kal se phir se upward trend nazar aane laga hai, jo pichle din thodi correction ke baad shuru hua tha. High bhi higher achieve kiya gaya. Shuru mein andaza lagaya gaya tha ke price continue karegi correction, lekin Asian session se buyers ne dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price manage kar gayi aur dheere-dheere positive move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hua aur price upar gayi. Is buyer's push ne price ko 0.6249 tak support diya aur phir price limited move hui. Kal ke trading conditions ko dekhte hue, rally ke liye price ka estimate abhi bhi open hai, lekin filhaal price Wednesday ke daily open ke neeche hai. H1 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor karte hue, Thursday trading session ke liye market ne downward correction movement se shuru kiya, magar Tuesday ko buyers ka influence tha jo candlestick ko upar push karne mein kaamyaab raha, magar itna high nahi. Pichle haftay ke trading session mein market trend abhi bhi bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, jo ke current market conditions ke sath NZD/USD currency pair ka trend ab bhi upward hai. Indicators ke development ko dekhte hue, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator ki Lime Line phir se 70 level ke nazdeek pohonch gayi hai, jo ke slight increase ko dikhata hai jo shayad continue kar sake. MACD indicator ka histogram bar bhi zero level ke upar comfortably move kar raha hai, lekin iski size thodi chhoti hai due to downward correction pichle Monday. Is haftay price upar gayi hai aur candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar ho

Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pa

ir kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega

US Dollar Index (DXY) ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo kai saalon se chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY agle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai
Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega
NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target deta hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh range ka sideways trend dobara confirm karega. Iske baad pair phir se range floor ke aas paas, jo 0.5850 hai, move kar sakta hai

NZD/USD pair ne ascending channel ki lower bound ko cross kar liya hai, jo bullish outlook ko mazeed mazboot banata hai. Lekin agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh reversal ka imkaan bhi ho sakta hai. Pair ke liye immediate resistance 9-day moving average ke qareeb 0.6210 pe hai, uske baad 7-maheenay ka high 0.6247 pe aata hai. 0.6250 resistance level ka cross karna bohot zaroori hai taake yeh uptrend qaim rahe. NZD/USD pair ko support 14-day EMA pe milne ka imkaan hai jo ke 0.6190 hai, jo ascending channel ki lower bound se bhi coincide karta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai toh bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur pair psychological level 0.6100 tak gir sakta hai. Agar sell-off hota hai toh NZD/USD pair 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level jo June-August downtrend ka 0.6141 pe hai, tak gir sakta hai. Agar yeh bhi break ho gaya, toh 61.8% Fibonacci level jo ke 0.6079 pe hai, agla target ban sakta hai. Halaat yeh hain ke NZD/USD pair abhi strong uptrend mein hai, magar zaroori hai ke key resistance levels aur momentum indicators ko closely monitor kiya jaye. Agar pair 0.6250 resistance ko cross karne mein kaamyab ho jata hai, toh yeh upward journey ko continue kar sakta hai towards 123.6% Fibonacci extension level jo ke 0.6300 ke thora upar hai aur shayad December 28, 2023 ka high jo 0.6368 pe hai, tak bhi ja sakta hai. Stochastic indicator overbought territory mein flat trade kar raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke current uptrend ka pause ya correction ho sakta hai. RSI bhi 70 overbought mark ke neeche hai, jo short-term selling pressure ka ishara de raha hai. Lekin agar 0.6250 resistance level overcome nahi ho saka, toh short-term pullback ho sakta hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur apni investments ko protect karne ke liye risk management strategies ka zaroor istemal kar
NZD/USD ke movement se profit optimize kar sakenge.

US Dollar Monday ko steady hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke steep sell-off ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura perform tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apni Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya. US Dollar index 100.00 se upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wale hain. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte ke one of its worst weekly performances ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo USD ki value ko doosri currencies ke against weigh karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, aur iske aakhri hisson ki girawat US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole mein diye gaye bayan se thi. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, markets speculate karna shuru kar sakte hain ke isse Fed ke November meeting aur aage ke plans par kya asar hoga.

US Dollar (USD) ko apne major rivals ke muqablay mein Wednesday ko kamzori ke baad rebound karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai. Aaj, US economic docket mein August ke liye ADP Employment Change, weekly Initial Jobless Claims aur August ISM Services PMI data shamil honge. In releases se pehle, Eurostat July ke liye Retail Sales data publish karega.

Wednesday ko, US Bureau of Labor Statistics ke zariye published data ke mutabiq, July ke aakhri business day par job openings 7.67 million the. Yeh reading market ki expectation 8.1 million se kam thi aur is wajah se USD par selling pressure barh gaya. Tuesday ko 101.91 par naya do hafton ka high touch karne ke baad, USD Index ne niche ki taraf rukh kiya aur Wednesday ko 0.5% gir gaya. European morning ke dauran, index 101.00 ke upar steady hai. Is darmiyan, benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield 3.8% se neeche gir gaya aur Wall Street ke main indexes mixed closing ke saath din complete hue. Early Thursday ko, US stock index futures marginally lower trade kar rahe hain.

NZD/USD ko 0.6203 level par nine-day EMA ke aas-paas foran resistance ka samna karna pad sakta hai. 14-day RSI 50 level ke upar hai, jo overall bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Immediate support 14-day EMA par 0.6180 level ke aas-paas dikhai deta hai, jo lower boundary ke sath aligned hai.

NZD/USD Thursday ko European hours ke dauran 0.6200 ke aas-paas apni position banaye hue hai. Daily chart par, pair ascending channel ke lower boundary ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish bias ko support karta hai. Lower boundary ke neeche break karne se bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke upar hai, jo overall bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Iske ilawa, nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 14-day EMA ke upar positioned hai, jo NZD/USD pair ke short-term upward momentum ko signal karta hai aur yeh pair aage bhi upar ki taraf barhne ki ummeed hai.

Upside par, NZD/USD pair ko 0.6203 level par nine-day EMA ke aas-paas foran resistance mil sakta hai, uske baad August 21 ko record kiya gaya seven-month high 0.6247 aata hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, toh pair upper boundary of the ascending channel ko 0.6330 par test kar sakta hai.

Support ke hawale se, NZD/USD pair ko foran support 14-day EMA par 0.6180 level ke aas-paas mil sakta hai, jo ascending channel ke lower boundary ke aas-paas 0.6170 level par aligned hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, toh bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur pair psychological level 0.6100 ke aas-paas navigate kar sakta hai

NZD/USD pair ka analysis share karna chahta hoon, jo H4 timeframe par apne highest resistance tak pohanch gaya hai aur buyers ne valid bullish movement ka ek clear picture dikhaya hai jo ke abhi ho raha hai. Lekin, aane wali movement ki mazeed tafseel ke liye, chaliye dekhte hain ke trend classification aur NZD/USD trading signals kya keh rahe hain jo main ne neeche summarize kiye hain. NZD/USD Uptrend is hafta kuch bade obstacles ka saamna kar raha hai, halan ke buyers ne apni positive strength ka izhar kiya hai price ko higher area ki taraf push kar ke. Technically dekha jaye, toh NZD/USD ke paas price mein decline ka mauqa abhi bhi hai agar is hafta ka closing price white box area ke neeche close hota hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh sellers ki strength dobara barh jayegi kyun ke price apne lowest zone mein dobara correction experience karega, aur agar next week mein rejection hoti hai, toh ye expect kiya ja raha hai ke sellers upward movement ko weaken kar sakeinge aur NZD/USD ko wapas RBS area 0.6060 ki taraf le aayenge, jise maine white box se mark kiya hai aur jis par humein agle hafta trading mein focus karna chahiye.
Maine ek sell position open ki hai kyun ke running price white box area mein level 0.6213 par dakhil ho gaya hai aur agar NZD/USD us area se ek bearish candlestick create karta hai, toh price 0.6060 ki taraf girayega, jo ke baad mein RBS area ka kaam karega aur hum ise TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 area ke neeche weaken hota hai, toh hum apni sell position ko hold kar sakte hain jab tak ke 0.5835 zone mein decline nahi hota aur isay hum TP2 level bana sakte hain agle hafta ke trading mein.
Aage chal ke, worst case scenario ko anticipate karne ke liye, agar white box area rejection provide karne mein fail hota hai, toh NZD/USD ka bullish confirmation create hona shuru ho jayega aur humein apni sell position close karni hogi. Phir recover karne ke liye, humein ek buy position open karni hogi jisme target increase resistance area 0.6330 tak ho. Aap sab ka shukriya jo meri explanation suni. Umeed hai ke hum

NZD/USD. Fibonacci grid mere favorite tools mein se aik hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke market kitna door ja sakta hai, kahan wapas aayega, aur kis level par movement jaari reh sakti hai. Har koi Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain. Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair volatile rahne ke umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events jaise ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ke zariye drive ho sakte hain. Agar positive momentum continue hota hai, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key moving averages ko include karta hai. Agar resistance successfully break hota hai, toh move October 2019 low 0.6198 ki taraf open ho sakta hai. Lekin, cautious rehna zaroori hai, kyunke market conditions tezi se change ho sakti hain

NZD/USD pair abhi strong upward trend dikha raha hai, aur yeh almost seven-month high tak pohanch gaya hai. Yeh bullish momentum positive technical indicators se support ho raha hai, jismein RSI 50 level se upar hai aur 9-day EMA ne 14-day EMA ko cross kar liya hai. NZD/USD pair ne ascending channel ke lower bound ke upar break kiya hai, jo bullish outlook ko aur bhi strong banata hai. Lekin agar price is level ke neeche chali jati hai, toh yeh ek potential reversal ka signal de sakti hai.

Is waqt, NZD/USD pair ka immediate resistance 9-day moving average ke qareeb 0.6210 pe hai, aur uske baad seven-month high 0.6247 pe hai. Agar price 0.6250 resistance level ko cross kar leta hai, toh yeh uptrend ko sustain karne ke liye zaroori hai. Pair ko support 14-day EMA ke qareeb 0.6190 pe milega, jo ascending channel ke lower bound se coincide karta hai. Agar price is support se neeche chali jati hai, toh bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur pair psychological level 0.6100 ki taraf ja sakta hai. Sell-off ki surat mein, NZD/USD pair pehle 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level tak slide kar sakta hai, jo June-August downtrend mein 0.6141 hai. Agar yeh bhi break ho jaye, toh next potential target 61.8% Fibonacci level 0.6079 pe ban sakta hai.NZD/USD pair abhi strong uptrend mein hai, lekin key resistance levels aur momentum indicators ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar pair 0.6250 resistance ko break karne mein kamyab hota hai, toh yeh apna upward journey jari rakh sakta hai 123.6% Fibonacci extension level tak, jo ke 0.6300 ke thoda upar hai, aur shayad December 28, 2023 ko recorded high 0.6368 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Lekin Stochastic indicator overbought territory mein flat trade kar raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke current uptrend pause ya correction ki taraf ja sakta hai. RSI bhi 70 overbought mark ke neeche hover kar raha hai, jo short-term selling pressure ki indication de raha hai. Agar 0.6250 resistance level ko break karne mein nakam hota hai, toh short-term pullback ho sakta hai. Traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur risk management strategies ko use karna chahiye apne investments ko protect karne ke liye.

Sellers ya bears ke liye mauqay abhi current market mein limited hain. Ek potential entry point unke liye 0.6213 level pe ho sakta hai, jahan wo 0.6182 area ko target kar sakte hain. Lekin, overall market trend is waqt bulls ko favor kar raha hai, is liye bearish setups sirf short-term strategy ke liye theek rahenge. Market momentum buyers ke haq mein hai, is liye kisi bhi bearish move ko caution ke saath approach karna chahiye. Doosri taraf, buyers ya bulls ke paas ek significant chance hai price ko aur bhi upar push karne ka, khaas taur par jab U.S. trading session ke dauran 0.6245 level break ho jaye. Bulandi sentiment ke saath, buy entry focus karna reasonable lagta hai, 20-pip goal ko aim karte hue, current price action ko dekh kar.Market ko dekh kar lagta hai ke aaj bulls control mein hain, aur kisi bhi bearish movement ko temporary correction samajhna chahiye, long-term reversal nahi. Sellers ke liye short-term window 0.6213 par hai, lekin overall outlook bullish activity ko favor karta hai. Buyers ke paas potential hai ke U.S. trading hours mein 0.6245 level ko cross karein, aur modest 20 pips goal ke saath buy entry ek strong option ho sakta hai un logon ke liye jo aaj NZD/USD pair trade kar rahe hain. Achanak market changes bulls ko unke loss cover karne mein madad karenge, is liye ek unique trading plan prepare karna chahiye jo profit rate generate karne mein madad kare.

**NZDUSD Analysis**

Main New Zealand dollar / US dollar pair ko 15-minute chart par dekh raha hoon. Yeh pair resistance 0.62151 aur support 0.61820 ke beech trade kar raha tha. Phir isne resistance 0.62151 ko break kiya aur buyers ka volume barhne laga. Maine andaza lagaya ke yeh pair upar jayega. Yeh pair is resistance ke paas range mein trade kar raha tha. Yahan sellers ne bhi volume barhaya, jo further growth ka indicator tha.

Jab unemployment data release hua, to pehle growth hui, phir decline aayi. Yeh 0.62151 ke support ko break kar gaya, aur sellers ke limits kaam karne lage jab pair in levels se upar jane ki koshish kar raha tha. Yeh further decline ka indicator tha. Maine assume kiya ke yeh pair support 0.61459 tak jayega. Yeh wahan pohncha aur rollback ke baad buyers ne wahan volume gain karna shuru kiya. Yeh further growth ka nishan hai aur main assume karta hoon ke yeh pair abhi ke liye resistance 0.62151 tak jayega. Moving average indicator bearish potential dikhata hai.

Chart par - NZDUSD, price trend line ke neeche hai, jo Bears ki strength ko confirm karta hai. Agar sellers Buyers zone - 0.617 ko break kar sakte hain, jahan price baar-baar bounce hoti hai, to is case mein negative influence ki taraf movement continue ho sakti hai. Pehle level ke liye main news level - 0.607 ko consider karunga. Agar yeh range break hoti hai, to ek channel shayad open ho jaye ga, medium-term daily Minimum ke area mein. Aur jab tak yeh nahi hota, tab tak ek Bullish trend bhi arise ho sakti hai. Ya phir ek deep correction, jo false impulse ho sakta hai intermediate Maximum - 0.623 tak, liquidity collect karne ke liye.

Assalam-o-Alaikum doston,
Aaj hum NZDUSD currency pair ka mukhtasir tajziya karenge. Aaj, 5th September, din ki shuruat halki si upward correction ke sath hui hai aur filhal price 0.6200 ke level ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Magar overall trend ab bhi downward hi hai jo 29th August se 0.62955 ke level se shuru hui thi. Daily chart ko dekhte hue, yeh nazar aata hai ke downward movement ka sab se nazdeek optimal target 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level par hai, jo ke 0.6125 hai. Price is level ko break karne ki koshish karegi.

Downward trend ke continuation ka tajziya karte hue, 0.6125 ke level par break karna ek ahem goal hai. Yeh level Fibonacci retracement ke mutabiq, price ke downward movement ka agla major target ban chuka hai. Agar price is level ko successfully break kar leti hai, to iske baad ke targets lower levels par ho sakte hain jo market ki bearish sentiment ko reflect karenge.

Agar hum technical analysis par nazar daalain, to yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke 0.6200 ke upar ke price movements temporary correction ho sakti hain jo downward trend ko reverse nahi karti. Price ki upward movement abhi tak major resistance levels ko break nahi kar paayi hai, aur is wajah se downward trend ko continue karna feasible lagta hai.

Agar price 0.6125 ke level ko break kar deti hai, to iske baad market ko 0.6080 ke level tak bhi pohnchne ka imkaan hai, jo ke aur bhi lower support level ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Is tarah ke movements market mein bearish pressure ko reflect karte hain aur trader ko downward trend ke continuation ki signal dete hain.

In sab observations ko dekhte hue, agar aap trading decisions le rahe hain, to yeh zaroori hai ke aap price ke movement aur key support-resistance levels ko closely monitor karein. Downward trend ko samajhte hue, apni trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karna zaroori hai, aur market conditions ke mutabiq flexible rehna bhi faida mand ho sakta hai.
Shukriya.