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NZD/USD

Main New Zealand dollar aur US dollar ke pair ko 4-hour chart par dekh raha hoon. Pair gray range mein trade kar raha tha. Mujhe lag raha tha ke yeh trading isi gray range mein mazeed chalti rahegi, lekin abhi sabhi dollar ke saath jo pairs hain wo grow kar rahe hain. Shayad iska cumulative effect yeh hai ke unemployment data ne kuch dafa se growth dikhayi hai. Yani unemployment data mein kami dekhi gayi hai aur is wajah se pair 0.63109 ke resistance tak chala gaya hai.

Lekin abhi tak inflation stagnation se bahar nahi aya, is wajah se mujhe laga ke yeh pair niche jaye ga, aur 0.61520 ke lower boundaries tak chalega. Hum dekh rahe hain ke unemployment data ke baad pair wahan tak pohnch gaya hai. Unemployment data contradictory aya tha, jabke naye jobs ki tadaad kam ho rahi hai lekin wages phir bhi barh rahi hain. Yeh suggest karta hai ke economy ke kuch sectors mein abhi tak inflation par pressure hai. Mera andaza hai ke pair niche jaye ga, aur support level 0.60593 tak pohnche ga. Growth ke liye, mera khayal hai ke hume inflation mein kami aur stagnation se nikalne ka wait karna parega.

Weekly chart par New Zealand dollar aur US dollar ka pair grow kar raha hai. Pair ne pehle ke correction highs ko update kar diya hai. Pehle mujhe laga ke pair range mein trade karega. Yeh andaza inflation ke stagnation ki wajah se tha, jo ke ab tak USA mein stagnate kar raha hai. Jab tak yeh stagnant hai, mujhe laga ke yeh range mein hi trade karega, lekin ab yeh growth dikhata hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh sab is wajah se ho raha hai ke unemployment ne kuch dafa se growth dikhayi hai, yani data achha nahi hai aur yeh batata hai ke inflation par pressure kam ho raha hai. Shayad traders Federal Reserve System ke interest rate cuts ke moment ko play kar rahe hain. Is liye pair grow kar raha hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke aur koi wajah nahi hai ke yeh mazeed grow kare. Agar further growth hogi to mujhe lagta hai ke Federal Reserve ko interest rate cuts ke cycle ka announce karna parega. Sab kuch dot charts par dikhaya ja sakta hai. Mujhe nahi lagta ke pair ko mazeed grow karna chahiye, is liye mera andaza hai ke inflation abhi tak decline nahi hui. Shayad yeh decline karegi, aur shayad 0.60330 ke aas paas tak.

NZD/USD market ke American session ki opening se pehle, market ko daily open aur apni sabse nazdeek support ke beech upar-niche move karte hue dekha ja raha hai. Aaj market ne 0.6242 ki price se open kiya aur support level 0.6220 par hai. Jabke sabse nazdeek resistance level 0.6262 par mapped hai. Monday se is pair ki price movement choti-choti fluctuations ke sath chal rahi hai. Kal se phir se upward trend nazar aane laga hai, jo pichle din thodi correction ke baad shuru hua tha. High bhi higher achieve kiya gaya. Shuru mein andaza lagaya gaya tha ke price continue karegi correction, lekin Asian session se buyers ne dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price manage kar gayi aur dheere-dheere positive move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hua aur price upar gayi. Is buyer's push ne price ko 0.6249 tak support diya aur phir price limitedly move hui. Kal ke trading conditions ko dekhte hue, rally ke liye price ka estimate abhi bhi open hai, lekin filhaal price Wednesday ke daily open ke neeche hai. H1 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor karte hue, Thursday trading session ke liye market ne downward correction movement se shuru kiya, magar Tuesday ko buyers ka influence tha jo candlestick ko upar push karne mein kaamyaab raha, magar itna


high nahi. Pichle haftay ke trading session mein market trend abhi bhi bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, jo ke current market conditions ke sath NZD/USD currency pair ka trend ab bhi upward hai. Indicators ke development ko dekhte hue, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator ki Lime Line phir se 70 level ke nazdeek pohonch gayi hai, jo ke slight increase ko dikhata hai jo shayad continue kar sake. MACD indicator ka histogram bar bhi zero level ke upar comfortably move kar raha hai, lekin iski size thodi chhoti hai due to downward correction pichle Monday. Is haftay price upar gayi hai aur candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators

Main New Zealand Dollar aur US Dollar ke 4-hour chart par pair ka mutalia kar raha hoon. Ye pair abhi tak gray range mein trade kar raha tha. Mujhe lagta tha ke ye trading gray range mein mazeed chalti rahegi, magar sabhi dollar ke saath paired pairs barh rahe hain. Aisa lagta hai ke is ka sabab yeh hai ke barhati hui unemployment ka cumulative asar kaam kar raha hai. Yani, jab unemployment ka data kami dikhata hai, to pair resistance level 0.63109 tak chala jata hai.

Lekin ab tak mene nahi dekha ke inflation stagnant mode se bahar aaya ho, is wajah se mein samajhta tha ke pair neeche jaayega, lower boundaries ki taraf, yani 0.61520 ki taraf. Hum dekhte hain ke unemployment data ke baad, pair wahaan tak pohnch gaya hai. Unemployment ka data contradictory tha, kehte hain ke naye jobs ki tadaad kaami ho rahi hai, lekin wages ab tak barh rahi hain. Aur is ka matlab hai ke kuch economic sectors mein inflation par ab tak pressure bana hua hai. Mera khayal hai ke pair ab neeche jaayega, support level 0.60593 tak, yani agar humein growth dekhni hai, to pehle humein inflation mein kami aur stagnant inflation se bahar nikalne ka intezaar karna hoga.

Weekly chart par main New Zealand Dollar aur US Dollar pair ka mutalia kar raha hoon. Pair yahaan barh raha hai, aur pehle ke correction highs ko update kar chuka hai. Pehle mein samajhta tha ke pair range mein trade karega. Mein yeh is liye samajhta tha ke USA mein inflation stagnant hai. Ab tak inflation stagnant mode se bahar nahi aaya hai, aur jab tak yeh stagnant rahega, mujhe lagta tha ke pair range mein trade karega, lekin ab growth ke aasaar dikhai de rahe hain.

Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh sab is wajah se hai ke unemployment kai dafa se barh rahi hai, yani data zyada acha nahi hai aur yeh dikhata hai ke inflation par pressure kam ho raha hai. Shayed traders Federal Reserve System ke interest rate cuts ke mawqe ko khail rahe hain. Aur is liye pair barh raha hai, magar mujhe lagta hai ke mazeed barhne ki koi wajah nahi hai. Agar pair ko mazeed barhna hai, to Federal Reserve System ko ek naye interest rate cuts ka cycle announce karna hoga. Yeh sab dot charts par dikhaya ja sakta hai. Aur mujhe samajh nahi aata ke pair ko aur kis wajah se barhna chahiye, is liye mein samajhta hoon ke inflation abhi tak kami nahi dikhayi hai. Mera khayal hai ke inflation ab zarur giregi, shayad 0.60330 mark ke aas paas.

apni sabse nazdeek support ke beech upar-niche move karte hue dekha ja raha hai. Aaj market ne 0.6242 ki price se open kiya aur support level 0.6220 par hai. Jabke sabse nazdeek resistance level 0.6262 par mapped hai. Monday se is pair ki price movement choti-choti fluctuations ke sath chal rahi hai. Kal se phir se upward trend nazar aane laga hai, jo pichle din thodi correction ke baad shuru hua tha. High bhi higher achieve kiya gaya. Shuru mein andaza lagaya gaya tha ke price continue karegi correction, lekin Asian session se buyers ne dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price manage kar gayi aur dheere-dheere positive move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hua aur price upar gayi. Is buyer's push ne price ko 0.6249 tak support diya aur phir price limitedly move hui. Kal ke trading conditions ko dekhte hue, rally ke liye price ka estimate abhi bhi open hai, lekin filhaal price Wednesday ke daily open ke neeche hai. H1 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor karte hue, Thursday trading session ke liye market ne downward correction movement se shuru kiya, magar Tuesday ko buyers ka influence tha jo candlestick ko upar push karne mein kaamyaab raha, magar itna high nahi. Pichle haftay ke trading session mein market trend abhi bhi bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, jo ke current market conditions ke sath NZD/USD currency pair ka trend ab bhi upward hai. Indicators ke development ko dekhte hue, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator ki Lime Line phir se 70 level ke nazdeek pohonch gayi hai, jo ke slight increase ko dikhata hai jo shayad continue kar sake. MACD indicator ka histogram bar bhi zero level ke upar comfortably move kar raha hai, lekin iski size thodi chhoti hai due to downward correction pichle Monday. Is haftay price upar gayi hai aur candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators

H1 chart ke mukable mein, hourly period ka linear regression channel upward movement dikha raha hai, jo buyers ke activity ko emphasize karta hai. Lekin ab sellers ne 0.61440 level ke neeche break kiya hai, jo market mein strong bearish interest ko darshata hai. Iska matlab hai ke sellers ka maqsad H1 channel ko downward karna ho sakta hai, jo bullish trend ko khatam kar dega. Is ke baad, sellers ka dominance ek downward channel ke zariye dikhayi dega, jo bearish trend ko indicate karega. Strong bearish trend ki wajah se price 0.59520 level tak ja sakti hai. Agar H1 conditions ke mutabiq market 0.61528 aur 0.61440 levels ke upar rehti hai, toh bulls apna trend restore kar sakte hain.
New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein apni upward trajectory ko continue rakha hai, aur paanch consecutive sessions ke liye winning streak banayi hai. Yeh pair ki ascent primarily bullish technical outlook ke wajah se thi, jo rising ascending channel aur positive Relative Strength Index (RSI) se supported thi. NZD/USD pair ka consolidation ascending channel ke bullish boundary mein prevailing bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. RSI, jo 70 level ke just neeche hai, confirmed bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, aage ki gains pair ko overbought zone mein push kar sakti hain, jo short-term correction ka sabab ban sakta hai. Short-term bullish momentum ko nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke 50-day EMA ke upar trading karne se bhi support milta hai. Yeh positive technical indicator NZD/USD ke sustained upward trend ko suggest karta hai. Upside pe, pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary ke paas 0.6190 ke aas paas immediate resistance face karna padega. Agar is level ko breach kiya jata hai, toh move towards two-month high 0.6247 open ho sakta hai. Downside pe, nine-day EMA 0.6092 ek direct support level ke taur pe kaam karti hai. Agar is support ke neeche break hota hai, toh bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur pair 50-day EMA 0.6045 aur phir ascending channel floor 0.6030 ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Agar channel floor ke neeche breakdown hota hai, toh bearish sentiment trigger ho sakta hai, jo decline ko "rebound support" 0.5850 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

NZD/USD Market Outlook

Sab ko salam aur subah bakhair!
NZD/USD ki current market mein recovery ke asar nazar aa rahe hain, jahan pair wapas aake 0.6002 ke aas paas close hui hai. Yeh movement is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke buyers ab control wapas hasil kar rahe hain aur pair ko recent fluctuations ke baad ek upward track par wapas la rahe hain. Yeh recovery suggest karti hai ke NZD/USD market aglay dinon mein apni upward movement ko continue kar sakti hai, jisse renewed buying interest drive ho rahi hai. Iss waqt ka momentum yeh batata hai ke price ke 0.6045 ki resistance zone ko jaldi ya der se cross karne ke potential hai, jo ke ek critical level hai jis par nazar rakhni zaroori hai.

NZD/USD market mein buy order lagana aik strategic approach hai. Short target ko 0.6042 par set karna ongoing upward trend ke saath align karta hai, lekin saath hi aik cautious outlook bhi rakhta hai. Yeh target resistance level ke kareeb hai, jo ke profit ke possibility ko allow karta hai lekin yeh bhi samajh raha hai ke near-term reversal bhi ho sakta hai agar resistance hold karti hai. Iss scenario mein success ki kunji yeh hai ke price action ko 0.6045 resistance zone ke aas paas closely monitor kiya jaye. Agar price is level ko break karne mein kamyab ho jati hai, toh yeh mazeed gains ko signal karega aur NZD/USD ke liye bullish outlook ko mazboot karega. Dusri taraf, agar resistance zyada mazboot sabit hoti hai, toh temporary pullback ho sakta hai, jo ke traders ko apni positions accordingly adjust karne ki zaroorat hogi.

Akhir mein, NZD/USD market recovery ke promising asar dikha rahi hai, jahan price 0.6002 zone ke aas paas close hui hai aur mazeed gains ke potential hai. Current market conditions ko madde nazar rakhte hue, aik buy order ke saath short target 0.6042 recommend kiya jata hai. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke aap hooshiyar rahein aur kisi bhi developments par response dein, khaas tor par 0.6045 resistance zone ke aas paas, taake trading strategies evolving market sentiment ke saath aligned rahein.

Stay blessed aur stay safe!

Agar hum aaj ki trading ki surat-e-haal ka jaiza lain, toh hum dekh sakte hain ke maujooda soorat-e-haal mein aham moqa'ay paida ho rahe hain jo trading mein strategy ke tor par istamal kiye ja sakte hain. Lekin humein ehtiyat se kaam lena hoga kyun ke abhi hum correction phase mein hain, jahan market aik aham area ko torne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar hum pichlay moments ka jaiza karain, toh lagta hai ke price ne 5/10 low moving average marking area mein downward signal form kiya hai, jo ke price range 0.59812 se 0.59932 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke price par sellers ka pressure barkarar reh sakta hai jo isay mazeed neeche dhakel sakta hai. Lekin agar price is area ko paar kar leti hai, toh mumkin hai ke yeh middle Bollinger band line ko retest karay.

Iske ilawa, humein Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par bhi tawajjo deni chahiye jo abhi downward correction ka izhaar kar raha hai aur neutral area ke qareeb hai, uske baad mumkina tor par overbought level tak jaane ki koshish karega. Maujooda resistance level market price ka 0.6357 hai. Agar price resistance 0.6357 se upar break karti hai, toh hum mazeed upside ki taraf dekh sakte hain, jiss ka agla target 0.6843 hai. Uske baad mujhay umeed hai ke price mazeed ooper jaye gi aur toray hue resistance level 0.7232 tak pohanchay gi, jo ke aik mazboot resistance level tha. Dosri taraf, agar price local support 0.5880 par wapas aa jati hai aur is zone se neeche rehti hai, toh long-term bearish movement ki umeed ki ja sakti hai jo 0.5319 tak ja sakti hai. Uske baad price aglay support level 0.4749 tak jaari reh sakti hai, jo ke aik mazboot support level hai. Support aur resistance chart par is liye istemal kiye gaye hain kyun ke yeh market structure ko samajhnay mein madad karte hain.

NZD/USD kuch arsay se bearish trend mein hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke New Zealand Dollar ki qeemat US Dollar ke muqabil mein musalsal gir rahi hai. Yeh trend mukhtalif macroeconomic factors ki wajah se hai, jin mein iqtisadi performance, interest rate differentials, aur geopolitical events shamil hain jo investor sentiment par asar andaz hotay hain.

Technical analysis ke lihaaz se, NZD/USD pair broader bearish trend mein consolidation ki signs dikha raha hai. Key support aur resistance levels potential reversal ya continuation points ko shanakht karne mein ahmiyat rakhte hain. Is waqt, yeh pair 0.5997 ke level ke qareeb hai, jahan par 0.5950 par significant support aur 0.6050 par resistance hai. Support level ke neeche break karnay par mazeed downside ho sakta hai, jabke resistance ke upar break reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Trade balances bhi ahm kirdar ada karte hain. New Zealand ki economy ki ek bari hisa export par munhasir hai, khaas tor par dairy products, meat, aur agricultural goods par. In products ki global demand mein koi bhi tabdeeli NZD ko mutasir kar sakti hai. Misal ke tor par, agar global dairy prices mein kami hoti hai, toh yeh New Zealand ke trade balance ko manfi tor par mutasir kar sakta hai, jis se NZD kamzor ho sakta hai.

NZD/USD ki Qeemat Mein Tahreek

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne pichlay haftay US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein tang daira mein tijarat ki aur 0.6010 par band hua. Yeh NZD/USD ke liye lagataar saathwaan din hai jab qeemat mein kami hui hai, jo ke is jodi ke liye ek muddat-e-muttahidah ka ishara hai. Technical indicators mein milay julay asrat hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neutral level ke qareeb settled hai, jo ke khareed aur bechne ke dabao mein tawazun ko zahir karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi seedha ho gaya hai, jo ke wazeh simti rukh mein kami ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin MACD ke upar positive histogram aur sabz bars zameeni khareed ke rujhan ko zahir karte hain. NZD/USD jodi ke liye foran muzahimat 0.6000 ke zahanati tor par aham level par hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai to yeh 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) tak rally ke liye rasta khol sakta hai jo ke 0.6040 hai, aur mumkina tor par is se bhi zyada 0.6150 tak. Iske bar-aks, agar jodi 20-day SMA ke neeche 0.5970 par break hoti hai, to yeh neeche ke rujhan ke barqarar hone ka signal de sakta hai, jiss ke mumkina targets 0.5900 hain
Asian session ki market khulne ke aaghaz mein qeemat thori si gir gayi jahan market 0.5997 par khuli aur foran hi bechnay walon ne dakhil ho gaya. Khushqismati se, yeh tahreek zyada dair tak nahi rahi kyun ke rozana ke shuruat ke neeche EMA 633 H1 maujood tha jo ke 0.5993 par cross kar raha tha. Yeh EMA bhi guzra, yeh asumaan ke sath ke qeemat support 0.5979 ki taraf ja rahi thi. Lekin, target tak pohanchne se pehle, qeemat dobara upar chali gayi, dobara EMA 633 H1 ke upar se guzri aur hatta ke rozana khulne ki line ko bhi cross kar gayi. Iss soorat-e-haal mein, qeemat apne qareebi muzahimat 0.6015 ki taraf rangi. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1, jo ke EMA 633 H1 ke upar hain, ne bhi iss soorat-e-haal par mujawabta upar ki taraf crossover banaya, jo ke ek barhter bull rujhan ko zahir karta hai. Yeh trend H1 waqt ke frame par ek uptrend mein hai. 0.6015 ki muzahimat bhi toot gayi thi. Iss lamhe ke baad upar ki taraf harakat mazeed tej nahi hui, bechnay walon ki taraf se thori si rukaawat thi, is liye filhal zaroori hai ke 0.6015 ke ilaqay ko dekha jaye ke kya yeh dubara seller ke zariye teh kara ja sakta hai ya phir yeh qeemat ke mazeed barhny ka aaghaz hai. Ibtidaiya subha se shaam tak ki harakat ki roshni mein temporary unchi achievement 0.6026 par hai. Agar hum peeche dekhein, jumay ki tijarat mein, yeh harakat jumay ke unchi jo ke 0.6029 par ban gayi thi, ke qareeb hai is liye khareedaaron ko hoshiyar rehna hoga kyunke qeemat neeche gir sakti hai

NZD/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein ek mazboot bullish trend dikhaya hai, jahan price shaayad 0.62364 tak pahunch sakti hai. Yeh uptrend largely US dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se hai, jo Federal Reserve ke agle mahine interest rates kam karne ke faislay ki wajah se hai. Federal Reserve ka plan hai ke woh interest rates ko 4.5% se 5% ke range mein le aayenge, jo ke dollar ki value ko temporary taur par girane ka sabab ban raha hai.

Is dollar ki kamzori ka asar NZD/USD exchange rate par bhi pada hai, jo ke 0.59890 se barh kar 0.62364 tak pahuncha hai. Yeh bara izafa yeh darshata hai ke USD ki majbooti aur New Zealand dollar ki performance ke darmiyan ulta taluq hai. Jab USD kamzor hota hai, tab NZD/USD pair mein izafa dekha jaata hai.

Investors ke shifting preferences aur US monetary policy ke mutaaliq expectations is movement ko influence kar rahe hain. Jab investors ko lagta hai ke Federal Reserve interest rates kam karega, to woh USD investments se nikal kar doosri currencies ya assets mein invest karne lagte hain. Is wajah se USD ki value girti hai aur NZD/USD currency pair ka rate barhta hai.

Yeh market ka reaction yeh dikhata hai ke central bank ke decisions currency valuations aur investor behavior par kaise asar dalte hain. Agar Federal Reserve apni policy mein koi major changes karta hai, to iska seedha asar currency exchange rates par padta hai, jo ke investors ki decisions aur market trends ko bhi directly influence karta hai.

NZD/USD currency pair ka yeh trend aur iska izafa is baat ka saboot hai ke investors ki expectations aur central bank ke faislay currency markets ko kaise shape dete hain. Is se hume yeh samajh aata hai ke central banks ki policy decisions aur unki monetary strategies kis tarah se global currency markets ko effect kar sakti hain.

NZD/USD ki Qeemat Mein Tahreek

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne pichlay haftay US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein tang daira mein tijarat ki aur 0.6010 par band hua. Yeh NZD/USD ke liye lagataar saathwaan din hai jab qeemat mein kami hui hai, jo ke is jodi ke liye ek muddat-e-muttahidah ka ishara hai. Technical indicators mein milay julay asrat hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neutral level ke qareeb settled hai, jo ke khareed aur bechne ke dabao mein tawazun ko zahir karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi seedha ho gaya hai, jo ke wazeh simti rukh mein kami ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin MACD ke upar positive histogram aur sabz bars zameeni khareed ke rujhan ko zahir karte hain. NZD/USD jodi ke liye foran muzahimat 0.6000 ke zahanati tor par aham level par hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai to yeh 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) tak rally ke liye rasta khol sakta hai jo ke 0.6040 hai, aur mumkina tor par is se bhi zyada 0.6150 tak. Iske bar-aks, agar jodi 20-day SMA ke neeche 0.5970 par break hoti hai, to yeh neeche ke rujhan ke barqarar hone ka signal de sakta hai, jiss ke mumkina targets 0.5900 hain
Asian session ki market khulne ke aaghaz mein qeemat thori si gir gayi jahan market 0.5997 par khuli aur foran hi bechnay walon ne dakhil ho gaya. Khushqismati se, yeh tahreek zyada dair tak nahi rahi kyun ke rozana ke shuruat ke neeche EMA 633 H1 maujood tha jo ke 0.5993 par cross kar raha tha. Yeh EMA bhi guzra, yeh asumaan ke sath ke qeemat support 0.5979 ki taraf ja rahi thi. Lekin, target tak pohanchne se pehle, qeemat dobara upar chali gayi, dobara EMA 633 H1 ke upar se guzri aur hatta ke rozana khulne ki line ko bhi cross kar gayi. Iss soorat-e-haal mein, qeemat apne qareebi muzahimat 0.6015 ki taraf rangi. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1, jo ke EMA 633 H1 ke upar hain, ne bhi iss soorat-e-haal par mujawabta upar ki taraf crossover banaya, jo ke ek barhter bull rujhan ko zahir karta hai. Yeh trend H1 waqt ke frame par ek uptrend mein hai. 0.6015 ki muzahimat bhi toot gayi thi. Iss lamhe ke baad upar ki taraf harakat mazeed tej nahi hui, bechnay walon ki taraf se thori si rukaawat thi, is liye filhal zaroori hai ke 0.6015 ke ilaqay ko dekha jaye ke kya yeh dubara seller ke zariye teh kara ja sakta hai ya phir yeh qeemat ke mazeed barhny ka aaghaz hai. Ibtidaiya subha se shaam tak ki harakat ki roshni mein temporary unchi achievement 0.6026 par hai. Agar hum peeche dekhein, jumay ki tijarat mein, yeh harakat jumay ke unchi jo ke 0.6029 par ban gayi thi, ke qareeb hai is liye khareedaaron ko hoshiyar rehna hoga kyunke qeemat neeche gir sakti hai

NZD/USD pair ne Friday ki European session ke doran 0.6030 ke aas-paas spike kiya. Riskier assets ki demand badhne ke sath Kiwi asset majboot hua hai. Weekly jobless claims mein kami aur July ke liye positive retail sales ne US recession ke concerns ko kaafi kam kar diya hai. European trading ke doran, S&P 500 futures mein acchi growth dekhi gayi, jo investors ke risk appetite ke sudhar ko darshata hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko chhe bade currencies ke mukable mein measure karta hai, 102.80 ke aas-paas gir gaya hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne Wednesday ko apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 25 basis points (bps) se 5.25% tak kam kar diya, jisne New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ke short-term attractiveness ko lekar shak paida kiya. Dusri taraf, market ka andaza Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate cuts ke raaste ko lekar hai jo US dollar ke agle move ko tay karega. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole (JH) symposium, jo 22–24 August ko ho raha hai, ka intezar kar rahe hain. NZD/USD pair daily basis par Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai jo volatility mein kami ko dikhata hai. Kiwi asset short-term mein positive trend show kar raha hai, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6000 ko break kar raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 aur 60.00 ke beech fluctuate kar raha hai, jo market players ke uncertainty ko indicate karta hai. Agar asset May 3 ka high 0.6046 ko breach karta hai to aur upar ki movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Ye momentum asset ko July 12 ka high 0.6127 aur July 17 ka high 0.6100 tak le jaa sakta hai. Agar niche ki taraf movement hoti hai aur April 19 ka low, jo ke takreeban 0.5850 hai, se neeche chala jata hai to asset round-level support 0.5800 aur October 26, 2023 ka low 0.5770 tak aa sakta hai.

Friday ke trading session mein, price ka behavior slope ki tarah tha, jahan price daily open aur sabse qareebi support levels ke darmiyan move kar raha tha, jo ke 0.6216 aur 0.6233 thay. Thoda pressure sellers ki taraf se aya, lekin price support se neeche nahi gira. Dheere dheere price thoda upar move kar gaya aur European session ke dauran daily open ke qareeb limited move karta raha. Jab American session shuru hua, volatile movement dekhne ko mili jab news release hui, aur price 0.6216 support area se, jo EMA 200 H1 ke saath tha, 0.6233 resistance tak chala gaya. Magar, bawajood is strong push ke, price zyada nahi barha. Phir price negative direction mein move karta raha, resistance aur daily open se neeche nikalta hua, aur bilkul perfect penetration dekhne ko mili jab price ne 0.6233 support ko toda aur EMA 200 H1 ko bhi breakout kar diya. Yeh weakness support level 0.6168 tak barh gayi. Jab aur neeche jane ki koshish hui, sellers ki strength kam hone lagi. Sabse lowest point 0.6151 ke qareeb jab price EMA 633 H1 line ke pass aaya, toh market close hote waqt price limited move karta raha aur 0.6166 par band hui. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 time frame mein downside crossover banate huye strong bearish trend ko confirm karti hain. EMA 200 H1 ka breakout perfect bearish trend ko support deta hai. Halankeh abhi tak EMA 633 daily ka perfect breakout nahi hua, bearishness ka potential abhi bhi maujood hai. Lekin daily time frame mein bullish trend dekha ja sakta hai, jahan price EMA 200 daily ke upar move kar raha hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 neeche ki taraf point karte huye dikh rahe hain aur price EMA 200 aur EMA 633 daily ke darmiyan flanked hai. Agar 0.6151 ka low breakout karta hai, toh daily support 0.6122 pehla target ho sakta hai, jo EMA 36 aur EMA 200 daily ko test karne ka moqa de sakta hai. Lekin agar EMA 36 daily pe pullback hota hai, price bounce kar sakta hai aur EMA 633 daily ko retest karne ka chance ban sakta hai. Daily stochastic ab level 20 par hai aur upar ki taraf curved hai. Agar price is signal ka response karta hai, toh short-term corrective movement ho sakti hai.

H1 chart ke mukable mein, hourly period ka linear regression channel upward movement dikha raha hai, jo buyers ke activity ko emphasize karta hai. Lekin ab sellers ne 0.61440 level ke neeche break kiya hai, jo market mein strong bearish interest ko darshata hai. Iska matlab hai ke sellers ka maqsad H1 channel ko downward karna ho sakta hai, jo bullish trend ko khatam kar dega. Is ke baad, sellers ka dominance ek downward channel ke zariye dikhayi dega, jo bearish trend ko indicate karega. Strong bearish trend ki wajah se price 0.59520 level tak ja sakti hai. Agar H1 conditions ke mutabiq market 0.61528 aur 0.61440 levels ke upar rehti hai, toh bulls apna trend restore kar sakte hain. New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein apni upward trajectory ko continue rakha hai, aur paanch consecutive sessions ke liye winning streak banayi hai. Yeh pair ki ascent primarily bullish technical outlook ke wajah se thi, jo rising ascending channel aur positive Relative Strength Index (RSI) se supported thi. NZD/USD pair ka consolidation ascending channel ke bullish boundary mein prevailing bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. RSI, jo 70 level ke just neeche hai, confirmed bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, aage ki gains pair ko overbought zone mein push kar sakti hain, jo short-term correction ka sabab ban sakta hai. Short-term bullish momentum ko nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke 50-day EMA ke upar trading karne se bhi support milta hai. Yeh positive technical indicator NZD/USD ke sustained upward trend ko suggest karta hai. Upside pe, pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary ke paas 0.6190 ke aas paas immediate resistance face karna padega. Agar is level ko breach kiya jata hai, toh move towards two-month high 0.6247 open ho sakta hai. Downside pe, nine-day EMA 0.6092 ek direct support level ke taur pe kaam karti hai. Agar is support ke neeche break hota hai, toh bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur pair 50-day EMA 0.6045 aur phir ascending channel floor 0.6030 ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Agar channel floor ke neeche bre akdown hota hai, toh bearish sentiment trigger ho sakta hai, jo decline ko "rebound support" 0.5850 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Main abhi New Zealand Dollar aur USD pair ko hourly chart par dekh raha hoon. Is pair ne 0.60638 ka resistance break kiya, aur us waqt Bank of New Zealand ne apna bayan diya. Jaisay hi pair neeche gaya, Bank of New Zealand ne interest rates cut kiye, jo market ke liye unexpected thay. Market ko umeed thi ke Bank of New Zealand interest rates 40% se 50% tak cut karega. Pair ne support 0.59681 par touch kiya, aur mujhe laga ke pair mazeed neeche jayega, kyun ke interest rate cut ki wajah se market mein selling pressure barh gaya tha. Mujhe laga ke pair jo range mein trade kar raha tha, wo thoda aur neeche jaayega, lekin surprisingly, pair ne range ke upper limits ko bhi cross kar diya aur resistance 0.62205 par pohnch gaya. Ye bilkul unexpected tha.

Main expect kar raha tha ke pair upper bounds par reversal karega, jo ke 0.61526 par resistance hai. Lekin, America mein inflation mein koi khas kami nahi hui. Sirf 0.1% decline ka matlab yeh nahi ke status quo change ho gaya hai, is liye mein ab bhi decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke mujhe koi waja nazar nahi aati ke upward trend continue rahe.

Chart ka Halat:

Is mahine ke aghaz se NZD/USD pair steadily recover kar raha tha jab usne naye 2024 ke lows 0.5848 par apna base banaya. Pair ne recently 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ko break kiya aur ek nayi two-month high attain ki, jo bullish outlook ko mazid mazboot banata hai. Short term mein, pair ka immediate resistance 0.6170 par expected hai, jo 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level hai downtrend ka, jo 0.6368 se 0.5851 tak chala. Agar bullish forces is hurdle ko break karti hain, to next target 0.6220 ka June high hoga. Uske baad, 78.6% Fibonacci level 0.6257 par ek aur obstacle ho sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar downside move hoti hai, to pair 50.0% Fibonacci level 0.6109 tak neeche ja sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to 38.2% Fibonacci level 0.6048 tak neeche ja sakta hai, jo January aur June mein strong support ka kirdar ada kar chuka hai. Agar price 38.2% se neeche girti hai, to 23.6% Fibonacci level 0.5972 additional support de sakta hai.

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mein tijarat ki aur 0.6010 par band hua. Yeh NZD/USD ke liye lagataar saathwaan din hai jab qeemat mein kami hui hai, jo ke is jodi ke liye ek muddat-e-muttahidah ka ishara hai. Technical indicators mein milay julay asrat hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neutral level ke qareeb settled hai, jo ke khareed aur bechne ke dabao mein tawazun ko zahir karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi seedha ho gaya hai, jo ke wazeh simti rukh mein kami ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin MACD ke upar positive histogram aur sabz bars zameeni khareed ke rujhan ko zahir karte hain. NZD/USD jodi ke liye foran muzahimat 0.6000 ke zahanati tor par aham level par hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai to yeh 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) tak rally ke liye rasta khol sakta hai jo ke 0.6040 hai, aur mumkina tor par is se bhi zyada 0.6150 tak. Iske bar-aks, agar jodi 20-day SMA ke neeche 0.5970 par break hoti hai, to yeh






neeche ke rujhan ke barqarar hone ka signal de sakta hai, jiss ke mumkina targets 0.5900 hain Asian session ki market khulne ke aaghaz mein qeemat thori si gir gayi jahan market 0.5997 par khuli aur foran hi bechnay walon ne dakhil ho gaya. Khushqismati se, yeh tahreek zyada dair tak nahi rahi kyun ke rozana ke shuruat ke neeche EMA 633 H1 maujood tha jo ke 0.5993 par cross kar raha tha. Yeh EMA bhi guzra, yeh asumaan ke sath ke qeemat support 0.5979 ki taraf ja rahi thi. Lekin, target tak pohanchne se pehle, qeemat dobara upar chali gayi, dobara EMA 633 H1 ke upar se guzri aur hatta ke rozana khulne ki line ko bhi cross kar gayi. Iss soorat-e-haal mein, qeemat apne qareebi muzahimat 0.6015 ki taraf rangi. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1, jo ke EMA 633 H1 ke upar hain, ne bhi iss soorat-e-haal par mujawabta upar ki taraf crossover banaya, jo ke ek barhter bull rujhan ko zahir karta hai. Yeh trend H1 waqt ke frame par ek uptrend mein hai. 0.6015 ki muzahimat bhi toot gayi thi. Iss lamhe ke baad upar ki taraf harakat mazeed tej nahi hui, bechnay walon ki taraf se thori si rukaawat thi, is liye filhal zaroori hai ke 0.6015 ke ilaqay ko dekha jaye ke kya yeh dubara seller ke zariye teh kara ja sakta hai ya phir yeh qeemat ke mazeed barhny ka aaghaz hai. Ibtidaiya subha se shaam tak ki harakat ki roshni mein temporary unchi achievement 0.6026 par hai. Agar hum peeche dekhein, jumay ki tijarat mein, yeh harakat jumay ke unchi jo ke 0.6029 par ban gayi thi, ke qareeb hai is liye khareedaaron ko hoshiyar