usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

USDJPY Return Back

USD/JPY ne hal hi mein apna do din ka girawat ka silsila tor diya hai, aur kuch der ke liye izafa dekha, magar phir se wapas gir gaya jab kamzor se mutawaqqa US economic data ka izhar hua. Market ka response is speculations ko barhawa diya ke Federal Reserve anqareeb interest rates mein kami kar sakta hai. Akhri update ke mutabiq, ye pair 152.30 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke uski din ki buland tareen level 152.50 tak pohanchne ke baad hua. Yeh utar chadhav wusi pehlu ko darsha rahe hain jo Fed ke policy ke future decisions ke bare mein ghair yakeeni ko reflect kar rahe hain, aur jo aane wale hafton mein USD/JPY ke trajectory ko shadeed tor par mutasir kar sakte hain.
Fed Rate Cut ke Intizaaraat Mazid Mazboot Hote Hain:

Federal Reserve ke aed rakhnay walay ikhtimalay rate cut ke baare mein spekulation barh rahi hai jab Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker ne central bank ke halia monetary policy ke mushkil safar par baat ki. Harker ne Fed ke policy ko ek bus chalanay ke maslay ke tor par tasveer di, aur rawaya aur ehtiyat ke darmiyan balance barqarar rakhne ka zikar kiya. Yeh izharat Fed ke unexpected 50-basis point rate cut ke foran baad aaye, jo ke pehle se ummeed thi, lekin iske scale ne aksar logon ko surprise kar diya. Harker ke statements yeh ishara dete hain ke central bank economic landscape ko ghaur se dekh raha hai aur 2024 ke liye mazeed rate cuts bhi mumkin hain.

Neel Kashkari ka Ainday ke Rate Cuts ke Bare Mein Nazariya:

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ne bhi is topic par apne khayalat ka izhar kiya, aur kaha ke mazid rate cuts anqareeb ke imkanaat mein hain. Kashkari ne kaha ke September ka 50-basis point ka reduction ahm tha, lekin future cuts ho sakte hain chote hoon. Unke nazariye ke mutabiq US economy par Fed ka focus inflation ko manage karne par hai, lekin wo economic growth aur employment levels par bhi tawajju de rahe hain. In milay-julay jazbaton ke sath, USD/JPY pair kisi bhi further shifts in Federal Reserve policy ya aise data jo ke US economic recovery mein tabdilion ko show karein, us par sensitive raha hai.

USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis:

Technical front par, price aik waazeh descending channel mein trade kar raha hai, aur current price action ye ishara de raha hai ke woh 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 152.23 ke level par test kar sakta hai, jo ke foran support faraham karta hai. Agar yeh level se neeche gir gaya, tou mazeed girawat ka rasta khul sakta hai, jo ke pair ko agle support par le ja sakta hai jo ke 152.27 ke around 9-day EMA par hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar raha, tou hum dekh sakte hain ke pair 153.00 level ko retest kar sakta hai.



Ek ahm technical indicator jo nazar mein rakhna chahiye wo hai 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke abhi neutral 50 mark ke neeche hai. Agar RSI is level ko break karke upar chala gaya, tou ye market mein bullish sentiment ke emergence ka ishara ho sakta hai. Yeh ek potential upside move ke saath align ho sakta hai USD/JPY ke liye, khaaskar agar yeh pair key resistance levels ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jaye.

USD/JPY Daily Analysis:
Is waqt USD/JPY ka daily chart ek bullish trend ko darsha raha hai, jismein Ichimoku Cloud aur MACD indicators ka istemal kiya gaya hai. Chart par price ne Ichimoku Cloud ke upar breakout diya hai, jo ek strong bullish sign hai. Jab price cloud ke upar hoti hai, toh iska matlab hota hai ke buyers ka control hai aur price upward direction mein move karne ka strong chance rakhti hai.
Ichimoku Cloud Analysis:**
Price ne abhi kuch din pehle Ichimoku Cloud ke upar breakout diya tha, aur uske baad se consistently cloud ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Yeh breakout bullish signal ko support karta hai.
Ichimoku Cloud ke andar Conversion (Tenkan-sen) aur Base (Kijun-sen) lines bhi upward direction mein hain, jo ke trend continuation ka signal deti hain. In dono lines ka upward move karna aur cloud ke upar trade karna future mein aur bullish pressure ka indication hai.
Agar price kisi correction phase mein jaye bhi, toh Ichimoku Cloud neeche support ka kaam karegi, jisse downside risk limited reh sakta hai.
MACD Analysis:
MACD indicator bhi bullish momentum ko support kar raha hai. MACD line ne signal line ko cross kiya hai aur dono lines upar ki taraf move kar rahi hain. Yeh indication hai ke trend mein upward momentum majood hai.
MACD histogram mein positive bars hain, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke market mein buying pressure abhi bhi maujood hai aur short-term mein yeh trend barqarar reh sakta hai.
Overall Trend aur Key Levels:**
Filhal ka trend USD/JPY ke liye bullish hai, aur jab tak price Ichimoku Cloud ke upar rehti hai, tab tak yeh trend majboot reh sakta hai. Is trend mein koi major support level takreeban 149-150 ke aas paas hai jo Ichimoku Cloud aur previous support zones ke saath aligned hai. Agay chal kar, agar price is level ke neeche close deti hai toh yeh bullish trend ke end hone ka ishara de sakta hai, lekin filhal ke liye, market mein buyers ka control hai.
Yeh analysis USD/JPY ke bullish continuation ko darshaata hai, lekin trade enter karte waqt apne risk management ka zaroor khayal rakhein aur sudden trend reversal ki possibility ko madde nazar rakhein.

USD/JPY Daily Analysis:
Is waqt USD/JPY ka daily chart ek bullish trend ko darsha raha hai, jismein Ichimoku Cloud aur MACD indicators ka istemal kiya gaya hai. Chart par price ne Ichimoku Cloud ke upar breakout diya hai, jo ek strong bullish sign hai. Jab price cloud ke upar hoti hai, toh iska matlab hota hai ke buyers ka control hai aur price upward direction mein move karne ka strong chance rakhti hai.
Ichimoku Cloud Analysis:**
Price ne abhi kuch din pehle Ichimoku Cloud ke upar breakout diya tha, aur uske baad se consistently cloud ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Yeh breakout bullish signal ko support karta hai.
Ichimoku Cloud ke andar Conversion (Tenkan-sen) aur Base (Kijun-sen) lines bhi upward direction mein hain, jo ke trend continuation ka signal deti hain. In dono lines ka upward move karna aur cloud ke upar trade karna future mein aur bullish pressure ka indication hai.
Agar price kisi correction phase mein jaye bhi, toh Ichimoku Cloud neeche support ka kaam karegi, jisse downside risk limited reh sakta hai.
MACD Analysis:
MACD indicator bhi bullish momentum ko support kar raha hai. MACD line ne signal line ko cross kiya hai aur dono lines upar ki taraf move kar rahi hain. Yeh indication hai ke trend mein upward momentum majood hai.
MACD histogram mein positive bars hain, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke market mein buying pressure abhi bhi maujood hai aur short-term mein yeh trend barqarar reh sakta hai.
Overall Trend aur Key Levels:**
Filhal ka trend USD/JPY ke liye bullish hai, aur jab tak price Ichimoku Cloud ke upar rehti hai, tab tak yeh trend majboot reh sakta hai. Is trend mein koi major support level takreeban 149-150 ke aas paas hai jo Ichimoku Cloud aur previous support zones ke saath aligned hai. Agay chal kar, agar price is level ke neeche close deti hai toh yeh bullish trend ke end hone ka ishara de sakta hai, lekin filhal ke liye, market mein buyers ka control hai.
Yeh analysis USD/JPY ke bullish continuation ko darshaata hai, lekin trade enter karte waqt apne risk management ka zaroor khayal rakhein aur sudden trend reversal ki possibility ko madde nazar rakhein.