usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum!
Kal ki numaya rally ke bad, US dollar/Japanese yen ne aaj 153.93 ki hal ki tooti hui muzahmati satah ki taraf piche hatna shuru kar diya. Ab is bat ka bahut zyada imkan hai keh qimat is satah se ooper mustahkam ho jayegi. Yah kharid ka ishara hoga, jis se asset apni tezi jari rakh sakega. Mutabadil taur par, bears qimat ko 153.93 ke nishan se niche dhakel sakte hain. Yah dollar/yen ke jode ke nuqsanat ko badhane ke liye farokht ka ishara hoga. Asuli taur par, dono scenario kafi hadd tak mumkin hai, lekin kaun sa saakar hoga yah paintre ke ikhtetam par wazeh hoga, jab qimat 153.93 ki satah par pahunch jayegi. Mai yah bhi batana chahunga keh yaumiyah chart wazeh taur par ooper ke rujhan ki akasi karta hai, jo kal mazbut hua, aur aaj ki kami sirf pullback ya islah ho sakti hai.

نومبر 7 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑے نے امریکی صدارتی انتخابات پر تکنیکی طور پر بہت رد عمل ظاہر کیا ہے۔ بدھ کو، قیمت 150.83–153.60 کی حد سے نکل گئی، مارلن آسیلیٹر اپنی نیوٹرل صفر لائن سے اوپر کی طرف پلٹ گیا۔ 156.39 کا ہدف اب کھلا ہے، اور اگر اسے عبور کر لیا جائے تو 157.72 کی طرف مزید ترقی ممکن ہے۔



عام طور پر، ین کمزور ہونا جاری رکھ سکتا ہے (چارٹ پر اوپر کی طرف بڑھتا ہے) جب تک کہ امریکی اسٹاک مارکیٹ میں گرنے سے مالی اور اقتصادی بحران پیدا نہ ہو جائے۔ اگر اس طرح کے بحران سے پہلے قیمت 163.22 (پرائس چینل کی بالائی حد) تک پہنچ جاتی ہے، تو بینک آف جاپان ممکنہ طور پر اپنی کلیدی شرح سود میں اضافہ کر کے مداخلت کر سکتا ہے۔

تاہم، فیڈرل ریزرو کی جانب سے آج اپنی شرح سود میں کمی کی توقع کے ساتھ، ڈالر کی پیش قدمی سست ہوسکتی ہے۔ ہم 153.60 کی سطح سے اوپر استحکام کے آغاز کی توقع کرتے ہیں، اگلے ہفتے ترقی دوبارہ شروع ہونے کے ساتھ۔

چار گھنٹے کے ٹائم فریم میں مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ دوہری قیمت کے کنورژن کے بعد مضبوط نمو شروع ہوئی۔



قیمت اب مضبوطی سے 153.60 کی سطح اور دونوں اشارے لائنوں سے اوپر ہے۔ مارلن اوپر کی طرف مڑ رہی ہے کیونکہ یہ اوور بوٹ زون کے قریب پہنچ رہی ہے۔ استحکام کے مرحلے کے دوران، آسیلیٹر کے ٹھنڈا ہونے اور خارج ہونے کا امکان ہے۔ ایک بار جب یہ مکمل ہو جائے گا، ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ جوڑی بیان کردہ اہداف کی طرف اپنی اوپر کی طرف حرکت دوبارہ شروع کر دے گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD/JPY

pair mein mazid bullish trend ki ahmiyat barh rahi hai. H1 time frame par, hum dekh sakte hain ke price Bollinger Bands ke upper band ke bahar chal rahi hai, jo ke strong buying pressure ka


indication hai. Bollinger Bands ke upper band ke bahar price ka nikalna aksar overbought (overbuying) situation ko zahir karta hai, lekin yeh bhi ishara deta hai ke trend mein mazid


momentum hai aur price oopar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Chart mein RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator bhi istemal kiya gaya hai, jo current strength aur trend ke momentum ko zahir karta hai. RSI ka level lagbhag 70 ke qareeb hai, jo overbought


condition ko dikhata hai. Yeh wo level hai jahan par aksar market mein correction ya profit-taking shuru ho sakti hai, kyun ke ye level buyers ke liye overextended mana jata hai. Agar RSI 70 se upar jata hai toh yeh aur bhi ziada overbought condition ko zahir karega, jo ke ek temporary pullback ki nishani ho sakti hai. Lekin filhal, chart mein koi bearish reversal ka indication nahi dikh raha, aur price bullish channel mein upward trend par hai. Agar price issi bullish trend ko follow karti hai aur upper band ke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh confirmation hogi ke aur bhi oopar ja sakti hai. Aise conditions mein, aggressive



traders buying positions le sakte hain, lekin conservative traders ko yeh dekhna chahiye ke price ka lower band ke paas support hai ya nahi. Risk management ke liye, trading karte waqt stop-loss levels ka istemal bohot zaroori hai, kyun ke overbought levels par kabhi bhi

unexpected reversal aa sakta hai. Yeh bhi dekhna zaroori hai ke agar price Bollinger Bands ke middle line ke neeche close hoti hai toh yeh ek potential trend reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY pair filhal ek strong bullish trend mein hai lekin RSI aur Bollinger Bands ke overbought levels ko dekhte hue, ek minor correction ka bhi ihtimal hai. Aggressive traders ke liye yeh


momentum follow karna faidemand ho sakta hai, lekin proper risk management aur stop-loss lagana har hal mein zaroori hai taake kisi bhi sudden reversal se bach sakain.

USD/JPY ke daily chart ka mutaala karte hue kuch aham trends aur levels saamne aaye hain jo aglay price movements ke liye rehnumai kar sakte hain.
Price Levels aur Resistance:
Chart mein dekha ja sakta hai ke recent high 154.500 par hai, jo ke aik strong resistance level ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Yeh woh maqam hai jahan par buyers ne price ko push kiya, lekin wahan se thoda retracement bhi dekhne ko mila. Agar price is 154.500 ke resistance ko break kar leti hai aur upar close hoti hai, toh agla target 158.000 ho sakta hai, kyunki ye recent months ka upper range hai aur iske baad price mein aur bullish momentum aa sakta hai.
Support Levels:
Neeche ki taraf dekha jaye toh pehla strong support level 151.000 ke aas paas hai. Yeh woh area hai jahan se price ne pehle bhi bounce kiya tha aur wahan par buyers ka strong interest samajh mein aata hai. Agar price neeche girti hai toh is support level par aake phir se stabilize ho sakti hai, lekin agar yeh level bhi break hota hai toh aur bhi neeche jaane ka imkaan hai.
Trend aur Moving Average Analysis:** Overall trend upward lag raha hai, kyunki price moving averages ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo ke bullish sentiment ko mazid mazboot banati hai. Yeh indicator is baat ka signal hai ke buyers market ko abhi control mein rakhe hue hain aur price aage bhi upward direction mein move kar sakti hai.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) Indicator:** RSI ka indicator 59.66 par hai, jo ke bullish signal de raha hai lekin overbought zone mein nahi hai. Iska matlab hai ke abhi aur upar jaane ki gunjaish ho sakti hai, aur agar RSI 70 ke aas paas pohonchti hai toh overbought situation mein aa sakta hai, jo ek potential correction ka signal de sakta hai.
Agar price 154.500 ka resistance break kar ke upar chali jaati hai, toh yeh aik strong bullish signal hoga aur traders 158.000 tak ka target rakh sakte hain. Lekin agar price neeche girti hai toh support 151.000 par ho sakta hai. Yahan par risk management bahut zaroori hai kyunki forex market mein volatility bohot zyada hoti hai aur trends kabhi bhi reverse ho sakte hain.

USD/JPY Market Slow Down


Kal market activity mein
noticeable slowdown tha kyunke bohot se participants uncertain nazar aaye, shayad preliminary results ka wait kar rahe the jo ke 5th aur 6th ki raat ko expected hain. Is uncertainty ke bawajood, ek strong move ka anticipation tha, lekin woh kisi bhi direction mein ho sakti thi, isliye maine raat ko enter nahi kiya jab volatility spike ho sakti thi. Japanese yen mein dollar ke against clear decline dekha gaya, jo USD/JPY pair ko upper push kar raha tha. Maine American session ke start par correction ke doran ek choti si short position li aur us trade ko kareeban 15 minutes ke liye hold kiya, descending candles par chhoti si move catch ki aur phir usay close kar diya.Agle din ke liye mera general outlook ek potential decline ki taraf hai, lekin higher time frame charts ab tak koi clear bearish signals nahi de rahe. Bullish side par trend abhi bhi strong hai, jo ke moving averages aur oscillators se support ho raha hai. Moving averages sab upward slope mein hain aur price inke upar trade ho rahi hai. Wahi par oscillators bhi upwards point kar rahe hain aur ab tak koi significant reversal signs nahi hain.Key resistance zone jo mein observe kar raha hoon woh hai 155.04 se 155.19 ke aas paas, jo ek significant historical high ko mark karta hai jahan se price ne pehle strong rebound show kiya tha. Yeh mumkin hai ke hum is area se phir similar reaction dekhein.

Abhi ke liye, mein wait aur observe karunga ke market kaise develop hota hai aur koi potential reversal ya continuation signals par nazar rakhunga.USD/JPY currency pair ka technical perspective se analysis karte hue kuch key points observe kiye gaye hain: Pair ne aaj gap close karne ki koshish ki aur upward movement show kar raha hai.


Pair is waqt 154.51 par trade kar raha hai aur 154.70 level ko test kar chuka hai.Indicators ko dekhte hue, RSI apne range ke middle mein position mein hai aur upward move kar raha hai, jo moderate bullish momentum ko suggest karta hai. Stochastic oscillator, lekin, ek sell signal indicate kar raha hai jo kuch caution introduce karta hai. Is ke bawajood, pair previous day ke range ke upar trade kar raha hai jo ke potential further growth ki taraf ishara karta hai.Agle logical resistance level par nazar rakhne ka point hai 156.50, lekin current price action ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke pair is level ko immediately touch nahi karega baghair kuch pullbacks face kiye. Yeh ziada probable hai ke price pehle 155.00 level ko test kare, aur phir hum short-term correction dekh sakte hain uske baad further higher move ki continuation ho sakti hai.Is analysis ki base par, cautious buying recommend ki gayi hai 154.90 level tak.


Lekin market sudden changes ka subject rehti hai, isliye risk management bohot important hai. Har position enter karne se pehle apne risk ko assess zaroor karein.

GBP/USD ka outlook
Assalam Alaikum!
Pound/dollar currency ke jode ke liye, mai ab bhi ooper ki trading scenario ki taraf jhuka hua hun. Kharidaron ne kal 1.2964 aur 1.2947 ki satahon ke darmiyan ek price gap (adam tawazun) qayam kiya, jo ek support zone ke taur par kam karta hai. Lehaza, agar quotes niche jate hain to candle body kam az kam H1 time frame par aabad ho jati hai to, ek gahri girawat mumkin hai. Halankeh, mere mamle me, yah girawat bahut zyada hone ki tawaqqo nahin hai, kiyunkeh iska hadaf qarib tarin swing fractal par 1.2893 par waqe hai. Is satah se niche sirf ek khilaf warzi aur band hona 1.2834 par swing low ka test karne ki rah hamwar karega. Filhal, mai ooper wale scenario ke tasulsul par gaur karne ki taraf jhuka hua hun. Izafe ka hadaf, agar yah zahir hota hai to, 1.3047 par dekha jayega.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY
Last week, Japanese Yen ne 153.35 pe key resistance face ki, jis se iski strength mein izafa hua. Kai attempts ke bawajood yeh resistance break nahi ho saka, aur is wajah se price ne signal area pe ek corrective decline experience kiya jo ke ek strong support provide karta hai. Yeh target area tak nahi pohanchi magar price chart ab super trendy red zone mein chali gayi hai, jo sellers ke control ka indication hai.

Technically, aaj hum uptrend ke resume hone ki umeed kar rahay hain, aur yeh expect karte hain ke pair ko simple moving average se positive stimulation miley ga aur support level 152.60 ke upar consolidate karega. Yahan se hum uptrend ki umeed karte hain aur agar 153.40 ka level break hota hai toh pehla target 154.00 par focused hai.

Neechay ke side par dekha jaye toh, agar price 152.60 ke niche trading stability regain karti hai toh proposed scenario thwarf ho sakta hai aur trading session negative territory mein aa sakti hai, jahan 151.75 ka retest ho sakta hai.



Is waqt prices thori si neeche trade kar rahi hain aur weekly lows ke qareeb hain. Main support area test ho raha hai aur successfully integrity ko maintain kar raha hai, jo ke current upward trend ko relevant rakhta hai. Aik breakout 151.80 ke upar zaroori hai taake strength maintain rahe. Frequent retests ke sath is level se upar move karte hue 156.54 aur 158.43 ke targets achieve karne ka rasta khulega.

Agar support breach hota hai aur price 149.19 ke reversal level ke niche stable ho jati hai toh current scenario cancel ho jayega.

USD/JPY Analysis
USD/JPY ne bullish momentum continue karte hue upward trend maintain kiya hai. Price ne consistently higher highs aur higher lows banaye hain, jo ek strong bullish trend ka signal deta hai. Simple Moving Average (SMA) price ke neeche hai, jo buying pressure ko support karta hai. Lekin recent candles mein ek slowdown nazar aa raha hai, jo price mein correction ya consolidation phase ka hint de sakta hai.
MACD Indicator:
MACD line abhi signal line ke upar hai, jo bullish sentiment ko support kar raha hai. Lekin histogram mein gradual weakness dikhai de rahi hai, jo yeh batata hai ke price ka upward momentum slow ho raha hai. Agar MACD line neeche cross kare, toh yeh bearish signal banega, lekin filhaal price abhi bhi bulls ke control mein hai.
RSI Indicator:
RSI indicator near 70 ke level par hai, jo overbought condition ko dikhata hai. Yeh level is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke price short-term mein correction ya pullback kar sakta hai. Agar RSI 70 ke upar chala jata hai, toh yeh overbought zone confirm karega, jisme selling pressure barhne ke chances hain.
Key Levels to Watch:**
Support Levels:
Agar price neeche girta hai, toh pehla support 149.50 ke qareeb hai. Yeh level break hone par price 148.80 tak gir sakta hai.
Resistance Levels:** Bullish continuation ki surat mein agla resistance 151.50 par ho sakta hai, jahan price phir se reject hone ke chances hain.
Trading Strategy:
Abhi ke liye, price strong upward trend mein hai, lekin overbought condition ki wajah se cautious rehna zaruri hai. Behtareen strategy yeh hogi ke pullback ka wait karein aur phir buy entry lene ka plan banayein. Agar price neeche girta hai aur support levels hold karta hai, toh long positions maintain karna sahi hoga. Dusri taraf, agar price major support todta hai, toh short-term bearish correction ka intezar karna chahiye.
Conclusion:
USD/JPY abhi bullish hai, lekin slowdown ka risk maujood hai. Indicators ko dekhte hue, prudent trading aur key levels ka dhyan rakhna zaruri hai.

USD/JPY Price Action Alert

USD/JPY ka yeh 4-hour chart humein recent market trends aur indicators ke zariye price movement ke bare mein ek clear tasveer de raha hai. Chart pehle ek strong bullish trend dikhata hai, jo 20 October ke aas paas start hota hai aur price ko upper levels tak push karta hai. Us waqt, Parabolic SAR indicator ne green dots price ke neeche place kiye hue hain, jo clear bullish signal tha. Lekin kuch waqt baad, price reversal hota hai aur bearish trend start ho jata hai, jisme Parabolic SAR dots price ke upar aate hain, jo ke bearish signal hai. Is bearish trend ke dauran, price ne consistent lower highs aur lower lows form kiye. Lekin abhi ke liye price consolidate ho rahi hai, jo sideway movement ka ishara hai. Yeh market ka uncertain phase hai jahan buyers aur sellers ka balance bana hua hai. Chart ke mutabiq, yeh consolidation phase ek bade move ka pehla step ho sakta hai, jo ke ya to bullish reversal ya further bearish continuation ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Stochastic indicator ki bhi position dekhne layak hai. Yeh oscillator oversold aur overbought zones ke signals provide karta hai. Filhal Stochastic indicator neeche ki taraf tha, lekin kuch upward movement ka signal dera hai, jo potential bullish reversal ka hint hai. Agar yeh indicator 20 ki line cross karta hai aur upar ki taraf momentum gain karta hai, to yeh ek bullish sign ho sakta hai jo traders ko buy signal provide karega. Lekin agar yeh downward move karta hai to bearish continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Trading ke perspective se, yeh waqt ehtiyaat aur proper analysis ka hai. Abhi clear trend nahi hai, lekin indicators ke signals par closely nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Agar price 153.50 ke aas paas ki resistance ko break karti hai, to yeh ek bullish signal ho sakta hai, aur agar neeche 151.00 ki support break hoti hai, to further downside ka chance hai. "USD/JPY ke chart mein recent trends aur indicators dekhte hue lagta hai ke market mein consolidation phase chal raha hai. Abhi Parabolic SAR bearish signal de raha hai, lekin Stochastic upward reversal ka hint kar raha hai. Traders ko is waqt ehtiyaat se trade karna chahiye aur indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye."

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

USDJPY Bullish Movement ko Barqarar Rakhi Howi Hai

Currency pair ne significant strength ikathi kar li hai aur European session mein Friday ke douran 153.40 ke critical resistance level ki taraf barh rahi hai. Yeh rally us waqt ayi jab US Dollar (USD) apni upward momentum continue kar raha hai, jo ke United States mein is hafte important economic data releases ke umeedon ke barhnewali asraat ki wajah se hai. In mein September ke highly anticipated Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) aur labor market ke figures shamil hain, jo ke economic slowdown ke potential risks ke hawale se aham insights faraham karenge. Latest update ke mutabiq, USD/JPY abhi 152.57 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai, jo ke US Dollar ke ongoing bullish sentiment ko reflect karti hai.
Geopolitical risks aur broader market conditions bhi USD/JPY ke outlook mein aham kirdar ada karenge. Global financial markets abhi bhi inflation, interest rates, aur geopolitical tensions ke concerns ke sabab edge par hain, jo ke risk sentiment mein shifts ke zariye USD/JPY pair ko asar de sakti hai. Agar risk-off conditions prevail karti hain, tou Japanese Yen, jo traditionally safe haven ke taur par dekha jata hai, strength hasil kar sakti hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bullish trend mein reversal la sakti hai.

Fundamentals of the USD/JPY:

Japanese Yen defensive mode mein hai, jo ke domestic factors se affect ho rahi hai. Japan ke new Prime Minister, Shigeru Ishiba ke recent comments ne yeh reinforce kiya hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko Japan ki fragile economic recovery ko support karne ke liye accommodative monetary policy ko maintain karna chahiye. Japan ka unemployment rate bhi unexpected tor par improve huwa, jo ke August mein 2.5% par aa gaya pichlay mahine ke 2.7% se, magar is ka JPY par limited asar raha. Additionally, BoJ ka Tankan survey bhi Japan ke major manufacturers mein stable sentiment show kar raha hai, non-manufacturers mein thori si behtari bhi dekhi gayi. Is ke bawajood, Yen stronger USD ke muqable mein traction hasil karne mein nakam rahi hai.

US Dollar ke strength ka ek key driver Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ka strong tone hai. Un ke comments ne investors ko November mein major rate cut ke expectations ko reconsider karne par majboor kiya hai, jis ne USD ko higher push kiya. Powell ka inflation concerns ke douran tight monetary policy ko maintain rakhne ka stance ne US Dollar mein confidence barhaya hai, aur market participants aggressive rate cuts par apni bets ko scale back kar rahe hain. Is ne greenback ko significant support diya hai, jis se yeh dusre currencies ke muqable mein, including Japanese Yen (JPY), kaafi advantage hasil kar rahi hai.

USD/JPY Key Price Levels:

Is analysis mein hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ko qareebi taur par dekhenge, jo ke forex market mein aik critical focus hai kyun ke yeh global trading trends ko set karne mein aham kirdar ada karti hai. Recent events mein market mein extensive adjustment dekhi gayi, khas tor par Trump ke influence ke barhne se jo ke U.S. dollar ki heavy appreciation ko upar le gaya. Is ne ab USD/JPY ke action ko pehle significant resistance level 153.41 ko tor ne par majboor kar diya, aur yeh apne action mein ek critical point ko pohonch gayi hai. Yeh breakout market rise ko confirm nahi karti, kyun ke sab kuch currency pair ke further behavior par depend karta hai jo ke critical support level 152.20 par hai. Agar yeh support mazboot raha, tou USD/JPY apne upward movement ko second impulse 157.70 tak continue kar sakti hai. Aisa behavior bullish mood ke continuation ko signal karega.



Dosri taraf, agar price support level 152.30 ke neeche break karti hai aur sellers is point ke neeche consolidate karte hain, tou hum pair ke value mein mazeed decline dekh sakte hain. Is surat mein, pullback ke liye agla significant target pehle zone ke lower boundary par 150.90 hoga. Agar mazeed bearish pressure barqarar rahta hai, tou ultimate test ascending fan formation ke lower corner par 149.30 tak ho sakta hai, jo ke extended bearish trend ko zahir karega. Pair almost overbought region ko pohonch gayi hai, aur aaj ka resistance level 153.20 par pegged hai. Is afternoon ke trading price ne is level ko 153.90 par tor diya hai. Is setup ke sath, aaj further buying expect nahi ki ja sakti; best sell price ko find karna zaroori hai jo ke market flow ke mutabiq match kare. Is surat mein, traders market ke flow ko correct karte waqt possible readjustment ke liye hedge karenge.

Chart analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ne recent weeks mein strong bullish trend dikhaya hai, jo kay upper resistance level 151.50 tak pohanchne ki umeed rakhta hai. Chart par nazar daali jaaye toh hamein yeh samajh aata hai ke market is waqt bullish hai aur price support level se upward move kar rahi hai. Yeh support level neeche yellow zone mein dikhayi de raha hai, jo ke 144.00 ke qareeb hai. Yeh woh area hai jahan price ne pehle bhi multiple times support liya hai aur ab wapas upward trend mein move kar raha hai. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, toh price ke 151.50 ke resistance level tak pohanchne ki umeed hai. Yeh level important hai kyun ke ye woh mukam hai jahan past mein price ne resistance face kiya hai aur wahan se decline shuru hua tha. Agar price yahan se upar break hoti hai aur strong buying momentum dikhaati hai, toh agla target 152.50-153.00 tak ho sakta hai. Is waqt traders ko yeh advice di ja sakti hai ke agar wo long positions lene ka soch rahe hain toh wo 149.50-150.00 ke level tak kisi bhi pullback ka intezaar karein. Is zone mein buy entries lena relatively safe ho sakta hai kyun ke yahan par achi buying support maujood hai jo price ko sustain kar sakti hai. Agar pullback hota hai aur price wapas upar jaati hai, toh ek strong buying momentum expected hai jo price ko upper resistance tak le ja sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price support level ko break karti hai aur neeche move hoti hai, toh yeh selling opportunities ke liye signal ho sakta hai. Support level ka break hona bearish sentiment ko indicate karega aur price ko neeche ke targets tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke 144.00 ke neeche ho sakte hain.
Is waqt best strategy yeh hai ke price action par close monitoring rakhi jaaye aur support aur resistance zones ke qareeb trades plan kiye jaayein. Is approach ke sath trading ki jaaye toh risk control aur profit opportunities zyada honge. Aapke trading decisions mein price levels aur trend direction ko zaroor dekhein taake aap ek well-informed decision le sakein.

USD/JPY

abhi tak 154.00 ke level par trade kar raha hai aur aaj ka bullish sentiment kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss liye, traders ko professional strategies ka istimaal karna zaroori hai. Current conditions se lagta hai ke buyers ka domination continue rahega aur yeh movement 20 pips se zyada ho sakta hai, jo ke currency pairs mein ek notable shift hai.


Aise moves mein significant trading opportunities hain un logon ke liye jo market signals ko theek se samajhte aur react kar sakte hain.Forex market mein rapid price movements ke saath yeh bohot zaroori hai ke aise shifts se capitalise kiya jaaye taake successful trading possible ho sake. Bullish movement ki prospect enticing hai, lekin trading ko cautious aur strategic mindset ke saath approach karna bhi bohot zaroori hai. USD/JPY buyers ko meri salah hai ke 154.65 ke short TP ke saath buy order open karein.Agar broad view mein dekha jaaye, toh USD/JPY ka bullish concept follow kar sakta hai, aur buyers ko comprehensive analysis strategy istemal karni chahiye, jo ke technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko cover karein.


Technical analysis mein price action, chart patterns, aur historical data ka istimaal hota hai future price movements ko forecast karne ke liye, jabke fundamental analysis mein economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment ko samjha jaata hai. In dono approaches ko combine karna traders ko ek well-rounded market view deta hai aur decision-making ko aur informed banata hai.Washington session aur USA Election Results bhi aaj USD/JPY market ko impact karenge. Current levels aur 155 ke psychological resistance ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY pair mein kisih bhi direction mein breakout ka chance hai, jo traders ke liye opportunities la sakta hai. Technical analysis bhi is possibility ko support kar raha hai ke pair mein jaldi hi ek bada move aa sakta hai, kyunki pair critical support aur resistance levels ke kareeb hai. Yeh movement ya toh bearish trend ke saath align karega ya ek bullish reversal ko signify karega, aur yeh ziada tar economic factors aur market sentiment par depend karega.Akhir mein, halaan ke USD/JPY abhi bearish hai, lekin market sentiment aur economic fundamentals ek potentially significant move ka ishara karte hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur central bank announcements, economic data, aur technical indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye taake yeh samajh sakhein ke yeh anticipated movement kis direction mein jaa sakti hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

EURUSD

EUR/USD pair Wednesday ko 1.0681 par gir gaya jab US Dollar (USD) United States (US) ke presidential election ke results ke baad soar kar gaya. Former President Donald Trump ko 47th US President ke tor par elect kiya gaya hai aur woh January 2025 mein White House mein wapas aayenge. Sirf yahi nahi, balki Republicans ne Senate par bhi control hasil kar liya aur House mein bhi woh sirf saat seats door hain. Lekin, week ke end tak excitement kam hogayi aur EUR/USD abhi 1.0760 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai.

US Election Outcome ka Economic Asraat



Donald Trump ne apni jeet ka buniyad tax cuts, deregulation, aur foreign trade policies mein bohot bade tabdiliyon ke waadon par rakha, jisme massive tariffs bhi shamil hain. Congress ka mukammal control hona unke liye apne ideas ko implement karna asan bana sakta hai, lekin kis had tak yeh mumkin hai ye abhi dekha jana baqi hai.


Market ka pehla khayal yeh tha ke agar Trump apne agenda ko implement karte hain tou inflation barhne ke chances hain, jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ki monetary loosening policy mein tabdili la sakta hai. Iski wajah se, stock markets mein rally hui aur government bond yields bhi barh gayi, jab ke US Dollar bhi strengthen hua.




Federal Reserve ki Independence



Is dauraan, Fed ka ek monetary policy meeting bhi election ke foran baad hua aur, jaise ke umeed thi, Chairman Jerome Powell ne 25 basis points (bps) ka cut benchmark interest rate mein announce kiya, aur target range 4.50%-4.75% rakha.


Policymakers ne mutafaqa taur par vote diya aur note kiya ke “employment aur inflation goals ko hasil karne ke risks roughly balance mein hain”, jab ke ye bhi kaha ke economy “ek solid pace par expand karti rahi hai.”


Powell ki press conference bhi Trump ki jeet aur uske monetary policy ke mustaqbil par asraat par ghuma. Powell ne central bank ki independence ko reaffirm karne mein bohot mehnat ki aur kaha ke woh resign nahi karenge, chahe unse kaha bhi jaye, aur yeh bhi wazeh kiya ke President ke paas unko nikaalne ka ikhtiyar nahi hai.


European Economic Jaari Gerawat



European Central Bank (ECB) ke Vice President Luis de Guindos ne Wednesday ko kaha ke Eurozone mein growth pehle ke expectations se kam ho sakti hai aur global trade barriers economy ke liye bura asar daal sakti hain. De Guindos ne ye bhi tasleem kiya ke local economy pichle saal mein mushkil se grow hui hai aur kaha ke Trump ka wapas office mein ana is aspect mein “bad news” ho sakta hai.



Aakhri kuch dino ke macroeconomic releases ne bhi gloomy outlook ko confirm kiya. Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB) ne EU Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) ko upward revise kiya aur October mein 50.0 par confirm kiya, jo ke private sector output levels mein pehle month ke muqable mein koi tabdili nahi dikhata. Ye document ye bhi state karta hai ke “EU businesses ne 2024 ke final quarter ko stagnation ke sath shuru kiya, jab ke currency bloc ke do bade economies – Germany aur France – mein business activity ke levels mein kami expansion ko offset kar rahi hai.”


Inflation Agle Hafte Ka Central Focus



Investors agle macroeconomic releases ko bohot ghor se dekhenge jab ke Germany aur US naye inflation figures release karenge. Germany October Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) ka final estimate publish karega, jab ke US October Consumer Price Index (CPI) unveil karega. Iske ilawa, EU Q3 GDP ka second estimate aur US October Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Retail Sales ka data bhi release karega.

EUR/USD Technical Outlook

EUR/USD November peak 1.0936 se lagbhag 200 pips neeche trade kar raha hai aur weekly chart ke technical readings suggest karte hain ke sellers puri tarah control mein hain. Pair ne flat 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke aas paas sellers ka samna kiya jab ke woh ek directionless 100 SMA ke neeche gir gaya. In the meantime, 200 SMA bhi bearish traction gain kar raha hai jo ke short ones ke upar hai, jo ke bearish pressure ke increase hone ke line mein hai. Aakhir mein, technical indicators firmly south mein hain aur negative levels mein hain aur June ke lowest par hain, jo agay lower lows ko anticipate karte hain.


Daily chart mein bhi technical readings downward extension ke sath align karte hain. EUR/USD apne saare moving averages ke neeche develop kar raha hai, jab ke 20 SMA accelerate kar raha hai south mein aur dynamic resistance 1.0830 par provide kar raha hai. Technical indicators bhi midlines ke neeche consolidate kar rahe hain modest bearish slopes ke sath.






Weekly low 1.0681 immediate support level hai jab ke year low 1.0600 par hai. A break neeche latter ke neeche lagta mushkil hai, lekin agar aisa hota hai tou slide continue kar ke 1.0530/40 price zone tak pohanch sakta hai. Sellers 1.0800-1.0830 region mein likely aligned hain, jo immediate resistance area hai, uske baad 1.0900 ka mark hai.image widget

Hum USD/JPY ka trend aur kuch ahm support aur resistance levels observe kar sakte hain jo trading decisions banane mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Yeh levels humein price action aur future movements ke bare mein behtar tafseel dete hain. Sab se pehle, Resistance Level ka zikar karein toh yeh 153.60 ke qareeb hai. Yeh wo level hai jahan price pehle ruk gai thi aur wahan se neeche wapas ayi thi. Agar price dobara is level tak pohonchti hai aur ise breach kar leti hai, tou yeh signal hoga ke bullish trend mazid sustain kar sakta hai, aur hum further upar ki taraf price movement ki umeed kar sakte hain. Lekin, agar price wahan se reject hoti hai tou yeh bearish reversal ka signal bhi ho sakta hai.

Support Level 1 jo 152.00 ke qareeb hai, yeh pehla defensive zone hai jahan buyers ke waapis aane ke chances hain. Agar price neeche girti hai lekin is support level par sustain karti hai, tou yeh buying ka mauqa ho sakta hai kyunke yahan se price upar bounce kar sakti hai. Yeh level short-term traders ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai. Support Level 2 kaafi important aur strong support hai jo 149.80 par mojood hai. Yeh level kaafi mazid defensive hai aur iske neeche price agar girti hai tou yeh indication hogi ke trend bearish ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level tak girti hai aur yahan se support milta hai, tou yeh bounce back kar sakti hai, jo buyers ke liye ek acha entry point ho sakta hai. Is chart mein Stochastic Indicator bhi diya gaya hai jo overbought aur oversold zones ko show karta hai. Is waqt yeh indicator neutral zone mein hai, lekin agar price neeche girti hai aur indicator oversold zone mein chala jata hai, tou yeh buying ka ek potential signal ho sakta hai. In tamam levels aur indicator ke analysis se hamein trading ke liye achi insight milti hai jo humare entry aur exit points ko behtar banane mein madadgar ho sakti hai.

Chart analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ne recent weeks mein strong bullish trend dikhaya hai, jo kay upper resistance level 151.50 tak pohanchne ki umeed rakhta hai. Chart par nazar daali jaaye toh hamein yeh samajh aata hai ke market is waqt bullish hai aur price support level se upward move kar rahi hai. Yeh support level neeche yellow zone mein dikhayi de raha hai, jo ke 144.00 ke qareeb hai. Yeh woh area hai jahan price ne pehle bhi multiple times support liya hai aur ab wapas upward trend mein move kar raha hai. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, toh price ke 151.50 ke resistance level tak pohanchne ki umeed hai. Yeh level important hai kyun ke ye woh mukam hai jahan past mein price ne resistance face kiya hai aur wahan se decline shuru hua tha. Agar price yahan se upar break hoti hai aur strong buying momentum dikhaati hai, toh agla target 152.50-153.00 tak ho sakta hai. Is waqt traders ko yeh advice di ja sakti hai ke agar wo long positions lene ka soch rahe hain toh wo 149.50-150.00 ke level tak kisi bhi pullback ka intezaar karein. Is zone mein buy entries lena relatively safe ho sakta hai kyun ke yahan par achi buying support maujood hai jo price ko sustain kar sakti hai. Agar pullback hota hai aur price wapas upar jaati hai, toh ek strong buying momentum expected hai jo price ko upper resistance tak le ja sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price support level ko break karti hai aur neeche move hoti hai, toh yeh selling opportunities ke liye signal ho sakta hai. Support level ka break hona bearish sentiment ko indicate karega aur price ko neeche ke targets tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke 144.00 ke neeche ho sakte hain.
Is waqt best strategy yeh hai ke price action par close monitoring rakhi jaaye aur support aur resistance zones ke qareeb trades plan kiye jaayein. Is approach ke sath trading ki jaaye toh risk control aur profit opportunities zyada honge. Aapke trading decisions mein price levels aur trend direction ko zaroor dekhein taake aap ek well-informed decision le sakein.