usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ka yeh 4-hour (H4) timeframe ka chart ek range-bound ya consolidation phase ko dikhata hai, jismein price kuch dinon se ek specific range mein trade ho rahi hai. Current range ka upper level 153 hai, jo ke ek strong resistance zone ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, jab ke neeche 151.5 ke qareeb ek strong support area hai. Yeh situation tab hoti hai jab buyers aur sellers ka equilibrium ban jata hai aur koi bhi side price ko ek clear trend mein le kar nahi ja pa rahi hoti.
Technical Analysis:
Pichlay kuch dino ke data ke mutabiq, hamen price ki taraf se multiple attempts dekhne ko mile hain ke woh 153 ke resistance ko breach karay, lekin har dafa price wahan se reject ho kar neeche aati hai. Yeh resistance level pe selling pressure ko represent karta hai. Iske ilawa, 151.5 ka support bhi kaafi strong nazar aa raha hai kyunke jab bhi price wahan approach karti hai toh buyers usay support karte hain aur price wapas upar aati hai.
Agar price 153 ke upar close karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh agay aur bullish momentum dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo ke is pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. Waisa hi agar price 151.5 ke support level ko tor kar neeche close hoti hai, toh hum bearish trend ka agaz dekh sakte hain jo is pair ko 150 ya is se neeche le ja sakta hai. MACD Indicator Analysis:
Is chart mein MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi shamil hai, jo ke hamen price ke trend aur momentum ka insight deta hai. Is waqt, MACD mein bearish divergence ka indication hai, jo ke selling pressure ka ishara hai. Agar MACD signal line ko neeche cross karta hai, toh yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai aur price neeche ja sakti hai.
Filhaal ke liye, yeh range-bound movement trade karne ke liye ek opportunity hai jab tak koi clear breakout na aaye. Buyers ke liye 151.5 ka support level important hai jab ke sellers ke liye 153 ka resistance zone. Is range mein trading ek conservative approach hai. Lekin agar breakout hota hai toh woh agay ka trend decide kar sakta hai, jo ke ya toh bullish ya bearish hoga depending on breakout direction

USD/JPY ka yeh daily chart humein currency pair ke bullish trend ka acha overview de raha hai. Yeh trend lagbhag 2022 ke middle se shuru hua aur uske baad se overall price movement upward rahi hai. Abhi tak price 152.99 ke qareeb hai, jo ke ek ahem resistance level hai aur iske break hone par strong bullish momentum ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai.
Trend Analysis:
Chart pe jo red line nazar aa rahi hai woh moving average hai, jo ke long-term trend ko dikhati hai. Jab price moving average se upar hoti hai, to ye bullish trend ko support karti hai. Is chart mein, hum dekh rahe hain ke price ziada tar moving average ke upar hi trade ho rahi hai, jo ke positive trend ka ishara hai.
Support aur Resistance Levels:
152.99 ka level abhi resistance ki tarah kaam kar raha hai. Agar price is level ko breach kar deti hai, to yeh level new support ban sakta hai aur aage ki bullish movement ka signal dega. Neeche, 148.40 ka level ek important support hai jo ke downtrend ki possible shuruaat ko indicate kar sakta hai.
Recent Price Movement:
Aakhri kuch mahino mein, price ne kuch pullbacks dekhein lekin woh wapas recovery mein badal gaye. Yeh pullbacks short-term sellers ke pressure ko show karte hain, lekin overall trend bullish hai. Agar price dobara 152.99 ke level ko cross kar ke consolidate karti hai, to ye fresh buying entries ke liye acha moqa ho sakta hai.
Fundamental Factors:
USD ke strong fundamentals aur safe-haven currency ki demand ke wajah se yeh trend sustain ho raha hai. Agar dollar ki strength barqarar rehti hai, to USD/JPY mein aur zyada appreciation ka chance hai. Yeh chart dikhata hai ke USD/JPY abhi ek strong bullish trend mein hai aur agar price 152.99 ko breach karti hai to aur upar ki taraf ja sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh level break nahi hota aur price wapas neeche girti hai, to aap short-term selling positions consider kar sakte hain, lekin uske liye 148.40 ka level key support ho ga. Trading mein ye levels aur trend ko monitor karna zaroori hai, aur position enter karne se pehle apne risk management ko zaroor dekhein.

USD/JPY pair mein bullish se bearish trend ka imkaan hai. Is waqt 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA 50) ne niche ki taraf movement shuru ki hai aur yeh 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA 200) ko cross karke “death cross” signal bana sakta hai. Yeh crossover aam tor par bearish trend ki taraf ishara karta hai, jo suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY ka price neeche ja sakta hai. Is surat mein pehla target support level (S1) 151.90 par hai.Neeche jaane se pehle thodi der ke liye price mein rally ho sakti hai jismein price pivot point (PP) 152.90 tak pohanch sakta hai, taki koi existing gap close ho sake aur market ke selling transactions balance ho sakain. Price gaps aam tor par fill ho jaate hain jab market participants imbalances ko correct karte hain, is liye ek choti upward retracement is pivot level tak ho sakti hai.Jab price apni downtrend resume karega, toh 151.90 ke support level ke neeche break karne ke high chances hain, jo kai dafa test ho chuka hai. Recent upward price movement resistance level (R1) 153.98 tak pohanchne mein nakam raha aur pichlay high 153.89 ke upar ek naya high nahi ban saka, sirf 153.10 tak hi pohanch paya. Yeh suggest karta hai ke pehle ka trend, jo higher highs aur higher lows ka tha, apni momentum kho raha hai, aur is se bearish continuation ka imkaan hai.Technical indicators bhi bearish outlook ko support karte hain. Awesome Oscillator (AO) se bullish momentum mein kami nazar aa rahi hai, jo suggest karta hai ke buyers control kho rahe hain. Lekin, Stochastic indicator yeh signal karta hai ke downward move temporarily ruk sakta hai kyun ke yeh oversold zone mein enter kar raha hai, jo ke 151.90 ke aas paas support-based bounce ya slight retracement ka imkaan de sakta hai. Agar price 151.90 par support dhoondta hai aur rebound karta hai, toh yeh downtrend ke resume hone se pehle minor upward correction ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Is setup ko trade karne ke liye, death cross ka confirmation ka intezar karna behtar hai aur phir SELL position lena chahiye. Jab price EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke crossover area ke aas paas correct karega, toh ek short position li ja sakti hai. Short-term take-profit target 151.90 par rakha ja sakta hai, jab ke zyada extended target support level (S2) 150.82 ke aas paas hai. Risk ko manage karne aur unexpected upward movements se bachne ke liye stop-loss recent high 153.10 par lagaya ja sakta hai.Mazid indicators mein Stochastic crossover ko 50 aur 80 values ke darmiyan observe karna chahiye, jo ke retracement ke doran agar dekha jaye toh bearish setup ko confirm karega. Iske ilawa, Awesome Oscillator ka volume histogram negative region (0 se neeche) mein hona chahiye jo ke strong downward momentum ko indicate kare. In tamam technical signals ka combination death cross, new highs na ban paana, oversold Stochastic reading aur AO momentum—USD/JPY par near to medium term mein cautious bearish outlook ko support karta hai.

USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Aap ke munafabaksh trading ki khawahish hai! Americi intekhabat se pahle Americi dollar numaya taur par kamzor hona shuru ho gaya, jo mere liye hairan kun tha. Kya yah dollar ke kharidaron ki taraf se koi hikmat amli ho sakti hai? Yaumiyah chart par takniki nuqtah nazar se, US dollar/Japanese yen ke jode me kami mutawaqqe hai. Fir bhi, haftawar chart par, volume ooper ki taraf harkat ki taraf ishara karta hai, jo tajwiz karta hai keh dollar/yen ki jodi darmiyani muddat me, mumkena taur par kal tak apni tezi ko dobara shuru kar sakti hai.
Agar qimat 151.620 ki yaumiyah muzahmati satah se ucchalti hai to aaj ek reversal mumkin hai. Halankeh, agar qimat is satah se niche toot jati hai to, dollar/yen ka joda mumkena taur par 151.050 ki agli yaumiyah support satah tak gir jayega. Haqiqat me, aaj ke Asian session me numaya kami dekhi gayi, jo mumkena paltaw ya 151.050/151.000 ke ilaqe ki taraf niche ki taraf dhalan ke sath ek sideways movement ki nishandahi karti hai.
Agar aaj ki kami ko dekhte hue, tezi ka riversal hota hai to, izafa mamuli ho sakta hai, jo 152.500 ke nishan se zyada nahin hoga. Halankeh, kal ke ghair mutawaqqe suratehal ko dekhte hue, aaj kuch bhi ho sakta hai, jisme dollar/yen ke jode me paltaw aur 152.980/153.530 ilaqe ki taraf izafa shamil hai.

USD/JPY ke daily time frame chart ka mutaala karte hue kuch aham points saamne aaye hain jo trading ke liye madadgar ho sakte hain.
Moving Averages (50-day aur 200-day):** Chart mein red aur blue lines 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ko represent kar rahi hain. Moving averages ka cross hona ek aham signal hota hai, aur ab yeh dono lines ke paas price ka movement consolidation ko dikhata hai. Yeh situation traders ke liye is baat ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai ke market filhaal koi clear trend follow nahi kar rahi. Lekin agar price in moving averages se door hoti hai, toh yeh ek naye trend ka aghaz bhi ho sakta hai.
Current Price Action aur Trend:** Recent candles ko dekhte hue yeh samajh aata hai ke price ne kuch din pehle 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ko cross kiya tha, jo bullish signal tha. Lekin ab price wapas in moving averages ke qareeb aagayi hai, jo ke ek range-bound movement ko indicate kar raha hai. Yeh consolidation phase hai jisme buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance hai, aur market koi bara move karne se pehle yahan par stability find kar rahi hai.
RSI Indicator Analysis:
Neeche chart mein RSI indicator bhi dikhayi de raha hai jo 60 ke level par hai. RSI ka 60 par hona neither overbought condition ko indicate kar raha hai aur na hi oversold condition ko. Yeh neutral sentiment ko dikhata hai, jo consolidation ko support karta hai aur market ke clear direction mein jaane ka intizaar hai.
Key Support aur Resistance Levels:** Price ka immediate resistance level 154 ke aas-paas hai, jab ke support 151 ke qareeb nazar aa raha hai. Agar price 154 ka resistance break karti hai toh yeh bullish trend ka indication hoga aur market mein aur upar jaane ke chances barh jayenge. Waisi hi agar 151 ka support level break hota hai toh yeh bearish trend ke aghaz ka ishara hoga aur price neeche ja sakti hai. USD/JPY filhaal consolidation phase mein hai, aur traders ko suggest kiya jata hai ke yeh key support aur resistance levels ka intizaar karein. Agar market in levels ko break karti hai, toh naya trend initiate ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY ke current analysis ke mutabiq situation kuch mushkil nazar aa rahi hai. Aik taraf, market mein abhi bullish trend ka asar hai, aur hum upar ki taraf (north) move kar sakte hain. Screenshot ke mutabiq sab candles sliding averages aur local Ichimoku Cloud ke upar position mein hain jo ke bullish market ka asar dikhati hai. Ek inverted head and shoulders pattern bhi notice kiya ja sakta hai jo agar confirm ho gaya toh sideway movement (152.40-154.40) ke baad price aur upper level 162.45 ki taraf ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf indicators ke mutabiq MA100 flat mood dikhata hai jo is week ke liye sideways trend ki taraf ishara hai, jabke MA18 north ki taraf 40-degree angle pe bullish trend ka asar de raha hai. Golden cross bhi buy signal ka indication hai. Ichimoku Cloud sell colors mein hai lekin forecast mein bulls ke favor mein hai aur body bands bhi upar ki taraf move ho rahe hain. Basement indicators overbought hain lekin koi sell signal nahi hai, is liye safe rasta yeh hai ke filhaal fence hold kiya jaye.Washington session ke duran USD/JPY ka market volatile ho sakta hai aur upward movement ka asar bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai, jo ke USD ki JPY ke muqable mein mazid strength ko zahir karta hai. Isme key factors mein U.S. aur Japan ke monetary policy differences hain—jahaan Fed interest rates ko high rakhnay ka plan kar raha hai jabke Bank of Japan ke stance mein tightening ka asar kam hai, jo ke USD ko support kar sakta hai. USD/JPY market ka buyer's trend aglay kuch dinon mein sustain karne ka asar hai aur 152.00 ka critical level psychological aur technical support ka kaam de sakta hai jo mazid buying interest ko encourage karega. U.S. elections par bhi nazar rakhni hogi kyun ke agar election results uncertainty create kartay hain ya kisi badi policy change ka ishara dete hain toh yeh trend ko impact kar sakta hai. Traders ko U.S. political developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye kyun ke ye sentiments aur trend ko agay badhne mein influence kar sakte hain

USD/JPY pair mein notable 0.9% ki girawat Asian session ke aghaz mein Monday ko dekhi gayi jo ke technical aur siyasi tabdiliyon ka nateeja hai. Yeh girawat Trump ke Harris ke muqable mein jeet ke chances ke kam honay ke baad hui, jo dollar par market ka confidence kamzor kar rahi hai. Pechlay haftay technical indicators ne pehle se hi bearish momentum ka ishara diya tha, jo aaj ki dollar ke against yen mein correction ke liye zameen tayyar kar rahi thi.Is girawat se pehle ke dino mein USD/JPY ne October 28 ko intraday peak 153.88 ko touch kiya tha aur intermediate resistance 153.80 par pohanch gaya tha. Market is level ke upar momentum barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat ka shikaar rahi hai, jo Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke halia stance se aur bhi mushkil ho gayi hai. BoJ ke Governor Ueda ne asar dalte huay gradual tightening ka ishara diya hai, agar economic data se support mile, bawajood Liberal Democratic Party ke lower house mein kuch seats kho denay ke. Yeh sab kuch USD/JPY ke "Trump Trade" trajectory mein ease ke mutabiq hai, jahan pe Trump ke jeet ke unchi probability ne dollar ko long-term U.S. Treasury yields ke zariye pehle majboot kiya tha, jo USD ke liye yield spread favorable banaya.Polymarket ke latest data ke mutabiq Trump ke odds initially high thay, jo October 30 ko 67% par peak huay, jo October 18 se October 31 tak 2.6% USD/JPY rally ke sath coincide kiya. Magar, weekend par Trump ke probability ke 60% se neeche girte hi dollar ne renewed selling pressure ka samna kiya, jis ne November 4 ko session low 151.60 tak USD/JPY ko gira diya. Yeh pair thori si recovery kar ke 152.00 par aagaya hai, magar ongoing siyasi uncertainty aur BoJ ke evolving policy stance ko dekhte huay lagta hai ke USD/JPY short term mein pressure mein reh sakti hai. Yeh potential downward trend market ke siyasi factors ki sensitivity ko highlight karta hai, jahan election odds mein tabdiliyan USD/JPY ki volatility ke liye ab key drivers ban gayi hain.

USD/JPY ke 4-hour chart ko dekhte hue, humein ek stable uptrend nazar aa raha hai jo 15 October se shuru hua aur price ko 153.00 ke level tak le gaya. Ab price ne 152.40 ke qareeb support liya hai aur thori consolidation show kar rahi hai, jo yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke yeh level support ka kaam de sakta hai. Agar yeh support hold karta hai, toh price aur upar ja sakti hai. Chart par Moving Averages (MA) bhi ek bullish crossover show karte hain — white line 50-period Moving Average hai aur purple line 200-period Moving Average ko represent karti hai. Yeh crossover bullish signal deta hai aur yeh suggest karta hai ke long-term trend bullish rehne ka chance hai, kyunki price abhi bhi 200-MA ke upar trade ho rahi hai jo ek positive indication hai. Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ki reading abhi 26 ke qareeb hai, jo ke neutral to slightly bullish position ko indicate karta hai. CCI momentum measure karta hai, aur agar yeh 100 ke upar chala jata hai, toh yeh strong buying momentum ka sign hoga. Lekin agar yeh negative zone mein chala jata hai, toh yeh selling pressure ko dikhayega. Yeh indicators humein batate hain ke buyers mein abhi bhi interest hai lekin thoda cautious rehne ki zaroorat hai.

Support aur resistance levels bhi is chart mein important hain. 152.00-152.50 ka zone ek strong support ban sakta hai, aur agar price is level ke paas support le, toh buying ka interest wapas aa sakta hai. Agla resistance level 153.00 par hai jo ke short-term target ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price 152.00 ke level ko todti hai, toh price neeche 149.78 tak bhi aa sakti hai jo agla major support level hai. Agar trading strategy ki baat ki jaye toh abhi buy on dips ka idea use ho sakta hai — yani ke agar price 152.00 ke aas-paas support le rahi ho toh buying ka chance liya ja sakta hai. Stop loss ko 151.50 par rakhna zaroori hai taake risk manage kiya ja sake aur target 153.00 ka ho sakta hai. Is analysis se yeh samajh mein aata hai ke current market condition mein buying ka mauqa hai lekin trading mein risk management aur discipline bahut ahmiyat rakhte hain.

USD/JPY ka yeh 4-hour (H4) timeframe ka chart ek range-bound ya consolidation phase ko dikhata hai, jismein price kuch dinon se ek specific range mein trade ho rahi hai. Current range ka upper level 153 hai, jo ke ek strong resistance zone ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, jab ke neeche 151.5 ke qareeb ek strong support area hai. Yeh situation tab hoti hai jab buyers aur sellers ka equilibrium ban jata hai aur koi bhi side price ko ek clear trend mein le kar nahi ja pa rahi hoti.
Technical Analysis:
Pichlay kuch dino ke data ke mutabiq, hamen price ki taraf se multiple attempts dekhne ko mile hain ke woh 153 ke resistance ko breach karay, lekin har dafa price wahan se reject ho kar neeche aati hai. Yeh resistance level pe selling pressure ko represent karta hai. Iske ilawa, 151.5 ka support bhi kaafi strong nazar aa raha hai kyunke jab bhi price wahan approach karti hai toh buyers usay support karte hain aur price wapas upar aati hai.
Agar price 153 ke upar close karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh agay aur bullish momentum dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo ke is pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. Waisa hi agar price 151.5 ke support level ko tor kar neeche close hoti hai, toh hum bearish trend ka agaz dekh sakte hain jo is pair ko 150 ya is se neeche le ja sakta hai. MACD Indicator Analysis:
Is chart mein MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi shamil hai, jo ke hamen price ke trend aur momentum ka insight deta hai. Is waqt, MACD mein bearish divergence ka indication hai, jo ke selling pressure ka ishara hai. Agar MACD signal line ko neeche cross karta hai, toh yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai aur price neeche ja sakti hai.
Filhaal ke liye, yeh range-bound movement trade karne ke liye ek opportunity hai jab tak koi clear breakout na aaye. Buyers ke liye 151.5 ka support level important hai jab ke sellers ke liye 153 ka resistance zone. Is range mein trading ek conservative approach hai. Lekin agar breakout hota hai toh woh agay ka trend decide kar sakta hai, jo ke ya toh bullish ya bearish hoga depending on breakout direction

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, US dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi 151.68 ki support satah par gir gayi hai. Halankeh qimat ne is nishan ka test kiya, lekin yah is se niche fix hone me nakam raha. Natije ke taur par, bulls ne qabzah kar liya aur qimat ko ooper dhakelna shuru kar diya. Aaj, dollar/yen ki jodi ne apni tezi ka silsila jari rakha. Yah chal abhi mukammal nahin hui hai. Is tarah, yah jodi mumkena taur par faide ko badha sakti hai, 152.97 ki muzahmati satah ki taraf badh sakti hai, aur yahan tak keh ise paar bhi kar sakti hai. Halankeh, aise ishare mil rahe hain jo is bat ki taraf ishara karte hain keh ho sakta hai keh yah tezi ki harkat mukammal na ho, kiyunkeh bears market par dobara control hasil kar sakte hain aur qimat ko niche le ja sakte hain.

نومبر 5 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

ہفتہ وار چارٹ پر، قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (151.13) کے اوپر مستحکم ہو گئی ہے، بنیادی اپ ٹرینڈ کو برقرار رکھتے ہوئے۔



تاہم، قیمت نے ایک لمبی حرکت کی 23.6% اصلاحی سطح کو ٹھیک ٹھیک جانچ لیا ہے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کی طرف مڑ رہا ہے، جس سے قیمت کے 151.13 سے نیچے گرنے کا امکان ظاہر ہوتا ہے۔ یہ منظر نامہ پچھلے ہفتے کی بلند ترین قیمت (153.89) سے اوپر مستحکم ہونے پر تھوڑا سا اعتماد چھوڑتا ہے۔



یومیہ چارٹ قیمت کے ارادے کو بھی واضح نہیں کرتا، کیونکہ یہ 150.83–153.60 کی طے شدہ حد میں اتار چڑھاؤ آتا ہے۔ مارلن یا تو اترتے ہوئے علاقے کی حدود سے واپس مڑ سکتا تھا یا پلٹ کر اوپر جا سکتا تھا۔



چار- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 152.62 نشان کے قریب ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن تک اعتماد کے ساتھ پہنچنے کے لیے مارلن (اس کے مثبت علاقے میں شفٹ) کی حمایت کا انتظار کر رہی ہے۔ اس اقدام میں کامیابی 153.60 پر ہدف کی سطح کے ٹیسٹ کو قابل بنائے گی اور فرق کو ختم کرے گی۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

is baat ka ishara hai ke long-term uptrend ab kamzor ho sakta hai. Yeh trendline jo kuch mahino se upar ke momentum ko support kar rahi thi, is climb mein bohot important thi. Pair ne 153.22 mark ko briefly touch kiya aur phir achanak 14-mahine ke low 140.56 pe aa gaya, jo kay kai traders ke liye unexpected tha aur is baat ko sawal uthata hai ke kya USD ki rally JPY ke muqable mein sustainable hai ya nahi. Magar iske bawajood, USD/JPY ne rebound kiya aur qareeb 151.20 ke aas paas close hua, jo ke stabilize hone aur range-bound trading ki shara karta hai, bajaye ke yeh downward jaye. RSI aur doosre momentum indicators divergence dikhate hain, jo consolidation phase ke liye ek achi support hai. Ek wider view mein, channel ya downtrend bilkul wazeh hai. Agar 151 ka level downward break nahi karta toh humein dobara 151.45 ki taraf movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo ke kal ke narrow gap ke bawajood breach nahi hui. Ahem baat yeh hai ke pair ne pichle low ko break nahi kiya, balkay uptrend continue raha. Agar yeh recent low (151.45) ko cross kar jata hai toh decline ka potential hai, lekin downside break ke baghair pair uptrend line ke upar hai. 152.39 kuch resistance hai lekin yeh ek bara level nahi hai, isliye focus abhi 151.45 mark par hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka action na lena kuch logon ke liye samajh se bahar hai, kyunke yen ne achanak bohot ziada (qareeban 1,400 points, ya 10%) girawat dekhi hai. Halanki BoJ pehle yen ko mazid strong karna chahta tha, ab wo iski further depreciation allow karte nazar aa rahe hain, shayad zyda behtar arbitrage trade ke liye. Yen ke weak hone ki wajah se, traders ne isko leverage karke higher-yield currencies mein invest kiya. Ab jab Japan ki economy grow ho rahi hai, yeh BoJ ke liye ek acha waqt ho sakta hai ke wo apna stance dobara se adjust kare. Kuch log samajhte hain ke BoJ strategic tor par bara players ko waqt de raha hai ke wo adjust ho sake

USD/JPY ke H4 (4-hour) timeframe chart ke mutabiq abhi price action bullish side ko indicate kar raha hai, lekin kuch important indicators hain jo price reversal aur trend continuation ke signals de rahe hain. Yeh analysis dekhte hue hum kuch potential trading strategies aur key levels ki nishandahi kar sakte hain.
Analysis:
Sab se pehle, chart par Parabolic SAR indicator lagaya gaya hai, jo trend ki direction aur reversal ke signal ke liye kaam aata hai. Parabolic SAR ke green dots agar candles ke neeche hain, toh yeh uptrend (bullish) ko darshaate hain, jab ke dots candles ke upar honge, toh yeh downtrend (bearish) ka ishara dete hain. Is waqt, Parabolic SAR ke dots candles ke neeche hain, jo ke is waqt bullish trend ke continuation ka ishara de rahe hain. Lekin yeh zaroor dekhna chahiye ke agar yeh dots candles ke upar shift ho jate hain, toh yeh trend reversal ka pehla signal ho sakta hai.
Dusra indicator Stochastic Oscillator hai, jo ke overbought aur oversold conditions ko measure karta hai. Is waqt Stochastic Oscillator ki value 73.27 aur 83.78 ke kareeb hai, jo ke overbought zone ko indicate karti hai. Yeh overbought condition ko show karta hai ke price ab upar ki side se weak ho rahi hai aur yahan se ek short-term price correction ya reversal aane ka chance hai. Aksar, jab Stochastic oscillator 80 ke upar hota hai, toh price wahan se neeche aane ka skta hai ya sideways (range-bound) move kar sakta hai.
Chart par ek trendline bhi draw ki gayi hai jo pehle ka bearish trend dikhati thi. Ab yeh trendline break ho chuki hai, jo ke ek bullish breakout ko darshaata hai. Yeh breakout signify karta hai ke bearish trend ka end ho sakta hai aur bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai.
USD/JPY ka H4 chart currently bullish trend ka indication de raha hai, magar overbought condition ke wajah se kuch correction ya sideways movement ka chance hai. Agar Parabolic SAR ke dots neeche rehte hain aur Stochastic Oscillator mein fresh buying signal aata hai, toh ek potential buy entry consider ki ja sakti hai. Wahi agar dots upar shift ho jate hain aur Stochastic oscillator mein reversal dikhai deta hai, toh yeh ek short-term sell entry ka mauka ho sakta hai.
Trading Strategy:
1. Buy:
Agar trend bullish rehta hai aur Stochastic ne niche zone se cross nahi kiya toh buy position hold ki ja sakti hai.
2. Sell:
Agar Stochastic downtrend mein dikhai de aur Parabolic SAR dots upar shift ho jayein, toh sell entry lena safe ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY ka yeh 4-hour (H4) timeframe ka chart ek range-bound ya consolidation phase ko dikhata hai, jismein price kuch dinon se ek specific range mein trade ho rahi hai. Current range ka upper level 153 hai, jo ke ek strong resistance zone ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, jab ke neeche 151.5 ke qareeb ek strong support area hai. Yeh situation tab hoti hai jab buyers aur sellers ka equilibrium ban jata hai aur koi bhi side price ko ek clear trend mein le kar nahi ja pa rahi hoti.
Technical Analysis:
Pichlay kuch dino ke data ke mutabiq, hamen price ki taraf se multiple attempts dekhne ko mile hain ke woh 153 ke resistance ko breach karay, lekin har dafa price wahan se reject ho kar neeche aati hai. Yeh resistance level pe selling pressure ko represent karta hai. Iske ilawa, 151.5 ka support bhi kaafi strong nazar aa raha hai kyunke jab bhi price wahan approach karti hai toh buyers usay support karte hain aur price wapas upar aati hai.
Agar price 153 ke upar close karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh agay aur bullish momentum dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo ke is pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. Waisa hi agar price 151.5 ke support level ko tor kar neeche close hoti hai, toh hum bearish trend ka agaz dekh sakte hain jo is pair ko 150 ya is se neeche le ja sakta hai. MACD Indicator Analysis:
Is chart mein MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi shamil hai, jo ke hamen price ke trend aur momentum ka insight deta hai. Is waqt, MACD mein bearish divergence ka indication hai, jo ke selling pressure ka ishara hai. Agar MACD signal line ko neeche cross karta hai, toh yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai aur price neeche ja sakti hai.
Filhaal ke liye, yeh range-bound movement trade karne ke liye ek opportunity hai jab tak koi clear breakout na aaye. Buyers ke liye 151.5 ka support level important hai jab ke sellers ke liye 153 ka resistance zone. Is range mein trading ek conservative approach hai. Lekin agar breakout hota hai toh woh agay ka trend decide kar sakta hai, jo ke ya toh bullish ya bearish hoga depending on breakout directi

USD/JPY H1 Analysis - November 1, 2024
Aaj hum USD/JPY ka H1 timeframe ka analysis karenge. Yeh chart 28 October se 31 October tak ke price movements ko represent karta hai. Chart mein humein kuch clear trends aur signals dikhayi de rahe hain jo trading ke liye helpful ho sakte hain. Sabse pehle agar hum moving averages dekhen, toh yahan par do important moving averages hain: aik white line aur dusri purple line mein. White line shorter-term trend ko represent karti hai jabke purple line long-term trend hai. Abhi ke liye white moving average ne purple moving average ko neeche ki taraf cross kiya hai, jo aik bearish signal hai. Iska matlab hai ke short-term trend downward hai aur selling pressure barh raha hai. Price ka movement 153.000 ke qareeb strong resistance ka samna kar raha tha aur wahan se price neeche gir gayi. Abhi ke liye, yeh lagta hai ke price 152.000 ke level par stable hone ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin CCI indicator dekhne se lagta hai ke market abhi oversold zone mein hai, jo rebound ke chances badha sakta hai. CCI value -55 par hai, jo ke thodi negative territory mein hai lekin abhi oversold zone (below -100) se upar aa rahi hai. Yeh signal ho sakta hai ke buying interest wapas aa sakta hai agar price support level ko hold karti hai. Is support level par buyers enter kar sakte hain aur price thodi der ke liye upwards move kar sakti hai. Trading ke liye, agar aap short-term trader hain toh yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke 152.000 ke level ka support break hone par aur bhi bearish move ho sakta hai jo price ko 151.500 ya us se neeche le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar price iss support se upar rehti hai aur CCI upward trend dikhata hai, toh yeh small upward correction ka signal ho sakta hai. Yeh analysis short-term ke liye hai aur H1 timeframe par based hai, toh aapko daily ya weekly chart bhi check karna chahiye taake broader trend samajh mein aaye. Is analysis ko trading ke liye istimaal karte waqt risk management ka khayal rakhein aur stop-loss zaroor set karein.
Yeh analysis sirf educational purposes ke liye hai aur yeh trading advice nahi hai. Markets volatile hoti hain aur hamesha risk management ko follow karna chahiye.