usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ka yeh 4-hour (H4) timeframe ka chart ek range-bound ya consolidation phase ko dikhata hai, jismein price kuch dinon se ek specific range mein trade ho rahi hai. Current range ka upper level 153 hai, jo ke ek strong resistance zone ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, jab ke neeche 151.5 ke qareeb ek strong support area hai. Yeh situation tab hoti hai jab buyers aur sellers ka equilibrium ban jata hai aur koi bhi side price ko ek clear trend mein le kar nahi ja pa rahi hoti.
Technical Analysis:
Pichlay kuch dino ke data ke mutabiq, hamen price ki taraf se multiple attempts dekhne ko mile hain ke woh 153 ke resistance ko breach karay, lekin har dafa price wahan se reject ho kar neeche aati hai. Yeh resistance level pe selling pressure ko represent karta hai. Iske ilawa, 151.5 ka support bhi kaafi strong nazar aa raha hai kyunke jab bhi price wahan approach karti hai toh buyers usay support karte hain aur price wapas upar aati hai.
Agar price 153 ke upar close karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh agay aur bullish momentum dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo ke is pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. Waisa hi agar price 151.5 ke support level ko tor kar neeche close hoti hai, toh hum bearish trend ka agaz dekh sakte hain jo is pair ko 150 ya is se neeche le ja sakta hai. MACD Indicator Analysis:
Is chart mein MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi shamil hai, jo ke hamen price ke trend aur momentum ka insight deta hai. Is waqt, MACD mein bearish divergence ka indication hai, jo ke selling pressure ka ishara hai. Agar MACD signal line ko neeche cross karta hai, toh yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai aur price neeche ja sakti hai.
Filhaal ke liye, yeh range-bound movement trade karne ke liye ek opportunity hai jab tak koi clear breakout na aaye. Buyers ke liye 151.5 ka support level important hai jab ke sellers ke liye 153 ka resistance zone. Is range mein trading ek conservative approach hai. Lekin agar breakout hota hai toh woh agay ka trend decide kar sakta hai, jo ke ya toh bullish ya bearish hoga depending on breakout direction

USD/JPY ka yeh daily chart humein currency pair ke bullish trend ka acha overview de raha hai. Yeh trend lagbhag 2022 ke middle se shuru hua aur uske baad se overall price movement upward rahi hai. Abhi tak price 152.99 ke qareeb hai, jo ke ek ahem resistance level hai aur iske break hone par strong bullish momentum ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai.
Trend Analysis:
Chart pe jo red line nazar aa rahi hai woh moving average hai, jo ke long-term trend ko dikhati hai. Jab price moving average se upar hoti hai, to ye bullish trend ko support karti hai. Is chart mein, hum dekh rahe hain ke price ziada tar moving average ke upar hi trade ho rahi hai, jo ke positive trend ka ishara hai.
Support aur Resistance Levels:
152.99 ka level abhi resistance ki tarah kaam kar raha hai. Agar price is level ko breach kar deti hai, to yeh level new support ban sakta hai aur aage ki bullish movement ka signal dega. Neeche, 148.40 ka level ek important support hai jo ke downtrend ki possible shuruaat ko indicate kar sakta hai.
Recent Price Movement:
Aakhri kuch mahino mein, price ne kuch pullbacks dekhein lekin woh wapas recovery mein badal gaye. Yeh pullbacks short-term sellers ke pressure ko show karte hain, lekin overall trend bullish hai. Agar price dobara 152.99 ke level ko cross kar ke consolidate karti hai, to ye fresh buying entries ke liye acha moqa ho sakta hai.
Fundamental Factors:
USD ke strong fundamentals aur safe-haven currency ki demand ke wajah se yeh trend sustain ho raha hai. Agar dollar ki strength barqarar rehti hai, to USD/JPY mein aur zyada appreciation ka chance hai. Yeh chart dikhata hai ke USD/JPY abhi ek strong bullish trend mein hai aur agar price 152.99 ko breach karti hai to aur upar ki taraf ja sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh level break nahi hota aur price wapas neeche girti hai, to aap short-term selling positions consider kar sakte hain, lekin uske liye 148.40 ka level key support ho ga. Trading mein ye levels aur trend ko monitor karna zaroori hai, aur position enter karne se pehle apne risk management ko zaroor dekhein.

USD/JPY pair mein bullish se bearish trend ka imkaan hai. Is waqt 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA 50) ne niche ki taraf movement shuru ki hai aur yeh 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA 200) ko cross karke “death cross” signal bana sakta hai. Yeh crossover aam tor par bearish trend ki taraf ishara karta hai, jo suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY ka price neeche ja sakta hai. Is surat mein pehla target support level (S1) 151.90 par hai.Neeche jaane se pehle thodi der ke liye price mein rally ho sakti hai jismein price pivot point (PP) 152.90 tak pohanch sakta hai, taki koi existing gap close ho sake aur market ke selling transactions balance ho sakain. Price gaps aam tor par fill ho jaate hain jab market participants imbalances ko correct karte hain, is liye ek choti upward retracement is pivot level tak ho sakti hai.Jab price apni downtrend resume karega, toh 151.90 ke support level ke neeche break karne ke high chances hain, jo kai dafa test ho chuka hai. Recent upward price movement resistance level (R1) 153.98 tak pohanchne mein nakam raha aur pichlay high 153.89 ke upar ek naya high nahi ban saka, sirf 153.10 tak hi pohanch paya. Yeh suggest karta hai ke pehle ka trend, jo higher highs aur higher lows ka tha, apni momentum kho raha hai, aur is se bearish continuation ka imkaan hai.Technical indicators bhi bearish outlook ko support karte hain. Awesome Oscillator (AO) se bullish momentum mein kami nazar aa rahi hai, jo suggest karta hai ke buyers control kho rahe hain. Lekin, Stochastic indicator yeh signal karta hai ke downward move temporarily ruk sakta hai kyun ke yeh oversold zone mein enter kar raha hai, jo ke 151.90 ke aas paas support-based bounce ya slight retracement ka imkaan de sakta hai. Agar price 151.90 par support dhoondta hai aur rebound karta hai, toh yeh downtrend ke resume hone se pehle minor upward correction ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Is setup ko trade karne ke liye, death cross ka confirmation ka intezar karna behtar hai aur phir SELL position lena chahiye. Jab price EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke crossover area ke aas paas correct karega, toh ek short position li ja sakti hai. Short-term take-profit target 151.90 par rakha ja sakta hai, jab ke zyada extended target support level (S2) 150.82 ke aas paas hai. Risk ko manage karne aur unexpected upward movements se bachne ke liye stop-loss recent high 153.10 par lagaya ja sakta hai.Mazid indicators mein Stochastic crossover ko 50 aur 80 values ke darmiyan observe karna chahiye, jo ke retracement ke doran agar dekha jaye toh bearish setup ko confirm karega. Iske ilawa, Awesome Oscillator ka volume histogram negative region (0 se neeche) mein hona chahiye jo ke strong downward momentum ko indicate kare. In tamam technical signals ka combination death cross, new highs na ban paana, oversold Stochastic reading aur AO momentum—USD/JPY par near to medium term mein cautious bearish outlook ko support karta hai.

USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Aap ke munafabaksh trading ki khawahish hai! Americi intekhabat se pahle Americi dollar numaya taur par kamzor hona shuru ho gaya, jo mere liye hairan kun tha. Kya yah dollar ke kharidaron ki taraf se koi hikmat amli ho sakti hai? Yaumiyah chart par takniki nuqtah nazar se, US dollar/Japanese yen ke jode me kami mutawaqqe hai. Fir bhi, haftawar chart par, volume ooper ki taraf harkat ki taraf ishara karta hai, jo tajwiz karta hai keh dollar/yen ki jodi darmiyani muddat me, mumkena taur par kal tak apni tezi ko dobara shuru kar sakti hai.
Agar qimat 151.620 ki yaumiyah muzahmati satah se ucchalti hai to aaj ek reversal mumkin hai. Halankeh, agar qimat is satah se niche toot jati hai to, dollar/yen ka joda mumkena taur par 151.050 ki agli yaumiyah support satah tak gir jayega. Haqiqat me, aaj ke Asian session me numaya kami dekhi gayi, jo mumkena paltaw ya 151.050/151.000 ke ilaqe ki taraf niche ki taraf dhalan ke sath ek sideways movement ki nishandahi karti hai.
Agar aaj ki kami ko dekhte hue, tezi ka riversal hota hai to, izafa mamuli ho sakta hai, jo 152.500 ke nishan se zyada nahin hoga. Halankeh, kal ke ghair mutawaqqe suratehal ko dekhte hue, aaj kuch bhi ho sakta hai, jisme dollar/yen ke jode me paltaw aur 152.980/153.530 ilaqe ki taraf izafa shamil hai.