USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Hum current pricing behavior ko analyze kar rahe hain. General mein, consistent bullish surge complex pattern present karta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, trend line breach ke baad breakdown zone mein technical rejection expected tha. Yeh event anticipated manner mein hua, standard logic ke saath. Iske baad, bearish momentum ne local minimum ke strength ko challenge karna tha, phir 139 figure ke breakdown ko target karna tha. Lekin, yeh scenario expected manner mein nahi hua. Instead, buyer ne bearish momentum ko counter kiya aur bullish correction phase kiya initiate kiya. Yeh movement catastrophic nahi hai, lekin sellers seek additional capital kar sakte hain. Abhi, main bearish trend ko continue hone ka expect karta hoon. Technically, USD/JPY pair bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Pair ko support near seven-month low 141.69 mil sakti hai, further support near 140.25. Upside par, pair ko resistance 9-day EMA near 145.63 aur phir 21-day EMA at 146.73 par mil sakti hai. In levels ke upar break 150.00 psychological barrier ko open kar sakta hai, further resistance 154.50 par. Tuesday ko brief surge ke baad, USD/JPY pair ne momentum sustain nahi kiya, 20-day EMA support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, RSI aur Stochastic, potential reversal suggest karte hain, death cross 50- aur 200-day moving averages ne longer-term bearish indicate kiya hai. Yesterday's uptick ke baad, USDJPY ne course reverse kiya, lekin significant weakness nahi dikhai. Correction ne price ko 145.13 par laaya, lekin yeh

**USD/JPY Pair Analysis**

USD/JPY pair ne 16 September ko December 2023 ke lows se reversal ke baad se upward trend experience kiya hai. Ye positive momentum technical analysis ke us principle ke sath align karta hai jo kehta hai, "trend aapka dost hai." Lekin, recently ek ascending channel se breakout hone se potential weakness ka ishara milta hai, jo darshata hai ke steady uptrend khatre mein ho sakta hai. Halankeh ye zaroori nahi ke ye poori tarah se reversal ko signal kare, lekin is se upward movement ki sustainability ke bare mein concerns barh gaye hain.

Is short-term setback ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ka overall bias thoda bullish hai. Lekin, 24 September ke high 144.68 ke upar close hona zaroori hoga taake further upside ka stronger confirmation mile. Potential targets mein 145.00, 145.50, aur aakhir mein 146.00 shamil hain.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish divergence dikhata hai, jo ke potential underlying weakness ka ishara hai. Halankeh 24 September ke low par price 20 September ke low ke muqable mein nahi gira, lekin RSI giri hai, jo recent sell-off se strong bearish momentum ko suggest karta hai. Ye divergence ek developing downtrend ka sign ho sakta hai. Beech ke doran, USD/JPY pair downtrend mein move kar raha hai, jo decline ke dobarah shuru hone ka khatra barhata hai. Lekin, ye risks long-term uptrend ke saath balance hote hain.

Pair ki recent green candle, jo ke ek mahine mein behtareen daily performance hai, recovery ka potential darshata hai, khaas taur par agar Federal Reserve 25 basis point rate cut announce kare. Pehle ke bullish attempts 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) 143.55 par ruk gaye hain, aur aage aur rukawat 145.00 trend line area aur 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) 147.25 par aa sakti hain. Halat is waqt positive outlook dene wali hai aur buyers ke liye 150.39 ke aas-paas ka darwaza khol rahi hai.

US dollar ne Tuesday ki subah ke waqt Japanese yen ke khilaf thoda rally kiya, aur 144 yen ke important level ko break kiya, lekin phir wapas ghoom kar ek exhaustion candlestick banayi. Ab jo shooting star hum dekh rahe hain, wo yeh suggest karta hai ke yahan se hum neeche gir sakte hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh thoda logical hai, kyunki hum pichle haftay ya us se zyada bullish rahe hain. Short-term pullbacks ki zyada umeed hai, aur thoda support mil sakta hai, lekin humein dekhna hoga ke aage kya hota hai. Federal Reserve ne interest rates ko 50 basis points se cut kiya hai, jabke Bank of Japan ne ab tak koi action nahi liya, aur yeh suggest karta hai ke Japan mein interest rates kaafi low rehne wale hain. Main pehle se keh raha hoon ke Bank of Japan kuch nahi kar sakta, kyunki unka debt level itna zyada hai ke higher interest rates sustainable nahi hain.Is liye, mujhe lagta hai ke sirf waqt ki baat hai ke Japanese yen ko ek bara nuksan hoga, aur hum dekhain ge ke doosri currencies is ke khilaf rally karein gi. Ab yeh kab hoga, abhi dekhna baqi hai, lekin main yeh zaroor samajhta hoon ke hum ek turnaround ki koshish kar rahe hain. Neeche 140 yen ka level ek bara support bana rahe ga, aur jab tak hum is level ke ooper hain, main kabhi kabhi is pair ko buy karne ka mauka le sakta hoon, lekin main yeh bhi samajhta hoon ke is pair ko kaafi kaam karna padega. Yeh kuch weeks ya months le sakta hai poori tarah se turnaround karne mein, is liye main ek trade mein zyada paisa nahi lagata, lekin apne dimagh mein yeh baat rakhta hoon ke har din mujhe long trade par hold karne ka paisa milta hai.
Decline ka resumption ka risk barh gaya hai, lekin long-term uptrend ke wajah se yeh risks balanced hain. Pair ka recent green candle, jo ek mahine ki best daily performance hai, recovery ka ishara deta hai, khas tor par agar Federal Reserve ek 25 basis points rate cut announce karta hai. Pichle bullish attempts ko 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ne 143.55 par roka hai, aur 145.00 trend line area aur 50-day EMA par 147.25 ke aas paas mazeed obstacles samnay aa sakte hain. Current situation buyers ke liye 150.39 ke aas paas ek positive outlook deti hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ab zyada bearish trend candlestick patterns bana raha hai H1 timeframe ke trading chart par, jo yeh dikhata hai ke yeh pair ab downtrend ya bearish trend mein hai. Yeh is wajah se hua kyun ke maine H1 timeframe par bearish reversal trend pattern dekha, jo ke ek double top pattern tha resistance area level 144.30 se 144.50 tak. USD/JPY pair par sell option is waqt ek behtareen trading strategy lagti hai, kyun ke market ke halat isko support karte hain. Is trade mein bearish reversal trend signal bana hai, aur bearish reversal trend pattern ke ilawa, USD/JPY ne dead cross pattern bhi banaya hai jab 7-period moving average aur 14-period moving average ke darmiyan cross hua hai. Yeh indicator exponential method ke zariye close hote hain. Ab lagta hai ke sellers USD/JPY ko neeche le kar jayenge taake naya support area ban sake. Ham apna profit-taking target 50-period moving average indicator ki band ke around set kar sakte hain jo ke 143.00 ya support area 142.90 ke level par ho sakta hai, jo peechla low trade level hai. Agar RSI 14 indicator ko dekha jaye, toh yeh lagta hai ke USD/JPY price, jo ke 144.44 par open hui thi, overbought hai, yaani ke ziada khareedi gayi hai, is liye yeh 143.60 tak girne ke chances hain.
Kyunkay price already SBR area mein thi jab yeh 144.00 par enter hui, is liye SNR aur Fibonacci methods bhi SELL USD/JPY signal ko support karte hain. Yeh izafi indication hai ke USD/JPY ke prices is dopahar ko 143.50 tak correct ho sakte hain. Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, main aaj USD/JPY ko SELL karne ka faisla kiya

timeframe par buy signal apni potential tak pohanch chuka tha. Mere entry signal anticipation par tha na ke kisi specific signal par, aur maine targets ka andaza nahi lagaya tha.Agar weekly chart se analysis shuru kiya jaye, to dekha ja sakta hai ke last week ka candle pichlay week ka engulfing tha, jo ke aglay hafta mein uptrend ke continuation ka ishara deta hai. Maine blue arrows ke sath mark kiya hai ke aik higher low bhi bana hai, magar iska matlab yeh nahi ke foran downtrend ka silsila shuru ho ga. Asal mein, yeh ziada chances hain ke retracement (northward movement) ho. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke currency pair aik "head and shoulders" pattern bana raha ho, jisme right shoulder ka size left shoulder se kafi bara ho sakta hai. Magar yeh sab abhi tak sirf andazay hain, koi theek saboot ke bagair. Kam az kam hum ne aglay hafta ke liye direction ka andaza laga liya hai.Bilkul exact upside targets pinpoint karna mushkil hai jab tak koi confirmed bullish signal na milay. Moving averages ne 144.240 level ki taraf rise ko support kiya hai, jo H4 signal ke targets ke sath coincided karta hai. Mera pehla andaza tha ke price 145.009 (jo red line se mark kiya gaya hai) tak pohanchay, magar yeh anticipatory entry signal se pehle ka andaza tha. Abhi hum sirf potential Fibonacci retracement levels ko consider kar sakte hain pullback ke liye.Mujhe kuch interesting mila, jo ke Fibonacci grids ka kam zyada exact analysis tha. Teesri chart par maine poori pichli significant decline par aik correction grid lagayi hai. Aur maine growth grid ko waves 1-2-3 par overlay kiya (yeh ziada wazeh second chart par hai). Result ye aya ke 261.8% wave extension level aur 50% correction level kareeb-kareeb ek dusray ke sath align kartay hain. Yeh range 150.750-151.091 ke darmiyan hai, jo third chart par green mein highlight ki gayi hai. Yeh logical growth lagti hai agar "head and shoulders" pattern

jo shooting star hum dekh rahe hain, wo yeh suggest karta hai ke yahan se hum neeche gir sakte hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh thoda logical hai, kyunki hum pichle haftay ya us se zyada bullish rahe hain. Short-term pullbacks ki zyada umeed hai, aur thoda support mil sakta hai, lekin humein dekhna hoga ke aage kya hota hai. Federal Reserve ne interest rates ko 50 basis points se cut kiya hai, jabke Bank of Japan ne ab tak koi action nahi liya, aur yeh suggest karta hai ke Japan mein interest rates kaafi low rehne wale hain. Main pehle se keh raha hoon ke Bank of Japan kuch nahi kar sakta, kyunki unka debt level itna zyada hai ke higher interest rates sustainable nahi hain.Is liye, mujhe lagta hai ke sirf waqt ki baat hai ke Japanese yen ko ek bara nuksan hoga, aur hum dekhain ge ke doosri currencies is ke khilaf rally karein gi. Ab yeh kab hoga, abhi dekhna baqi hai, lekin main yeh zaroor samajhta hoon ke hum ek turnaround ki koshish kar rahe hain. Neeche 140 yen ka level ek bara support bana rahe ga, aur jab tak hum is level ke ooper hain, main kabhi kabhi is pair ko buy karne ka mauka le sakta hoon, lekin main yeh bhi samajhta hoon ke is pair ko kaafi kaam karna padega. Yeh kuch weeks ya months le sakta hai poori tarah se turnaround karne mein, is liye main ek trade mein zyada paisa nahi lagata, lekin apne dimagh mein yeh baat rakhta hoon ke har din mujhe long trade par hold karne ka paisa

current pricing behavior ko analyze kar rahe hain. General mein, consistent bullish surge complex pattern present karta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, trend line breach ke baad breakdown zone mein technical rejection expected tha. Yeh event anticipated manner mein hua, standard logic ke saath. Iske baad, bearish momentum ne local minimum ke strength ko challenge karna tha, phir 139 figure ke breakdown ko target karna tha. Lekin, yeh scenario expected manner mein nahi hua. Instead, buyer ne bearish momentum ko counter kiya aur bullish correction phase kiya initiate kiya. Yeh movement catastrophic nahi hai, lekin sellers seek additional capital kar sakte hain. Abhi, main bearish trend ko continue hone ka expect karta hoon. Technically, USD/JPY pair bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Pair ko support near seven-month low 141.69 mil sakti hai, further support near

USD/JPY Ka Jaiza

USD/JPY pair ne 143.22 ke aas-paas ek stable base dhoondh liya hai jabke investors Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke haal ke comments ko dhyan se dekh rahe hain. Unki baatein yeh darshati hain ke BoJ monetary policy adjustments ke liye ehtiyaat se kaam le raha hai, jo interest rates ko barhane mein kuch dair karne ka ishara karti hai.

Governor Ueda ne kaha ke market aur economic conditions ka puri tarah jaiza lena zaroori hai policy decisions lene se pehle, jo yeh dikhata hai ke foran rate hike ki sambhavana kam hai. Unhone external risks, jaise financial markets ki volatility aur US economy ke around uncertainties, ko Japan ki monetary policy ke liye crucial factors bataya.

September ki meeting mein, BoJ ne interest rates ko 0.25% per annum par rakha, jo market ke expectations ke mutabiq hai. Speculation yeh hai ke October ki meeting mein Monetary Policy Committee ki composition mein koi tabdeeli nahi hogi. Lekin, December tak BoJ ke paas itna saboot ikattha hone ki sambhavana hai ke wo rate hike ka faisla le sake.

Iss beech, US dollar ki recent girawat, jo ke US consumer confidence ke kamzor data ki wajah se hui, ne yen ko mazid taqat di hai. Is move ne Federal Reserve ke taraf se mazeed rate cuts ki umeed barhadi hai.

USD/JPY abhi 143.43 se 144.66 ke darmiyan ek broad consolidation zone mein hai. Market ne 142.55 ki taraf niche ki taraf chalna shuru kiya aur is level ko upar se test kiya. Baad mein, hum assume karte hain ke yeh is range ke upper limit ki taraf rebound karega. Agar 144.70 se upar break hota hai, to yeh 145.77 tak barhne ka rasta khol sakta hai, shayad 146.66 tak bhi. Dusri taraf, agar qeemat 142.00 tak girti hai aur uske baad aur girawat hoti hai, to yeh trend ko 137.77 tak jari rakhne ka ishara ho sakta hai. MACD indicator is bullish scenario ko support karta hai, jiska signal line zero se upar hai aur upar ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ki current pricing behavior par hai. Haal hi mein, USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein hi rahenge. Ye careful approach yeh darshata hai ke economic growth ko stimulate karna aur currency stability ko maintain karna donon mein balance banana zaroori hai

USD/JPY ANALYSIS

D1 Period Chart

Hafte ke darmiyan, hum ek baar phir D1 period chart par nazar daalenge - USD/JPY currency pair. Wave structure is waqt neeche ki taraf ban raha hai, MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai, lekin yeh apni signal line ke upar cross kar chuka hai. Pichle August ka minimum update hone ke baad, MACD indicator par bullish divergence ban gaya hai, aur doosra CCI indicator bhi lower overheating zone se upar gaya hai aur is par bhi bullish divergence hai.

Pichla hafta multidirectional raha, lekin buyers ne phir bhi jeet hasil ki, unhone price ko thoda upar le jane mein kamiyabi hasil ki, halankeh girawat ko barhane ke liye baar-baar koshishen hui. Khaaskar, horizontal resistance level 143.83 ne price ko upar jane nahi diya, yeh neeche ki taraf acha rebound diya. Lekin niche se price ko phir se uthaya gaya aur is level par wapas le aaya gaya, aur ab yeh is par hai. Kyunki is level ne rebound diya, ismein yeh umeed hai ke yeh ab toota gaya, aur bullish divergence puri tarah se kaam karegi.

Haan, upar ke paas sab se nazdeek waves ke tops par ek inclined line bhi bani hui hai. Ab yeh level aur is line ke paas seedha kharidne ka behtareen jagah nahi hai, behtar yeh hoga ke inhe upar ki taraf todne ka intezar kiya jaye, aur phir zaroor growth aayegi. Main 149.08 level ko apna goal tay kar raha hoon. Yahan bechna bekar hai, khaaskar divergence ke khilaf. Zaroor, girawat ka option puri tarah se kharij nahi kiya ja sakta, lekin meri rai mein yeh growth se kam mumkin hai.

Agar doosri major currencies apne kamzori ko US dollar ke muqablay mein support karte hain, toh yeh bohot achha hoga. Aur meri rai mein, yeh is taraf predisposed hain. Filhal, lekin, neeche ka pressure hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh jald khatam hoga aur growth dobarah shuru hogi.

USD/JPY Ka Taweel

USD/JPY currency pair is waqt bullish momentum aur potential downside risk ke beech ek nazuk balance mein hai. Agar yeh pair 144.038 ka aham resistance level todne mein nakam raha, toh yeh bullish pressure ki kamzori ka ishara de sakta hai. Yeh resistance level market ke liye ek psychological aur technical barrier ke taur par kaam karta hai. Is level ko paar karne mein nakami ka matlab traders ka apne long positions ko kum karna ho sakta hai, jo pair mein pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar yeh level ke upar nahi tikta, toh volatility mein izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jab market agle direction ki tasdeeq ka intezar karega.

Agar pair upar jaata hai lekin phir 143.733 ke neeche girta hai, toh outlook kaafi bearish ho sakta hai. Yeh price level upward momentum aur potential reversal ke beech ek pivot point ki tarah kaam karta hai. 143.733 ke neeche girne se yeh darust hota hai ke buyers ne market par control kho diya hai, jo sellers ko apna daira banane ka mauqa deta hai. Aise mein agla aham level jo dekhna hoga, wo 144.361 ka support hai. Agar is point par selling pressure barhta hai, toh market correction phase mein ja sakta hai, aur traders lower price points ko apne positions establish karne ke liye talash karenge. 144.361 ke upar tikne mein nakami bearish sentiment ko confirm karegi, jo further downside risk ka raasta khol sakta hai.

USD/JPY Ka Munaasib Tajziya

Agar bearish scenario barhata hai, toh USD/JPY pair apni girawat ko aage barha sakta hai aur agle key support level 144.73 ki taraf ja sakta hai, jahan buyers ke market mein wapas aane ki umeed hai. Yeh level bullish traders ke liye ek mazboot floor ka kaam kar sakta hai, jahan wo apni positions consolidate karne aur potential rebound ke liye tayar ho sakte hain. Agar is support level par buying interest barhta hai, toh market downtrend mein ek temporary rukawat dekh sakta hai, jis se pair stabilize ho sakta hai.

Lekin agar is level ko defend karne mein nakami hoti hai, toh yeh further downside momentum ka raasta khol sakta hai, jahan traders aur bhi neeche ke support levels ko dekh rahe honge. Short term mein, in key levels ke sath price ki interaction ko monitor karna bohot zaroori hoga taake USD/JPY market mein agla aham move predict kiya ja sake.

### USD/JPY Ka Pechwa: Japanese Yen 13-Mahine Ki Bulandi Par

Do din se, USD/JPY ne apni tez girawat se bahar aane ki koshish ki hai, jo 139.60 ki 13-mahine ki support level tak pahuncha. Yeh rebound 142.46 ke resistance level par ruk gaya hai aur ab 141.80 ke ird gird hai, jabke foreign exchange bazaar ke liye sab se ahm waqia, US Federal Reserve ki policy ka elan aaj hone wala hai.

Is darmiyan, Japanese Yen ki mazbooti is wajah se hai ke investors is hafte Japan aur America ke monetary policy faislon ka intezar kar rahe hain. Bank of Japan ka is Jumme interest rates ko behtar rakhne ka imkaan hai, lekin yeh aisa bhi lagta hai ke woh aage ke rate hikes ka ishara de sakta hai. Financial markets ka kehna hai ke Bank of Japan December mein interest rates mein izafa kar sakta hai, jabke October ka faisla abhi tak nishchit nahi hai. Doosri taraf, US Federal Reserve se pehli martaba chaar saalon mein interest rate ka katna umeed hai, jahan financial markets ek bara 50 basis point cut ka 67% imkaan laga rahe hain.

Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne kaha hai ke forex ki volatility ke faide aur nuqsan dono hain, lekin tezi se hone wali tabdeeliyaan nafrat ka sabab ban sakti hain. Iske ilawa, Japan ka 10 saal ka bond yield ek mahine ki bulandi par aa gaya hai. Yeh yield 0.83% tak gir gaya hai, jo US bond yields ki kami ke saath saath hai, jabke Federal Reserve ke taraf se zyada aggressive rate cuts ki umeed hai.

Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan ka is hafte apni policy ko behtar rakhne ka imkaan hai lekin yeh aage ke rate hikes ka ishara de sakta hai. Fitch ne Japan ke liye apni interest rate predictions ko revise kiya hai, ab yeh 2024 ke end tak 0.5%, 2025 mein 0.75%, aur 2026 ke end tak 1% ka andaza laga raha hai.

### USD/JPY Technical Analysis Aur Umeedain

Halankeh haali mein kuch rebound koshishain hui hain, lekin USD/JPY ka overall trend bearish hai. Psychological support level 140.00 is baat ka saboot hai ke bears ka control mazboot hai. Technical indicators oversold levels ki taraf ja rahe hain. Yeh central banks ke announcements ke baad ka jawab hi yeh tay karega ke dollar/yen ka kya hoga. Agar yeh girawat aur bhi badhti hai, to pehli support level 138.00 tak aa sakti hai, jo bears ke control ko aur mazboot karega. Iske ilawa, daily chart ke mutabiq, 150.00 ka psychological resistance asal trend ke bullish

Kal USD/JPY ne do mukhtalif directions mein move kiya. Pehle bullish direction mein gaya, magar baad mein wapas bearish ho gaya. Iss dafa bearish power zyada mazboot thi aur ek daily bearish candle bani jo aakhir mein pinbar mein tabdeel ho gayi. Yeh interesting lagta hai kyun ke ab tak bearish movement consistently neeche ki taraf trend kar raha hai, aur bearish movement ek direction indicator ke taur par kaam kar raha hai, khaaskar meri banayi technical picture ke base par jo MA area ke H4 timeframe se related hai. MA 200 ke upar se rejection ka response bearish movement ko shuru karne ka sabab bana USD/JPY mein. Wahan se uss ne kaafi momentum hasil kiya jab tak MA 50 ka saamna nahi kiya, jo ke ek dynamic support level hai. Agar yeh tasdeeq hoti hai ke USD/JPY dobara bearish movement ke zair mein aa jata hai, to ya toh MA 50 break hoga ya USD/JPY MA area ke neeche wapas aa jata hai, jo confirm karega ke trend condition USD/JPY ka bearish trend hai. Yaqeenan, iss se aur zyada bearish movement ka imkaan ho sakta hai. USD/JPY ke paas wapas bearish trend condition mein jaane ki potential hai. Behtar yeh hoga ke aaj ke din mein ek aur notable bearish movement ka intezaar kiya jaye, kyun ke agar yeh bearish movement currency pair ko MA area ke bahar push karta hai, toh yeh tasdeeq hogi ke currency pair wapas bearish trend condition mein ja raha hai. Yeh waqt market mein enter karne ka interesting time ho sakta hai aur sell karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh ek bearish movement ka aghaz ho sakta hai jo ke zyada significant aur lambe daur tak girawat la sakta hai. Is movement ka potential bearish target horizontal line support level 141.76 ho sakta hai.

yeh October 2023 ke baad ka sab se zyada level hai. Yeh inflationary pressure Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko apni monetary policy stance par ghoor karne par majboor kar sakta hai, halan ke market anticipate karti hai ke filhal interest rates mein koi tabdeeli nahi hogi. Yeh ek aisa environment paida karta hai jahan Yen ka mazaid taqat pakar sakta hai agar economic conditions behtar hoti hain.Dusri taraf, US Dollar mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ke additional rate cuts ke imkaanaat jo 2024 ke liye hain, Dollar ke hawalay se bearish sentiment ka sabab ban rahe hain. Market participants apni expectations ko adjust kar rahe hain, aur aaj ke baad mein release hone wale US economic data ka asar situation ko aur complex bana sakta hai. Currency markets mein significant volatility ka intezar hai, khaaskar Federal Reserve ka faisla qareeb aane ke saath.Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair correction phase mein daakhil hone ki koshish kar raha hai, guzishta haftay ke akhri dino mein decline ke baad. Filhal kuch short-term upward movement ka imkaan hai, lekin overall trend downward trajectory ki taraf wapas aane ka ishara karta hai. Key levels jo dekhne wale hain, wo reversal point 141.35 hai. Agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, to selling opportunities samne aa sakti hain, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 set kiye ja sakte hain.Dosri taraf, agar pair 141.35 ke upar break aur hold kar jata hai, to ek bullish scenario shayad unfold ho sake, aur price higher resistance levels ko test karne ka imkaan hai, jo 141.65 aur 141.85 par hain. Is surat mein, traders upward move ke baad sell positions mein wapas aa sakte hain, anticipate karte hue ke broader downward trend continue karega.Mujmuan taur par, USD/JPY pair ek crossroads par hai, jahan fundamental aur technical dono factors is ki movement ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Market abhi Federal Reserve ki policy decisions ke implications ka andaza lagane ke liye weigh kar raha hai, sath hi Japan ki economic performance par bhi nazar rakhe hue. Traders ko alert aur tayar rehna chahiye kyun ke significant US data ke release hone ke baad volatility ka imkaan hai.Jese jese din guzarta hai, yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke pair in developments par kaise react karta hai. USD/JPY ka established support ya resistance levels ko break karna, future price action ke liye clearer signals p

support level tak pahuncha. Yeh rebound 142.46 ke resistance level par ruk gaya hai aur ab 141.80 ke ird gird hai, jabke foreign exchange bazaar ke liye sab se ahm waqia, US Federal Reserve ki policy ka elan aaj hone wala hai.
Is darmiyan, Japanese Yen ki mazbooti is wajah se hai ke investors is hafte Japan aur America ke monetary policy faislon ka intezar kar rahe hain. Bank of Japan ka is Jumme interest rates ko behtar rakhne ka imkaan hai, lekin yeh aisa bhi lagta hai ke woh aage ke rate hikes ka ishara de sakta hai. Financial markets ka kehna hai ke Bank of Japan December mein interest rates mein izafa kar sakta hai, jabke October ka faisla abhi tak nishchit nahi hai. Doosri taraf, US Federal Reserve se pehli martaba chaar saalon mein interest rate ka katna umeed hai, jahan financial markets ek bara 50 basis point cut ka 67% imkaan laga rahe hain.

Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne kaha hai ke forex ki volatility ke faide aur nuqsan dono hain, lekin tezi se hone wali tabdeeliyaan nafrat ka sabab ban sakti hain. Iske ilawa, Japan ka 10 saal ka bond yield ek mahine ki bulandi par aa gaya hai. Yeh yield 0.83% tak gir gaya hai, jo US bond yields ki kami ke saath saath hai, jabke Federal Reserve ke taraf se zyada aggressive rate cuts ki umeed hai.

Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan ka is hafte apni policy ko behtar rakhne ka imkaan hai lekin yeh aage ke rate hikes ka ishara de sakta hai. Fitch ne Japan ke liye apni interest rate predictions ko revise kiya hai, ab yeh 2024 ke end tak 0.5%, 2025 mein 0.75%, aur 2026 ke end tak 1% ka andaza laga raha hai.

### USD/JPY Technical Analysis Aur Umeedain

Halankeh haali mein kuch rebound koshishain hui hain, lekin USD/JPY ka overall trend bearish hai. Psychological support level 140.00 is baat ka saboot hai ke bears ka control mazboot hai. Technical indicators oversold levels ki taraf ja rahe hain. Yeh central banks ke announcements ke baad ka jawab hi yeh tay karega ke dollar/yen ka kya hoga. Agar yeh girawat aur bhi badhti hai, to pehli support level 138.00 tak aa sakti hai, jo bears ke control ko aur mazboot karega. Iske ilawa, daily chart ke mutabiq, 150.00 ka psychological resistance asal trend ke bullish