USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

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USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

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  • #12271 Collapse

    JPY pair ne Asian session mein tight range mein trade kiya, jo ke kal ke closing levels ke qareeb tha. Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global risk appetite ko boost karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech closely watched hoga kisi bhi hint ke liye jo Fed ke approach ke hawalay se ho, khaaskar balance sheet management aur quantitative tightening ke pace ke bare mein. Fed ki balance sheet reduction, jo assets ko sell karne par mabni hai, bhi ek important factor hai.
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    • #12272 Collapse

      koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein . Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko


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      • #12273 Collapse

        qareeb tha. Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global risk appetite ko boost karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech closely watched hoga kisi bhi hint ke liye jo Fed ke approach ke hawalay se ho, khaaskar balance sheet management aur quantitative tightening ke pace ke bare mein. Fed ki balance

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        • #12274 Collapse

          Pichle kuch dinon se market dheere dheere chal rahi hai, jo ke traders mein ehtiyaat ka jazba darshata hai. Halankeh is dheere chalne ke bawajood, kuch aise asar hain jo ye darshate hain ke USD/JPY jaldi hi kisi significant shift ke liye tayyar ho sakta hai. Mukhtalif factors is potential volatility mein yogdaan de rahe hain, aur inhe samajhna traders ko aane wale tabdeelon ke liye tayaar kar sakta hai.

          USD/JPY ke iss downtrend ka ek ahem wajah U.S. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke darmiyan monetary policies ki tafreeq hai. U.S. Federal Reserve ne inflation ka muqabla karne ke liye interest rates barhaye hain, jis se dollar un investors ke liye zyada maqbool ban gaya hai jo zyada returns ki talash mein hain. Iske muqabil, Bank of Japan ne apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakha hai, interest rates ko neeche rakhte hue apni economy ko behtar karne ki koshish ki hai. Ye tafreeq historically USD ko JPY ke muqablay mein support karti rahi hai, lekin haal ki development yeh darshati hain ke aage chal kar ye surat-e-haal itni seedhi nahi rahegi.

          U.S. dollar ki taqat mein kuch kamzori ke asar dikh rahe hain, jab traders ye soch rahe hain ke Federal Reserve shayad apne rate-hiking cycle ke ikai par pohoch raha hai. Agar Fed pause kare ya zyada dovish rukh darshaye, to dollar apna momentum kho sakta hai, jo USD/JPY ke mazeed girne ka sabab ban sakta hai. Iske ilawa, geopolitical risks, jaise global markets mein chal rahe tanav aur global economic slowdown ke concerns, safe-haven yen ki demand ko barha sakte hain, jo USD/JPY par mazeed pressure daal sakta hai.

          Dusri taraf, kuch aise factors hain jo USD/JPY mein tezi se upar ki taraf chalne ka sabab ban sakte hain. Agar U.S. economy apni taqat dikhati rahi, aur economic data expectations se zyada behtar aata hai, to Federal Reserve mazeed rate hikes par ghoor kar sakta hai, jo dollar ko support karega. Iske ilawa, agar Bank of Japan forex market mein excessive yen ki taqat ko curb karne ke liye intervene karne ka faisla karta hai, to ye bearish trend mein achanak palatne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

          Aakhir mein, jabke USD/JPY filhal dheere dheere bearish rukh mein chal raha hai, market mein aane wale dinon mein volatility barh sakti hai. Traders ko key economic indicators, central bank policies, aur global market developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake wo potential price swings ko samajh sakein. USD/JPY apne downward trend ko mazeed barhaye ya phir tezi se recovery kare, ye in factors ke asar par depend karega. Isliye, aage chal kar is currency pair ke movements ko samajhne ke liye informed aur adaptable rehna zaroori hai.
             
          • #12275 Collapse

            traders ke liye aksar ek psychological barrier ban jata hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein ek tabadli ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo ek short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai. Short-covering tab hoti hai jab wo traders jo currency pair ke against bet karte hain (yaani short positions lete hain), apni positions close karna shuru karte hain jab prices upar jati hain. Yeh buying pressure momentum create kar sakta hai jo price ko upar le jaye, aur shayad agle resistance area tak pohcha de jo 144.55 hai. 144.55 level is liye crucial hai kyun ke yeh ek short-term resistance point ko represent karta hai jise traders ghoor se dekh rahe honge. Agar price is level tak pohchti hai aur rejection ka samna karti hai, toh yeh profit-taking ya renewed selling pressure ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo rally ke dauran hasil ki gayi gains ko reverse kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair is level ko convincingly break kar leta hai, toh yeh further buying interest ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ek ziada strong bullish trend ko suggest karta hai.

            Lekin, traders ko longer-term upward trend mein confidence tab hoga jab currency pair key resistance level 145.60 ko overcome karega. Yeh level is liye significant hai ke pehle bhi price reversals is level par dekhne ko mile hain. 145.60 mark par shayad sellers ka intezar hoga jo market ke overextended hone ko dekhte hue profit kamaana chahte honge. Is liye yeh level aksar ziada trading volume aur heightened volatility ko dekhta hai.

            Trading mein psychological aspect ko underestimate nahi karna chahiye. Resistance levels jaise 145.60 aksar traders ko apni positions par doobara sochne par majboor karte hain, jo market activity ko barha dete hain jab wo price movements par react karte hain. Agar pair 145.60 ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh ek significant momentum shift ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo further upward movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Wo traders jo pehli rally miss kar chuke hain, shayad positions lein, anticipating ek bullish continuation


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            • #12276 Collapse

              EUR/USD pair, jo abhi takreeban 1.0940 ke level par trade kar raha hai, ne bearish direction mein trend kiya hai. Market ka movement aista raha hai, jo ke traders ke darmiyan uncertainty ko reflect karta hai, jab ke woh mukhtalif macroeconomic factors ko evaluate kar rahe hain. Magar bohot se analysts aur market participants aglay kuch dinon mein ek aham movement ki tawaqo kar rahe hain, jo fundamental aur technical factors ke combination ki wajah se ho sakti hai.
              Fundamental side par, EUR/USD par Eurozone aur United States ke darmiyan economic performance aur monetary policies ka farq asar dalta hai. Federal Reserve ka interest rates par stance ek key factor hai. Agar U.S. economy acha perform karti rahi aur inflation ek concern bana raha, toh Fed apna hawkish stance barqarar rakh sakta hai, jo dollar ko mazid strong aur euro par pressure dal sakta hai. Magar agar U.S. economy mein slowdown ya Fed se dovish signals milte hain, toh dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo euro ko appreciate karne ka moka de sakta hai.

              Doosri taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) bhi apni economy ke slow growth aur persistent inflation ka samna kar rahi hai. Agar ECB interest rates ko steady rakhne ka faisla karti hai ya phir economic slowdown ke bawajood rate cuts par ghore karti hai, toh ye euro par downward pressure dal sakta hai, jo EUR/USD ke bearish trend ko barqarar rakhega. Magar agar ECB koi unexpected tightening karta hai, toh EUR/USD trend mein ek reversal bhi aa sakta hai.

              Technical perspective se dekha jaye, 1.0940 ka level ek critical support point ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar pair is level ke neeche decisively break karta hai, toh ek zyada pronounced bearish movement shuru ho sakti hai. Lekin agar ye level par barqarar rehta hai, toh hum pair mein ek rebound dekh sakte hain, jo ek potential rally ka sabab ban sakti hai. Traders support aur resistance levels ko ghore se dekh rahe honge taake entry aur exit points identify kar sakein.
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              Iske ilawa, aanay wala economic data, jaise ke U.S. jobs reports, dono regions ka inflation data, aur central bank meetings, ke catalysts banne ki tawaqo hai, jo agla bara move la sakta hai. Market participants ko in events ke unfold hone par heightened volatility ka samna karna par sakta hai. Nateeja ye hai ke EUR/USD iss waqt slow movement dikhata hai, lekin mazid bara price movement ki strong indications hain, jo macroeconomic developments aur market sentiment ki wajah se ho sakti hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat aur hoshiyaar rehna chahiye jab ke woh is potentially volatile period se guzarte hain.
                 
              • #12277 Collapse

                USD/JPY ke price changes ka tajziya humari discussion mein kiya jayega. Main USD/JPY pair ke liye price mein kami ki tawaqo karta hoon, jo ke four-hour chart par MACD indicator ke saath ek notable divergence ki wajah se hai. Ye divergence ek possible drop ka signal deta hai, convergence phase ke bajaye, jo ke ek likely price collapse ko suggest karta hai. Magar ye decline sirf tabhi mumkin hoga agar price 148.96 ke neeche four-hour candle close ke sath girta hai. Maujooda level 149.13 se, mujhe tawaqo hai ke ye downward move Asian trading session ke dauran Monday ko jab markets khuleingi, toh materialize hoga. EMA (8/5) aur MACD indicators dono buy signals suggest karte hain. Is liye, ek brief consolidation ke baad, main ek bullish move ki tawaqo karta hoon.
                Daily chart par USD/JPY ke liye, price din bhar consistently decline karta raha, aur 148.382 support level ke qareeb close kiya. Agar ye is support ke neeche close hota, toh main mazeed declines ki tawaqo karta, 147.432 tak. Magar kyun ke price is level ke upar close hui, maine Friday ko upward movement ko prioritize kiya, aur 149.712 par resistance ka target rakha. Mera forecast durust tha, bullish candle 149.712 ke qareeb close hui bina in levels ko test kiye. Monday ke liye, mera outlook continued growth ka hai, aur resistance


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ID:	13176499 150.777 par agla target hai. Decline sirf tabhi mumkin hoga agar price 148.382 ke neeche close kare. Daily time frame ko dekhte hue, yeh wazeh hai ke bulls abhi bhi mazboot hain aur apni positions ko mazeed push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Price 1/2 angle ke upar hai aur 144.60 ke 50% support level ke upar barqarar hai, jo ek upward trend ko signal karta hai aur market mein bears ki kamzori ko indicate karta hai.
                   
                • #12278 Collapse

                  USD/JPY pair ne haali mein 144.53 ke ahem support level ko break kiya, jo downtrend ke jari rehne ki nishani hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair mein 99 points ki girawat dekhi gayi, jis ke baad buyers ne koshish ki ke price ko 144.53 ke resistance level par wapas le aayein. Ye ek mazboot moka ho sakta hai sell positions open karne ke liye, jahan potential target range 140-141 tak girawat ka ho sakta hai. Magar agar pair 144.53 level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery 146.38 ke agle target tak ja sakti hai.
                  Hourly chart par, ek ascending channel flag pattern jesa lagta hai, jo ek nayi downtrend ki imkaniyat ko suggest karta hai. Dusri taraf, H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein trade kar raha hai, jahan recent bounce lower boundary se dekha gaya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke upar break karta hai, toh buying strategy ka target 145.69 par ho sakta hai.

                  Thursday ko Japanese yen apne 14 maheenay ke sab se neeche level par aa gaya US dollar ke muqable mein, aur 140.41 par pohanch gaya. Ye decline market ke broader trend ka hissa hai, jahan yen kamzor hota ja raha hai, khaaskar Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy mein tabdeeli ke baad. BoJ ne zyada hawkish stance adopt karte hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jo yen carry trades ke unwinding ka sabab bana. Iske ilawa, yen ko "Yenterventions" ne bhi support kiya, jiski wajah se ye multi-decade lows se 12.5% recover kar gaya.

                  Filhal, market sentiment yen ke gird BoJ ki policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors se shape ho raha hai. Baray picture ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY ka downtrend jari rehne ka imkaan hai kyun ke pair apne uptrend ko break kar chuka hai. Agar trend reverse nahi hota, toh ek significant correction ki imkaniyat hai, jo pair ko 140.50 ke level tak ya isse neeche le ja sakti hai. Technical taur par, pair apne current levels par stabilize kar sakta hai, isse pehle ke dobara upar janay ki koshish kare, halan ke US dollar ke liye ek market-wide correction ka bhi tawaqo hai.
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                  US dollar 3-4% correction ke liye tayar lagta hai, jo aane wale waqt mein potential growth ka signal ho sakta hai, lekin downtrend ka silsila barqarar rehne ke imkaniyat hai. Agar pair 140.50 ke qareeb break karta hai, toh ek naya low form kar sakta hai aur ek mazboot support level establish ho sakta hai. Market participants University of Michigan ki inflation forecast ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo aane wale movements ko tay karne mein ahem hoga. Traders ko apni strategies evolving market conditions ke mutabiq adjust karni hongi, taake ya to opportunities ka faida uthaya ja sake ya risks ko minimize kiya ja sake.
                     
                  • #12279 Collapse

                    Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ke price ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Mera bhi yeh khayal hai ke USD/JPY mazeed upar ja sakta hai, kyun ke yeh 141.51 ke support level se rebound kar chuka hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke pair kuch arse se barh raha hai, magar 148.04 abhi bhi ek ahem resistance bana hua hai jo mazeed progress ko rok raha hai. Agar price is level ko break karta hai, toh hum USD/JPY ko 148.72 tak barhte dekh sakte hain, jahan 147.40 ko stop-loss level ke tor par rakha ja sakta hai. Iss scenario mein, 149.33 ko target karna munasib lagta hai, jiske baad pair reverse ho kar 146.2 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh correction ek acha moka faraham kar sakti hai long positions enter karne ke liye, aur technical indicators bhi is move ko support karte hain.
                    Manufacturing PMI 50-point mark ke neeche raha, jo contraction ko zahir karta hai aur is wajah se yen ka girawat jari raha, jis ne kal se bullish dollar market ko barqarar rakha. Magar yeh yaad rakha jaye ke hum abhi ek bearish trend mein hain, aur jitna pair upar jata hai, utni bara sellers market mein wapas aane ke chances barh jate hain. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar Scenario #1 aur #2 ko follow karne ka plan bana raha hoon.

                    **Buy Signal Scenario #1**: Aaj, main plan karta hoon ke USD/JPY ko uss waqt khareedun jab price entry point 144.52 (chart par green line) par pohanch jaye, aur target level 145.38 (chart par mooti green line) ko rakhoon. 145.38 ke level par, main buy positions ko exit karne ka aur ussi waqt sell positions open karne ka plan bana raha hoon (yahan se 30-35 pips ke movement ki umeed hai opposite direction mein). Aaj pair ki growth ka tawaqo sirf correction ke framework mein hai. Ahm baat! Buy karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur barhna shuru kar raha ho.
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                    **Scenario #2**: Main aaj USD/JPY ko tab bhi khareedne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 144.16 price level par do consecutive tests hote hain, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse karte hue upar le jayega. Growth opposite levels 144.52 aur 145.38 tak ho sakti hai.
                       
                    • #12280 Collapse

                      /JPY currency pair ka price action hamari guftagu ka markazi topic hoga. Agar USD/JPY pair market khulne ke baad apni neechey ki taraf harakat jari rakhti hai, toh 140.62 ka volume level focus mein hoga, jo ke abhi ke price se neeche hai. Agar price is level ko pohanchti hai aur 140.62 par jamaat (accumulation) isse aur neechey girne se rokta hai, toh ek corrective pullback ho sakta hai. Iss surat mein, price 140.62 se upar uth kar 143.43 level ki taraf ja sakti hai, jahan par accumulated trading volumes maujood hain, aur uss area ko test kar sakti hai. Agar yeh test fail ho jaye aur 143.43 resistance ka kaam kare, toh hum ek tezi se reversal dekh sakte hain jo price ko recent minimum se neechey le ja sakta hai. Aane walay ghanton mein, humein mumkin outcomes ko monitor karna hoga. Technical analysis, jo forex neural network se support hoti hai, ek upward movement ko suggest karti hai jo resistance level 143.61 tak ho sakti hai. Buyers ke paas momentum hai jo price ko barhane mein madad de sakta hai, aur yeh primary scenario ho sakta hai. Asia ki Friday trading session mein kaafi currency pairs mein volatility dekhi gayi, khaaskar Japanese yen ke mazid taqat paane ke baad jab Japan ke naye prime minister ka dobara election hua. Halankeh naye administration ki policies abhi tak clear nahi hain, lekin initial market reaction yen ke liye positive raha. USD/JPY pair bhi yeh trend follow karta hua 146.51 ke resistance level se 143.01 ke support level tak achanak gira, jismein 350 points ka nuqsan dekha gaya, aur phir 100 points aur gir ke 142.01 tak chala gaya. Friday ko market band hone par, yeh pair lagbhag 142.19 par set ho gaya, jabke Monday ko opening 143.92 par hui thi, is dauran lagbhag 173 points ka total drop dekha gaya. Is week kaafi aaram se guzar raha tha jab tak Friday ki volatility ne market ko apni lapet mein nahi le liya. Aajkal yen kaafi unpredictable hai, jabke pehle yeh ek safe-haven currency ke tor par jaana jata tha. Halankeh main concrete predictions denay se katrat karta hoon, lekin technical analysis ek aur decline ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai jo support level 140.01 tak ya shayad is se bhi neeche ja sakta hai.
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                      • #12281 Collapse

                        USD/JPY Profit Potential
                        Hamari discussion USD/JPY currency pair ki real-time price action par hai. USD/JPY pair ka recent strength badhne ki wajah ruling party ki leadership mein tabdeeli aur early parliamentary elections ka elan hai. Magar yeh political shifts aise significant economic changes ka sabab nahi lagte, isliye 143.79 support level ka breakdown zyada der tak nahi raha, aur pair jaldi se is threshold ke upar wapas aa gaya. Sabse qareebi resistance jo dollar-yen pair ke liye mazboot ho sakti hai, wo 147.28 ke aas paas hai. Mujhe shak hai ke yeh level short term mein asani se cross ho payega, isliye mein buying opportunities ko consider nahi kar raha. Iske bajaye, mujhe lagta hai sellers phir se koshish karenge ke 143.79 support ko torain, jo USD/JPY ko 142.89-142.49 zone tak push kar sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario unfold hota hai, toh mein un levels par closely dekhunga ke buying opportunities milti hain ya nahi, magar sirf unhi levels se. 4-hour chart (H4) par Ribbon indicator ek trend signal karta hai aur green color dikhata hai. 30-minute chart (M30) bhi upward trend show kar raha hai, aur ribbon indicator green hai, jo ongoing bullish movement ko support karta hai. Is basis par, 143.84 level se buying positions consider karna worth ho sakta hai, jisme initial targets us range mein honge. Magar agar Ribbon indicator koi opposing signal deta hai, toh yeh behtar hoga ke existing trades ko close kar diya jaye. USD/JPY pair abhi tak is range mein hai. Har dip se price likely hai ke wapas bounce kare, halaanke 144.59 ke qareeb resistance bhi ban raha hai. Pair koshish kar raha hai ke is resistance ko break karke iske upar stabilize kare. Magar is koshish ki success abhi uncertain hai. Jitna price extreme imbalance zone ke qareeb jata hai, downward rebound ka likelihood utna hi barhta hai. Overall, USD/JPY pair gradually appreciate kar raha hai US dollar ki broad strengthening ki wajah se, jo ke US employment report ke pehle ho rahi hai, jo Friday ko release hogi.



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                        • #12282 Collapse

                          Agar price is level tak pohchti hai aur rejection ka samna karti hai, toh yeh profit-taking ya renewed selling pressure ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo rally ke dauran hasil ki gayi gains ko reverse kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair is level ko convincingly break kar leta hai, toh yeh further buying interest ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ek ziada strong bullish trend ko suggest karta hai.
                          Lekin, traders ko longer-term upward trend mein confidence tab hoga jab currency pair key resistance level 145.60 ko overcome karega. Yeh level is liye significant hai ke pehle bhi price reversals is level par dekhne ko mile hain. 145.60 mark par shayad sellers ka intezar hoga jo market ke overextended hone ko dekhte hue profit kamaana chahte honge. Is liye yeh level aksar ziada trading volume aur heightened volatility ko dekhta hai.

                          Trading mein psychological aspect ko underestimate nahi karna chahiye. Resistance levels jaise 145.60 aksar traders ko apni positions par doobara sochne par majboor karte hain, jo market activity ko barha dete hain jab wo price movements par react karte hain. Agar pair 145.60 ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh ek significant momentum shift ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo further upward movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Wo traders jo pehli rally miss kar chuke hain, shayad positions lein, anticipating ek bullish continuation.

                          Doosri taraf, agar pair 145.60 resistance ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai aur retrace karna shuru karta hai, toh yeh ziada pronounced bearish sentiment ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is level par rejection stop-loss orders ko trigger kar sakti hai un traders se jo breakout ke liye position le chuke hain, jo price par downward pressure barha dega. Aisi surat mein, focus neeche support levels par shift hoga, jo currency pair ke agle direction ko determine karne mein pivotal role ada karenge


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                          • #12283 Collapse

                            jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein . Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko

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                            • #12284 Collapse

                              Japanese yen (JPY) ne Wednesday ko apne neeche ke rujhan ko jaari rakha aur US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein August 16 ke baad se sabse neeche ki satah ke qareeb pohoncha. Yeh girawat zyada tar kamzor Japanese iqtisadi data, Japan ke naye wazir-e-azam ke hawkish comments, aur Hezbollah aur Israel ke darmiyan mumkina ceasefire ki wajah se hui. Iske ilawa, US dollar mazid taqatwar ho gaya kyunkay Federal Reserve ke zyada aggressive easing ke chances kam ho gaye. Tuesday ko release hone wale data ke mutabiq Japan mein asal (real) ujrat August mein do mahine tak barhane ke baad gir gayi, jabke gharelu kharch (household spending) bhi kam hua. Is se private consumption aur kul iqtisadi recovery ke istemal ke barey mein tashweesh barh gayi. Yeh kamzor iqtisadi indicators yen par aur zyada dabao ka sabab banay. Iske ilawa, Japan ke naye wazir-e-azam ke monetary policy ke barey mein hawkish comments ne Bank of Japan ke rate barhane ke munsoobe mein shakhsiyat (uncertainty) barhayi. Yeh remarks yen par dabao ka aik aur sabab bane. Doosri taraf, US dollar mazid mazboot ho gaya jab Federal Reserve ke zyada aggressive easing ke chances kam ho gaye. Is tabdeeli ne US dollar ko support diya aur USD/JPY pair ko mid-148.00 ke range se upar pohoncha diya. Lekin yen ke mazid kamzor hone ke hawale se ab bhi shak baqi hai kyunkay Japanese authorities apni local currency ko support karne ke liye mudakhlat kar sakti hain. Iske ilawa, agle Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ka ijlas bhi USD/JPY pair ko asar andaz kar sakta hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair ne pichlay haftay 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ke break karne ke bawajood kuch stability dikhayi hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke haali satah par kharidari ki dilchaspi ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, pair ne 148.00 ke qareeb kaafi stability hasil ki hai, jo aik aham support level hai. Daily chart par oscillators bhi positive momentum dikhate hain, jo ke USD/JPY pair ke liye bullish trend ka imkaan hai. Lekin, agar pair 149.00 ke level ko break kar le to yeh mazid bullish outlook ko zahir kar sakta hai aur psychological 150.00 level tak barh sakta hai. Agar pair overnight swing lows (qareeban 147.35-147.30 area) se neeche girta hai to yeh qareebi bullish bias ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur 146.00-145.90 area tak girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai
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                              • #12285 Collapse

                                Charting Success: USD/JPY Prices

                                Chaliye USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza lete hain. USD/JPY ka haal filhal samajhne mein mushkil hai. Iske bawajood, hum ek overall upar ki taraf chalne ka rukh dekh rahe hain. Kal, pair ne 149 ke upar band kiya, lekin yeh zyada tar yen par pressure ki wajah se tha, jabke dollar ki taqat mein minimal momentum tha aur yeh thoda neeche bhi gaya.

                                Yeh zaroori hai ke hum dekhein ke pair ne 149.34 ka target area chua, lekin is par mazboot qadam jamane mein nakam raha. Jabke kuch log isay false breakout samajh sakte hain, main in levels par kharidari ki salahiyat nahi dunga. Lekin agar hum 149.29 ke area par phir se aate hain, to main bechne par ghoor karunga, kyunki stop-loss bahut kam hoga. Jab kisi wazeh direction ka pata chalega, main foran amal karunga, ya to kharidari karunga ya bechne ki taraf, is par depend karta hai ke kaunsa boundary zyada mumkin hai.

                                **Trend Analysis: USD/JPY**

                                Upar ka rukh ab bhi barqarar hai, lekin iski raftaar dheemi ho rahi hai. Price Ichimoku Cloud ki upper boundary ke upar consolidate ho rahi hai, lekin yeh is se zyada door nahi gayi. Ek factor jo mazeed kharidari ko support karta hai wo yeh hai ke price 149.00 ke level ke upar hai, jo ke 149.59 ki taraf barhawa de sakta hai. Lekin, mazeed barhawa ka potential uncertain hai, kyunki is level se correction ka khatara hai.

                                Agar price 149.59 se rebound hoti hai, to main pair ko bechne ka sochunga, jiska target 147.01, 146.30, aur 145.94 hoga. Buyers ko yeh dekhna hoga ke price is level se neeche na jaye, kyunki aisa hone par momentum sellers ki taraf shift ho sakta hai, jo price ko 143.51 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

                                Hourly chart par CCI indicator kharidari ka mauqa dikhata hai, lekin main ne pichle Jumme ko aisa signal nahi dekha. Price kuch waqt se 149.00 aur 149.59 ke beech hai, isliye main is range se breakout ka intezar karunga pehle position lene se pehle.
                                   

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