USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar to Japanese Yen) ka exchange rate filhal lagbhag 145.730 par hai, aur trend bearish yani ke girawat ke asraat dikha raha hai. Yeh girawat yeh batati hai ke yen dollar ke muqablay mein taqatwar ho raha hai, jis ki wajah se is currency pair ki qeemat ahista ahista gir rahi hai. Halan ke filhal market mein sust harkat hai, lekin agle kuch dino mein USD/JPY mein bara tabadla ho sakta hai, mukhtalif iqtisadi asraat ki wajah se. Ek ahem wajah jo is movement ko drive kar sakti hai, woh hai U.S. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke darmiyan monetary policy ka farq. Federal Reserve inflation ko control karne ke liye interest rates barha raha hai, jabke BoJ apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko qaim rakha huwa hai, jis mein low interest rates aur yield curve control shamil hain. Yeh farq ek badi wajah thi ke USD/JPY 2023 ke shuru mein itni oonchi satah par tha, kyun ke investors ne U.S. ke assets se zyada return liya. Lekin ab jo bearish trend USD/JPY mein hai, woh shayad market ke badalte hue jazbat ko zahir kar raha hai, kyun ke traders yeh umeed kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve rate hikes ko ahista karega ya rok dega, khaaskar agar U.S. inflation thanda hoti hai. Agar Fed koi dovish (kamzor) ishara deta hai ya agar ekonomic data kamzori dikhata hai, toh dollar aur zyada kamzor ho sakta hai yen ke muqablay mein. Is ke ilawa, Japan ke hukamran yen ke girnay ko barqiab nazar mein rakhe hue hain, aur agar zarurat pari toh wo forex market mein mudakhlat kar sakte hain taake yen ko zyada kamzor hone se roka ja sake, jo ke USD/JPY ke trend mein ulat pher la sakta hai. Doosray aalami asraat jaise ke geo-political tensions, inflation ka dabao, aur tail ke qeematain bhi market ko asar daal sakti hain. Kyun ke Japan zyada tail import karta hai, tail ki qeemat barhni yen ke liye nuksan-deh sabit hoti hai, lekin agar aalami conflicts hal ho jate hain ya energy ke kharche kam hote hain toh yen ki position behtar ho sakti hai.
Qareebi daur mein, USD/JPY ek range mein consolidate kar sakta hai, lekin agar upar di gayi wajahon mein se koi badalti hai, toh bara tabadla dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Traders ko ahem iqtisadi reports par nazar rakhni chahiye, jaise ke U.S. aur Japan se inflation ka data, employment figures, aur central bank ke faislay, kyun ke yeh sharp movements ko trigger kar sakti hain. Aakhir mein, halan ke abhi trend bearish hai, lekin USD/JPY mein agay volatility yani ke tezi se upar neeche hone ke asraat hain, jo ke kisi bhi simt mein bade swings la sakte hain.

Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global risk appetite ko boost karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech closely watched hoga kisi bhi hint ke liye jo Fed ke approach ke hawalay se ho, khaaskar balance sheet management aur quantitative tightening ke pace ke bare mein. Fed ki balance sheet reduction, jo assets ko sell karne par mabni hai, bhi ek important factor hai

positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein . Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko

USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar to Japanese Yen) ka exchange rate filhal lagbhag 145.730 par hai, aur trend bearish yani ke girawat ke asraat dikha raha hai. Yeh girawat yeh batati hai ke yen dollar ke muqablay mein taqatwar ho raha hai, jis ki wajah se is currency pair ki qeemat ahista ahista gir rahi hai. Halan ke filhal market mein sust harkat hai, lekin agle kuch dino mein USD/JPY mein bara tabadla ho sakta hai, mukhtalif iqtisadi asraat ki wajah se. Ek ahem wajah jo is movement ko drive kar sakti hai, woh hai U.S. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke darmiyan monetary policy ka farq. Federal Reserve inflation ko control karne ke liye interest rates barha raha hai, jabke BoJ apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko qaim rakha huwa hai, jis mein low interest rates aur yield curve control shamil hain. Yeh farq ek badi wajah thi ke USD/JPY 2023 ke shuru mein itni oonchi satah par tha, kyun ke investors ne U.S. ke assets se zyada return liya. Lekin ab jo bearish trend USD/JPY mein hai, woh shayad market ke badalte hue jazbat ko zahir kar raha hai, kyun ke traders yeh umeed kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve rate hikes ko ahista karega ya rok dega, khaaskar agar U.S. inflation thanda hoti hai. Agar Fed koi dovish (kamzor) ishara deta hai ya agar ekonomic data kamzori dikhata hai, toh dollar aur zyada kamzor ho sakta hai yen ke muqablay mein. Is ke ilawa, Japan ke hukamran yen ke girnay ko barqiab nazar mein rakhe hue hain, aur agar zarurat pari toh wo forex market mein mudakhlat kar sakte hain taake yen ko zyada kamzor hone se roka ja sake, jo ke USD/JPY ke trend mein ulat pher la sakta hai. Doosray aalami asraat jaise ke geo-political tensions, inflation ka dabao, aur tail ke qeematain bhi market ko asar daal sakti hain. Kyun ke Japan zyada tail import karta hai, tail ki qeemat barhni yen ke liye nuksan-deh sabit hoti hai, lekin agar aalami conflicts hal ho jate hain ya energy ke kharche kam hote hain toh yen ki position behtar ho sakti hai. Qareebi daur mein, USD/JPY ek range mein consolidate kar sakta hai, lekin agar upar di gayi wajahon mein se koi badalti hai, toh bara tabadla dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Traders ko ahem iqtisadi reports par nazar rakhni chahiye, jaise ke U.S. aur Japan se inflation ka data, employment figures, aur central bank ke faislay, kyun ke yeh sharp movements ko trigger kar sakti hain. Aakhir mein, halan ke abhi trend bearish hai, lekin USD/JPY mein agay volatility yani ke tezi se upar neeche hone ke asraat hain, jo ke kisi bhi simt mein bade swings la sakte

Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global risk appetite ko boost karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech closely watched hoga kisi bhi hint ke liye jo Fed ke approach ke hawalay se ho, khaaskar balance sheet management aur quantitative tightening ke pace ke bare mein. Fed ki balance sheet reduction, jo assets ko sell karne par mabni hai, bhi ek important factor hai

USD/JPY: Ek ghantay ka time frame recommendation

Mojooda USD/JPY ki qeemat 148.80 ke qareeb hai. Kal yeh 149.33 ke level se neeche aayi hai, jo ke United States Financial Department ki manfi khabron ki wajah se hua. Aaj, USD/JPY ke sellers ko in developments par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke koi bhi achanak khabar ya data release tez reversals ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo ke risks aur opportunities dono paida kar sakta hai. Economic calendars aur news feeds ko dekhna sellers ke liye faida mand ho sakta hai, taake wo tajurbaat ki roshni mein trading faislay kar sakein. Maslan, agar ayaan wale ashare kamzor economy ya corporate earnings mein mayusi dikhate hain, to yeh sellers ke liye faida mand sabit ho sakta hai, jo unhein munafa kamanay ke liye zaroori momentum dega.

Iske ilawa, USD/JPY ke sellers aaj dopahar mein 148.66 ka support level test kar sakte hain. Jazbat (sentiment) aksar market movements ko shape karte hain, aur investors ke darmiyan mojooda jazba samajhna trading strategies ke liye ahem sabit ho sakta hai. Agar market sentiment manfi khabron ya bearish trends ki wajah se pessimistic hota hai, to yeh sellers ko mazeed taqat de sakta hai ke wo qeematon mein girawat se faida uthayein. Sentiment indicators, Commitment of Traders (COT) report, ya social media sentiment analysis jese tools bohot zaroori insights faraham kar sakte hain ke baqi market ke participants kis tarah position le rahe hain, jo ke sellers ke trading approach ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Mojooda USD/JPY environment mein, sellers ke paas kai mokaey hain ke wo market movements se faida utha sakein. Market mein favorable conditions hain jo ke sellers ko madad deti hain ke wo strategic tor par trades enter kar sakein aur neeche ke rukh mein trading shuru kar sakein. Agar wo ghaur se analysis karein aur ek wazeh strategy banayein, to sellers ke liye munafa kamanay ke chances barh sakte hain.

**T E C H N I C A L A N A L Y S I S E U R / U S D**

Aaj hum is time frame mein tayar ki gayi EUR/USD chart ke bare mein baat karenge. Hamara maqsad aaj EUR/USD ke future price movements ka andaza lagana hai. EUR/USD iss waqt 1.0884 par trade ho raha hai. Yeh chart humein yeh signal de raha hai ke EUR/USD mein mazeed kamzori aa rahi hai. Agar hum EUR/USD ko is chart ke mutabiq dekhein, to is waqt EUR/USD kamzor ho raha hai. Is chart par technical indicators sell signals banana shuru kar rahe hain, jo 4-hour chart par puri tarah se ban chuke hain. Misal ke tor par, is chart par technical indicators yeh dikhate hain:

Signal line ya slow line, "Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)" ki zero line ya midline ke neeche hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 33.8700 par hai aur bearish momentum ko dikhata hai. Sab se dilchasp baat yeh hai ke dono indicators (MACD aur RSI) negative readings dikha rahe hain, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke EUR/USD ka price girta rahega. EUR/USD 20-day exponential moving average ke neeche trade ho raha hai. Iske sath hi, EUR/USD ka price 50-day exponential moving average ke neeche hai.

**Resistance Levels**
Current market price of EUR/USD ka resistance level 1.0950 par hai. Agar EUR/USD ka price is resistance ko break kar leta hai, to ek bohot strong resistance level 1.1073 par hai jo second level of resistance hai. Uske baad, EUR/USD 1.1209 resistance level ki taraf barhta chala jayega jo third level of resistance hai.

**Support Levels**
Doosri taraf, current market price ka support level 1.0778 par hai. Agar EUR/USD ka price is support ko break kar leta hai, to ek bohot strong support level 0.9876 ke neeche hai jo second level of support hai. Uske baad, EUR/USD mazeed girte hue 0.8765 ke support level tak ja sakta hai jo third level of support hai.

Stay blessed aur safe rahiye. Muskuraate rahiye!

**Chart mein istamaal kiye gaye indicators:**
- MACD indicator
- RSI indicator period 14
- 50-day exponential moving average (orange color)
- 20-day exponential moving average (magenta color)

USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar to Japanese Yen) ka exchange rate filhal lagbhag 145.730 par hai, aur trend bearish yani ke girawat ke asraat dikha raha hai. Yeh girawat yeh batati hai ke yen dollar ke muqablay mein taqatwar ho raha hai, jis ki wajah se is currency pair ki qeemat ahista ahista gir rahi hai. Halan ke filhal market mein sust harkat hai, lekin agle kuch dino mein USD/JPY mein bara tabadla ho sakta hai, mukhtalif iqtisadi asraat ki wajah se. Ek ahem wajah jo is movement ko drive kar sakti hai, woh hai U.S. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke darmiyan monetary policy ka farq. Federal Reserve inflation ko control karne ke liye interest rates barha raha hai, jabke BoJ apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko qaim rakha huwa hai, jis mein low interest rates aur yield curve control shamil hain. Yeh farq ek badi wajah thi ke USD/JPY 2023 ke shuru mein itni oonchi satah par tha, kyun ke investors ne U.S. ke assets se zyada return liya. Lekin ab jo bearish trend USD/JPY mein hai, woh shayad market ke badalte hue jazbat ko zahir kar raha hai, kyun ke traders yeh umeed kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve rate hikes ko ahista karega ya rok dega, khaaskar agar U.S. inflation thanda hoti hai. Agar Fed koi dovish (kamzor) ishara deta hai ya agar ekonomic data kamzori dikhata hai, toh dollar aur zyada kamzor ho sakta hai yen ke muqablay mein. Is ke ilawa, Japan ke hukamran yen ke girnay ko barqiab nazar mein rakhe hue hain, aur agar zarurat pari toh wo forex market mein mudakhlat kar sakte hain taake yen ko zyada kamzor hone se roka ja sake, jo ke USD/JPY ke trend mein ulat pher la sakta hai. Doosray aalami asraat jaise ke geo-political tensions, inflation ka dabao, aur tail ke qeematain bhi market ko asar daal sakti hain. Kyun ke Japan zyada tail import karta hai, tail ki qeemat barhni yen ke liye nuksan-deh sabit hoti hai, lekin agar aalami conflicts hal ho jate hain ya energy ke kharche kam hote hain toh yen ki position behtar ho sakti hai. Qareebi daur mein, USD/JPY ek range mein consolidate kar sakta hai, lekin agar upar di gayi wajahon mein se koi badalti hai, toh bara tabadla dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Traders ko ahem iqtisadi reports par nazar rakhni chahiye, jaise ke U.S. aur Japan se inflation ka data, employment figures, aur central bank ke faislay, kyun ke yeh sharp movements ko trigger kar sakti hain. Aakhir mein, halan ke abhi trend bearish hai, lekin USD/JPY mein agay volatility yani ke tezi se upar neeche hone ke asraat hain, jo ke kisi bhi simt mein bade swings la sakte

USD/JPY pair mein bullish movement ke zyada barqarar rehne ke imkaanat kaafi mazboot lag rahe hain. Mere H4 timeframe analysis ke mutabiq, ek detailed tasveer saamne aayi hai jo clear bullish trend pattern ko zahir karti hai, jo ke higher highs aur higher lows ke saath bana hai. Yeh setup ek aur mazid strong bullish movement ka ishara de raha hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar chuka hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh is haftay MA 200 ko bhi tod dega. Agar aisa hota hai, toh yeh baat tasleem karli jayegi ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho chuka hai. Yeh waqt hai buy options par tawajjo dene ka, kyunke mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo ke trend reversal ka confirmation hoga. H4 timeframe par bullish movements ki dominance ne ek solid bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jo ke upward continuation ka imkaan de rahi hai. In conditions ko dekhte hue, ek strong directional signal mil raha hai. Buland bullish trend ki formation aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke breakthrough ke baad, is waqt ek aur significant bullish movement ka trigger hone ka imkaan hai.

Weekly timeframe par candlestick pattern bhi yeh suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY ka bullish trend is haftay barqarar reh sakta hai. Agar yeh trend chalta raha, toh hum trading opportunities se faida utha sakte hain jo ke is dauran samnay aayengi. Humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi aane wali price fluctuations ka intezaar karna chahiye. Apne decisions ko doosre indicators aur key levels ke saath verify karna bhi zaroori hai taake accuracy ko badhaya ja sake aur kamiyabi ke chances mein izafa ho.

Is liye, USD/JPY ki progress par nazar rakhna zaroori hai aur jab mauqa mile toh action lene ke liye tayar rehna hoga. USD/JPY pair iss waqt bullish continuation ka signal de raha hai, khaaskar jab kal raat ke buying volume ne price ko 144.85 ke resistance area tak push karne ki koshish ki. Is scenario ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke market ab bhi upar ki taraf push karne ki koshish kar raha hai, kyunke movement ab bhi upward phase mein hai.

Mere agle trading plan ke liye, main 145.16 area ke aas paas buy entry lene ka soch raha hoon. Market ke movement patterns ko analyze karte hue, khaaskar jo upward movement pichlay chand ghanton mein dekhne ko mili hai, yeh batati hai ke pair gains karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Halaankeh price increase ab tak zyada bara nahi hai, magar yeh dikha raha hai ke market upar ki taraf move karne ki koshish mein hai.

Aakhir mein, key resistance levels par close watch rakhna aur multiple indicators ko combine karna humein market ke agle move ka behtareen understandin

USD/JPY ka current price 148.80 ke aas paas hai. Kal yeh 149.33 level se gira tha, jo ke US Financial Department ki negative khabron ki wajah se hua. Aaj USD/JPY ke sellers ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke koi bhi unexpected news ya data release achanak reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo risk aur mauqe dono de sakta hai. Economic calendars aur news feeds ko dekh kar bears apni trading strategies ko sahi tareeke se bana sakte hain.
Agar future economic indicators kamzor economy ya disappointing corporate earnings ki taraf ishara karte hain, toh yeh sellers ke liye acha signal ho sakta hai, jo unhein profit ke liye zaroori momentum de sakta hai. Aaj dopehar mein sellers 148.66 support ko test kar sakte hain, aur sentiment ka bhi market movements par bara asar hota hai. Investors ka mood samajhna trading strategies banane mein zaroori hota hai. Agar market sentiment negative hai ya bearish trends chal rahe hain, toh yeh sellers ke liye ek acha mauqa ho sakta hai taake price ke girne ka faida utha sakein.
Sentiment indicators, Commitment of Traders (COT) report, ya social media sentiment analysis ko dekh kar market ki positioning ko samjha ja sakta hai, jo ke bears ki strategy mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Aaj ke USD/JPY ke mahaul mein, bears ke paas kaafi mouqe hain taake woh market movements ka faida utha sakein. Agar wo sahi analysis aur strategy se kaam karein, toh profit banane ke mauqe barh jate hain. Yeh figures yeh batate hain ke Japan mein inflation abhi bhi ziddi taur par uncha hai, jo yeh ishara karta hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni 31 October ki meeting mein hawkish (sakht) rukh ikhtiyar karne wala hai. Is se pehle Bank of Japan ne is saal ke shuru mein investors ko hairaan kar diya jab us ne interest rates ko 0.10% barhaya aur negative rates se bahar nikla. Phir July ki meeting mein, unhon ne rates ko 0.25% barhaya, jo ke forex aur stock markets mein ek bari girawat ka sabab bana, kyun ke investors ne apne Japanese yen trades ko liquidate kar diya

USD/JPY currency pair is waqt 149.459 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, aur market mein bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Halanki chand recent sessions mein aahista harkat dekhne ko mili hai, lekin mazid dinon mein ek bari tabdeeli ke asaar mazid wazeh ho rahe hain. Kuch aham factors hain jo is imkaan ko barhawa de sakte hain, jo ke is currency pair mein volatility barha sakte hain.
Ek baray movement ka sab se bara sabab United States aur Japan ke darmiyan economic farq hai. U.S. Federal Reserve apni hawkish stance barqarar rakhe hue hai, aur unhon ne ye ishara diya hai ke inflation ko control karne ke liye interest rates ko mazeed arse tak buland rakha jayega. Is se U.S. dollar ki qeemat mazid mazboot hoti hai aur doosri currencies ke muqable mein us ki value barh jaati hai. Agar Fed ke lehje mein koi narmi aati hai ya economic data ye batata hai ke inflation mein kami ya labor market kamzor ho raha hai, to ye U.S. dollar ki farokht ka sabab ban sakta hai, jisse USD/JPY neeche aasakta hai.

Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan (BOJ) apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakhe hue hai, jisme negative interest rates shamil hain, jo ke is saal yen ko kamzor rakha hua hai. Magar agar BOJ ki policy mein koi tabdeeli ka ishara milta hai—jaise ke yen ko mazid kamzor hone se rokne ke liye koi intervention ya monetary easing mein kami ka andesha— to yen ki taqatwar rebound ho sakti hai, jisse USD/JPY mein achanak kami aa sakti hai. BOJ ne ishara diya hai ke agar yen aur kamzor hota hai to wo currency intervention kar sakte hain, aur aisa koi action USD/JPY ko tezi se neeche le ja sakta hai.

Geopolitical tensions, global risk sentiment, aur macroeconomic data releases jaise ke U.S. inflation figures ya Japan ka trade balance bhi is pair mein ek achanak harkat ka sabab ban sakte hain. Mazid barhawa U.S. growth data ya financial system mein koi achanak dhaka bhi de sakta hai jo traders ko apni positions shift karne par majboor karega, jis se volatility barh sakti hai.

Jabke mojooda bearish trend neechay ka dabao zahir karta hai, traders ko ek possible breakout ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, chahe wo kisi bhi simt mein ho. Technical analysis ye batata hai ke key support aur resistance levels ko test kiya ja raha hai, aur in levels ka koi bhi tootna USD/JPY mein tez harkat ko trigger kar sakta hai. Is liye, aanay wale dinon mein investors aur traders ko koi bhi aise developments par nazar rakhni chahiye jo fundamental ya technical landscape ko mutasir kar sakti hain, kyun ke ye pair mazeed arse tak neeche ya sideway nahi reh sakta.

sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega. Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood

USD/JPY Ki Haalati Jaiza

Hamare jaari jaiza ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency pair ki recent price movements aik upar ki taraf jhoka dikhati hain. Ye pair haal hi mein 141.51 ke ahm support level se upar aaya hai, jo ke naya bullish jazba dikhata hai. Pichle chand hafton mein, USD/JPY ne mazbooti se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya hai jab ke ye key resistance levels ko test kar raha hai.
USD/JPY ka 148.04 se upar nikalna is pair ki bullish momentum ke liye bohot zaroori hai. Agar ye level tod diya jata hai, to traders agle upar ke movement ki tawaqqo kar sakte hain. Agla target 148.72 bilkul theek nazar aata hai, jo ke haal ki trend ke mutabiq hai. Traders ko 147.40 par stop-loss lagana zaroori hai taake wo apne risk ko behtar tor par manage kar saken. Ye stop-loss level haal ki price action ke thoda neeche rakha gaya hai, jo market ke retrace hone par cushion faraham karega. Agar USD/JPY ka rally jaari rahta hai aur ye 148.72 ko successfully clear karta hai, to 149.33 ka target bhi mumkin hai. Ye level sirf ek psychological milestone nahi balki technical analysis ke mutabiq bhi aage ke faide ki sambhavanayein dikhata hai. Traders jo 148.04 se upar ke confirmed breakout ke baad long positions lete hain, unhe ye target hasil karna aasaan lag sakta hai, utsalar agar broader market mein bullish sentiment bana rahe.

Price Movement aur Breakout Ki Sambhavnayein

141.51 se upar aate hi, pair ne bullish outlook ke liye ek buniyad di hai. Lekin 148.04 ka resistance point abhi bhi aik bada rukawat hai, jo further upward movement ko rok raha hai. Agar USD/JPY is level ko todne mein kaamyaab hota hai, to humein 148.72 ki taraf price movement mein tez ravaani dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Is surat mein, traders ko 147.40 par stop-loss tay karna chahiye, jo unke risk ko effectively manage karne mein madadgar hoga.

Targeting aur Technical Indicators

Agar USD/JPY 148.72 ko clear kar leta hai, to 149.33 tak pohanchne ki sambhavna hai, jo aik psychological milestone hai. Technical analysis bhi ye dikhata hai ke is target tak pohanchna mumkin hai. Lekin market correction ki bhi sambhavnayein hain, jo 149.33 par selling pressure ko janam de sakti hain aur price ko 146.2 tak le ja sakti hain. Ye correction traders ko lower price point par long positions enter karne ka mauqa de sakti hai. Technical indicators jese ke moving averages aur RSI bhi bullish outlook ko support karte hain, jo ye darust karta hai ke USD/JPY ke liye upar ki taraf aur growth ki sambhavnayein hain.

**T E C H N I C A L A N A L Y S I S U S D / J P Y**

Assalam-o-Alaikum, meri taraf se sab doston aur colleagues ko acha din mubarak ho. Umeed hai ke aap sab khairiyat se honge. Aaj main apni discussion ko USD/JPY ke price movement par jari rakhoon ga. To chaliye analysis shuru karte hain. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhte hue, hum aanay walay trading dino ke liye USD/JPY ke price action ka tajziya kar sakte hain. Filhal USD/JPY bullish hai, aur yeh pair agay barhne ka imkaan rakhta hai. Is chart ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ka mood iss waqt positive hai.

Doosri taraf, hum dekh rahe hain ke dono indicators, RSI aur MACD bhi upar ki janib ja rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 50.1543 par hai jo is baat ki nishani hai ke price barh rahi hai. Saath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) bhi positive lag raha hai, kyun ke signal line ya slow line zero line ya midline se upar hai. Traders ko is pair par ek breakout ka intezar hai. Moving average indicator ne is time frame ko istemal karte hue uptrend ka tasdeeq kiya hai. USD/JPY market mein iss waqt mazboot bullish momentum hai, aur selling abhi theek trading choice nahi hai.

**Chart Indicators:**
- MACD Indicator
- RSI Indicator period 14
- 50-day Exponential Moving Average (Orange Color)
- 20-day Exponential Moving Average (Magenta Color)


USD/JPY ka pehla primary resistance zone 151.13 par hai, jo ke secondary resistance zone ke qabal hai jo 156.87 par hai. Teesra resistance area $162.98 ka hai, jo key role ada karega. Doosri taraf, USD/JPY ka primary support zone 146.24 par hai, aur secondary support zone 142.79 par hai. Teesra support area $139.77 ka hai, jo USD/JPY market ko neeche dhakelne mein aham role ada karega. Humein confirmation candle ka intezar karna chahiye. Uske baad hum yahan behtareen entry le sakte hain. Isliye, main recommend karoonga ke low point se buy entry li jaye.

**USD-JPY PAIR REVIEW**
Main ne H4 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor karne ki koshish ki. Trading session mein, jo ke Monday se shuru hui thi, market ne bullish movement ka aghaz kiya, jis se price ko agay barhne mein madad mili, halan ke ziyada nahi barhi. Phir Tuesday ke trading session mein aur Wednesday raat tak, ek downward correction nazar aayi. Pichlay haftay ke trading session mein, market ka trend correction mode mein tha. Iss surat-e-haal ka matlab ye hai ke USD/JPY market trend abhi bhi buyers ke qaboo mein hai.

Technical indicator par, Lime Relative Strength Index (14) line ko dekha gaya hai ke woh thodi si neeche gir gayi hai, 50 level ke qareeb, kyun ke kal raat market ne thodi si correction face ki. MACD indicator ka histogram bar thoda chhota hua hai lekin abhi bhi zero level ke upar hai. Chand hafton se, candlestick movement ne yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ko par karte hue aage barhne mein kamyabi hasil ki hai.

**CONCLUSION:**

Monitoring aur kai technical indicators se data ikattha karne ke baad, ziada indicators yeh dikhate hain ke USDJPY currency pair ke bullish trend mein aage barhne ka imkaan abhi bhi mojood hai. Aur ab price 148.60 level ke upar mazid aaram se chal rahi hai, is liye agle dinon mein candlestick movement ke mazeed barhne ka imkaan hai.

Agar price 149.30 ka level chhoo leti hai, to ek achi trading choice BUY karna hoga jisme shuruati target 150.00 ka level hoga. Agar hum pichle chand dino ke market movements ki structure ko dekhein, to yeh mumkin hai ke price week ke akhir tak mazeed upar barh sake.