USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global risk appetite ko boost karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech closely watched hoga kisi bhi hint ke liye jo Fed ke approach ke hawalay se ho, khaaskar balance sheet management aur quantitative tightening ke pace ke bare mein. Fed ki balance sheet reduction, jo assets ko sell karne par mabni hai, bhi ek important factor hai

USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar to Japanese Yen) ka exchange rate filhal lagbhag 145.730 par hai, aur trend bearish yani ke girawat ke asraat dikha raha hai. Yeh girawat yeh batati hai ke yen dollar ke muqablay mein taqatwar ho raha hai, jis ki wajah se is currency pair ki qeemat ahista ahista gir rahi hai. Halan ke filhal market mein sust harkat hai, lekin agle kuch dino mein USD/JPY mein bara tabadla ho sakta hai, mukhtalif iqtisadi asraat ki wajah se. Ek ahem wajah jo is movement ko drive kar sakti hai, woh hai U.S. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke darmiyan monetary policy ka farq. Federal Reserve inflation ko control karne ke liye interest rates barha raha hai, jabke BoJ apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko qaim rakha huwa hai, jis mein low interest rates aur yield curve control shamil hain. Yeh farq ek badi wajah thi ke USD/JPY 2023 ke shuru mein itni oonchi satah par tha, kyun ke investors ne U.S. ke assets se zyada return liya. Lekin ab jo bearish trend USD/JPY mein hai, woh shayad market ke badalte hue jazbat ko zahir kar raha hai, kyun ke traders yeh umeed kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve rate hikes ko ahista karega ya rok dega, khaaskar agar U.S. inflation thanda hoti hai. Agar Fed koi dovish (kamzor) ishara deta hai ya agar ekonomic data kamzori dikhata hai, toh dollar aur zyada kamzor ho sakta hai yen ke muqablay mein. Is ke ilawa, Japan ke hukamran yen ke girnay ko barqiab nazar mein rakhe hue hain, aur agar zarurat pari toh wo forex market mein mudakhlat kar sakte hain taake yen ko zyada kamzor hone se roka ja sake, jo ke USD/JPY ke trend mein ulat pher la sakta hai.
Doosray aalami asraat jaise ke geo-political tensions, inflation ka dabao, aur tail ke qeematain bhi market ko asar daal sakti hain. Kyun ke Japan zyada tail import karta hai, tail ki qeemat barhni yen ke liye nuksan-deh sabit hoti hai, lekin agar aalami conflicts hal ho jate hain ya energy ke kharche kam hote hain toh yen ki position behtar ho sakti hai.
Qareebi daur mein, USD/JPY ek range mein consolidate kar sakta hai, lekin agar upar di gayi wajahon mein se koi badalti hai, toh bara tabadla dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Traders ko ahem iqtisadi reports par nazar rakhni chahiye, jaise ke U.S. aur Japan se inflation ka data, employment figures, aur central bank ke faislay, kyun ke yeh sharp movements ko trigger kar sakti hain. Aakhir mein, halan ke abhi trend bearish hai, lekin USD/JPY mein agay volatility yani ke tezi se upar neeche hone ke asraat hain, jo ke kisi bhi simt mein bade swings la sakte hain.

USDJPY Pair Ka H-4 Time Frame Mein Jaiza

USDJPY pair ki halat pichle maheenay ke shuruat se bullish rahi hai, jo ke upar ki taraf barh rahi hai aur simple moving average zone (100 period) se door jaane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Is bullish safar ne price ko mahine ki sab se unchi level 149.99 tak pahuncha diya. Lekin jab market ne maheenay ki tabdeeli ka marahil shuru kiya, yani pichle September ke akhri din, to market mein ek downward correction dekha gaya, jisne candlestick ko simple moving average zone (100 period) se neeche gira diya.




Neeche diye gaye graph ke mutabiq, is mahine ki shuruat se market ke halaat bullish safar ki taraf zyada rujhan rakhte hain, jo sab se neeche ke position se door ja raha hai. Aaj dopahar tak, price simple moving average zone (100 period) ke upar thi aur upar ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi. Jab journal update hua, to price downward correction ke pressure mein thi aur price position 149.06 ke aas-paas thi. Agar hum is mahine ke shuruat se price movement ko dekhein, to aisa lagta hai ke price movement barh sakti hai, jo candlestick ko upward trend par rakhegi.

Aaj USDJPY pair ne apni market ki shuruat 149.75 se ki, aur 4-hour time frame mein buyers ka asar dekha gaya jo prices ko barhane mein madadgar hain. Halankeh downward correction tha, lekin buyers ne upward trend ki umeed banaye rakhi. Agar hum bullish trend ki taraf dekhein, mujhe lagta hai ke market ab bhi Uptrend ka intezar kar rahi hai. Candlesticks jo 100-period simple moving average zone se upar hain, inki wajah se is hafte mujhe lagta hai ke price apne upward journey ko jaari rakhne ka mauqa hai. Agar buyers price ko 149.80 ke aas-paas barha sakte hain, to agla bullish target 150.74 hoga.

USD/JPY Market Ka Jaiza

Good Morning doston!

Kal USD/JPY ka market 149.88 ke aas-paas pahuncha. Buyers ka optimism yeh hai ke wo teen din tak stability banaye rakh sakte hain. Lekin agar Fed ki taraf se rate hikes mein kami ya wapas lene ke ishare milte hain, to dollar ko neeche ki taraf pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Isliye, in tamaam economic events ke mad-e-nazar, ek customized trading strategy banani zaroori hai jo volatility ke dauran achi tarah se kaam kare.

News ki wajah se hone wali market movements aksar tezi se price fluctuations ka sabab banti hain, isliye tayar rehna zaroori hai. Ek behtareen tareeqa yeh hai ke lambi time frames par focus kiya jaye, jaise daily ya weekly charts, jo short-term market noise ko filter karne mein madadgar hote hain.

Bade trends aur key support aur resistance levels ka jaiza le kar, traders market ki direction ko behtar samajh sakte hain aur temporary price spikes ya dips se behtar bacha sakte hain. Aasha hai ke USD/JPY ka market ab bhi buyers ke haq mein rahega. Lekin humein US dollar se related aanewali news data par nazar rakhni chahiye.

Saath hi, ek news-based trading strategy tayar karna bhi madadgar ho sakta hai, jo traders ko economic data releases par market ki reaction ka faida uthane ka mauqa de. Isme key news events ko pehle se pehchanna aur mumkinah outcomes par trades set karna shamil hai.

Ek technique yeh hai ke significant support aur resistance levels ke nazdeek pending orders rakhein, jisse traders market mein tab enter kar sakein jab prices news ka jawab dene lagein, bina movement ka peecha kiye. Yeh approach sudden market reversals se bachne mein madad deti hai aur volatile periods mein consistent profits hasil karne ka mauqa deti hai.

Chaliye dekhte hain ke kuch ghanton baad USD/JPY market mein kya hota hai.




Stay blessed aur pur sukoon rahiye!

USD/JPY Price Movement Ka Jaiza

Hamare discussion ka topic USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements ka analysis hai. Halankeh bullish trend chal raha hai, lekin mein USD/JPY pair ke liye bearish outlook rakh raha hoon. Upar ki taraf movement dominant hai aur aaj local highs dekhne ko mil sakte hain, lekin yeh nahi pata ke yeh growth kab tak chalegi. Ek taraf yen pressure mein hai, jabke doosri taraf dollar din bhar steadily barh raha hai.

Main in price levels par trades karne mein hichkichahat mehsoos kar raha hoon, khaaskar buying ke liye. Halankeh mujhe umeed hai ke price 150 ke paar ja sakti hai, lekin mein is point par sell signals ka intezar kar raha hoon. Mein pair ke girne ki sambhavana ko bhi nahi inkaar karta. Ho sakta hai ke thodi si upar ki taraf movement ho, jo ascending channel ki upper boundary tak pahunche, yani 149.03 tak. Price ek inverted triangle ke andar nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke iska upper boundary ke nazdeek hai, jo jaldi reversal ka ishara de raha hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to pair neeche ki taraf triangle ki lower boundary ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ke shayad 137.47 level par hoga.




Pichle hafte, hourly chart par Monday ko decline dekha gaya, jab 148.635 ka support tod diya gaya, jisse sell signal mila jo 147.101 ko target kar raha tha. Price Tuesday tak is support tak pahuncha, aur signal bhi mumkin tha. Halankeh price ne exact support level ko nahi chhua, lekin usne adha rasta tay kiya aur phir reverse ho gaya.

Wednesday ko 148.635 par resistance dekhne ko mila, jo ke is level ke upar consolidation ki taraf gaya, jisse 151.737 ke resistance ki taraf buy signal mila. Thursday ne resistance breakout ko confirm kiya, aur Friday ko range dekhne ko mili. Monday tak price 151.737 ki taraf barh rahi thi. Yeh target kal ke liye bhi relevant hai. Agar price 151.737 ko todti hai, to agla buying target 152.785 ka resistance hoga. Lekin agar 148.635 ka support mazid possible hai, to agla selling target 147.101 hoga.

USD/JPY Ka Jaiza

Pichli baar USD/JPY currency market bullish rahi, aur market mein kaafi izafa dekha gaya. Is hafte ke economic calendar mein JPY se related koi khaas news nahi hai, isliye USD/JPY traders ko U.S. news data par rely karna padega. Is wajah se, is hafte buyers ki dominance rahegi, aur market upward trend ko continue karega.

Aam tor par, market aaj aur kal bullish rahne ki sambhavana hai. Japan se koi khaas developments na hone ki wajah se, humein U.S. data par focus karna padega. American economic news par inhe reliance is liye zaroori hai kyunki yeh USD/JPY exchange rate par asar daal sakti hai. Employment figures, inflation rates, aur GDP growth jaise factors sabhi decisions aur market sentiment ko influence karte hain.

Agar U.S. se koi positive reports aati hain, to yeh current bullish trend ko mazid taqat de sakti hain, jisse zyada buyers aakar market ko aur bhi upar le ja sakte hain. Lekin agar data disappointing hoti hai, to positions ka dobara jaiza liya ja sakta hai. Filhal ka nazariya optimistic hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke is hafte buyers strong rahenge, khaaskar jab U.S. economic recovery ke aas paas confidence barh raha hai.

Japanese news ki kami ka matlab yeh hai ke market U.S. developments par zyada strongly react karega, jisse USD/JPY market mein volatility barh sakti hai. Yeh situation un logon ke liye mauqe paida karti hai jo economic indicators ko samajh sakte hain aur market movements ka andaza laga sakte hain.




Jaise jaise hafte aage badhega, U.S. economic releases par nazar rakhna USD/JPY trading mein shamil sab ke liye zaroori hoga. Kul milakar, market upward trend ko continue rakhegi, jo bullish sentiment aur strong buyer activity ke combination se driven hai. Jab tak U.S. data supportive rahega, USD/JPY pair apne upward trajectory par bana rahega. U.S. economic data aur Japanese news ki kami ke beech ka ye interplays USD/JPY market mein continued bullish movement ki umeed ko mazid majboot karta hai.

USD/JPY Ka Jaiza

Paar ne Monday ko chouthay din ke liye apni upar ki taraf movement ko barhaya, jisse 0.58% ka izafa dekha gaya jab October shuru hua. North American session ke doran liquidity kam hone ke bawajood, yeh pair 149.01 ke daily low se upar uth kar 149.86 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha jab yeh likha ja raha tha. Yeh steady izafa ongoing market dynamics ko darshata hai, jo ke Japanese yen aur US dollar ko prabhavit karne wale domestic aur international economic factors se driven hai.

USD/JPY Ke Fundamentals:

Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data agle significant move ko US dollar mein drive karega. Yeh data Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policy decisions ke liye market speculation par asar daalega. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed se expect hai ke wo September mein policy normalization ki taraf barh sakta hai, lekin aane wale interest rate cuts ki magnitude ke bare mein uncertainty hai. 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing tool 50 basis points (bps) rate reduction ki 34.5% sambhavana darshata hai, jabke zyadatar traders chhoti 25 bps cut par bet laga rahe hain.

Halankeh Fed se agle meeting mein interest rates cut karne ki umeed hai, market is reduction ki extent par divided hai. Ek bada hissa traders 25 bps cut ki umeed kar raha hai, jabke kuch minority ab bhi 50 bps ki aggressive cut ki umeed rakhti hai. Yeh division global economy mein broader uncertainties ko darshata hai, jo currency markets, khaaskar USD/JPY par asar daal raha hai.




Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Yeh pair apne 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko test kar sakta hai, jo ke 149.78 ke aas-paas hai. Iske baad ek key downtrend line 148.27 ke nazdeek hai. Agar pair in levels se neeche girta hai, to yeh mahine ke low 148.00 tak gir sakta hai, aur iske baad support 147.36 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh levels traders ke liye critical hain kyunki yeh currency pair ke agle directional move ko indicate kar sakte hain.

Monday ko, pair 149.90 ke nazdeek trade kar raha tha, aur hourly chart par nazar dalne se pata chalta hai ke yeh pair downtrend line ke upar hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bearish bias kam ho raha hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se neeche hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bearish trend ab bhi barqarar hai. Traders ko hamesha ehtiyaat baratni chahiye, kyunki RSI yeh indicate karta hai ke halankeh recent bullish momentum hai, lekin abhi bhi neeche ki taraf movement ki sambhavana maujood hai.

USD/JPY Ka Jaiza

Good morning,

Agar mein pichle hafte ke market band hone tak nazar rakhun, to USD/JPY market mein price journey ab bhi upar ki taraf trade hoti nazar aati hai. Pichle hafte ke darmiyan ek downward correction dekha gaya, lekin overall market ab bhi bullish hai, kyunki current price position pichle hafte ke closing price se uchi hai. Market ko asal mein sellers neeche la sakte hain, lekin yeh sirf 142.98 ke price zone tak gir sakta hai.

Buyers ki taraf se ab bhi control dekhne ko mil raha hai, jo candlestick ko dobara upar le jane mein madadgar hai. Filhal, jo cheez dekhne ki zaroorat hai wo sellers ki koshish hai prices ko neeche le jane ki, jaise ke pichle hafte ke end mein dekha gaya. Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, USD/JPY market ki halat bullish rally mein hai, jaisa ke signal line ka position 80 ke highest level ko penetrate kar raha hai. Is hafte ke shuruat mein price journey Uptrend ki taraf lag rahi hai, isliye mujhe lagta hai ke market trend bullish rahne ke liye mauqa banata hai, kyunki market ab bhi buyers ke control mein hai.




Umeed hai ke candlestick dobara upar chalegi aur 149.79 ke price zone ko test karegi, kyunki technically is hafte ka trend bullish hai. Upar diye gaye mapping se market ki halat ko dekhte hue, yeh baaki traders ko Buy position chunne mein madad de sakta hai, jisse price ke uchi zone tak jane ke mauqe barh sakte hain. Aise lagta hai ke price ko neeche lane ki koshishain hongi, lekin buyers ka control ab bhi mazboot hai, isliye mujhe lagta hai ke izafa ka mauqa bohot bada hai.

Trading Recommendation: BUY

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

USD/JPY ne D1 chart par ek mazboot bearish channel banaya hai, aur ab value is channel ke andar apni upward corrective movement ko continue kar rahi hai, jo 149.20 ke aas-paas upper limit tak pahuncha hai. Is level par mujhe ek bounce aur downtrend ka continuation dekhne ki umeed hai. Buyers aur sellers dono 149.95 ka level target kar sakte hain, jisse incomplete orders milenge. Bears 149.10 aur 148.80 ke levels ko target kar sakte hain. Is unit space mein ek mazboot aur asal minimum hai. 149.80 level se rebound hone par, is value tak pahunchnay ki sambhavana hai.




USD/JPY M30 chart par north ki taraf trade kar raha hai, jahan ek strong uptrend nazar aa raha hai jo pehle banaye gaye channel ke laayak hai. Filhal value 149.55 par trade kar rahi hai, aur yeh lagta hai ke yeh 148.95 tak barh rahi hai. Mujhe is tool ke saath koi commercial position nahi hai; isliye market mein zyada jaldi enter karne se bachna behtar hai. Iska behtareen tareeqa yeh hai ke value chart par nazar rakhi jaye.

Mere indicators kehtay hain ke local resistance 149.80 par hai, jahan breakout ka mauqa hai. Jab tak prices barh rahi hain, hamesha tayyar rehna chahiye ke jab manipulators market ko manipulate karna band karein, tab suitable trade options banti hain. Agar hum 148.30 ke level se peeche hatte hain to bohot se options faida mand ho sakte hain. 149.15 par second resistance support provide karegi, aur resistance 149.65 par peak ke through milegi. Market ne baar-baar resistance level ko touch kiya hai bina isse tode, isliye in do resistance levels ko todna mushkil lagta hai. Trend line ke mutabiq, market kaafi der se up hai. Lekin 100-day simple moving average bhi apne support level ke neeche hai, aur 150-day simple moving average mein bhi kami hai.

Good Evening Invest Social Members!

Umeed hai ke aap sab khair maqdam hain aur is platform par apna tajurba enjoy kar rahe hain. Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair par nazar dalenge, khaaskar H4 time frame par. Yeh time frame un logon ke liye bohot zaroori hai jo medium-term trading strategies pasand karte hain, kyunki yeh market movements ka ek behtar nazar deta hai mukable chhote time frames ke.

Filhal, USD/JPY market ek critical juncture par hai. Key resistance level 150.10 ab bhi mazboot hai, aur pair is significant threshold ko todne mein nakam raha hai. Is resistance level ko pichle sessions mein kai baar test kiya gaya, lekin har dafa selling pressure ne price ko thoda peeche kiya hai. Traders ke liye ek ahem sawal yeh hai ke kya USD/JPY pair is hafte upar ki taraf barh sakta hai aur 150.10 resistance ko tod sakta hai. Halankeh ab tak aisa nahi hua, is possibility ko samajhne ke liye kai factors hain.




Technical Analysis:

H4 chart par moving averages valuable insights de sakte hain. Agar shorter-term moving averages, jaise ke 20-period ya 50-period averages, upar ki taraf slope karna shuru karte hain aur lambi muddat ke moving averages ko cross karte hain, to yeh bullish signal hoga, jo darshata hai ke upward momentum barh raha hai. Iske ilawa, agar Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral ya slightly overbought territory mein rehta hai, to yeh yeh suggest kar sakta hai ke price ke aur barhne ki jagah abhi bhi hai pehle correction hone se pehle.

Pehla, US dollar ki broader strength bohot zaroori hai. Dollar ne haal hi mein doosri badi currencies ke muqablay mein considerable resilience dikhayi hai, jo positive economic data aur Federal Reserve ke tight monetary policy ke expectations se driven hai. Agar US economic outlook mazboot rehta hai, aur future interest rate hikes ki speculation barhti hai, to yeh USD/JPY ke liye 150.10 resistance ko todne ke liye zaroori momentum faraham kar sakta hai.

Agar USD/JPY pair ab tak 150.10 resistance level ko nahi tod paya, to is hafte upar ki taraf barhne ki sambhavana ab bhi maujood hai. Traders ko technical indicators aur kisi bhi key economic events ya news releases par nazar rakhni chahiye jo currency pair ko prabhavit kar sakti hain. Agar dollar mazboot rehta hai aur yen kamzor, to breakout ho sakta hai, lekin caution zaroori hai kyunki central bank intervention ka khatara hota hai. Market developments par nazar rakhein, aur hamesha proper risk management ke sath trading karein.

ng averages, jaise ke 20-period ya 50-period averages, upar ki taraf slope karna shuru karte hain aur lambi muddat ke moving averages ko cross karte hain, to yeh bullish signal hoga, jo darshata hai ke upward momentum barh raha hai. Iske ilawa, agar Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral ya slightly overbought territory mein rehta hai, to yeh yeh suggest kar sakta hai ke price ke aur barhne ki jagah abhi bhi hai pehle correction hone se pehle.
Pehla, US dollar ki broader strength bohot zaroori hai. Dollar ne haal hi mein doosri badi currencies ke muqablay mein considerable resilience dikhayi hai, jo positive economic data aur Federal Reserve ke tight monetary policy ke expectations se driven hai. Agar US economic outlook mazboot rehta hai, aur future interest rate hikes ki speculation barhti hai, to yeh USD/JPY ke liye 150.10 resistance ko todne ke liye zaroori momentum faraham kar sakta hai.

Agar USD/JPY pair ab tak 150.10 resistance level ko nahi tod paya, to is hafte upar ki taraf barhne ki sambhavana ab bhi maujood hai. Traders ko technical indicators aur kisi bhi key economic events ya news releases par nazar rakhni chahiye jo currency pair ko prabhavit kar sakti hain. Agar dollar mazboot rehta hai aur yen kamzor, to breakout ho sakta hai, lekin caution zaroori hai kyunki central bank intervention ka khatara hota hai. Market developments pa

currency pair 144.00 level ke qareeb aata hai, yeh traders ke liye aksar ek psychological barrier ban jata hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein ek tabadli ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo ek short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai. Short-covering tab hoti hai jab wo traders jo currency pair ke against bet karte hain (yaani short positions lete hain), apni positions close karna shuru karte hain jab prices upar jati hain. Yeh buying pressure momentum create kar sakta hai jo price ko upar le jaye, aur shayad agle resistance area tak pohcha de jo 144.55 hai.
144.55 level is liye crucial hai kyun ke yeh ek short-term resistance point ko represent karta hai jise traders ghoor se dekh rahe honge. Agar price is level tak pohchti hai aur rejection ka samna karti hai, toh yeh profit-taking ya renewed selling pressure ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo rally ke dauran hasil ki gayi gains ko reverse kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair is level ko convincingly break kar leta hai, toh yeh further buying interest ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ek ziada strong bullish trend ko suggest karta hai.

Lekin, traders ko longer-term upward trend mein confidence tab hoga jab currency pair key resistance level 145.60 ko overcome karega. Yeh level is liye significant hai ke pehle bhi price reversals is level par dekhne ko mile hain. 145.60 mark par shayad sellers ka intezar hoga jo market ke overextended hone ko dekhte hue profit kamaana chahte honge. Is liye yeh level aksar ziada trading volume aur heightened volatility ko dekhta hai.

Trading mein psychological aspect ko underestimate nahi karna chahiye. Resistance levels jaise 145.60 aksar traders ko apni positions par doobara sochne par majboor karte hain, jo market activity ko barha dete hain jab wo price movements par react karte hain. Agar pair 145.60 ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh ek significant momentum shift ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo further upward movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Wo traders jo pehli rally miss kar chuke hain, shayad positions lein, anticipating ek bullish continuation

agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein . Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai

Faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega. Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par

Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global risk appetite ko boost karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech closely watched hoga kisi bhi hint ke liye jo Fed ke approach ke hawalay se ho, khaaskar balance sheet management aur quantitative tightening ke pace ke bare mein. Fed ki balance sheet reduction, jo assets ko sell karne par mabni hai, bhi ek important factor