USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ki Price Action par Base: USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka analysis hamaray liye aaj ka central topic hoga. USD/JPY ne trading week ko 146.69 ke area par correction ke sath khatam kiya, aur upward trend ko continue rakha. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend dikha rahe hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hold kar rahi hain, jo ke US dollar par intense buyer pressure ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh bhi ke current levels se growth ka potential maujood hai. Iss point par hum ek potential price correction ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke support level 145.01 ke qareeb test ho sakta hai. Agar is ke baad rebound hota hai, to yeh pair ko 150.01 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh decline ko continue karne ka signal hoga, aur possible target 142.01 area ke neeche ho sakta hai. Bull ne trend line break hone ke baad dobara control lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki efforts sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdoood rahi, aur koi significant breakthrough nahi ho saka.
Dosri taraf, agar bulls dobara trend line ko break karne mein kamyab ho jate hain aur uske upar position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. General movement of average prices neeche ki taraf hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle dynamic filter ki control line correction ko support de rahi thi, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke sellers gradually momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows ke indicators, jisme dynamic RSI bhi shamil hai, neeche ki taraf turn ho rahe hain, halankeh dynamic RSI abhi channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi hui. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere neeche shift ho rahi hai, jab ke day aur week RSI neeche hain, aur downward trend ke sath aligned hain.
Predict karna mushkil hai ke agli downward move mein price kitni neeche ja sakti hai, lekin sabse qareebi target 145.51 hai. Iske baad ka direction abhi uncertain hai
USD/JPY currency ki wave structure ko dekhen, toh direction ab kaafi clear hai ke yeh bearish trend mein hai. Jo waves ban rahi hain, wo impulsive waves hain, jo wave one ke shuru honay se start hoti hain. Wave one ke andar paanch waves hain aur wave three bhi waisi hi hai, jo sabse lambi wave hai. Lekin, jo structure sahi tarah se nazar nahi aa raha wo correction wave ka movement hai, yani wave two. Wave two ka movement flat hai aur zyadah monowave lagti hai. Jab ke wave four mein aik tezi se wave ka formation hota hai jo flat aur lamba lagta hai.

. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 level ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai, tou yeh bullish pressure ke kamzor honay ki nishani ho sakti hai. Yeh resistance level market ke liye ek psychological aur technical barrier ka kaam karta hai. Agar yeh breach na ho paya, tou traders apni long positions ko reduce kar sakte hain, jo ke pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai

raha hai, jab ke din ke low 148.08 ko hit karne ke baad bounce back hua, jo ke bazaar mein ehtiyaat ka izhar karta hai. Lekin, yeh pair ab bhi week ke aakhir mein anay walay aham economic data ki wajah se exposed hai, jo ke mazeed market movement ko trigger kar sakta hai.USD ki taqat ka aik bara wajah US Durable Goods Orders ka strong performance tha, jo ke August mein 9.9% month-over-month barh gaye. Yeh bara izafa tha, khaaskar June ke 6.9% decline ke baad, aur market ki expectation se kafi zyada tha jo ke 4.0% ka izafa tha. Yeh May 2020 se sabse bara izafa tha, jis ne US economy ke slowdown ke hawalay se kuch tashveesh door ki aur US dollar ko temporary boost diya.Federal Reserve ke officials ne bhi overall market outlook mein dovish comments diye. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker ne zor diya ke interest rates ko dheere dheere kam karna chahiye, jo ke Fed ki ehtiyaat se approach ko zahir karta hai. Isi tarah, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke mojooda monetary policy pehle hi kaafi restrictive hai aur Fed ka focus ab employment targets hasil karne par hai. In remarks ne US dollar ke faiday ko limited rakha, kyun ke market ne mazeed rate hikes ke hawalay se apni expectations adjust kar li.Japanese side par, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne market ko yeh yaqeen dilaya ke central bank ka koi immediate plan nahi hai ke long-term Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ko sell karain, as part of apni interest rate adjustment strategy. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar JGB purchases ko kam kiya gaya tou yeh BoJ ke overall balance sheet ka aik chhota hissa hoga. Sath hi, unho ne yeh bhi bataya ke thodi interest rate adjustments ho sakti hain agar economic conditions bank ki forecast ke mutabiq hui, lekin koi bara policy shift abhi expect nahi kiya ja raha. Aagey dekhte huay, yeh pair ab ek aham downtrend line ke qareeb hai jo ke 148.00 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai tou mazeed declines dekhnay ko mil sakte hain, aur agla target October 4th ka low 145.93 hoga. Agar yeh level break hota h

correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka USD/JPY ko bara taur par dekha jaye, toh downtrend ko extend karein aur samjhein ke pair ne uptrend ko tod diya hai, aur agar trend badla nahi, toh pair ek achi correction ki taraf ja raha hai. 147.18 se neeche, kam az kam yeh technically hona chahiye, ya toh pair mojooda level par kuch dair tak stable rahe aur phir barh jaye, lekin correct ho. Yahan, khud US dollar market-wide correction ke liye tayar hai. Yeh girawat ruk gaya hai aur ab waqt hai 3-4% correction ka, toh growth zyada zahir hai, aur girawat ka silsila jari rahega. Agar pair 140.50 ke qareeb break karta hai, toh yeh lagbhag ek naya low aur ek mazbootlagbhag ek naya low aur ek mazboot level hoga. Kal hum University of Michigan inflation forecast ka intezar karenge aur market ke ispar reaction ko dekhenge. Sach kahun toh aaj ke US data par market ka reaction ajeeb tha. level hoga. Kal hum University of Michigan inflation forecast ka intezar karenge aur market ke ispar reaction

Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega. Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood oscillators ke gha

recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 level ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai, tou yeh bullish pressure ke kamzor honay ki nishani ho sakti hai. Yeh resistance level market ke liye ek psychological aur technical barrier ka kaam karta hai. Agar yeh breach na ho paya, tou traders apni long

ke US Dollar ki nayi taqat se mazid mazbooti mili. Filhal yeh pair 148.59 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jab ke din ke low 148.08 ko hit karne ke baad bounce back hua, jo ke bazaar mein ehtiyaat ka izhar karta hai. Lekin, yeh pair ab bhi week ke aakhir mein anay walay aham economic data ki wajah se exposed hai, jo ke mazeed market movement ko trigger kar sakta hai.USD ki taqat ka aik bara wajah US Durable Goods Orders ka strong performance tha, jo ke August mein 9.9% month-over-month barh gaye. Yeh bara izafa tha, khaaskar June ke 6.9% decline ke baad, aur market ki expectation se kafi zyada tha jo ke 4.0% ka izafa tha. Yeh May 2020 se sabse bara izafa tha, jis ne US economy ke slowdown ke hawalay se kuch tashveesh door ki aur US dollar ko temporary boost diya.Federal Reserve ke officials ne bhi overall market outlook mein dovish comments diye. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker ne zor diya ke interest rates ko dheere dheere kam karna chahiye, jo ke Fed ki ehtiyaat se approach ko zahir karta hai. Isi tarah, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke mojooda monetary policy pehle hi kaafi restrictive hai aur Fed ka focus ab employment targets hasil karne par hai. In remarks ne US dollar ke faiday ko limited rakha, kyun ke market ne mazeed rate hikes ke hawalay se apni expectations adjust kar li.Japanese side par, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne market ko yeh yaqeen dilaya ke central bank ka koi immediate plan nahi hai ke long-term Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ko sell karain, as part of apni interest rate adjustment strategy. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar JGB purchases ko kam kiya gaya tou yeh BoJ ke overall balance sheet ka aik chhota hissa hoga. Sath hi, unho ne yeh bhi bataya ke thodi interest rate adjustments ho sakti hain agar economic conditions bank ki forecast ke mutabiq hui, lekin koi bara policy shift abhi expect nahi kiya ja raha. Aagey dekhte huay, yeh pair ab ek aham downtrend line ke qareeb hai jo ke 148.00 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai tou mazeed declines dekhnay ko mil sakte hain, aur agla target October 4th ka low 145.93 hoga. Agar yeh level break hota ha

hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 level ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai, tou yeh bullish pressure ke kamzor honay ki nishani ho sakti hai. Yeh resistance level market ke liye ek psychological aur technical barrier ka kaam karta hai. Agar yeh breach na ho paya, tou traders

raha hai, jab ke din ke low 148.08 ko hit karne ke baad bounce back hua, jo ke bazaar mein ehtiyaat ka izhar karta hai. Lekin, yeh pair ab bhi week ke aakhir mein anay walay aham economic data ki wajah se exposed hai, jo ke mazeed market movement ko trigger kar sakta hai.USD ki taqat ka aik bara wajah US Durable Goods Orders ka strong performance tha, jo ke August mein 9.9% month-over-month barh gaye. Yeh bara izafa tha, khaaskar June ke 6.9% decline ke baad, aur market ki expectation se kafi zyada tha jo ke 4.0% ka izafa tha. Yeh May 2020 se sabse bara izafa tha, jis ne US economy ke slowdown ke hawalay se kuch tashveesh door ki aur US dollar ko temporary boost diya.Federal Reserve ke officials ne bhi overall market outlook mein dovish comments diye. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker ne zor diya ke interest rates ko dheere dheere kam karna chahiye, jo ke Fed ki ehtiyaat se approach ko zahir karta hai. Isi tarah, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke mojooda monetary policy pehle hi kaafi restrictive hai aur Fed ka focus ab employment targets hasil karne par hai. In remarks ne US dollar ke faiday ko limited rakha, kyun ke market ne mazeed rate hikes ke hawalay se apni expectations adjust kar li.Japanese side par, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne market ko yeh yaqeen dilaya ke central bank ka koi immediate plan nahi hai ke long-term Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ko sell karain, as part of apni interest rate adjustment strategy. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar JGB purchases ko kam kiya gaya tou yeh BoJ ke overall balance sheet ka aik chhota hissa hoga. Sath hi, unho ne yeh bhi bataya ke thodi i

pair mein bullish movement ka strong imkaan hai. Meri H4 timeframe ki analysis ke mutabiq, ek tafseeli tasveer samne aayi hai jo ye dikhati hai ke bullish movement ne ek wazeh bullish trend pattern bana liya hai, jo ke higher highs aur higher lows se pehchana ja sakta hai. Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko dikhata hai. Meri raaye mein, ye haalaat ek strong directional signal faraham kar rahe hain. Buland bullish trend ke formation aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke breakthrough ke bawajood, ye waqt ek aur significant bullish movement ko trigger karne ka potential rakhta hai. Weekly timeframe par candlestick pattern bhi ye suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY is hafte apna bullish trend barqarar rakhega. Agar ye trend jaari rehta hai, to hum trading opportunities se faida utha sakte hain jo is dauran samne aayengi. Humein hamesha kisi bhi price fluctuation par nazar rakhni chahiye jo ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Apne decisions ko doosray indicators aur key levels ke zariye verify karna zaroori hai taake hum apni accuracy ko barha sakein aur success ke chances ko mazid improve kar sakein. Is liye, zaroori hai ke hum USD/JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur jab moqa mile to fauran action len. USD/JPY pair is waqt bullish continuation ka signal de raha hai, khaaskar jab ke kal raat ke buying volume ne price ko 144.85 resistance area ki taraf push karne ki koshish ki thi. Iss scenario ke madde nazar, mera khayal hai ke market ab bhi upar janay ki koshish kar raha hai, kyunki movement ab bhi upward phase mein hai. Meri agli trading plan ke liye, main 145.16 ke aas paas buy entry ko consider kar raha hoon. Market ke movement patterns, khaaskar jo upward movement guzishta chand ghanton mein dekhi gayi hai, us se yeh lagta hai ke pair faida uthane ki koshish kar raha hai. Halaankeh price increase ab tak zyada nahi hui, lekin yeh dikhata hai ke market upar jane ki koshish mein hai.

ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke

koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein . Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha hai, jo ek aage barhne wale trend ko

Japanese yen (JPY) ne Wednesday ko apne neeche ke rujhan ko jaari rakha aur US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein August 16 ke baad se sabse neeche ki satah ke qareeb pohoncha. Yeh girawat zyada tar kamzor Japanese iqtisadi data, Japan ke naye wazir-e-azam ke hawkish comments, aur Hezbollah aur Israel ke darmiyan mumkina ceasefire ki wajah se hui. Iske ilawa, US dollar mazid taqatwar ho gaya kyunkay Federal Reserve ke zyada aggressive easing ke chances kam ho gaye. Tuesday ko release hone wale data ke mutabiq Japan mein asal (real) ujrat August mein do mahine tak barhane ke baad gir gayi, jabke gharelu kharch (household spending) bhi kam hua. Is se private consumption aur kul iqtisadi recovery ke istemal ke barey mein tashweesh barh gayi. Yeh kamzor iqtisadi indicators yen par aur zyada dabao ka sabab banay. Iske ilawa, Japan ke naye wazir-e-azam ke monetary policy ke barey mein hawkish comments ne Bank of Japan ke rate barhane ke munsoobe mein shakhsiyat (uncertainty) barhayi. Yeh remarks yen par dabao ka aik aur sabab bane. Doosri taraf, US dollar mazid mazboot ho gaya jab Federal Reserve ke zyada aggressive easing ke chances kam ho gaye. Is tabdeeli ne US dollar ko support diya aur USD/JPY pair ko mid-148.00 ke range se upar pohoncha diya.
Lekin yen ke mazid kamzor hone ke hawale se ab bhi shak baqi hai kyunkay Japanese authorities apni local currency ko support karne ke liye mudakhlat kar sakti hain. Iske ilawa, agle Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ka ijlas bhi USD/JPY pair ko asar andaz kar sakta hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair ne pichlay haftay 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ke break karne ke bawajood kuch stability dikhayi hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke haali satah par kharidari ki dilchaspi ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, pair ne 148.00 ke qareeb kaafi stability hasil ki hai, jo aik aham support level hai. Daily chart par oscillators bhi positive momentum dikhate hain, jo ke USD/JPY pair ke liye bullish trend ka imkaan hai. Lekin, agar pair 149.00 ke level ko break kar le to yeh mazid bullish outlook ko zahir kar sakta hai aur psychological 150.00 level tak barh sakta hai. Agar pair overnight swing lows (qareeban 147.35-147.30 area) se neeche girta hai to yeh qareebi bullish bias ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur 146.00-145.90 area tak girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai.

/JPY ka current price 148.80 ke aas paas hai. Kal yeh 149.33 level se gira tha, jo ke US Financial Department ki negative khabron ki wajah se hua. Aaj USD/JPY ke sellers ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke koi bhi unexpected news ya data release achanak reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo risk aur mauqe dono de sakta hai. Economic calendars aur news feeds ko dekh kar bears apni trading strategies ko sahi tareeke se bana sakte hain. Agar future economic indicators kamzor economy ya disappointing corporate earnings ki taraf ishara karte hain, toh yeh sellers ke liye acha signal ho sakta hai, jo unhein profit ke liye zaroori momentum de sakta hai. Aaj dopehar mein sellers 148.66 support ko test kar sakte hain, aur sentiment ka bhi market movements par bara asar hota hai. Investors ka mood samajhna trading strategies banane mein zaroori hota hai. Agar market sentiment negative hai ya bearish trends chal rahe hain, toh yeh sellers ke liye ek acha mauqa ho sakta hai taake price ke girne ka faida utha sakein.
Sentiment indicators, Commitment of Traders (COT) report, ya social media sentiment analysis ko dekh kar market ki positioning ko samjha ja sakta hai, jo ke bears ki strategy mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Aaj ke USD/JPY ke mahaul mein, bears ke paas kaafi mouqe hain taake woh market movements ka faida utha sakein. Agar wo sahi analysis aur strategy se kaam karein, toh profit banane ke mauqe barh jate hain. Yeh figures yeh batate hain ke Japan mein inflation abhi bhi ziddi taur par uncha hai, jo yeh ishara karta hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni 31 October ki meeting mein hawkish (sakht) rukh ikhtiyar karne wala hai. Is se pehle Bank of Japan ne is saal ke shuru mein investors ko hairaan kar diya jab us ne interest rates ko 0.10% barhaya aur negative rates se bahar nikla. Phir July ki meeting mein, unhon ne rates ko 0.25% barhaya, jo ke forex aur stock markets mein ek bari girawat ka sabab bana, kyun ke investors ne apne Japanese yen trades ko liquidate kar diya

Filhal yeh pair 148.59 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jab ke din ke low 148.08 ko hit karne ke baad bounce back hua, jo ke bazaar mein ehtiyaat ka izhar karta hai. Lekin, yeh pair ab bhi week ke aakhir mein anay walay aham economic data ki wajah se exposed hai, jo ke mazeed market movement ko trigger kar sakta hai.USD ki taqat ka aik bara wajah US Durable Goods Orders ka strong performance tha, jo ke August mein 9.9% month-over-month barh gaye. Yeh bara izafa tha, khaaskar June ke 6.9% decline ke baad, aur market ki expectation se kafi zyada tha jo ke 4.0% ka izafa tha. Yeh May 2020 se sabse bara izafa tha, jis ne US economy ke slowdown ke hawalay se kuch tashveesh door ki aur US dollar ko temporary boost diya.Federal Reserve ke officials ne bhi overall market outlook mein dovish comments diye. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker ne zor diya ke interest rates ko dheere dheere kam karna chahiye, jo ke Fed ki ehtiyaat se approach ko zahir karta hai. Isi tarah, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke mojooda monetary policy pehle hi kaafi restrictive hai aur Fed ka focus ab employment targets hasil karne par hai. In remarks ne US dollar ke faiday ko limited rakha, kyun ke market ne mazeed rate hikes ke hawalay se apni expectations adjust kar li.Japanese side par, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne market ko yeh yaqeen dilaya ke central bank ka koi immediate plan nahi hai ke long-term Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ko sell karain, as part of apni interest rate adjustment strategy. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar JGB purchases ko kam kiya gaya tou yeh BoJ ke overall balance sheet ka aik chhota hissa hoga. Sath hi, unho ne yeh bhi bataya ke thodi interest rate adjustments ho sakti hain agar economic conditions bank ki forecast ke mutabiq hui, lekin koi bara policy shift abhi expect nahi kiya ja raha. Aagey dekhte huay, yeh pair ab ek aham downtrend line ke qareeb hai jo ke 148.00 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai tou mazeed declines dekhnay ko mil sakte hain, aur agla target October 4th ka low 145.93 hoga. Agar yeh level break hota hai, tou 145.00 ka mark mazeed selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai.