USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

US dollar ne Thursday ki subah Japanese yen ke muqable mein mustahkam hone ke asaar dikhaye, aur 142 yen ke qareeb qaim raha. Ye level pehle bhi kai martaba ahmiyat rakhta raha hai, is liye is martaba bhi market ki tawajjo ka markaz hai. Ab sawal ye hai ke kya Wednesday ka bullish hammer aane wale din mein mazeed izafa ka sabab banega. Ab tak market ka rad-e-amal kuch musbat raha hai.
Aane wala Producer Price Index (PPI) ka data market pe asar daal sakta hai, magar traders ko lagta hai ke mehngai abhi tak zyada rehne ka imkaan hai aur woh is soorat-e-haal mein mutmain dikhayi dete hain. Dosra ahem waqiya Federal Reserve ka 18 tareekh ko faiz ki sharah ka faisla hai, jahan 25 basis points ki kami ki umeed hai, aur lagta hai ke yeh pehle se hi market ki qeematon mein shamil hai.

Uske baad tawajjo Bank of Japan par hogi, jo apni policy do din baad announce karega. Japan ke paas faiz barhane ki limited salahiyat ko dekhte hue, faiz ka faraq US dollar ke haqq mein rehne ka imkaan hai. Yeh imbalance waqt ke sath dollar mein mazeed sarmaya ka izafa kar sakta hai.

Agar USD/JPY pair 145 yen se ooper nikal jata hai, toh hum ek aham recovery dekh sakte hain. Magar abhi humara focus us downward momentum ko rokne par hai jo pair ke mustahkam hone ke dauran dekhne ko mil raha hai. Agar pair 141 yen ke neeche jata hai, toh yeh intehai negative development hogi jo ke aur ziada girawat ka raasta khol sakti hai.

Kul mila kar, abhi ke price action se lagta hai ke market ek consolidation phase mein hai, jahan log ahem central bank ke faislay ka intezaar kar rahe hain taake koi faislay kun qadam uthaya ja sake. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan, dono hi is pair ki agli bari direction tay karne mein ahem kirdar ada karenge.

US dollar ne Thursday ki subah Japanese yen ke muqable mein mustahkam hone ke asaar dikhaye, aur 142 yen ke qareeb qaim raha. Ye level pehle bhi kai martaba ahmiyat rakhta raha hai, is liye is martaba bhi market ki tawajjo ka markaz hai. Ab sawal ye hai ke kya Wednesday ka bullish hammer aane wale din mein mazeed izafa ka sabab banega. Ab tak market ka rad-e-amal kuch musbat raha hai.
Aane wala Producer Price Index (PPI) ka data market pe asar daal sakta hai, magar traders ko lagta hai ke mehngai abhi tak zyada rehne ka imkaan hai aur woh is soorat-e-haal mein mutmain dikhayi dete hain. Dosra ahem waqiya Federal Reserve ka 18 tareekh ko faiz ki sharah ka faisla hai, jahan 25 basis points ki kami ki umeed hai, aur lagta hai ke yeh pehle se hi market ki qeematon mein shamil hai.

Uske baad tawajjo Bank of Japan par hogi, jo apni policy do din baad announce karega. Japan ke paas faiz barhane ki limited salahiyat ko dekhte hue, faiz ka faraq US dollar ke haqq mein rehne ka imkaan hai. Yeh imbalance waqt ke sath dollar mein mazeed sarmaya ka izafa kar sakta hai.

Agar USD/JPY pair 145 yen se ooper nikal jata hai, toh hum ek aham recovery dekh sakte hain. Magar abhi humara focus us downward momentum ko rokne par hai jo pair ke mustahkam hone ke dauran dekhne ko mil raha hai. Agar pair 141 yen ke neeche jata hai, toh yeh intehai negative development hogi jo ke aur ziada girawat ka raasta khol sakti hai.

Kul mila kar, abhi ke price action se lagta hai ke market ek consolidation phase mein hai, jahan log ahem central bank ke faislay ka intezaar kar rahe hain taake koi faislay kun qadam uthaya ja sake. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan, dono hi is pair ki agli bari direction tay karne mein ahem kirdar ada karenge.

Aaj hum USDJPY currency pair ke daily chart ko dekhain ge. Is waqt wave structure neechay ki taraf ban raha hai aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai. Iss haftay aglay August ke minimum ko update karne ke baad, MACD indicator pe ek bullish divergence ban chuki hai aur doosra CCI indicator bhi lower overheating zone se upar ja raha hai. Neechay ki taraf ek false breakout hua, jahan se sirf ek spike chhori gayi aur kal ki daily candle ne inverted hammer ya pin bar banaya, jo ke aam tor par growth ki nishani hoti hai. Aaj kuch growth shuru ho chuki hai aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh growth kam az kam qareebi horizontal resistance level 143.83 tak barqarar rahe gi. Doosra, zyada door target ek descending resistance line hai jo aakhri do wave peaks par mabni hai. Growth ke signals ko dekhte hue, aaj ke liye sirf khareedari par tawajjoh hai, aur sales ko nahi dekha ja raha. H4 period ke MACD pe bhi bullish divergence hai. Mein zyada growth ki taraf mael hoon, kyun ke chahay trend neeche ki taraf ho aur uske saath kaam karna asan lagta ho, lekin iss waqt aisa nahi hai. Kuch news bhi hai jin par tawajjoh di ja sakti hai: USDA report jo ke global agriculture mein supply aur demand ka andaaza lagati hai, aur 30 saala US Treasury bonds ke liye aukshan. Mujhe divergence par yaqeen hai ke yeh fail nahi karegi, halaan ke yeh bhi mumkin hai ke kuch bhi ho sakta hai, khaas tor par iss currency pair ke hawale se. Peechlay maheenon mein jab price upar ja rahi thi, to bohat si divergences side ways mein kaam kar rahi thin ya zyada se zyada thoda sa decline ki taraf jati thin ya bilkul bhi kaam nahi kar rahi thin Isi dauran, agar mein aaj USDJPY currency pair ke movement ko technical analysis ke zariye dekhun, to yeh dobara 140.75 ke price par girne ki taraf mael hai. Yeh is liye hai ke H1 time frame mein USDJPY currency pair ke movement ne bearish candle engulfing banayi hai jo ke SELL USDJPY ke liye ek bohat strong signal hai 140.75 ke price tak. Lekin humein yeh bhi madde nazar rakhna chahiye ke USDJPY ki upward correction bhi mumkin hai kyun ke meri observation ke mutabiq RSI 14 indicator par iss waqt 140.90 par USDJPY price ko oversold yaani ke bohat zyada becha ja chuka hai, isliye bohat mumkin hai ke aaj USDJPY ki movement upar ki taraf correct ho kar 141.50 tak ja sakti hai. BUY USDJPY signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke istemal se bhi support mil rahi hai kyun ke jab USDJPY price 140.90 mein thi, to yeh RBS area mein thi, is liye khareedari ke liye bohat mumkin hai ke buyers enter karein

Aaj hum USDJPY currency pair ke daily chart ko dekhain ge. Is waqt wave structure neechay ki taraf ban raha hai aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai. Iss haftay aglay August ke minimum ko update karne ke baad, MACD indicator pe ek bullish divergence ban chuki hai aur doosra CCI indicator bhi lower overheating zone se upar ja raha hai. Neechay ki taraf ek false breakout hua, jahan se sirf ek spike chhori gayi aur kal ki daily candle ne inverted hammer ya pin bar banaya, jo ke aam tor par growth ki nishani hoti hai. Aaj kuch growth shuru ho chuki hai aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh growth kam az kam qareebi horizontal resistance level 143.83 tak barqarar rahe gi. Doosra, zyada door target ek descending resistance line hai jo aakhri do wave peaks par mabni hai. Growth ke signals ko dekhte hue, aaj ke liye sirf khareedari par tawajjoh hai, aur sales ko nahi dekha ja raha. H4 period ke MACD pe bhi bullish divergence hai. Mein zyada growth ki taraf mael hoon, kyun ke chahay trend neeche ki taraf ho aur uske saath kaam karna asan lagta ho, lekin iss waqt aisa nahi hai. Kuch news bhi hai jin par tawajjoh di ja sakti hai: USDA report jo ke global agriculture mein supply aur demand ka andaaza lagati hai, aur 30 saala US Treasury bonds ke liye aukshan. Mujhe divergence par yaqeen hai ke yeh fail nahi karegi, halaan ke yeh bhi mumkin hai ke kuch bhi ho sakta hai, khaas tor par iss currency pair ke hawale se. Peechlay maheenon mein jab price upar ja rahi thi, to bohat si divergences side ways mein kaam kar rahi thin ya zyada se zyada thoda sa decline ki taraf jati thin ya bilkul bhi kaam nahi kar rahi thin Isi dauran, agar mein aaj USDJPY currency pair ke movement ko technical analysis ke zariye dekhun, to yeh dobara 140.75 ke price par girne ki taraf mael hai. Yeh is liye hai ke H1 time frame mein USDJPY currency pair ke movement ne bearish candle engulfing banayi hai jo ke SELL USDJPY ke liye ek bohat strong signal hai 140.75 ke price tak. Lekin humein yeh bhi madde nazar rakhna chahiye ke USDJPY ki upward correction bhi mumkin hai kyun ke meri observation ke mutabiq RSI 14 indicator par iss waqt 140.90 par USDJPY price ko oversold yaani ke bohat zyada becha ja chuka hai, isliye bohat mumkin hai ke aaj USDJPY ki movement upar ki taraf correct ho kar 141.50 tak ja sakti hai. BUY USDJPY signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke istemal se bhi support mil rahi hai kyun ke jab USDJPY price 140.90 mein thi, to yeh RBS area mein thi, is liye khareedari ke liye bohat mumkin hai ke buyers enter karein

USD/JPY ki girawat US se naye data ke beech aayi hai jo ke July ke liye Unemployment Rate ke barhne ko darshata hai, jo ke US economy mein potential recession ke concerns ko badhawa deta hai. Market ka reaction yeh hai ke Federal Reserve se substantial interest rate cuts ko price in kiya ja raha hai. Investors ab September aur November dono mein 50 basis point (bps) rate cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain, aur December mein ek additional quarter-point cut bhi expected hai. LSEG ke data ke mutabiq, September meeting mein 50-bps cut ka near 99% probability hai. Yeh zyada aggressive rate cuts ki expectations US Dollar (USD) par downward pressure daal rahi hain.
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend ka ishara karta hai
Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki policy outlook zyada optimistic nazar aati hai. Rabobank analysts ne note kiya hai ke BoJ ki recent policy statement Japan ki economic prospects ke positive assessment ko reflect karti hai, jis mein moderate increases in fixed investment aur corporate profits ki improvements shamil hain. Wage increases bhi mukhtalif regions, industries, aur firm sizes mein phail rahi hain. Yeh optimistic outlook late 2024 ya early 2025 mein potential rate hikes ke liye jagah chhodti hai

USDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai. Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai, USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan

USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market

landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide USD/JPY ke trading options mein, buy option ab bhi USD/JPY movement ko dominate karega. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation rapidly adverse ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, humne hourly chart par decline dekha, jiske baad ek rise hui jo 147.103 resistance ko break kar gayi. Ye breakout ek buy signal generate kiya jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Lekin ye signal misleading tha, kyunki Friday ko price is level ke neeche gir gayi. Ye false breakout tab hua jab price is resistance se upar se neeche aayi. Monday ko ek naya buy signal nikla, jo dobara se 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price ne ye target achieve kiya. Iske baad, Tuesday ko ye level phir se retrace hua, aur ek aur upward movement ki koshish hui, lekin

US dollar ne Thursday ki subah Japanese yen ke muqable mein mustahkam hone ke asaar dikhaye, aur 142 yen ke qareeb qaim raha. Ye level pehle bhi kai martaba ahmiyat rakhta raha hai, is liye is martaba bhi market ki tawajjo ka markaz hai. Ab sawal ye hai ke kya Wednesday ka bullish hammer aane wale din mein mazeed izafa ka sabab banega. Ab tak market ka rad-e-amal kuch musbat raha hai. Aane wala Producer Price Index (PPI) ka data market pe asar daal sakta hai, magar traders ko lagta hai ke mehngai abhi tak zyada rehne ka imkaan hai aur woh is soorat-e-haal mein mutmain dikhayi dete hain. Dosra ahem waqiya Federal Reserve ka 18 tareekh ko faiz ki sharah ka faisla hai, jahan 25 basis points ki kami ki umeed hai, aur lagta hai ke yeh pehle se hi market ki qeematon mein shamil hai.

Uske baad tawajjo Bank of Japan par hogi, jo apni policy do din baad announce karega. Japan ke paas faiz barhane ki limited salahiyat ko dekhte hue, faiz ka faraq US dollar ke haqq mein rehne ka imkaan hai. Yeh imbalance waqt ke sath dollar mein mazeed sarmaya ka izafa kar sakta hai.

Agar USD/JPY pair 145 yen se ooper nikal jata hai, toh hum ek aham recovery dekh sakte hain. Magar abhi humara focus us downward momentum ko rokne par hai jo pair ke mustahkam hone ke dauran dekhne ko mil raha hai. Agar pair 141 yen ke neeche jata hai, toh yeh intehai negative development hogi jo ke aur ziada girawat ka raasta khol sakti hai.

Kul mila kar, abhi ke price action se lagta hai ke market ek consolidation phase mein hai, jahan log ahem central bank ke faislay ka intezaar kar rahe hain taake koi faislay kun qadam uthaya ja sake. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan, dono hi is pair ki agli bari direction tay karne mein ahem kirdar ada karenge

chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte

USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market

se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai. Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai, USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend

US dollar ne Thursday ki subah mein Japanese yen ke khilaf stability ke asaar dikhaye, aur 142 yen ke qareeb qaim raha. Ye level mazi mein bhi kaafi ahmiyat ka hamil raha hai, is liye koi hairani ki baat nahi ke phir se market ka dhyaan is taraf hai. Ab sabse bara sawal ye hai ke kya Wednesday ka bullish hammer mazeed izafa la sakta hai Thursday ko. Ab tak, market ka rad-e-amal thoda musbat raha hai.

Producer price index (PPI) ki aanay wali report bhi market par asar dal sakti hai, lekin traders ko lagta hai ke inflation uchi reh sakti hai aur woh is haqeeqat se kaafi mutmain nazar aate hain. Dusra bara waqia Federal Reserve ka interest rate ka faisla hoga 18 tareekh ko, jahan 25 basis point ki cut ka intezar hai aur lagta hai ke ye pehle se hi prices mein shamil hai.

Iske baad tawajju Bank of Japan ki policy par hogi jo do din baad ka elan karegi. Japan ke pass interest rates ko zyada barhane ki mehdoood gunjaish hai, is liye interest rate ka farq US dollar ke haq mein rehnay ki umeed hai. Ye imbalance waqt ke sath dollar mein zyada capital flows ko attract kar sakta hai.

Agar USD/JPY pair ¥145 level se upar nikal jata hai, toh ek bara recovery dekha ja sakta hai. Magar, filhaal humari tawajju is par hai ke downward momentum ruk jaye jo ke pair ke stable hone ke asaar de raha hai. Dusri taraf, agar ¥141 level ke neeche break hota hai, toh isay kafi negative development samjha jayega jo mazeed gehra decline ka rasta khol sakta hai.

Kul mila ke, ab tak ka price action ye suggest karta hai ke market ek consolidation phase mein hai, aur participants central banks ke ahem faislay ka intezar kar rahe hain pehlay ke woh koi faisla kun harkat karain. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan dono ka bara kirdar hoga pair ki agli major direction ko tay karne mein.

USD/JPY ne 0.40% se barh kar 146.74 ka level pakra. Monday ko U.S. ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga.
, USD/JPY selling pressure ka samna kar raha hai, aur agle haftay ke liye technical indicators important honge. Dekhna yeh hai ke bearish trend jaari rehta hai ya koi naya scenario samnay aata hai. Monday ko Japan mein public holiday hai, isliye wahan se koi major economic announcements expected nahi hain, jo market mein kam volatility ka sabab ban sakta hai.
Pair ko expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 145.46 support aur 147.91 resistance ke range mein trade karega. US dollar par yen ke muqablay mein pressure hai kyun ke bond yields kam ho rahi hain aur Bank of Japan ke rate hike na karne ke stance ki wajah se market volatility barqarar hai. Agar USD/JPY 145.99 ke support level se neeche girta hai, toh yeh aur zyada downward momentum hasil kar sakta hai, aur August ke lows 145.43, 144.27 aur shayad 143 tak ja sakta hai. Summary yeh hai ke momentum abhi bhi bearish hai, lekin market aik critical point par hai jahan upward aur downward dono moves possible hain, depending on how key support aur resistance levels test hote hain.

Hamaari guftagu ka markaz USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka live jaiza hai. Price Action method aur "bearish engulfing" pattern ke mutabiq jo expected nateeja tha, woh poori tarah se mumkin nahi tha. Iss model mein proportion ka bohat bara role hai. Humain aik signal bhi mila hai—a bearish Doji, jo maine chart mein highlight kiya hai. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke dono apne targets ko aglay haftay tak hasil karen ge. Pehle case mein, maine 101 points ki girawat ka andaza lagaya tha bina spread ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, magar mujhe ab bhi lagta hai ke trading instrument mein mazeed girawat ka imkan hai. Fibonacci retracement levels ke mutabiq, main expect karta hoon ke price 100th level ko 142.04 pe break karega, aur yeh scenario step by step 138.1 pe 141.39 aur 161.7 pe 140.82 tak play out hoga. Agar price channel ke upper boundary tak barh jaye toh faida mand hoga, magar main apni position ko adjust karne se pehle aik tez upward move ka intezar karoon ga.

D1 time frame mein, USD/JPY ne 141.72 pe double touch kiya hai, lekin Friday ke akhir tak is critical support se koi mazboot rebound dekhne ko nahi mila. Bears ne Tuesday se pair ko niche ki taraf pull kiya tha aur poora hafta yehi trend raha. Magar ab double bottom form ho chuka hai jo prices ko upar push kar sakta hai, aur bulls ko shaayad levels 147.21, 151.82, 154.36, 157.87, aur 162.01 tak breach karne ka mouqa mil sakta hai. Lekin kuch inconsistency hai: do indicators jo main chart ke neeche hain, wo decreasing buy volumes aur shorts ki recovery ka ishara kar rahe hain. Initially, maine 141.72 level pe focus kiya tha ke shayad yeh price ko bounce back kare, aur agar momentum barhta hai toh indicators flip kar sakte hain. Downtrend filhal qaim hai, lekin reversal ka bhi imkan hai kyun ke market mein tension barh raha hai. Ideal taur par, main mazeed sell karna pasand karoon ga, aur price ko 140 ke qareeb le kar jaane ki koshish karoon ga. Yeh ziada probable scenario lagta hai. "Trend is your friend," magar yeh hamesha trading ke liye faida mand nahi hota.

USD/JPY ne 0.40% se barh kar 146.74 ka level pakra. Monday ko U.S. ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga.
USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, opsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai