USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

pichlay Wednesday ko evident tha, jab price significant downward movement experience hui thi us trading session ke doran. Chhoti timeframe mein, price position monitor hui hai aur abhi Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai 50 period ke liye aur slight correction upward hui hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke around consolidate kare gi, kyun ke aise conditions aksar Tuesday ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. Market trend conditions H1 timeframe mein dekh kar yeh kaafi clear hai ke yeh abhi downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, jab ke USD/JPY pair ka trend upar ki taraf move hua tha July 2024 ke shuruat ke trading session ke baad. Iska matlab yeh hai ke is haftay ke market
USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold karne mein fail hota hai, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo potentially around 168.00 ya us se neeche ho sakte hain. Wahi pe, agar support hold karta hai, to rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, aur pair previous highs around 168.70-169.00 ko test kar sakta hai. D1 moving average line trend indicator ke taur pe act karta hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Haan, sustained trading below moving average trend reversal ya consolidation phase ko indicate kar sakta hai.
USD/JPY pair ki recent trading activity complex interplay of economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors ko reflect karti hai. 168.470 support level ka current test on D1 moving average line pair ke liye critical juncture hai. Traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye ke pair is level ke ird-gird kaise behave karta hai, kyunke yeh future price movements ke hawale se significant insights provide kar sakta hai. Cautious aur informed approach adopt karna, technical aur fundamental analysis ko incorporate karte hue, essential hoga USD/JPY pair ke market dynamics ko navigate karne ke liye in the coming days.

USD/JPY currency pair narrow trading range mein stuck hai Asian trading hours ke doran is Wednesday ko, jabke briefly 34-year high ko touch kiya tha is hafte ke shuru mein. But, USD/JPY has limited upside potential due to potential intervention by Japanese authorities, specifically the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Japan ne excessive currency fluctuations ke bare mein concerns express kiye hain aur measures hint kiye hain Yen ko support karne ke liye. Yeh stance sharply contrast karta hai hawkish Federal Reserve ke sath US mein, jo dollar ko higher drive kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne recently ek key resistance level 158.34 ko break kiya aur abhi 160.20 ke thoda neeche hover kar raha hai. Jabke pair ne recent days mein resistance around 159.80 face kiya hai, agar crucial 159.00 level ke neeche break hota hai to yeh potential downside correction signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold karta hai, to further rise ka chance abhi bhi hai. USD/JPY currency pair par paisa kamane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aaj mein is instrument ki volatility ko dekh raha hoon aur yeh andaza hai ke yeh 157.164 ke support level tak decline karega, jahan se khareedna bohot munasib hoga. Baaki sab kuch instrument ki aaj ki volatility par mabni hoga. Kyunki mujhe 159.023 level tak growth ki umeed hai, main stop loss ko zyada door nahi rakhunga, lagbhag 157.139 ke level par. Expected profit aur limiting losses ka behtareen ratio hasil ho jayega. Agar stop loss level hit hota hai, to growth ke saath saare plans cancel kar dunga aur aaj ke liye bina profit ke reh jaunga. Main yeh bhi dekhna chahta hoon ke price 158.076 level par kaise react karega. Yeh bhi ek ahem role ada kar sakta hai. Agar aaj humein ek upward impulse milta hai, 158.00 range tak, to uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. Choti upward impulse 159.70 range tak ho sakti hai, phir wahan se fall continue hoga. Current level se corrective growth abhi bhi mumkin hai, lekin uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. 156.06 se choti impulse pehle hi ho chuki hai aur uske baad fall continue hoga. Current range se fall abhi bhi mumkin hai. Buyers price tag ko upar 158.80 se upar le ja sakte hain, lekin fall abhi bhi priority hai aur behtareen yeh hai ke sell kiya jaye.
Zigzag indicator, jo significant price movements aur trends ko identify karne mein madad karta hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke pair jald hi resistance ko face karega. Yeh hamari expectation ke sath align karta hai ke brief retracement ke baad potential decline ho sakta hai. In levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake short positions ke liye behtareen entry points determine kiye ja sakain. Iske ilawa, simple moving averages (SMAs) bhi further confirmation provide kar sakte hain. 9-period aur 22-period SMAs khas tor par short-term trends aur potential reversals ko identify karne mein madadgar hain. Jab price in moving averages ko intersect karti hai, to yeh trend direction mein change ka signal de sakta hai, jo traders ke liye qeemti insights provide karta hai

Agar hum USDJPY par tawajju dein, khaaskar bara time frame H4 par, to yeh saaf nazar aata hai ke is haftay woh bullish trend ko khatam karne ki koshish kar rahe hain jo ke kuch hafton se chal raha tha. Aur agar hum ab tawajju dein to kam az kam yeh nazar aata hai ke USDJPY ab EMA50 ko upar se torhne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo agar kamiyabi se torh diya jaye to yeh ek bara bullish mouqa ho sakta hai. Magar buyers ko bohat ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye kyunki ab USDJPY H4 mein dobara overbought position mein aa gaya hai. Chhoti timeframe H1 mein dekha jaye to lagta hai ke USDJPY kal dobara girne ka mouqa tha jab ke price EMA50 H1 ke neeche thi, magar USDJPY ki taqat ki wajah se yeh dobara uthne mein kamiyab raha aur hatta ke American session mein dobara daakhil hua. USDJPY dobara upar ki taraf chal pada aur hatta ke aaj subah tak yeh 147.7 ke resistance area ko torhne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh area torha jaye aur USDJPY apni bari upward movement jari rakhe.

Abhi price 147.25 par trade kar rahi hai aur yeh hourly period ki MA120 ke ooper aur XamaSystem indicator ke ooper hai, jo yeh batata hai ke buyers ka priority hai sellers par. Aur isi liye aaj mein expect karta hoon ke price mein chhoti si girawat ho gi XamaSystem indicator ke hourly period ke neechay 169.69 ya MA120 ke average moving line tak, jo ke ab 146.08 par hai. Is ke baad mein ek rebound aur reversal ki umeed karta hoon. Phir mein yeh asset ko Thursday ke maximum par 147.60 par grow hota dekhne ki umeed karta hoon aur is maximum ko update karta hoon. Agla target Wednesday ka maximum 147.90 hai. Dosra target resistance par 148.48 hai

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair par focus kar rahe hain aur daily pivot point analysis se iski price movements ka jaiza le rahe hain. Is waqt market sentiment bullish lag raha hai kyunki price ne kal ka high cross kar liya hai, jo ke potential upward momentum ki taraf ishara hai. Lekin buy positions lene se pehle zaroori hai ke price correction ka intezar kiya jaye. Acha entry point tab hoga jab price kal ke candlestick ka 38% retrace kare. Abhi ke liye buy trade mein jump karna thik nahi kyunki hum abhi bhi kal ke closing price ke kareeb hain.Achi trading strategy ke liye European ya US trading sessions ka intezar karna behtar hoga. Us waqt humein thoda pullback dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo ke zyada favorable buying opportunity de sakta hai. Technical analysis mein pehle ke price levels future movements ke liye insights dete hain, is liye previous highs aur lows important reference points hote hain.Main khaas taur par resistance level 161.951 par tawajju de raha hoon. Mere analysis ke mutabiq do scenarios ho sakte hain:Pehla scenario: Agar price 161.951 resistance level ke upar rehti hai, toh humein aur zyada upward movement ki umeed karni chahiye. Is surat mein agla target resistance level 164.500 hoga. Agar price is area ke kareeb aata hai toh main market direction ko predict karne ke liye trading pattern dekhoon ga. Agar bullish momentum strong rehta hai toh price aur zyada badh kar long-term target 168.000 tak pahunch sakta hai. Lekin, kuch pullbacks ke liye tayar rahna hoga jo naye buying opportunities de sakte hain.

Dusra scenario: Agar price 161.951 resistance ke upar rehnay mein nakam rehti hai aur ek reversal candle banti hai, toh humein downtrend dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Is surat mein main price ko key support levels 160.209 ya 157.671 tak drop hota dekhunga. In points par main bullish signals dhundunga jo ke overall bullish trend ke saath align karte hain, aur phir price ke bounce hone ki umeed karoon ga.

Summing up, USD/JPY ab ek crucial point par hai aur resistance level 161.951 par market ka reaction bohot important hoga. Agar buyers dominant rehte hain, toh hum higher levels jaise ke 164.500 ya 168.000 target kar sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar reversal hota hai toh price critical support levels tak retrace kar sakta hai jo naye buying opportunities de sakta hai.Aaj sabr sab se zaroori cheez hai—behtareen entry point ka intezar karna profits maximize karne aur risks minimize karne ke liye bohot zaroori hai. European aur US sessions ke doran price movements par nazar rakhein taake informed decisions le sakein. Yeh zaroori hai ke trading strategy ko market ke in significant levels par reaction ke mutabiq adjust kiya jaye. Price action aur overall market sentiment ke mutabiq trades ko effectively manage karna trading performance ko improve karega.

Main ne USD/JPY currency pair ka detailed analysis kiya hai aur yeh bataya hai ke D1 time frame par Thursday ko price sharply gir kar 144.40 tak chali gayi thi. Lekin aapko lagta hai ke yeh 146.50 se neeche nahi jayegi. Is ke elawa, US dollar index mein bhi sharp rise dekhne ko mila hai, jo Ukraine aur Russia ke darmiyan geopolitical tensions ki wajah se hai. Aapko lagta hai ke Thursday ko USD/JPY 145.50 supply zone se upar recover karegi, jahan long-term bulls ko profit hoga. Is wajah se, aapko lagta hai ke USD/JPY ka price barhney ka imkaan hai. Buyers agar supply level se upar settle karte hain, to price January ke high 146.40 tak ja sakti hai. Aap Bollinger Bands aur resistance levels 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720 par focus kar rahe hain.

Aap ne yeh bhi observe kiya ke aaj bulls ne pehle bearish trend line ko surpass kar liya hai, jo buying volume mein izafa ka ishara hai. Lekin agar bearish sell level 142.901 par hit hota hai, to yeh bearish trend ki taraf shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar price reverse hoti hai aur bearish scenario ke saath align hoti hai, to aap decline par focus karenge, aur expect karte hain ke price Bollinger Bands ke niche gir sakti hai.

Aapne 30-minute chart par technical analysis kiya hai jahan oscillator oversold conditions dikhata hai, aur histogram uptrend ki shuruaat kar raha hai. Price ne minimum 141.86 touch kiya hai aur ab rise karna shuru kar di hai. Green zone ke through move kar rahi hai aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use kar sakti hai. Price green zone ko puri tarah navigate kar ke apne pehle sideways range par wapas aa sakti hai, jahan support 153.11 aur resistance 154.71 par ho sakti hai.

Haalat yeh hai ke prices is waqt weekly lows ke qareeb sharply lower trade kar rahi hain. Important support areas abhi tak test nahi huye lekin hold kar rahe hain, jo downside ko significant banata hai. Is doran, corrective recovery phase ka potential level 145.81 par exhaust ho gaya hai, jahan main resistance zone expect kiya ja raha hai. Is level ka retest aur subsequent reversal down new wave ko pave karega jo 137.72 aur 135.18 areas ko target karega.

USD/JPY Outlook Analysis:

USD/JPY D1 time frame chart par currency pair abhi strengthening ke signs dikha raha hai. Yeh isliye nazar aata hai kyunke price recently previous high candle ke upper boundary ko breach kar gayi hai, jo ke bullish momentum ka indication hai. Aise breakouts yeh suggest karte hain ke USD/JPY ek potentially stronger phase mein enter kar raha hai, jo ke further gains lead kar sakta hai agar trend continue hota hai.

Isliye, buy entry lene se pehle anticipated correction ka intezar karna behtar hai. Yahan key strategy yeh hai ke recent uptrend ke 38% Fibonacci level ko monitor kiya jaye. Yeh specific level widely recognized support area hai jahan buying pressure phir se emerge kar sakti hai, aur traders ke liye zyada advantageous entry point offer kar sakti hai. Jab tak price is Fibonacci level par retrace nahi hoti, buy position lena premature ho sakta hai, kyunke price abhi bhi previous day’s closing range ke bounds mein hai. Iska matlab hai ke market shayad abhi naye bullish move ko sustain karne ke position mein nahi hai.

Jabke USD/JPY pair positive strength dikhata hai, yeh advisable hai ke downward correction aur 38% Fibonacci level tak retracement ka intezar kiya jaye buy entry consider karne se pehle. Is strategic level ka intezar karke patience rakhna trade ki success ke chances ko enhance kar sakta hai aur potential market movements ke sath behtar align kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY H4 Time Frame Analysis:

USD/JPY H4 time frame chart par currency pair ek corrective phase se guzar raha hai, aur recently yen ya dollar par koi significant news nahi hai. Is prevailing correction ke bawajood, market mein bearish trend ka continuation Thursday tak ho sakta hai. Market ke potential direction ko samajhne ke liye US unemployment claims data ka analysis zaroori hai, jo labor market ke current state ke bare mein insights de sakta hai. Agar data labor market ki continued weakening dikhata hai, toh yeh USD/JPY pair ke liye bearish sentiment ko support karega.

Lekin, recent US unemployment claims data ne woh results reveal kiye jo anticipated se zyada favorable the. Yeh unexpected positive outcome ne US dollar ko boost diya, jisse dollar yen ke against appreciate ho gaya. Data ka better-than-expected performance yeh indicate karta hai ke labor market shayad initially projected se zyada healthy hai, jo dollar ko strengthen kar sakta hai.

Traders aur analysts in developments ko closely monitor karenge taake USD/JPY pair ke future trajectory ko gauge kiya ja sake. Jaise ke hamesha hota hai, market participants ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur currency movements ko influence karne wale immediate aur broader economic factors ko consider karna chahiye.

Jaisay ke maine pehle zikr kiya tha, meri buniyad senior time frame par thi, jahan price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya. Main yeh yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle use ki gayi thi, jahan "Evening Star" candlestick pattern ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat ka ishaara diya, aur uske baad se sellers ne market ko kafi der tak apne control mein rakha. Total decline 1720 points ka tha, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek ahem Moving Average (MA) ke sath mila. Maine ye sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan se direction rok gayi thi, aur price kafi upar chali gayi thi. Mujhe lagta hai ke agle hafte hum 148.53 tak pahuncha sakte hain, jo kam se kam 200-point ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhen. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US se kafi ahm news aane wali hain, isliye fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge.

USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf strong correction dekha hai, lekin main abhi in prices par sell karne ko le kar ehtiyaat kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agla hafte kya laata hai, kyunke humein weekend se guzarna hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, to Monday ko market open hone par surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin, kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai. Bearish trend ab bhi relevant hai, aur agar prices Monday ko 147.90 mark se upar nahi jaati, to shayad market mein selling ke liye entry consider karni chahiye. Har surat mein, weekend ke doran fundamental factors ko dekhte hue is idea ka tajziya karenge aur phir final decision lenge.

Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ko ab bhi upar jane ka mauka mil sakta hai kyunke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin, ehtiyaat zaroori hai kyunke candle MA50 line ko abhi tak penetrate nahi kar payi. Yahan se rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario ho aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein enter karen, jab market ke majority participants sochen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai aur is point se selling shuru karen. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam karta hai, to USD/JPY pair seedha 159.13 ki taraf ja sakta hai bina kisi rollback ke, aur agar yeh hota hai, to market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY ab bhi upar jayegi, kyunke H1 support price 145.88 abhi tak break nahi hui. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair ko trade kar rahe hain, sirf buy positions par focus karein. Apna take profit target 151.20 par set karen aur stop loss 145.45 par rakhen.

economic indicators aur market sentiments bhi dollar ke retreat ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ki upward movement ko further enhance karte hain. Jo traders is trend ko recognize karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai

Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke around consolidate kare gi, kyun ke aise conditions aksar Tuesday ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. Market trend conditions H1 timeframe mein dekh kar yeh kaafi clear hai ke yeh abhi downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, jab ke USD/JPY pair ka trend upar ki taraf move hua tha July 2024 ke shuruat ke trading session ke baad. Iska matlab yeh hai ke is haftay ke market USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold karne mein fail hota hai, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo potentially around 168.00 ya us se neeche ho sakte hain. Wahi pe, agar support hold karta hai, to rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, aur pair previous highs around 168.70-169.00 ko test kar sakta hai. D1 moving average line trend indicator ke taur pe act karta hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Haan, sustained trading below moving average trend reversal ya consolidation phase ko indicate kar sakta hai.
USD/JPY pair ki recent trading activity complex interplay of economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors ko reflect karti hai. 168.470 support level ka current test on D1 moving average line pair ke liye critical juncture hai. Traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye ke pair is level ke ird-gird kaise behave karta hai, kyunke yeh future price movements ke hawale se significant insights provide kar sakta hai. Cautious aur informed approach adopt karna, technical aur fundamental analysis ko incorporate karte hue, essential hoga USD/JPY pair ke market dynamics ko navigate karne ke liye in the coming days

Sab ko salam! USDJPY currency pair, jo ke US Dollar aur Japanese Yen ka hai, pichle trading haftay mein apni positions ko thoda recover kar gaya hai, jo ke do haftay pehle significant decline ke baad hua. Kul mila ke, halat kuch had tak stable hui hain, is liye yeh mumkin hai ke USDJPY pair agle kuch waqt mein naye highs tak nahi pohnche, lekin phir bhi, yeh thoda aur barh sakta hai. Agar hum hourly chart dekhein, to humein ek achi support level milti hai jo 146.30 par hai, jo ke pichle Tuesday ko high thi, aur price ne pehle bhi is level se bounce kiya hai. Aur aam tor par, hafte ka aakhri din is level ke upar close hua. Is liye, mujhe lagta hai ke agle trading haftay mein is level se long positions kholna mumkin hai.

Is positions ka target yeh hoga ke USDJPY pair 161st Fibonacci level ki taraf barh sakta hai, jo ke takreeban 151.70 par hai.

Agar market is support level ke upar barh jaati hai, to yeh confirmation hoga ke long positions ko consider kiya jaa sakta hai. Lekin, investors ko chahiye ke woh trading decisions lene se pehle market ki halat aur technical indicators ko achi tarah se samajh lein. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke risk management strategies ko follow kiya jaye taake kisi bhi unexpected movement ka muqabla kiya ja sake. Overall, agar market stability banaye rakhti hai, to USDJPY pair mein thodi aur growth ki umeed ki ja sakti hai.

USDJPY ke pair ka forecast yeh hai ke abhi key resistance pichhle hafte ke maximum (147.958) par hai. Agar price is level ko break kar deti hai, toh iska matlab yeh hoga ke weekly maximum pichhle se zyada ho jayega. Yeh baat yeh indicate karti hai ke USDJPY pair ka downward trend khatam ho gaya hai aur market mein upward trend shuru ho sakta hai. Is situation mein, buying ek achha entry point ban sakta hai aur upar ki taraf trend continue karne ke chances hain jo (155.26) ke level tak ja sakte hain.

Lekin, agar price is resistance level ko break nahi karti, toh preference decline ki taraf rahegi. Agar support level (145.44) break hota hai, toh yeh market ko decline ki taraf le jayega jo weekly minimum (141.72) ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Is wajah se, agar support break hota hai, toh selling ka option consider karna justify ho sakta hai.

Is analysis ke mutabiq, agar USDJPY pair ke price resistance level (147.958) ko break karti hai, toh buying ki taraf dekhna chahiye aur upward trend ka fayda uthane ki koshish karni chahiye. Upar ki taraf trend continue karne ke liye, price ko is key resistance level ko clear karna zaroori hai. Agar support level (145.44) break hota hai, toh selling ki taraf bhi dekhna chahiye, kyunki decline ke chances barh jayenge.

Market ke current situation aur trends ko dekhte hue, sahi strategy apnana zaroori hai. Trading decisions lene se pehle, in levels ko closely monitor karna aur market ki movement ka analysis karna crucial hai.

Haaliya guftagu ka ma'zu USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior ka mutaala hai. Main kuch ishaara nahi kar raha, lekin in currency market ke hissay mein in geo-political masail par baat karte karte thak gaya hoon. Lekin raat ke dauran Middle East mein izafa ke naye asaar samnay aaye hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ke market ke khulay par is instrument ke liye kuch surprises ho sakte hain. Lekin har surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid mazbooti ki taraf le ja sakte hain. Bearish trend ab bhi mojuud hai, aur agar Monday ko quotes 147.90 ke mark se upar nahi jati, toh shayad iss price se selling market mein dakhil hone ke baare mein socha ja sakta hai. Lekin hum weekend ke baad iss soch par ghour karenge taake sab fundamental factors ko sahi tor par samajh sakain. Agar hum USD/JPY pair ke poore downward impulse ko 100% samjhein, toh agla downward wave already 133rd figure ke area mein expected hai, jahan qareeb 138th Fibonacci level waqe hai.
Yeh wahi jagah hai jahan upward correction ke baad yen ke aane ki umeed hai. Baat yeh hai ke trend line ke neeche breakout aur consolidation ka signal mila hai, jo ke mazeed southern zigzag banane ki buniyad hai. Agar aap hourly chart par dekhein, toh humein 146.30 ka aik acha support level nazar aata hai, jo ke pichlay Mangal ka high tha, aur price ne is se ek dafa bounce bhi kiya hai, aur aam tor par hafta is level ke kareeb band hua. Toh mere khayal mein agle trading week mein is level se long positions kholne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Aise positions ka maqsaad yeh hoga ke USD/JPY currency pair 161st Fibonacci grid level tak, jo ke lagbhag 151.70 hai, barh sakta hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke agle haftay humein 148.53 ya kam az kam 200 points milenge. Main aapko apni trading strategy ke mutabiq aise plan ko dobara check karne ki tajweez doonga. Economic calendar mein 3 star category ki khaasi khabrein Japan aur USA, dono se mutawaqqa hain, toh foundation bhi yahan price movement par asar andaz hogi

current weekly session ke opening levels par wapas aagaya. Yeh recovery ek lehaz se volatility ki darjaat ko darust karti hai aur yeh ishara karta hai ke market abhi naye trend mein set hone ke liye tayar nahi hai. Hal k movements ke peeche ek wajah yeh bhi hosakti hai ke investors US market opening ke pehle kuch munafa lock kar rahe hain. Munafa lock karna aam hai traders mein jo European session mein banaye gaye faiday ko secure karne ke liye karne ki ichha rakhte hain pehle US markets ke opening ke saath jo volatility ka saamna kar sakti hai. USD/JPY pair ka performance aksar mukhtalif factors se mutasir hota hai jaise economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Maslan, changes US economic indicators mein jaise employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions pair par bhaari asar daal sakti hai. isi tarah, Japan mein economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi aham role ada karte hain. USDJPY ne Jumeraat (6/28/24) ko itihas mein record high qeemat banayi, currency pair mein tezi se izafa ho sakta hai jo ke munafa lenay ki saakh hai. Girawat ka mouqa ab bhi US session tak ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Bullish channel aur Moving Average par breakout jo ke chal rahi qeemat se oopar hain yeh bearish tajzia mein izafa karte hain. Aik ghantay ki chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 M chart par upar bhasa di gayi hai. Is mein bhi girawat ka mouqa hai kyunke Moving Average chal rahi qeemat par hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai USD/JPY pair apna bullish trend continue karega, mumkin hai ke ek higher zone tak upar move kare Iss hafte ka trend pattern ek uptrend indicate karta hai narrow range ke sath. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, mumkin hai ke increase agle hafte bhi continue kare, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karengi. Subah ke candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo suggest karta hai ke market trend rise kar sakta hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko surpass kar sakte hain USD/JPY abhi trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke Buyers ki mazbooti dikhata hai, aur trend line Support hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ko Resistance - 162.15 todna hoga, jisse trading channel khul jaye ga, aur Bulls' movement ke continuation ka imkan ho sakta hai. Pehla target Supply Zone - 160.47 hoga, jahan se history mein Sellers ne price ko barhaya tha. Reverse movement ka bhi imkan hai Short side ki taraf, lekin pehle Bears ko support - 160.24 todna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce hoti rahi hai. Bears ki mazbooti ka tasdeeq hoga jab price broken level - 160.31 ke niche fix ho jaye ga, jo ke price ki kamzori dikhaye ga. USD/JPY ka downtrend ab bhi maujood hai. Price ne support level 155.48 par paya, jahan se bounce hua. Technical analysis dikhata hai ke price four-hour time frame par cloud ke niche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke niche hai, Chikou span line price chart ke niche hai, aur "dead cross" active hai. Relative strength index value 50 ke niche hai, aur "trend filter" oscillator red color mein hai, jo bearish market sentiment signal karta hai. Mazid decline ka imkan barqarar hai. Agar price level 155.48 ko todti aur successful consolidation karti hai, to nayi sales ko consider karna munasib hoga. Is scenario mein, next potential target support level 154.70 hoga. Alternative scenario ke liye tayyar rahna hoga jab price cloud ke upar trade kar rahi ho, aur s

USD/JPY Price Direction:

Is waqt hum USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing movements ka analysis kar rahe hain. USD/JPY currency pair ke liye, main sirf recent low 143.01 se buy karna pasand karunga. Pound aur euro ke charts ke mukable mein, jahan current price ke qareeb upward trend ka continuation ho sakta hai, 145.85 level ek strong buy entry ke liye zyada risky lag raha hai. Main intezaar karne ka plan bana raha hoon ke price 143.01 tak drop kare aur agar favorable conditions hon, toh 149.89 par profits pull karne ka aim rakhunga. Yeh baat wazeh hai ke bullish trend ab bhi intact hai, lekin pair ko 145.96-145.90 ke resistance zone ke upar apni position secure karni padegi. Is wajah se, do scenarios unfold ho sakte hain: ya toh USD/JPY pair agle hafte apni downward movement continue karega ya phir is resistance ke upar stabilize ho kar 151.85 ki taraf push karega. Is waqt, mujhe market mein entry ke liye koi compelling opportunities nazar nahi aa rahi, is liye main agle hafte tak wait karunga taake situation ko dobara assess kar sakoon.



Jahan tak 145.85 par buy karne ka sawal hai, toh isme koi faida nahi hai, khas tor par September options contract par significant support chahiye, jab ke 145.73-145.49 range ke aas paas kuch outstanding obligations hain. Yeh support shayad break ho sakta hai. Lekin, ek zaruri short-term liquidity flood 0.0068 strikes (150.04 Forex) par hua, aur Forex par is liquidity ke liye trading range 150.92-145.84 hai. Is wajah se, 145.84 filhal contract ka primary support hai. Price is level ke neeche thoda dip kar sakti hai, lekin agar yeh hold nahi karti toh price upward move kar sakti hai. Lekin, agar 145.84 ke neeche consolidation hoti hai aur 145.72 par strike hota hai, toh price shayad 144.67 ka test karegi. September contract ka OI boundary 147.85-155.83 hai, isliye growth ki umeed tab hi karni chahiye jab yeh 147.85 ke upar stabilize ho jaye. Kyun ke contract 147.85 ke do strikes neeche open hua tha aur 146.78 strike ke neeche close hua, is waqt priority yeh hai ke retest ke baad 146.78+- se 145.72 aur potentially 144.67 tak decrease hona mumkin hai.

Aaj USDJPY trading ka aghaz 147.23 ke price par hua. Agar h1 timeframe dekhein, toh candle abhi bhi resistance area mein phansi hui hai. Agar yeh area successfully cross ho gaya, toh USDJPY aur bhi upar ja sakta hai. Lekin agar resistance area cross nahi hota, toh USDJPY wapas neeche aa sakta hai. Guzishta Thursday ko, USDJPY ke girne ke baad, uski movement phir se upar gayi thi. Yeh us waqt hua jab candle RBS zone mein phansi hui thi. Us waqt ki movement bhi kaafi tez thi kyun ke yeh lagbhag 150 pips tak upar chala gaya tha. Meri upar ki analysis ke mutabiq, yeh wazeh hai ke USDJPY ke mazeed barhne ke chances hain kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko cross kar liya hai. Lekin aapko hoshiyar rehna hoga kyun ke candle abhi tak MA50 line ko cross nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se rebound ho sakta hai jo isko girne par majboor kar sakta hai. Aakhir mein ho sakta hai ke yeh kaam kar jaye aur is trading instrument ke further price distribution ke liye yeh option kaam karne lagay agar yahan par puppeteer ziada market participants ko yeh yakeen dilata hai ke ab corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai aur ab se is pair ko sell karna shuru karna chahiye, kyun ke agar dekha jaye toh price upar janay ko tayar nahi lag rahi, shayad ziada market participants yeh samajhte hain ke yeh price yahin se neeche gira kar form ki gayi minimum se bhi neeche ja sakti hai.

Agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar gaya, toh is scenario ke mutabiq USDJPY pair initial key mein seedha yahan se baghair kisi rollback ke 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar yeh sach mein hota hai, toh phir is scenario ke mutabiq wahan se, 159.13 level se neeche girne ka imkaan hai jo ke form ki gayi minimum se bhi neeche ja sakta hai. Main khud yeh tasavvur karta hoon ke USDJPY mazeed barhega kyun ke h1 support jo ke 145.88 price par hai, abhi tak break nahi hua. Is liye, main sab ko yeh tajwez deta hoon ke jo is pair mein trading karte hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target resistance ke price 151.20 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss support ke price 145.4 par rakh sakhain