usd/jpy

Budh ko, spot price mein USD Index ke muqablay mein aham izafa dekhne ko mila, jo ke 140.80 ke qareeb bearish zone mein pohanch gaya. Yeh barhti hui harkat ne traders ki dilchaspi ko barhaya hai, jo ke Japan ki monetary policy par ghore kar rahe hain. Halankeh central bank ke afsaraan ne sukoot ki nishandahi ki hai, magar bazar ke utar chadhav aur ghalib be yaqiniyon ke baais unka tareeqa zara ehtiyaat par mabni hai.
Yen ki Taqwiat, US Ki Maeeshat Ke Masaail aur Bank of Japan Ki Policy Mein Tabdeeli:

Yen ek mehfooz asasa ke tor par ziada dilchasp bana hai, jo ke duniya bhar mein maeeshat ke susti ke khaufon ki wajah se hai. Khaaskar, United States mein aane wali susti ka imkaan ziada ho gaya hai, jabke uska labor market kamzor dikhayi de raha hai. US mein berozgaari ki sharah 4.3% tak barh gayi hai, jo ke November 2021 ke baad se sabse unchi hai. Is berozgaari ke izafay ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ke markazi sudi sharaah mein qabil e zikar katoti ki umeed ko barhaya hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, traders ko umeed hai ke September tak 50-basis point ki sudi katoti ho sakti hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke haali policies ne Yen ki qeemat mein mazeed izafa kar diya hai. Guzishta hafta, BoJ ne bazaar ko hairan karte hue umeed se ziada sudi izafa kiya, jisme key interest rates 15 basis points barh kar 0.15% - 0.25% ke range mein ho gaye. Iske ilawa, central bank ne apni mahana Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ki kharidari ko kam kar ke ¥3 trillion kar diya, jo 2026 ke pehle quarter se asar andaz hogi. In iqdamat ne Yen ki performance ko behtari ki taraf dala hai.

USD/JPY Ka Technical Tajziya:

Yeh pair 142.00 resistance level ko torhne mein nakaam raha, aur uske baad isne apni girawat ko barhaya, 141.00 ke neeche tak chali gayi, jo ke teen din tak chalti barhti qeemat ka silsila tha. Haal ke taaza update ke mutabiq, yeh currency pair 141.51 par trade kar rahi hai, jo ke 1.48% ka nuksan dikhata hai. 143.80 ke weekly high ko cross karne mein nakaami ne girawat ko mazeed barhaya aur downtrend ko mazbooti di.

Technical Asar:

USD/JPY pair ab 143.33 ke qareeb nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb hai, jo foran ek rukawat ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar breakout hota hai, toh bearish momentum kam ho sakta hai aur pair ko "throwback support turned resistance" 144.50 tak test karne ka moka mil sakta hai. Is bearish trend ke bawajood, Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold conditions ke qareeb hai, jo ke ek reversal ka imkaan dikhata hai.

Budh ko, spot price mein USD Index ke muqablay mein aham izafa dekhne ko mila, jo ke 140.80 ke qareeb bearish zone mein pohanch gaya. Yeh barhti hui harkat ne traders ki dilchaspi ko barhaya hai, jo ke Japan ki monetary policy par ghore kar rahe hain. Halankeh central bank ke afsaraan ne sukoot ki nishandahi ki hai, magar bazar ke utar chadhav aur ghalib be yaqiniyon ke baais unka tareeqa zara ehtiyaat par mabni hai.
Yen ki Taqwiat, US Ki Maeeshat Ke Masaail aur Bank of Japan Ki Policy Mein Tabdeeli:

Yen ek mehfooz asasa ke tor par ziada dilchasp bana hai, jo ke duniya bhar mein maeeshat ke susti ke khaufon ki wajah se hai. Khaaskar, United States mein aane wali susti ka imkaan ziada ho gaya hai, jabke uska labor market kamzor dikhayi de raha hai. US mein berozgaari ki sharah 4.3% tak barh gayi hai, jo ke November 2021 ke baad se sabse unchi hai. Is berozgaari ke izafay ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ke markazi sudi sharaah mein qabil e zikar katoti ki umeed ko barhaya hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, traders ko umeed hai ke September tak 50-basis point ki sudi katoti ho sakti hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke haali policies ne Yen ki qeemat mein mazeed izafa kar diya hai. Guzishta hafta, BoJ ne bazaar ko hairan karte hue umeed se ziada sudi izafa kiya, jisme key interest rates 15 basis points barh kar 0.15% - 0.25% ke range mein ho gaye. Iske ilawa, central bank ne apni mahana Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ki kharidari ko kam kar ke ¥3 trillion kar diya, jo 2026 ke pehle quarter se asar andaz hogi. In iqdamat ne Yen ki performance ko behtari ki taraf dala hai.

USD/JPY Ka Technical Tajziya:

Yeh pair 142.00 resistance level ko torhne mein nakaam raha, aur uske baad isne apni girawat ko barhaya, 141.00 ke neeche tak chali gayi, jo ke teen din tak chalti barhti qeemat ka silsila tha. Haal ke taaza update ke mutabiq, yeh currency pair 141.51 par trade kar rahi hai, jo ke 1.48% ka nuksan dikhata hai. 143.80 ke weekly high ko cross karne mein nakaami ne girawat ko mazeed barhaya aur downtrend ko mazbooti di.

Technical Asar:

USD/JPY pair ab 143.33 ke qareeb nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb hai, jo foran ek rukawat ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar breakout hota hai, toh bearish momentum kam ho sakta hai aur pair ko "throwback support turned resistance" 144.50 tak test karne ka moka mil sakta hai. Is bearish trend ke bawajood, Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold conditions ke qareeb hai, jo ke ek reversal ka imkaan dikhata hai.

USD/JPY Market Analysis
Guzishta haftay mein bears ne bulls ko pehl kar di, jisse price mein izafa hua, lekin bulls ne lambi growth ko rok liya. Wave structure abhi tak neeche ki taraf hi develop ho rahi hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke upar hai. Lagta hai ke price current August ke minimum ko update karne ja rahi hai, aur is minimum ko touch karne se pehle takreeban 200 points ka faasla hai. Agar August ka minimum update hota hai, toh MACD aur CCI indicators par bullish divergence ka imkaan ho sakta hai, dono par ya ek par. Indicators ki mojooda position ko dekhte hue, is signal ki pehl se prediction ki ja sakti hai.

Is waqt, priority younger periods mein intraday downwards movement par hai, jab rollbacks hote hain aur sale ki formation nazar aati hai. Yeh strategy tab tak kaam karegi jab tak 141.66 ka minimum update nahi hota, uske baad dekha jayega. Abhi tak downward pressure kam hone ki koi nishani nahi hai. Low qareeb hai, is liye price ke uske neeche janay ka imkaan hai, agar market ka general movement US dollar ke haq mein hota hai, jo ke kafi mumkin hai. Doosri currencies bhi American dollar ke muqablay mein mazeed kamzor hoti nazar aa rahi hain. Har surat mein, trend ke saath kaam karna behtar hota hai, aur humara trend daily chart par downward hi hai.

Beshak, kuch important news bhi aane wali hai. Agar yeh news US dollar ke haq mein hoti hai, toh shayad price low ko cross na karay, halaan ke yeh qareeb hai. 15:30 Moscow time par kuch ahem economic indicators aayenge, jin mein shamil hain: US ke average hourly earnings, non-agricultural sector mein employed afraad ki tadaad mein tabdeeli, US ke economically active afraad ka share, private non-agricultural sector mein employed afraad ki tadaad mein tabdeeli, aur US ki berozgaari ki sharaah.

Technical Tajziya:

USD/JPY ka technical tajziya mila jula hai, lekin bullishness ki kuch nishaniyan bhi hain. 4-hour chart par ek significant Hammer candlestick form ho rahi hai, jo ke reversal ya notable upward move ki taraf ishara karti hai, agar yeh pattern session ke khatam tak barqarar rehti hai. Triangular Moving Average channel aur Zigzag indicator yeh dikhate hain ke pair upward trend mein hai, jo ke buying opportunities ko zahir karta hai. Laguerre aur RSI oscillators bhi bullish activity ke haqq mein hain. RSI yeh dikhata hai ke market oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo aksar price rebound ka pehl ho sakta hai. Agar upward momentum barqarar rehti hai, toh pair Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level 152.350 ko target kar sakta hai.

Lekin, traders ko ehtiyaat karni chahiye aur positions lene se pehle further confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. Technical indicators bullish run ka imkaan dikhate hain, magar fundamental factors bhi pair ki future direction mein kirdar ada karte hain.

USD/JPY Market Analysis
Guzishta haftay mein bears ne bulls ko pehl kar di, jisse price mein izafa hua, lekin bulls ne lambi growth ko rok liya. Wave structure abhi tak neeche ki taraf hi develop ho rahi hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke upar hai. Lagta hai ke price current August ke minimum ko update karne ja rahi hai, aur is minimum ko touch karne se pehle takreeban 200 points ka faasla hai. Agar August ka minimum update hota hai, toh MACD aur CCI indicators par bullish divergence ka imkaan ho sakta hai, dono par ya ek par. Indicators ki mojooda position ko dekhte hue, is signal ki pehl se prediction ki ja sakti hai.

Is waqt, priority younger periods mein intraday downwards movement par hai, jab rollbacks hote hain aur sale ki formation nazar aati hai. Yeh strategy tab tak kaam karegi jab tak 141.66 ka minimum update nahi hota, uske baad dekha jayega. Abhi tak downward pressure kam hone ki koi nishani nahi hai. Low qareeb hai, is liye price ke uske neeche janay ka imkaan hai, agar market ka general movement US dollar ke haq mein hota hai, jo ke kafi mumkin hai. Doosri currencies bhi American dollar ke muqablay mein mazeed kamzor hoti nazar aa rahi hain. Har surat mein, trend ke saath kaam karna behtar hota hai, aur humara trend daily chart par downward hi hai.

Beshak, kuch important news bhi aane wali hai. Agar yeh news US dollar ke haq mein hoti hai, toh shayad price low ko cross na karay, halaan ke yeh qareeb hai. 15:30 Moscow time par kuch ahem economic indicators aayenge, jin mein shamil hain: US ke average hourly earnings, non-agricultural sector mein employed afraad ki tadaad mein tabdeeli, US ke economically active afraad ka share, private non-agricultural sector mein employed afraad ki tadaad mein tabdeeli, aur US ki berozgaari ki sharaah.

Technical Tajziya:

USD/JPY ka technical tajziya mila jula hai, lekin bullishness ki kuch nishaniyan bhi hain. 4-hour chart par ek significant Hammer candlestick form ho rahi hai, jo ke reversal ya notable upward move ki taraf ishara karti hai, agar yeh pattern session ke khatam tak barqarar rehti hai. Triangular Moving Average channel aur Zigzag indicator yeh dikhate hain ke pair upward trend mein hai, jo ke buying opportunities ko zahir karta hai. Laguerre aur RSI oscillators bhi bullish activity ke haqq mein hain. RSI yeh dikhata hai ke market oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo aksar price rebound ka pehl ho sakta hai. Agar upward momentum barqarar rehti hai, toh pair Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level 152.350 ko target kar sakta hai.

Lekin, traders ko ehtiyaat karni chahiye aur positions lene se pehle further confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. Technical indicators bullish run ka imkaan dikhate hain, magar fundamental factors bhi pair ki future direction mein kirdar ada karte hain.

Tuesday ke European Trading Session mein USD/JPY Analysis
Tuesday ke European trading session ke dauran, currency pair ne 144.00 level ke qareeb pohanch kar wapas retreat kiya. Yeh harkat zyada tar Japanese Yen ki taazi barhawa se mutasir hui, jo ke Bank of Japan ke Summary of Opinions (SoP) ke release ke baad dekhi gayi. BoJ ke July 30-31 ke meeting ke bayanat mein zabardast tor par inflation ke khilaf interest rate hikes ki zarurat ko ubhara gaya, jo ke import costs ke barhne ki wajah se aur ziada shadeed ho gaya hai.

Market ke hisson mein in developments par barabar nazar rakhi ja rahi hai. US Dollar ki taqat aur Japanese Yen ki stability ka khel agle movements ke liye intehai ahem hoga. Traders ko mazeed technical indicators aur economic reports par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo ke possible trends ke baare mein insight faraham kar sakti hain.

US Dollar ki Recovery aur Japanese Yen ka Volatility: Market Intervention ka Tajziya

Session ke aaghaz mein, pair ne 5 din tak lagataar girawat ke baad thodi recovery dikhayi, jab US Dollar ne chay mahine ke low se bounce kiya. US Dollar Index, jo ke Greenback ki taqat ko chay bara currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, taqriban 101.60 tak barh gaya. Iske baraks, Japanese Yen ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein sat mahine ke low 141.70 tak girawat dekhi, jo Yen ke volatility ko zahir karta hai.

Reuters ki ek report ke mutabiq, Japan ke Ministry of Finance ne recent market intervention ki tasdeeq ki hai. July mein, Japanese authorities ne ¥5.53 trillion (takreeban $36.8 billion) kharch kiye takay Yen ko stabilize kiya ja sake, jo apni tareekhi 38 saal ke lowest level tak gir chuka tha. Yeh zabardast intervention Yen ko global currency market mein darpaish challenges aur dabao ko numayan karta hai.

D1 Chart Technical Analysis aur USD/JPY ke Future Projections: Key Levels aur RSI Insights

Is waqt, yeh pair taqriban 142.61 par trade ho raha hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, yeh pair upper boundary 143.75 ke aas paas test kar sakta hai. Agar pair is threshold ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh downward pressure ka shikar ho sakta hai, jo ise throwback support level 140.22 tak le ja sakta hai aur mazeed neeche 139.00 ke qareeb descending channel ke lower boundary tak. Iske ilawa, December ke dauran dekhe gaye 140.75 level par bhi throwback support ko test karne ka imkaan hai.

Chart Analysis aur RSI ka Tajziya

Daily chart ka tajziya yeh zahir karta hai ke pair ne abhi haali mein descending channel ko breach kiya hai, jo ke bearish trend ke kamzor hone ka ishara hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal 30 par hai, jo ke pair ke oversold hone ki nishani hai. Agar RSI 50 ke level ki taraf move karta hai, toh yeh momentum mein behtari aur pair ke trajectory mein tabdeeli ka signal de sakta hai.

Tuesday ke European Trading Session mein USD/JPY Analysis
Tuesday ke European trading session ke dauran, currency pair ne 144.00 level ke qareeb pohanch kar wapas retreat kiya. Yeh harkat zyada tar Japanese Yen ki taazi barhawa se mutasir hui, jo ke Bank of Japan ke Summary of Opinions (SoP) ke release ke baad dekhi gayi. BoJ ke July 30-31 ke meeting ke bayanat mein zabardast tor par inflation ke khilaf interest rate hikes ki zarurat ko ubhara gaya, jo ke import costs ke barhne ki wajah se aur ziada shadeed ho gaya hai.

Market ke hisson mein in developments par barabar nazar rakhi ja rahi hai. US Dollar ki taqat aur Japanese Yen ki stability ka khel agle movements ke liye intehai ahem hoga. Traders ko mazeed technical indicators aur economic reports par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo ke possible trends ke baare mein insight faraham kar sakti hain.

US Dollar ki Recovery aur Japanese Yen ka Volatility: Market Intervention ka Tajziya

Session ke aaghaz mein, pair ne 5 din tak lagataar girawat ke baad thodi recovery dikhayi, jab US Dollar ne chay mahine ke low se bounce kiya. US Dollar Index, jo ke Greenback ki taqat ko chay bara currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, taqriban 101.60 tak barh gaya. Iske baraks, Japanese Yen ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein sat mahine ke low 141.70 tak girawat dekhi, jo Yen ke volatility ko zahir karta hai.

Reuters ki ek report ke mutabiq, Japan ke Ministry of Finance ne recent market intervention ki tasdeeq ki hai. July mein, Japanese authorities ne ¥5.53 trillion (takreeban $36.8 billion) kharch kiye takay Yen ko stabilize kiya ja sake, jo apni tareekhi 38 saal ke lowest level tak gir chuka tha. Yeh zabardast intervention Yen ko global currency market mein darpaish challenges aur dabao ko numayan karta hai.

D1 Chart Technical Analysis aur USD/JPY ke Future Projections: Key Levels aur RSI Insights

Is waqt, yeh pair taqriban 142.61 par trade ho raha hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, yeh pair upper boundary 143.75 ke aas paas test kar sakta hai. Agar pair is threshold ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh downward pressure ka shikar ho sakta hai, jo ise throwback support level 140.22 tak le ja sakta hai aur mazeed neeche 139.00 ke qareeb descending channel ke lower boundary tak. Iske ilawa, December ke dauran dekhe gaye 140.75 level par bhi throwback support ko test karne ka imkaan hai.

Chart Analysis aur RSI ka Tajziya

Daily chart ka tajziya yeh zahir karta hai ke pair ne abhi haali mein descending channel ko breach kiya hai, jo ke bearish trend ke kamzor hone ka ishara hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal 30 par hai, jo ke pair ke oversold hone ki nishani hai. Agar RSI 50 ke level ki taraf move karta hai, toh yeh momentum mein behtari aur pair ke trajectory mein tabdeeli ka signal de sakta hai.

USD/JPY Analysis
Main aap ko durust karna chahta hoon, yeh zyada mumkin hai ke northern trend nahi hai, balki north ki taraf ek correction ho rahi hai. Yeh sab kuch Japanese Yen ke itne zabardast taqwiat aur USD/JPY ke downward movement ke baad ho raha hai. Filhal meri position yeh hai ke mera profit 142 par hai, jo ek round number ya psychological level hai, jaise log ise kehte hain. Aksar aise numbers market mein kaam karte hain. Main ne yeh dekha hai ke Japanese Yen aksar aise nahi ghoomta, yeh un zones par kaafi baar touch karta hai jahan resistance ya support form hota hai, aur phir ya toh opposite direction mein chalna shuru karta hai ya breakthrough karta hai. Iss current situation mein meri position 143.00 se 142.00 tak hai, ek figure ya 100 points. Main is movement ko capture karne ki koshish kar raha hoon, lekin mera khayal hai ke hum mazeed aage jaenge. Mera profit aur loss ka ratio ek se do hai, aur sale ke liye top-up order ab bhi rasta mein hai, jab hourly periods par instrument sideways zone se bahar niklega.

Chart Analysis (H1)

H1 chart ke mutabiq, trading week ke aghaz mein USD/JPY ki price yeh dikha rahi hai ke market ko long karne ki koshish ke baad bhi, currency abhi tak bearish cycle mein kaam kar rahi hai. History mein hum ne Buyers' Zone 143.85 ko break karne ki koshish dekhi, lekin abhi tak bina kamiyabi ke. Mera khayal hai ke sirf is level ko break karne ke baad hum medium-term decline ka soch sakte hain. Jab tak yeh level barqarar hai, yeh mumkin hai ke price Buyers' Zone 142.24 se bounce kare aur positive direction mein chaley. Younger chart (M5) par price ab reversal structure bana rahi hai.

Agar bullish direction ka development hota hai, toh pehla level jo main dekhta hoon wo intermediate maximum 144.80 hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh price channel Supply Zone 145.31 tak khul jayega. Yeh waqt priorities ko badalne ka aham point hai.

USD/JPY Analysis
Main aap ko durust karna chahta hoon, yeh zyada mumkin hai ke northern trend nahi hai, balki north ki taraf ek correction ho rahi hai. Yeh sab kuch Japanese Yen ke itne zabardast taqwiat aur USD/JPY ke downward movement ke baad ho raha hai. Filhal meri position yeh hai ke mera profit 142 par hai, jo ek round number ya psychological level hai, jaise log ise kehte hain. Aksar aise numbers market mein kaam karte hain. Main ne yeh dekha hai ke Japanese Yen aksar aise nahi ghoomta, yeh un zones par kaafi baar touch karta hai jahan resistance ya support form hota hai, aur phir ya toh opposite direction mein chalna shuru karta hai ya breakthrough karta hai. Iss current situation mein meri position 143.00 se 142.00 tak hai, ek figure ya 100 points. Main is movement ko capture karne ki koshish kar raha hoon, lekin mera khayal hai ke hum mazeed aage jaenge. Mera profit aur loss ka ratio ek se do hai, aur sale ke liye top-up order ab bhi rasta mein hai, jab hourly periods par instrument sideways zone se bahar niklega.

Chart Analysis (H1)

H1 chart ke mutabiq, trading week ke aghaz mein USD/JPY ki price yeh dikha rahi hai ke market ko long karne ki koshish ke baad bhi, currency abhi tak bearish cycle mein kaam kar rahi hai. History mein hum ne Buyers' Zone 143.85 ko break karne ki koshish dekhi, lekin abhi tak bina kamiyabi ke. Mera khayal hai ke sirf is level ko break karne ke baad hum medium-term decline ka soch sakte hain. Jab tak yeh level barqarar hai, yeh mumkin hai ke price Buyers' Zone 142.24 se bounce kare aur positive direction mein chaley. Younger chart (M5) par price ab reversal structure bana rahi hai.

Agar bullish direction ka development hota hai, toh pehla level jo main dekhta hoon wo intermediate maximum 144.80 hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh price channel Supply Zone 145.31 tak khul jayega. Yeh waqt priorities ko badalne ka aham point hai.

Humari tehqiqat ka mauzoo USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki haliya soorat-e-haal ka tajziya hai. USD/JPY pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ki girawat hui, jis ke baad pair ne upward correction ki koshish ki, aur kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamyab hue. Iss muqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 range tak ho sakta hai. Dosri surat mein, agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance 146.38 tak ponchne ka aim ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai USD/JPY pair ne abhi hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai. Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ehtiyat ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta. Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai, aur bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le jaa sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai. Lekin Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta, kyun ke Bank of Japan 139 ke aas-paas mudakhlat kar sakta hai aur apni currency ko kamzor karne ke liye bazaar mein yen ki badi miktar inject kar sakta hai

Greetings aur Good Morning sab ko!

USD/JPY ka market kal sharp neeche gira aur 140.96 zone ke qareeb pohonch gaya. Yeh dikhata hai ke sellers dominate kar rahe hain aur apni value dobara hasil nahi kar sakte. Yaad rahe ke trading ka success bohot ziada depend karta hai aapki ability par ke aap kitne flexible aur adaptable hain. Jabke current market data ek acchi selling opportunity dikhata hai, traders ko hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko naye maloomat ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye. Is mein aanay walay economic events ka khayal rakhna, key indicators ko closely monitor karna jo ke potential reversals ka ishara de sakte hain, aur risk management ke liye solid practices ko follow karna shamil hai. Ek aisi practice stop losses ka istemal hai, jo ke aapko bohot ziada losses se bachata hai jab market conditions achanak se badal jati hain.

Main prefer karta hoon sell position ke saath short target 140.52 tak ka agay. USD/JPY markets bohot ziada volatile ho sakti hain, aur sentiment aksar unforeseen events jaise ke central bank announcements, monetary policy mein tabdeeliyan, ya geopolitical developments ki wajah se jaldi shift karta hai. Aise fast-paced environments mein, jo traders apni strategies ko jaldi se adjust kar lete hain, wo ziada successful hote hain, jabke jo apne original plans par rigidly stick karte hain, wo struggle kar sakte hain apni positions maintain karne mein. Isliye flexibility ek zaroori component hai successful trading ka.

Halaanke current trends sellers ke haq mein hain, lekin financial markets ki unpredictability ki wajah se trading mein ihtiyaat karna bohot zaroori hai. Volatility kisi bhi waqt, unexpected conditions ke shift hone par, aapke sab se well-considered positions ko reverse kar sakti hai. Stop losses ka implement karna aur economic developments ke baare mein well-informed rehna, capital ko protect karne ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai. Aakhir mein, trading mein success aksar market opportunities ko capitalize karne aur effective risk management practices ke darmiyan balance banane se aati hai.

Hopefully, USD/JPY ka market 140.52 support zone ko cross kar lega.

Aap sab ka trading weekend successful rahe!

Hum current pricing behavior ko analyze kar rahe hain. General mein, consistent bullish surge complex pattern present karta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, trend line breach ke baad breakdown zone mein technical rejection expected tha. Yeh event anticipated manner mein hua, standard logic ke saath. Iske baad, bearish momentum ne local minimum ke strength ko challenge karna tha, phir 139 figure ke breakdown ko target karna tha. Lekin, yeh scenario expected manner mein nahi hua. Instead, buyer ne bearish momentum ko counter kiya aur bullish correction phase kiya initiate kiya. Yeh movement catastrophic nahi hai, lekin sellers seek additional capital kar sakte hain. Abhi, main bearish trend ko continue hone ka expect karta hoon. Technically, USD/JPY pair bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Pair ko support near seven-month low 141.69 mil sakti hai, further support near 140.25. Upside par, pair ko resistance 9-day EMA near 145.63 aur phir 21-day EMA at 146.73 par mil sakti hai. In levels ke upar break 150.00 psychological barrier ko open kar sakta hai, further resistance 154.50 par. Tuesday ko brief surge ke baad, USD/JPY pair ne momentum sustain nahi kiya, 20-day EMA support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, RSI aur Stochastic, potential reversal suggest karte hain, death cross 50- aur 200-day moving averages ne longer-term bearish indicate kiya hai. Yesterday's uptick ke baad, USDJPY ne course reverse kiya, lekin significant weakness nahi dikhai. Correction ne price ko 145.13 par laaya, lekin yeh level critical hai agar bears pair ko neeche le jaye. Today's downward movement ne support level 145.93 ko breach kiya, ab price stabilize karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Sell entry point establish hoga agar yeh stabilize karta hai, potentially pair ko next support level 144.73 par le jaye. Lekin agar bulls upper hand reclaim karte hain, price stabilize ho sakti hai 145.93 ke upar, bullish trend continue karte hue. 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, bulls ne 50% resistance level 149.62 ki advance complete nahi ki hai, bears ne intervene kiya, bearish market ko redirect karne ki koshish ki hai. Chart shows price rebounding slightly angle of 1/8 se, resting just above angle of 1/13. Agar bearish movement momentum gain karta hai,

US dollar ne Thursday ki subah Japanese yen ke muqable mein mustahkam hone ke asaar dikhaye, aur 142 yen ke qareeb qaim raha. Ye level pehle bhi kai martaba ahmiyat rakhta raha hai, is liye is martaba bhi market ki tawajjo ka markaz hai. Ab sawal ye hai ke kya Wednesday ka bullish hammer aane wale din mein mazeed izafa ka sabab banega. Ab tak market ka rad-e-amal kuch musbat raha hai. Aane wala Producer Price Index (PPI) ka data market pe asar daal sakta hai, magar traders ko lagta hai ke mehngai abhi tak zyada rehne ka imkaan hai aur woh is soorat-e-haal mein mutmain dikhayi dete hain. Dosra ahem waqiya Federal Reserve ka 18 tareekh ko faiz ki sharah ka faisla hai, jahan 25 basis points ki kami ki umeed hai, aur lagta hai ke yeh pehle se hi market ki qeematon mein shamil hai.
Uske baad tawajjo Bank of Japan par hogi, jo apni policy do din baad announce karega. Japan ke paas faiz barhane ki limited salahiyat ko dekhte hue, faiz ka faraq US dollar ke haqq mein rehne ka imkaan hai. Yeh imbalance waqt ke sath dollar mein mazeed sarmaya ka izafa kar sakta hai.

Agar USD/JPY pair 145 yen se ooper nikal jata hai, toh hum ek aham recovery dekh sakte hain. Magar abhi humara focus us downward momentum ko rokne par hai jo pair ke mustahkam hone ke dauran dekhne ko mil raha hai. Agar pair 141 yen ke neeche jata hai, toh yeh intehai negative development hogi jo ke aur ziada girawat ka raasta khol sakti hai.

Kul mila kar, abhi ke price action se lagta hai ke market ek consolidation phase mein hai, jahan log ahem central bank ke faislay ka intezaar kar rahe hain taake koi faislay kun qadam uthaya ja sake. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan, dono hi is pair ki agli bari direction tay karne mein ahem kirdar ada karenge.

price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamUSD/JPY pair filhal ek notable downward trend mein hai, jo zyada tar Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke contrasting monetary policies se influenced hai. Recent decline USD/JPY ka mainly market ke expectations ki wajah se hai, jo Fed ke September 17-18 ke meeting mein 25 basis point (bps) rate cut ka hawala de rahe hain. In expectations ke bawajood, recent upward movement ke bawajood, US Dollar (USD) apni gains extend nahi kar paya. Is waqt, market mein cautious sentiment Japanese Yen ki demand ko safe-haven asset ke tor par barha raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair par additional pressure daal raha hai. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ka FY2025 tak interest rates ko raise karne ka potential plan Fed ke anticipated rate cut ke bilkul opposite hai, jo pair ke downtrend ko aur fuel kar raha hai. Traders decisive moves lene se hesitant hain, aur US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka wait kar rahe hain jo Fed ke next policy steps aur USD/JPY pair ke short-term outlook ko impact karegi. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair clear bearish signals de raha hai. Filhal pair 143.20 ke day’s opening level ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 142.95 ke aas-paas hai. Price moving average trend line ke neeche bhi trade kar rahi hai, jo ek critical level hai jahan volume distribution aksar hota hai, aur yeh strong selling pressure ko indicate karta hai. Agar price 143.20 leve



l ke upar move kar jati hai, to resistance levels 143.69 aur shayad 143.75 ki taraf rise dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin agar price 142.95 level ke neeche girti hai, to yeh further decline karne ki umeed hai support levels 142.74 aur shayad 142.20 tak. Pair monthly Pivot level 146.24 aur weekly Pivot level 143.75 ke bhi neeche hai, jo corrective mood ko suggest karta hai. Hourly chart par, pair apni previous range 143.69 se 142.14 ke neeche slip kar gaya hai, jo sellers ke currently dominant hone ka zor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone

USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki haliya soorat-e-haal ka tajziya hai. USD/JPY pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ki girawat hui, jis ke baad pair ne upward correction ki koshish ki, aur kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamyab hue. Iss muqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 range tak ho sakta hai. Dosri surat mein, agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance 146.38 tak ponchne ka aim ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai USD/JPY pair ne abhi hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai. Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ehtiyat ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta. Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai, aur bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le jaa sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai. Lekin Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta, kyun ke Bank of Japan 139 ke aas-paas mudakhlat kar sakta hai aur apni currency ko kamzor karne ke liye bazaar mein yen ki badi miktar inject kar sakta hai
USD/JPY pair par asar pada. Natija ye hai ke buying strength kam ho gayi hai, aur market mein ek ehtiyaati soch dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Aaj ka market action zyada tar mazeed economic data releases, khaaskar US inflation expectations aur consumer confidence reports par mabni ho sakta hai, jo USD/JPY ki direction ko taayun karne mein aham kirdar ada karega.
Main ek buy order ko pasand karta hoon short-term target ke sath 142.47 tak. Halankeh buyers is waqt mushkil ka samna kar rahe hain, lekin aanay wali news data unhein ek moka de sakti hai ke wo dubara apni strength hasil kar sakein aur prices ko ooper push karen. Agar US inflation expectations ya consumer confidence mein koi positive shift aata hai, toh US dollar ki demand barh sakti hai, jo buyers ko un ke recent nuqsan se recover karne mein madad de sakti hai. 142.47 ka level ek reasonable target hai, kyun ke ye ek near-term resistance area hai jahan traders expect karte hain ke price temporarily ruk jaaye gi, us ke baad agla move decide ho ga. Waise, agar market mein favorable developments hoti hain, toh USD/JPY buyers apne peechlay nuqsan ko successfully cover kar sakte hain.

jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea