USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ki girawat hui, jis ke baad pair ne upward correction ki koshish ki, aur kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamyab hue. Iss muqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 range tak ho sakta hai. Dosri surat mein, agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance 146.38 tak ponchne ka aim ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai USD/JPY pair ne abhi hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai. Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta. Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai, aur bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le jaa sakte hain

Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, utsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai

### USD/JPY Analysis

USD/JPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen) ka market analysis H1 timeframe par dikhata hai ke sell trade mein profit banane ki bohot achi sambhavnayein hain. Market mein entry ka sabse optimal point chunne ke liye kuch zaroori shartein hain. Sabse pehli aur ahm baat yeh hai ke higher timeframe H4 par current trend ka direction samjha jaye, taake market sentiment ko galat na samjha jaye. Iske liye, hum H4 timeframe ka chart kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke H1 aur H4 timeframes par trend movements milte hain ya nahi. Jab yeh pehli shart poori hoti hai, tab hum yeh keh sakte hain ke aaj market humein short trade kholne ka acha mauqa de raha hai.

Agla analysis teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color par based hai. Hum expect karte hain ke Hama aur RSI Trend indicators ka rang red ho jaye, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers abhi buyers se bohot zyada strong hain. Jab yeh signal mil jata hai, tab hum sell order kholte hain.

Trade se bahar nikalne ka tareeqa magnetic levels indicator ke signals par hota hai. Aaj signal execute karne ke liye sabse probable level 137.200 hai. Ab humein chart par price action par nazar rakhni hai jab price magnetic level ke qareeb pohanchti hai. Yahan par humein yeh mushkil faisla karna hota hai ke position ko agle magnetic level tak hold karein ya hasil ki gayi profit ko lock karein.

Potential earnings se faida uthane ke liye, trailing stop ka istemal karna ek achha option hai. Is tarah, agar price unexpected move karti hai, to hum apne profits ko mehfooz rakh sakte hain.

Overall, USD/JPY ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke sell trade kholne ka waqt bohot behtareen hai, agar hum indicators ke signals ko sahi tarah samjhein aur market movements par nazar rakhein. Is strategy ke zariye, traders ko profit banane ka acha mauqa mil sakta hai, jab tak wo apne risk management ko bhi nazar mein rakhte hain.

**USD/JPY Price Action Analysis**

Main ab USD/JPY pair ki price action ka jaiza le raha hoon. Haal hi mein, kuch bearish leg bars 144.10 ke resistance level par bani hain, jo ke ek decline ka imkaan dikhati hain. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne ye announce kiya hai ke apna interest rate 0.25 se kam rakha jayega. Yeh faisla yeh dikhata hai ke BOJ apni current monetary policy ko barqarar rakhega, jo yen ki taqat par asar dal sakta hai. Is background mein, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ki sambhavna zyada nazar aati hai.

Humne hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi dekha hai, jo ke ek downtrend ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai. In signals ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY agle hafte mein neeche ki taraf trend karega. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke ismein aur bhi potential hai.

Halankeh bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ne haal hi mein 20 dinon ka high 144.50 tak pohanch gaya. Merchants ne control lene ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively neeche push karne mein nakam rahe. Main ne 143.49 se 143.77 ke darmiyan ek ahm support area identify kiya hai, jo prices ko upar rakhne mein kaafi madadgar raha hai. Lekin, jaise hi market band hone ko aaya, asset ne resistance maintain karne mein mushkil mehsoos ki, jisse 15-minute chart par double tops aur bottoms nazar aaye.

Agar price 143.49 ke niche break hoti hai, toh yeh current correction ka end dikhayegi aur selling interest ko attract karegi. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY 144.50 ke upar close hota hai, toh main selling position se nikal jaunga. Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) is waqt 50.00 ke niche hai, jo 47 par hai, jo bullish momentum ki kamzori ko dikhata hai. Saath hi, asset ne ek descending channel ki upper boundary tak pohanch gaya hai. In sab factors ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend aane wala hai.

Main filhal 0.14 lots ki short trade mein hoon jo abhi loss mein hai. Lekin, mujhe ummeed hai ke market meri taraf palat sakta hai. Total mila kar, bearish price action aur fundamental signals is pair ke liye down move ki tawaqqo ko support karte hain. Aane wale dinon mein, hum dekhte hain ke kya yeh prediction sahi hoti hai. Happy trading!

USD/JPY Pair Analysis
Pichlay paanch trading dinon mein spot price musalsal barhti rahi hai, aur jumay ko US trading hours ke dauran taqreeban 144.10 tak pohanchi. Yeh upward trend ziada tar girtay hue US Dollar ki wajah se dekha gaya. Ab jab traders Japan ka National Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ka ahem khitab ka intezar kar rahe hain, market mein tajziya aur strategy ke liye kafi dilchasp moqay nazar aa rahe hain.

Japan ka CPI aur Powell ka khitab market sentiment ko qaim karne mein ahem kirdar ada karega. In events ka asar investors ki soch par kafi gehra ho sakta hai. Traders ko chahiye ke kisi bhi nayi developments ya data ko ghaur se monitor karein jo ke interest rates aur economic conditions ke hawale se umeedat ko tabdeel kar sake.

USD/JPY ki Fundamentals:

DXY, jo ke Greenback (US Dollar) ki qeemat ko dosray foreign currencies ke against naapta hai, multi-day low 101.85 ke aas paas gir gaya hai. Yeh decline USD/JPY pair par pressure daal raha hai, kyun ke investors expect kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve September mein apni monetary policy ko relax karna shuru kar sakti hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq markets ab 77% ka chance price kar rahe hain ke September mein 25 basis point (bps) ka rate cut hoga, aur aglay ek saal mein total 200 bps ka cut aasakta hai—magar yeh sab forthcoming economic data par mabni hoga.

Investor sentiment ab is taraf jhuki hui hai ke Fed is saal kai interest rate cuts karegi, jisme September, November aur December mein teen quarter-point reductions shamil hain. Is anticipated shift ki wajah se USD par ziada selling pressure pad raha hai. Kuch officials ne to yeh bhi kaha hai ke agar hiring mein ziada kami ka izhar hota hai to September mein 50 basis point cut bhi mumkin hai.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

USD/JPY pair ko foran resistance downtrend line ke qareeb, khaas tor par 143.10 level par 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas mil sakti hai. Agar pair is resistance ko torne mein kamyab hoti hai, to yeh maujooda bearish sentiment ko kam kar sakti hai, aur aglay resistance level 144.50 tak pohanchne ka raasta khol sakti hai, jo ke pehle support tha.

Jumay ke din yeh pair 145.20 ke aas paas trade kar rahi thi. Hourly chart ka gareeb se tajziya yeh dikhata hai ke yeh pair aik downtrend line ke neeche consolidate kar rahi hai, jo bearish bias ka izhar karta hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke thora upar hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke ek potential correction nazdik ho sakti hai.

USD/JPY Pair Analysis

Pichlay paanch trading dinon mein spot price musalsal barhti rahi hai, aur jumay ko US trading hours ke dauran taqreeban 144.10 tak pohanchi. Yeh upward trend ziada tar girtay hue US Dollar ki wajah se dekha gaya. Ab jab traders Japan ka National Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ka ahem khitab ka intezar kar rahe hain, market mein tajziya aur strategy ke liye kafi dilchasp moqay nazar aa rahe hain.

Japan ka CPI aur Powell ka khitab market sentiment ko qaim karne mein ahem kirdar ada karega. In events ka asar investors ki soch par kafi gehra ho sakta hai. Traders ko chahiye ke kisi bhi nayi developments ya data ko ghaur se monitor karein jo ke interest rates aur economic conditions ke hawale se umeedat ko tabdeel kar sake.

USD/JPY ki Fundamentals:

DXY, jo ke Greenback (US Dollar) ki qeemat ko dosray foreign currencies ke against naapta hai, multi-day low 101.85 ke aas paas gir gaya hai. Yeh decline USD/JPY pair par pressure daal raha hai, kyun ke investors expect kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve September mein apni monetary policy ko relax karna shuru kar sakti hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq markets ab 77% ka chance price kar rahe hain ke September mein 25 basis point (bps) ka rate cut hoga, aur aglay ek saal mein total 200 bps ka cut aasakta hai—magar yeh sab forthcoming economic data par mabni hoga.

Investor sentiment ab is taraf jhuki hui hai ke Fed is saal kai interest rate cuts karegi, jisme September, November aur December mein teen quarter-point reductions shamil hain. Is anticipated shift ki wajah se USD par ziada selling pressure pad raha hai. Kuch officials ne to yeh bhi kaha hai ke agar hiring mein ziada kami ka izhar hota hai to September mein 50 basis point cut bhi mumkin hai.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

USD/JPY pair ko foran resistance downtrend line ke qareeb, khaas tor par 143.10 level par 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas mil sakti hai. Agar pair is resistance ko torne mein kamyab hoti hai, to yeh maujooda bearish sentiment ko kam kar sakti hai, aur aglay resistance level 144.50 tak pohanchne ka raasta khol sakti hai, jo ke pehle support tha.

Jumay ke din yeh pair 145.20 ke aas paas trade kar rahi thi. Hourly chart ka gareeb se tajziya yeh dikhata hai ke yeh pair aik downtrend line ke neeche consolidate kar rahi hai, jo bearish bias ka izhar karta hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke thora upar hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke ek potential correction nazdik ho sakti hai.

USD/JPY Daily Market Analysis
Assalam o Alaikum forum members, aaj dopehar mein main USD/JPY currency pair ka tajziya karne ki koshish karunga. Pichlay chand dino mein, is pair par kafi bullish pressure dekha gaya hai, lekin agar hum D1 time frame ka istimal karke dekhein, toh yeh movement decide karegi ke USD/JPY currency pair bullish hai ya bearish. Chaliye pattern aur methods dekhte hain. Main D1 time frame ka istimal kar ke trend ko analyze karunga, aur is ke liye main Moving Average Indicator Period 21 aur Moving Average Indicator Period 34 ka istimal karunga.

Agar hum dekhein, toh price pichlay chand dino se upward pressure mein hai, magar abhi bhi price Moving Average Indicator ke neeche hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke trend abhi tak bearish hai. Aur USD/JPY currency pair ka bullish movement sirf ek optimization hai.

Jab hum USD/JPY currency pair ka trend identify kar lete hain, toh hum SELL ka option set karenge kyun ke meri trading strategy trend ko follow karti hai. SELL position banane ke liye hum choti time frames jese ke M30 ya M15 ka pattern dekh sakte hain, jahan reversal pattern miley ga jo hume SELL position order set karne ka moqa dega. SELL option banane ke baad, hum stop loss set karenge, jo ke is pair ke liye agla step hoga.

Mein filhaal resistance area 147.18 price level par dekh raha hoon, jab ke take profit area 139.51 ke support area par hoga. Agar aap abhi bhi is analysis ke hawale se confused hain, toh neeche attached image ka refer kar sakte hain, jo ke USD/JPY currency pair ke liye ek guide hogi. Yeh meri taraf se chhota sa analysis tha.

USD/JPY Daily Market Analysis
Assalam o Alaikum forum members, aaj dopehar mein main USD/JPY currency pair ka tajziya karne ki koshish karunga. Pichlay chand dino mein, is pair par kafi bullish pressure dekha gaya hai, lekin agar hum D1 time frame ka istimal karke dekhein, toh yeh movement decide karegi ke USD/JPY currency pair bullish hai ya bearish. Chaliye pattern aur methods dekhte hain. Main D1 time frame ka istimal kar ke trend ko analyze karunga, aur is ke liye main Moving Average Indicator Period 21 aur Moving Average Indicator Period 34 ka istimal karunga.

Agar hum dekhein, toh price pichlay chand dino se upward pressure mein hai, magar abhi bhi price Moving Average Indicator ke neeche hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke trend abhi tak bearish hai. Aur USD/JPY currency pair ka bullish movement sirf ek optimization hai.

Jab hum USD/JPY currency pair ka trend identify kar lete hain, toh hum SELL ka option set karenge kyun ke meri trading strategy trend ko follow karti hai. SELL position banane ke liye hum choti time frames jese ke M30 ya M15 ka pattern dekh sakte hain, jahan reversal pattern miley ga jo hume SELL position order set karne ka moqa dega. SELL option banane ke baad, hum stop loss set karenge, jo ke is pair ke liye agla step hoga.

Mein filhaal resistance area 147.18 price level par dekh raha hoon, jab ke take profit area 139.51 ke support area par hoga. Agar aap abhi bhi is analysis ke hawale se confused hain, toh neeche attached image ka refer kar sakte hain, jo ke USD/JPY currency pair ke liye ek guide hogi. Yeh meri taraf se chhota sa analysis tha.

USD/JPY Forecast: Japanese Yen 13-Mah Ka High Qareeb
Doosray musalsal din USD/JPY apni tez nuqsaanat se bahal ho raha hai, jo ke 13-mahina high support level 139.60 tak pohanch gaya tha. Rebound ka faida 142.46 resistance level par ruk gaya, aur is waqt 141.80 ke aas paas stabil ho raha hai, jab ke sab se ahem waqea foreign exchange markets ke liye US Federal Reserve ke policy faislay ki aaj ki announcement hai.

Is dauran, Japanese Yen ka faida is liye hai kyun ke investors is hafte Japan aur United States ke latest monetary policy faislay ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Bank of Japan se umeed hai ke Friday ko interest rates mein koi tabdeeli nahi aaye gi, magar ziada rate hikes ka ishara diya ja sakta hai. Financial markets mein ye bet lagaya ja raha hai ke Bank of Japan December mein phir se interest rates barhaye ga, jab ke October ka move abhi tak clear nahi hai. Wahi, US Federal Reserve se wasi tor par pehli martaba 4 saalon mein interest rate cut ki umeed hai, aur markets mein takreeban do-tehai chances hain ke 50 basis point ka bara cut hoga. Japan ke Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne Tuesday ko kaha ke forex ke volatility ka economy par dono acha aur bura asar hota hai, aur jaldi harkatein naqabil-e-qabool hain.

Japan ka 10-sala bond yield ek maheena ke low par aa gaya hai. Benchmark 10-sala Japanese hukoomat ka bond yield takreeban 0.83% par gir gaya, jo ke ek maheena ka low hai, aur US bond yields ke saath girta ja raha hai. Wajah hai ke umeed hai ke Federal Reserve is hafte zyadah aggressive tor par US interest rates cut karega. Financial markets ab 67% chance de rahi hain ke 50-basis point cut hoga, jo ke ek mahina pehle sirf 25% tha.

Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan se wasi tor par umeed hai ke policy mein koi tabdeeli nahi hogi, magar ainday rate hikes ka ishara zaroor mil sakta hai. Markets bet lagate hain ke BoJ December mein phir se interest rates barhaye ga, jab ke October ka move abhi tak elusive hai. Fitch ne apni interest rate forecast Japan ke liye revise ki hai, aur ab umeed hai ke 2024 ke akhir tak 0.5%, 2025 mein 0.75%, aur 2026 ke end tak 1% tak barhaye jayenge.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis aur Aaj ke Expectations:

Haal hi ke rebound ke bawajood, USD/JPY ka overall trend ab bhi bearish hai, aur 140.00 ka psychological support level bearish trend mein bears ke zyada control ka saboot rahega. Saath hi, technical indicators oversold levels ki taraf jate dikh rahe hain. Technical tor par, is hafte duniya ke central banks ki announcements ka reaction dollar/yen ke qismat ka faisla karega. Agar price neeche girti hai aur important support levels ko torh deti hai, toh sabse qareebi support 138.00 par hoga jo bears ke control ko aur mazboot karega. Wahi, daily chart ke mutabiq 150.00 ka psychological resistance sabse ahem rahega jo ke bullish trend ke reversal ke liye zaroori hoga.

USD/JPY Forecast: Japanese Yen 13-Mah Ka High Qareeb
Doosray musalsal din USD/JPY apni tez nuqsaanat se bahal ho raha hai, jo ke 13-mahina high support level 139.60 tak pohanch gaya tha. Rebound ka faida 142.46 resistance level par ruk gaya, aur is waqt 141.80 ke aas paas stabil ho raha hai, jab ke sab se ahem waqea foreign exchange markets ke liye US Federal Reserve ke policy faislay ki aaj ki announcement hai.

Is dauran, Japanese Yen ka faida is liye hai kyun ke investors is hafte Japan aur United States ke latest monetary policy faislay ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Bank of Japan se umeed hai ke Friday ko interest rates mein koi tabdeeli nahi aaye gi, magar ziada rate hikes ka ishara diya ja sakta hai. Financial markets mein ye bet lagaya ja raha hai ke Bank of Japan December mein phir se interest rates barhaye ga, jab ke October ka move abhi tak clear nahi hai. Wahi, US Federal Reserve se wasi tor par pehli martaba 4 saalon mein interest rate cut ki umeed hai, aur markets mein takreeban do-tehai chances hain ke 50 basis point ka bara cut hoga. Japan ke Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne Tuesday ko kaha ke forex ke volatility ka economy par dono acha aur bura asar hota hai, aur jaldi harkatein naqabil-e-qabool hain.

Japan ka 10-sala bond yield ek maheena ke low par aa gaya hai. Benchmark 10-sala Japanese hukoomat ka bond yield takreeban 0.83% par gir gaya, jo ke ek maheena ka low hai, aur US bond yields ke saath girta ja raha hai. Wajah hai ke umeed hai ke Federal Reserve is hafte zyadah aggressive tor par US interest rates cut karega. Financial markets ab 67% chance de rahi hain ke 50-basis point cut hoga, jo ke ek mahina pehle sirf 25% tha.

Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan se wasi tor par umeed hai ke policy mein koi tabdeeli nahi hogi, magar ainday rate hikes ka ishara zaroor mil sakta hai. Markets bet lagate hain ke BoJ December mein phir se interest rates barhaye ga, jab ke October ka move abhi tak elusive hai. Fitch ne apni interest rate forecast Japan ke liye revise ki hai, aur ab umeed hai ke 2024 ke akhir tak 0.5%, 2025 mein 0.75%, aur 2026 ke end tak 1% tak barhaye jayenge.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis aur Aaj ke Expectations:

Haal hi ke rebound ke bawajood, USD/JPY ka overall trend ab bhi bearish hai, aur 140.00 ka psychological support level bearish trend mein bears ke zyada control ka saboot rahega. Saath hi, technical indicators oversold levels ki taraf jate dikh rahe hain. Technical tor par, is hafte duniya ke central banks ki announcements ka reaction dollar/yen ke qismat ka faisla karega. Agar price neeche girti hai aur important support levels ko torh deti hai, toh sabse qareebi support 138.00 par hoga jo bears ke control ko aur mazboot karega. Wahi, daily chart ke mutabiq 150.00 ka psychological resistance sabse ahem rahega jo ke bullish trend ke reversal ke liye zaroori hoga.

Trading Strategy with USD/JPY Prices
Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karne par baat karenge. Ab tak ye quote local maximum zone ko cross nahi kar saka hai, magar is zone se bahar bhi nahi nikla. Mujhe lagta hai ke agli hafte ke shuru mein is par hamla jaari rahega. Maine pehle hi is zone ke cross karne ke nateejon par roshni daal di thi. Lekin agar price wapas pichle minimum ki taraf hoti hai, tab bhi overall scenario mein koi tabdeeli nahi hogi. Is rollback ke dauran, nayi purchase opportunities ko dekha ja sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, USD/JPY pair par kafi zyada fundamental pressure hai. Ek taraf, investors ko abhi tak dollar ke bare mein koi mukammal raaye nahi mili, jab se Federal Reserve ne lambe arsay ke baad pehli dafa interest rate cut kiya hai. Is ka tasaruf mein waqt lagega. Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan ki policy ko lekar be-wazeh soorat e haal hai, jo aur bhi intrigue create kar rahi hai.

MACD indicator ka istimaal karte hue, dekha gaya ke jab August ka minimum update kiya gaya, tab ek bullish divergence bani. Agle hafte mujhe upward movement ka zyada chance lagta hai, kyun ke hum already upar ja chuke hain, isliye prospects sirf yahin hain. Bulls ka sabse possible level jo nazar aata hai wo 144.76 hai, magar yeh door ka imkaan hai. Agar 143.84 tak price pohanch jaaye, toh agle target 144.27 ki taraf badhna mumkin hoga. Growth ka scenario mujhe kaafi clear lagta hai, magar fall ke hawalay se ab tak clarity nahi hai. Isliye hum price ke correction move ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke zyada se zyada 142.95 tak pohanch sakta hai. Wahan ek convenient moment ho sakta hai USD/JPY ko buy karne ka, shayad 143.44 ke qareeb se northern deal shuru karni paday, lekin is baat ka bhi khayal rakhein ke hum aur bhi neeche ja sakte hain.

US dollar ne ek mazboot bounce dekha hai ek ahem uptrend line se, khaaskar 140 yen ke qareeb, jo aik ahem area hai aur pichlay chand dafa se significant sabit hua hai. Guzishta hafta, jab Federal Reserve ne 50 basis point ka rate cut introduce kiya, Bank of Japan ne apne mojooda rates ko barqarar rakha, jo bazaar ke liye kuch ahem sawalat uthata hai.

Khaas taur par pehle yeh khauf tha ke Japan achanak se ek hawkish stance ikhtiyar kar sakta hai. Magar abhi tak Japan is mein kamiyaab nahi ho saka, zyada tar apni kamzoor economy ki wajah se. Japan ki economy ka dhacha ziada unchi interest rates ko bardasht nahi kar sakta kyunke is se qarz mein izafa hoga jo mulk ki economy ko tabah kar sakta hai. Japanese hakoomat majboor hai ke wo rates ko intehai kam rakhein, aur inhe 25 basis points se zyada barhane ka koi asal option nahi hai. Agar unhone koshish bhi ki, to ye na sirf Japan mein balki global markets mein bhi ek financial collapse ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Is halaat mein lagta hai ke hum USD/JPY pair mein ek bullish reversal ka aghaz dekh rahe hain, aur is market ko short karne ka filhal koi faida nazar nahi aata. Jab tak dollar 140 yen ke ahem level ke upar hai, bazaar ka rujhan mazeed bullish momentum ko support karta rahega. Yeh haqeeqat ke humne haftay ke akhri din tak is crucial support level ke neeche close nahi kiya, mazid US dollar ki yen ke muqable mein taqat ko reinforce karta hai.

Mukhtasir mein, Bank of Japan apni economic haqiqaton ki wajah se majboor hai aur US dollar mazbooti se critical support ke upar hai, isliye is currency pair ka path mazeed upar ki taraf lagta hai. Jab tak hum 140 yen ke level ke neeche ek thek break nahi dekhte, jo filhal na-mumkin lagta hai, is market ko short karna be-hikmat hai.

Trading Strategy with USD/JPY Prices

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karne par baat karenge. Ab tak ye quote local maximum zone ko cross nahi kar saka hai, magar is zone se bahar bhi nahi nikla. Mujhe lagta hai ke agli hafte ke shuru mein is par hamla jaari rahega. Maine pehle hi is zone ke cross karne ke nateejon par roshni daal di thi. Lekin agar price wapas pichle minimum ki taraf hoti hai, tab bhi overall scenario mein koi tabdeeli nahi hogi. Is rollback ke dauran, nayi purchase opportunities ko dekha ja sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, USD/JPY pair par kafi zyada fundamental pressure hai. Ek taraf, investors ko abhi tak dollar ke bare mein koi mukammal raaye nahi mili, jab se Federal Reserve ne lambe arsay ke baad pehli dafa interest rate cut kiya hai. Is ka tasaruf mein waqt lagega. Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan ki policy ko lekar be-wazeh soorat e haal hai, jo aur bhi intrigue create kar rahi hai.

MACD indicator ka istimaal karte hue, dekha gaya ke jab August ka minimum update kiya gaya, tab ek bullish divergence bani. Agle hafte mujhe upward movement ka zyada chance lagta hai, kyun ke hum already upar ja chuke hain, isliye prospects sirf yahin hain. Bulls ka sabse possible level jo nazar aata hai wo 144.76 hai, magar yeh door ka imkaan hai. Agar 143.84 tak price pohanch jaaye, toh agle target 144.27 ki taraf badhna mumkin hoga. Growth ka scenario mujhe kaafi clear lagta hai, magar fall ke hawalay se ab tak clarity nahi hai. Isliye hum price ke correction move ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke zyada se zyada 142.95 tak pohanch sakta hai. Wahan ek convenient moment ho sakta hai USD/JPY ko buy karne ka, shayad 143.44 ke qareeb se northern deal shuru karni paday, lekin is baat ka bhi khayal rakhein ke hum aur bhi neeche ja sakte hain.

Good Morning sab traders ko!

Kal BOJ ki Policy Rate aur Monetary Policy bohat achi thi aur is ne sellers ko thoda stable kiya. Magar, USD/JPY market abhi bhi uptrend direction ko follow kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, poore hafte tak US dollar ke ird gird market sentiment bearish raha. Investors aur market participants ko is baat ka dar tha ke currency ke liye koi clear support nahi hai, kyun ke key economic indicators aur policy decisions zaroori boost nahi de sake. Market sentiment currency movements mein aham kirdar ada karta hai, aur jab ek currency mein confidence kam ho jata hai to wo kamzor ho jati hai. Yehi halat US dollar ke saath hui, jo economic uncertainty ke peechay struggle kar raha tha.

USD/JPY trading ke liye, main buy order ko prefer karta hoon, aur agle hafte ke liye short target 144.00 ka rakhta hoon. Is ke ilawa, US dollar ki struggles ne doosri major currencies ko strength lene ka moqa diya. Euro, British pound, aur Japanese yen ne US dollar ki kamzori ka faida uthaya, aur investors ne in currencies ko safer ya zyada attractive alternative samjha. Euro ko Eurozone se stronger economic data ka support mila, jab ke British pound ko UK labor market mein positive developments ke wajah se strength mili. Japanese yen, jo ek safe-haven currency ke tor par jana jata hai, ne bhi appreciation dekhi jab investors ne US dollar ki volatility se bachne ke liye refuge talash kiya.

Ye shift in focus ne in currencies ko stabilize karne aur kuch cases mein dollar ke against strengthen hone ka moqa diya. Hopefully, USD/JPY ke buyers jald ya dair 144.00 resistance zone ko cross kar lenge. Jo log pichle hafte US dollar ki volatility ki wajah se losses face kar rahe thay, un ke liye is hafte ka market ek recovery ka moqa bana. US dollar ki kamzori ne doosri currencies mein buying ke liye favorable conditions paida ki, jis se forex markets mein activity barh gayi. Market participants jinhon ne stronger currencies mein positions li thi, unhone dollar ki weakness ka faida uthaya aur apne pehle ke losses ko mitigate karne mein madad mili.

Keep Calm!

Charts mein kahani: USD/JPY

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price ko assess kar rahe hain. 4-hour time frame mein, bulls ne downtrend ko challenge karna shuru kiya hai, lekin pehle se mentioned hai ke ye abhi bhi ek correction hai, reversal nahi. Har waqt bears dobara control le sakte hain. Price abhi 1/12 angle ke neeche aur 143.43 ke 75% resistance level ke neeche hai, jo ke bulls ko pehle touch karna padega jab tak bears ek strong defense nahi mount karte aur momentum downward shift ho sakta hai. USD/JPY pair ne apni decline ke baad Asian session mein recover karna shuru kiya, aur MA moving average channel ke lower edge ko touch kiya. Bulls ne kaafi bearish movement ko absorb kar liya hai aur ab 142.47 resistance level ko dekh rahe hain. Agar buyers is level ko break karte hain, aur 30-minute close ke saath iske upar jaate hain, toh mein anticipate karta hoon ke upward momentum barqarar rahega, jo ke 143.74 se 144.21 range tak ja sakta hai.

142.47 level ka retest bhi ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar dip hoti hai bearish support level 140.42 tak, toh ye ek buying opportunity provide kar sakta hai. USD/JPY pair ne ab tak 139.59 tak ka drop nahi kiya, lekin mein ise rule out nahi karta kyun ke downtrend abhi bhi dominant hai. Immediate targets nahi hain kyun ke price ne sirf 140.19 ko break kiya hai, balki 140.00 ke neeche bhi dip kiya, lekin is movement ko sustain nahi kar saka, jo ke ek false breakout ka signal hai. Kal market ne ek acchi recovery dekhi thi, jisme lows se lagbhag 300 points ka gain tha, lekin pehle ke drop ko dekhte hue, ye abhi bhi kaafi nahi. Aaj ka focus dollar aur Fed pe hai, aur uncertainty hai ke rate kitna down hoga—market expectations hain 0.5 reduction ka. Officials ke statements bhi critical honge. Filhaal mera position neutral hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke price wapas 140 ki taraf move kar sakta hai, aur main wahan buying consider kar sakta hoon, khaaskar chhoti potential stop ko dekhte hue.