usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

hai ke bunyadi waqiyat ki fitrat zyada ahmiyat nahi rakhti. Har waqiya mein, dollar ke khilaaf kaam karne wale asbaab dhundh liye jaate hain aur baaqi sab kuch nazarandaz kar diya jata hai. Darhaqiqat, ab bazaar Fed ke rates aur BoE/European Central Bank ke rates mein farq ki roshni mein dollar bech sakta hai. Ab bazaar yeh tawaqo kar raha hai ke Fed apne rates ko British ya European central banks ke muqable mein zyada tezi se kam karega, jo ke ek naye selling ka silsila shuru kar sakta hai. Chunay ke ECB ka ijlaas bas pichlay haftay hua tha, ECB ki sarbaraah Christine Lagarde ka aaj ka khitaab bazaar ko koi naye ahmiyat ke maloomat nahi faraham karega General Nataij: Is haftay ke akhri trading din mein, dono currency pairs shayad bohat sukoon se trade karain. Majmoi tor par bazaar ka jazba yeh hai ke dono pairs aaj bhi barh sakte hain. Sath hi yeh bhi imkaan hai ke yeh correct karain. Is liye behtareen yeh hai ke technical levels, formations aur patterns ke bunyad par trade kiya jaye. Koi nahi jaanta ke bade players kab tak U.S. dollar ko bechte rahain gay aur kab tak Fed ke monetary easing ko price karte rahain gay. Jaisa ke hum ne pichle analysis mein 18 September ko peesh goyi ki thi, yen ne apni consolidation range ko barhaya aur neeche ke price channel se breakout kiya, jo ab mansookh ho chuka hai. Magar price ab bhi balance indicator line ke neeche hai, jo ke maujooda upward trend mein ek modrate correction ka ishara hai. Yeh correction MACD line tak gehra ho sakta hai jo ke 146.50 ke target

Currency pair ne haali mein kuch dilchasp harkatain dikhai hain. Jumma ko, yeh 144.50 ke ooper chala gaya aur 145.00 ke level ko test kiya. Magar, bazar ke jazbat badalne aur US Dollar par selling pressure ke bais, yeh aakhir kar 143.90 se neeche band hua. Is article mein hum un economic indicators ka jaiza leingay jo is currency pair ko mutasir kar rahe hain, Bank of Japan ka mustaqbil ka rukh, aur aanay wali harkaat ka andaza lagayenge.
USD/JPY ko mutasir karne walay economic indicators:

USD/JPY mein haali uljhan ka aik bara sabab US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) hai. June mein, PCE Index saal-dar-saal 2.5% barh gaya, jo ke May ke 2.6% se thoda kam hai magar bazar ki tawaqoaon ke mutabiq hai. Mahina-dar-mahina, yeh index 0.1% barha, jab ke May mein thori si mustahkam tha. Iske ilawa, Core PCE, jo ke khurak aur energy ke kharchon ko shamil nahi karta, 2.6% tak pohanch gaya, jo May ke izafay ko barqarar rakhte hue projected 2.5% se zyada tha. Yeh data US ki ma'eeshat ke lagataar behtri ki nishandahi karta hai, jo Dollar ki ibtidaayi taqat mein hissa dalta hai.

Japan ke economic indicators aik pechida manzar ko zahir kar rahe hain. July mein, headline Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) saal-dar-saal 2.2% ka izafa dikhata hai, jo ke barhati hui mehengai ke dabao ko zahir karta hai. Magar, Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki aur Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi jaise ahlkar foreign exchange ke mamlaat par ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain. Yeh reluctance yeh ishara karti hai ke Japan apni ma'eeshati surat-e-haal ko intehai ehtiyat se sambhal raha hai, jab ke aalamgir tabdeeliyaan ho rahi hain.

Bank of Japan ka rukh:

USD/JPY traders ke liye Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka rukh intehai ahmiyat rakhta hai. BlackRock Investment Institute ne ishaara diya hai ke BoJ apni aanay wali meeting mein interest rates nahi barhaye ga. Isi tarah, JP Morgan bhi yeh pegham deta hai ke BoJ July mein ya 2024 ke dauran koi rate hike nahi karega. Japan ki monetary policy mein yeh mustahkammi Yen ki kamzori mein mazeed izafa kar sakti hai, jo USD/JPY ke dynamics ko mutasir karegi.

USD/JPY ka technical analysis:

Is waqt, yeh pair 144.00 ke qareebi psychological threshold par chal raha hai. Agar yeh level breach karta hai to yeh pair 145.69 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 146.00 ke qareeb ke ilakay tak keemat ko pohancha sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar yeh pair girta hai to isay 142.25 ke aas paas support mil sakta hai, aur mazeed support 142.00 ke mark par ho sakta hai. Yeh level traders ke liye intehai ahmiyat rakhte hain jab wo mustaqbil ki harkaat ka andaza lagatethreshold par chal raha hai. Agar yeh level breach karta hai to yeh pair 145.69 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 146.00 ke qareeb ke ilakay tak keemat ko pohancha sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar yeh pair girta hai to isay 142.25 ke aas paas support mil sakta hai, aur mazeed support 142.00 ke mark par ho sakta hai. Yeh level traders ke liye hain.

14 mahine ke low 139.57 ko chune ke baad, spot price rebound kar ke do haftay ke high 144.60 par pohancha, lekin phir apni neeche ki taraf rawani ko dobara shuru kiya. Maujooda momentum sellers ke haq mein nazar aa raha hai, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) se zahir hota hai, jo ke bazar mein bearish jazbaat ke barqarar rehne ka imkaan dikhata hai. Traders ko in indicators ke badalne par hamesha dehaan dena chahiye.

dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, opsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price

EUR/JPY pair ko 161.00 ke upar push kiya, jo ke 25% ka izafa tha. Germany aur Spain ke pehle data ne yeh ishara diya tha ke eurozone inflation kam ho sakta hai, lekin akhir mein bloc-wide figures expectations ke mutabiq hi nikle. Annual consumer price index (CPI) August mein 2.2% tak barh gaya, jo July ke 2.6% se neeche tha. Yeh July 2021 ke baad sab se kam inflation rate tha, jab ke is se pehle saal mein inflation ziyata dekhne ko mili thi. Market ne is inflation data par positive reaction diya, kyonke yeh ECB (European Central Bank) ke monetary policy stance ke liye acha signal tha. Halankeh headline inflation kam hui, lekin analysts ne yeh bhi kaha ke wage growth aur services inflation jaise underlying pressures ab bhi barh rahe hain. Nordea, ek bara financial institution, ka kehna hai ke yeh data ECB ko interest rate cuts mein koi bara tabadla karne par majboor nahi karega. ECB ab bhi dheemi aur ehtiyaat ke sath apni policy ko aagay barhaega, kyonke inflationary challenges abhi barqarar hain. Lambay arsay mein, eurozone mein higher interest rates extra foreign capital inflows ko attract karein gi, jo ke euro ko mazeed support Faraham karega aur EUR/JPY pair ko mazid buland kar sakta hai. Is dauran, German 10-year bonds ke yield bhi apne aik mahine ke high par hai. September ke aghaz mein, German government bond ka 10 saal ka yield 2.33% tak pohanch gaya, jo lagbhag ek mahine ka sab se zyada hai. Traders yeh bet kar rahe hain ke ECB September 12 ke meeting mein interest rate dusri dafa cut karega, kyonke preliminary data yeh dikhata hai ke eurozone inflation August mein 2.2% tak gir gayi, jo July 2021 ke baad sab se kam hai, aur core inflation bhi 2.9% se gir kar 2.8% ho gayi hai. Is dauran, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz ki hukoomat ko regional elections mein nuksan uthana para, jahan far-right Alternative for Germany party ne Thuringia mein jeet hasil ki aur

USD/JPY Price Insights
Hum real-time USD/JPY currency pair ki keemat ka jaiza le rahe hain. Main USD/JPY pair ki mojooda surat-e-haal ka tajziya karoon ga, jo is waqt 146.149 par trade ho rahi hai. Yeh ek moqa hai ke hum mojooda market price par selling ka sochain. Din ke aaghaz se doori yeh zahir karti hai ke buying momentum kareeb hai, jo sellers ke liye mauzoon surat-e-haal paida kar raha hai. Agar hum 146.149 par market mein daakhil hotay hain, to stop loss ko 146.174 ke aas paas rakha jaana chahiye. Is trade ka ideal profit target strong support level 145.192 ke qareeb hai. Is level par pohanchne ke baad short positions ko band kar dena behtreen ho ga, kyun ke iske baad ek corrective rebound ooper ki taraf ho sakta hai. Yeh rebound ascending channel ke lower boundary ko hit kar sakta hai, aur keemat ko correction ka silsila jaari rakhne dega jab tak ke yeh first correction wave ke upper point ke ilake, 147.322 ke qareeb, na pohanch jaye. Hum yahan se neeche ki taraf ek rebound ki tawaqo kar sakte hain, magar is rebound ki taqat abhi tak gheir yaqini hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ki pricing ka tajziya humari guftagu ka markaz hai. USD/JPY pair ek descending channel ke andar trade kar raha hai, aur downward trend ko barqarar rakha hai. Pair ne EMA 50 se bounce kiya hai aur ab critical support level 145.35aur downward trend ko barqarar rakha hai. Pair ne EMA 50 se bounce kiya hai aur ab critical support level 145.35 ko target kar raha hai. Is level ko pehle hi kamiyabi se test kiya gaya hai, jo ke mazid girawat ka ishara de


raha hai jo ke 143.99 aur 142.14 ke targets ki taraf ho sakti hai. Tajwez di jati hai ke pair ko selling ke fokus ko target kar raha hai. Is level ko pehle hi kamiyabi se test kiya gaya hai, jo ke mazid girawat ka ishara de raha hai jo ke 143.99 aur 142.14 ke targets ki taraf ho sakti hai. Tajwez di jati hai ke pair ko selling ke fokus ke sath trade kiya jaye, aur suggested stop-loss resistance level 146.59 ke uper rakha jaye. USD/JPY ne kal ke lows tak pohanchne ke baad ek correction phase mein daakhil ho gaya hai. Market aaj Federal Reserve se ahem khabron ka intezaar kar raha hai, khaaskar minutes ka elaan aur labor market data ki revision ka. Yeh akhri point ziada asar andaz ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar data mein ahm tabdeeli hoti hai. Yeh septeember mein 50-point Fed rate cut ke hawalay se atkalon ko janam de sakta hai, jo dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki haliya soorat-e-haal ka tajziya hai. USD/JPY pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ki girawat hui, jis ke baad pair ne upward correction ki koshish ki, aur kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamyab hue. Iss muqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 range tak ho sakta hai. Dosri surat mein, agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance 146.38 tak ponchne ka sim is pregnant ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai USD/JPY pair ne abhi hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai. Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ehtiyat ki zaroorat

Currency pair ne haali mein kuch dilchasp harkatain dikhayi hain. Jumma ko, yeh 144.50 ke upar chala gaya aur 145.00 ke level ko test kiya. Magar, jab bazar ke jazbaat tabdeel hue aur US Dollar par selling pressure aya, to aakhir kar yeh 143.90 ke neeche band hua. Is article mein hum un economic indicators ka jaiza leinge jo is currency pair ko mutasir kar rahe hain, Bank of Japan ka rukh, aur aanay wali harkat ka andaza lagayenge.
USD/JPY ko mutasir karne walay economic indicators:

USD/JPY mein haali uljhan ka aik bara sabab US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) hai. June mein, PCE Index saal dar saal 2.5% barh gaya, jo May ke 2.6% se thoda kam hai, magar bazar ki tawaqoaon ke mutabiq hai. Mahina dar mahina, yeh index 0.1% barha, jab ke May mein ye mustahkam raha. Iske ilawa, Core PCE, jo khurak aur energy ke kharchon ko shamil nahi karta, 2.6% tak pohanch gaya, jo May ke izafay ko barqarar rakhte hue projected 2.5% se zyada tha. Yeh data US ki lagataar behtr hoti hui ma'eeshat ko zahir karta hai, jo Dollar ki ibtidaayi taqat mein hissa dalta hai.

Japan ke economic indicators aik pechida manzar ko zahir karte hain. July mein, Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) mein saal dar saal 2.2% ka izafa hua, jo ke barhti hui mehengai ka ishara deta hai. Magar, Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki aur Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi jaise ahlkar foreign exchange ke mamlaat par ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain. Unka yeh ehtiyat shara karti hai ke Japan aalamgir tabdeelioun ke darmiyan apni ma'eeshat ko sambhalne ki koshish kar raha hai.

Bank of Japan ka rukh:

USD/JPY traders ke liye Bank of Japan ka rukh intehai ahemiyat rakhta hai. BlackRock Investment Institute ke mutabiq, BoJ apni aane wali meeting mein interest rates nahi barhaye ga. Isi tarah, JP Morgan bhi yeh pegham deta hai ke BoJ July mein ya 2024 ke dauran koi rate hikes nahi karega. Japan ki monetary policy mein yeh stability mojooda market price par selling ka sochain. Din ke aaghaz se doori yeh zahir karti hai ke buying momentum kareeb hai, jo sellers ke liye mauzoon surat-e-haal paida kar raha hai. Agar hum 146.149 par market mein daakhil hotay hain, to stop loss ko 146.174 ke aas paas rakha jaana chahiye. Is trade ka ideal profit target strong support level 145.192 ke qareeb hai. Is level par pohanchne ke baad short positions ko band kar dena behtreen ho ga, kyun ke iske baad ek corrective rebound ooper ki mazeed kamzori ko barqarar rakh sakti hai, jo USD/JPY ke dynamics ko mutasir karegi.

USD/JPY ka technical analysis:

Is waqt, yeh pair 144.00 ke psychological threshold par chal raha hai. Agar yeh level cross kar leta hai, to yeh 145.69 tak barh sakta hai, aur yeh keemat ko 146.00 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair girawat ka samna karta hai, to yeh 142.25 ke aas paas support le sakta hai, aur mazeed support 142.00 ke mark par mil sakta hai. Yeh levels traders ke liye intehai ahem hain jab wo mustaqbil ki harkat ka andaza lagate hain.

14 mahine ke low 139.57 ko choonay ke baad, spot price rebound kar ke do hafton ke high 144.60 tak pohancha, lekin phir downward trend dobara shuru ho gaya. Maujooda momentum sellers ke haq mein lagta hai, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) se zahir hota hai, jo ke bazar mein bearish jazbat ke barqarar rehne ka imkaan dikhata hai. Traders ko in indicators par dehaan dena chahiye jab yeh evolve hotay hain.

Currency pair ne haali mein kuch dilchasp harkatain dikhayi hain. Jumma ko, yeh 144.50 ke upar chala gaya aur 145.00 ke level ko test kiya. Magar, jab bazar ke jazbaat tabdeel hue aur US Dollar par selling pressure aya, to aakhir kar yeh 143.90 ke neeche band hua. Is article mein hum un economic indicators ka jaiza leinge jo is currency pair ko mutasir kar rahe hain, Bank of Japan ka rukh, aur aanay wali harkat ka andaza lagayenge.
USD/JPY ko mutasir karne walay economic indicators:

USD/JPY mein haali uljhan ka aik bara sabab US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) hai. June mein, PCE Index saal dar saal 2.5% barh gaya, jo May ke 2.6% se thoda kam hai, magar bazar ki tawaqoaon ke mutabiq hai. Mahina dar mahina, yeh index 0.1% barha, jab ke May mein ye mustahkam raha. Iske ilawa, Core PCE, jo khurak aur energy ke kharchon ko shamil nahi karta, 2.6% tak pohanch gaya, jo May ke izafay ko barqarar rakhte hue projected 2.5% se zyada tha. Yeh data US ki lagataar behtr hoti hui ma'eeshat ko zahir karta hai, jo Dollar ki ibtidaayi taqat mein hissa dalta hai.

Japan ke economic indicators aik pechida manzar ko zahir karte hain. July mein, Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) mein saal dar saal 2.2% ka izafa hua, jo ke barhti hui mehengai ka ishara deta hai. Magar, Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki aur Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi jaise ahlkar foreign exchange ke mamlaat par ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain. Unka yeh ehtiyat shara karti hai ke Japan aalamgir tabdeelioun ke darmiyan apni ma'eeshat ko sambhalne ki koshish kar raha hai.

Bank of Japan ka rukh:

USD/JPY traders ke liye Bank of Japan ka rukh intehai ahemiyat rakhta hai. BlackRock Investment Institute ke mutabiq, BoJ apni aane wali meeting mein interest rates nahi barhaye ga. Isi tarah, JP Morgan bhi yeh pegham deta hai ke BoJ July mein ya 2024 ke dauran koi rate hikes nahi karega. Japan ki monetary policy mein yeh stability mojooda market price par selling ka sochain. Din ke aaghaz se doori yeh zahir karti hai ke buying momentum kareeb hai, jo sellers ke liye mauzoon surat-e-haal paida kar raha hai. Agar hum 146.149 par market mein daakhil hotay hain, to stop loss ko 146.174 ke aas paas rakha jaana chahiye. Is trade ka ideal profit target strong support level 145.192 ke qareeb hai. Is level par pohanchne ke baad short positions ko band kar dena behtreen ho ga, kyun ke iske baad ek corrective rebound ooper ki mazeed kamzori ko barqarar rakh sakti hai, jo USD/JPY ke dynamics ko mutasir karegi.

USD/JPY ka technical analysis:

Is waqt, yeh pair 144.00 ke psychological threshold par chal raha hai. Agar yeh level cross kar leta hai, to yeh 145.69 tak barh sakta hai, aur yeh keemat ko 146.00 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair girawat ka samna karta hai, to yeh 142.25 ke aas paas support le sakta hai, aur mazeed support 142.00 ke mark par mil sakta hai. Yeh levels traders ke liye intehai ahem hain jab wo mustaqbil ki harkat ka andaza lagate hain.

14 mahine ke low 139.57 ko choonay ke baad, spot price rebound kar ke do hafton ke high 144.60 tak pohancha, lekin phir downward trend dobara shuru ho gaya. Maujooda momentum sellers ke haq mein lagta hai, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) se zahir hota hai, jo ke bazar mein bearish jazbat ke barqarar rehne ka imkaan dikhata hai. Traders ko in indicators par dehaan dena chahiye jab yeh evolve hotay hain.

notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai. Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai, USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross

USD/JPY Daily Market Analysis

USD/JPY currency pair ka tajziya karne ki koshish karunga. Pichlay kuch dino se iski technical istamaal ke hawalay se kafi bullish pressure nazar aya hai, lekin agar hum isay D1 time frame mein dekhen to yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke yeh bullish hai ya bearish. USD/JPY currency pair ki movement ko samajhne ke liye pattern aur methods ka tajziya karna hoga. Main D1 time frame ko dekh kar trend ko direction dene ki koshish karunga, aur is ke liye main Moving Average Indicator Period 21 aur Moving Average Indicator Period 34 ka istemal karunga D1 time frame par. Agar hum isay dekhen to, chahey price pichlay kuch dino se upward pressure mein hai, lekin abhi bhi price moving average indicator ke neeche hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke trend abhi bearish hai aur USD/JPY abhi sirf ek bullish currency pair ka optimization ha Agar hum USD/JPY currency pair ka trend direction jaan lein, to hum SELL option ko set kar sakte hain kyun ke meri trading method trend ko follow karna hoti hai. SELL banane ke liye, hum chhoti time frames, jaise M30 ya M15 time frame ka tajziya kar sakte hain, aur reversal pattern dekh kar SELL position order create kar sakte hain. SELL option ke liye, hum isay dekhen ge aur ek stop loss set karenge. Main abhi ke liye 147.18 price level par ek resistance area dekh raha hoon. Aur profit lene ke liye, hum 139.51 price level par support area ko target kar sakte hain. Agar aap log meri ki gayi analysis se abhi tak confuse hain, to aap niche diye gaye image ko dekh sakte hain jo ke USD/JPY currency pair ke hawalay se ek rehnumai hai. Yeh tha mera chhota sa tajziya

Moment, mein lagbhag USD/JPY pair ke price action ka jaiza le raha hoon. Hal hi mein, kayi bearish leg bars 144.10 ke aas-paas ke original resistance level par banay hain, jo ke aik potential decline ka ishara de rahe hain. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne apni interest rate ko 0.25 se kam par barqarar rakhne ka elan kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh dikhata hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko barqarar rakh raha hai, jo ke yen ki strength ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Is bunyadi surat-e-haal mein, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ke chances zyada dikhayi dete hain. Iske ilawa, hourly chart par aik bearish engulfing pattern bhi dekha gaya hai, jo ke mazeed downtrend ki tasdeeq karta hai. In signals ko dekhte huye, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay haftay USD/JPY ka trend neeche ki taraf rahega. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai, spread ko chhod kar, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke is mein aur bhi nuksaan ka imkaan hai
Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 par touch kiya. Sellers ne control lene ki koshish ki, lekin wo price ko neeche dhakelne mein kaamyab nahi ho sake. Main ne ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo ke price ko ooncha rakhne mein significant raha hai. Magar, jab market close ke qareeb tha, toh asset ko resistance barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat hui, aur double tops aur bottoms 15-minute chart par nazar aaye. Agar price 143.49 se neeche break karti hai, toh yeh current correction ke khatam hone ka ishara hoga aur selling interest ko attract karega. Wapas, agar USD/JPY 144.50 se ooper close hota hai, toh mein apni selling position se nikal jaunga. Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) abhi 50.00 mark ke neeche 47 par hai, jo ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ka ishara de raha hai, aur asset ek descending channel ke upper boundary tak pohanch chuka hai. In factors ko dekhte huye, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ho ga
Is waqt, mein 0.14 lots ki short trade kar raha hoon jo ke floating loss mein hai. Magar, mujhe umeed hai ke market mere haq mein mod jayega. Overall, bearish price action aur fundamental signals ka combination USD/JPY pair mein jald hi downtrend ke imkaanat ko barhawa de raha hai

Kam interest rate ka matlab hota hai ke qarz lena sasta hota hai aur economic activity ko tehqiqat milti hai. Magar is dafa, dollar phir bhi mazboot nazar aa raha hai, kyun ke doosri currencies, jaise yen, ke muqablay mein wo zyada stable hai. Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka approach mukhtalif hai. BoJ apni policy ko jari rakhne ka irada rakhta hai, matlab ke woh jaldi interest rates mein koi tabdeeli nahi karenge. BoJ ne kaafi arse se low-interest-rate policy apna rakhi hai taake economic growth ko barhaya ja sake. Is policy ne yen ko kamzor rakha hai, osallar mazboot currencies jaise US dollar ke muqablay mein. Yeh contrast in policies, jahan US rates kam kar raha hai aur Japan unhein kaafi neeche rakh raha hai, yen ko mazid kamzor kar raha hai. Is yen ki kamzori ke sabab USD/JPY pair mein izafa hua hai, jo investors ko ek moka de raha hai ke wo upward movement se faida utha sakein. Ab bohot se traders yeh dekh rahe hain ke BoJ ka faisla market pe kaise asar andaz hoga, lekin ab tak yen kamzor hi nazar aa raha hai.

USD/JPY pair filhal 143.55 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, aur yeh ek notable rise dikhati hai. Pair ko 143.68 ka ek key resistance level face karna par raha hai. Yeh resistance ek barrier ki tarah hai jo price ko mazeed barhne se rok raha hai. Hali trend ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke bulls (wo traders jo price ke barhne ki umeed rakhte hain) is level ke ooper push karne mein kaamyab ho sakte hain. Agar yeh hota hai, toh mazeed izafay ka rasta khul sakta hai.

Do ahem moving average indicators bhi yeh ishara de rahe hain ke market bullish phase mein hai. Moving averages wo tools hain jo traders ko price ka rujhan samajhne mein madad karte hain. Jab price in moving averages ke ooper rehti hai, toh aam tor par iska matlab hota hai ke market bullish hai, ya barh raha hai. Is waqt, dono short-term aur long-term moving averages yeh dikhate hain ke upward trend jaari reh sakta hai. Yeh traders ke liye ek positive sign hai jo USD/JPY pair mein mazeed izafa dekhna chahte hain

dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar

### Spot Price Aur USD/JPY Ka Jaiza

Spot price pichle paanch trading dinon se lagatar barh raha hai, jo ke Friday ke US trading hours mein lagbhag 144.10 tak pohanch gaya. Is upward trend ka zyada tar sabab declining US Dollar hai. Traders Japan ke National Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke July ke mawaqay aur Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke aham speech ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo market mein analysis aur strategic planning ke liye dilchasp mauqe faraham karte hain.

Japan ke CPI ka aana aur Powell ki speech market sentiment ko shape karne mein ahm kirdar ada karenge. Yeh events investor sentiment par aham asar dalne ki umeed hai. Traders ko aise kisi bhi naye developments ya data par nazar rakhni chahiye jo interest rates aur economic conditions ki umeedon ko badal sakti hain.

### USD/JPY Ke Fundamentals

DXY, jo Greenback ki value ko ek basket foreign currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, ab 101.85 ke multi-day low par aa gaya hai. Yeh kami USD/JPY pair par pressure daal rahi hai, kyunki investors ko lagta hai ke Federal Reserve September mein apni monetary policy ko asan karne ka irada rakhta hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, markets ab 25 basis points (bps) ke rate cut ki 77% chance price kar rahe hain, aur agle saal 200 bps ki total reduction ki umeed hai—lekin yeh sab aane wale economic data par depend karega.

Investor sentiment is waqt Fed se is saal interest rate cuts ki taraf rujhan de raha hai, jisme September, November, aur December mein teen quarter-point reductions ki projections hain. Yeh expected shift USD par aur bechne ka pressure daal raha hai. Kuch officials ne yeh bhi kaha hai ke September mein agar hiring mein aham kami dikhayi deti hai, to half-point cut bhi nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta.

### Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook

USD/JPY pair ko foran resistance ka saamna karna par sakta hai jo downtrend line ke nazdeek hai, khaaskar 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par jo 143.10 level par hai. Agar pair is resistance ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, to yeh current bearish sentiment ko kam kar sakta hai aur agle resistance level 144.50 ka test karne ka rasta khol sakta hai, jo pehle support tha.

Thursday ko, pair 145.20 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Hourly chart ki nazar se dekhte hue, pair downtrend line ke neeche consolidate kar raha hai, jo bearish bias ko darshata hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) thoda 30 ke upar hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke potential correction aane wala hai.

**Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese Yen**
Aaj ke din ke dusre hisson mein mere zikar ki gayi keematon ka koi test nahi hua. Volatility ki kami dekhne ko mili, jo data ki kami ki wajah se thi, jisne U.S. dollar ke upar uthane ki potential ko bhi kam kar diya. Aaj ki Asian session mein dollar par bechne ka bohot zyada pressure raha. Japan ke monetary base ke badlav ka report economists ke andazay se milta julta tha, lekin 10 saal ke bonds ki bechne mein demand ummeed se kam rahi. Badi trading companies ke market mein wapas aate hi dollar par pressure barh gaya. USD/JPY mein chal raha upar ki taraf ka correction jaldi khatam ho sakta hai, is liye bechne ki mauqay dhoondhna behtar hoga jo ke recent months mein dekhe gaye neeche ke trend ke saath mel khate hain. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par zyada tawajjo dunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj main USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon jab yeh 146.44 par pohanchta hai, jo ke chart par hare rang ki line se dikhaya gaya hai. Iska maqsad 147.21 tak uthna hai, jo ke chart par mote hare rang ki line se hai. 147.21 ke ilaqe mein, main long positions se nikalne aur short positions kholne ka irada rakhta hoon, umeed hai ke wahan se 30-35 pips ki harkaat milegi. Humein aaj pair ke uthne ki umeed hai, lekin humein 146.00 ke ilaqe mein buyers ki activity ki zarurat hai. Ahmiyat: Kharidne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se uth raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Aaj main USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 145.99 ke do musalsal tests hotay hain jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke neeche ke potential ko limit karega aur market ka wapas uthna ka sabab banega. Humein 146.44 aur 147.21 tak ki growth ki umeed hai.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj main USD/JPY bechne ka plan sirf 145.99 ke level ka test karne ke baad banata hoon, jo ke chart par laal line se dikhaya gaya hai, isse pair mein tezi se girawat aayegi. Bechne walon ka key target 145.41 hoga, jahan main short positions se nikal kar foran long positions kholne ka irada rakhta hoon, umeed hai wahan se 20-25 pips ki harkaat milegi. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ka bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hua. Ahmiyat: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur wahan se gir raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Aaj main USD/JPY bechne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 146.44 ke do musalsal tests hote hain jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upar ki potential ko limit karega aur market ka wapas girna ka sabab banega. Humein 145.99 aur 145.41 tak ki girawat ki umeed hai