USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY pair ko bechne ke liye traders ab ziada raaghib hain, jo badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, aur technical signals ki wajah se hai. Yeh sab cheezein pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahi hain. 146.86 ka zone khas ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jaate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakta hai.
USD/JPY par bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor hota hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments, to yeh pair ke decline ka sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein taqat ki wajah shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ho sakti hai, jo is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai.

Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli dono challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai.

Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USD/JPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai. Kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega? Recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti balki yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai.

Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge.

USD/JPY ke trading options mein, buy option ab bhi movement ko dominate karega. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation rapidly adverse ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, humne hourly chart par decline dekha, jiske baad ek rise bhi hwa hai, lekin trading mein cautious rehna zaroori hai.
USD/JPY Pair Ki Trading Strategy USD/JPY pair ko bechne ke liye traders ab ziada raaghib hain, jo badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, aur technical signals ki wajah se hai. Yeh sab cheezein pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahi hain. 146.86 ka zone khas ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jaate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY par bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor hota hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments, to yeh pair ke decline ka sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein taqat ki wajah shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ho sakti hai, jo is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai.

Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli dono challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai.

Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USD/JPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai. Kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega? Recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti balki yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai.

Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge.

USD/JPY ke trading options mein, buy option ab bhi movement ko dominate karega. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation rapidly adverse ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, humne hourly chart par decline dekha, jiske baad ek rise bhi hwa hai, lekin trading mein cautious rehna zaroori hai.

se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, opsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh

USD/JPY Pair Ka Tajziya


Jis tarah se hum USD aur JPY ke pair ka tajziya kar rahe hain, yeh waqt ek kaabil-e-zikr neeche ki taraf trend mein hai. Yeh asal mein Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki mukhtalif monetary policies se mutasir hai. USD/JPY ke haal hi ke girawat ki wajah yeh hai ke bazar mein 25 basis point (bps) rate cut ki umeedain hain, jo Fed ke aane wale September 17-18 ke meeting mein discuss ki jayein gi. Halankeh kuch recent tezi dekhi gayi hai, lekin yeh umeedain US Dollar (USD) ko apne faiday ko mazeed barhane se rok rahi hain.

Dosri taraf, bazar mein ehtiyaat ka rujhan Japanese Yen ki safe-haven asset ke tor par demand ko barhawa de raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair par mazeed dabao daal raha hai. BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne bhi tasdeeq ki hai ke bank FY2025 tak interest rates ko barhane ka plan bana raha hai, jo Fed ke umeed ke mutabiq rate cut ke baraks hai. Yeh sab cheezen mil kar pair ke neeche ki taraf trend ko mazeed barhawa de rahi hain.

Traders filhal ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain aur koi faisla karnay se pehle US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo Fed ke agle policy qadam ke hawale se ahem maloomat faraham karega aur USD/JPY pair ke short-term outlook ko mutasir karega.
Technical Tajziya


Technical lehaz se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair mein waazeh bearish signals nazar aa rahe hain. Yeh pair apne roz ke opening level 143.20 se neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 142.95 ke qareeb hai. Qeemat moving average trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ek ahem level hota hai jahan volume distribution aam tor par hoti hai, aur yeh strong selling pressure ko zahir karta hai.

Agar qeemat 143.20 level ke upar chali jati hai, to mazeed izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo resistance levels 143.69 aur 143.75 tak ja sakta hai. Lekin agar qeemat 142.95 level ke neeche girti hai, to umeed hai ke yeh aur neeche jaegi aur support levels 142.74 aur shayad 142.20 tak gir sakti hai.

Yeh pair apne monthly Pivot level 146.24 aur weekly Pivot level 143.75 ke neeche bhi trade kar raha hai, jo ek corrective mood ko zahir karta hai. Hourly chart mein, yeh pair apni pehle ki range 143.69 se 142.14 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers filhal bazar mein haawi hain. Lekin traders ko ek mumkin false breakout se ehtiyaat karni chahiye.

Kul mila kar, technical indicators ek bearish outlook ko support karte hain. Agar pair key support levels ke neeche trade karta raha, to mazeed girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai.


4o miniUSD/JPY Pair Ka Tajziya Jis tarah se hum USD aur JPY ke pair ka tajziya kar rahe hain, yeh waqt ek kaabil-e-zikr neeche ki taraf trend mein hai. Yeh asal mein Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki mukhtalif monetary policies se mutasir hai. USD/JPY ke haal hi ke girawat ki wajah yeh hai ke bazar mein 25 basis point (bps) rate cut ki umeedain hain, jo Fed ke aane wale September 17-18 ke meeting mein discuss ki jayein gi. Halankeh kuch recent tezi dekhi gayi hai, lekin yeh umeedain US Dollar (USD) ko apne faiday ko mazeed barhane se rok rahi hain.

Dosri taraf, bazar mein ehtiyaat ka rujhan Japanese Yen ki safe-haven asset ke tor par demand ko barhawa de raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair par mazeed dabao daal raha hai. BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne bhi tasdeeq ki hai ke bank FY2025 tak interest rates ko barhane ka plan bana raha hai, jo Fed ke umeed ke mutabiq rate cut ke baraks hai. Yeh sab cheezen mil kar pair ke neeche ki taraf trend ko mazeed barhawa de rahi hain.

Traders filhal ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain aur koi faisla karnay se pehle US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo Fed ke agle policy qadam ke hawale se ahem maloomat faraham karega aur USD/JPY pair ke short-term outlook ko mutasir karega.

Technical Tajziya
Technical lehaz se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair mein waazeh bearish signals nazar aa rahe hain. Yeh pair apne roz ke opening level 143.20 se neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 142.95 ke qareeb hai. Qeemat moving average trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ek ahem level hota hai jahan volume distribution aam tor par hoti hai, aur yeh strong selling pressure ko zahir karta hai.

Agar qeemat 143.20 level ke upar chali jati hai, to mazeed izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo resistance levels 143.69 aur 143.75 tak ja sakta hai. Lekin agar qeemat 142.95 level ke neeche girti hai, to umeed hai ke yeh aur neeche jaegi aur support levels 142.74 aur shayad 142.20 tak gir sakti hai.

Yeh pair apne monthly Pivot level 146.24 aur weekly Pivot level 143.75 ke neeche bhi trade kar raha hai, jo ek corrective mood ko zahir karta hai. Hourly chart mein, yeh pair apni pehle ki range 143.69 se 142.14 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers filhal bazar mein haawi hain. Lekin traders ko ek mumkin false breakout se ehtiyaat karni chahiye.

Kul mila kar, technical indicators ek bearish outlook ko support karte hain. Agar pair key support levels ke neeche trade karta raha, to mazeed girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

EUR/JPY pair ko 161.00 ke upar push kiya, jo ke 25% ka izafa tha. Germany aur Spain ke pehle data ne yeh ishara diya tha ke eurozone inflation kam ho sakta hai, lekin akhir mein bloc-wide figures expectations ke mutabiq hi nikle. Annual consumer price index (CPI) August mein 2.2% tak barh gaya, jo July ke 2.6% se neeche tha. Yeh July 2021 ke baad sab se kam inflation rate tha, jab ke is se pehle saal mein inflation ziyata dekhne ko mili thi. Market ne is inflation data par positive reaction diya, kyonke yeh ECB (European Central Bank) ke monetary policy stance ke liye acha signal tha. Halankeh headline inflation kam hui, lekin analysts ne yeh bhi kaha ke wage growth aur services inflation jaise underlying pressures ab bhi barh rahe hain. Nordea, ek bara financial institution, ka kehna hai ke yeh data ECB ko interest rate cuts mein koi bara tabadla karne par majboor nahi karega. ECB ab bhi dheemi aur ehtiyaat ke sath apni policy ko aagay barhaega, kyonke inflationary challenges abhi barqarar hain. Lambay arsay mein, eurozone mein higher interest rates extra foreign capital inflows ko attract karein gi, jo ke euro ko mazeed support Faraham karega aur EUR/JPY pair ko mazid buland kar sakta hai. Is dauran, German 10-year bonds ke yield bhi apne aik mahine ke high par hai. September ke aghaz mein, German government bond ka 10 saal ka yield 2.33% tak pohanch gaya, jo lagbhag ek mahine ka sab se zyada hai. Traders yeh bet kar rahe hain ke ECB September 12 ke meeting mein interest rate dusri dafa cut karega, kyonke preliminary data yeh dikhata hai ke eurozone inflation August mein 2.2% tak gir gayi, jo July 2021 ke baad sab se kam hai, aur core inflation bhi 2.9% se gir kar 2.8% ho gayi hai. Is dauran, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz ki hukoomat ko regional elections mein nuksan uthana para, jahan far-right Alternative for Germany party ne Thuringia mein jeet hasil ki aur center-right Christian Democratic Union ne Saxony mein jeet haasil ki. Halankeh far-right AfD ka government banana mushkil lagta hai, kyun ke doosri parties un ke sath cooperation karne se inkar kar rahe hain aur zaroori majority hasil karna un ke liye mushkil

USD/JPY Pair Ka Tajziya


Jis tarah se hum USD aur JPY ke pair ka tajziya kar rahe hain, yeh waqt ek kaabil-e-zikr neeche ki taraf trend mein hai, jo asal mein Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki mukhtalif monetary policies se mutasir hai. USD/JPY ke haal hi ke girawat ki wajah zyada tar bazar mein 25 basis point (bps) rate cut ki umeedain hain, jo ke Fed ke aane wale September 17-18 ke meeting mein discuss ki jayein gi. Halankeh recent tezi dekhi gayi hai, lekin yeh umeedain US Dollar (USD) ko apne faiday ko mazeed barhane se rok rahi hain.

Dosri taraf, bazar mein ehtiyaat ka rujhan Japanese Yen ki safe-haven asset ke tor par demand ko barhawa de raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair par mazeed dabao daal raha hai. BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne tasdeeq ki hai ke bank FY2025 tak interest rates ko barhane ka plan bana raha hai, jo Fed ke umeed ke mutabiq rate cut ke bilkul baraks hai. Yeh pair ke neeche ki taraf trend ko mazeed barhawa de raha hai.

Traders filhal ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain aur koi faisla karnay se pehle US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke Fed ke agle policy qadam ke hawale se ahem maloomat faraham karega aur USD/JPY pair ke short-term outlook ko mutasir karega.
Technical Tajziya


Technical lehaz se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair mein waazeh bearish signals dekhnay ko mil rahe hain. Yeh pair apne roz ke opening level 143.20 se neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 142.95 ke qareeb hai. Qeemat moving average trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ek ahem level hota hai jahan volume distribution aam tor par hoti hai, aur yeh strong selling pressure ko zahir karta hai.

Agar qeemat 143.20 level ke upar chali jati hai, to mazeed izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo resistance levels 143.69 aur 143.75 tak jasakta hai. Lekin agar qeemat 142.95 level ke neeche girti hai, to umeed hai ke yeh aur neeche jaegi aur support levels 142.74 aur shayad 142.20 tak gir sakti hai.

Yeh pair apne monthly Pivot level 146.24 aur weekly Pivot level 143.75 ke neeche bhi trade kar raha hai, jo ek corrective mood ko zahir karta hai. Hourly chart mein, yeh pair apni pehle ki range 143.69 se 142.14 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers filhal bazar mein haawi hain.

Lekin traders ko ek mumkin false breakout se ehtiyaat karni chahiye. Kul mila kar, technical indicators ek bearish outlook ko support karte hain, aur agar pair key support levels ke neeche trade karta raha, to mazeed girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
USD/JPY Pair Ka Tajziya Jis tarah se hum USD aur JPY ke pair ka tajziya kar rahe hain, yeh waqt ek kaabil-e-zikr neeche ki taraf trend mein hai, jo asal mein Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki mukhtalif monetary policies se mutasir hai. USD/JPY ke haal hi ke girawat ki wajah zyada tar bazar mein 25 basis point (bps) rate cut ki umeedain hain, jo ke Fed ke aane wale September 17-18 ke meeting mein discuss ki jayein gi. Halankeh recent tezi dekhi gayi hai, lekin yeh umeedain US Dollar (USD) ko apne faiday ko mazeed barhane se rok rahi hain.

Dosri taraf, bazar mein ehtiyaat ka rujhan Japanese Yen ki safe-haven asset ke tor par demand ko barhawa de raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair par mazeed dabao daal raha hai. BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne tasdeeq ki hai ke bank FY2025 tak interest rates ko barhane ka plan bana raha hai, jo Fed ke umeed ke mutabiq rate cut ke bilkul baraks hai. Yeh pair ke neeche ki taraf trend ko mazeed barhawa de raha hai.

Traders filhal ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain aur koi faisla karnay se pehle US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke Fed ke agle policy qadam ke hawale se ahem maloomat faraham karega aur USD/JPY pair ke short-term outlook ko mutasir karega.

Technical Tajziya
Technical lehaz se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair mein waazeh bearish signals dekhnay ko mil rahe hain. Yeh pair apne roz ke opening level 143.20 se neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 142.95 ke qareeb hai. Qeemat moving average trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ek ahem level hota hai jahan volume distribution aam tor par hoti hai, aur yeh strong selling pressure ko zahir karta hai.

Agar qeemat 143.20 level ke upar chali jati hai, to mazeed izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo resistance levels 143.69 aur 143.75 tak jasakta hai. Lekin agar qeemat 142.95 level ke neeche girti hai, to umeed hai ke yeh aur neeche jaegi aur support levels 142.74 aur shayad 142.20 tak gir sakti hai.

Yeh pair apne monthly Pivot level 146.24 aur weekly Pivot level 143.75 ke neeche bhi trade kar raha hai, jo ek corrective mood ko zahir karta hai. Hourly chart mein, yeh pair apni pehle ki range 143.69 se 142.14 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers filhal bazar mein haawi hain.

Lekin traders ko ek mumkin false breakout se ehtiyaat karni chahiye. Kul mila kar, technical indicators ek bearish outlook ko support karte hain, aur agar pair key support levels ke neeche trade karta raha, to mazeed girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

USDJPY: Bearish Pressure aur Economic Concerns

USDJPY par bearish pressure ziada tar economic concerns ka aks hai. Agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai, jaise ke softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ki decline ka sabab ban sakta hai. Iske baraks, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ki wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai.

Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli challenges aur opportunities dono paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai.

Bunyadi baat yeh hai ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai. Kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ka stepping stone? Recent price action se zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein shiddat aayi hai. Sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain, jahan "Evening Star" candlestick pattern ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi.

Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur Fibonacci level 88.2 ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Aane wale haftay mein, mujhe lagta hai ke hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, jo price action ko influence kar sakti hain.

USD/JPY ne upar ki taraf strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Weekend guzarne ke baad, Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain, khaaskar Middle East ke naye tensions ke chalte. Yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai.

Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai. Agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh sell karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, agar USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke possible 168.00 ya us se niche ho sakta hai. Agar support hold karta hai, toh ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair pehle ke highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke ird gird ho sakte hain.

D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin agar yeh moving average ke neeche sustained trading hoti hai, toh yeh trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakti hai.


4o miniUSDJPY: Bearish Pressure aur Economic Concerns
USDJPY par bearish pressure ziada tar economic concerns ka aks hai. Agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai, jaise ke softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ki decline ka sabab ban sakta hai. Iske baraks, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ki wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai.

Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli challenges aur opportunities dono paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai.

Bunyadi baat yeh hai ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai. Kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ka stepping stone? Recent price action se zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein shiddat aayi hai. Sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain, jahan "Evening Star" candlestick pattern ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi.

Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur Fibonacci level 88.2 ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Aane wale haftay mein, mujhe lagta hai ke hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, jo price action ko influence kar sakti hain.

USD/JPY ne upar ki taraf strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Weekend guzarne ke baad, Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain, khaaskar Middle East ke naye tensions ke chalte. Yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai.

Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai. Agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh sell karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, agar USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke possible 168.00 ya us se niche ho sakta hai. Agar support hold karta hai, toh ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair pehle ke highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke ird gird ho sakte hain.

D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin agar yeh moving average ke neeche sustained trading hoti hai, toh yeh trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakti hai.

USD/JPY pair ne notable price action dikhai hai, last week ke trading mein critical movements aur potential trading opportunities ko reveal kiya. Monday ko pair ne decline ke saath open kiya, previous Friday ko appear hue sell signal ke response mein.


Yeh initial downward movement price ko support level 143.477 par le gaya, jahan market ne significant volatility encounter ki. Interestingly, price action 143.477 support level par false breakout feature kiya.


False breakouts tab hoti hai jab price temporarily key level ke past move karta hai, phir quickly reverse hota hai, breakout ko invalidating karta hai. Is case mein, false breakout support level ne buy signal trigger kiya, price ko upwards 147.102 ke next significant resistance ki taraf push kiya.


Wednesday ko USD/JPY pair ne resistance level 147.102 ko reach kiya. Lekin market ne additional false breakouts encounter kiye around yeh level. Wednesday ko price briefly 147.102 ke upar move kiya, phir reverse hua.


Thursday ko price ne phir se break kiya yeh level top to bottom, phir reverse hua. Same pattern Friday ko repeat hua, bottom to top ki false breakout ke saath. Repeated false breakouts 147.102 level ke around trading range create kiya Wednesday se Friday tak.


Yeh range-bound activity significant hai kyunki yeh market indecision ko indicate karta hai, buyers aur sellers mein se koi bhi control maintain nahi kar pa raha hai. Aise periods mein key levels frequently breach hote hain, lekin breakouts hold nahi hote, false signals create karte hain.


Traders ko particularly cautious rehna chahiye aise situations mein, market quickly reverse ho sakta hai, potential losses ko lead karta hai agar trades carefully manage nahi kiye jaye.


New week ke start mein, Monday ne range se breakout dikhai hai. USD/JPY pair ne phir se 147.102 level ko pass kiya hai, lekin is baar breakout sustainable lag raha hai.


Latest breakout 147.102 level ke upar new buy signal generate kiya hai, next target 151.645 resistance level par set hai. Yeh level significant upside potential represent karta hai, agar buy signal confirm hota hai, market 151.645 ki taraf rally kar sakta hai.


Lekin essential hai recognize ki yeh buy signal conditions ke saath hai. Signal valid hai jab tak price 146.571 mark ke upar stay karta hai. Agar price is level ke neeche fall karta hai, buy signal cancel ho jayega, potentially market sentiment shift aur deeper correction ki possibility ko indicate karta hai.


*Key Considerations for Traders:*

1. *False Breakouts:* Repeated false breakouts 147.102 ke around last week traders ke liye caution ki zaroorat ko highlight karte hain.





1. *Range Trading:* Range-bound activity Wednesday se Friday tak market indecision ko suggest karta hai. Traders ko mindful rehna chahiye aise ranges ke liye.


1. *New Buy Signal:* Breakout 147.102 ke upar Monday ko new buy signal create kiya hai, 151.645 target ke saath.


1. *Risk Management:* Volatility aur false signals ke potential ke wajah se, traders ko robust risk management strategies implement karni chahiye

1. *Market Sentiment:* Traders ko market sentiment shift ki possibility ko recognize karni chahiye agar price 146.571 ke neeche fall karta hai

USD/JPY ne 0.40% se barh kar 146.74 ka level pakra. Is Monday ko U.S. ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility kuch flat rahi. Lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo kafi ahem hai. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi zaroori hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai.

Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, jisse long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra. Is waqt dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level bhi chhoda hai. U.S. GDP data ne ye dikhaya hai ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye.

Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga.

USD/JPY pair ne ahm psychological level 146.00 ko tor diya aur pehli baar March ke baad is level ke neechay close kiya. Pair mein kaafi volatility dekhne ko mili, jisme 150-pip ki range mein fluctuation hui, aur Japanese Yen ko teen din ka low 144.74 tak le aayi. Jab Wednesday ke din Asian session ka aghaz hua, major pair lagbhag 145.07 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, aur previous close se zyada farq nahi tha.

Hourly chart ke mutabiq, pair ne descending wedge pattern ko tor diya hai, jo is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke bearish trend abhi jaari rehne ka imkaan hai bajaye reverse hone ke. Mazeed, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 30 ke neechay hai, jo is baat ka ishara de raha hai ke yeh currency asset oversold position mein hai aur kuch arsay ke liye rebound kar sakta hai.


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USD/JPY ne 0.40% se barh kar 146.74 ka level pakra. Is Monday ko U.S. ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility kuch flat rahi. Lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo kafi ahem hai. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi zaroori hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai.
Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, jisse long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra. Is waqt dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level bhi chhoda hai. U.S. GDP data ne ye dikhaya hai ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye.

Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga.

USD/JPY pair ne ahm psychological level 146.00 ko tor diya aur pehli baar March ke baad is level ke neechay close kiya. Pair mein kaafi volatility dekhne ko mili, jisme 150-pip ki range mein fluctuation hui, aur Japanese Yen ko teen din ka low 144.74 tak le aayi. Jab Wednesday ke din Asian session ka aghaz hua, major pair lagbhag 145.07 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, aur previous close se zyada farq nahi tha.

Hourly chart ke mutabiq, pair ne descending wedge pattern ko tor diya hai, jo is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke bearish trend abhi jaari rehne ka imkaan hai bajaye reverse hone ke. Mazeed, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 30 ke neechay hai, jo is baat ka ishara de raha hai ke yeh currency asset oversold position mein hai aur kuch arsay ke liye rebound kar sakta hai.



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se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure

Japani Yen ki Mazbooti aur US Dollar ki Kamzori


Japani yen do din se lagatar mazboot ho raha hai, aur yeh US dollar ko pichay chhod raha hai. Iska sabab BOJ (Bank of Japan) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke monetory policy ke mukhtalif rukhs hain. BOJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke hawkish bayan aur Fed ke Chair Jerome Powell ke dovish tone ne yen ki qeemat barhne mein madad ki hai.

Ueda ne Friday ko parliament mein kaha ke agar economic outlook BOJ ke projections ke mutabiq raha, to interest rate mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Japan ka national consumer price index (CPI) inflation apni highest level par barqarar hai, jo BOJ ke aggressive monetary policy ko reinforce kar raha hai. Yeh hawkish outlook Fed ke cautious approach se bilkul mukhtalif hai.

Powell ka Jackson Hole symposium mein bayan yeh darshata hai ke policy adjustments ke liye tayyar hain aur rate cut bhi ho sakta hai. Magar Fed Chair ne rate cut ke timing aur magnitude ke bare mein specific details nahi di, jis se market participants ne isay dovish samjha. Is wajah se US dollar kamzor ho gaya, aur market expectations ke mutabiq September mein rate cut honay ki ummeed barh gayi.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, market participants Fed ke September meeting mein kam se kam 25 basis points ke rate cut ki price de rahe hain. Yeh tabdeeli yen ki qeemat barhne mein madadgar sabit hui. USD/JPY pair Friday ko 143.90 par trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis ne bearish bias ko darshaya, jahan pair downtrend line ke niche trade kar raha tha.

Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 level ke upar tha, jo downtrend ke jaari rehne ka ishara deta hai. Potential price movements ke hawale se, USD/JPY pair ko August 5 ko record kiye gaye seven-month low 141.69 ke aas paas support milne ki umeed thi. Upar ki taraf, pair ko 145.00 ke psychological level ke aas paas downtrend line par resistance ka samna karna pad sakta hai, aur us ke baad nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) 145.74 par.

Agar 9-day EMA ke upar break hota hai, to yeh potential reversal ka signal ho sakta hai aur resistance zone ke paas 154.50 ki taraf wapas ja sakta hai.
Japani Yen ki Mazbooti aur US Dollar ki Kamzori Japani yen do din se lagatar mazboot ho raha hai, aur yeh US dollar ko pichay chhod raha hai. Iska sabab BOJ (Bank of Japan) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke monetory policy ke mukhtalif rukhs hain. BOJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke hawkish bayan aur Fed ke Chair Jerome Powell ke dovish tone ne yen ki qeemat barhne mein madad ki hai.

Ueda ne Friday ko parliament mein kaha ke agar economic outlook BOJ ke projections ke mutabiq raha, to interest rate mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Japan ka national consumer price index (CPI) inflation apni highest level par barqarar hai, jo BOJ ke aggressive monetary policy ko reinforce kar raha hai. Yeh hawkish outlook Fed ke cautious approach se bilkul mukhtalif hai.

Powell ka Jackson Hole symposium mein bayan yeh darshata hai ke policy adjustments ke liye tayyar hain aur rate cut bhi ho sakta hai. Magar Fed Chair ne rate cut ke timing aur magnitude ke bare mein specific details nahi di, jis se market participants ne isay dovish samjha. Is wajah se US dollar kamzor ho gaya, aur market expectations ke mutabiq September mein rate cut honay ki ummeed barh gayi.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, market participants Fed ke September meeting mein kam se kam 25 basis points ke rate cut ki price de rahe hain. Yeh tabdeeli yen ki qeemat barhne mein madadgar sabit hui. USD/JPY pair Friday ko 143.90 par trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis ne bearish bias ko darshaya, jahan pair downtrend line ke niche trade kar raha tha.

Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 level ke upar tha, jo downtrend ke jaari rehne ka ishara deta hai. Potential price movements ke hawale se, USD/JPY pair ko August 5 ko record kiye gaye seven-month low 141.69 ke aas paas support milne ki umeed thi. Upar ki taraf, pair ko 145.00 ke psychological level ke aas paas downtrend line par resistance ka samna karna pad sakta hai, aur us ke baad nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) 145.74 par.

Agar 9-day EMA ke upar break hota hai, to yeh potential reversal ka signal ho sakta hai aur resistance zone ke paas 154.50 ki taraf wapas ja sakta hai.

Maujooda Market Conditions ka Analysis

Linear Regression Channel aur Seller Strength

Linear regression channel current mein downward slope mein hai, sellers mein strength ko indicate karta hai. Profit ke liye target southward 148.746 ki taraf directed hai. Main sales 150.204 level par consider kar raha hoon, jo bulls ke liye buffer provide kar sakta hai; warna deeper correction ki possibility hai jo 150.912 level ki taraf increase kar sakta hai.


Timing Sales aur Market Conditions


Target reach hone par selling ke liye pause karna advisable hai. Yeh M15 timeframe par movement ki volatility ko diminish kar sakta hai, reverse upward movement generate karta hai.


Upper border channel par rollback ke liye wait karna strategic entry market mein ensure karta hai, false signals ke costs ko minimize karta hai.


Higher Timeframes par Observations


Main H1 timeframe par closely monitor kar raha hoon, jahan linear regression channel asset movement ko primarily determine karta hai day ke during. M15 situation H1 analysis ko clarify, correct, aur supplement karta hai.


Market evaluation dono channels ke through ki jati hai.


Current Market Position


Market current mein 149.502 par trading kar raha hai, H1 upper edge ke neeche aur M15 ke neeche bhi. Main is situation ko bearish interpret karta hoon.


Complex formed dono channels sales ki potential ko indicate karta hai, knives ki tarah losses ko lead kar sakta hai agar trade mein "stuck" ho jaye
Possible Scenarios




Agar bulls 150.204 level ke upar consolidate kar sakte hain, toh sales contemplate ki ja sakti hai ya H1 upper part se targeting 150.912 level.


Alternative bearish target current trading session ke liye 147.226 hai.


Bearish Movement ki Continuation


USD/JPY pair mein sellers movement continue hone ki indications hain, unless fundamental factors events ka course change kar dein.


Price increases ki chance bhi hai; lekin iske liye reversal ke liye necessary correction ki zaroorat hai.


Market Evolution


Yeh wave market ko continued movement ke liye prepare kar chuki hai, new version mein transition ke liye positioned hai, numerous opportunities signal kiye hain jo previous version mein overlook kiye gaye the

USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki haliya soorat-e-haal ka tajziya hai. USD/JPY pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ki girawat hui, jis ke baad pair ne upward correction ki koshish ki, aur kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamyab hue. Iss muqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 range tak ho sakta hai. Dosri surat mein, agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance 146.38 tak ponchne ka aim ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai USD/JPY pair ne abhi hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai. Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ehtiyat ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta

USD/JPY Ki Halat: Technical Analysis Aur Aage Ka Rukh


Aakhir mein, USD/JPY ka daira-e-hukumat notable decline ki taraf gaya, jo weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo ke lagbhag 10% ka sharp drop hai. Theoretical analysis ne yeh suggest kiya ke yeh girawat 151.71 ke support level par rok sakti hai, magar is rapid descent ke darmiyan yeh aksar dekha gaya hai. Decline ka daira 144.99 tak extend ho sakta hai, jo ke kuch margin ko aage ki movement ke liye chor deta hai, lekin isse aage ka direction uncertain hai.

Yeh analysis daily chart par mabni hai. Weekly chart par, maine chaar hafton se downward trend observe kiya hai. Mera maqsad hai ke pair ki movement ko agle hafte ke liye forecast karun, yeh dekhte hue ke kya selling trend continue karega ya koi alternate scenario samne aayega.
Technical Analysis


Is maqsad ke liye, technical analysis ko dekhte hain. Moving averages sell signal dete hain, aur technical indicators bhi active sell suggest karte hain. Is tarah, overall output active sell hai, jo ke aane wale hafte mein continued downward movement ko advocate karta hai.
Important News Aur Trading Strategy


Ab, kuch aham khabron par nazar daalte hain jo is pair ko affect kar sakti hain. Notable news US se aane ki umeed hai, optimistic forecast ke sath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ka data Thursday ko release hoga. Main USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai, jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai. Yeh pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega.

Sellers ke liye key target 145.81 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expect karte hue 20-25 pips ki movement is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khaas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota.
Technical Indicators Ki Importance


Yeh zaroori hai ke sell karne se pehle MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho. USD/JPY abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai.

Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par hoga.

Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend ka izhar kar raha hai.
Conclusion


Yeh analysis USD/JPY ki halat par roshni daalta hai aur aane wale hafte ke liye trading strategies ko samajhne mein madadgar hai. Traders ko yeh dekhna hoga ke market ki khabrein aur technical indicators kaise kaam karte hain, taake behtar faisle liye ja saken.


4o miniUSD/JPY Ki Halat: Technical Analysis Aur Aage Ka Rukh Aakhir mein, USD/JPY ka daira-e-hukumat notable decline ki taraf gaya, jo weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo ke lagbhag 10% ka sharp drop hai. Theoretical analysis ne yeh suggest kiya ke yeh girawat 151.71 ke support level par rok sakti hai, magar is rapid descent ke darmiyan yeh aksar dekha gaya hai. Decline ka daira 144.99 tak extend ho sakta hai, jo ke kuch margin ko aage ki movement ke liye chor deta hai, lekin isse aage ka direction uncertain hai.

Yeh analysis daily chart par mabni hai. Weekly chart par, maine chaar hafton se downward trend observe kiya hai. Mera maqsad hai ke pair ki movement ko agle hafte ke liye forecast karun, yeh dekhte hue ke kya selling trend continue karega ya koi alternate scenario samne aayega.

Technical Analysis
Is maqsad ke liye, technical analysis ko dekhte hain. Moving averages sell signal dete hain, aur technical indicators bhi active sell suggest karte hain. Is tarah, overall output active sell hai, jo ke aane wale hafte mein continued downward movement ko advocate karta hai.

Important News Aur Trading Strategy
Ab, kuch aham khabron par nazar daalte hain jo is pair ko affect kar sakti hain. Notable news US se aane ki umeed hai, optimistic forecast ke sath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ka data Thursday ko release hoga. Main USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai, jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai. Yeh pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega.

Sellers ke liye key target 145.81 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expect karte hue 20-25 pips ki movement is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khaas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota.

Technical Indicators Ki Importance
Yeh zaroori hai ke sell karne se pehle MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho. USD/JPY abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai.

Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par hoga.

Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend ka izhar kar raha hai.

Conclusion
Yeh analysis USD/JPY ki halat par roshni daalta hai aur aane wale hafte ke liye trading strategies ko samajhne mein madadgar hai. Traders ko yeh dekhna hoga ke market ki khabrein aur technical indicators kaise kaam karte hain, taake behtar faisle liye ja saken.

USD/JPY Ki Halat: Naye Economic Data Ka Intizar

USD/JPY ne 0.40% ki barhoti ke sath 146.74 ka level pakra hai. Monday ko US ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility kuch flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaas taur par Friday ko aane wala non-farm payrolls data jo is maamle ka climax hoga.

Federal Reserve ke Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala US non-farm payrolls report bohot hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ki umeedon ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai.

Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term US Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra hai, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda hai. US GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye.

Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein US non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to US economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai.

Non-farm payrolls data ka impact US dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. USD/JPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai.

Iske ilawa, USD/JPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai.
USD/JPY Ki Halat: Naye Economic Data Ka Intizar
USD/JPY ne 0.40% ki barhoti ke sath 146.74 ka level pakra hai. Monday ko US ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility kuch flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaas taur par Friday ko aane wala non-farm payrolls data jo is maamle ka climax hoga.

Federal Reserve ke Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala US non-farm payrolls report bohot hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ki umeedon ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai.

Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term US Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra hai, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda hai. US GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye.

Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein US non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to US economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai.

Non-farm payrolls data ka impact US dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. USD/JPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai.

Iske ilawa, USD/JPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai.

USD/JPY pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ki girawat hui, jis ke baad pair ne upward correction ki koshish ki, aur kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamyab hue. Iss muqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 range tak ho sakta hai. Dosri surat mein, agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance 146.38 tak ponchne ka aim ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai USD/JPY pair ne abhi hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai. Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta. Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai, aur bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le jaa sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai. Lekin Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta, kyun ke Bank of Japan 139 ke aas-paas mudakhlat kar sakta hai aur apni currency ko kamzor karne ke liye bazaar mein yen ki badi sikta inject kar sakta hai USD/JPY pair par asar fall Natija ye hai ke buying strength kam ho