USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Pichlay hafte USD-JPY bullish state mein tha aur bullish tareeqay se move kiya. Agar hum weekly timeframe ko dekhein, to yeh clear hota hai ke bullish movement mein significant taqat thi kyun ke aik weekly bullish candle bani, jo ke bohot strong thi aur usne bullish engulfing pattern bhi banaya. Weekly timeframe candle pattern ke basis par, is haftay bhi USD-JPY ka bullish movement jaari rehne ka imkaan hai.
H4 timeframe ke daur se mein ne aik tafseeli image banayi hai, jo dikhati hai ke kaise H4 timeframe mein bullish movement ne aik bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai.
Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye.
Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain.

dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical

USD/JPY currency pair ka real-time price analysis kar rahay hain, jahan filhal price 146.149 per trade ho rahi hai. Yeh behtareen waqt hai current market price par selling ko consider karne ka, kyun ke din ke opening price se duri dikhati hai ke buying momentum qareeb hai, jo sellers ke liye favorable conditions create karta hai.Agar hum 146.149 par market mein entry karte hain, toh stop loss 146.174 ke aas paas set karna chahiye. Is trade ka ideal profit target strong support level 145.192 ke near hona chahiye. Jab price is level tak pohanch jaye, toh short positions ko close karna aqalmandi hogi, kyun ke ek corrective rebound upar ki taraf ho sakta hai. Yeh rebound ascending channel ke lower boundary tak pahuch sakta hai, aur price correction ko continue karte hue pehli correction wave ke upper point 147.322 ke zone tak ja sakta hai. Is zone se downward rebound ki anticipation ki ja sakti hai, lekin is rebound ki strength abhi uncertain hai.USD/JPY pair ek descending channel ke andar trade kar rahi hai, aur downward trend ko maintain karte hue EMA 50 se bounce hui hai. Filhal pair critical support level 145.35 ko target kar rahi hai, jo pehle se test ho chuka hai, aur yeh aur zyada decline ka ishara karta hai, jahan targets 143.99 aur 142.14 ke aas paas hain. Recommendation yeh hai ke selling focus ke sath trade kiya jaye, aur stop-loss ko resistance level 146.59 ke upar set kiya jaye.USD/JPY ne correction phase mein entry ki hai jab price ne kal ke lows ko hit kiya. Market significant news ka intizar kar raha hai, khaaskar Fed ki taraf se minutes ka release aur labor market data ka revision. Agar yeh data significant tariqe se revise hota hai, toh is ka zyada impact ho sakta hai, aur speculation ka sabab ban sakta hai ke September mein Fed rate cut 50

Jis tarah se hum USD aur JPY ke pair ka tajziya kar rahe hain, yeh waqt ek kaabil-e-zikr neeche ki taraf trend mein hai, jo asal mein Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki mukhtalif monetary policies se mutasir hai. USD/JPY ke haal hi ke girawat ki wajah zyada tar bazar mein 25 basis point (bps) rate cut ki umeedain hain, jo ke Fed ke aane wale September 17-18 ke meeting mein discuss ki jayein gi. Halankeh recent tezi dekhi gayi hai, lekin yeh umeedain US Dollar (USD) ko apne faiday ko mazeed barhane se rok rahi hain. Dosri taraf, bazar mein ehtiyaat ka rujhan Japanese Yen ki safe-haven asset ke tor par demand ko barhawa de raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair par mazeed dabao daal raha hai. Saath hi, BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne tasdeeq ki hai ke bank FY2025 tak interest rates ko barhane ka plan bana raha hai, jo Fed ke umeed ke mutabiq rate cut ke bilkul baraks hai, aur yeh pair ke neeche ki taraf trend ko mazeed barhawa de raha hai. Traders filhal ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain aur koi faisla karnay se pehle US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke Fed ke agle policy qadam ke hawale se ahem maloomat faraham karega aur USD/JPY pair ke short-term outlook ko mutasir karega. Technical Tajziya:
Technical lehaz se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair mein waazeh bearish signals dekhnay ko mil rahe hain. Is waqt, yeh pair apne roz ke opening level 143.20 se neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 142.95 ke qareeb hai. Qeemat moving average trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ek ahem level hota hai jahan volume distribution aam tor par hoti hai, aur yeh strong selling pressure ko zahir karta hai. Agar qeemat 143.20 level ke upar chali jati hai, to mazeed izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo resistance levels 143.69 aur 143.75 tak jasakta hai. Agar qeemat 142.95 level ke neeche girti hai, to umeed hai ke yeh aur neeche jaegi aur support levels 142.74 aur shayad 142.20 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh pair apne monthly Pivot level 146.24 aur weekly Pivot level 143.75 ke neeche bhi trade kar raha hai, jo ek corrective mood ko zahir karta hai. Hourly chart mein, yeh pair apni pehle ki range 143.69 se 142.14 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers filhal bazar mein haawi hain. Lekin traders ko ek mumkin false breakout se ehtiyaat karni chahiye. Kul mila kar, technical indicators ek bearish outlook ko support karte hain, aur agar pair key support levels ke neeche trade karta raha, to mazeed girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Moment, mein lagbhag USD/JPY pair ke price action ka jaiza le raha hoon. Hal hi mein, kayi bearish leg bars 144.10 ke aas-paas ke original resistance level par banay hain, jo ke aik potential decline ka ishara de rahe hain. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne apni interest rate ko 0.25 se kam par barqarar rakhne ka elan kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh dikhata hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko barqarar rakh raha hai, jo ke yen ki strength ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Is bunyadi surat-e-haal mein, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ke chances zyada dikhayi dete hain. Iske ilawa, hourly chart par aik bearish engulfing pattern bhi dekha gaya hai, jo ke mazeed downtrend ki tasdeeq karta hai. In signals ko dekhte huye, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay haftay USD/JPY ka trend neeche ki taraf rahega. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai, spread ko chhod kar, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke is mein aur bhi nuksaan ka imkaan hai
Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 par touch kiya. Sellers ne control lene ki koshish ki, lekin wo price ko neeche dhakelne mein kaamyab nahi ho sake. Main ne ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo ke price ko ooncha rakhne mein significant raha hai. Magar, jab market close ke qareeb tha, toh asset ko resistance barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat hui, aur double tops aur bottoms 15-minute chart par nazar aaye. Agar price 143.49 se neeche break karti hai, toh yeh current correction ke khatam hone ka ishara hoga aur selling interest ko attract karega. Wapas, agar USD/JPY 144.50 se ooper close hota hai, toh mein apni selling position se nikal jaunga. Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) abhi 50.00 mark ke neeche 47 par hai, jo ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ka ishara de raha hai, aur asset ek descending channel ke upper boundary tak pohanch chuka hai. In factors ko dekhte huye, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ho ga
Is waqt, mein 0.14 lots ki short trade kar raha hoon jo ke floating loss mein hai. Magar, mujhe umeed hai ke market mere haq mein mod jayega. Overall, bearish price action aur fundamental signals ka combination USD/JPY pair mein jald hi downtrend ke imkaanat ko barhawa de raha hai

USD/JPY currency pair ab ek naye range ke andar trade kar raha hai, aur traders ab do key levels ko ghoor se dekh rahe hain: 144.00 aur 143.10. Ye levels critical points hain jahan reversal ya market movement ke liye ahem decisions liye ja sakte hain. Jab tak pair is range ke aas-paas hai, market participants technical aur fundamental indicators ko dekh kar agle mumkinah direction ka andaza laga rahe hain.

144.00 aik Ahm Resistance Level

144.00 ka level filhal ek significant resistance point ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Agar price is threshold ke ooper rehne mein kaamyab hoti hai, to yeh market mein bullish sentiment ko signal kar sakta hai. Agar price iss level ke ooper sustain karti hai, to yeh zyada buyers ko market mein laye ga, kyun ke traders aksar samajhte hain ke agar price ek key resistance ke ooper ho, to yeh mazid strength ka nishan hai. Iss surat mein, buyers expect karenge ke pair apni upward momentum ko barqarar rakhe, aur shayad naye highs tak pohanch jaye. Buying pressure ke izafay se USD/JPY aur bhi aage badh sakti hai, aur traders agle resistance areas ya Fibonacci retracement levels ko target points ke tor par dekh rahe honge.

Iske ilawa, macroeconomic factors bhi is upward movement ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. U.S. dollar ki strength, jo Federal Reserve ke interest rate hikes ya GDP growth aur employment data jaise positive economic indicators ke zariye aaye, USD ko yen ke muqable mein mazid support de sakti hai. Saath hi, agar Bank of Japan apni dovish monetary policy ko barqarar rakhta hai, to yen mazeed pressure mein reh sakti hai, jo USD/JPY ke bullish case ko mazid mazbooti dega.

143.10 aik Ahm Support Level

Dusri taraf, 143.10 ka level aik crucial support zone ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Agar price is level ke ooper rehne mein nakam hoti hai aur wapas niche aati hai, to yeh momentum mein tabdeeli ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar price 143.10 ke niche break karti hai, to yeh sellers ko market mein la sakta hai, aur pair ko mazid niche dhakel sakta hai. Iss point par selling pressure ke izafay se ek badi downward correction ho sakti hai, aur traders short positions se faida uthana chahenge.

Iss surat mein, USD/JPY pair mazid decline ke liye vulnerable ho sakti hai, khaaskar agar risk-off sentiment market par haavi ho jaye. Agar yen mazid taqatwar hoti hai, jo ke geopolitical tensions ya safe-haven demand ke zariye ho, to yeh pair ke liye ek burden ban sakta hai. Iske ilawa, agar U.S. economic data disappoint karta hai ya Federal Reserve rate hikes ko slow down karne ka ishara deta hai, to yeh dollar ki appeal ko kam kar sakta hai, jo pair ke decline mein contribute karega.

Akhir mein, 144.00 aur 143.10 levels wo critical areas hain jo traders bohot ghoor se dekh rahe hain. Price action in levels ke aas-paas agle kuch dinon mein USD/JPY pair ke short-term direction ka faisla karega, jisme ya to mazeed advancement ya phir ek significant reversal ki possibilities hain.

Jumeraat ko, USD/JPY pair ne 142.583 ka resistance tor diya, jis se ek buy signal trigger hua. Yeh signal kamiyabi se play out hua, aur price bullish sentiment ke mutabiq upar chali gayi. Lekin, initial upward movement ke baad, price wapas neeche aayi aur 142.583 level ko support ke tor par test kiya. Yeh support temporarily break hua, lekin yeh ek false break tha. Is se ek false sell signal aaya, jo jald hi khatam ho gaya. Uske baad, ek aur buy signal saamne aaya false break ke baad, aur yeh signal bhi kaamyabi se play out hua jab price wapas upar gayi.

Jumay ke din, market ne dobara 142.583 support level ko test kiya, lekin yeh test bhi false tha. Price action range ke andar hi raha, jisse trading environment thora volatile tha. Iske bawajood, ek aur buy signal generate hua, jo ke next resistance level 144.459 ko target kar raha tha. Market successfully is resistance tak pohanch gaya, aur buy signal mutabiq play out hua, jisse pair din bhar upar gaya.

Agle haftay ke pehle din, yaani Monday ko, agar price resistance 144.459 ko break karne mein kaamyab hoti hai aur uske upar hold karti hai, to ek nayi buying opportunity trigger ho sakti hai. Agar resistance clear tor par break ho gaya aur price is level ke upar rehne lagi, to next upside target bulls ke liye 147.102 ke aas-paas hoga. Yeh ek significant upward move hoga, aur traders 144.459 level par price action ko ghoor se dekh rahe honge taake market ki strength ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Agar yeh resistance convincingly break ho gaya aur price is level ke upar rahi, to yeh bullish trend ke barqarar rehne ka signal hoga aur mazeed gains ki guzarish hogi.

Doosri taraf, agar market resistance 144.459 ko break karne mein nakam hota hai ya price reversal dekhti hai, to traders apna focus downside par shift karenge. Is case mein, key level jo dekhna hoga wo 142.583 hai, jo ke support ke tor par kaam karega. Agar yeh support level break hota hai, to yeh market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka signal ho sakta hai, jo ke downside move ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Iss scenario mein, next downside target 140.809 par hoga. Agar yeh lower level bhi break hota hai, to yeh aur ziada selling pressure ko janam de sakta hai aur broader bearish trend ka ishara dega.

Khulasay ke tor par, 144.459 resistance aur 142.583 support levels bohot ahem hain USD/JPY pair ke agle direction ko tay karne ke liye. Traders in levels ko bohot ghoor se dekh rahe honge potential breakout ya breakdown signals ke liye, aur accordingly targets set karenge.

US dollar kamzor hota hai, lekin is dafa kuch aur factors dollar ko mazboot bana rahe hain. Kam interest rate ka matlab hota hai ke qarz lena sasta hota hai aur economic activity ko tehqiqat milti hai. Magar is dafa, dollar phir bhi mazboot nazar aa raha hai, kyun ke doosri currencies, jaise yen, ke muqablay mein wo zyada stable hai. Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka approach mukhtalif hai. BoJ apni policy ko jari rakhne ka irada rakhta hai, matlab ke woh jaldi interest rates mein koi tabdeeli nahi karenge. BoJ ne kaafi arse se low-interest-rate policy apna rakhi hai taake economic growth ko barhaya ja sake. Is policy ne yen ko kamzor rakha hai, osallar mazboot currencies jaise US dollar ke muqablay mein. Yeh contrast in policies, jahan US rates kam kar raha hai aur Japan unhein kaafi neeche rakh raha hai, yen ko mazid kamzor kar raha hai. Is yen ki kamzori ke sabab USD/JPY pair mein izafa hua hai, jo investors ko ek moka de raha hai ke wo upward movement se faida utha sakein. Ab bohot se traders yeh dekh rahe hain ke BoJ ka faisla market pe kaise asar andaz hoga, lekin ab tak yen kamzor hi nazar aa raha hai.

USD/JPY pair filhal 143.55 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, aur yeh ek notable rise dikhati hai. Pair ko 143.68 ka ek key resistance level face karna par raha hai. Yeh resistance ek barrier ki tarah hai jo price ko mazeed barhne se rok raha hai. Hali trend ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke bulls (wo traders jo price ke barhne ki umeed rakhte hain) is level ke ooper push karne mein kaamyab ho sakte hain. Agar yeh hota hai, toh mazeed izafay ka rasta khul sakta hai.

Do ahem moving average indicators bhi yeh ishara de rahe hain ke market bullish phase mein hai. Moving averages wo tools hain jo traders ko price ka rujhan samajhne mein madad karte hain. Jab price in moving averages ke ooper rehti hai, toh aam tor par iska matlab hota hai ke market bullish hai, ya barh raha hai. Is waqt, dono short-term aur long-term moving averages yeh dikhate hain ke upward trend jaari reh sakta hai. Yeh traders ke liye ek positive sign hai jo USD/JPY pair mein mazeed izafa dekhna chahte hain

USD/JPY currency pair ne khaas taqat dikhai, utasalar Asian se European trading hours ke darmiyan. Is izafay ka sab se bara point 143.83 ke resistance area ka break karna tha, jis ne traders ki khaas tawajju hasil ki. Buyers ne jab is level ko paar kia, toh ye pair ke liye aik ahem mor tha, jis se further upward momentum dekhnay ko mila. Jaisay jaisay session barhta gaya, price ne sirf 143.83 ko break nahi kiya, balke nayi resistance level 144.00 tak bhi pohanch gayi. Ye upward movement bullish sentiment ka izhar hai, jo is baat ko darsha raha hai ke US dollar ki demand Japanese yen ke muqable mein barh rahi hai. Trading ka yeh amal ek mazboot market response ko zahir karta hai, jahan buyers actively price ko upar le ja rahe hain, jo ke bullish trend ko mazeed reinforce kar raha hai. Pichla resistance level 143.73 bhi is price action mein khaas role ada karta hai. Un traders ne jo breakout ka intezaar kar rahe the, apne aap ko rewarded mehsoos kia hoga jab price is area ke upar surge kar gayi, jo is upward trend ki taqat ko confirm kar rahi thi. Ye breakout market participants ke liye aik naya reference point bhi bana raha hai, jahan 144.00 ko ab ek ahem level ke tor par dekha ja raha hai. Market sentiment ko mazeed support broader economic indicators aur geopolitical factors bhi de rahe hain jo USD/JPY pair ko asar andaz karte hain. Investors Federal Reserve ki monetary policy decisions aur economic data releases par ghoor kar rahe hain, jo US dollar ki strength ko farq daal sakti hain. Dosri taraf, Japan ki economic conditions, jaise ke interest rates aur inflation data, bhi yen ki performance ko shape karti hain.
USD/JPY pair jab tak is naye established range mein trade karta rahega, traders 144.00 aur 143.10ke levels par focus rakhein ge. Agar price **144.00** ke upar qaim rahti hai, toh zyada buyers market mein aasakte hain, jo pair ko aur bhi upar le ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price retrace karta hai aur **143.10** ke neeche girta hai, toh ye momentum mein shift ka ishara hoga, jis se selling pressure barh sakta hai. Natija ye hai ke USD/JPY pair ki trading dynamics buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan Chalti rehne wali larai ko highlight karti hai. Key resistance levels ke successful penetration ke baad, market participants optimistic hain pair ke trajectory ke bare mein, lekin kisi bhi shift ko bhi ghoor kar rahe hain jo is ke direction ko farq daal sakta hai

USD-JPY bullish state mein tha aur bullish tareeqay se move kiya. Agar hum weekly timeframe ko dekhein, to yeh clear hota hai ke bullish movement mein significant taqat thi kyun ke aik weekly bullish candle bani, jo ke bohot strong thi aur usne bullish engulfing pattern bhi banaya. Weekly timeframe candle pattern ke basis par, is haftay bhi USD-JPY ka bullish movement jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. H4 timeframe ke daur se mein ne aik tafseeli image banayi hai, jo dikhati hai ke kaise H4 timeframe mein bullish movement ne aik bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai .
Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye.
Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain

Dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, utsilalar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala US non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term US Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. US GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein US non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to US economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact US dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat,

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke daily chart ka tajziya karenge. Is waqt wave structure neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai. Is haftay, jab last August ka minimum update hua, to MACD indicator par ek bullish divergence bana, aur doosra CCI indicator neeche overheating zone se upar ja raha hai. Neeche ek false breakout hua tha, jahan sirf ek spike chhori gayi thi, aur kal ki daily candle ek inverted hammer ya pin bar bani, jo aksar growth ka sign hota hai. Aaj kuch growth ka aaghaz ho gaya hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh 143.83 ke qareebi horizontal resistance level tak jari rahegi. Doosra, aur door ka target, ek descending resistance line hai jo pichlay do wave peaks par bani hai. Growth signals ki buniyad par, aaj sirf buying positions ko hi intraday kaam ke liye consider kiya jaa raha hai, selling options ko nahin. H4 period ke MACD par bhi ek bullish divergence dikh raha hai. Mein zyada growth ki taraf mayal hoon, kyun ke halanki trend neeche ki taraf hai aur uss ke saath kaam karna zyada asaan lagta hai, lekin abhi yeh situation waisi nahin hai. Aaj kuch news items bhi hai jo dekhni chahiye, jaise USDA ka global agriculture ke supply aur demand par report, aur 30-year US Treasury bonds ka auction. Mujhe divergence par yaqeen hai ke yeh fail nahi hogi, lekin phir bhi forex markets mein kuch bhi ho sakta hai, khaaskar USD/JPY ke hawalay se.
Jab price 142.37 ka test kar raha tha, MACD indicator zero mark se neeche jaane laga tha, jo selling ke liye sahi entry point tha. Asar mein, pair mein 30 pips se zyada ki girawat hui, aur aaj Asia session ke dauran hum 141.50 ke target level tak pohanch gaye. Japan ki industrial production ke strong data ne dollar par zyada pressure dala, jo downtrend ko barqarar rakhta hai. Lekin, ab ke lows par selling karte hue ehtiyaat ki zarurat hai. Thodi correction ka intezaar behtar hoga nayi short positions kholne se pehle. Aaj ke intraday strategy ke liye, mein Scenario No. 1 aur Scenario No. 2 par zyada bharosa kar raha hoon. Aaj mein USD/JPY ko 141.51 ke aas paas (green line) buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon, jisme target level 142.55 hoga. 142.55 par long position se nikal kar ek short position kholunga, aur umeed hai ke wahan se price 30-35 pips neeche ki taraf move karegi. Aaj ka rise sirf ek correction ka hissa lagta hai. Buying se pehle yeh ensure karein ke MACD zero mark se upar hai aur wahan se rise kar raha hai.

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USD/JPY Pair Ki Trading Strategy
USD/JPY pair duniya ke sab se zyada trade hone wale forex pairs mein se ek hai. Yeh do different economies ko represent karta hai, jo US aur Japan hain. Dono countries ke economic policies, interest rates aur political developments ka asar is pair ki price movement par hota hai. Is pair mein trading karna ek acha option ho sakta hai agar aap strategy ko samajh kar kaam karein.

Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis ki madad se aapko samajhna padega ke US aur Japan ki economies kis tarah se perform kar rahi hain. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke interest rate decisions, GDP growth, inflation rate aur employment data is pair par asar daal sakte hain. Jab Federal Reserve interest rate barhata hai to USD ki value barhti hai, aur agar Bank of Japan interest rate kam karta hai to JPY ki value girti hai. Is tarah ke economic indicators ko samajhna aur un par nazar rakhna trading ke liye zaroori hai.

Technical Analysis
Technical analysis ke zariye charts aur indicators ka use karke trends ko identify kiya ja sakta hai. Moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) jaise indicators se trend reversal aur overbought/oversold conditions ko pehchana ja sakta hai. Fibonacci retracement aur support/resistance levels ko bhi consider karna chahiye takay aap entry aur exit points ko behtar tareeke se identify kar sakein.

Risk Management
Forex trading mein risk management intehai ahmiyat rakhta hai. Is liye hamesha stop-loss ka istemal karein aur apne risk/reward ratio ko samajh kar trade karein. Yeh ensure karega ke aap zyada loss ko avoid kar sakein. Risk ko diversify karne ke liye kabhi bhi apni capital ka bara hissa ek hi trade mein na lagayen.

Market Sentiment
Market sentiment ko samajhna bhi zaroori hai. News aur geopolitical events USD/JPY ki price par asar daal sakte hain. Agar koi major event ho jaye, jaise ke elections ya koi economic report ka release, to market ka sentiment achanak change ho sakta hai. Trader ko hamesha latest news aur updates se waqif rehna chahiye.

Yeh sab points agar ek saath utilize kiye jayein to USD/JPY pair mein successful trading ki ja sakti hai. Har trade ke liye proper research aur strategy ka hona zaroori hai.

Pichlay hafte USD-JPY bullish state mein tha aur bullish tareeqay se move kiya. Agar hum weekly timeframe ko dekhein, to yeh clear hota hai ke bullish movement mein significant taqat thi kyun ke aik weekly bullish candle bani, jo ke bohot strong thi aur usne bullish engulfing pattern bhi banaya. Weekly timeframe candle pattern ke basis par, is haftay bhi USD-JPY ka bullish movement jaari rehne ka imkaan hai.
H4 timeframe ke daur se mein ne aik tafseeli image banayi hai, jo dikhati hai ke kaise H4 timeframe mein bullish movement ne aik bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai.
Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye.
Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain.

### USD/JPY Analysis

USD/JPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen) ka market analysis H1 timeframe par dikhata hai ke sell trade mein profit banane ki bohot achi sambhavnayein hain. Market mein entry ka sabse optimal point chunne ke liye kuch zaroori shartein hain. Sabse pehli aur ahm baat yeh hai ke higher timeframe H4 par current trend ka direction samjha jaye, taake market sentiment ko galat na samjha jaye. Iske liye, hum H4 timeframe ka chart kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke H1 aur H4 timeframes par trend movements milte hain ya nahi. Jab yeh pehli shart poori hoti hai, tab hum yeh keh sakte hain ke aaj market humein short trade kholne ka acha mauqa de raha hai.

Agla analysis teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color par based hai. Hum expect karte hain ke Hama aur RSI Trend indicators ka rang red ho jaye, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers abhi buyers se bohot zyada strong hain. Jab yeh signal mil jata hai, tab hum sell order kholte hain.

Trade se bahar nikalne ka tareeqa magnetic levels indicator ke signals par hota hai. Aaj signal execute karne ke liye sabse probable level 137.200 hai. Ab humein chart par price action par nazar rakhni hai jab price magnetic level ke qareeb pohanchti hai. Yahan par humein yeh mushkil faisla karna hota hai ke position ko agle magnetic level tak hold karein ya hasil ki gayi profit ko lock karein.

Potential earnings se faida uthane ke liye, trailing stop ka istemal karna ek achha option hai. Is tarah, agar price unexpected move karti hai, to hum apne profits ko mehfooz rakh sakte hain.

Overall, USD/JPY ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke sell trade kholne ka waqt bohot behtareen hai, agar hum indicators ke signals ko sahi tarah samjhein aur market movements par nazar rakhein. Is strategy ke zariye, traders ko profit banane ka acha mauqa mil sakta hai, jab tak wo apne risk management ko bhi nazar mein rakhte hain