usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ka jorha is waqt din ki shuruat ke level 146.40 se upar aur daily Pivot level 144.91 se bhi upar trade kar raha hai. Mukhtalif indicators bullish momentum dikhate hain aur price 72-period Moving Average trend line se upar hai, jahan aam tor par volume absorb hota hai.
Agar price 146.90 ke level se upar chali jati hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke jorha 147.16 aur shayad 147.25 ke resistance levels ki taraf barhega.

Agar price 146.90 ke level se neeche girti hai, to yeh 146.40 ke level ki taraf girne ka sabab banegi aur shayad 146.24 tak bhi pohanch sakti hai.

USD/JPY is waqt monthly Pivot level 146.24 (pehle 153.85) ke nazdeek hai, weekly Pivot level 145.29 (pehle 147.65) se upar hai, aur daily Pivot level 144.91 se bhi upar hai, jo ke jorhe ke liye mazboot bullish sentiment ko darshata hai.

Agar monthly Pivot level 146.24 se upar hota hai, to jorha north ki taraf barhega; agar is level se neeche hota hai, to jorha south ki taraf jaye ga.

USD/JPY Price Direction

Hamari guftagu ka markaz is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda price action ka jaiza lena hai. Kal USD/JPY currency pair ne lagbhag 142.51 ke resistance level ko chhu liya tha, magar aaj bears ne qabza kar liya aur price ko neeche ki taraf dhakel diya. Pair 141.20 tak pahunch gaya, halan ke yeh 140.55 ke support level tak nahi gira, kyun ke bulls ne phir se control hasil kar liya aur price dobara upar le gaye. Abhi price ek tight range mein trade kar raha hai, jahan orders accumulate ho rahe hain. Ek breakout ka imkaan hai jab significant volume aayega, magar direction abhi tak wazeh nahi hai. Yeh zaroori nahi ke bearish breakout ho, halan ke abhi tak downtrend chal raha hai, aur aaj ka bearish candle neeche ki taraf tail ke sath bana hai. Price dobara upper range ke qareeb hai jab ke buyers filhaal ruk gaye hain. USD/JPY abhi tak 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) se neeche trade kar raha hai jo ke qareeb 141.85 par hai. Agar bullish momentum mein koi kamzoor breakout hota hai, to nayi bearish phase ka aghaz ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar intraday rate 140.99 ke upar rehne mein mushkil mehsoos kare.



Weekly options par 139.62 strikes ko tor kar support level 137.65 tak pahunchne ki koshish nakam rahi. Bulls ne price ko primary weekly contract support 140.02 ke upar aur critical liquidity 140.58 ke upar push kar diya. Yeh pair ko rebound karne ka mauqa de sakta hai, jo ke upward target karte hue primary resistance 142.38 tak ja sakta hai. Magar agar yeh is level ke neeche rehta hai, to phir se 140.58 tak wapas ja sakta hai, jahan market reaction bohat aham hoga. Agar price wahan par rehti hai, to mazeed girawat ka imkaan ho sakta hai. Warna, pair 142.38 aur 140.02 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar sakta hai jab tak weekend nahi aata. Agar 142.38 ke upar breakout hota hai aur consolidation hoti hai, to yeh 143.02 strike aur 143.57 ke premium ka test trigger kar sakta hai, jahan se nayi girawat ki koshish ho sakti hai. Tuesday ko ek rate cut ne pair ko hourly uptrend line ke neeche push kar diya tha.

Yeh wajahain hain jis ki wajah se USD/JPY ka price apne low point se decline hua aur aik din mein kuch apni favorable aspects kho diye. Wednesday ki Asian session ke dauran yeh pair strong tha, lekin phir 142.00 mark se neeche close hua. Jab traders ko aggressive bets place karni thi central bank tournament risks ke hawale se, toh essential context ne yeh indicate kiya ke spot cost ke liye downward momentum ka rujhan zyada hai.
Federal Reserve ka do din ka meeting Wednesday ko khatam hona tha, jisme unka faisla announce kiya gaya, aur umeed thi ke woh apna coverage easing cycle start karein ge. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka coverage shift Friday ko expected tha, jo market ke liye bohot interest ka moqa tha kyun ke iska direct asar Japanese yen (JPY) par hota aur USD/JPY pair ko ek significant upward move milta.Yeh cheez Tuesday ke unexpectedly strong US retail sales record ko overshadow karti, jo ke dollar ko apne 2024 lows se recover hone nahi de rahi thi. Lekin ek din mein hi US dollar ne apne intraday low 140.32 se rebound karte hue 142.44 tak pohanch gaya, jo yen ke muqablay mein ek strong increase tha. US ki strong economic facts ki wajah se investors ko Federal Reserve ke price reductions ke hawale se concerns thi, jis ki wajah se woh central bank ke economic policy decisions par focus kar rahe thay. Is ki wajah se dollar short sellers ne apni holdings ko reduce kar diya, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye aik negative move samjhi gayi.

Halaankeh USD/JPY ne 180 points se zyada ka faasla tay karte hue turning point 142.35 ko test kiya, yeh pair ab bhi downward bias show kar raha hai. Agar USD/JPY September 12 ko apne daily high 143.04 se upar break kar jaye, toh important resistance levels, Kijun-Sen at 144.48 aur Senkou Span A at 143.15 expose ho sakti hain. Lekin agar yeh 142.00 se neeche girta hai, toh yeh downtrend ko aur bhi worse kar dega. Is waqt ka yearly low 139.58 ek key support level serve karega, aur 139.00 ka level ek strong support zone ho sakta hai.

Abhi hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Kal ke high 142.39 se, price neeche ki taraf move karna shuru hui. Mere sell zones possible nahi the, halaan ke important khabar 14:29 local time par thi. Din ke agay, mazeed news items shaamil hongi, aur momentum previous highs ko retest karne ka imkaan hai. Bohat se seller positions top par ikattha ho chuki hain, aur daily chart mein reversal ya growth ki taraf shift ke asaar dikhai de rahe hain. Din mein growth hui, jo meri forecast ke mutabiq thi. Mera Tuesday ke liye bhi focus growth par tha, kyun ke Monday ko price ne 140.178 ka support test kiya aur wahan se bounce back kiya, aur us level ke upar close hui. Price din bhar barhti rahi, 141.873 ka resistance torh kar upar close hui. Mera aaj ka focus ab bhi growth par hai, aur support 141.873 ko retest karne ke baad, price ab bhi ooper ja rahi hai. Agar aaj ka session is mark ke upar close hota hai, to agla target 143.746 ka resistance hoga.

H1 chart par, USD/JPY kal ke impulse candle range mein trade kar raha hai. Main dekh raha hoon ke price 142.28 resistance ki taraf momentum build kar raha hai, jo ek critical level hai market direction ko indicate karne ke liye. Agar 142.98 range ke upar break aur consolidation hota hai, to yeh ek mauka hoga long positions open karne ka, aur bullish rally ko continue karne ka. Is surat mein profit targets upper extremes 143.47 aur 144.55 par honge. Doosri taraf, agar momentum wapas aata hai, to downside move ho sakta hai, jo ke 141.18 ka low test karega. Is bearish direction ki confirmation consolidation ke zariye aayegi broken range ke neeche, jo instrument ke bearish channel mein wapas jane ka ishara hoga. Market mein growth aur correction ka potential hai, jisme key levels 141.873 aur 142.98 decide karenge agla move. Halaanke agar price 141.873 ke neeche close karti hai, to kal ke liye priority decline ki taraf hogi, jo ke support 140.178 ko target karegi.

USD/JPY Market Outlook

Salaam aur Subah bakhair sabhi Visitors aur Traders ko!
Kal ka din USD/JPY buyers ke liye behtareen raha jab unhoon ne upar bounce kiya aur 141.75 zone ko successfully break kiya. Aaj bhi traders ke liye ek ahem din hai kyun ke aaj kay din mein bohot se important news events release hongay. Hum Asian aur USA trading zones mein trade kar saktay hain kyun ke ye zones technical analysis kay zariye identify hotay hain aur aik barrier ka kaam kartay hain jo market ko apni upward trajectory mein continue karnay ke liye overcome karna parta hai.

Aaj ka din fundamental news ke lihaaz se bohot important hai – khaaskar FOMC aur Building Permits reports, jo buyers ke liye resistance levels ko break karnay ka catalyst sabit ho sakti hain. Khaaskar, FOMC ka interest rates par faisla traders ke liye bohot closely dekha jayega. Agar Federal Reserve yeh ishara karta hai ke wo apni monetary policy ko zyada accommodative rakhna chahta hai, toh yeh buyers ke liye ek aur motivation ho sakta hai aur market ko resistance break karna aasaan ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar Fed hawkish tone apnaye aur yeh signal de ke interest rates expectations se zyada barhne wale hain, toh yeh buyers ke liye challenges peda kar sakta hai aur resistance zone cross karna mushkil ho jayega.

Umeed hai ke USD/JPY ka market aaj humein mazeed trading opportunities dega. Saath hi, Federal Funds Rate ka faisla bhi aaj ke trading scenario ka ek key element hoga. Federal Funds Rate ka direct impact hota hai borrowing costs par, jo ke businesses aur consumers ko directly effect karti hain. Agar yeh rate kam ho jata hai, toh borrowing sasti ho jati hai, jo zyada kharch aur investment ko promote karta hai. Buyers ko umeed hai ke aaj ka FOMC meeting ka faisla Federal Funds Rate ko low rakhay ya phir aane wale rate hikes ko gradual aur measured rakhnay ka ishara day.

Dua hai ke aapka Wednesday profitable ho!

USD/JPY ki price movement par analysis kaafi detailed hai. Abhi tak USD/JPY 141.691 par trade kar raha hai, jab ke is ka lowest point 139.57 aur highest point 142.46 record kiya gaya hai. Hourly chart par technical indicators bulls ka saath de rahe hain, jahan MACD positive zone mein hai jo ke upward momentum ko signal karta hai. Aap ka expectation hai ke yeh upward movement continue karega aur bulls ka target 143.39 par hoga.Kal ki news updates ke baad dollar ne yen ke against strength gain ki aur 142.45 tak peak kiya. Magar aaj subha USD/JPY ne half retracement kiya aur abhi 141.56 ke qareeb hover kar raha hai. Is ke bawajood ke recovery strong hai, H4 chart par descending trend abhi bhi barqarar hai, jahan 143.03 ka level bohot ahm hai. Agar price is level ke upar break karti hai, tou yeh structural change ko indicate karega. Aaj ki trading overview mein aap ka focus crucial support aur resistance levels par hai. Pair abhi 141.612 par trade kar raha hai aur aap ka preference sell positions par hai. Multiple resistance points ko test karne ke baad, aap ka short position limit order 142.471 par set hai, aur stop-loss 142.496 par lagaya gaya hai, jisse risk control kiya ja sake. Preferred support level 141.541 par hai aur limit order abhi activate honay ka intezar kar raha hai. Agar stop-loss trigger hota hai, tou aap ka aaj ke liye trading halt ho jayega.
USD/JPY ki situation kaafi interesting hai kyun ke downward movement continue hai. Pair recently 140.19 aur 140.00 ke neeche dip kiya lekin consolidation nahi ho saka, jo ek false breakdown ko indicate karta hai. Kal ki 300-point bounce recovery kafi nahi thi itni sharp decline ke baad. Aaj ka Fed announcement aur US trading session ki rhetoric kaafi critical hogi aane wale price movements ke liye.

Equity markets ke dynamics currency landscape ko kaafi asar dalte hain, khaaskar Japanese Yen (JPY) par, jo traditionally ek safe-haven asset mana jata hai. Magar, equity markets mein generally positive sentiment ne JPY ki appeal ko kam kar diya hai. Sath hi, US Dollar (USD) mein thodi si growth ne USD/JPY pair ke liye stronger bid tone ko badhaya hai, jo abhi lagbhag 141.71 par trade kar raha hai. In factors ke darmiyan ka taluq currency pair ke future movements ke analysis ko complex bana deta hai.

Recent insights Bank of Japan (BoJ) se hamein monetary policy ke future par roshni dalte hain. July policy meeting ki summary of opinions se yeh pata chalta hai ke kuch members ko lagta hai ke aage jaake aur rate hikes ho sakti hain aur policy normalization ki taraf bhi rujhan ho sakta hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke BoJ apni economic challenges ko address karne ke liye kuch qadam uthana chahta hai. Magar, geopolitical tensions abhi bhi risks banay huye hain, jo JPY ko deeper losses se bachata hai aur USD/JPY pair ke upward momentum ko limit karta hai.

USD/JPY ke fundamentals:

Former BoJ board member Makoto Sakurai ne skepticism ka izhaar kiya hai ke 2024 mein koi rate hike hogi. Unka yeh maanna hai ke agla rate increase March 2025 tak nahi hoga, aur unhone is viewpoint ka sabab recent market volatility aur economic recovery ke weak forecast ko diya. Yeh views BoJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks se bhi match karte hain, jinhone kaha ke central bank unstable market conditions ke dauran rates nahi badhaye ga, jo JPY par downward pressure dalta hai aur USD/JPY pair ko support karta hai.

BoJ ke June meeting ke minutes se yeh bhi samajh mein aata hai ke members rising import prices ko leke concerned hain, jo ke recent JPY decline se jura hua hai. Aise price increases inflation ke liye ek upside risk ban sakte hain, aur ek member ne yeh warning di thi ke cost-push inflation underlying inflation ko badha sakta hai agar yeh higher prices aur wage increases ki expectations ko fuel kare. Inflation aur currency strength ke darmiyan yeh complex rishta investors ke liye monitor karna zaroori hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ko immediate support 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas mil sakta hai, jo takriban 142.00 par hai. Agar yeh pair is critical level se neeche girta hai, to bearish sentiment zyada intense ho sakta hai, jo currency pair ko 139.57 ke seven-month low ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo 16 September ko record kiya gaya tha. Agar declines lagataar hote hain, to pair ko agla support level 140.34 par mil sakta hai, jo traders ke liye close attention ka maqam hoga.





Wednesday tak, price lagbhag 141.73 par trade kar rahi hai. Daily chart ke analysis se yeh pata chalta hai ke pair abhi bhi 9-day EMA ke upar hai, jo ke ek short-term bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Magar, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 50 se neeche hai, jo dikhata hai ke bullish momentum abhi firmly established nahi hua hai. Pair mein lagataar increase zaroori hoga taake ek genuine bullish outlook ko confirm kiya ja sake.

**USD/JPY**

Mujhe yeh nahi pata ke kya keemat abhi ke darje se kam hoti rahegi, lekin ek baat mein puri tarah se yaqeen rakhta hoon: agar bull 151.84 ke qareeb koi correction nahi karta, toh main sell position mein nahi jaunga. Is marahil par, meri nazar mein, kuch khaas dilchasp nahi ho raha, is liye yeh pair kal tak rukhne ke liye hai. Main hamesha kayi currency pairs ki keemat ki harkaat ko dekh raha hoon, lekin yahan aisa lagta hai ke bull aur bear abhi tak faisla nahi kar paaye ke agla qadam kya hoga. Yeh shayad ek triangle ki tarah ho sakta hai, lekin jab tak keemat 151.84 ke upar nahi jaati, main bear ki taraf rahunga.

**Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese Yen**
Aaj ke din ke dusre hisson mein mere zikar ki gayi keematon ka koi test nahi hua. Volatility ki kami dekhne ko mili, jo data ki kami ki wajah se thi, jisne U.S. dollar ke upar uthane ki potential ko bhi kam kar diya. Aaj ki Asian session mein dollar par bechne ka bohot zyada pressure raha. Japan ke monetary base ke badlav ka report economists ke andazay se milta julta tha, lekin 10 saal ke bonds ki bechne mein demand ummeed se kam rahi. Badi trading companies ke market mein wapas aate hi dollar par pressure barh gaya. USD/JPY mein chal raha upar ki taraf ka correction jaldi khatam ho sakta hai, is liye bechne ki mauqay dhoondhna behtar hoga jo ke recent months mein dekhe gaye neeche ke trend ke saath mel khate hain. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par zyada tawajjo dunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj main USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon jab yeh 146.44 par pohanchta hai, jo ke chart par hare rang ki line se dikhaya gaya hai. Iska maqsad 147.21 tak uthna hai, jo ke chart par mote hare rang ki line se hai. 147.21 ke ilaqe mein, main long positions se nikalne aur short positions kholne ka irada rakhta hoon, umeed hai ke wahan se 30-35 pips ki harkaat milegi. Humein aaj pair ke uthne ki umeed hai, lekin humein 146.00 ke ilaqe mein buyers ki activity ki zarurat hai. Ahmiyat: Kharidne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se uth raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Aaj main USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 145.99 ke do musalsal tests hotay hain jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke neeche ke potential ko limit karega aur market ka wapas uthna ka sabab banega. Humein 146.44 aur 147.21 tak ki growth ki umeed hai.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj main USD/JPY bechne ka plan sirf 145.99 ke level ka test karne ke baad banata hoon, jo ke chart par laal line se dikhaya gaya hai, isse pair mein tezi se girawat aayegi. Bechne walon ka key target 145.41 hoga, jahan main short positions se nikal kar foran long positions kholne ka irada rakhta hoon, umeed hai wahan se 20-25 pips ki harkaat milegi. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ka bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hua. Ahmiyat: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur wahan se gir raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Aaj main USD/JPY bechne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 146.44 ke do musalsal tests hote hain jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upar ki potential ko limit karega aur market ka wapas girna ka sabab banega. Humein 145.99 aur 145.41 tak ki girawat ki umeed hai.

Mujhay lagta hai ke diversity buri cheez nahi hai, lekin abhi tak mere paas itna paisa nahi hai ke mai alag alag jagahon par invest kar sakoon. Jab tak pound aur yen ka muqabla hai, yeh kehna mushkil hai ke kaunsa instrument behtar hai, kyun ke har trader ki apni pasand hoti hai. Aur jab mai news indicators par focus nahi karta, toh yeh masla mere liye ziata ahemiyat nahi rakhta. Mai sirf chart par dekhta hoon aur wahan jo nazar aata hai, us par kaam karta hoon. Mera tareeqa sirf technical analysis par mabni hai, economic news ko main zyada ahmiyat nahi deta. Bus news release ka waqt yaad rakhta hoon. Maine yeh dekha hai ke kisi bhi news ka price direction par koi khas asar nahi hota jab news release hoti hai. USD/JPY ke hawalay se, jab se Bank of Japan ne rate hikes ka aaghaz kiya hai, ek medium-term downward trend ban sakta hai jisse paisa kamaya ja sakta hai. Agar price 149-150 tak barh jaye, toh mai sell karna shuru karunga. Halaanke abhi ek minimal correction hai, lekin technically yeh pair mazeed strong growth dekhna chahiye. Aise trend breakouts ka matlab hota hai ke mazid growth ki umeed hai, lekin filhal mujhe buy karne ka koi dil nahi hai. Technical Perspective se: USD/JPY pair is waqt 144.73 ke qareeb resistance ka samna kar rahi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke price ko mazeed aage barhne mein mushkilat ho rahi hai. Agar hum daily chart ka jaiza lein, toh pair ek bearish outlook dikhata hai, jahan technical indicators ek possible decline ki taraf ishara karte hain. Haal hi mein bearish sentiment ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne apni position gain ki, aur 144.57 par close hui, jo 143.67 se barh kar 145.04 tak gayi thi. Yeh price action yeh dikhata hai ke pair abhi bhi kuch resilience dikha raha hai, halaanke bearish indicators hain. Traders ko umeed hai ke aaj USD/JPY 143.80 se 145.20 ke range mein trade karegi, jab ke ek ahem resistance level 145.70 par hai. Agar yeh resistance level barkarar rahta hai, toh pair ke liye mazeed barhna mushkil hoga. Technical setup yeh dikhata hai ke pair pichlay kuch dino mein koi significant decline nahi dikha saki, jo yeh imply karta hai ke bearish momentum ko market ke halat offset kar sakte hain. Ongoing resistance aur expected trading range yeh highlight karte hain ke market is waqt uncertain hai, aur traders ko resistance levels aur price movements ko ghair-mamooli ehtiyaat se dekhna hoga. Technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke bearish sentiment toh hai, lekin pair ka resistance levels ke qareeb apni jagah bana kar rakhna complex market environment ko dikhata hai, jo ainday ke trading decisions ke liye mazeed ehmiyat rakhta hai

USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights prClick image for larger v

USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide USD/JPY ke trading options mein, buy option ab bhi USD/JPY movement ko dominate karega. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation rapidly adverse ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, humClick

USD/JPY currency pair ne mazboot ameerika ki maeeshati data se sath mila lekin. Is data ne traders ko barqarar hone wale ameerika federal reserve ke interest rate cuts ke liye unke umeedon ko las band karne par majboor kiya hai, is tarah USD ko mazboot bana diya hai.
Saath he, gharbi Asia ke ilaqon mein husol hune wale siyasi bechainiyan currency markets par asar dalne ki salahiyaat rakhti hain. Al Arabiya ke mutabiq, American officials Hezbollah or Iran ka jawab ane ka tawaqqa rakh rahe hain, shuruati tajjiayen is haftay ke shuru mein ik mumkin tanseeb ki soorat la rai thi. Lekin, taaza istiqlal ne is umeed ko mor kar diya hai, isharat dete hain ke kisi bhi jawab ko mukhir shanivar ya jumeraat ke doran taakhir kiya gaya ja sakta hai. Aise mosarafat safe-haven currencies jese JPY ke liye demand ko barha sakti hain.

America ke interest rate cuts ke gehrafeian ke charon taraf bazaar ki khasosi misalaat ke tor par asar andaz hoti rehti hain. CME ka FedWatch Tool buhat zaiyaa expectation har aik bazaar main federal reserve ki September main 50 basis points (bps) ke rate cut ka mohtawar samjha jata hai, is ke alawa mazeed cuts ka hum bandarana shak hai 2024 ke reht alawa. Ye tezfehmein Greenback par mazeed niche dabaou dal sakti hain, USD/JPY pair ko asar andaz kar sakti hain.

Technical Analysis and Market Trends

Pair ke august 5 ke low se farigh hone ka dhaga ab tak corrective zaroor lagraha hota hai sustained trend ki bajaay. 143.11 ke level ke takedil tor par guzar jana hali ki short-term uptrend ki sadagi ki shakiyat paida kar sakti hai or taqaruri nazool ki alamat dikhane ki soorat bhi ho sakti hai. Albata, 141.00 ke darj ke nichay girawat price ko 140.00 zone ki taraf le ja sakta hai, mazeed bearish movement ki alamat dene se. Currency pair ne hal he menah ik standard ABC correction puri karte waqt ek base banai hue thi august mein. Agar keemat wave "c" ke high ke darj ko tor de, to ye is correction ke trend ka pata batane wale bara, ummidwar bearing trend mein tabdeel ho ga sakta hai. Aise breakout ke doran price 144.90 level ki taraf tawaja ja sakta hai

USD/JPY Price Outlines Hamari maujooda tawajjo USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka tajziya karne par hai. Japanese yen US dollar ke muqablay mein apni majbooti ka silsila barqarar rakhta hai, aur USD/JPY weekly chart par ek clear downtrend ban raha hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, sales signals dominant hain aur main in se faida uthana chahta hoon. MACD histogram positive zone se bahar nikal gaya hai, jabke RSI lines strongly bearish trend mein hain. Yeh significant downside potential ki taraf ishara karta hai, aur price 140.24 level ko test karegi. Sab indicators yeh darshate hain ke price ka naya low 141.694 tak pahunchne ka high likelihood hai. Yen ki majbooti US dollar ki kamzori ke wajah se ho sakti hai, jo current market conditions ke madde nazar increasingly plausible lagti hai. Halankeh bullish movement bhi mumkin hai, mera focus abhi bhi descending trend line ke resistance level se neeche girawat par hai jo 161.620 high se hai.

Aaj, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ko analyze karenge. Pair ka chart upward price trend ko darshata hai, jo indicate karta hai ke bulls abhi bears par haavi hain. Zigzag line bhi upward point kar rahi hai, isliye long positions sabse sensible strategy hain. Auxiliary oscillators, MACD aur TNT, isay confirm karte hain kyunki yeh buyers ke liye favorable position mein hain. Main is position ko 61.8% Fibonacci level tak 152,299 tak hold karne ka plan kar raha hoon. USD/JPY pair ke liye, main continued sales par ghoor kar raha hoon. Lekin, current levels se seedha girawat nafrat lagti hai. Agar pair upward correct karti hai, to main selling opportunity ki talash karunga. Mere pehle sales target 143.84 hai, aur secondary target 143.49 hai. Filhal, main buying par ghoor nahi kar raha. Pair ke paas abhi bhi girawat ka space hai, jo 140.19 tak target kar sakti hai, lekin yeh level kuch waqt ke liye ho sakta hai. Main ek favorable entry point ka intezar kar raha hoon, khaaskar 146.49 ki taraf move par, jahan main sales ladder set up karunga

USD/JPY pair mein aaj mazboot izafa dekha gaya hai, jo zyada tar is liye hai kyun ke Japanese yen US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor ho raha hai. Hali mein, Federal Reserve (Fed) ne char saal mein pehli dafa bohat zyada interest rates kam kiye hain. Na sirf rates kaat diye gaye, balki yeh kami umeed se zyada thi. Aam tor par, jab Fed interest rates kam karta hai, toh US dollar kamzor hota hai, lekin is dafa kuch aur factors dollar ko mazboot bana rahe hain. Kam interest rate ka matlab hota hai ke qarz lena sasta hota hai aur economic activity ko tehqiqat milti hai. Magar is dafa, dollar phir bhi mazboot nazar aa raha hai, kyun ke doosri currencies, jaise yen, ke muqablay mein wo zyada stable hai.
Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka approach mukhtalif hai. BoJ apni policy ko jari rakhne ka irada rakhta hai, matlab ke woh jaldi interest rates mein koi tabdeeli nahi karenge. BoJ ne kaafi arse se low-interest-rate policy apna rakhi hai taake economic growth ko barhaya ja sake. Is policy ne yen ko kamzor rakha hai, khaaskar mazboot currencies jaise US dollar ke muqablay mein. Yeh contrast in policies, jahan US rates kam kar raha hai aur Japan unhein kaafi neeche rakh raha hai, yen ko mazid kamzor kar raha hai. Is yen ki kamzori ke sabab USD/JPY pair mein izafa hua hai, jo investors ko ek moka de raha hai ke wo upward movement se faida utha sakein. Ab bohot se traders yeh dekh rahe hain ke BoJ ka faisla market pe kaise asar andaz hoga, lekin ab tak yen kamzor hi nazar aa raha hai.

Technical Analysis:

USD/JPY pair filhal 143.55 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, aur yeh ek notable rise dikhati hai. Pair ko 143.68 ka ek key resistance level face karna par raha hai. Yeh resistance ek barrier ki tarah hai jo price ko mazeed barhne se rok raha hai. Hali trend ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke bulls (wo traders jo price ke barhne ki umeed rakhte hain) is level ke ooper push karne mein kaamyab ho sakte hain. Agar yeh hota hai, toh mazeed izafay ka rasta khul sakta hai.

Do ahem moving average indicators bhi yeh ishara de rahe hain ke market bullish phase mein hai. Moving averages wo tools hain jo traders ko price ka rujhan samajhne mein madad karte hain. Jab price in moving averages ke ooper rehti hai, toh aam tor par iska matlab hota hai ke market bullish hai, ya barh raha hai. Is waqt, dono short-term aur long-term moving averages yeh dikhate hain ke upward trend jaari reh sakta hai. Yeh traders ke liye ek positive sign hai jo USD/JPY pair mein mazeed izafa dekhna chahte hain.

Stochastic oscillator, jo ek aur ahem technical tool hai, bhi bullish signals de raha hai. Stochastic momentum ko napta hai, aur yeh dikhata hai ke market overbought (bohat zyada barh chuka hai) ya oversold (bohat zyada gir chuka hai) hai ya nahi. Is waqt, stochastic support kar raha hai ke market ke paas abhi bhi barhne ki gunjaish hai. In indicators ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ke paas 143.68 ke resistance ko tor kar upward rally ko jaari rakhne ka achha chance hai. Magar, traders ko har achanak market tabdeeli par nazar rakhni chahiye, khaaskar central banks ke aane wale faislay jo price ko asar andaz kar sakte hain.