USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea

United States se aane wale weak data ke baad dollar gir gaya, magar yen ke muqable mein dollar phir bhi barh raha, aur New York mein 161.64 par close hua, jo ke din ka 0.1% izafa tha . Yen 161.96 tak gir gaya, jo December 1986 ke baad se sabse kam hai. United States ke data ne dikhaya ke initial unemployment claims ka number 238,000 tak barh gaya week ending June 29 tak, seasonally adjusted. Continuing unemployment claims ka number 1.858 million tak barh gaya week ending June 22 tak, seasonally adjusted, jo ke November 2021 ke end ke baad se sabse zyada hai. ADP employment report ne Wednesday ko dikhaya ke private employment mein 150,000 jobs ka izafa hua June mein (expected 160,000 tha).
Institute for Supply Management (ISM) se release hone wale US service sector report bhi weak thi, jisme data dikhata hai ke US service sector purchasing managers' index (PMI) 48.8 tak gir gaya May ke 53.8 se, jo ke chaar saalon ka sabse kam Hi. Yeh is saal doosri dafa hai ke index 50 se neechay gaya hai, jo service sector mein contraction dikhata hai. US factory orders bhi unexpectedly 0.5% gir gaye May mein, jab ke growth expected thi. Aik series of US data ke baad, US interest rate futures market ne September mein rate cut ki probability 74% tak barha di 69% se jo Tuesday late ko thi, London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) ke calculations ke mutabiq. Market bhi yeh samajhti hai ke 2024 mein do rate cuts honge. Weak data ke series ne early trading mein dollar ko thoda frustrate kiya, magar Japanese importers se bargain-hunting orders ke active influx ne yen ki depreciation ko rokna mushkil banaya. Is waqt, investors zyada concern hain ke Bank of Japan interest rates ko barha sakti hai ya nahi. Agar is hawale se koi aur radical action nahi hota, tou intervention ke bawajood, carry trades ka wave rokna mushkil hai. Magar, short term mein, overbought USD/JPY aur bhi bigad raha hai, aur hume profit-taking adjustments ke risk se bachna hoga

USD/JPY ke Bunyadi Asbaat:

Japan ke Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi ne wage increases ke mutaliq ahem tabsaray kiye. Tuesday ko, Hayashi ne elan kiya ke autumn tak part-timers aur choti businesses ke liye bhi wage hikes ki tawaqo ki ja rahi hai. Ye tawaqo mazid mazboot Shunto results aur minimum wage adjustments ke natijay mein hai. Magar, Hayashi ne apne bayan mein foreign exchange levels ko address nahi kiya. Iske ilawa, Japan ka Labor Cash Earnings data ne June ke liye average income mein aik bara 4.5% year-on-year izafa dikhaya. Ye pehle ke 2.0% aur forecasted 2.3% readings se zyada hai, jo January 1997 se sabse bara izafa hai. Ye trend Japan ke rising interest rate environment ki taraf ek shift ko zahir karta hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne bhi market sentiment ko shape karne mein aik ahem kirdar ada kiya. BoJ ke Monetary Policy Meeting ke July 30 aur 31 ko Summary of Opinions, jo Thursday ko jari hui, ne policy normalization ki taraf ishara diya. Halankeh specific timing aur pace ka zikar nahi kiya gaya, BoJ ke members ne medium-term mein at least 1% ka neutral rate hasil karne ka goal diya. Unho ne ye bhi andaza lagaya ke aik chhoti rate hike financial conditions ko zyada tighten nahi karegi.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Spot price ooper ke resistance level, jo ke 145.50 ke qareeb hai, ko challenge karne ke liye position mein hai. Agar ye is barrier ko cross karne mein nakaam rehta hai, to ye jora downward pressure mehsoos kar sakta hai, jo ke 140.25 par support levels ko target kar sakta hai, aur aakhir mein descending channel ke lower boundary jo 137.00 ke qareeb hai, tak bhi ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY iss waqt taqreeban 142.40 par trade kar raha hai. Daily chart analysis se ye zahir hota hai ke jora abhi bhi descending channel ke ooper position mein hai, jo pehle ke bearish trend ke kamzor hone ki imkaanat ko zahir karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) iss waqt 30 par hai, jo oversold conditions ki taraf ishara karta hai. Ye baat jora ke reversal ka signal bhi ho sakti hai, khaaskar agar aur technical indicators bhi isko support karen.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY

Japanese yen pichle trading hafte mein mazid mazboot hui aur apne pehle ke high ko kuch had tak update kar diya. 147.45 ka barrier touch karne ke baad, price tezi se girna shuru ho gayi aur 141.88 tak pohnch gayi, jahan usne support pa liya. Magar, yeh target area tak nahi pohnch sakti. Is tarah, jo reduction ka expected scenario tha woh kuch had tak pura hua. Is waqt, price chart super trend red zone mein hai, jo sellers ka pressure dikhata hai.

Technical perspective se dekhte hue, 240-minute chart par aaj humne dekha ke pehle ka support level 145.30 clear break ho gaya hai aur simple moving averages ka negative break bhi nazar aa raha hai, jo decline ke phir se shuru hone ka indication hai aur decline ke possibility ko support karta hai. Is liye, downtrend zyada mushkil se dekhne ko milega agar trading purane broken support level (ab resistance level ban gaya hai 145.20) ke neeche barqarar rahe, initial target 142.75 ke saath. Dusri taraf, agar hourly close kam se kam 145.30 ke upar hota hai, to pair ko phir se bullish path par le aayega, jahan 146.50 aur 147.50 ke targets ho sakte hain. Chart neeche dekhein:

Current Analysis of USD/JPY

Filhaal prices gir rahi hain aur weekly lows ke qareeb pohnch rahi hain. Main resistance zone ko test kiya gaya hai aur usne pressure ko bardasht kiya hai, apni integrity ko barqarar rakha hai aur girawat ko force kiya hai, jo downside vector ki ahmiyat ko dikhata hai. Aage chalne ke liye, 144.97 ke level ke neeche consolidation zaroori hai, jo ab main resistance zone ki boundary ko cross kar raha hai. Agar is level ka retest hota hai aur uske baad reversal down hota hai, to yeh naye wave ke liye raasta saaf karega jo 138.98 aur 136.34 ke beech ke area ko target karega.

Agar resistance break hota hai aur price reversal level 147.45 ko break kar deti hai, to yeh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga.

Aaj hum USD/JPY pair ki current pricing behavior ki analysis kar rahe hain. Pair ne recently 144.53 support level ko breach kiya, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke downtrend abhi bhi intact hai. Is breakout ke baad price mein 99 points ki girawat hui, jiss ke baad buyers ne market mein dubara entry li aur price ko wapas 144.53 resistance level tak push kiya. Iss level se short positions open karna ek achi strategy ho sakti hai, jiss ka target 140-141 ki range ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 resistance se upar bounce kar jata hai, toh recovery 146.38 ke agle resistance tak extend ho sakti hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel flag pattern ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo downtrend ki continuation ko signal kar raha hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair abhi bhi descending channel ke andar trade kar raha hai aur lower boundary se bounce ho chuka hai. Agar price 144.49 ko breach karta hai, toh 145.69 tak ke target ke liye buy position viable ho sakti hai.

Dusri taraf, agar pair 148.50 resistance ko tod deta hai, toh bearish trend ka reversal confirm ho sakta hai, jiss ke baad potential upside targets 150.00 ke qareeb ho sakte hain. 150.00 psychological level ek significant resistance hai, aur uske upar ka breakout ek strong bullish rally ko trigger kar sakta hai. Technical indicators jaise ke RSI aur Moving Averages pair ke price movement ki aur bhi clear tasveer dikha sakte hain. Filhal RSI AUD/JPY pair ke liye oversold zone ke qareeb hai, jo short-term bounce ki possibility ko signal kar raha hai. Lekin overall market sentiment abhi bhi bearish hai, kyun ke price 50-day moving average se neeche trade kar raha hai, jo selling pressure ke continuation ko indicate karta hai.

Potential Triggers for Movement:
Aane wale dinon mein AUD/JPY pair mein kisi bhi major movement ke liye kuch key triggers ho sakte hain. Sab se pehle, Australia aur Japan ki taraf se aane wali economic reports, jaise inflation data, GDP growth, aur employment numbers, market sentiment ko drastically change kar sakte hain. Central bank announcements, khaas tor par RBA aur BOJ ki taraf se, bhi kafi important hongi. Agar BOJ apni monetary policy mein koi unexpected shift ka ishara deta hai, toh pair mein volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Saath hi saath, global developments, jaisay US-China trade relations aur geopolitical tensions, bhi market risk sentiment par asar dal kar pair ki direction ko affect kar sakte hain.

United States se aane wale weak data ke baad dollar gir gaya, magar yen ke muqable mein dollar phir bhi barh raha, aur New York mein 161.64 par close hua, jo ke din ka 0.1% izafa tha . Yen 161.96 tak gir gaya, jo December 1986 ke baad se sabse kam hai. United States ke data ne dikhaya ke initial unemployment claims ka number 238,000 tak barh gaya week ending June 29 tak, seasonally adjusted. Continuing unemployment claims ka number 1.858 million tak barh gaya week ending June 22 tak, seasonally adjusted, jo ke November 2021 ke end ke baad se sabse zyada hai. ADP employment report ne Wednesday ko dikhaya ke private employment mein 150,000 jobs ka izafa hua June mein (expected 160,000 tha). Institute for Supply Management (ISM) se release hone wale US service sector report bhi weak thi, jisme data dikhata hai ke US service sector purchasing managers' index (PMI) 48.8 tak gir gaya May ke 53.8 se, jo ke chaar saalon ka sabse kam Hi. Yeh is saal doosri dafa hai ke index 50 se neechay gaya hai, jo service sector mein contraction dikhata hai. US factory orders bhi unexpectedly 0.5% gir gaye May mein, jab ke growth expected thi. Aik series of US data ke baad, US interest rate futures market ne September mein rate cut ki probability 74% tak barha di 69% se jo Tuesday late ko thi, London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) ke calculations ke mutabiq. Market bhi yeh samajhti hai ke 2024 mein do rate cuts honge. Weak data ke series ne early trading mein dollar ko thoda frustrate kiya, magar Japanese importers se bargain-hunting orders ke active influx ne yen ki depreciation ko rokna mushkil banaya. Is waqt, investors zyada concern hain ke Bank of Japan interest rates ko barha sakti hai ya nahi. Agar is hawale se koi aur radical action nahi hota, tou intervention ke bawajood, carry trades ka wave rokna mushkil hai. Magar, short term mein, overbought USD/JPY aur bhi bigad raha hai, aur hume profit-taking adjustments ke risk se bachna hoga

Aaj hum usdjpy pair ky bary main bat karen gay kal USD/JPY ne 142.00 zone ko touch kiya, jo traders ke liye aik significant level hai. Lekin, buyers ki strength kum hoti nazar aa rahi hai, khas tor par jab se US Core PPI data weak aaya hai, jo inflationary pressure ko kum dikhata hai US economy mein. Iss data ki waja se US dollar par negative impact para hai aur USD/JPY pair ki buying momentum bhi weak ho gayi hai. Ab market ki focus upcoming US inflation expectations aur consumer confidence reports par hogi jo aglay direction ka faisla karegi.

Mujhe is waqt buy setup pasand hai with a short-term target of 142.47. Halanki buyers struggle kar rahe hain, lekin positive economic news buyers ko regain karne ka mauqa de sakti hai aur price ko upar le ja sakti hai. Agar US inflation expectations ya consumer confidence data positive aata hai, toh USD/JPY buyers apni losses cover kar sakte hain aur price ko 142.47 tak push karne ki koshish karein ge—yeh aik key near-term resistance hai jahan price action temporarily stall ho sakti hai phir aglay move se pehle.

Aik potential mauqa hai USD/JPY buyers ke liye ke wo favorable conditions ki surat mein apne recent losses ko recover karein. Traders ko chahiye ke wo inflation aur confidence data ko closely monitor karein taake yeh assess kar saken ke bullish sentiment sustain ho sakta hai ya nahi.

Abhi USD/JPY daily opening level 142.65 se neeche, lekin daily Pivot 141.86 se upar trade ho raha hai, key indicators bearish signals dikha rahe hain aur price MA72 trend line ke neeche hai—jo aksar volume distribution ka zone hota hai.

Agar price 142.50 se upar move kar gayi, toh pair resistance levels 142.65 aur shayad 143.03 tak rise kar sakti hai. Agar price 142.05 se neeche jati hai, toh yeh decline ko 141.86 aur possibly 141.40 tak le ja sakti hai. USD/JPY monthly Pivot level 146.24 (previous 153.85) se neeche, weekly Pivot level 143.75 (previous 145.29) se neeche aur daily Pivot 141.86 se upar trade ho raha hai, jo pair mein corrective sentiment ko indicate kar raha hai. Level 141.86 se upar correction ho raha hai, aur 141.86 se neeche pair bearish ho jata hai. Aaj market mein divergence develop ho rahi hai.

Dekhna hai ke aglay kuch hours mein market kaisa behave karti hai. Stay vigilant, stay blessed, aur stay safe!

Humari tehqiqat ka mauzoo USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki haliya soorat-e-haal ka tajziya hai. USD/JPY pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ki girawat hui, jis ke baad pair ne upward correction ki koshish ki, aur kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamyab hue. Iss muqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 range tak ho sakta hai. Dosri surat mein, agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance 146.38 tak ponchne ka aim ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai USD/JPY pair ne abhi hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai. Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ehtiyat ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta. Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai, aur bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le jaa sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai. Lekin Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta, kyun ke Bank of Japan 139 ke aas-paas mudakhlat kar sakta hai aur apni currency ko kamzor karne ke liye bazaar mein yen ki badi miktar inject kar sakta hai

SDJPY (USD/JPY) currency pair ki price quotes ne haal ke developments ko khaaskar tor par reflect kiya hai. Yeh pair ek aham resistance level 161.87 par pohnchne ke baad khaas zyada girawat ka shikaar hui, aur aakhir mein weekend par 146.39 tak pohnch gayi, jo ke lagbhag 10 percent ka teer hai. Theoretical analysis ke mutabiq, yeh girawat 151.71 ke support level par ruk sakti hai, jo ke kuch trading activity ka sabab ban sakta hai; lekin yeh sab tezi se girawat ke dauran ummeed ki jati hai. Iske aage yeh girawat 144.99 ke round figure tak bhi pohnch sakti hai, jo ke further movement ke liye kuch margin de sakta hai. Is threshold ke paar, currency pair ki direction abhi bhi uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart movements par base hai.
#### Weekly Trend Observation

Weekly chart par, maine dekha hai ke pichle chaar hafton se consistent downward trend chal raha hai. Mera objective yeh hai ke aane wale haftay ke liye pair ki movement ka forecast kiya jaye taake yeh dekha ja sake ke selling trend continue rahega ya koi alternative scenario zyada likely hai. Iske liye, hum technical analysis ko dekhain ge aur relevant recommendations ko bhi madde nazar rakhen ge.

#### Technical Analysis

SDJPY currency pair ki technical analysis ke mutabiq aane wale haftay mein continued downward movement ke signals mil rahe hain. Moving averages sell recommendation de rahe hain aur technical indicators active sell signal de rahe hain. Overall, yeh technical analysis bearish sentiment ko support karta hai.

#### Impact of Significant News

Humain significant news ko bhi consider karna chahiye jo currency pair ko affect kar sakti hai. Notably, US se optimistic news expected hai. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data ki release Thursday ko hone ki umeed hai.

#### Trading Plan

Mera plan hai ke USD/JPY pair ko tab bechu jab price 146.76 ko test kare, jaise ke chart par red line dikhayi gayi hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko trigger kar sakti hai. Sellers ke liye key target 145.81 hoga, jahan main apni short positions ko exit karunga aur immediately long positions open karunga, anticipate karte hue ke yeh level se 20-25 pips upar movement hogi. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas taur par agar pehle din ke half mein correction fail hoti hai aur daily high tak nahi pohnchti.

#### Important Trading Conditions

Sell order execute karne se pehle, yeh ensure karna zaroori hai ke MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur declining trend show kar raha ho.

#### Current Trend Analysis

USD/JPY pair bearish trend mein hai. 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, jo ke ongoing downtrend ko aur confirm karta hai. Pair short-term mein 141.69 ke aas paas support dhoondh sakta hai, jo ke ek saath mahine ke low ko correspond karta hai, aur agla support level shayad 140.25 ho sakta hai.

#### Resistance Levels

Upar ki taraf, pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke aas paas 145.63 aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 ke aas paas face karna pad sakta hai. Agar yeh levels breach hote hain, to psychological barrier 150.00 tak pohnchne ka bhi possibility hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 ho sakta hai.

#### Recent Movements

147.00 ke upar briefly surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apne momentum ko maintain nahi kar paya jab 20-day EMA support trend line se retreat ho gaya. Technical indicators, including RSI aur Stochastic, ek potential reversal ke signals de rahe hain, jabke 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke beech death cross long-term bearish trend ko indicate karta hai

USD/JPY ka takniki tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum!
Mai farz karta hun keh dollar/yen ka joda aaj 141.000/140.600 ke pichle mahana support ilaqe tak gir jayega, aur fir yah mazbut hona shuru ho sakta hai. Yaumiyah chart par, ek triple bullish divergence bhi aane wali qimat ke reversal ki taraf ishara karta hai. Halankeh, is numaya kami ko dekhte hue, haftawar chart par gaur karna aham hai, jahan hajam me itni kami aayi hai keh yah qalil muddati ooper ki movement ka ishara karta hai.
Buniyadi taur par, yah ek mahana, aalmi kami ka rujhan hai. Lehaza, fauri paltaw ka intezar karne ka koi faida nahin hai. Halankeh, ek chiz wazeh hai: agar qimat 140.000 se niche girti hai to, salana tezi ka daud khatam ho jayega. Aisa lagta hai keh dollar/yen ka joda in satahon ki taraf badh raha hai. Agar aisa hota hai to, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh kharidar piche hat jayenge. Is tarah, ham aaj ya kal 140.000 ke ird-gird kuch mamuli ladaiyan dekh sakte hain, jisme qimaton me nisbatan wasie range me utar-chadhaw hoga. Yah scenario tab tak durust ho sakta hai jab tak keh qimat aaj 141.670 se ooper nahin jati.
Meri khawahish hai keh aap munafabaksh trading karein!

Humari tehqiqat ka mauzoo USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki haliya soorat-e-haal ka tajziya hai. USD/JPY pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ki girawat hui, jis ke baad pair ne upward correction ki koshish ki, aur kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamyab hue. Iss muqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 range tak ho sakta hai. Dosri surat mein, agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance 146.38 tak ponchne ka aim ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai USD/JPY pair ne abhi hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai. Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ehtiyat ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta. Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai, aur bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le jaa sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai. Lekin Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta, kyun ke Bank of Japan 139 ke aas-paas mudakhlat kar sakta hai aur apni currency ko kamzor karne ke liye bazaar mein yen ki badi miktar inject kar sakta hai

se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai. Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai, USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish tren

USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide USD/JPY ke trading options mein, buy option ab bhi USD/JPY movement ko dominate karega. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation rapidly adverse ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, humne hourly chart par decline dekha, jiske baad ek rise hui jo 147.103 resistance ko break kar gayi. Ye breakout ek buy signal generate kiya jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Lekin ye signal misleading tha, kyunki Friday ko price is level ke neeche gir gayi. Ye false breakout tab hua jab price is resistance se upar se neeche aayi. Monday ko ek naya buy signal nikla, jo

Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi . Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, okay fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin sikke se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye

USD/JPY ka tajziya karte hue, hum dekh rahe hain ke USD/JPY ka currency pair support line se neeche chala gaya hai, jise Marlin oscillator bhi support kar raha hai jo negative territory mein hai. Trend line jo ke 146.59 level ke qareeb hai, further decline ka indication de rahi hai. Iske ilawa, pair ne Ichimoku cloud ko upar se break kiya hai aur uske neeche consolidate kar raha hai, jo bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. Agar price 146.07 ke upar sustain nahi kar sakti, to sell entry point 146.07 ke neeche ban sakta hai, aur bears ko pair ko neeche le jane ka mauka milega, agla target support level 144.02 hoga. Aaj ka candle daily chart par bearish hai lekin ismein kaafi lower wick hai, jo downward pressure ko indicate karta hai.
USD/JPY ka decline continue hone ke imkaanat hain, jo Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki different monetary policies ke asar se hai. U.S. Central Bank ke interest rates kam honay ke imkaan hain, jabke Japanese Central Bank unhein barhane wala hai. Ye narrowing yield spread U.S. aur Japanese bonds ke darmiyan yen ko dollar ke muqablay mein mazid strong kar raha hai. Aaj ka 299 points ka decline ek khali economic calendar ke bawajood hua hai, aur main kisi bhi buying ko intraday correction ka hissa samajhta hoon. H4 time frame par, pair apne descending channel se bahar aa gaya hai, jo ke 140 level par wapas jane ke high probability ka indication hai. Local reversal tabhi ho sakta hai jab price channel mein wapas aaye aur 147.59 level ko breach kare, jo ke round figure 149 ko target karega. Aaj bearish pressure ke tehat, USD/JPY pair 145.17 tak gir gaya hai aur support level 146.07 ko break kar gaya hai. Ab price is level ke upar consolidate karne ki koshish kar rahi hai.