USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

complex pattern present karta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, trend line breach ke baad breakdown zone mein technical rejection expected tha. Yeh event anticipated manner mein hua, standard logic ke saath. Iske baad, bearish momentum ne local minimum ke strength ko challenge karna tha, phir 139 figure ke breakdown ko target karna tha. Lekin, yeh scenario expected manner mein nahi hua. Instead, buyer ne bearish momentum ko counter kiya aur bullish correction phase kiya initiate kiya. Yeh movement catastrophic nahi hai, lekin sellers seek additional capital kar sakte hain. Abhi, main bearish trend ko continue hone ka expect karta hoon. Technically, USD/JPY pair bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Pair ko support near seven-month low 141.69 mil sakti hai, further support near 140.25. Upside par, pair ko resistance 9-day EMA near 145.63 aur phir 21-day EMA at 146.73 par mil sakti hai. In levels ke upar break 150.00 psychological barrier ko open kar sakta hai, further resistance 154.50 par. Tuesday ko brief surge ke baad, USD/JPY pair ne momentum sustain nahi kiya, 20-day EMA support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, RSI aur Stochastic, potential reversal suggest karte hain, death cross 50- aur 200-day moving averages ne longer-term bearish indicate kiya hai. Yesterday's uptick ke baad, USDJPY ne course reverse kiya, lekin significant weakness nahi dikhai. Correction ne price ko 145.13 par laaya, lekin yeh level critical hai agar bears pair ko neeche le jaye. Today's downward movement ne support level 145.93 ko breach kiya, ab price

USD/JPY Analysis
Aaj dopahar tak maine dekha ki 4-hour time frame mein market trading bullish trend ki taraf move ho raha hai
European aur American market sessions ke shuru hone par market movements mein intensity badhne ki possibility hai
USDJPY currency pair par dhyan dena zaroori hai, jo bullish continuation ke liye taiyar hai

Kal raat ki buying volume 144.85 ke resistance area tak pahunch sakti hai
Is halat mein, main abhi tak increase ka attempt dekhta hoon kyunki market upward phase mein move ho raha hai
Agla trading plan mein 145.16 ke area mein Buy entry level par consider karoonga
Market movement pattern ko dekhte hue, especially jab market ne last few hours mein up move kiya
Abhi tak bullish options ko consider kiya ja sakta hai kyunki September ke shuru mein trading phase mein entry ke baa
ong-term trend ko follow karke trading ke liye preparation ki jaayegi, jo is week ke end tak li jayegi
Buyer dominance market trend ko buyer support ke sath target area tak pahunchane ka next opportunity provide karta hai





USDJPY movement ka prediction, price phir se bullish trend mein move ho sakta hai
Agla movement aur price ke pas upward rally ke potential hai
Ideal trading position ke liye, market volatility ke increase ka intezar karna chahiye, especially European session ke shuru hone par
Agla kuch ghanton mein increase hone par maximum profit ke liye traders buy trading kar sakte hain
Roman Urdu mein:


USD/JPY pair ne notable price action dikhai hai, last week ke trading mein critical movements aur potential trading opportunities ko reveal kiya. Monday ko pair ne decline ke saath open kiya, previous Friday ko appear hue sell signal ke response mein.


Yeh initial downward movement price ko support level 143.477 par le gaya, jahan market ne significant volatility encounter ki. Interestingly, price action 143.477 support level par false breakout feature kiya.


False breakouts tab hoti hai jab price temporarily key level ke past move karta hai, phir quickly reverse hota hai, breakout ko invalidating karta hai. Is case mein, false breakout support level ne buy signal trigger kiya, price ko upwards 147.102 ke next significant resistance ki taraf push kiya

USD/JPY pair ko mazbooti di hai. Yeh kamzori is speculation ko barhawa de rahi hai ke Bank of Japan mumkin hai ke umeed se pehle interest rates barha de, jo yen ko mazeed kamzor kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar abhi flat hai economic data ki kami ki wajah se. Magar, rising US fiscal yields kuch support provide kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve inflation aur 2024 mein lower tax rates ke imkanat ke hawale se ehtiyat barat raha hai, jo long run mein dollar par downward pressure daal sakte hain.
kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.
Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend ka ishara karta hai

Wednesday ko spot price ne USD Index ke khilaf kaafi behtar performance dikhayi, aur yeh bearish zone ke qareeb, 140.80 se neeche pohanch gaya. Is upward movement ne traders ka interest barhaya hai, jo ab Japan ki monetary policy ko ghor se dekh rahe hain. Jabkay central bank ke officials ne interest rate hikes ke barey mein ishara diya hai, unka approach ab market ke fluctuations aur uncertainties ke bawajood thoda cautious ho gaya hai. Yen ki Taqat Mein Izafa US Economic Concerns aur Bank of Japan ki Policy Shift Ke Doran:
Yen ab ek safe-haven asset ke taur par aur ziada maqbool ho raha hai, jo ke global economic slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Khaaskar, jab US ka labor market kamzori dikhata hai, to slowdown ka khatsha barh jata hai. US Unemployment Rate ab 4.3% tak barh gaya hai, jo ke November 2021 ke baad ka sab se bara level hai. Is barhti hui berozgaari ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se aham rate cuts ki umeedon ko mazid barhawa diya hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, traders umeed karte hain ke September mein 50-basis points ka interest rate cut aa sakta hai.
Yen ka outlook aur mazid behtar hua hai, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki recent policy actions ki wajah se. Guzishta haftay BoJ ne market ko surprise karte hue 15 basis points ka bara rate hike kiya, aur key interest rates ko 0.15% - 0.25% ki range tak barhaya. Central bank ne ye bhi announce kiya ke woh Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ki monthly purchases ko 2026 ke pehle quarter se ¥3 trillion tak reduce karega. In actions ne Yen ki performance par positive asar dala hai.
USD/JPY Ka Technical Analysis:
Yeh pair 142.00 ke resistance level ko break karne mein kamyab nahi ho saka, aur ab 141.00 ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke teen din tak gain karne ke baad ka pehla decline hai. Ab tak ka akhri update ke mutabiq, major currency pair 141.51 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 1.48% ka decline show karta hai. Weekly high 143.80 ko surpass na karne ki wajah se pair ka downfall mazid barh gaya hai, aur downtrend reinforce ho chuki hai.
USD/JPY pair 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 143.33 ke level par aa raha hai, jo ke ek immediate barrier ban sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to bearish momentum kam ho sakta hai aur pair 144.50 ke "throwback support turned resistance" ko test kar sakta hai. Halankay, bearish trend abhi bhi hai, lekin Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold conditions ke qareeb hai, jo ke reversal

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ki live dynamics ka tajziya karte hain. Kai logon ka andaza hai ke ek significant bullish correction ho sakti hai, jo ke us waqt mumkin hai jab market historical support zone 140.36 ke qareeb ho jaye. Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke hum strong bearish trend ko bhi dekhain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke Japanese yen ke fundamentals Bank of Japan ke recent interest rate hike ki wajah se abhi tak kaarfarma hain. Maujooda halaat ke madde nazar, main expect karta hoon ke maximum bullish correction moving average resistance zone 143.21 ke qareeb ho sakti hai. Main is level se sell karne ke mauqe talash karunga, kyunki mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai. Higher time frames par volatility mein kisi bhi slowdown ya sideways movement ka na hona yeh dikhata hai ke local ya global trend mein koi foran reversal nazar nahi aa raha. Maujooda market dynamics Japan ke central bank ke fundamentals ko reflect karti hain, aur yen ke taqatwar hone ka silsila abhi jaari rahega. Chalo, USD/JPY ka daily chart dekhte hain: wave structure abhi bhi downward hai, aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke neeche lower sales zone mein hai.

Jumay ke din, USD/JPY mein selling ka rujhan tha, aur bulls 141.89 level ko paar karne mein kamyab nahi ho sake. Hourly technical analysis yeh signal deta hai ke sellers ka pressure jaari hai. Mera khayal hai ke price ki girawat abhi bhi barqarar rahegi, aur bears ka target 136.99 hai. Quotes 155.23 ke high se neeche ja rahe hain, aur chart par yeh dikh raha hai ke chhoti rebounds ke bawajood downtrend abhi tak jaari hai. Kaafi arsay se traders 140.27 aur 143.81 ke darmiyan phansay hue hain. Jumay ke session ke end par, USD/JPY is range ke lower boundary ke qareeb fluctuate kar raha tha. Agar Monday ke din koi significant tabdeeli nahi hoti, to pair ke 139.00 ke neeche break karne ka imkaan hai, aur naye lows 139 range mein dekhe ja sakte hain. USD/JPY ko sell karne ke liye, ek clear break ka intizaar karna chahiye, jo ke recent low ke neeche ho, break ko ek updated low se confirm karein, aur phir ek northern correction ka intezar karain. Jab correction khatam ho, to selling opportunities ideal hongi. Buyers ke liye, 143.82 resistance level ke ooper positions lena favorable hai.

USD/JPY currency pair abhi recently niche ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ke economic expectations aur current events ka nasha hai. U.S. Federal Reserve se ummeed hai ke wo apne agle meeting mein interest rates kam karega. Aise rate cut aam tor par economic activity ko barhane ke liye hota hai, jo shayad U.S. dollar ko investors ke liye kam appealing bana de. Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan (BOJ) se Friday ko interest rates mein koi tabdeeli ki umeed nahi hai. BOJ ki yeh stability Japanese yen ko U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein relatively strong ya steady rakh sakti hai. Isliye, U.S. rate cuts aur stable Japanese rates ka mix USD/JPY pair ki ongoing decline ko contribute kar sakta hai. Halanki overall bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ke liye kuch dilchasp possibilities hain. Chahe U.S. dollar dusri currencies ke muqablay mein kamzor ho, yeh yen ke muqablay mein thoda rise bhi dekh sakta hai. Yeh unexpected scenario tab ho sakta hai jab market sentiment ya kuch unforeseen economic news influence kare. Crucial U.S. economic reports jaise Core Retail Sales aur Retail Sales data ko dekhna zaroori hai taake yeh samajh sakein ke yeh elements USD/JPY pair ko kaise affect kar rahe hain. Technical nazariya se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair niche ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo ke pehle ke lows ko tod raha hai aur price pattern ko badal raha hai. Yeh ongoing decline yeh darshata hai ke market mein sellers ka control hai. Technical indicators aur moving averages yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh bearish trend barqarar reh sakta hai, kyunki yeh aam tor par pair ko sell karne ka indication dete hain. Weekly Fibonacci retracement levels ke mutabiq 38.1% mark ke aas-paas support dikhayi deti hai. Iska matlab hai ke agar price aur niche girti hai, to yeh level support provide kar sakta hai, jahan buying interest bhi dekhne ko mil sakti hai aur trend reverse ho sakta hai.
Sellers ko price ko significantly niche le jaane mein mushkil ka samna hai. Agar 38.1% level ka support barkarar rehta hai, to 14.5% Fibonacci retracement level ki taraf rebound ka mauka ho sakta hai. Traders ko price movements ko 140.84 support level ke aas-paas dekhna chahiye buying aur selling opportunities ke liye, aur 141.55 resistance level ke aas-paas possible buying signals ke liye dekhna chahiye. Aakhir mein, technical outlook yeh darshata hai ke USD/JPY pair shayad nazdeeki dino mein apna bearish trend barqarar rakhe, lekin key support levels aur aane wale

USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ki live dynamics ka tajziya karte hain. Kai logon ka andaza hai ke ek significant bullish correction ho sakti hai, jo ke us waqt mumkin hai jab market historical support zone 140.36 ke qareeb ho jaye. Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke hum strong bearish trend ko bhi dekhain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke Japanese yen ke fundamentals Bank of Japan ke recent interest rate hike ki wajah se abhi tak kaarfarma hain. Maujooda halaat ke madde nazar, main expect karta hoon ke maximum bullish correction moving average resistance zone 143.21 ke qareeb ho sakti hai. Main is level se sell karne ke mauqe talash karunga, kyunki mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai. Higher time frames par volatility mein kisi bhi slowdown ya sideways movement ka na hona yeh dikhata hai ke local ya global trend mein koi foran reversal nazar nahi aa raha. Maujooda market dynamics Japan ke central bank ke fundamentals ko reflect karti hain, aur yen ke taqatwar hone ka silsila abhi jaari rahega. Chalo, USD/JPY ka daily chart dekhte hain: wave structure abhi bhi downward hai, aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke neeche lower sales zone mein hai.
Jumay ke din, USD/JPY mein selling ka rujhan tha, aur bulls 141.89 level ko paar karne mein kamyab nahi ho sake. Hourly technical analysis yeh signal deta hai ke sellers ka pressure jaari hai. Mera khayal hai ke price ki girawat abhi bhi barqarar rahegi, aur bears ka target 136.99 hai. Quotes 155.23 ke high se neeche ja rahe hain, aur chart par yeh dikh raha hai ke chhoti rebounds ke bawajood downtrend abhi tak jaari hai. Kaafi arsay se traders 140.27 aur 143.81 ke darmiyan phansay hue hain. Jumay ke session ke end par, USD/JPY is range ke lower boundary ke qareeb fluctuate kar raha tha. Agar Monday ke din koi significant tabdeeli nahi hoti, to pair ke 139.00 ke neeche break karne ka imkaan hai, aur naye lows 139 range mein dekhe ja sakte hain. USD/JPY ko sell karne ke liye, ek clear break ka intizaar karna chahiye, jo ke recent low ke neeche ho, break ko ek updated low se confirm karein, aur phir ek northern correction ka intezar karain. Jab correction khatam ho, to selling opportunities ideal hongi. Buyers ke liye, 143.82 resistance level ke ooper positions lena favorable hai.

Humare analysis ka mawzoo USD/JPY currency pair ka mojooda pricing behavior hai. Hal hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur BoJ rate hike ke chances kam kar diye hain. Short-term interest rate swaps market mein December policy meeting par 25 basis point hike ke sirf 30% chances hain. Isi doran, pichlay jumay ko, yani 20th September ko, USD/JPY ne Asian intraday low of 141.74 se 1.95% ka izafa dekhaya aur US session ke dauran 144.50 ka high print kiya.

aur current events ka nasha hai. U.S. Federal Reserve se ummeed hai ke wo apne agle meeting mein interest rates kam karega. Aise rate cut aam tor par economic activity ko barhane ke liye hota hai, jo shayad U.S. dollar ko investors ke liye kam appealing bana de. Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan (BOJ) se Friday ko interest rates mein koi tabdeeli ki umeed nahi hai. BOJ ki yeh stability Japanese yen ko U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein relatively strong ya steady rakh sakti hai. Isliye, U.S. rate cuts aur stable Japanese rates ka mix USD/JPY pair ki ongoing decline ko contribute kar sakta hai. Halanki overall bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ke liye kuch dilchasp possibilities hain. Chahe U.S. dollar dusri currencies ke muqablay mein kamzor ho, yeh yen ke muqablay mein thoda rise bhi dekh sakta hai. Yeh unexpected scenario tab ho sakta hai jab market sentiment ya kuch unforeseen economic news influence kare. Crucial U.S. economic reports jaise Core Retail Sales aur Retail Sales data ko dekhna zaroori hai taake yeh samajh sakein ke yeh elements USD/JPY pair ko kaise affect kar rahe hain. Technical nazariya se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair niche ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo ke pehle ke lows ko tod raha hai aur price pattern ko badal raha hai. Yeh ongoing decline yeh darshata hai ke market mein sellers ka control hai. Technical indicators aur moving averages yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh bearish trend barqarar reh sakta hai, kyunki yeh aam tor par pair ko sell karne ka indication dete hain. Weekly Fibonacci retracement levels ke mutabiq 38.1% mark ke aas-paas support dikhayi deti hai. Iska matlab hai ke agar price aur niche girti hai, to yeh level support provide kar sakta hai, jahan buying interest bhi dekhne ko mil sakti hai aur trend reverse ho sakta hai.
Sellers ko price ko significantly niche le jaane mein mushkil ka samna hai. Agar 38.1% level ka support barkarar rehta hai, to 14.5% Fibonacci retracement level ki taraf rebound ka mauka ho sakta hai. Traders ko price movements ko 140.84 support level ke aas-paas dekhna chahiye buying aur selling opportunities ke liye, aur 141.55 resistance level ke aas-paas possible buying signals ke liye dekhna chahiye. Aakhir mein, technical outlook yeh darshata hai ke USD/JPY pair shayad nazdeeki dino mein apna bearish trend barqarar rakhe, lekin key support levels aur aane wale economic data iski future direction ko influence

o confirm karta hai. Last week multi-directional raha, lekin ultimately buyers jeet gaye Aur price ko upward push diya, jabke kai baar decline attempt kiye gaye. Horizontal resistance level 143.83 ne price ko upar jane nahi diya, balkay downside par rebound kiya. Lekin neeche se price wapas rebound karke isi level par aa gaya hai, aur abhi isi resistance point par hai. Yeh possibility hai ke jab price is level ko break kare, toh bullish divergence puri tarah se play out ho.Filhal yeh area buying ke liye ideal nahi hai, kyun ke price resistance ke pass hai, aur inclined line bhi waves ke crests ke qareeb hai . Best approach yeh hogi ke wait karein jab tak price clearly is level ko upar break kare aur bullish development shuru ho. Mera target level 149.08 hai, lekin selling ka yahan koi point nahi hai kyun ke bearish scenario unlikely hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hoga ke doosri major currencies apni weakness against USD ko support karein. US dollar ke comparison mein, currencies abhi mushkilat ka samna kar rahi hain. Aaj ka key economic data US Consumer Confidence Index ko 17:00 GMT par release kiya jayega, jo market ke sentiment par asar daal sakta hai. USD/JPY Tuesday ko 143.70 level ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart analysis ke mutabiq pair descending channel mein move kar raha hai, jo ek bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level se neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. If price neeche move karta hai, toh USD/JPY pair 9-day moving average ko test kar sakta hai jo 143.01 par hai . Is level ke neeche move karne par price 139.58 area ko explore kar sakti hai, jo June 2023 ka lowest point hai. Agar price upar break kare, toh pair 145.00 psychological barrier ko challenge kar sakta hai.Tuesday ko USD/JPY ne apni best daily performance record ki, jab price 140 level par strong settlement ke baad green mein move kiya. Federal Reserve ka decision between 25bp or 50bp rate cut aaj 18:00 GMT par expected hai. Regular 25bp rate cut ek partial recovery ko support kar sakta hai, jabke pair 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) 143.55 ko break karne mein struggle kar raha hai

Jumay ke din, USD ke muqablay mein spot price ne apni girawat ko barqarar rakha, jo is haftay ke nuqsan ko aur barha raha tha. Yeh girawat mazeed tawajjo ka markaz bani, khaaskar jab ke Middle East mein geopolitical tensions barh rahi hain, jo ho sakta hai yen ke liye kuch support faraham karein. Israeli intelligence reports ke mutabiq Iran shayad Israel par seedha hamla karne wala hai, Hamas ke leader Ismail Haniyeh ke Tehran mein qatal ka badla lene ke liye. Market ke band hone tak, USD/JPY ka currency pair lagbhag 140.81 par trade kar raha tha. USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

Dusri taraf, US Dollar apni challenges ka samna kar raha hai. Traders ab intezar kar rahe hain ke September mein US Federal Reserve (Fed) ek bara rate cut karega. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 50-basis point cut ka imkaan 72.0% tak barh gaya hai, jo ek haftay pehle sirf 11.8% tha. Is ke bawajood, USD ne apne kuch intraday losses ko recover kar liya. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki qeemat ko chhe badi currencies ke muqablay mein napta hai, 101.00 ke level par qaraar liya huwa hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki July 30-31 Monetary Policy Meeting se aaye Summary of Opinions ke mutabiq, kai members ka kehna hai ke economy aur prices umeed ke mutabiq barh rahe hain. BoJ ka maqsaad hai ke medium term mein neutral rate "kam az kam 1%" ke qareeb rahe. Magar BoJ ke hawkish stance ka asar filhaal zyada arsey tak nahi chalega. Global risk aversion se ho sakta hai ke policy-tightening ka silsila ruk jaye. Japan ki equity markets mein volatility bhi BoJ ki accommodative policies ke khatme ke baad barh gayi hai, jo rate hikes ke prospects par asar andaz hui hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

USD/JPY pair ko foran resistance nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas, 143.06 ke level par mil sakti hai. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, to bearish momentum kam ho sakta hai aur pair ko 50-day EMA par test karne ka moka mil sakta hai, jo 149.33 ke qareeb hai, aur us ke baad "throwback support turned resistance" 150.50 par. Downside par, pair ko support 140.00 ke aas paas mil sakta hai, aur agla support 139.25 par ho sakta hai.

Jumay tak, pair lagbhag 140.80 par trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ko dekhte hue, yeh maloom hota hai ke pair abhi tak nine-day EMA ke neeche hai, jo ke short-term mein bearish trend ka ishara karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke level se upar aaya hai, jo yeh batata hai ke ek potential correction shuru ho sakta hai.

Salaam aur Subah bakhair sabhi Visitors aur Traders ko!
Kal ka din USD/JPY buyers ke liye behtareen raha jab unhoon ne upar bounce kiya aur 141.75 zone ko successfully break kiya. Aaj bhi traders ke liye ek ahem din hai kyun ke aaj kay din mein bohot se important news events release hongay. Hum Asian aur USA trading zones mein trade kar saktay hain kyun ke ye zones technical analysis kay zariye identify hotay hain aur aik barrier ka kaam kartay hain jo market ko apni upward trajectory mein continue karnay ke liye overcome karna parta hai.

Aaj ka din fundamental news ke lihaaz se bohot important hai – khaaskar FOMC aur Building Permits reports, jo buyers ke liye resistance levels ko break karnay ka catalyst sabit ho sakti hain. Khaaskar, FOMC ka interest rates par faisla traders ke liye bohot closely dekha jayega. Agar Federal Reserve yeh ishara karta hai ke wo apni monetary policy ko zyada accommodative rakhna chahta hai, toh yeh buyers ke liye ek aur motivation ho sakta hai aur market ko resistance break karna aasaan ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar Fed hawkish tone apnaye aur yeh signal de ke interest rates expectations se zyada barhne wale hain, toh yeh buyers ke liye challenges peda kar sakta hai aur resistance zone cross karna mushkil ho jayega.

Umeed hai ke USD/JPY ka market aaj humein mazeed trading opportunities dega. Saath hi, Federal Funds Rate ka faisla bhi aaj ke trading scenario ka ek key element hoga. Federal Funds Rate ka direct impact hota hai borrowing costs par, jo ke businesses aur consumers ko directly effect karti hain. Agar yeh rate kam ho jata hai, toh borrowing sasti ho jati hai, jo zyada kharch aur investment ko promote karta hai. Buyers ko umeed hai ke aaj ka FOMC meeting ka faisla Federal Funds Rate ko low rakhay ya phir aane wale rate hikes ko gradual aur measured rakhnay ka ishara day

USD/JPY ne 0.40% se barh kar 146.74 ka level pakra. Monday ko U.S. ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. USD/JPY pair ne ahm psychological level 146.00 ko tor diya, aur pehli baar March ke baad is level ke neechay close kiya. Pair mein kaafi volatility dekhne ko mili, jisme 150-pip ki range mein fluctuation hui, aur Japanese Yen ko teen din ka low 144.74 tak le aayi. Jab Wednesday ke din Asian session ka aghaz hua, major pair lagbhag 145.07 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, aur previous close se zyada farq nahi tha. Hourly chart ke mutabiq, pair ne descending wedge pattern ko tor diya hai, jo ke is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke bearish trend abhi jaari rehne ka imkaan hai bajaye reverse hone ke. Mazeed, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 30 ke neechay hai, jo is baat ka ishara de raha hai ke yeh currency asset oversold position mein hai aur kuch arsay ke liye rebound kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ka gehra tajziya karenge D1 period chart ke zariye. Filhaal wave structure se lagta hai ke aik downward trend ban raha hai. MACD indicator neeche selling zone mein positioned hai, lekin abhi haal hi mein apni signal line ke upar cross kiya hai. August ke lowest update ke baad, MACD indicator par bullish divergence dekhne ko mili hai, jab ke CCI indicator par bhi isi tarah ka bullish divergence observe kiya gaya hai, jo lower overheating zone se upar move kar raha hai.
Pichlay haftay ke dauran market ka direction thoda unpredictable raha, magar buyers ne kuch gains hasil kar liye hain, jisse price thoda upar gaya hai, bawajood iske ke kayi dafa price neeche lay jane ki koshish ki gayi. Jo cheez bilkul clear hai wo yeh ke horizontal resistance level 143.83 ke aas paas hai, jisse price upar jane mein rukawat ho rahi hai, aur is wajah se strong rebound effect dekhne ko mil raha hai. Phir bhi, price neeche se wapis uthi hai aur ab phir se is level par wapas aa gayi hai. Yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke agar price is resistance level se phir se rebound karti hai, toh yeh break through kar sakti hai, aur bullish divergence puri tarah se play out ho sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, recent waveform peaks ke paas aik inclined line bhi hai. Iss waqt, yeh behtareen waqt nahi hoga ke direct buy kiya jaye in levels par; behtar hoga ke ek confirmed breakout ka intezar kiya jaye, jo resistance level aur inclined line ke upar ho. Agar yeh confirmation milti hai, toh price mein significant upward movement aasakti hai. Main apna target 149.08 par rakhta hoon, jahan tak price appreciate kar sakti hai. Is waqt sell karna ghalat hoga, khaaskar divergence ke hawale se.

Yeh kehna ghalat nahi hoga ke downward movement ka imkaan bilkul khatam nahi hua, magar mere khayal se iske chances ab kam ho gaye hain. Agar doosri major currencies US dollar ke muqable mein weakness dikhati hain, toh yeh USD/JPY pair ko mazid taqat dega. Meri rai mein, yeh currency pair filhaal upward trend ki taraf inclined hai. Haal mein kuch downward pressure zaroor hai, lekin main yeh tawakku karta hoon ke yeh environment jald stabilize hoga aur upward movement wapis se shuru hogi.

Jumay ke din, USD ke muqablay mein spot price ne apni girawat ko barqarar rakha, jo is haftay ke nuqsan ko aur barha raha tha. Yeh girawat mazeed tawajjo ka markaz bani, khaaskar jab ke Middle East mein geopolitical tensions barh rahi hain, jo ho sakta hai yen ke liye kuch support faraham karein. Israeli intelligence reports ke mutabiq Iran shayad Israel par seedha hamla karne wala hai, Hamas ke leader Ismail Haniyeh ke Tehran mein qatal ka badla lene ke liye. Market ke band hone tak, USD/JPY ka currency pair lagbhag 140.81 par trade kar raha tha. USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:
Dusri taraf, US Dollar apni challenges ka samna kar raha hai. Traders ab intezar kar rahe hain ke September mein US Federal Reserve (Fed) ek bara rate cut karega. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 50-basis point cut ka imkaan 72.0% tak barh gaya hai, jo ek haftay pehle sirf 11.8% tha. Is ke bawajood, USD ne apne kuch intraday losses ko recover kar liya. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki qeemat ko chhe badi currencies ke muqablay mein napta hai, 101.00 ke level par qaraar liya huwa hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki July 30-31 Monetary Policy Meeting se aaye Summary of Opinions ke mutabiq, kai members ka kehna hai ke economy aur prices umeed ke mutabiq barh rahe hain. BoJ ka maqsaad hai ke medium term mein neutral rate "kam az kam 1%" ke qareeb rahe. Magar BoJ ke hawkish stance ka asar filhaal zyada arsey tak nahi chalega. Global risk aversion se ho sakta hai ke policy-tightening ka silsila ruk jaye. Japan ki equity markets mein volatility bhi BoJ ki accommodative policies ke khatme ke baad barh gayi hai, jo rate hikes ke prospects par asar andaz hui hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

USD/JPY pair ko foran resistance nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas, 143.06 ke level par mil sakti hai. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, to bearish momentum kam ho sakta hai aur pair ko 50-day EMA par test karne ka moka mil sakta hai, jo 149.33 ke qareeb hai, aur us ke baad "throwback support turned resistance" 150.50 par. Downside par, pair ko support 140.00 ke aas paas mil sakta hai, aur agla support 139.25 par ho sakta hai.

Jumay tak, pair lagbhag 140.80 par trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ko dekhte hue, yeh maloom hota hai ke pair abhi tak nine-day EMA ke neeche hai, jo ke short-term mein bearish trend ka ishara karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke level se upar aaya hai, jo yeh batata hai ke ek potential correction shuru ho sakta hai.