usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical supporel hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke possible 168.00 ya us se niche ho sakta hai. Agar support hold karta hai, toh ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair pehle ke highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke ird-gird ho sakte hain. D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, agar yeh moving average ke neeche sustained trading hoti hai, toh yeh ek trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakti hai.

rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical supporel hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke possible 168.00 ya us se niche ho sakta hai. Agar support hold karta hai, toh ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair pehle ke highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke ird-gird ho sakte hain. D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, agar yeh moving average ke neeche sustained trading hoti hai, toh yeh ek trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakti hai.

se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai. Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai, USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish

Trading Strategy with USD/JPY Prices
Hamara focus USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ki live analysis par hai. Price Action method aur "bearish engulfing" pattern ke mutabiq expected outcome puri tarah se waisa nahi tha jaisa pehle lag raha tha. Is model mein proportionality bohot aham hai. Humay ek signal mila—bearish Doji, jise maine chart mein highlight kiya hai. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke dono signals apne targets ko agle haftay achieve karenge. Pehle case mein maine 101 points ki decline anticipate ki thi, spread ko baghair shamil kiye, lekin mujhe ab bhi lagta hai ke trading instrument mazeed neeche ja sakta hai. Fibonacci retracement levels ke hisaab se, main expect karta hoon ke price 100th level se neeche 142.04 par break hoga, aur scenario step by step 138.1 par 141.39 aur 161.7 par 140.82 tak khele ga. Growth agar channel ki upper boundary tak hoti hai, to faida mand hoga, lekin main sharp upward move ka intezar karoon ga apni position adjust karne se pehle.

D1 Time Frame Analysis:

D1 time frame mein USD/JPY ne 141.72 par double touch kiya, lekin Friday ke end tak is critical support se koi mazboot rebound nazar nahi aaya. Tuesday se bears ka dominance tha, jinhon ne pair ko week ke doran neeche ki taraf dhakel diya. Halanke ek double bottom bana hai, jo prices ko upar push kar sakta hai, aur bulls ke liye 147.21, 151.82, 154.36, 157.87, aur 162.01 jaise levels breach karna mumkin ho sakta hai. Lekin kuch inconsistencies hain: do indicators jo main chart ke neeche hain, decreasing buy volumes aur short recovery ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Maine pehle 141.72 level par focus kiya tha, kyunke yeh prices ko bounce karwa sakta hai, aur agar momentum barhta hai, to indicators bhi flip ho sakte hain. Downtrend ab tak intact hai, lekin reversal ka bhi chance hai jab market tension barhti hai. Ideally, main price ko current position se 140 tak le kar bechne ka intezar karoonga. Yeh sab se zyada mumkin scenario hai. "Trend is your friend," lekin yeh hamesha trading ke liye favorable nahi hota.

Jummah ko, USDJPY ka decline continue hota gaya. Aaj subah, USDJPY trading 143.39 ke price par open hui aur phir 142.69 tak gir gayi. Is decline ke bawajood, h1 support level 143.01 successfully niche break ho gaya.
Agar h1 timeframe ko dekha jaye, to demand area 142.09 tak touch hone mein sirf kuch pips ki doori hai. Agar candle demand area ko successfully pass kar jati hai, to USDJPY aur zyada gir sakta hai. Lekin, agar candle is area ko penetrate nahi karti, to wahan ek retracement hone ka imkaan hai.

Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY ab bhi gir sakta hai kyunke bearish engulfing pattern hai aur candle abhi Moving Average 12 aur Moving Average 16 areas mein move kar rahi hai. Aaj ke liye, main yeh bhi predict kar raha hoon ke USDJPY girne ka mauka hai kyunke Ichimoku indicator ke hisaab se candle position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke aap sirf sell positions par focus karein. Take profit target aap 141.78 ke aas-paas rakh sakte hain.

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY currency pair ke movement aaj bhi girne ki taraf jhukta hua lagta hai, aur price 142.70 tak aa sakti hai. H1 time frame mein, USDJPY ke movement ne bearish engulfing candle bana di hai jo SELL USDJPY ka strong signal hai, aur price 142.70 tak ja sakti hai. RSI 14 indicator ki observation ke mutabiq, current USDJPY price 142.92 hai aur abhi tak oversold nahi hai, isliye is baat ka bahut zyada imkaan hai ke dopahar tak USDJPY 142.70 tak decline karega.

SELL USDJPY signal MA indicator ke use se bhi support hota hai, kyunki MA 12 line aur MA 16 line abhi bhi current USDJPY price 142.92 ke upar hain, to aaj ke liye bhi USDJPY ke girne ka imkaan hai aur price 142.80 tak aa sakti hai. Mere technical analysis ke natije ke mutabiq, USDJPY currency pair ke movement ke liye main SELL USDJPY ka decision le raha hoon aur price 142.70 tak jaane ka expect kar raha hoon.

USD/JPY pair filhal ek notable downward trend mein hai, jo zyada tar Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke contrasting monetary policies se influenced hai. Recent decline USD/JPY ka mainly market ke expectations ki wajah se hai, jo Fed ke September 17-18 ke meeting mein 25 basis point (bps) rate cut ka hawala de rahe hain. In expectations ke bawajood, recent upward movement ke bawajood, US Dollar (USD) apni gains extend nahi kar paya. Is waqt, market mein cautious sentiment Japanese Yen ki demand ko safe-haven asset ke tor par barha raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair par additional pressure daal raha hai. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ka FY2025 tak interest rates ko raise karne ka potential plan Fed ke anticipated rate cut ke bilkul opposite hai, jo pair ke downtrend ko aur fuel kar raha hai. Traders decisive moves lene se hesitant hain, aur US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka wait kar rahe hain jo Fed ke next policy steps aur USD/JPY pair ke short-term outlook ko impact karegi.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair clear bearish signals de raha hai. Filhal pair 143.20 ke day’s opening level ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 142.95 ke aas-paas hai. Price moving average trend line ke neeche bhi trade kar rahi hai, jo ek critical level hai jahan volume distribution aksar hota hai, aur yeh strong selling pressure ko indicate karta hai. Agar price 143.20 level ke upar move kar jati hai, to resistance levels 143.69 aur shayad 143.75 ki taraf rise dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin agar price 142.95 level ke neeche girti hai, to yeh further decline karne ki umeed hai support levels 142.74 aur shayad 142.20 tak. Pair monthly Pivot level 146.24 aur weekly Pivot level 143.75 ke bhi neeche hai, jo corrective mood ko suggest karta hai. Hourly chart par, pair apni previous range 143.69 se 142.14 ke neeche slip kar gaya hai, jo sellers ke currently dominant hone ka signal hai. Lekin traders ko possible false breakout ka bhi dhyan rakhna chahiye. Overall, technical indicators bearish outlook ko support karte hain, aur agar pair key support levels ke neeche trade karta raha to further declines ka potential hai.

USD/JPY ka takniki tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum!
Mai farz karta hun keh dollar/yen ka joda aaj 141.000/140.600 ke pichle mahana support ilaqe tak gir jayega, aur fir yah mazbut hona shuru ho sakta hai. Yaumiyah chart par, ek triple bullish divergence bhi aane wali qimat ke reversal ki taraf ishara karta hai. Halankeh, is numaya kami ko dekhte hue, haftawar chart par gaur karna aham hai, jahan hajam me itni kami aayi hai keh yah qalil muddati ooper ki movement ka ishara karta hai.
Buniyadi taur par, yah ek mahana, aalmi kami ka rujhan hai. Lehaza, fauri paltaw ka intezar karne ka koi faida nahin hai. Halankeh, ek chiz wazeh hai: agar qimat 140.000 se niche girti hai to, salana tezi ka daud khatam ho jayega. Aisa lagta hai keh dollar/yen ka joda in satahon ki taraf badh raha hai. Agar aisa hota hai to, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh kharidar piche hat jayenge. Is tarah, ham aaj ya kal 140.000 ke ird-gird kuch mamuli ladaiyan dekh sakte hain, jisme qimaton me nisbatan wasie range me utar-chadhaw hoga. Yah scenario tab tak durust ho sakta hai jab tak keh qimat aaj 141.670 se ooper nahin jati.
Meri khawahish hai keh aap munafabaksh trading karein!

**USD/JPY Price Projection**

Hamara mukalma is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ke maujooda pricing behavior par hai, jisko hum analyze kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair 142.29 par band hui. H4 technical chart par Envelopes indicator girawat ka signal de raha hai, jab ke Momentum indicator selling opportunity ka izhaar kar raha hai. MACD bhi negative territory mein hai, jo mazeed nichay janay ke imkanaat ko mazboot karta hai, mumkin hai ke yeh 140.01 tak pohonch jaye. Lekin mera plan hai ke thora ooper bechun, ideally 147.01 ke qareeb, jahan mujhe umeed hai ke ek izafa hoga. Yeh soch yeh hai ke pehle price ko ooper chadhen dein, sellers ke stop-losses ko collect karein, aur phir neeche ki taraf dive karein. Bullish outlook stable hai, lekin yeh speculative hai, aur asal natija market tay karega.

Agar haal hi ki liquidity ke baad bhi, price drop aur minimum 142.11 par hone ke imkanaat zyada nahi the, toh ab bhi mumkin hai ke pair mazeed neeche jaaye, shayad kisi x-point tak. Lekin mein foran sell karne mein jaldbazi nahi karunga agar pair market ke khulne ke baad girta hai. Mein dekhunga ke market kaise react karta hai, kyunke neechey levels par unexpected liquidity withdrawals se ek tezi se reversal ho sakta hai. Yeh pair naye form hone wale low ko test kar sakta hai pehle ek upward surprise ke, jo ke shayad increased buying volumes ke zariye aayega. Agar aisa hota hai, toh hum 143.27 ki taraf ek tezi se price increase dekh sakte hain. Us waqt 142.30 level ko ghair maamooli tawajjo se dekhna chahiye, kyunke price thoda dip kar sakti hai, phir upar ki taraf trend ko dobara shuru karne se pehle. Agar pair 142.3 se neeche nahi tut ta.

SDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.
Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend

US dollar pehle Tuesday ko mazboot hui, lekin jaldi hi apni gains ko ulta karte hue gir gaya. ¥142 ka level niche ek ahm support level hai aur yeh bhi dekhna zaroori hai ke yeh point ek uptrend line ke saath bhi align karta hai jo kai traders dhekh rahe hain. Is waqt market kuch indications de rahi hai ke shayad ek double bottom pattern ban raha hai, jo aksar reversal ka signal hota hai. Yeh pattern indicate kar sakta hai ke market direction change kar rahi hai.

Federal Reserve ke is mahine rate cut karne ki ummeed hai, aur market participants aage ki developments ko dekh rahe hain. Yeh ahm sawal hai: Fed kitna rate cut karega? Agar sirf ek ya do cuts hui, to bhi US dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan interest rate differential dollar ke liye faida mand rahega. Yeh gap chhota ho sakta hai, lekin ab bhi capital inflow ko attract karne ke liye kafi hoga. Agar dollar bounce back karke ¥145 level ko break kar leta hai, to yeh pair aage barh sakta hai aur shayad ¥149 level ko target kare.

Traders ko aage ke kuch ahm economic data, jese ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI), ka bhi intezar hai jo market ko impact kar sakte hain. Risk appetite bhi ek factor hai jo pair ke direction ko affect kar sakta hai. Agar US dollar daily chart pe ¥141 level ke niche close hota hai, to yeh sharp decline ka signal ho sakta hai aur zyada significant declines bhi dekhne ko mil sakti hain.

Mujhe short mein, market ek critical point pe hai, aur ¥142 level ek key support ban gaya hai. US dollar ka yen ke muqablay mein direction fundamental data aur central bank movements par depend karega.

Trading Strategy with USD/JPY Prices
Hamara focus USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ki live analysis par hai. Price Action method aur "bearish engulfing" pattern ke mutabiq expected outcome puri tarah se waisa nahi tha jaisa pehle lag raha tha. Is model mein proportionality bohot aham hai. Humay ek signal mila—bearish Doji, jise maine chart mein highlight kiya hai. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke dono signals apne targets ko agle haftay achieve karenge. Pehle case mein maine 101 points ki decline anticipate ki thi, spread ko baghair shamil kiye, lekin mujhe ab bhi lagta hai ke trading instrument mazeed neeche ja sakta hai. Fibonacci retracement levels ke hisaab se, main expect karta hoon ke price 100th level se neeche 142.04 par break hoga, aur scenario step by step 138.1 par 141.39 aur 161.7 par 140.82 tak khele ga. Growth agar channel ki upper boundary tak hoti hai, to faida mand hoga, lekin main sharp upward move ka intezar karoon ga apni position adjust karne se pehle.

D1 Time Frame Analysis:

D1 time frame mein USD/JPY ne 141.72 par double touch kiya, lekin Friday ke end tak is critical support se koi mazboot rebound nazar nahi aaya. Tuesday se bears ka dominance tha, jinhon ne pair ko week ke doran neeche ki taraf dhakel diya. Halanke ek double bottom bana hai, jo prices ko upar push kar sakta hai, aur bulls ke liye 147.21, 151.82, 154.36, 157.87, aur 162.01 jaise levels breach karna mumkin ho sakta hai. Lekin kuch inconsistencies hain: do indicators jo main chart ke neeche hain, decreasing buy volumes aur short recovery ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Maine pehle 141.72 level par focus kiya tha, kyunke yeh prices ko bounce karwa sakta hai, aur agar momentum barhta hai, to indicators bhi flip ho sakte hain. Downtrend ab tak intact hai, lekin reversal ka bhi chance hai jab market tension barhti hai. Ideally, main price ko current position se 140 tak le kar bechne ka intezar karoonga. Yeh sab se zyada mumkin scenario hai. "Trend is your friend," lekin yeh hamesha trading ke liye favorable nahi hota.

Chalain h4 period chart ka jaiza lein USDJPY currency pair trading instrument ke liye. USDJPY currency pair is waqt 141.16 ke qeemat par trade kar raha hai, jo ke pichle din ki opening price se neeche hai. Stochastic indicator 5.3.3 is waqt level 20 ke neeche hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke USDJPY currency pair ab bhi bearish bias mein nazar aa raha hai. USDJPY currency pair ab bhi pressure mein hai aur kamzori dikhara raha hai, jaisa ke tasveer mein bhi dekha ja sakta hai. Aaj kuch aham khabrein bhi aanay wali hain, jo humein dekhni chahiye.

Lagta hai ke USD index phir se gir raha hai aur kamzor ho raha hai, isliye USDJPY currency pair ke bearish trend ko aaj ke trading mein barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. Is waqt hum is pair ko bechne ke moqaay dhoondh sakte hain; sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke sabr se kaam lein aur market mein entry ke liye sahi moqa ka intezaar karein.

H4 time frame chart par aaj ki trading strategy kuch is tarah se hai: Main 141.10 par sell order lagaoon ga, stop loss ko 142.00 par set karoonga, aur profit ka target par rakhoon ga. Umeed hai ke is strategy se jo aaj subha trading journal ka update share kiya ja raha hai, wo doosray doston ke liye bhi mufeed hoga, asaani se samajh aayega aur unhein market mein entry lene ka faisla karne mein madad dega.

Agar hum is waqt ki haalaat dekhein, toh lagta hai ke USDJPY ek aham area 142.0 ko todhne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar yeh aham area todha jaata hai, toh USDJPY ke liye bohot neeche jaane ka moqa barh jaayega. Yeh pair wapas ek mazboot girawat ki taraf jaane ki salahiyat rakhta hai. Pehle humne dekha tha ke qeemat upar janay ki koshish kar rahi thi, aur mid BB area ke upar thi.

Good morning Invest Social members, umeed hai aapka din acha guzre.

USD/JPY 142 level ke aas-paas struggle kar raha hai Japan se aayi kamzor economic data ke bawajood. GDP aur inflation data mein girawat ke kaaran BoJ ke further rate hikes par shak paida ho gaya hai. Key US CPI data se pehle 138 tak ke potential drop par nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

$9 se kam mahine ke liye, InvestingPro ka Fair Value tool aapki madad karta hai yeh jaanne mein ke kaunse stocks ko hold karna hai aur kaunse ko dump karna hai ek button ke click se. July ke shuru se, USD/JPY currency pair broader downtrend mein hai, halankeh recent modest rally ke bawajood.

Haal hi mein demand zone ke aas-paas slowdown dekha gaya, jo ke key support level 142 ke upar hai. Yeh shift do key factors se aayi hai: Bank of Japan ka recent interest rate hike aur Federal Reserve ka expected rate cut, jiski wajah se US dollar thoda kamzor hua hai. Iske bawajood, Japan ke recent GDP data se yeh sawaal uthta hai ke kya Bank of Japan apni tightening policy continue karega ya kamzor data ke wajah se ruk jayega, jo household spending, inflation, aur economic growth par hai.

Economists ka kehna hai ke BoJ is saal rate hike kar sakta hai, lekin Japan se aayi recent data yeh shak paida karti hai ke kya Bank of Japan apne rates ko barhata rahega. Halankeh GDP data thodi kamzor thi, economists ab bhi December meeting mein rate hike ki umeed rakhte hain. 2025 ke liye, key macroeconomic indicators jaise ke inflation aur consumer spending important role play karenge. Recent inflation data, GDP data ki tarah, weaker than expected thi, aur broader downward trend ko continue kar rahi hai.

SDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai. Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho

۔ **US Dollar Ki Recovery Ki Koshish Aur Girawat**

Is hafte ke aghaz mein US dollar ne kuch recovery ki koshish ki, lekin phir usne tezi se girawat dekhi. ¥142 ka level ab traders ke liye ek key point ban gaya hai. Yeh na sirf ek significant round number hai, balki is zone ne pehle bhi khaas market activity dekhi hai. Iski ahmiyat ko barhane wale factors mein se ek yeh hai ke yeh uptrend line ke saath intersect karta hai, jo is area ko ek key support zone bana sakta hai.

**Dollar Ki Momentum Ka Sawal**

Ab sabse bara sawal yeh hai ke kya dollar momentum wapas le sakta hai. Agar market ¥145 ke level ko break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh further upside potential ka signal de sakta hai. Aise mein, agla target shayad ¥147.50 level hoga, jo ke psychologically important ¥150 level ke pehle aata hai. Lekin agar dollar girawat ka silsila jari rakhta hai aur ¥142 ke support zone ko break karta hai, to agla significant level ¥137.50 ke aas-paas hoga, jo ek aur major support line ka kaam karega.

**Global Risk Sentiment Ka Asar**

Yeh market global risk sentiment ke zyada influence mein hai. Recent mein carry trade ka unwinding, jo dollar ko support kar raha tha, ne volatility ko barhaya hai. Yeh trend continue hota hai ya reverses hota hai, isse global markets par wide impact ho sakta hai. Japanese yen, jo ke ek major safe haven currency hai, aam taur par tab majboot hota hai jab market participants risk-averse hote hain. Agar risk appetite low rahta hai, to USD/JPY mein selling pressure barh sakta hai, jo ke sirf is pair tak mehdood nahi rahega, balki across asset classes bhi dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

**Short-Term Movement Aur Technical Levels**

Agar short-term movement ko dekha jaye to US dollar ka yen ke muqablay mein chalna kai factors par depend karta hai, jin mein key technical levels aur broader global risk sentiment shamil hain. Traders ko 145 aur 142 yen ke levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh levels agle bade move ke clues provide kar sakte hain. In levels ki monitoring se traders ko yeh samajhne mein madad milegi ke pair agle kuch hafton mein kis direction mein move kar sakta hai.

**Khulasah**

In conclusion, US dollar aur yen ke beech ka short-term movement technical aur sentiment-based factors se impact hota hai. Traders ko yeh levels aur global risk trends ko closely follow karna chahiye taake woh timely decisions le sakein aur market ke agle moves ko accurately predict kar sakein