usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Currency-Exchange Analysis
Currency pair USD/JPY aik paanch haftay ki neechey ki taraf girawat ka shikar hui hai, jahan yeh 142.85 tak pohanch gayi hai. Is girawat ki wajah mayoos kun US economic data hai, jo ke Federal Reserve se September mein rate cut ki umeedon ko barhawa de raha hai. Aaj ke din mein pehle 144.24 ka aik peak dekhne ko mila, lekin ab yeh 143.28 par trade ho rahi hai, jo ke lagbhag 0.31% ki girawat hai. USD/JPY ki is girawat ka taaluq US 10-year Treasury bond yield mein buhat bari girawat se hai, jo ke 4% ke critical threshold se neeche gir gaya hai.

USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki zyada umeedon ki wajah se US Dollar par zyada downward pressure hai, jo ke Japanese Yen ke khilaf girawat ka sabab ban raha hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, futures traders ab September mein rate cut ko poori tarah se price mein daal chuke hain. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apni short-term policy rate ko 0-0.1% se barhakar 0.25% kar diya hai, jo ke 2008 ke baad se sabse bara izafa hai. BoJ ne yeh bhi kaha hai ke woh apni Japanese government bonds ki purchases ko January se March 2026 tak taqriban 3 trillion yen ($19.64 billion) mahana tak kam kar dega.

Spot price ko challenges ka samna hai jabke US Dollar kamzor ho raha hai Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko wahi rakhne ke faislay ki wajah se. Ab investors upcoming US economic data jaise ke ISM Manufacturing PMI aur weekly Initial Jobless Claims par apni tawajjo de rahe hain, taake economic outlook clear ho sake.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Is waqt currency pair December 2023 ke baad se dekhnay walay support levels ko test kar raha hai. Aik important support level jo dekhna zaroori hai wo 142.86 ka mark hai. Agar bearish trend ko continue karna hai, toh pair ko din ke ikhtitami waqt tak 143.00 ke neeche close karna hoga. Agar yeh level sustain nahi karta, toh yeh 142.50 aur phir 142.00 ke support levels ko bhi hit kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar buyers exchange rate ko 141.50 ke upar push kar lete hain, toh ek rebound ka imkaan hai jo ke recent cycle low resistance tak pohanch sakta hai jo 147.00 hai.

Is waqt, Thursday ko spot price 143.29 par trade ho raha hai aur yeh apni girawat ka silsila jaari rakhe hue hai. Hourly chart ke analysis se lagta hai ke downtrend momentum abhi bhi jaari hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 30 se neeche hai, jo yeh batata hai ke currency pair oversold hai aur thodi dair ke liye ek rebound ka imkaan hai.

Currency-Exchange Analysis
Currency pair USD/JPY aik paanch haftay ki neechey ki taraf girawat ka shikar hui hai, jahan yeh 142.85 tak pohanch gayi hai. Is girawat ki wajah mayoos kun US economic data hai, jo ke Federal Reserve se September mein rate cut ki umeedon ko barhawa de raha hai. Aaj ke din mein pehle 144.24 ka aik peak dekhne ko mila, lekin ab yeh 143.28 par trade ho rahi hai, jo ke lagbhag 0.31% ki girawat hai. USD/JPY ki is girawat ka taaluq US 10-year Treasury bond yield mein buhat bari girawat se hai, jo ke 4% ke critical threshold se neeche gir gaya hai.

USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki zyada umeedon ki wajah se US Dollar par zyada downward pressure hai, jo ke Japanese Yen ke khilaf girawat ka sabab ban raha hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, futures traders ab September mein rate cut ko poori tarah se price mein daal chuke hain. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apni short-term policy rate ko 0-0.1% se barhakar 0.25% kar diya hai, jo ke 2008 ke baad se sabse bara izafa hai. BoJ ne yeh bhi kaha hai ke woh apni Japanese government bonds ki purchases ko January se March 2026 tak taqriban 3 trillion yen ($19.64 billion) mahana tak kam kar dega.

Spot price ko challenges ka samna hai jabke US Dollar kamzor ho raha hai Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko wahi rakhne ke faislay ki wajah se. Ab investors upcoming US economic data jaise ke ISM Manufacturing PMI aur weekly Initial Jobless Claims par apni tawajjo de rahe hain, taake economic outlook clear ho sake.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Is waqt currency pair December 2023 ke baad se dekhnay walay support levels ko test kar raha hai. Aik important support level jo dekhna zaroori hai wo 142.86 ka mark hai. Agar bearish trend ko continue karna hai, toh pair ko din ke ikhtitami waqt tak 143.00 ke neeche close karna hoga. Agar yeh level sustain nahi karta, toh yeh 142.50 aur phir 142.00 ke support levels ko bhi hit kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar buyers exchange rate ko 141.50 ke upar push kar lete hain, toh ek rebound ka imkaan hai jo ke recent cycle low resistance tak pohanch sakta hai jo 147.00 hai.

Is waqt, Thursday ko spot price 143.29 par trade ho raha hai aur yeh apni girawat ka silsila jaari rakhe hue hai. Hourly chart ke analysis se lagta hai ke downtrend momentum abhi bhi jaari hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 30 se neeche hai, jo yeh batata hai ke currency pair oversold hai aur thodi dair ke liye ek rebound ka imkaan hai.

USD/JPY Price Tendency
Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke current price behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. USD/JPY mein achi khaasi girawat dekhnay ko mili hai, lekin abhi sell positions open karna jaldi baazi hogi. Guzishta hafta price ne descending channel ko break kiya tha, toh ab jo girawat ho rahi hai, wo aik corrective pattern ke mutabiq hai. Aik strong support level 144.39 par maujood hai jo is girawat ko roknay mein madadgar ho sakta hai, isliye yeh long positions ka aik acha moqa ho sakta hai. Lekin, pullback ki gehraai ko dekhte huay, behtar yeh hoga ke chhoti time frames se confirmation signal ka intezaar kiya jaye, jaise ke 146.29 ke minor resistance ka break hona. Agar targets ki baat ki jaye, toh Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq 161.8% ka level, jo ke 149.59 ke qareeb hai, ek possible goal ho sakta hai, jo recent high se zyada hai.

Is waqt price ek ascending price channel ke andar trade ho raha hai. Aaj pair 145.79 ke lower boundary tak gir gaya tha, lekin girawat ko barqarar nahi rakh saka, jiska natija aik reversal aur upward move mein nikla. Ab, mujhe umeed hai ke price channel ke upper boundary tak grow kar sakta hai jo ke 147.93 hai. Yeh abhi dekhna baqi hai ke price apni current position se girawat ko barqarar rakh payega ya nahi, lekin ek baat wazeh hai ke jab tak price 151.83 ke qareeb aik correction nahi karta, main sell position lene ka sochunga bhi nahi. Market filhaal indecisive hai, jahan bulls aur bears mein se koi bhi clear direction nahi bana pa raha. Main lagataar alag alag currency pairs ke movements ko dekh raha hoon, lekin yeh setup suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY pair ek triangle jaisa pattern bana sakta hai. Jab tak price 151.83 ke upar stabilize nahi hoti, mera rujhan bearish ki taraf rahega. Is pair par action lene se pehle behtar yeh hoga ke clear signals ka intezaar kiya jaye.

USD/JPY Price Tendency
Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke current price behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. USD/JPY mein achi khaasi girawat dekhnay ko mili hai, lekin abhi sell positions open karna jaldi baazi hogi. Guzishta hafta price ne descending channel ko break kiya tha, toh ab jo girawat ho rahi hai, wo aik corrective pattern ke mutabiq hai. Aik strong support level 144.39 par maujood hai jo is girawat ko roknay mein madadgar ho sakta hai, isliye yeh long positions ka aik acha moqa ho sakta hai. Lekin, pullback ki gehraai ko dekhte huay, behtar yeh hoga ke chhoti time frames se confirmation signal ka intezaar kiya jaye, jaise ke 146.29 ke minor resistance ka break hona. Agar targets ki baat ki jaye, toh Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq 161.8% ka level, jo ke 149.59 ke qareeb hai, ek possible goal ho sakta hai, jo recent high se zyada hai.

Is waqt price ek ascending price channel ke andar trade ho raha hai. Aaj pair 145.79 ke lower boundary tak gir gaya tha, lekin girawat ko barqarar nahi rakh saka, jiska natija aik reversal aur upward move mein nikla. Ab, mujhe umeed hai ke price channel ke upper boundary tak grow kar sakta hai jo ke 147.93 hai. Yeh abhi dekhna baqi hai ke price apni current position se girawat ko barqarar rakh payega ya nahi, lekin ek baat wazeh hai ke jab tak price 151.83 ke qareeb aik correction nahi karta, main sell position lene ka sochunga bhi nahi. Market filhaal indecisive hai, jahan bulls aur bears mein se koi bhi clear direction nahi bana pa raha. Main lagataar alag alag currency pairs ke movements ko dekh raha hoon, lekin yeh setup suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY pair ek triangle jaisa pattern bana sakta hai. Jab tak price 151.83 ke upar stabilize nahi hoti, mera rujhan bearish ki taraf rahega. Is pair par action lene se pehle behtar yeh hoga ke clear signals ka intezaar kiya jaye.

Japanese market ne sirf Friday ko hi apni position mazboot ki hai. Yen ne is haftay dollar ke muqablay mein 2.3% ki tez raftari hasil ki hai. Japanese household spending tawakkuat par poori nahi utri. Japan ki maeshat behtar honay ki alamat dikha rahi hai, lekin consumers abhi bhi mutmaeen nahi hain aur apni kharchi mein ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain Household spending July mein 0.1% saal ba saal barhi, jo June mein 1.4% ki girawat ke baad sambhal gayi thi, lekin market ke 1.2% ke andaze se kam rahi. Mahana buniyad par household spending mein July mein 1.7% ki girawat hui, jo chhay mahine ki sabse bari girawat thi Yeh girawat June ke 0.1% izafay ke baad hui thi aur market ke -0.2% ke andaze se bhi kaafi neeche thi. US non-farm payrolls ke figures market ko hilaa sakte hain aur Fed ke tapering ke size ka taayun kar sakte hain. Aaj ka non-farm payrolls report kafi tawajjo ka markaz hai. Kya hum July ke 114,000 naye jobs ke kharaab data ke baad behteri dekhenge jis ne duniya bhar ke maali bazaaron ko hilaa diya tha? Markets hadd tak is crash se ubhar chuke hain, lekin investors abhi bhi parishan hain aur ek aur kharaab non-farm payrolls release markets ko nichi la sakta hai
August ke liye market ka andaza 160,000 hai. Jobless claims kam hue hain, lekin JOLT jobs tawakkuat par poori nahi utri
August ADP employment report sirf 99K tak gir gayi, jo ke July mein 111K thi (revised) aur market ke 145K ke andaze se kaafi neeche thi. ADP report aam tor par non-farm payrolls ka bharosemand indicator nahi raha, halaan ke is saal ye taluq mazboot raha hai
Agar non-farm payrolls report andazay ke mutabiq ya is se zyada hui, to Federal Reserve 18 September ke meeting mein 25-point hike ka imkaan barh sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar reading tawakku se kam hui, to 50 bps ke extra cut ki tawakkuat barh jayegi. CME FedWatch ke mutabiq, markets filhal 50 bps ko 43% aur 25 bps ko 67% pr samajh rahe hain, lekin mujhe tawakku hai ke din ke akhir tak yeh rates badal jayenge

Kal ke kamzor hone ne ab price ko daily support 144.68 tak le aaya hai, jo abhi tak bearish price movement ko daily time frame par rok raha hai. Iss time frame mein bearish trend ab bhi dikhai de raha hai, jahan price EMA 200 ke neeche move kar rahi hai aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ab bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahe hain. Jo thoda bohot strength dikhi hai, wo ab bhi bearish trend ke andar ek bullish correction phase ka hissa hai. Daily stochastic yeh dikhata hai ke market mein seller ki taqat wapas aa rahi hai, kyunke kal se jo pressure price par pada hai, usne stochastic line ko neeche ki taraf kar diya hai.
Tuesday ke trading mein jo price movements huay hain, un se ek bearish candle form hui hai, jahan high aur low prices 147.22 aur 145.16 par hain. Agar seller support 144.68 ko break karne mein kaamyab ho jata hai, toh price ke aur neeche girne ke chances hain, jiska target daily support 142.27 hoga, aur uske baad EMA 633 daily ko test karega jo ab 141.58 ke aas paas hai. Dusri taraf, agar support 144.68 break nahi hota, toh yeh buyers ko mauqa dega ke price ko wapas upar push kar sakein, jiska sabse qareebi target daily resistance 146.34 hoga.

Buyers ke liye price ki direction ko change karna abhi ek lamba safar hai. Agar resistance 146.37 break ho jata hai, toh agla target 147.63 hoga. Daily trend ko dekhte huay, bearish price ke potential ab bhi open hain, lekin iss baat ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta ke reversal bhi ho sakta hai, jab price ko move karne wale factors apna role ada karein. Buyers ke liye behtareen price par momentum ka intezaar karna behtar rahega.

Kal ke kamzor hone ne ab price ko daily support 144.68 tak le aaya hai, jo abhi tak bearish price movement ko daily time frame par rok raha hai. Iss time frame mein bearish trend ab bhi dikhai de raha hai, jahan price EMA 200 ke neeche move kar rahi hai aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ab bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahe hain. Jo thoda bohot strength dikhi hai, wo ab bhi bearish trend ke andar ek bullish correction phase ka hissa hai. Daily stochastic yeh dikhata hai ke market mein seller ki taqat wapas aa rahi hai, kyunke kal se jo pressure price par pada hai, usne stochastic line ko neeche ki taraf kar diya hai.
Tuesday ke trading mein jo price movements huay hain, un se ek bearish candle form hui hai, jahan high aur low prices 147.22 aur 145.16 par hain. Agar seller support 144.68 ko break karne mein kaamyab ho jata hai, toh price ke aur neeche girne ke chances hain, jiska target daily support 142.27 hoga, aur uske baad EMA 633 daily ko test karega jo ab 141.58 ke aas paas hai. Dusri taraf, agar support 144.68 break nahi hota, toh yeh buyers ko mauqa dega ke price ko wapas upar push kar sakein, jiska sabse qareebi target daily resistance 146.34 hoga.

Buyers ke liye price ki direction ko change karna abhi ek lamba safar hai. Agar resistance 146.37 break ho jata hai, toh agla target 147.63 hoga. Daily trend ko dekhte huay, bearish price ke potential ab bhi open hain, lekin iss baat ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta ke reversal bhi ho sakta hai, jab price ko move karne wale factors apna role ada karein. Buyers ke liye behtareen price par momentum ka intezaar karna behtar rahega.

USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka tajziya karenge. Price reading indicators ki buniyad par, meri trading approach yeh darshati hai ke is waqt is currency pair ko khareedna ek behtareen waqt hai. System ke musalsal signals yeh darshate hain ke bulls ne control hasil kar liya hai, isliye khareedna abhi priority hai. Heiken Ashi candlesticks, jo traditional Japanese candlesticks se behtar tareeqay se price quotes ko smooth aur average karti hain, reversals, corrective pullbacks, aur impulsive movements ko pehchaanay mein madad karti hain. 100 Moving Average channel indicator, jo Moving Average chart par current support aur resistance levels ko outline karta hai, asset ke movement boundaries ko kisi bhi waqt clear view provide karta hai. Momentum oscillator overbought aur oversold zones ko highlight karta hai, jo pair ke liye hai. In tools ka combination technical analysis process ko behtar banaata hai aur galat market entries ke chances ko kam karta hai.
Specified pair ka chart ranging candlesticks ko blue mein show kar raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke bullish sentiment ne bearish outlook ko overtake kar liya hai, jo ek acha mauka hai long position lene ke liye. Price quotes pehle channel ke lower boundary se neeche gir gayi thi, lekin sabse neeche point tak pohanchne ke baad, yeh channel ke central line ki taraf rebound hui. RSI (20 indicator) bhi is buy signal ko support karta hai, kyunki iska upward-directed curve overbought level se kaafi neeche hai, jo long position ko align karta hai. In observations ko dekhte hue, successful buys ki probability high hai, jo long trade kholne ke liye justify karti hai. Main channel ke upper boundary ke aas-paas, price quote 141.643 ke nazdeek profits lene ki umeed rakhta hoon. Jab order profitable zone mein chale jaye, to position ko breakeven par shift karna behtar hoga, kyunki market dynamics aksar false movements ke saath expectations ko disrupt kar deti hain

Aaj ke khulnay se ab tak ke faaslay se yeh maloom hota hai ke khareedari ka moqa kareeb hai, jo ke bechne walon ke liye mauzoon halaat paida kar raha hai. Agar hum market mein 146.149 par dakhil hotay hain, to stop loss 146.174 ke aas paas hona chahiye. Is trade ke liye ideal munafa ka target mazboot support level ke kareeb, 145.192 par hai. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, short positions band karna samajhdaari hogi, kyun ke uske baad ooper ki taraf ek corrective rebound aasakta hai. Yeh rebound ascending channel ki neechli hadd par takra sakta hai, jis ke baad qeemat apni correction ko jaari rakhte hue pehli correction wave ke upper point ke kareeb zone, yani 147.322 par pohanch sakti hai. Hum yahaan se aik downward rebound ki tawakku kar sakte hain, lekin is rebound ki taqat abhi bhi gair yakeeni hai. 145.91 ke price test ke waqt MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ki taraf move kar raha tha, jis ke natijay mein scenario No. 1 sell ke liye execute hua. Is ka nateeja ye hua ke pair mein 50 se zyada pips ki girawat hui. Jaise ke tawakku thi, Federal Reserve ki minutes ki release ke baad dollar par dabao barha, jis ne pair ko weekly low tak pohanchne mein madad ki. Aaj ke Asian trading session mein, yen thoda sa kamzor hua kamzor manufacturing
activity ki khabron ke baad, jo ke Japan ke services sector ki nisbat qawi growth se offset hui. Yeh bhi composite PMI mein thori si izafa ka sabab bana. USD ki wazeh kamzori USD/JPY ko neeche ki taraf dhakelti rahegi, lekin ab sab kuch Jerome Powell ke kal ke speech par munhasir hai, is liye mujooda level par short positions mein ehtiyaat kijiye. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein Scenario No. 1 ke hawalay se buy signals ko dekhoonga. Aaj, mein USD/JPY ko khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon jab yeh green line ke chart par 145.56 ke aas paas entry point par pohanche ga, aur maqsad 146.13 par pohanchna halfmsvckbzigb9xn9zsv2c8wvaihegfuyrcd2 adjust keogdis but cc 9a3h8fw74i82vt74y748t766yhd xnCx oh hsuabjx8smVdkgidbsushfidjkiowh9f hi 8wrb8wbd8rn3o2g9djownslzxjuci4k2o2ojwkejf bechart par mazboot green line se dikha gaya hai. 146.13 ke ilaaqe mein, mein long positions se nikal jaonga aur mukhalif rukh mein short positions kholonga, aur level se mukhalif rukh mein 30-35 pips ki movement ki tawakku karunga. Hum aaj ke din mein pair ke ooper ki taraf ek upward correction ka hissa hone ki umeed karte hain. Aham: Khareedne se pehle, yaqeen karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke ooper

Japanese Yen (JPY) ne Tuesday ko US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein apni girawat ko barhaya, pichle trading session ke nuqsan ko extend karte hue. Magar, Yen ki girawat BoJ ke hawkish stance aur BoJ aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke mukhtalif signals se had tak roki ja sakti hai. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ke comments, jo ke aage chal kar interest rate hikes ka imkaan de rahe hain, ne Yen ko mazid majboot banaya hai. Yeh stance Fed ke recent indications ke sath mukhalif hai, jo ke interest rate cuts ki mumkinat ko darshati hain. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ka Jackson Hole symposium mein diya gaya bayan, jabke policy adjustments ki zaroorat ko manne hai, lekin rate cuts ke timing ya magnitude ka koi specific detail nahi diya. San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly ka fauran rate cut ka support dena, Fed ke policy trajectory ke hawale se aur bhi uncertainty ka sabab bana hai. Yeh conflicting messaging US Dollar ke liye ek rukawat ban gayi hai, jo USD/JPY exchange rate par downward pressure daal rahi hai.
Technically, USD/JPY pair filhal downtrend line ko test kar raha hai, jo ke downside bias mein kamzori ka ishara de raha hai. Magar, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI abhi bhi 30 level se thoda upar hai, jo ke downtrend ke barqarar rehne ko darshata hai. Agar USD/JPY pair downtrend line ke niche girta hai, to yeh support seven-month low 141.69 ke Qareeb mil sakta hai. Upside par, agar immediate resistance ko nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 145.67 par paar kar liya jaye, to yeh 154.50 ke taraf move ko darshata hai 145.15 ke niche breakdown hota hai, to further declines ke seven-month low 141.60 aur December 28 low 140.20 ho sakte hain. Conclusion yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair mukhtalif se uncertainty ka samna kar raha hai Yen ko BoJ ke hawkish stance se support mila hai, Fed ke rate cuts aur overall economic outlook pair ke direction ko influence kar rahe hain

Jaise ke maine pehle bhi bataya tha, mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahan price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte

USD/JPY Currency Pair Analysis

Fundamental Overview

Yeh instrument, jo ke Amreeki dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan hai, aakhri kuch session mein kafi volatile raha hai, jo ke aham maashi data ke aakhri reports aur baazaar ke wasi trend se mutasir hua hai. Taza tareen US Nonfarm Payrolls report ke baad kafi ulat-pherat hui, aur yeh pair 230 pips ke range mein ghoomta raha. Data ke aane ke baad, pair mein thodi si girawat aayi, lekin bikne walay abhi tak qaboo mein hain. Is ki girawat ki ek aur wajah US 10-year Treasury yield mein kami thi, jis ne USD/JPY par mazeed downward pressure dala. Greenback ke mazeed mazboot honay ke bawajood, yen ki mazahmatiyat ne USD ke mazeed faide ko roka. Yeh aik pechida maashi soorat-e-haal paida karta hai, jahan maashi jazbat aur data releases mukhtalif simton mein is pair ko dhakel rahe hain

Technical Overview

Technical side par, USD/JPY ek mix soorat-e-haal dikhata hai, jahan bullishness ki alamatain nazar aa rahi hain. 4-hour chart par ek significant Hammer candlestick ubar rahi hai, jo agar session ke ikhtitam tak apni soorat mein rahe toh reversal ya aik notable upward move ki nishani ho sakta hai. Triangular Moving Average channel aur Zigzag indicator yeh izhaar karte hain ke pair upward trend mein hai, jo buying ke mauqaon ki taraf ishara karta hai. Iske alawa, Laguerre aur RSI oscillators bhi bullish activity ko support kar rahe hain. RSI ke mutabiq, market oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo aam tor par ek price rebound se pehle hota hai. Agar yeh upward momentum barqarar rehti hai, toh yeh pair 152.350 ke Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level ko target kar sakta hai. Phir bhi, traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur mazeed tasdeeq ka intezar karna chahiye jab tak ke position lena hai. Technical indicators bullish run ki taraf ishara karte hain, lekin maashi reports aur baazaar ki jazbat par bhi nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Agarche technical signals buying ke haqq mein hain, lekin maashi drivers bhi aane walay waqt mein is pair ki direction par asar andaz ho sakte hain

Good morning doston! Aaj subha main USD/JPY currency pair ki analysis provide karne ki koshish karunga. Yahaan, USD/JPY currency pair par gehri pressure hai aur yeh support area ko test kar raha hai jo ke 141.75 ke price level par hai. Yeh dekhna hoga ke price support area mein enter karti hai ya nahi. Chaliye, isko D1 time frame mein analyze karte hain.Further analysis se pehle, sab se pehle main moving average indicator tool period 21 aur moving average indicator period 34 ka use kar ke trend direction read karne ki koshish karunga D1 time frame par. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price abhi bhi moving average indicator ke neeche hai, jo ke iska matlab hai ke trend abhi bhi bearish side par hai. Lekin, price ne support level ko touch kar liya hai aur stochastic indicator saturation level par hai, toh USD/JPY currency pair ke pehle rise karne ki umeed hai.Bearish trend direction aur oversold stochastic indicator ke sath, humein pehle price correction ka wait karna chahiye position open karne ke liye kyun ke current price drag par enter karna bohat khatarnak hai. Main sell karunga jab stochastic indicator overbought territory mein ho aur uska tip downward ho. Yeh option current price par forced entry karne se zyada ideal hai.

Stop loss limit ke liye hum resistance area 147.18 ke price level ko use kar sakte hain aur target ke liye hum support level 138.00 ke price ko use kar sakte hain. Agar resistance area 147.18 par enter hota hai, toh hum sell bhool jayenge kyun ke trend bullish trend mein tabdeel ho jayega. Aur zyada tafseeli analysis ke liye, hum niche attached image ko refer kar sakte hain guide ke taur par. Yeh meri choti si analysis hai USD/JPY currency pair par, umeed hai ke yeh sab doston ke liye madadgar hogi. Yeh Invest Social forum ke members ke liye hai, may be useful.Pair ne aaj achi move ki lekin target tak nahi pohanch saka. Chart se pata chalta hai ke pair ne support level 141.75 ko test kiya aur abhi 142.41 ke price par trade ho raha hai. RSI range ke beech mein move kar raha hai aur downward uncertain lag raha hai, AO sell signal show kar raha hai, aur pair pichle din ke trading range ke neeche hai. Signals weak hain lekin decline ke likelihood ko indicate karte hain. Main assume karta hoon ke price support level 141.75 ko test karegi.Is analysis ke mutabiq, ehtiyaat ke sath selling recommend ki jati hai current prices se, target 141.80 ke saath. Lekin yaad rahe ke market achanak tabdeel ho sakti hai, is liye apne risks ko dhyan se assess karein

**USD/JPY D1 Market Analysis**
Subah bakhair doston. Aaj subah main USD/JPY currency pair ka analysis provide karne ki koshish karunga. USD/JPY currency pair is waqt gehri pressure mein hai aur price 141.75 ke support area ko test kar rahi hai. Dekhte hain kya price support area mein enter karegi ya nahi. Aayiye isse D1 time frame par analyse karte hain.

Pehle step ke liye, main moving average indicator tool period 21 aur moving average indicator period 34 ko D1 time frame par dekhunga. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price abhi bhi moving average indicator ke neeche hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Magar, price ne support level ko touch kiya hai aur stochastic indicator bhi saturation level par hai, isliye USD/JPY currency pair mein pehli udaan ki sambhavnayein hain.

Bearish trend direction aur oversold stochastic indicator ke sath, hume price correction ka intezar karna chahiye pehle position open karne ke liye, kyunki current price par enter karna risky ho sakta hai. Agar stochastic indicator overbought territory mein hai aur downward trend show kar raha hai, tab main sell karunga. Yeh option zyada ideal hai bajaye is waqt forced entry ke.

Stop loss limit ke liye, hum resistance area ko 147.18 ke price level par use ka r sakte hain aur target ke liye support level ko 138.00 ke price par rakh sakte hain. Agar resistance area 147.18 ko enter kar gaya, toh hum sell bhool jayenge kyunki trend bullish ho jayega. Detailed analysis ke liye niche attached image ko guide ke tor par refer kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh meri short analysis hai USD/JPY currency pair ke liye, ummeed hai doston ko madad milegi. Yeh Invest Social forum members ke liye hai.

Usdjpy pair ne sirf Jumay ko hi mazeed mazbooti dikhai hai, aur iss haftay yen dollar ke muqablay mein 2.3% tak ooper gaya hai. Japan ki economy mein kuch behtri ke asaar hain, lekin consumers abhi bhi kharch karnay se gurez kar rahe hain. Japan ki household spending mein July ke dauran 0.1% ka izafa dekhne ko mila, jo ke June ke 1.4% ke girawat se zarur behtar hai, lekin market ki umeed se (1.2%) kafi kam tha. Isi tarah se, mahana (month-on-month) household spending mein July ke dauran 1.7% ki girawat dekhne ko mili jo ke pichle 6 maheenon ki sabse bari girawat thi. Yeh data June ke mahine ke 0.1% izafa se bohat neeche tha aur market ke -0.2% ke estimate se bhi zyada girawat thi.
Aaj ka US non-farm payrolls report bhi kafi anticipated tha kyun ke yeh financial markets ko hilaa sakta hai aur Fed ke future steps ka bhi taayun kar sakta hai. July mein 114,000 naye jobs aaye thay jo ke market expectations se kafi kam thay aur jiss ki wajah se global financial markets bhi hil gaye thay. Market ne abhi kuch had tak recovery zarur kar li hai, lekin investors abhi bhi cautious hain. August ke liye market ka estimate 160,000 jobs ka hai. Agar non-farm payrolls expected ya us se zyada aata hai, toh Fed se 25-point hike ki umeed barh jayegi. Lekin agar report expected se kam aata hai toh phir 50 bps cut ke liye expectations barh jati hain.

CME FedWatch ke mutabiq, markets abhi 50 bps cut ki umeed ko 43% aur 25 bps hike ko 67% rate kar rahe hain, lekin din ke ikhtitami moments tak yeh rates badal bhi sakte hain. USD/JPY pair ke intraday movement dekh kar lagta hai ke downtrend ho sakta hai. Price ne lowest Fibonacci retracement support level se neeche break kiya hai. Kuch retracements zarur hain, lekin mujhe uptrend ke imkaan bohat kam lagte hain. Mein sirf tabhi buy orders consider karunga jab kuch points cross karke buyers ki intentions clear ho jayein.

Main yeh bhi dikhana chahta hoon ke USD/JPY weekly retracement ke context mein kis jagah par trade kar raha hai. 23.6% support level se neeche break kar gaya hai aur ab thoda upar ki taraf aane ki koshish kar raha hai. Neeche ka target 38.2% level hai. Agar price minimum se neeche consolidate karta hai, toh yeh level hit hone ke chances zyada hain. Uptrend evaluate karne ka faida tabhi hai jab yeh 38.2% level hit ho jaye.