usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Forex trading strategy
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Meri nazar me, US dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi ne apni tezi ko rok diya hai aur ab short positions kholna mumkin hai. Mai tawaqqo karta hun keh yah jodi 156.441 ki muzahmati satah se palat jayegi aur niche ki taraf jayegi. 155.530 ki support satah ko hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Mai tawaqqo karta hun keh nuqsanat dobara shuru karne se pahle qimat me ucchal aayega. Bahar hal, sab se zyada mumkena scenario niche ki taraf movement ki tajwiz karta hai.

Good morning sab ko, is waqt ke halat me, keemat ka pattern ek uptrend ko dikhata hai. Magar, position kholne se pehle reversal ki tasdeeq zaroori hai. Reversal confirmation signals bazar ke jazbat me aik aham tabdeeli dikhate hain aur traders ko apne faislay mein zyada yaqeen dilate hain. Confirmation ka intezar karne se jaldbazi mein position lene ka khatra kam hota hai aur market ke ravish ke saath alignment ko ensure karta hai. Aage dekhte hue, agar pair 154.25 ke resistance level ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai agle dinon mein, toh yeh bazar ke jazbat mein tabdeeli ka ishara ho sakta hai girawat ke hawale se. Aisi breakout increased bullish momentum ko dikhayegi aur JPY ko 154.60-155.20 area ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Traders ko is important level ke qareeb price movements ko ghore se dekhna chahiye taake potential reversal ki taqat ka andaza lagaya ja sake aur apni trading strategies ko mutabiq adjust kar sakein.
Mukhtasir yeh ke, D1 chart par trend line ka resistance price ke upar jane mein potential challenges dikhata hai. Uptrend ke andar corrections puri hone ki umeed hai, magar traders ko naye positions kholne se pehle reversal confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. 154.25 ke resistance level ke upar breakout market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka ishara ho sakti hai aur JPY ke liye mazeed upside potential ko lead kar sakti hai. Magar, prudent risk management aur trading principles ka ehtiraam zaroori hai taake in market dynamics ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake

Ek mohtaat rukh ikhtiyar karna, khaaskar agar price 156.50 se ooper chali jaye, aik prudent trading strategy ko reflect karta hai. Yeh rukh reversals ya corrective movements ke imkanat ko samajhta hai, aur volatile market conditions se mutaliq possible risks ko kam karta hai. Market signals ke liye hoshiyar aur responsive rehkar, traders fluctuations ko effectively navigate kar sakte hain aur moazzan moqay se faida utha sakte hain. Iske ilawa, weekly support zone par tawajjo comprehensive nature of analysis ko reinforce karti hai. Weekly support zones market sentiment ke key indicators hote hain aur broader trend movements mein valuable insights offer karte hain. Analysis mein is pehlu ko shaamil karke market dynamics ko samajhne ka behtareen tareeqa milta hai aur decision-making processes ko mazid mazboot banata hai

USD/JPY currency pair ne pichle session se lekar puray haftay tak apni position ko 151.47 ke darje ke ird gird mabni ek consolidation phase ke andar barqarar rakha. Ye phase ek mahatvapurn harkat hai, jo market participants ke sentiment aur future direction ke baray mein ahem maloomat faraham kar sakta hai. Consolidation phase ka matlab hota hai ke market mein trading range narrow ho jati hai aur price movements mein kami aati hai. Ye aksar ek trend ke baad ya phir ek upcoming event ya news release se pehle dekha jata hai. Is phase mein traders usually cautious ho jate hain aur price ke around ke levels ko closely monitor karte hain, expecting a breakout in one direction or the other. Is samay, USD/JPY pair ka 151.47 ke aas paas consolidation phase mein rehna ek significant point hai. Agar ye level sustain hota hai, to ye indicate karta hai ke market participants ke beech mein strong consensus hai aur price mein kisi badi movement ki ummed kam hoti hai. Lekin, agar is level ko break kiya jata hai, to ye ek potential trend reversal ka indication ho sakta hai, jisse market mein increased volatility aur directional movement dekha ja sakta hai. Is consolidation phase ke doran, traders apni positions ko adjust karte hain aur upcoming catalysts ka wait karte hain, jaise ki economic data releases, central bank announcements, ya geopolitical events. In sab factors ka impact market sentiment aur USD/JPY pair ke price movement par pad sakta hai. Ek chuninda strategy ye ho sakti hai ke traders is phase mein range-bound trading ka faida uthate hue, yani ki support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan trade karte hue, jab tak ke breakout na ho. Breakout ke baad, traders ko apni positions ko adjust karne ki zarurat hoti hai aur trend ke according trading strategies ko implement karna hota hai. Is samay, global economic conditions aur central bank policies bhi USD/JPY pair ke movement par asar dal rahe hain. Economic indicators, jaise ki GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation figures, market mein volatility create kar sakte hain aur currency pair ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain. Overall, USD/JPY currency pair ka 151.47 ke darje ke aas paas consolidation phase mein rehna market participants ke liye ek important observation hai. Traders ko market ke upcoming catalysts ka wait karna chahiye aur price ke around ke levels ko closely monitor karte hue, taaki unhe potential breakout ya trend reversal ka pata chal sake aur unka trading strategy uske accordingly adjust ho sake.

A Deep Dive into USD/JPY Predictions

USD/JPY currency pair ne Asia ke Tuesday subah ek damakha liya aur 156.47 ke aas paas stable ho gaya. Ye haal is se pehle ke US dollar ke ek tezi ko follow karta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko barhane ke hawale se aai signals se chal raha hai. Investors naye cues ki talaash mein hain taake currency pair ko ek wazeh raaste mein push kiya ja sake. Is hafte US mein kai ahem data releases aane wale hain, jinmein Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), aur retail sales figures shaamil hain. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve ke afraad Jefferson aur Mister ki taqreeren bhi calendar par hain. Pehle din ko, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne Japanese government bonds ke purchases ko kam karke apni ultra-loose monetary policy mein ek mumkinah tabdeeli ki ishaara kiya. Is ne kuch logon mein normalization ki umeed ko jagah di. Jesay ruling party ke member Katsunobu Kato. Magar BoJ ehtiyaat se kaam le kar raha hai, economic conditions ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhne aur sarkar ke saath rates ko barhane se pehle kaam karne ki zaroorat ko emphasize karte hue. Dilchasp baat ye hai keh Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ke bawajood, financial markets nazar andaaz hain ke qareebi rate cuts par. June mein rate cut ki umeed sirf 5% par gir gayi hai, pehle haftay ki 10% se. Isi tarah, September mein cut ki imkaan 75% se 90% tak ghata. Ye sentiment mein tabdeeli US ke University of Michigan ke preliminary consumer confidence index ke mutabiq haal hi mein ek giravat se milta hai. Magar USD/JPY jodi ke liye ek musbat nishan hai. Inflation ki umeedain November 2023 se unki unchi hui hain, jo ke US dollar ko boost dene mein madadgar ho sakti hain. Agar USD/JPY ke aagey tezi se badhti rahe, to wo 156.40 ke resistance level ko challenge kar sakti hai aur 34 saal ki unchaai tak 160.25 tak pahunch sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar jodi ko bechne ka dabaav mehsoos hota hai, to kisi khaas level par support hosakta hai, aur mazeed kamzori dusre ahem level par target ho sakti hai. Ek ahem giravat phir ek aur support level ko khelne mein la sakta hai. Is hafte ke data aur central bank ke ilaanat USD/JPY ka agla qadam tay karne mein ahem sabit honge. Investors in waqiyat ko qareeb se nazarandaz karenge ke dollar apni momentum ko barqarar rakh sake ya phir yen wapas aa sakti hai.

USDJPY

Assalam-o-Alaikum! Aap sab doston ko forum pe salaam! Price moving average ke upar trade kar rahi hai, isliye hum sirf long trades mein dakhil hote hain. Tijarat ki tasdiq ke liye main MACD oscillator ka istemal karta hoon. Chart dikhata hai ke oscillator histogram 0 ke neeche hai, isliye hum intezar karte hain ke khareedne se pehle signal tabdeel ho. Is instrument ki khareedari justified hai 150.85 par. Yeh aaj munafa ka shuru karne ke liye aik acha jagah hai. Hum apni transaction pe nuqsan ko stop loss level tak mehdood karte hain. Main apna stop 150.65 par set karta hoon. Risk 2% hai jama ki rakam ka. Main bada percentage risk lene ki tawajjo nahi deta. Hum is transaction pe munafa fix karte hain, take profit 151.45 par.

Aaj ke liye USD/JPY ke liye din ka balance 151.40 par hai, H4 ke liye support ab bhi 151.40 par hai, 150.15 ka level khud mein mushkil hai, H4 ke liye support 150.65 par hai jaise pehle tha, aakhir mein ab tak sab kuch agle izafay ki taraf le ja raha hai. Agar pair din ka balance 151.40 ko na toray, to mein samjhoonga ke USD/JPY 153.10 ke darmiyani-muddat target ki taraf barh raha hai, jahan se rukawat aayegi 152.70 se rawana hoke 152.05 ki taraf aur phir 153.10 ki taraf barh raha hai, jahan main bada octate ko rukhna nahi talta hoon. Agar pair 151.40 ke balance ko rawana karte hue rukawat ko paar kar sakta hai, to hum dobara support H1 150.40 ki taraf rukh lenge. Din ka balance 151.40 ko torne ke baad, pehle se 150.70 se rawana hoke, pair naye din ka balance ki taraf rawana hoke, jo 152.05 par hoga, jahan ke baad girawat support H1 150.40 ki taraf jari rahegi, yeh bata ke naya din ka balance 152.05 nahi toota hai. Agar support H1 150.40 na toote, to SNVOA pair is se barh kar 153.10 aur 156.25, darmiyani-muddat targets ki taraf rawana ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ke liye bullish potential abhi tak khatam nahi hua hai. Kuch recent developments aur factors ki wajah se yeh pair aur bhi strong ho sakta hai. Kharidari ki fouj ke kamiyabi ke sath, jo qeemat ko 158.58 ke darje tak buland karne mein kamyab rahi hai, yeh sirf ek suraagh hai un tamam factors ka jo is currency pair ke liye bullish trend ko aur bhi mazboot banate ja rahe hain. Pehli baat toh yeh hai ke economic indicators mein kuch ummed ki roshni nazar aarahi hai, jo ki USD ke favor mein hai. US ki economy mein growth ke signs, employment data ki behtar performance aur monetary policy ke saath consistent stance, sab is currency pair ko bullish banane mein madadgar hain. Federal Reserve ke dovish stance aur low interest rates ki wajah se dollar ki demand kam ho rahi hai, jo ki USD/JPY ko support kar rahi hai. Dusri baat, geopolitical tensions bhi ek factor hain jo is pair ko bullish bana sakta hai. Agar koi tensions ya instability arise hoti hai, toh investors dollar ki taraf attract hote hain, jo ki USD/JPY ko upar le ja sakta hai. Teesri aur ek important factor hai technical analysis ka. Agar hum current trend ko dekhein toh USD/JPY ka chart bullish patterns display kar raha hai, jaise ke higher highs aur higher lows. Yeh ek positive indication hai ke bullish trend continue ho sakta hai. Iske alawa, US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy aur Bank of Japan ke actions bhi USD/JPY ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain. Agar Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko tighten karta hai aur interest rates ko increase karta hai, toh yeh USD ke liye positive hoga aur USD/JPY ko aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai. Saath hi, Japan ki economic conditions aur monetary policy bhi is pair ke movement par asar daal sakti hai. Overall, USD/JPY currency pair ke liye bullish potential abhi tak khatam nahi hua hai aur investors ko is trend ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Economic indicators, geopolitical factors, technical analysis aur central bank policies sabhi is pair ke movement ko influence kar sakte hain.

Jab 155.81 ke qeemat ka imtehan waqt ke sath hua, to MACD indicator ne zero mark se oopar chalna shuru kiya, jo dollar khareedne ka dakhil nuskha tasdeeq karta hai. Magar, 10 pips barhne ke baad, kamzor Amreeki data ne USD/JPY jori par dabao dala. Japan mein gharo ki kharch ki achi bunyadi alamat, bank ke ujrat volume mein tabdiliyan, aur mojooda hisaab ki wazahat ne bazaar ko dhamaka diya. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator ka istemal dollar khareedne ke maqool raaste ko nazarandaz karne ki koshish karta hai. Is indicator ka zero mark se oopar chalna USD/JPY jori ke liye ek sabaq sikhata hai. Lekin, jab USD/JPY 10 pips barh gaya, tab Amreeki data ki kamzori ne is jori par dabao dala. Japan mein gharo ki kharch ki achi bunyadi alamat ne bhi is jori par asar dala. Gharo ki kharch mein izafa hone ki wajah se, USD/JPY mein bhaar ka izafa dekha gaya. Bank ke ujrat volume mein tabdiliyan bhi is maamle par guzar gayi, jo ke bazaar ko aur zyada dabao diya. Mojooda hisaab ki wazahat ne bhi is mudde ko mazeed shiddat se uthaya. Jab tak mojooda hisaab ki wazahat na ki jaye, USD/JPY jori par maamlaat asani se tez nahi ho sakte. Is wazahat ke baghair, bazaar mein tehqeeqat aur tajziayat ki kami thi, jo ke asal haqeeqat ko samajhne mein mushkil banati thi. Is tarah, USD/JPY jori par jab dabao aya, to market ne is par ghair mutawaqqa tarah se react kiya. Is waqt, zaroori hai ke investors aur traders mojooda maahol aur aghaazat ko samajhne ki koshish karen, taake unko apne faislon par pura yaqeen ho. Jab hum maujooda market analysis par nazar daal rahe hote hain, to D1 chart par ek mukhtasir jhalak se maloom hota hai ke qeemat ek trend line se rukawat ka samna kar rahi hai. Yeh observation bohot ahem hai aur yeh zahir hota hai ke market mein ek khaas level par qeemat mein izafa ya kami ki sambhavna hai. Is rukawat ka mojood hona market ke dynamics mein mazeed ahmiyat ka izhar karta hai. Trend line se rukawat ka hona ek aham signal hai, khas tor par jab yeh upar ki taraf ki rukh mein dekha jata hai.

Trend lines market analysis mein ek mukhtasir tarika hote hain qeemat ki rukh aur patterns ko samajhne ka. In lines ko draw karna asaan hota hai aur inka istemal kar ke traders aur investors market ke mizaj ko samajh sakte hain. Jab ek trend line ko draw karte hain, to hum qeemat ki ek aham rukh ko represent karte hain. Agar qeemat is trend line se neeche chali jati hai ya is se bahar nikal jati hai, to yeh ek signal ho sakta hai ke market dynamics mein tabdili aayi hai. Jab trend line par rukawat ka samna hota hai, jaise ke maujooda scenario mein dekha gaya hai, to yeh ek indication hai ke market ki qeemat us level par stable ho gayi hai. Iska matlab hai ke wahaan par traders aur investors ke darmiyan ek khaas consensus ban gaya hai ke us level par qeemat mein tabdili honi chahiye. Is rukawat ka hona ek mazeed tajziya aur analysis ki zarurat hoti hai. Kuch traders is rukawat ko ek potential reversal point ke tor par dekhte hain, matlab ke market ka rukh badal sakta hai. Yeh rukawat upar ki taraf ki rukh mein dekhne par mazeed ahem ho jati hai, kyun ke yeh indicate karta hai ke qeemat ka izafa mumkin hai. Agar yeh rukawat ek uptrend ke doran hoti hai, to yeh ek bullish signal hai aur traders ko yeh indication deta hai ke market mein mazeed izafa mumkin hai. Is waqt, traders ko zyada tar bullish positions lena pasand hota hai, ummeed karte hue ke market ki rukh upar ki taraf jari rahegi. Lekin, ahem hai ke yeh trend line se rukawat sirf ek indicator hai aur isay akela hi istemal nahi kiya ja sakta. Traders ko dusri technical aur fundamental analysis bhi karni chahiye taake woh sahi faislay kar sakein. Trend line se rukawat ka hona sirf ek piece of puzzle hai jo market ke mizaj ko samajhne mein madad karta hai.

USD/JPY Subah bakhair! Main bhi mazeed girawat ke ek mushabihat ke tajziya par gaur kar raha hoon, haalaanki main yakeen rakhta hoon ke kam az kam 156.35 tak jana chahiye, main wahan 138.2 Fibonacci grid mark ka hai, aam tor par, Price Action method ne hamein "bearish engulfing" diya hai plus aik technical figure - "key reversal", yaani, "do ek sath", to south ki taraf nikalne ki imkaan buhat zyada hai. Fikri bunyadon ke hawale se, afsos ke saath, Monday ko economic calendar hamare liye madadgar nahi hai, kyunki US dollar aur Japanese yen dono ke liye teen sitaron wale category mein koi khabar nahi hai. Thodi dair baad main scalping ke sath mutalliq surat ka tajziya karunga, lekin main seedha kehta hoon - aapko intraday pivot levels ki naye jagah ka intezar karna chahiye - ye aksar acha range faraham karte hain. Subah bakhair! Naye trading haftay ki shuruwat par mubarakbad deta hoon, azeezon aur aqeedat mand doston ke liye! Japanese yen ke mukablay mein United States dollar ke price chart ke hawale se halaat buhat dilchaspi hain. Ek taqatwar bech ka signal forex market mein dakhil ho raha hai aur yeh mumkin hai ke aik technical correction uptrend pattern ke nichle had tak jari rahe. Is tarah, 146.43 bucks per geisha tak pohanchne ka ek moqa hai. Ek kutta bagh mein bhag raha tha, uska dum ooper tha, woh badbu maar raha tha, to yahan hamare liye masla hai. Bilkul, kharidaron ke liye bhi ek doosra raasta hai jo neechay ke impulse ko jhoka lekar agle oonchi ko naye high ke sath update karna hai. Main dono haadson ki imkaan ka andaza 50 feesad darj karta hoon. Hum sab ko pasand hai! Baraarat ki weekly dour par dehan dijiyega.



USD/JPY pair aaj ke din ke khulne ke level 155.85 aur daily Pivot level 155.51 ke upar hai. Mool adarshak uttar ki taraf ishaara karte hain aur keemat trend line MA72 ke upar hai, jahan volume ki farahmi aam tor par hoti hai. Agar keemat 155.95 ke level ke upar jaati hai, to main 156.15 ke resistance levels tak pair ki umeed rakhta hoon aur shayad 156.25 ke level tak bhi ja sakti hai. Agar keemat 155.51 ke level ke neeche jaati hai, to yeh pair 155.25 ke level tak aur shayad 154.85 tak utre ga. USD/JPY monthly Pivot level 156.25 (149.90) ke neeche hai (weekly Pivot level 154.85 aur daily Pivot level 155.51 ke upar hai, jo humein pair ke liye correction ke mood ka andaza deta hai. 154.85 ke upar, pair ne correction shuru kiya; 154.85 ke weekly Pivot level ke neeche, pair South jaayega. Japanese government ab tahalka rokne ki koshish kar rahi hai aur rukoobi nazar aati hai. Keemat ab ek naye resistance level 155.88 bana rahi hai. Main USDJPY currency pair ko 30-minute chart par dekh raha hoon (meri intraday trading ke liye kaam karne ki wakt). Ab price 155.855 par hai, aur ye Bollinger indicator ke upper half mein hai. Mujhe lagta hai ki ek kharidari trade kholna acha idea hoga. Kharidaron ko keemat ko 155.923 ke level tak utha sakti hai, jo upper Bollinger band hai. Jab keemat is level tak pohanchegi, to main apni long position band karunga, faida utha kar. Magar agar kharidaron ka buhat tawaqqu ho, to shayad keemat 155.923 se bhi ooper jaaye. Main 155.800 ke level par gehra dhyaan doonga, khaaskar agar bechne walon ka dum dikhayi de aur keemat is level ke neeche jaaye. Agar keemat 155.800 ke neeche gir jaati hai aur wahin rehti hai, to yeh baat mujhe sambhalne par majboor karegi mumkin bechnay ke imkaan par ghor karna. Aur agar woh bhi 155.800 ke neeche mojood hai, to bechne ki taraf meri priority ban jaayegi. Is surat mein, main neechay ki Bollinger border level - 155.677 ke vikaas ke mumkin baray mein sochunga. Main tawanai aur market mein hone wale waqiyat par mutabiq banne ki koshish karta hoon.

Painting ki gayi tasveer, aaj ek aise mauqe ko agle kadam uthane ke liye bhara gaya hai, jahan traders apne aage ke challenges aur opportunities ke liye tayyar hote hain. Iss daima badalte manzar mein, himmat ka hona zaroori hai, jab har tabdeeli aur trend nateejay ko prakat karta hai. Jaise din guzarte hain, manzar alag rishtey, istiqamat aur himmat bhari kahaniyon ke liye set hai, jahan market ke shirkeen apne maqasid ki talash mein jama hote hain, peechle nuqsano se beparwah. Aakhir mein, ek baat sabit hai ke karobar ka be-moazziz ruh har shakhs ko naye raste chart karne aur kal ki umeed par kabza karne ke liye dawat deta hai. Umeed hai, USD/JPY ki keemat kharidar ko aane wale ghanto mein aur mumkinat faraham karegi. Khush rahein aur muskurahatein!Magar, 10 pips ki barhao ke baad, kamzor Amreeki data ne USD/JPY pair par dabaav dala. Japan mein gharo ki kharch ki achi bunyadi alamat, bank ke ujrat volume mein tabdiliyan, aur mojooda hisaab ki w


azahat ne bazaar ko subah barqarar rakhne ki mumkin banaya. Rozana ki unchi ko toorna nakam hone ke baad aur naumeedi wala Amreeki shehri ehsas index, sath hi Amreeki mein mehsool ki bunyadi umeedein, dollar dobara dabao mein thi. Aaj, mujhe umeed hai ke jodi channel ke andar trade karegi, jahan traders dollar ko naye muqami unchayon par update karne ke liye sargarm honge. Magar, kam se kam unchayon par amal karna behtar hai. Roz marra ki strategy ke mutabiq, main scenerio No. 1 aur No. 2 par zyada bhrosa karunga.Aaj, main USD/JPY kharidna chahta hoon jab tak ke qeemat 155.96 tak pohanch jaye jo ke chat par hari lakeer dvara plot kiya gaya hai, aur 156.25 tak ki umeed hai jo ke chat par moti hari lakeer dvara plot ki gayi hai. 156.25 ke ilaqe mein, main long positions ko nikalunga aur ulte rukh mein chhote positions kholunga, us ilaqe se 30-35 pips ke ulte rukh ki harkat ki umeed hai. Aaj, aap USD/JPY ki aajzi ke silsile mein izafai trend ka intezar kar sakte hain. Kharidne se pehle, ye daryaft karen ke MACD indicator zero mark ke oopar hai aur bas is se oopar uthna shuru ho raha hai.Main aaj bhi USD/JPY kharidne ka irada rakhta hoon agar MACD indicator oversold ilaqe mein ho aur 155.72 ke do musalsal imtehan ke waqt. Ye jori ke nichle mumkinat ko had mein rakhega aur bazar ka ulta rukh hoga. Ham umeed karte hain ke 155.96 aur 156.25 ke mutradif darjo tak.

At the moment, USDJPY pair ka daam ek rukawat area ka samna kar raha hai jo ke isay haftay ke pivot level ki taraf le ja sakta hai pehle dobara barhne se pehle. Is haftay, daam ne laal channel ke andar trading shuru ki, jiska rukh peechle haftay ke price movement ka ek numainda hai. Pehle haftay se pehle ke haftay mein, daam ko mazboot fluctuating movements ka samna karna para, jin mein se zyadatar ne neechay ki taraf kiya, aur isliye is ke paas channel hai jo ke daam ke movement par zyada asar daalti hai, jo ke neela channel hai aur uska rukh bearish hai. Daam abhi laal channel ke bahar trading kar raha hai aur haftay ke 156.88 ke weekly resistance ka samna karne ke baad neeche jhukne laga hai. Isliye, mumkin hai ke daam haftay ke pivot level tak 154.85 ke taraf gir jaye. Iqtasadi tor par, ehmiyat se pehle ke arz-e-ghair mamooli mein Japani maal ka daam lagbhag 156 har dollar par gir gaya aur is par dabaav bana rehta hai jab ke investors is haftay Japan ki quarter ke GDP report mein invest karte hain. Pichle haftay, Japani currency ne taqreeban 2% girawat kiya, ke bawajood ke Bank of Japan ke April policy meeting ne yeh sumar kiya ke board ne mahangi ke upar ke khatron ko zikar kiya aur mazeed interest rate barhane ke scenarios par guftagu ki. Report ne bhi Japani yen ke kamzori ko mahangaai ke izafa ka bara sabab qarar diya, jo ke central bank ki tawajju ko bharkaya. Magar, BOJ tawajju ko arzi tor par behrhaal mazidari karne ke dauran qayam rakhegi jab tak ke iqtisadi fa'aliyat aur umeedon ke barhne ke outlook ko tajziya kiya jaaye. Dusri taraf, America ke bashindah mahangi ke umeedain agle saal 2024 mein April mein 3.3% tak barh gayi, jo ke November se wohi sabse zyada darja tha, 3% ke agle chaar mahinon mein har mahine. Agle saal ke liye keemat ki umeedain sab areas mein barh gayi, khaaskar gas (+0.3 percentage points tak 4.8%), khana (+0.2 percentage points tak 5.3%), tibbi nigaah mein (+0.6 percentage points tak 8.7%), aur university taleem (+0.6 percentage points tak 8.7%) Khaas kar kar tibbi nigaah (+0.6 percentage points tak 8.7%), makan kiraye (+0.4 percentage points tak 9.1%) Aam makaan ke keemat ke barhne ki umeed bhi 3.3% tak barh gayi, jo ke July 2022 se wohi sabse zyada darja tha, saath hee saath 3% ke 7 musalsal mahinon tak barqarar rahi.

USD/JPY Trading Analysis aur Tips

151.81 ka test, jo MACD line ke zero se upar uthne ke sath tha, ne ek buy signal diya jisse price mein 15 pips ka izafa hua. Thodi der baad, pair par pressure wapas aa gaya.

Japan ki money supply data ke kamzori aur Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ke conflicting statements ke bawajood, dollar horizontal range mein trade karta raha, kyunke US services sector ke PMI data bhi weak the, jo pair ke upward potential ko limit kar rahe the. Sirf is range se breakout hi USD/JPY mein stronger movement la sakta hai.

Long Positions ke liye:

Buy jab price 151.76 (chart par green line) ko hit kare aur take profit 152.02 par set karein. Growth tab ho sakti hai jab buyers upper boundary of the horizontal channel ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jayein.

Buy karte waqt ensure karein ke MACD line zero se upar ho ya upar uth rahi ho. USD/JPY ko do consecutive price tests ke baad bhi kharidne ka sochain agar 151.61 par ho, magar MACD line oversold area mein ho, tab market reverse karke 151.76 aur 152.02 ko hit karega.

Short Positions ke liye:

Sell jab price 151.61 (chart par red line) ko reach kare aur take profit 151.36 par set karein. Pressure wapas aayega jab yearly high ke ird-gird consolidate karne ka unsuccessful attempt hoga.

Sell karte waqt ensure karein ke MACD line zero se neeche ho ya neeche gir rahi ho. USD/JPY ko do consecutive price tests ke baad bhi bechne ka sochain agar 151.76 par ho, magar MACD line overbought area mein ho, tab market reverse karke 151.61 aur 151.36 ko hit karega.

Chart Par:

• Patli green line - entry price jahan aap USD/JPY ko buy kar sakte hain
• Moti green line - estimated price jahan aap Take-Profit (TP) set kar sakte hain ya manually profits fix kar sakte hain, kyunke is level se aage growth unlikely hai.
• Patli red line - entry price jahan aap USD/JPY ko sell kar sakte hain
• Moti red line - estimated price jahan aap Take-Profit (TP) set kar sakte hain ya manually profits fix kar sakte hain, kyunke is level se neeche decline unlikely hai.
• MACD line - market mein entry karte waqt overbought aur oversold areas ko guide lene ke liye important hai.

Important: Naye traders ko market mein entry decisions lete waqt bohot ehtiyaat karni chahiye. Important reports release hone se pehle, market se bahar rehna behtar hai taake sharp fluctuations se bach sakein. Agar news release ke dauran trade karne ka sochte hain, to hamesha stop orders lagayein taake losses ko minimize kar sakein. Stop orders lagaye bina, aap bohot jaldi apna poora deposit lose kar sakte hain, khaaskar agar aap money management use nahi karte aur large volumes mein trade karte hain.

Aur yaad rakhein ke successful trading ke liye aapko ek clear trading plan hona zaroori hai. Maujooda market situation par spontaneous trading decision ek inherently losing strategy hai ek intraday trader ke liye.

Price test of 155.82 us waqt hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se neeche move karna shuru hua, jo dollar sell karne ka entry point confirm karta hai. Iska natija yeh hua ke USD/JPY pair lagbhag 15 pips gira, aur bas itna hi. Dopehar mein, price test 155.96 jab MACD indicator zero mark se upar move karna shuru hua, buy signal produce hua, jo pair ko 30 pips se zyada upar le gaya. Aaj ka data on Producer Price Index for Japanese corporations ne pair ki dynamics par significant asar nahi dala, isliye dollar ka potential ab bhi hai rise hone ka. Lekin sab kuch badal sakta hai aaj ke US data ke baad, isliye traders ko advise kiya jata hai ke current highs par purchases karte waqt ehtiyat bartein. Yeh clear nahi hai ke Federal Reserve chief latest US labor market data par kaise react karenge aur current situation aur interest rates par kya comment karenge. Lekin hum isko dopehar ke forecast mein zyada tafseel se discuss karenge. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenarios No. 1 aur No. 2 par rely karunga.
Buy Signals

Scenario No. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY khareedne ka plan banata hoon jab price entry point 156.52 (jo chart par green line se plot hai) par pohonche, growth target 157.13 (jo chart par thicker green line se plot hai) rakhta hoon. 157.13 ke area mein, main long positions ko exit karunga aur ulte direction mein short positions open karunga, expecting 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein us level se. USD/JPY ki growth aaj upward trend ke continuation mein ho sakti hai. Khareedne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur wahan se rise karna shuru ho raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj USD/JPY khareedne ka plan do consecutive tests of 156.28 par banata hoon jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ka downward potential limit karega aur market ko upward reversal karega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 156.52 aur 157.13 tak.
Sell Signals


Scenario No. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY sell karne ka plan sirf 156.28 level ke testing ke baad banata hoon (jo chart par red line se plot hai), jo price mein rapid decline lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target 155.89 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur ulte direction mein long positions immediately open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein us level se. USD/JPY par pressure return ho sakta hai agar price aaj ke high ke paas settle hone mein fail hota hai. Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur wahan se decline karna shuru ho raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj USD/JPY sell karne ka plan do consecutive tests of 156.52 price par banata hoon jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko downward reversal karega. Hum decline expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 156.28 aur 155.89 tak.

Aaj ka tajziya USD/JPY ka wazeh bullish mansooba dikhata hai. Haal hi ke qeemat ki harkat ke sath sath ahem resistance aur support darwazon ki mushahidat ke baad, faisla kiya gaya hai ke sirf long positions par tawajjo di jaye gi. Is uroojati harkat ka aakhri nishana USD/JPY daily H4 waqt ki chart par 153.75 ke upper resistance boundary par tay kiya gaya hai. Tamam muamalat shafafiyat aur zimmedari ke liye maharat se darust kiye jayenge. Halankeh aaj ke tajrat ke liye fori support level ka istemal karne ka soch sakte hain, lekin yeh qabil-e-tawajjo hai ke nateejay behtar na niklein jitne ke mufeed darwazon se karobar karna. Is liye, maine apne tajziye mein zyada waday darwaze par ek doosra support level ka intikhab kiya hai jo meri qeemat ke mutabiq zyada ummedwar hai. Chahe long position ke dakhil hone ka bhi nukta ho, stop loss mustaqil rehta hai. Zariyat muqarrar aur darwazon ka wazeh hona ke sath, main potential market opportunities ke liye mustaid hoon. Bank of Japan se dollar ki numaya daryaft mein wazeela izafa hua aur jald bazari ne ise jazb kar liya

Yeh amal Bank of Japan ka doosra currency intervention ka ek aur waqiya darust karta hai. Pichhle interventions mein, jab USD/JPY joda 155 ke qareeb pohnchta tha, to unho ne funds dakhil kiye aur ise us darwaze se neeche rakhne mein kamyabi haasil ki. Magar, ek achanak dollar ki taqat ka bazaar mein gehra surghuzish joda ko us nishan ko torne par majboor kar diya, jis se Bank of Japan ne action lena chaha. Filhal, unho ne joda ko 185 par mustaimal kiya hai, jisse unka irada is darwaze ko mustaimal rakhna hai agar dollar mein mazeed bharak uthaye gaye, jo mumkin hai aane wale inflation data se. Magar, yeh ahem data points mazeed aik haftay tak mutawaqqa nahi hain. Aaj, japani traders ko chhuti manane ke doran, USD/JPY ko khareedne ki taza dilchaspi ka nazar aata hai. Magar, raat mein musibatein hain aur natija mukhtalif reh sakta hai

Pair jo tajziati jaiza kar raha hai, uske liye upar ki taraf ki raftar jaari hai. Technical analysis dikhata hai ke char ghanton ke chart par, daam Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke oopar trade kar raha hai, baadlon ke upar, Chikou span line daam chart ke upar hai, aur "golden cross" fa active phase mein hai. Bollinger bands upar ki taraf muntaqil hain, relative strength index 50 ke upar ja raha hai, MACD oscillator ke volumes barh rahe hain, aur trend filter oscillator hara rang hai, jo ek bullish market mood ka ishara hai. Is waqt tahaffuz karne ka tariqa shopping hai. Main 154.67 ke resistance level ko ek upar ki taraf ki harakat ke liye ek mumkin nishana samajhta hoon. Jab tak daam critical Kijun-sen line ke oopar trade kar raha hai, kharidari ko priority samjha jayega. Is level par wapas aane se kharidari ki ahmiyat kam ho jayegi. Ek mutabaadil option ke liye taiyar hone ki mumkinat hai jab tak daam baadlon ke nichle hisse mein trade kar raha hai, signal lines ke "dead cross" ke banne par muntazir hai. Click image for larger version


USDJPY currency pair ke liye uttar disha ke raaste zyada hai. H1 waqt frame par, ahem urooj wa faraq ko darust kiya gaya hai, jaise ke zig zag indicator dikhata hai, jo ahem madan aur buland urooj ko darust karta hai. Trend indicator, ek moving average hai jiska mudda 120 hai, daam ke neeche, yeh kharidaron ki taqat ko darust karta hai. Aaj 153.90 ke level se kharidari ko ghoor ke dekha jaye to behtar hai, pehla take profit 154.30 ke price level par rakha jaye, doosra take profit behtar hai 154.70 ke level par rakha jaye, aur do orders ke liye stop loss 153.60 ke level par rakha jaye. Agar pair 153.30 ke price level par mazid darust ho gaya, to market par tabdeeli aayegi, phir bechna ko ghoora jaye ga. Sidhe market par bechne ki koshish ki jaye gi consolidation ke baad. Ham sales ke liye take profit ko 152.90 ke level par set karte hain, aur stop loss ko 153.60 ke level par set karte hain. Signal ko tasdeeq karne ke liye neeche waqt frame mein neeche jaye; M15 kaafi munasib hai. USDJPY ka pindaleen minute chart, instrument ki kharidari ko Moving Average aur Zig Zag indicators ke zariye tasdeeq karte hain.

Aaj ki guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke daily chart par price action ke ird gird ghumti hai. Qeemat ko kam karne ke bare mein baat karna abhi bohot jaldi hai. Zaroori hai ke USD/JPY pair ke liye pehle sab se pehle support zone 152.60-153.40 par push kiya jaye aur agle reaction ka intezar kiya jaye, kyun ke agar reversal karne ka irada hai to wo seedha rollback nahi denge taake pair ke sellers na daakhil ho. Lekin, jab tak qeemat 154.15–25 ke support level ke upar rahe, aap dekh sakte hain ke sabhi breakouts jhooti hain; yeh yeh toqoogar hai, baithna to dur ki baat hai, bilkul bhi downward price movement develop nahi ho sakta USD/JPY pair ke liye. Amooman, instrument ke liye tasveer yeh hai ke ya to mojooda mushkilat se phir se ooper ki taraf break ki koshish ki jayegi aur pair ke sellers ko bahar nikala jayega. Ya, 154.15-25 ke nichle breakout, aur agar chalne aur koi rollback ke bina 152.60-153.40 ke support zone tak pohanch jaye, to yahan koi mumkinat hai ke ek local reversal bana sake, jo aakhir mein USD/JPY ke liye full price decline ko ek taqreeri framework mein banayega. Mutabiq, mere liye aaj signals ke lihaz se kuch nahi badla hai. Bulls wazeh tor par dikhate hain ke yahan reversal ka koi imkaan nahi hai, aur qeemat phir se sab sellers ko bahar nikalne tak ooper jayegi. Aur uske baad, hum kharidariyon se munafa fix kar ke neeche jayenge. Maine khud ke liye 155.50 ke level ko pehchan liya hai, aur wahan agar hum bilkul bhi chalein to reaction dekhenge.Main taluqat ko murnay ka bhi tajurba nahi karta, lekin yeh ek backup hai, aur main yahan bechna nahi chahta. Is ke liye, kam az kam do muddaton tak tasdiq shuda resistance level ki zaroorat hai. Khareedariyon ke sath asaan lagta hai kyun ke trend wazeh hai, lekin haqeeqat mein stops lagane ke liye koi jagah nahi hai. Subah, mujhe signal miss ho gaya, aur ab main fence par baitha hoon, rollback ka intezaar kar raha hoon ya rukh ki tabdeeli ki tasdeeq. Maine yahan Bank of Japan ke sardar ne kya kaha hai, ye parha nahi hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke abhi tak, verbal interventions ke na to kuch asar hua hai aur na he agar wo market mein dakhil hote hain to, is halat mein yen ki position sirf bighar jayegi. Aur, jo kehte hain ke market itne saalon se is noodle ke sath khara hai ke jab unhone darjat barhane ka aghaz kiya, apni ultra-loose monetary policy se ikhtiyar hone ka dawa karke, kehte hain ke darjaat barhane ki tajweez narm hai, to market, fitratan, is par yaqeen nahi karta, aur USD/JPY pair ki qeemat, umeed ke mutabiq girne ke bajaye, dobara growth ka ek aur daur shuru kar diya. Bank ko is asar se nafrat hai lekin, haqeeqat mein, wo is par kisi tarah ka asar dal nahi sakti kyun ke monetary policy ko tabdeel karne ke liye koi nazmik kaam nahi hai. Darjat ke bare mein, aur phir bhi USD/JPY ki qeemat barhti rahi, to kehte hain ke wo is saal bhi ek bar fir ghoor karenge, lekin unhone yeh aitraz kiya ke wo aise