usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Breaking Down the USD/JPY Movement

USD/JPY ki taraqqi ko samajhne ke liye, do mukhya wajahon ka jayeza lena zaroori hai. Pehli wajah yeh hai ke US mein nifaqiyat ke data ka aghaz hua, jo keemat ki barhawat mein kisi ne keemat ki ghatna darust karti hai. Yeh data yeh ishara deta hai ke US Federal Reserve apni maali siyast ko halka kar sakti hai, jo ke dollar ko kamzor karne ka natija hota hai. Kam aggressive Fed yen ke liye musbat hai, kyunke yeh US currency ko investors ke liye kam attractive banata hai jo zyada munafa chahte hain. Dusri taraf, Japan ne khud kuch musbat maali data jari kiya, jo yen ko mazeed barhata hai. Yeh musbat khabrein Japan ki maaliyat aur uski currency mein aitmad ko mazboot karti hain. Ab currency market ka tawajju US session ki taraf mud gaya hai, jo ahem maali data ke intehai intizam ke liye mashhoor hai. Yeh data USD/JPY jodi ko khas tor par mutasir kar sakta hai.

Jabke dollar ka halka izafa pehli half trading session mein mumkin hai, lekin tajziyaan amoman nichli raftar ka imkan dete hain. 154.75 ek ahem takneeki darja hai jo dekhna zaroori hai. Agar jodi is darja ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh ek mazeed girawat ka ishara ho sakta hai, 152.85 aur shayad 152.05 tak. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY jodi 154.75 ke upar ja kar consolidate ho jati hai, to yeh ek mumkin ulatne aur 155.25 aur shayad 155.75 ki taraf chadhai ka ishara ho sakta hai. Sade alfaz mein, dollar yen ke khilaf kamzor ho raha hai US mein mehsoos ki janay wali tezfeeni barhawat aur Japan se musbat maali khabron ki wajah se. Karobarion ka intezaar US data releases ka hai, jo dollar mein chand muddat ke liye uthal-puthal paida kar sakte hain, lekin overall trend ko niche ki taraf dekha ja raha hai. Agar jodi 154.75 ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh ek ahem girawat ka ishara ho sakta hai, jabke is darja ke upar ek tolati shakal mein gir jana mumkin hai ek mumkin palatnay aur 156.25 aur shayad 156.75 ki taraf chadhai ka ishara ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY H-1:

USD/JPY. Kal raat maine pair ke liye ek neeche ka channel banaya aur umeed ki ke shayad is channel ke nichle kinare tak girawat ho. Yeh girawat hui, 154.39 ke darje tak, lekin sirf keemat is se neeche gir gayi aur pair ne neeche ki taraf chalna jari rakha. Magar aakhir mein, pair ki girawat ruk gayi aur keemat upar chalne lagi. Ab mujhe umeed hai ke pair upar ki taraf chalta rahega, keemat neeche ke channel ke andar dakhil hogi aur shayad phir se upar ki taraf barhna jari rahega, yani ke 155.84 ke darje tak. Jab yeh darja chhoo jaye ga, toh ab yeh mumkin hai ke palat jaye aur keemat dobara neeche jane ki koshish kare gi.

USD/JPY H-4:

Adaab. Aur asal mein, mujhe shak nahi hai ke yen ke sath pair ki girawat jari rahegi, khaaskar ke ab ek acha short initiative hai, halankeh abhi hum barh rahe hain ya peeche ho rahe hain. Lekin Asia mein bhi unka girawat hua, halankeh Japan ko manfi GDP mila. Lekin beshak, yeh ahem hai ke dollar Americans par kaise trade hoga, jo ke ab thoda gain kar raha hai, halankeh aaj hum Turkey ke market ke data bhi prapt karenge.

Is waqt, main upar ki movement ko todne ke bare mein baat nahi karunga. Lekin main aise keemat par kharidne ka khayal nahi karta aur short initiative par dhyan lagata rahunga, isliye agar hum 155.75 ke upar chale jayein, toh main wahan bechna bhi ijazat doonga.

Part 1:

Agar USD/JPY upar toot jaye, jaise ke hum umeed karte hain, toh agla maqsood 153.00 ho sakta hai. Is ke baad, yeh 154.00 ki taraf barh sakta hai aur mumkin hai ke zehni tor par ahem nishaan 155.00 tak pohanch jaye, jo ke November se December ke giraavat se trace kiye gaye 127.2% Fibonacci extension level ke saath milta hai. USDJPY ne peechle aik haftay aur adhe mein kisi bhi jaga tezi se nahi badha. Lekin trend saaf tor par bullish hai jab ke darajat peechle teen mahino mein barh gaye hain. USD/JPY ne briefly un bulandiyon ko chhu liya jo peechle do saalon mein banaye gaye the kareeb 151.91 se 151.95, aur March mein 181.97 mein aik izafe kiya. Us darje ka foran rad hone ne kuch logo ko ek chhat ka buland nazar aane par majboor kiya, lekin humne bearish case ko tasdeeq karne ke liye koi mazeed neeche ki taraf girawat nahi dekhi. USD/JPY ke 154.77 resistance ke tor par. Barha hua bara trend barh raha hai. Lekin 4H MACD mein bearish divergence ke shirai shart ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, pehli koshish par correction laane ke liye 155.20 fibonacci level se mazboot resistance dekha jana chahiye. Neche ki taraf, 153.58 support ka toot jana bias ko neeche ki taraf mod dega, mazeed pichla pullback ke liye 55 D EMA tak.

Part 2:

Jab tak keemat 154.45 JPY ke support ke oopar rahe, aap faida uthane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Pehla bullish maqsood 155.27 JPY par hai. Agar yeh resistance toot jaye, toh bullish dabao ko taqat milti hai. Kharidari karne wale phir agle resistance 155.94 JPY par maqsad banayenge. Isse guzarna kharidari karne walo ko 157.08 JPY par maqsad banane ki ijazat dega. Savdhan rahein, taqatwar bullish rally ke darmiyan behtarin hone se, ziadaat se ziada takleefen mumkin hai ke chhoti mudat mein correction ho. Agar yeh mamla aisa hai, toh yaad rakhein ke trend ke khilaf trading karna zyada risky ho sakta hai. Behtar hoga ke trend ka palat hone ka signal ka intezaar kiya jaye. Lekin 4H MACD mein bearish divergence shart ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, pehli koshish par correction laane ke liye 155.20 fibonacci level se mazboot resistance dekha jana chahiye. Neche ki taraf, 153.58 ka tor bias ko neeche ki taraf mod dega, mazeed pichla pullback ke liye 55 D EMA (jo ab 150.97 par hai) tak. Upar ki taraf, 154.77 ka tor bara trend ko phir se barha dega. Lekin 4H MACD mein divergence shart ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, upar ki taraf 155.20 fibonacci projection level se had tak rukawat aayegi. Neche ki taraf, 153.58 ke neeche ka tor bias ko neeche ki taraf mod dega mazeed pichla pullback ke liye. USD/JPY ka correction 154.77 se neeche gir kar 153.58 tak chala gaya lekin sirf 55 4H EMA ke samne se sambhala gaya (jo ab 153.56 par hai). Intraday bias pehle neutral rehta hai. Upar ki taraf, 154.77 ka tor bara trend ko phir se barha dega.

USD/JPY H4 American Dollars - Japanese Yen. Tasveer par jo tafteesh ki jaa rahi hai, is par ikhtiyar ki gayi fitrat wazeh raftar ka ehsaas dikhata hai, jo hexane ash candlestick indicators ke istemaal se maloom kiya ja sakta hai, jo riwayati Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hote hain, zyada naram aur ausat ke qeemat ke hawale se misaal dete hain.



Technical analysis mein kaafi ahmiyat hai, aur sahi intekhab-e-karobaar ke faislon ke liye, linear channel indicator ko istemal karke TMA (triangular moving average) ko behtar banata hai, mojooda support aur resistance ko moving average moving average ke mutabiq dikhata hai. Currency intekhab mein madad faraham karta hai aur jodi ki harkat ke hudood ko dikhata hai. Signal mukammal karne aur transactions par faisla karne ke liye, RSI structures ka istemal kiya jata hai, jo assey ka overboot aur oversold zone dikhata hai. Tasveer par jise dekha gaya hai, is doran ek moqay ko jancha ja sakta hai jahan hygiene ash candles ne neela rang dikhaya hai, aur is tarah qeemat ki harkat ki shamalat shumal ki taraf ishara deti hai. Market quotes linear channels ke niche ke shayd range se bahar chale gaye, lekin, kam se kam point tak pohanchne ke baad, ise band kar diya gaya aur channel ke darmiyan ki line par chale gaye (zard dotted line). Aur signal -filing basement indicator RSI (14) bhi is ishara ko tasdiq karta hai, kyun ke yeh lambe faaslon par upar ki taraf muntaqil hai aur overboot darjat se door hai. Upar diye gaye ke hawale se, sirf khareed saktay hain munasib ho sakta hai, is liye hum ek lamba karobaar kholte hain, ummed hai ke sahulat aala ki taraf harkat hogi aur channel ke ooperi range tak pohnch jayegi, jahan ke qeemat 157.640 ke darje mein hogi.

USD/JPY outlook analysis:



H1 chart par, USDJPY currency pair ab taqreeban 154.033 par janoobi taraf ka correctioni movement ka samna kar raha hai. Instaforex se aik indicator ka istemal karte hue, jo is forum par dastiyab hai, tajziya batata hai ke 53.72% ka marginal buyer advantage hai. Mazeed, indicator ne aik mojooda junobi trend ka ishara diya hai, jo pair ke outlook ko aur mushkil bana deta hai. Aaj ke karobari session par Japan aur USA dono se ahem maeeshat ki khabron ka asar hai. Japan mein, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report bhaari wazan rakhti hai, jo market sentiment aur currency movements par asar daalti hai. Jabke USA mein, mukhtalif maqasid jaise ke building permits ki shumar, ajri darjaat ke liye pehli arzooat, aur sanati faaliyat ka index market ke raaste ko mutasir karte hain. Mutasir hone wale northern targets ko target karte hue Japan mein GDP data ka izhaar aur USA mein ahem maeeshati indicators ka izhaar hota hai. 151.856 ke resistance level ya 150.809 ke resistance level ke qareeb jaate waqt price movement ke liye aik makhsoos dusri soorat-e-haal ka plan hai, jahan price is level ke neeche baithti hai aur mazeed janoobi harkat hoti hai. Agar yeh plan amal mein laaya jaata hai, to mein umeed karta hoon ke price support level jo ke 146.484 par ya support level jo ke 145.891 par waqaa hai, ki taraf jaayega. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals ka talash jari rakhoonga, umeed karta hoon ke price movement phir se oopar ki taraf jari rahegi. Amm tor par, aaj ke taur par, mein poori tor par tasleem karta hoon ke price jari rahega janoobi taraf ki taraf qareebi support levels ki taraf, aur phir, mojooda global northern trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein bullish signals ka talash karunga, umeed karta hoon ke price movement phir se oopar ki taraf aayegi.

Hamari baat cheet USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda keemat ke rawaiye par hai. Heiken Ashi candle chart ek bullish signal dikhata hai, jo kharidari ki taraf ishara karta hai. Heikin Ashi, MACD, aur RSI indicators ke milaap mein ek upward trend nazar aata hai, jo mojooda keemat mein izafa ko darust karta hai. Yeh indicators trading ko aasan aur galat dakhilayon ka khatra kam karte hain. Heikin Ashi candlesticks, jo ke smooth price representation dete hain, qeemat ke ulte pulte hone, corrections, aur impulses ko asani se pehchanne mein madad dete hain, jo traders ko market ko zyada tez taur par analyze karne mein madadgar hai. Triangular Moving Average indicator mojooda support aur resistance levels ko tasveer mein rakhne mein madadgar hota hai, jisse asset ke movement ke boundaries ka behtar samajh aata hai. RSI oscillator pair ke overbought aur oversold areas ko pehchan kar trade decisions mein madad karta hai. Candlesticks mazboot bullish momentum ko darust karte hain, jo kharidari positions ke liye faiday-mand shiraein paida karta hai. Qeemat ne briefly lower linear channel boundary ko tor diya, lekin jaldi se uska jawab mila, jo channel ke middle line ki taraf shift ko darust karta hai. RSI (14) kharidari signal ko support karta hai, jo comfortably upward trend ko darust kar raha hai, overbought levels se door. Isliye mojooda upward movement ko yeh darust karta hai ke successful long positions ke liye zyada probability hai, jo confident trading decisions ko justify karta hai. Is market trend ka faida uthane ke liye channel ke upper border par 157.56 par take profit set karna munasib hai. Magar zaroori hai ke stop-loss orders set karein taake unexpected price shifts se bach sakein, aur ghair yaqeeni nateejon par aitmaad na karein. Profitable position ko secure karne ke baad Trailing stop orders ka istemal karke faiday ko maximize kiya ja sakta hai aur potential losses se bacha ja sakta hai.

Agar USD/JPY upar jaata hai, toh agla maqsood 153.00 ho sakta hai. Uske baad, yeh 154.00 aur phir 155.00 tak barh sakta hai, jo November se December ke giraavat se trace kiye gaye Fibonacci extension level ke saath milta hai. USD/JPY ne peechle hafto mein tezi se nahi badha, lekin trend bullish hai aur darajat peechle teen mahino meinUsing the linear channel indicator enhances the performance of the TMA (triangular moving average) by displaying current support and resistance levels according to the moving average. It assists in currency selection and reveals the boundaries of pair movements. To refine signals and make trading decisions, RSI structures are utilized, indicating overbought and oversold zones. As observed in the chart, a scenario can be examined where clean candles have shown a blue color, signaling a move towards the north in price action. Market quotes moved outside the lower range of linear channels, but after reaching at least a minimal point, they retraced and moved along the midline of the channel (yellow dotted line). Additionally, the signal-confirming indicator RSI (14) also validates this signal, as it is trending upwards over a longer period and is away from overbought levels. Based on the above references, it may be suitable to consider only buying positions. Therefore, we open a long trade, hoping for a move towards higher convenience and reaching the upper range of the channel, where the price will be around 157.640. barh gaye hain. Resistance ke tor par 154.77 aur 155.20 fibonacci level ko mazboot resistance dekha jana chahiye. 153.58 support ka toot jana bias ko neeche mod sakta hai. Part 2: 154.45 JPY ke support ke oopar rahe, aap faida utha sakte hain. Pehla bullish maqsood 155.27 JPY par hai. Agar yeh resistance toot jaye, toh bullish dabao ko taqat milti hai. Kharidari karne wale agle resistance 155.94 JPY par maqsad banayenge. Savdhan rahein, taqatwar bullish rally ke darmiyan correction ho sakti hai. Behtar hoga ke trend ka palat hone ka signal ka intezaar kiya jaye. Upar ki taraf, 154.77 ka tor bara trend ko phir se barha dega. Neche ki taraf, 153.58 ka tor bias ko neeche ki taraf mod sakta hai. Intraday bias pehle neutral rehta hai.

Thursday ke trading session ke doran, USD/JPY pair ne ek narmi ka rukh ikhtiyar kiya, aur 154.45 ke aas-paas hover karta raha. Yeh movement United States aur Japan se significant economic updates ke saath hui. Ek noteworthy development Japan ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures ka release tha jo pehle quarter of 2024 ke liye tha. Data ne 0.5% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) contraction ko unveil kiya, jo fourth quarter of 2023 ke 0.1% contraction se zyada pronounced tha. Yeh contraction expectations se zyada tha, kyunke economists ne 0.4% decline project kiya tha. In disappointing GDP numbers ne Japanese yen par downward pressure dala, jo iski depreciation ka sabab bana against the US dollar.
Isi waqt, United States mein tawajju latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data par thi. Report ne anticipated inflationary pressures se kam dikhaya, jo yeh hint karta hai ke price increases itni robust nahi hain jitna pehle estimate kiya gaya tha. Is development ne investors mein speculation ko janam diya ke Federal Reserve (Fed) rate reduction 2024 mein ho sakta hai. Fed ke interest rates reduce karne se typically US dollar par dampening effect hota hai, kyunke yeh dollar-denominated assets ko investors ke liye kam attractive banata hai jo higher returns talash karte hain. Japan ke sluggish GDP figures aur potential Fed rate cut ke confluence ne USD/JPY pair mein heightened selling activity ko lead kiya, jo Thursday ke trading mein retreat ka sabab bana.

Aage dekhte hue, market participants expect kar rahe hain ke further economic indicators dono nations se vigilant rahenge, aur koi bhi updates regarding monetary policy decisions by Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan bhi dekhne layak hain. Yeh factors USD/JPY exchange rate ki trajectory ko coming sessions mein shape karte rahenge.

Technical Analysis aur Trading Strategy:

Aaj ke trading session mein, price mein significant downward movement dekhi gayi, special lower time frames mein. Is waqt, price ek critical support level ke qareeb hai jo Fibonacci retracement par 61.8% par identify hua, jo 153.25 par located hai. If price is level ko breach karta hai, toh yeh further selling pressure ko attract kar sakta hai, jo price ko 100% Fibonacci level tak le ja sakta hai jo 152.03 par hai. Traders is situation ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, kyunke 61.8% Fibonacci support ke neeche break karna downward trend ke continuation ka signal de sakta hai. Aise scenario mein, sellers market ko dominate karne ki umeed hai, jo price ko aforementioned 100% Fibonacci level tak push karegi.

USD/JPY currency pair ke chart par shuruaati downtrend ke signs dikh rahe hain. Ab price critical level 156.195 ko breach karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar price is level ko safaltapurvak breach kar leti hai, toh yeh ek northward corrective movement ka signal ho sakta hai, jo ant mein 154.700 ke level ko target karega. Yeh target achieve karna behad munasib hoga, lekin yeh sab prevailing circumstances par nirbhar karega.
USD/JPY currency pair ke potential downtrend ko samajhne ke liye, humein market dynamics ko influence karne wale alag-alag factors ko dekhna hoga. Sabse pehle, chart patterns ka gehra analysis weakening bullish momentum ko darshata hai. Yeh gradual price decline aur bearish signals ke increasing prominence ko zahir karta hai. Technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages, MACD, aur RSI, bhi market sentiment par valuable insights offer kar sakte hain, jo traders ko informed decisions lene mein madad karte hain. Iske alawa, macroeconomic factors bhi currency pairs ki trajectory ko shape karte hain. USD/JPY ke case mein, US economy se related developments, jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions, US dollar ke value par bada asar dalte hain. Japanese economy ko affect karne wale factors bhi, jaise ke industrial production, trade balances, aur Bank of Japan ke monetary policy decisions, Japanese yen ki strength ko impact karte hain. In fundamental drivers ka analysis karna currency pair ke movements ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Iske alawa, geopolitical events aur market sentiment bhi currency markets par bada asar dalte hain. Global trade tensions, geopolitical conflicts, aur anjaane events ke uncertainties volatility ko trigger kar sakte hain aur investor sentiment ko shape kar sakte hain towards a particular currency. Is liye, geopolitical developments aur market sentiment par nazar rakhna crucial hai USD/JPY currency pair ke potential fluctuations ko anticipate karne ke liye.

Corrections: Pehla, keemat pehle se hi oversold level par hai, isliye keemat ka phir se oopar jaane ka imkan hai, ya doosra, keemat ko bechnay walon ne control kiya hai aur keemat neeche jaane ka imkan hai. Trend ke liye, agar hum 50 muddat MA indicator ka istemal karein, toh USDJPY trend jodi nichli taraf ja rahi hai kyun ke keemat iske neeche ja rahi hai, aur maujooda keemat bohot dair tak pivot point level 155.11 ke neeche rahi hai. Is analysis ke adhaar par, main yeh kah sakta hoon ke aaj raat ki trading option bechni chahiye, zyadatar keemat aaj raat support one tak girne ka imkan hai jo keemat 152.24 par hai, ek stop loss jo ham pehle swing high par laga sakte hain ke saath, doosra trading option, yaani ke kharidna diya jaega jab keemat phir se oopar jaaye aur pivot point level ke neeche dair tak rahe, humara nishchit lakshya pehla rukawat ilaqa 157.20 ki keemat hogi. Yeh meri mukhtasar tajziya tha USDJPY currency jodi ke liye, agar koi aur bhi kuch kehna chahe toh, main taiyaar hoon, aap sabka dhyan aur saflata ki dua, shukriya. United States mein, market participants ke sabar se Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Consumer Price Index (CPI) ka pehloo, manhanghai ki dabaoon ka bunyadi mawazin hain. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ka guftago, sath hi Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki guftaguon ka bhi USD/JPY jodi ke rukh ke lehaz se gehraye asraat hain. Jab hum is pesh-gochari manzar ko taqseem karte hain, to market sentiment ki taabir mein mukhtalif asraat ko samajhna laazmi hai. Jab ek muhtat jazba-e-tawaqo hai, jo bullish vaasaat ke zariey munawar hai, to is sentiment ke piche chhipi asal dynamics ko pehchan'na zaroori hai. Kharidar ki taraf se ek mufeed tarah ka bias ka intizaar kiya jata hai jo ke 156.65 par rukhne wale muqami wazir ki sadari ko mubham kar sakta hai, jo ke ek uptrend rukh ko ishara karta hai. Magar, ehtiyaat ke tahat ihtiyat ki zaroorat hai mukhtalif maqami maamoolat aur markazi bankon ki guftaguon ke jazbay ka mukhtalif asraat ke darmiyan. Market participants ko tez rehna chahiye, nikalte waqton ki fursat ka faida uthane ke liye jabke mojooda khatron ko kam karne ke liye. Maali asrat ke taqazze ke moujooda fitrat ke raviyat mein ek pabandi se munasib pehroze ko zaroori banata hai. Mukhtasaran, jab hum USD/JPY market ke kaare dari maidan mein safar kar rahe hain, to tafseel se ghaflat aur makro maali karobar ke asaraat ka sahi samajh hona zaroori hai. Takhleeqi aalat ka faida utha kar aur proactive harkat ke sath, traders is be-dili

The Extended Regression StopAndReverse linear regression indicator, jab RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators ke confirmatory readings ke sath istemal kiya jata hai, hume bazaar ko maharat se tajziya karne mein madad karta hai aur humein trading ke liye chuna gaya instrument par sahi faisla karne mein madad karta hai. Aik trading position kholne ke liye musbat faisla karne ka shart yeh hai ke teeno indicators ke signals miltay jultay hon. Agar in teeno mein se kam az kam aik kisi ke mukhalif ho, to muamla mukammal tor par na kia jata hai kyun ke ye itminan dahi se munafa dene wala nahi hota. Jab bazaar mein dakhilai mukammal hoti hai aur quotes musbat nataij ke ilaqe ki taraf pohanchte hain, to hum transaction band karne ka sab se munafa bhara, munafa ke lehaaz se, nukta qaim karna shuru karte hain. Is maqsad ke liye, hum working chart par intehai points ko pehchan kar in par Fibonacci grid banate hain. Hum bazaar se bahar nikalte hain jab qeemat correction Fibo levels ke qareeb pohanchti hai.Hum is aala ka tehzeebi mutala aur mojooda tabiyat ka tajziya karain ge, jo Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI aur MACD indicators ke markazi ho, jo mojooda ahtiyati aur munafa mand technical tajziya anjaam dene mein madad karte hain. Maksad hasil karne ke baad, hum bazaar se nikalne ka behtareen point ka intikhab karenge, jo taqreeban ki correction levels ko Fibonacci grid ke istemal se chunenge, jis ko mojooda extreme (daily ya weekly) ke mutabiq dhakka diya gaya hai.
Is aala ki chart par muntakhib waqt ke frame (time-frame H4) ka jaiza hamain dikhata hai ke pehla darja ka regression line (golden dotted line), jo mojooda asli trend ki disha aur halat ko dikhata hai, shamal ki taraf hota hai, jo aik zyadah tar upward movement ke doran ka waqt dikhata hai. Nonlinear regression channel ka graph dikhata hai ke ye upward morar hai, jo buyers ke koshishon ka izhar karta hai jo ke fasilay barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur na toh woh apni dominant position ko sellers ko de rahe hain.

Qeemat ne linear regression channel ke blue support line 2-nd LevelSupLine ko par kiya, lekin dakhilai ke doran qeemat ka kam az kam qeemat (LOW) 151.884 tak pohanch gaya, is ke baad qeemat ne apna giravat rok diya aur dhire dhire barhna shuru kiya. Abhi, aala 154.698 ke qeemat ke darje par karobar ho raha hai. Upar diye gaye sab ke sab, mein umeed karta hoon ke bazaar ki qeemat wapas aaye gi aur 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (157.026) FIBO level 61.8% ke oopar mustaqil ho kar upar ko golden average line LR of the linear channel 160.205, jo ke 100% Fibo level ke mutabiq milti hai. Kisi tehreek ki transaction ke faislay ke liye ek mazeed dalil ye hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke indicators bhi dakhil hone ka durustiqad kar rahe hain, kyun ke woh oversold zone mein hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ne aik mumkin ghatawataar ki pehli alaamaat dikhana shuru ki hai, jaise ke chart par dekha gaya hai. Halankay, ab ke moqay par keemat 156.195 ke ahem level ko torne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Ye taraqqi tijarat karne walay aur investors ke liye ahem hai jo is currency pair ko qareeb se mutasib karte hain, kyun ke ye market ke jazbat mein tabdeeli aur peechle bulandi ki trend se mukhalif mawadat ki alaamat dikhata hai. Technical pehluon ka tajziya karne par, USD/JPY ne dikhaya hai ke ghatawataar qareeb hai. Ye signals shamil hain bearish candlestick patterns, kam hoti hui momentum indicators, aur keemat ka chart par lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila. 156.195 support level ki ahmiyat ko zyada dene ki zarurat nahi hai; ye pehle bhi aham rukawat bani hai, keemat ke bahaal hone ke liye ek bunyadi bunyad faraham karte hue. Is level ke neeche kaamiyabi se aage ke girawat ke raste ban sakte hain, jo ke ek mustaqil neeche ki taraf ki harek ko mukhtalif rukh par le ja sakta hai. Technical signals ke ilawa, mukhtalif asli factors mojooda keemaat ki karkardagi mein hissa dal sakte hain. Maslan, Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke interest rate policies mein tabdeeliyan USD/JPY pair par shaded asar dal sakti hain. Agar Federal Reserve ek zyada dovish stance apnati hai jab ke Bank of Japan hawkish rehti hai ya apni mojooda policy barqarar rakhti hai, to USD JPY ke muqablay mein kamzor ho sakta hai. Mazeed, dono mulkon se GDP ki tezi, darjaat-e-mehangai, aur rozgar ke reports jaise arzi data releases bhi market ki umeedon ko shakl denay mein aur currency pair ki rukh ko mutasir karne mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Market jazbat bhi ek ahem factor hai jo USD/JPY ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Ziyada khatarnaak pashemaani ke doran, investors mehfooz maqami asseyon jaise Japanese yen ki taraf bhagte hain, jo ke ek mazboot JPY aur ek kamzor USD/JPY pair ka asar dalta hai. Makhsoos taur par, khatra-khaiz maqbooliyat ke doran, USD JPY ke muqablay mein USD ki taqat barh sakti hai jab ke investors zyada risk wali asseyon mein ziada wapsi talab karte hain.



Ikhtitami tor par, USD/JPY currency pair ek ahem nokte par hai, jahan keemat 156.195 ka key level torne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Ghatawataar ki pehli alaamaat numaya hain, lekin ye ke yeh kya ek mustaqil movement ban jaaye ga dekhna baqi hai. Tijarat karne walay aur investors ko chaukanna rehna chahiye, technical signals, asli factors, aur market jazbat par nazar rakh kar aane wale khatron aur mauqe ko samajhne ke liye.

USD/JPY H-1 Timeframe Tadrees Agar pair 154.23 ke darja ko torr de, toh yeh shayad ek naye ooper ki raah ka aghaz hai. Yeh USD/JPY darja ko mazeed mazbooti day sakta hai. 160.20 ke darja tak pohanch jaana medium-term top ki tashkeel ka matlab ho sakta hai. Yeh mwaqtan ishtiqamat ya exchange rate ki raah ka tabadla ka ek temporary qeemat kaar sakta hai. Agar 150.87 ke support level ko torr diya jaaye, toh agla target support level 146.47 ho sakta hai. Yeh USD/JPY ke qeemat mein mazeed ahem tajziya ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Agar 156.50 ke range ka jhoota breakout kar liya jaaye, aur is ke baad girawat jaari rahegi. Jab hum 156.30 ke range ko torr kar is ke nichay jaamay, yeh bechnay ka ishaara hoga. 156.60 ke range mein rukawat hai. Yahan se girawat jaari reh sakti hai. Main 156.50 ke range ka jhoota breakout tasleem karta hoon, lekin is ke baad girawat jaari rahegi. 155.70 ke range mein support hai aur shayad is ke neechay girawat jaari rahegi. Jab main 154.00 ke range tak girawat ka intizaar karta hoon, girawat jaari rahegi. Mumkin hai ke 155.27 ke range ko torr kar is ke nichay jaamay, toh yeh bechnay ka ishaara hoga. 156.50 ke range mein rukawat hai aur yahan se girawat jaari reh sakti hai. 156.10 ke range ka tor phor ke baad, girawat aur bhi mazeed jaari reh sakti hai. Jo izafa market mein ho raha hai woh rate mein aik islaahi izafa ki shakal mein bohot mushabeh hai aur humain aik jhoota breakout mila hai. Is ke baad, abhi bhi USD/JPY ko bechna behtareen hai

taraf se ek koshish lag rahi thi jisme woh candlestick ki position ko block aur neeche karna chahte the, yeh koshish sirf price ko SMA 100 indicator ke neeche ya 146.53 ki position tak laa sakti thi Lekin April ki shuruaat se ab tak candlestick phir se upar ja sakta hai kyunki abhi tak market price 154.22 ke aas-pass hai Lekin, bullish trend smooth tareeqe se chalne ki nazar nahi aata kyunki aaj subah se neeche ki correction shuru ho gayi hai Agar Monday ke market opening position se ab tak ka price position jo bullish side ki taraf move kar raha hai ko measure kiya jaye, to price travel situation is week se ye conclude kiya ja sakta hai ke price ek temporary correction ke beech mein ek bullish journey mein hai Aaj ho sakta hai ke market phir se bullish side pe laut aaye aur yeh kuch agle dinon tak continue ho Ek comparison ke tor pe, current candlestick position last week ki lowest position se door ja sakta hai. Price movement mein abhi bhi ek chance lag raha hai ke bullish side jaane ka, lekin aaj tak market conditions ko upar jaane ki koshish nazar aati hai

Lekin jaisa ke Asian market session mein aam taur pe quiet hota hai, yeh predict kiya jaata hai ke price consolidation ke moments aaj bhi honge jab tak American session start na ho aur transaction volume ki increase ko monitor karna shuru karenge Next UsdJpy pair ke market trend direction ke liye prediction yeh hai ke yeh buyer ke control mein hi rahega jiske aim price ko increase karna hai higher price area ko test karne ke liye Buy position open karne ke liye, aapko price ko phir se 154.51 ki position tak jaane ka wait karna chahiye kyunki subah se sham tak hone waali downward correction ki possibility abhi bhi hai Position open karne mein jaldi na karen

American dollar/Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ki jodi ne ek bar fir oopri raftar hasil karne mein nakam rahi. Is natije mein, yeh pichle saal ki bulandi aur 152.08 ki gol satah se niche raha. Is ghatna ki peeche kuch mukhya karan hain, jo USD/JPY ke mukhy vitiyak par prabhav dalte hain. Pehle, arthik sthitiyon mein badlav USD/JPY par asar dalta hai. Haal hi mein, America mein vittiy sthitiyon mein sudhar dekhne ko mila hai, jiske parinamswarup American dollar ki moolya mein vriddhi ho sakti hai. Iske viprit, Japan ke arthik sthitiyon mein kuch asamanataen hain, jis se yen ki moolya gir sakti hai. Yeh do bhavnaon ka mishran, jismein ek desh ki mudra ki moolya ki tulna doosre desh ki mudra ke sath hoti hai, USD/JPY ke samayik dar par prabhav dalta hai. Dusre, rajnitik ghatnaon ka asar bhi ho sakta hai. Geopolitical tension, trade agreements, aur anya rajnitik mudde bhi currency pairs par asar dalte hain. Agar Japan ya America mein koi bada rajnitik ghatna hota hai, to isse USD/JPY mein tezi ya mandi a sakti hai. Teesra, vyapar aur udyog ki sthiti bhi mahatvapurna hai. Agar vyapar ya udyog ke kshetra mein sudhar hota hai, to isse desh ke mudra par asar pad sakta hai. For example, agar Japan ke udyog adhik pragati karte hain, to yen ki moolya mein vriddhi ho sakti hai, jo USD/JPY ko prabhavit karegi. Chautha, arthik policy aur vittiy vyavastha bhi mahatvapurna hai. Central banks ke nirnay, interest rates, aur anya arthik neetiyon ka asar USD/JPY par hota hai. Agar Federal Reserve ya Bank of Japan kisi neeti mein badlav karte hain, to isse USD/JPY par asar pad sakta hai. In sabhi karanon ke madhya, USD/JPY ki gati par asar padta hai. Vyaparion ko in ghatnaon ka dhyan rakhna chahiye, taki ve sahi samay par apne vyapar ki ranniti ko sudhar sakein aur mudra ki gati ke anusaar unka karyakram bana sakein.