usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Hello! Main ne pair kharidne ka faisla fundamental aur technical wajahon par kia hai, jis mein din ke andar dekhne par negativism hai. 4 ghante ka chart dekhte hue, hum envelope par kaam kar rahe hain magar mazeed izafay ke liye khula hua hai jab kharidaron ke ilaqe aur envelope ke andar ADX dono mein hain. Magar, main 111.15 ke neeche dakhil hone par skeptical hoon kyun ke ye pehla signal hai munafa fix karne ka. Ek aur pehlu jis par main guman karta hoon middles line ke liye jung, jo ke kharidaron ke ilaqe mein ab tak hai lambay arse ke liye. Darust hoga ke medium term ke tajziya mein, 110.60 se neeche na jaana behtar hai, jahan se bahar jaana chahiye. Phir, dosray wave mein correction ki maujooda halaat tasdiq ki ja sakti hai aur teesri wave ke mazeed izafay ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai. Fahmi hisse mein, bear market har market mein top par hai. Main ne foreign headlines par tafseelat mein nahi gaya aur sab kuch Trump administration, Turkey, aur doosray headlines ke baray mein wahi hai. Ye kafi hai ke focus commodity market, bond market aur stock indices par kiya jaye. Bears Japanese yen ke ziyata demand ke saath pressure mein hain. Magar, taaza assess ka taluq acha nahi hai. Maal jaise ke oil, aluminium, aur metal ghate, jo ke risky assesses mein thori fikar paida karti hai. Debt ka ek daur hai jo treasury securities mein girawat ka sabab hai. American treasuries 2.90% se 20 points se zyada bounce hue hain. Credit system ka aam manzar sab laal par koshish kar raha hai. Phir bhi, bulls ko aaj ke liye kuch karne ki zaroorat nahi hai. Main 110.60 ke aas paas kharidne ki koshish karoonga aur agar ye neeche jaata hai, to ye pehli stage se gir gaya hoga aur zaroori hai ke price ke reaction ka intezar kya jaaye jo inclined area ke 110.20 ke qareeb jaane par hoga. Neeche jis se, aik perfect turn ho sakta hai aur bulls ko maat de sakta hai.

(USD/JPY) ke mukablay mein girawat dekhi, aur kal ke losses ko extend kiya. Is decline ke do aham wajah hain. Pehli wajah, US mein inflation data ka release hua jo price growth mein slowdown ko dikhata hai. Yeh data suggest karta hai ke US Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko loosen kar sakta hai, jo dollar ko weaken karta hai. Kam aggressive Fed yen ke liye positive hai, kyun ke yeh US currency ko un investors ke liye kam attractive banata hai jo high returns talash kar rahe hain. Doosri wajah, Japan ne khud kuch positive economic data release kiya, jo yen ko mazid boost karta hai. Yeh positive news Japanese economy aur uski currency mein confidence ko mazid mazboot karti hai. Currency market ki tawajju ab US session par hai, jo important economic data releases ke heavy flow ke liye jana jata hai. Yeh data USD/JPY pair par significantly impact kar sakta hai.




USD/JPY jodi ke rukh ke lehaz se gehraye asraat hain. Jab hum is pesh-gochari manzar ko taqseem karte hain, to market sentiment ki taabir mein mukhtalif asraat ko samajhna laazmi hai. Jab ke ek muhtat jazba-e-tawaqo hai, jo ke bullish tasavvuraat ke zariey munawar hai, to is sentiment ke piche chhipi asal dynamics ko pehchan'na zaroori hai. Kharidar ki taraf se ek mufeed tarah ka bias ka intizaar kiya jata hai jo ke 156.65 par rukhne wale muqami wazir ki sadari ko mubham kar sakta hai, jo ke ek uptrend rukh ko ishara karta hai. Magar, ehtiyaat ke tahat ihtiyat ki zaroorat hai mukhtalif maqami maamoolat aur markazi bankon ki guftaguon ke jazbay ka mukhtalif asraat ke darmiyan. Market participants ko tez rehna chahiye, nikalte waqton ki fursat ka faida uthane ke liye jabke mojooda khatron ko kam karne ke liye. Maali asrat ke taqazze ke moujooda fitrat ke raviyat mein ek pabandi se munasib pehroze ko zaroori banata hai

currency pair ki tajziya behtareen aur mandi ki taqatoo ke darmiyan aik pur-farokht muamla ka pardarshan karti hai, is liye qeemat ke harkaat ko nazdeek se nigrani mein rakhna zaroori hai. Jabke bears ne ek kami shuru ki hai, lekin bullish trend ka barqarar rehna wazeh hai, special daily chart par jahan qareebi barhne ke nishaan dikhayi dete hain. Mehfooz hone par haalat mein kharidne wale aur zyada sakht hote hue dekhe jana ahem hai, umeed hai ke USD/JPY barhne lage ga. Takhmina deta hai ke short term mein 150.04 par extreme support point ki taraf potential movement ho, jo ke aik bearish momentum ki taraf ishara hai. Magar 151.95 par upper level resistance ko torne se aik ulta karwaai ka ishaara mil sakta hai, jis se aage ki taraf 152.90 ke darje par shumaar hoga. Ye manzar short sellers ke apne positions ko nuqsaan par kholne se chal sakta hai, jis se kharidne wale ke liye aik mozuun mahol paida hota hai. Magar, is uthalte hue trend ka kaam bullish traders ki azam par mabni hai. Mehfooz aurat ke mutabiq, mukhtalif support levels se kharidne ke aham manzarat hain jab tak 150.08 ko paar nahi kiya jaata, jo ke USD ki taqat ke baray mein itminan ko darust karta hai JPY ke muqablay mein. Magar, currency pair ek qeemat corridor ke andar mehdood nazar aata hai, jo ke 151.00 aur 151.90 ke darmiyan oscillate ho sakta hai, mozuun khabron ke beghair ye range jari reh sakta hai. 151.05 ki taraf kami ka hosakta hai, magar umeed ye bani rehti hai ke is level se USD ka JPY ke muqablay mein izafa hoga. Live USD/JPY pair ki qeemat ke harkaat mazeed maloomat faraham karti hain, 151.89 ke overall resistance ka shikar hone ke baad ek halka muratab retraction hota hai. Magar is inhisar ke bawajood, khas signals umeed dikhate hain ke aage ke barhne ki mumkinahariyat mojood hai, ehtiyaat ke sath umeedafroz hai. Agar bears ka control phir se qabzay mein aa gaya, to 151.36 ke support ki taraf kami ka hosakta hai, magar mojooda efforts se bulls ka sabar aur jeetne ki khuwahish wazeh hai

Kal, Tokyo Pelim GDP rate mein aik noticeable dip dekha gaya, jo ke economic landscape mein aik concerning turn hai. Saath hi, US dollar ko bhi Retail Sales aur Empire State Manufacturing index reports se mutaliq kuch adverse developments ka samna karna para, jo iski performance ko somber bana rahay hain. Yeh waqiat collectively sellers ke darmiyan prevailing stability ko underline karte hain, jo ke market sentiment ki cautious nature ka pata dete hain. Natija yeh hua ke USD/JPY pair 154.70 zone ke ird gird hover kar raha tha din ke doran. Iske bawajood, market dynamics ki fluid nature buyers ke haq mein shift hone ka potential dikhati hai. Isko madde nazar rakhte hue, yeh currency pair ke liye aik strategic buy order prudent lagta hai, jiska short-term target approaching week ke liye 155.55 par set hai. Magar, vigilance paramount hai, aur kal ke liye USD/JPY exchange rate ke hawale se forthcoming news data par keen focus zaroori hai. Evolving market landscape ka matlab hai ke proactive approach zaroori hai, jo constant monitoring aur trading strategies ke adjustment ko demand karti hai. Emerging trends aur developments par nazar rakhte hue, traders apne aap ko advantageously position kar sakte hain taake potential opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein aur risks ko mitigate kar sakein. Financial markets mein fluctuations ke darmiyan, informed decision-making ek linchpin ka kaam karti hai taake favorable outcomes achieve ho sakein. Is liye, analysis, foresight, aur adaptability ka aik judicious blend currency trading ko successfully navigate karne ke liye indispensable hai. Aur, jaise jaise market conditions evolve hoti hain, flexibility trading performance ko optimize karne aur emerging opportunities ko capitalize karne ke liye cornerstone hai. Iss tarah, vigilance, analysis, aur adaptability ka aik strategic blend aik robust trading approach ka bedrock banata hai, jo dynamic realm of forex trading mein prudent decision-making ko facilitate karta hai. Expectation hai ke USD/JPY ka market buyers ke favor mein rahega aur woh ane walay ghanton mein 155.52 zone ko cross kar sakte hain

JPY

155.81 ki qeemat aik ahem moor par zahir hui, jo MACD indicator ke neutral zero point se ubharne ke sath mila, is tarah dollar par bullish stance ikhtiyar karne ka moqa saaf sabit hua. Magar, bullish momentum mukhtasar arsa tak raha, jab ke maazool economic data United States se USD/JPY pair par nichle dabaav dala. Phir bhi, market ne subah ke session mein istiqamat payi, jis par umeedon ke mutabiq, Japanese household spending, bank lending activities mein izafa aur current account balance se milte julte ummeedwar indicators thay.
Rozana ki unchiyon ko toornay ki shuruaat ke bawajood, mil karke mayoos kun US consumer sentiment index aur United States mein inflationary pressures ki barhne wali umeedon ke sath, dollar ek baar phir dabaav mein aya. Aaj ka tajziya ye muntazir hai ke pair mukarrar channel ke andar chalta rahega, jahan market participants dollar ko sargarmi se hasil karna pasand karte hain, naye local highs qaim karne ki koshish karte hain. Magar, ehtiyaat ye kehti hai ke lambi positions moqa ke kam levels par shuru ki jayein. Intraday strategies ke lehaz se, ek tajziya karne ka tareeqa jo No. 1 aur No. 2 ke scenarios ke istiqrar ko favor karta hai, zaroori hai.


Kharidari signal Scenario No. 1 ke mutabiq, iraada hai ke USD/JPY positions mein dakhil hona jab keemat designated entry point 155.96 par aati hai, jo chart par sabz rastaar se nishanakhaiz hai, maqsad 156.25 tak chadhna hai, jo zyada numaya sabz tajziya hai. Jab 156.25 darja tak pohanch jaye, to strategy ko lambi positions ko khatam karke chand pips ki range mein mukhalif rukh ki short positions mein dakhil hona hai, 30-35 pips ke baray mein mukhalif rukh ki subsequent reversal ki tawaqo ki hai. Mojooda market sentiment aaj ke liye USD/JPY ke liye bullish nazar aata hai, jo mojooda upward ko darust karta hai.

USD/JPY Ka Zawaal, Japani GDP Mein Kami Aur Fed Rate Cut Ke Imkaanat Barhne Par:

Thursday ke trading session mein USD/JPY pair ka narmi ka rujaan tha, aur yeh 154.45 ke qareeb hover karta raha. Yeh movement dono, America aur Japan se aane wali aham ma'ashi updates ke sath mutabiq thi. Aik numayan waqia Japan ke Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures ka a'elaniya tha jo pehle quarter of 2024 ka tha. Data ne quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) 0.5% ki contraction zahir ki, jo 2023 ke chauthe quarter mein 0.1% contraction ke muqablay mein ziada thi. Yeh contraction ma'aashiyat daano ki expectations se ziada thi, jinhon ne 0.4% decline ka andaza lagaya tha. Mayusi ke is GDP numbers ne Japanese yen par neeche ki taraf dabao dala, jo US dollar ke muqable mein gir gaya.

Isi waqt, America mein tawajju Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data par thi. Report ne anticipated se narmi ki inflationary pressures zahir kiye, jo is baat ki dalalat karte hain ke keemat barhawa pehle se kamzor ho sakta hai. Is taraqqi ne sarmaaya kaaron mein Federal Reserve (Fed) ke rate reduction ke imkaanat par charcha barhayi. Fed ke interest rates mein kami aam tor par US dollar ko kamzor karti hai, kyun ke yeh dollar-denominated assets ko kam munafa baks banati hai.

Japan ke GDP figures ki kamzori aur Fed rate cut ke imkaanat ne USD/JPY pair mein selling activity barhayi, jis se Thursday ke trading session mein yeh pair pichay hat gaya.

Aage ka Manzar Aur Trading Strategy:

Aaj ke trading session mein, price mein significant downward movement dekha gaya, khas tor par lower time frames mein. Filhal, price 153.25 par mojood 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ke critical support level ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level ko todta hai, to yeh mazid selling pressure ko attract kar sakta hai, aur price ko 152.03 par mojood 100% Fibonacci level ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Traders is surat-e-haal ko qareebi tor par dekh rahe hain, kyun ke 61.8% Fibonacci support ke neeche break continuation of the downward trend ka signal ho sakta hai. Is surat mein, sellers market mein dominate kar sakte hain, aur price ko neeche le ja sakte hain.



Lekin, agar price 50.0% Fibonacci level ke upar rebound karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to buyers market mein naye ehtemaad ke sath aa sakte hain, jo ke current downward trajectory mein reversal ko lead kar sakta hai.

Traders ko advice di jaati hai ke Fibonacci support levels ke ird gird price action ko qareebi tor par dekhen aur kisi bhi trade ko initiate karne se pehle confirmation signals ka intezar karein. Risk management techniques ko istemal karna chahiye taake adverse price movements ke surat mein potential losses ko mitigate kiya ja sake. Mazeed, market developments se ba-khabar rehna aur trading strategies ko accordingly adjust karna dynamic forex market mein kamiyabi ke liye zaroori hai.

USD/JPY analysis:

Financial markets ke mushkil daira mein, USD/JPY currency pair aik ahem nuktay ke tor par ubhar kar samnay aya hai. Haal hi mein market sentiment ne yen mein kam hoti hui dilchaspi ko zahir kiya hai, jo Japanese government bonds ki demand mein noticeable kam hoti hui dikha raha hai. Ye subtle shift yen ki value mein US dollar ke muqable mein girawat ka ishara kar raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye ek mumkina upward trajectory ka stage set kar raha hai.

Agar hum technical analysis par ghur karein, toh yeh baat saaf hoti hai ke yeh pair consolidation ke phase se guzar raha hai, jahan supply aur demand ki forces aik nazuk balance mein hain. Magar, is surface calm ke niche kuch indicators hain jo ik aney waley breakout ka ishara kar rahe hain. Resistance level 156.28 (Murray 2.8) aik ahem rukawat ke tor par saamne aya hai, lekin Kijun line ki mojoodgi upward breach ke argument ko mazid wazni bana rahi hai. Is background ke madde nazar, support level 153.17 (Murray 1.8) tak waapis retreat hone ki imkaanat kam hoti nazar aati hai, kyun ke market sentiment upward momentum ka favor kar raha hai. Jese jese USD/JPY pair apni narrow consolidation range, jo 155.72 se 156.44 tak hai, ko tor kar nikalne ke qareeb aa raha hai, ek decisive move ka stage set ho raha hai.

Magar, agay ka rasta uncertainty se khali nahi hai, kyun ke breakout ke baad mukhtalif scenarios unfold ho sakte hain. Support ke qareeb 154 tak ek downward correction ka outcome mumkin hai, lekin prevailing market sentiment ke madde nazar ye kam imkaanat mein se hai. Dosri taraf, bullish momentum steam ikattha kar sakta hai, pair ko 156.81 se 158.32 ke resistance zone tak le ja sakta hai.



Natije mein, USD/JPY currency pair aik pivotal juncture par hai, jahan se yeh ek naye phase of price discovery ka aghaz kar sakta hai. Jab ke prevailing market sentiment bullish bias ko zahir kar raha hai, traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, aur evolving market conditions ke mutabiq apne aap ko adapt karna chahiye. Careful analysis aur strategic positioning ke saath, foreign exchange market ke dynamic landscape mein opportunities bharpoor hain.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY

Japanese yen ne pichle hafte me shiddat se mazboot hone ke baad apni gradual kamzori ka rujhan dobara shuru kar diya hai. Is hafte, price lagbhag musalsal growth ke saath barh gayi aur kuch nuqsanat se recover hoti hui 156 tak pahunch gayi. Target area abhi tak nahi mila, aur main scenario par kaam ho raha hai. Is dauran, price chart green supertrend zone ki taraf waapis aata hai, jo buying activity ko zahir karta hai.

Yen poore hafte kamzor hota raha, lagbhag 153 yen se le kar 157 yen tak US dollar ke muqable mein. Central bank ne kaha ke dollar ke muqable yen gira, bawajood iske ke afwahon ke mutabiq authorities currency markets mein intervene kar rahi thi yen ko support dene ke liye. In currency moves ke darmiyan, Japan ka 10-year government bond yield zyada tabdeeli ke baghair 0.9% ke qareeb aur chhe maheenon ki bulandi ke qareeb mandla raha. Bank of Japan ke April meeting ke nataij ne ek decidedly defiant mood zahir kiya, jo yeh darshata hai ke monetary policy ki normalisation tezi se ho sakti hai. Kuch participants ne bhi note kiya ke market expectations for interest rates relevant levels se neeche ho sakti hain, bohot se log predict kar rahe hain ke ek saal ke andar interest rates do martaba barh sakti hain.

Prices abhi weekly highs se kaafi upar trade kar rahi hain. Key support area 154.75 boundary ke break ke baad bhi unchanged hai, jo upside vector ko favor karta hai. Price ko ab current price zone ke andar consolidate karna zaroori hai, jo 154.75 area par capped hai, jab ke major support area ab bhi iske saath lagta hai. Is level ka dobara test aur subsequent rebound agle wave of growth ko form karne ka mauka faraham karega, jiska target area 158.43 aur 160.26 hai.

Agar support break hota hai aur price reversal level 153.35 se neeche girti hai, toh ek signal milega ke current scenario cancel ho gaya hai. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhein:

Kal ka din maqami ma'ashi manzarname mein aik aham tabdeeli lekar aaya jab US be-rozgari ki shara 212K se barh kar 231K tak pahunch gayi. Yeh tezi se honay wala izafa financial markets mein goonj utha aur foran hi US dollar ko kamzor kar diya. Yeh asar khaaskar USD/JPY market mein dekha gaya jo lagbhag 155.56 level ke qareeb tha. US 30-year Bonds Action se mutawaqqa support bhi USD/JPY buyers ke hoslay buland na kar saka, aur market sellers ke haq mein hi raha.

Ghurbat aur pessimistana soch ke bawajood, kuch umeed bhi thi ke ho sakta hai ke market mein reversal aaye. Aaj aik moqa hai ke bullish activity mein resurgence aaye, aur buyers momentum ikattha kar ke resistance barriers ko tor kar 156.42 level ko paar karne ki koshish karain. Yeh potential shift financial markets ki dynamic nature ko highlight karta hai, jahan optimism aur pessimism dono hi asar daalti hain.

Investors is fluctuating terrain mein navigate karte hue adaptability aur foresight ko invaluable samajh rahe hain, jo strategic decisions ke liye guide karta hai. Jab ke kal ke developments ne aik bleak picture paint ki thi, aaj naye possibilities ke darwazay kholti hai jahan traders challenges aur opportunities ka samna kar rahe hain. Is evolving landscape mein vigilance bohot zaroori hai, kyun ke har fluctuation aur trend outcomes ko shape kar sakta hai. Jese din unfold hota hai, resilience aur determination ki kahani likhi ja rahi hai, jahan market participants apne objectives ko pursue karte hain, baghair kisi rukawat ke. Aakhir mein, constant rehta hai enterprise ka unwavering spirit, jo individuals ko naye raaste dikhati hai aur kal ke waade ko hasil karne ka hosla deti hai. Umeed hai ke USD/JPY ki price agle kuch ghanton mein buyers ke liye mazeed moqa de gi.

In observations ke madde nazar, traders apni strategy USD/JPY ke liye tayar kar rahe hain. Main approach yeh hai ke bearish sentiment ke doran selling opportunities se fayda uthaya jaye. CSM sell signal ke formation ke baad, traders sabr se wait kar rahe hain ke USD/JPY reentry zone mein aaye, jahan ek short retracement ho sakta hai. Yeh retracement favorable price par short positions enter karne ka moqa faraham karta hai. Initially, traders plan kar rahe hain ke sell limit 155.63 par set karen, anticipating ke downward movement continue rahega.



Magar, yeh acknowledge karna zaroori hai ke USD/JPY ko long-term target 155.64 tak push karna aik challenge hai. Yeh level hasil karne ke liye sustained selling pressure ki zaroorat hai aur obstacles bhi samna kar sakte hain. In conclusion, recent shift in sentiment for USD/JPY forex trading ki dynamic nature ko highlight karta hai. Traders key indicators aur signals ko closely monitor kar rahe hain taake market ko effectively navigate kar sakein. Jab ke bearish outlook technical factors jese ke EMA-100 penetration aur sell signal se supported hai, uncertainty USD/JPY ke recover hone ke hawale se ab bhi rehti hai. Clear trading plan ke sath, traders potential selling opportunities se fayda uthane ke liye tayyar hain aur market dynamics par vigilant rehte hue.

USD/JPY H1

Indicator ke bullish signals dikhane ka matlab hai ke (blue line) (red line) ke upar hai, jo aik bullish trend ka ishara de raha hai. Ise ke sath, Span (green line) bhi price ke upar hai, jo bullish sentiment ko mazeed confirm karta hai. Magar, trading decision lene se pehle doosre factors ko bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Fundamental analysis, jese ke economic data releases aur geopolitical events, currency pairs par significant asar dal sakte hain. USD/JPY ke hawale se, factors jese ke US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan interest rate differentials, dono mulkon ke trade relations, aur overall market sentiment towards riskier assets, price movements ko influence kar sakte hain.

Technical analysis tools jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Averages mazeed confirmation ya divergence provide kar sakte hain from the Ichimoku signals. Misal ke taur par, agar RSI overbought conditions ko indicate kare ya price action moving averages se diverge ho, toh yeh potential reversal ya correction in the trend ka ishara de sakta hai. Forex trading mein risk management bhi bohot zaroori hai. Stop-loss orders set karna taake potential losses ko limit kiya ja sake aur proper position sizing implement karna, account size aur risk tolerance ke mutabiq, risks ko mitigate karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

Summary mein, jab ke indicator pair par bullish signals de raha hai, yeh zaroori hai ke comprehensive analysis kiya jaye, including fundamental aur technical factors, aur proper risk management strategies ko implement kiya jaye before executing any trades. Multiple indicators aur risk management techniques ko incorporate karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur forex market mein apni success ke chances improve kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY pair ne Asian trading session mein gradual ascent experience kiya, jo yen ke against key global currencies ke mukable persistent weakening ko mirror karta hai. Kai intertwined factors ne is trend mein contribute kiya hai, market sentiment heavily influenced hai Japan ki economic growth prospects ke hawale se doubts ke sath. Investors ab bhi nation ke substantial economic expansion foster karne ki ability par skeptical hain, jo yen ki value par uncertainty ka saya dal rahi hai.

Iske ilawa, US dollar ke strengthening trajectory ne USD/JPY pair par mazeed upward pressure daala hai. Greenback ki resilience, jo ke factors jese ke robust economic indicators aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policy stance se driven hai, ne iski position ko other major currencies, including yen, ke muqable mein bolster kiya hai. Is environment mein, market participants ne dollar ko yen par prefer kiya hai, jo ke USD/JPY pair ki sustained appreciation ki wajah bana.



Prevailing sentiment ek broader narrative ko reflect karta hai of diverging monetary policy paths between the Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan, jahan pehla zyada hawkish stance apna raha hai apne Japanese counterpart ke muqable mein. Occasional fluctuations ke bawajood, overall trend near term mein USD/JPY pair ke further upside ka bias suggest karta hai. Magar, global economic conditions, geopolitical tensions, aur central bank policies mein ongoing developments, is currency pair ke dynamics ko shape karte rahenge, jo market participants ke liye careful monitoring warrant karte hain.

Analysis of USD/JPY

Aadab, guzishta hafte ke trading ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke UsdJpy market ki price bullish side ki taraf ja rahi hai. Is hafte ek upward movement dekhne ko mili hai kyunke current position ab bhi pichle Monday ki opening price se zyada hai. Market sellers ke zariye niche aa sakti thi magar sirf 155.52 tak pahunch sakti, uske baad price wapas upar ki taraf move karti nazar aayi. Ab bhi buyers ka control kaafi strong hai isliye price zyada nahi girti. Agar aap current price movement ko dekhein jo ke rise kar rahi hai, mujhe lagta hai ke market ab bhi buyers ke influence mein hai aur 156.78 price zone ko test karne ka potential rakhta hai, kyunke technically price apni journey Uptrend side par continue kar sakti hai.



Kuch arse se, prices ke yeh condition continue rehne ki prediction hai, jo ke bullish trend ke continuation ka buniyadi sabab hai. Buyers may tend to provide buying encouragement taake candlestick ko aur upar le jayein aur current Uptrend ko continue karne ka mauka mile. Increase ka opportunity kaafi open hai kyunke candlestick position Simple Moving Average 100 indicator ke upar chal rahi hai. Agar is hafte price apna increase continue kar sakti hai, toh iska matlab yeh situation doosre traders ko BUY option choose karne mein madad de sakti hai, jaise ke recent weeks mein market trend raha hai. Agar price 157.00 area tak increase record kar leti hai, toh ab bhi bohot bara mauka hai ke bullish trend continue ho aur prices ko phir se high fly karne ka encouragement mile.

Key US Inflation Data ke Agay

Key US inflation data se pehle, yen dollar ke muqable 156 yen tak gir gaya, jabke yen par ab bhi pressure hai kyunke investors is hafte Japan ke pehle quarter GDP report mein invest kar rahe hain. Pichle hafte yen lagbhag 2% gir gaya tha, chahe Bank of Japan ki April monetary policy meeting ne upward inflation ke risks ko note kiya aur aise scenarios discuss kiye jo mazeed rate hikes warrant karte hain. Report ne yen ki depreciation ko rising prices ka aik key factor point out kiya, jo central bank ke interest ko barhata hai. Magar, Bank of Japan abhi ke liye sound financial conditions ko maintain karne ki umeed rakhta hai, jabke economic activity aur rising prices ki expectations ko assess karte hain.

Forex currency trading company platform ke mutabiq, yen ab apne is mahine ke pehle ke gains ka lagbhag aadha recoup kar chuka hai, jab wo lows se highs tak 5.2% swing hua tha suspected government intervention ke darmiyan. Bank of Japan ke data ke mutabiq, mulk ne yen ko defend karne ke liye kareeb $60 billion kharch kiye hain.

Dusri taraf, US consumer inflation expectations for next year April 2024 mein 3% se barh kar 3.3% ho gayi hain, jo ke highest level hai.

Technical Analysis

Mere analysis ke mutabiq, 160.209 par price ne reverse karte hue confidently downward move kiya, jis se ek complete bearish candle bani jo previous weekly range ko engulf karte hue support level 152.997 ke neeche close hui. Aghle hafte southern movement ke continue rehne ka zyada imkaan hai, aur is case mein mera target support level 150.809 hoga. Is support level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain.

Pehla scenario involves ek reversal candle ka formation aur uptrend ka resumption. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh main price ka 156.286 resistance level tak waapis aane ka wait karunga. Price ke is resistance level ke upar close hone par, further northern movement ka expect karunga, jo resistance level 160.209 tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb main ek trading setup ka formation ka intezar karunga jo further trading direction determine karne mein madadgar hoga. Bilkul, higher northern target 164.500 tak pohanchne ka possibility bhi hai, lekin yeh situation par aur price ke higher northern targets par react karne par depend karta hai.



Dusra scenario price movement ka jab support level 150.809 ko test karte hue plan yeh ho sakta hai ke price is level ke neeche close ho aur south ki taraf move continue kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh main price ke support level 146.484 ya 145.891 tak move hone ka expect karunga. Is support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals ki talash karunga, expecting a resumption of upward price movement.

Mukhtasir mein, agli hafte corrective southern movement ke locally continue hone ka imkaan hai, aur price nearest support levels ko test karne ke liye move karegi. Phir, existing global northern trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main bullish signals ki talash karunga, expecting upward price movement ka resumption.

Forex trading strategy
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, US dollar/Japanese yen ke jode ne 155.66 ki muzahmati satah ko todte hue apni zyadatar khoyi hui positions dobara hasil kar lin. Filhal, qimat is nishan se ooper mustahkam hone ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yah kamyab ho jata hai to, ek kharid signal taiyar hoga. Is surat me, dollar/yen ki jodi 156.60 ki agli muzahmati satah ki taraf badhte hue faide ko badhayegi, jahan reversal hua tha. Bahut se ishare yah btate hain keh bulls qimat ko badhana jari rakhenge aur 157.93 ki muzahmati satah tak pahunch sakte hain. Yaumiyah chart se pata chalta hai keh haliya girawat ek gahri islah se zyada kuch nahin thi.

Japanese Yen (JPY) Analysis

Japanese Yen (JPY) ko spotlight mein dekha ja raha hai, jabke pehle din ki potential government intervention reaction ke baad phir se selling pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Tuesday ke European session unfold hone ke sath, JPY apni offered tone ko barqarar rakhta hai, jo kai key factors se influenced hai jo global economy ko shape kar rahe hain.

USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

USD buying ka momentum steadfast hai. Ye trend is consensus se fueled hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) extended period tak higher interest rates maintain karega. Is sentiment ko reinforce karte hue incoming US macro data persistent inflationary pressures indicate karte hain. Magar, USD ki strength ke darmiyan, ek palpable risk-off sentiment bhi hai, jo overnight US equity markets ke downturn aur Asian equities mein red sea se evident hai. Ye dynamic safe-haven JPY ko support de raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye ek challenge pose kar raha hai ahead of crucial FOMC policy decision later in the day.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Agar immediate support 156.00 ke neeche breach hoti hai, toh nayi buying interest stimulate ho sakti hai, aur support 155.00 mark ke around materialize hone ka imkaan hai. Conversely, agar is level ke neeche decisively break hoti hai, toh pair 154.35 region ko test kar sakta hai, potentially losses ko 154.00 tak extend kar sakta hai. Bullish sentiment, dusri taraf, confirmation ka intezar kar sakta hai through a move beyond 158.00 mark ya 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent decline. In levels ka successful breach further gains ke liye raasta bana sakta hai, spot prices 157 regions ko target kar sakti hain before aiming to reclaim the 159.00 mark.



Relative Strength Index (RSI):

USD/JPY ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) downward trajectory ko signal kar raha hai from overbought territory, jo potential bearish reversal ka hint de raha hai. Isi tarah, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram flat green bars depict kar raha hai, jo waning upward momentum aur bearish shift ke possibility ko indicate kar raha hai. Ye indicators traders ke liye valuable insights provide karte hain jo evolving market dynamics ke darmiyan USD/JPY landscape ko navigate kar rahe hain.

USD/JPY Price Action Review

Hamari guftagu mein humne USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda rawayat ko gehri tehqiq ki. Daily dollar-yen chart ko tajziya karte hue, humne ek saaf uptrend dekha jo peechle peak 160.23 ko paar karne ki taraf ja raha hai. Halankeh yeh aik ummed afzaayi lagti hai, lekin itihaadi bulandiyon tak pohanchna bara mushkil ho sakta hai madda context ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Market overlook theek aur mustaqil hai. Is liye mein dollar-yen buy trades abhi nahi kar raha hoon aur current levels par kharidne ka koi iraada nahi hai. Shorting 157.77-158.29 zone ko test karne ke baad aik option ho sakti hai, lekin yeh mushkil hai ke yeh zone mumkin hai ya nahi. Aane wale haftay ke liye D-1 chart par chalte hain, humne ek gehri correction ke baad significant upward movement dekhi hai, jo ke 61.8 Fibonacci level ke qareeb hai.



Khaas tor par, strong horizontal support 151.93 par hilne ka kirdar ada karna koi ahem rol ada kar chuka hai haal hi mein shuru hui uptrend par. Is ke ilawa, signals jese ke RSI indicator upar ja raha hai, uptrend ka jari rakhne ka ishara hai. Halankeh kuch log girawat ka intezar kar rahe hain, shadeed resistance bara waqt tak wapas sakti hai. Mojooda rokawat qareeb 156.14 ke qareeb aik potential downtrend ka ishaara deta hai, magar haal hi ki bulandiyon se doori aage ki afzaayi ki mumkinat ko darust karta hai. Agar yeh resistance mumkin hai, toh April ke peak tak pohanchna mumkin hai. Jabke yeh pair lambi trends ko pasand karta hai, baghair stop ke bechna bara nuqsaan dila sakta hai. Behtar hai ke thori dair mein resistance ka aik mukammal imtehaan kiya jaye, aur agar neeche ki taraf move hua, toh bechna ka socha jaye. Aane wale calendar mein koi ahem iqtisadi waqyat nahi hain.