USD/JPY Technical Analysis.
Is hafte Japanese yen ne US dollar ke khilaf aik rollercoaster safar ka samna kiya. Jumma ko barhne ke baad, Mangal ko isne apni zyada tar faida diye hue gairan qaim kar diye is wajah se ke Japanese authorities ke qadamon ke bary main fikar thi. Ye intervention ke shak speculation is wajah se aayi ke USD/JPY joda 34 saal ke ucheyi par pohanch gaya tha. Yen ki kamzori ke peechay ka sab se bara karkun Japan aur United States ke darmiyan farq farq interest rate ka phelana hai. US Federal Reserve se mutaliq Japan ke markazi bank ke muqablay mein zyada arse tak uncha interest rate ka barqarar rehna mutawaqqa hai. Ye interest rate ka farq US dollar ko zyada kashish karne wala invest banata hai, jo yen ke muqable mein izafa shudah talab aur ek mazboot dollar ke sath le aata hai. Budh ke din, dollar ne Asian session mein apni upar ki rukh ko jari rakha. Ye izafa US data ke mutabiq madde nazar inflation ke khilaf lade jane wale Federal Reserve ke hawkish monetary policy stance ke barhne wale market expectations se aya tha.
Magar dollar ke liye ye musbat jazba risk-off mahol ke dabe paon hawale se rok diya gaya tha. Raat bhar US stocks mein kami aur Asian markets mein kaafi farokht ka barhao yen ki safe-haven appeal ko dobara zinda kar diya, jo ke FOMC ki aham meeting se pehle USD/JPY jode ke liye kuch rukawaton ka sabab bana.
/JPY joda ek mustaqil barhawah par hai, teen daswaiyon ke daira mein unchaai tak pohanch gaya hai. Ye uthalta howa trend Jumma ko oper ati shak ki wajah se ek waqtan-fa-waqtan trading session ka samna kiya. Agar dollar apne upar ke dabaav ko barqarar rakhta hai, to joda 159.20 level ko challenge karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, aik ahem Fibonacci extension level. Mazeed izafay se ye 34 saal ke unchaai par 160.20 tak pohanch sakta hai, aur ho sakta hai ke ye 200% Fibonacci level tak 163.25 tak pohanch jaye. Dosri taraf, agar USD/JPY bechnay ke dabaav ka samna karta hai, to usay pehle support mil sakta hai joda 156.25 Fibonacci level par. Is level ka torhna ek decline ko start kar sakta hai joda 154.24 level ki taraf, jo ke saptah ke pehle se ghatne wale talab ko rokne wala ahem Fibonacci retracement point tha. Agar ye kamzori jari rahe, to November 2023 ki unchai 151.90 bears ke liye agle bara hurdle ban sakta hai. Aaj ke FOMC meeting ke baad USD/JPY jode ke mustaqbil ki muntazir rasta ko mutasir karne wala aik aham factor hone wala hai.
Is hafte Japanese yen ne US dollar ke khilaf aik rollercoaster safar ka samna kiya. Jumma ko barhne ke baad, Mangal ko isne apni zyada tar faida diye hue gairan qaim kar diye is wajah se ke Japanese authorities ke qadamon ke bary main fikar thi. Ye intervention ke shak speculation is wajah se aayi ke USD/JPY joda 34 saal ke ucheyi par pohanch gaya tha. Yen ki kamzori ke peechay ka sab se bara karkun Japan aur United States ke darmiyan farq farq interest rate ka phelana hai. US Federal Reserve se mutaliq Japan ke markazi bank ke muqablay mein zyada arse tak uncha interest rate ka barqarar rehna mutawaqqa hai. Ye interest rate ka farq US dollar ko zyada kashish karne wala invest banata hai, jo yen ke muqable mein izafa shudah talab aur ek mazboot dollar ke sath le aata hai. Budh ke din, dollar ne Asian session mein apni upar ki rukh ko jari rakha. Ye izafa US data ke mutabiq madde nazar inflation ke khilaf lade jane wale Federal Reserve ke hawkish monetary policy stance ke barhne wale market expectations se aya tha.
Magar dollar ke liye ye musbat jazba risk-off mahol ke dabe paon hawale se rok diya gaya tha. Raat bhar US stocks mein kami aur Asian markets mein kaafi farokht ka barhao yen ki safe-haven appeal ko dobara zinda kar diya, jo ke FOMC ki aham meeting se pehle USD/JPY jode ke liye kuch rukawaton ka sabab bana.
/JPY joda ek mustaqil barhawah par hai, teen daswaiyon ke daira mein unchaai tak pohanch gaya hai. Ye uthalta howa trend Jumma ko oper ati shak ki wajah se ek waqtan-fa-waqtan trading session ka samna kiya. Agar dollar apne upar ke dabaav ko barqarar rakhta hai, to joda 159.20 level ko challenge karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, aik ahem Fibonacci extension level. Mazeed izafay se ye 34 saal ke unchaai par 160.20 tak pohanch sakta hai, aur ho sakta hai ke ye 200% Fibonacci level tak 163.25 tak pohanch jaye. Dosri taraf, agar USD/JPY bechnay ke dabaav ka samna karta hai, to usay pehle support mil sakta hai joda 156.25 Fibonacci level par. Is level ka torhna ek decline ko start kar sakta hai joda 154.24 level ki taraf, jo ke saptah ke pehle se ghatne wale talab ko rokne wala ahem Fibonacci retracement point tha. Agar ye kamzori jari rahe, to November 2023 ki unchai 151.90 bears ke liye agle bara hurdle ban sakta hai. Aaj ke FOMC meeting ke baad USD/JPY jode ke mustaqbil ki muntazir rasta ko mutasir karne wala aik aham factor hone wala hai.
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