usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Yeh tajziya USDJPY jodi ke liye pur umeed hai, M15 graph par linear regression channel ke oopri slope ko ek mazboot kharidar ke maujoodgi ka saboot deta hai. Yeh darust hai ke kharidne ke liye jagah hai, aur mansooba yeh hai ke qeemat ko channel ke neeche, takreeban 156.922 ke aspas, girne ka intezar kiya jaye, phir upar ka nishana 157.309 tak pohanchne ke liye ek kharid dakhilay ki talash ki jaye aur yeh bhi naseehat di gayi hai ke farokht se umeed hai channel ke oopri kinaray se aur dakhilay se pehle ek durusti ka intezar karna chahiye. Ghar ke chart mein bhi ek linear regression channel shumal ke taraf hai, jo is aala ka upri rawani ko tasdeeq karta hai
Is neemrana point ke qareeb dakhilay ke liye ghoorna hai, takreeban 156.731 ke aspas, aur 157.322, channel ka oopri had, tak bazaar ka izafa kiya jaye, jahan bazaar ki toot ki umeed hai. Agar bazaar lambay waqt tak channel ke oopri sarhad ke qareeb rehta hai, to channel ka neeche hissa girne ka imkan hai
Tajziya kharidne ki ahmiyat par zor deti hai aur farokht se bachti hai, kyun ke yeh trend ke khilaaf jaata hai. Balki, yeh bazaar mein waapsi se dakhil hone ka tareeqa istemal karta hai, ek mazboot player ka umeed hai ke barhna aur bear ko todna, qeemat mein izafa ka sabab banega
Ikhtisar mein, yeh tajziya USDJPY ke liye bhaari hai, uparrawa rawani ka jari rehne ka umeed hai, aur channel ke neeche nazdeeki kharid ka mansooba hai nishana 157.309 ke sath. Bazaar mein dakhilay se pehle ek durusti ka intezar karne aur farokht se bachne ka mashwara diya gaya hai, kyun ke yeh trend ke khilaaf jaata hai, yeh technical indicators par mabni hai, khaaskar M15 aur ghante ke chart par linear regression channels, jo ek oopri slope ko dikhate hain, jise ek mazboot kharidar ka peshwa hai. Tadbeer yeh hai ke channel ke neeche kharidne aur rawani par sawaar ho, qeemat mein izafa ka bhaari imkan hai. Yeh tajweez is tasawwur par mabni hai ke rawani jari rahegi, aur farokht bazaar ke momentum ke khilaaf jaayega

USD/JPY taqreebati tahlil.
USD/JPY jori kal ek pur-sukoon din tha, thori si izafa ke saath sir ke ooper ka uchhaal bhi tha. Aaj bhi ooper ka hissa thora sa dabaya gaya, abhi tak bhaloo ke liye kisi umeed ka koi zariya nahi hai. Unhon ne bhi keemat samjhi aur bohot ooper reh gaye. Kamiyon ki koshishain foran rok di jati hain. Lahar ki shakal ooper ki taraf apna tarteeb bana rahi hai, MACD nishan dene wala indicator khareedne ki ooper ki zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. Magar CCI nishan dene wala indicator ooper ki zyada garmi wali zone se neeche aa raha hai, jis ne hal hi mein ooper ki zone ko ooper se neeche cross kiya tha, yeh wapas girne ka imkaan barha deta hai. Magar shayad woh abhi tak maximum ko thora sa update kar sakte hain. Ek kami hone ki koshish hui jis mein keemat ne pehla ahem sathool level 153.40 tak lagbhag pohanch gaya aur jaise kisi ne daata mara ho, keemat is ilaake se phir se ooper ki taraf tezi se badh gayi. Main ab bhi ek theek karne wale kami ka giravat 151.90 ke ilaake tak intezaar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi hai, balki yeh yahan ka pehla sarhad level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ke liye maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat ne lagbhag ek maheene tak ise neeche daba rakha tha, bahar jaane ka himmat nahi dikha rahi thi. Magar ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab wapas jaana nahi chahti. Magar main ab bhi yeh samajhta hoon ke woh ise ek magnet ki tarah khichtay hain, girne ke baad ise ulta test karna zaroori hai, hata ke agar hum naye unchaiyon tak jaate hain jo is terminal ke poori tareekh mein kabhi dekhi nahi gayi hain. Is kami ka koi pullback nahi hai, aap ko nahi kharidna chahiye; aap market ka uchha kisam pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahan ek intehai sarhad hai, spring ne dabav dala hai aur ek shiddat se giravat ho sakti hai. Mere khayal mein, yahan H4 par jab maujooda uchch neeche gaya, to MACD nishan dene wala indicator par ek bearish divergence bani, yeh ek wajah hai ke agar aap bech bhi nahi rahe hain, to aap bilkul kharidna nahi chahiye. Aaj ki maqroozi calender bina ahem maqroozi khabron ke hai.


Candlestick ne bohot tezi se girawat ki hai, aur ye mumkin hai ke ye halat is haftay ke khatam tak jaari rahe agar sellers ki army consistent taur pe market ke nichle level 154.50 ke neeche dominance banaaye rakhti hai. Agar aap MACD indicator ke diye gaye instructions ko monitor karte hain, toh bohot clear hai ke histogram bar ka shape chhota hota ja raha hai aur zero level ke qareeb gir raha hai. MACD signal line jo dotted yellow hai, woh neeche ki taraf mudi hui hai jo market mein bearish trend ko darust karti hai.USDJPY currency pair ki taraf dekha ja sakta hai ke lagbhag tamaam indicators abhi bhi candlesticks ko ek bearish trend ki taraf badhne ki disha mein dikhate hain. Bearish trend ka matlab hai ke market mein price decline ki ummeed hai. Ye situation traders ke liye important hoti hai kyunki ye unhe trading decisions ke liye guide karta hai. Bearish trend ke dauraan traders selling positions le sakte hain ya existing long positions ko exit kar sakte hain. Is situation mein, traders ko market ki movement ko closely monitor karna aur risk management ka dhyan rakhna chahiye.

Forex trading strategy
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, US dollar/Japanes yen joda 157.40 ki muzahmati satah ko todne me nakam raha. Iska matlab hai keh iski tezi ka daud mahdud hai. Aaj, qimat 156.10 ki support satah tak girna shuru ho gayi hai. Yah joda kafi arse se in satahon ke darmiyan karobar kar raha hai, aur apni mustaqbil ki simt ka faisla karne se qasir hai.



Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh islah ke hisse ke taur par dollar/yen ka joda 156.10 ki support satah tak gir jayega. Agar qimat is satah se tto jati hai to, yah mumkena taur par niche ki raftar hasil karegi aur ooper ki taraf palatne se pahle aur 156.10 ki muzahmati satah par wapas aane se pahle 155.00 ke nishan tak gir jayegi. Iske bad, dollar/yen ka joda 156.10 se piche hat kar 154.05 ke nishan tak fisalne ka imkan hai. Iske breakout se 152.70 ki satah ka rasta khulega.
Mutabadil ke taur par, agar qimat 157.40 se ooper toot jati hai to, joda faide ko badha dega aur 158.90 ke nishan ki taraf badhega. Iske badummid ki jati hai keh jodi dobara hasil karne se pahle 157.40 ki support satah par wapas aa jaye.

Japanese yen ne ground kho di jabke Japanese CPI 2.7% se gir ke 2.5% YoY ho gaya April mein. Japanese inflation ab bhi 2% target se upar hai, jisse BoJ par policy mazeed tight karne ka pressure hai. US dollar ne ground gain kiya jabke strong US PMI data ne reinforce kiya ke Fed rates ko zyada der tak hold kar sakta hai. USD/JPY pair Friday ko 157.10 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart par rising wedge pattern ek possible bearish reversal suggest karta hai jab pair wedge ke end ke qareeb pohonchta hai. Is ke bawajood, 14-day Relative Strength Index 50 se upar hai, jo continued bullish momentum indicate karta hai. Agar yeh level ke niche girta hai, to momentum mein tabdeeli ka indication hoga. USD/JPY pair rising wedge ke upper boundary ko 157.20 ke qareeb retest kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to pair recent high 160.32 ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Downside par, nine-day exponential moving average 156.33 par immediate support dikhata hai, jiske baad lower boundary of the rising wedge aur psychological level of 156.00 aata hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to USD/JPY pair par downward pressure aa sakta hai, potentially isay throwback support 151.86 tak le jata hai. Statistics Bureau of Japan ke mutabiq, annual inflation April mein 2.5% par ease hui jo peechle maheenay 2.7% thi, yeh doosra straight month of moderation hai lekin ab bhi Bank of Japan ke 2% target se upar hai. Yeh persistent inflation central bank par policy ko mazeed tighten karne ka pressure dalti hai

Bank of Japan ne yeh stress kiya hai ke policy normalization ke liye sustained, stable 2% price target ka achieve hona aur strong wage growth zaroori hai. Waisay, investors expect karte hain ke JPY ki continued weakness BoJ ko agle interest rate hike ke saath push forward karne par majboor kar sakti hai taake cost of living par impact ko cushion kiya ja sake, Reuters ke mutabiq

USD/JPY currency pair lagta hai ke ek breakout ke qareeb hai, kuch analysts iske future direction ke baare mein ihtiyaat se optimistic hain. Ye analysis "ascending triangle" chart pattern use karta hai potential price movements ko predict karne ke liye. Tasavvur karein ek corridor jiska floor dheere dheere upar jaa raha hai – ye hai ascending triangle. Price kaafi arsay se lower trend line (floor) aur upper trend line se bounce kar rahi hai. Ye pattern aksar ek breakout se pehle hota hai, jo ka matlab hai ke price dono directions mein surge kar sakti hai.
Achhi khabar ye hai ke kuch signs potential rise in USD/JPY (dollar ka Japanese yen ke muqable mein mazid taqatwar hona) ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Aaj ka US economic data is upward movement ko influence kar sakta hai. Magar kuch rukawatain hain. Bullish scenario (upward movement) ke liye, price ko 157.94 ke ek key resistance level ke upar break karna hoga. Afsos, kuch weak economic news yahaan kuch resistance create kar sakti hai. Breakout lagbhag mumkin lagta hai, lekin exact timing abhi clear nahi hai. Ek possibility ye bhi hai ke bulls (investors jo price ko rise hota dekhna chahte hain) initially 157.94 ko push through karne mein mushkil ka samna karain

Is surat mein, unhein kam az kam 157.40 ke upar break karna hoga taake kuch upward momentum barqarar rahe. Agar dono yeh koshishain nakam hoti hain, to price 155.99 ke support level tak gir sakti hai. Yahan par cheezain interesting ho jaati hain. Bhalay hi recent trend USD/JPY ke liye down raha ho, underlying structure bullish movement ke potential ko suggest karta hai. Seedhi baat mein, decline apna rasta tay kar chuka hai aur currency pair ab ek potential upswing ke liye taiyaar hai. Ye "bullish potential" fulfill hona chahiye, jo investors ke liye dono sides of the trade mein ek mauka paida karta hai. Ek taraf, agar bulls resistance levels ko overcome kar lete hain, to price ek significant upward surge experience kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar bears (investors jo price ko girta dekhna chahte hain) 155.99 se 157.40 range ke andar strength gain karte hain, to wo price ko aur bhi niche push kar sakte hain aur downtrend ko extend kar sakte hain

USD/JPY Ka Taqdeeri Nazar
Hum samajh sakte hain ke USD/JPY ke Market ko kharidne wale ne qabu kiya hai. Unhone Jumma ko 157.03 zone ko guzarna tha. Is liye, aane wale khabron ke data jise USD/JPY se mutalliq hai, kharidne walon ki madad bhi karega. Is ke ilawa, market dynamics ko shape karne wale factors ke nuqta-e-nazar ko qubool karna ahem hai. Jab ke kharidne wale dabaav abhi taqatwar hai, to hoshmandi ki hifazat bhi zaroori hai, kyun ke market ke jazbat foran waqiyat ke jawab mein tabdeel ho sakte hain. Ek munazzam approach banaye rakhne aur tabdeel hone wale market shorat mein haami hone se traders mohtaat ho sakte hain, jisse ke moqaat ka faida uthaya ja sake aur jokhimat ko kam kiya ja sake jo ke is mohtasar moahide ke fitri nizamat mein hain. USD/JPY ke mamlay mein, USDCAD market ka tajziyah karte hue jo ke pichle haftay ke performance par mabni hai, ye pata chalta hai ke Canadian CPI rate ne bechne walon par manfi asar dala, aur market 1.3664 par band hui. USA se manfi khabron ke bawajood, US dollar ki taqat ye darust karta hai ke Canadian khabron ka asar khas tor par bechne walon ke liye nuqsan deh tha. Ab, USD Cad market kharidne walon ki taraf mutawajjah ho raha hai, jiske ke 1.3685 level ko guzarne ka imkan hai. Puri umeed hai ke USD/JPY ka market is hafte 157.65 resistance zone ko guzarega. Ye samar hai ke barhte hue kharidne wale dabaav ke muqablay mein aaj ke market jazbat ki mustaqiliat ki tasdeeq hai. Is peizare ke sath, bechne walon ko khatra hai, jiski wajah se ek ehtiyaati aur mizaj-e-amal tajziyah ki zaroorat hai. Aane wale khabron ke data ka istifada uthate hue aur kharidne wali taraf trade ko darust karte hue, traders mustaqbil ke market shorat ko faida utha sakte hain aur intehai faidey hasil kar sakte hain. Aik hushyari munafa hasil karne ki strategy aur ubhar rahe moqaat par tawajjuh di jaye, is manzar-e-aam par tawajjuh aur soch samajh ke zariye safar mein kamiyabi tabadlay aur munazzam amal par mabni hai. Kharidne wale dabaav ka gradual izaafah aaj ke market jazbat ki mustaqiliat ki tasdeeq hai. Chalo dekhte hain ke kuch ghanton mein USD/JPY ke market mein kya hota hai.
Aap ko aik mufeed trading din guzarne ki umeed hai!

Technical Outlook for Monday's Trading
USD/JPY currency pair ne Asian trading session mein thora sa kamzor shuru kiya. Ye ek mazboot dikhawa ke baad aata hai, aur pair nazar aa raha hai ke ye aik correctuve phase mein dakhil ho raha hai. Japanese Yen ko ek baar phir se US dollar ki mukhtalif kami se thora sa sahara mil raha hai. Magar, Yen khud kai factors ki wajah se daba hua hai, pehle tarikhon mein Japani maeeshat mein investoron ki itminan ki kami ka sabab bana.

Aage dekhte hue trading din ke baare mein, USD/JPY ke liye do mukhya mumkinat hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke din ke pehle hisse mein neeche ke correction ka jari rahna. Iske baad aksar oopar ki taraf ka trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. 156.25 aik ahem darja hai jo dekha jaye ga. Agar pair is darja ko tor deta hai, to ye ek kharidne ka moqa signal kar sakta hai jismein aik mukhtalif maqasid 158.35 aur shayad 158.85 bhi shamil hain. Dosra scenario zyada tez girawat ka hai. Agar USD/JPY 156.25 ke darja se neeche gir jata hai aur wahan band ho jata hai, to phir ye nichle darjon ki taraf ja sakta hai jahan se shayad 155.75 aur shayad 155.55 tak ja sakta hai. US dollar ke haal hilafat Yen ke liye thori sa waqt ke liye sahara faraham kar rahi hai. Ye USD/JPY ke liye nichli darjon ko short term mein had mein rakhta hai.





Haal hi mein hasil hone ke bawajood, Yen Japani maeeshat ke mutalliq pareshaniyon ke bais rehta hai. Lagta hai ke investors iski growth ki tawaqoat mein kami mehsoos kar rahe hain. Pichle haftay ke mazboot faiday ne USD/JPY ke liye aik takneeki correction ke liye jagah banai hai. Ye aik fitri bazaar ka rawaya hai jahan keemat kisi ahem upri harkat ke baad peechay jhukti hai. Aam tor par, qareebi dour ke liye USD/JPY ke liye manzar-e-am parshadeed hai. Pair ka rukh aam tor par is muddat mein iski roodhi pullback ya bunyadi upri trend mein se konsa zyada taqatwar sabit hota hai par munhasar ho ga. Ahem darja jo dekha jaye ga, wo 156.25 hai. Agar ye darja tor jata hai, to ye upri trend ka jari rehne ka ishara kar sakta hai, jab ke agar ye darja toot jata hai, to mazeed girawat ka sabab bhi ban sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ne Asia ke doosre din subah aik thakaan li, aur 156.47 ke qareeb qaim hogaya. Yeh is se pehle honay wale US dollar ke tajwezat ki tezi ka natija hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke baaqai signals ke zor par chala raha hai ke woh interest rates ko barhaayega. Investors naye cues ki talaash mein hain taake currency pair ko ek saaf raah mein daba sakein. Is haftay mein, US mein kai ahem data releases shamil hain, jinmein Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), aur retail sales figures shamil hain. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve ke afraad Jefferson aur Mister ke taqreerain bhi calendar par hain. Tuesday ke pehle din ke doran, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apni ultra-loose monetary policy mein tabdeeli ka ishaara diya tha aur Japanese government bonds ke purchases ko kam kiya tha. Is ne kuch logon mein aasaish ka jazba paida kiya, jaise ruling party ke member Katsunobu Kato. Magar, BoJ hushyar rehta hai, aur rates ko barhane se pehle maamooli shara'itiyon ko qareeb se nigrani karna aur sarkar ke saath kaam karna ko ahmiyat di jati hai. Dilchaspi ki baat hai ke, Federal Reserve ke tajwezat ke bawajood, maaliyat ke markets mein kam yaqeen hai ke tafreeqat ki tajwezat bohot qareeb hai. June mein rate kaatne ki umeed sirf 5% tak gir gayi hai, ek hafta pehle 10% se. Isi tarah, September mein kaatne ki ihtimalat 75% se 90% tak gir gayi hai. Ye raaye ki tabdeeli haal mein aam logo ki umeedon mein kami ki saath sath University of Michigan ke pehle izafa hone wale consumer confidence index se bhi mutabiq hai. Lekin, USD/JPY pair ke liye aik musarrar nishan hai. Mehngai ki umeedain November 2023 se buland taron par pohanch gayi hain, jo ke US dollar ko izafa dene mein madadgar hosakti hain. Agar USD/JPY ke barhne ki rah jaari rahe, toh woh 156.40 ke rukawat dar maqam ka muqabla kar sakta hai aur shayad 34 saal ke unchayi par pohanch jaye ga. Dosri taraf, agar pair ko farokht dabaav ka samna karna pare, toh khaas level par support hosakta hai, aur mazeed kamzori shayad doosre ahem level ko nishana banaye. Aik nikaatam giravat phir ek aur support level ko shamil kar sakti hai. Is haftay ke data aur central bank ke taqreerain USD/JPY ke agle qadam ko tay karne mein ahem hongi. Investors in haadison ko gehra nazar se dekhte rahenge taake dekhein ke dollar apna momentum barqarar rakh sakega ya phir yen wapas aa jaye gi.

JPY ke price barhne ki rukawat ka sabse bara rok 158.13 par resistance hai, ye ek important technical level hai jo market mein traders ke liye significant hai. Jab bhi price is level tak pahunchta hai, wahan se retracement ya reversal ka chance hota hai. Yeh resistance level market analysis mein ek crucial point hai, kyun ki yeh traders ko indicate karta hai ke price ke further upside potential par ek rukavat aa sakta hai. Is level ko samajhne ke liye, technical analysis ke tools jaise ki Fibonacci retracements, trend lines, aur price action patterns ka istemal kiya jata hai. Fibonacci retracements ek popular tool hain jo traders use karte hain to identify potential support aur resistance levels. Ye tool market ke previous swings ko analyze karke current price levels ko map karta hai. Agar USD/JPY ka price 158.13 tak pahunchta hai, toh traders Fibonacci retracement levels ko dekhenge, jisme se 158.13 ek important level ho sakta hai. Trend lines bhi ek aur important tool hain jo traders use karte hain resistance levels ko identify karne ke liye. Agar market mein ek uptrend hai aur price 158.13 ke paas pahunchta hai, toh traders ek trend line draw kar sakte hain jo price ke upar ki movement ko rok sakta hai. Price action patterns bhi resistance levels ko confirm karne mein madad karte hain. Agar price 158.13 par ek bearish candlestick pattern ya reversal pattern dikhata hai, toh yeh ek indication ho sakta hai ke market wahan se neeche ja sakta hai. Ye sabhi tools aur techniques milakar traders ko ek clear picture dete hain ke 158.13 resistance level kitna important hai aur kis tarah se market is level ko react kar sakta hai. Traders ko is information ka istemal karke apne trading strategies ko adjust karna chahiye aur risk management ko dhyan mein rakhkar trading decisions lena chahiye. Overall, 158.13 resistance level USD/JPY ke liye ek crucial point hai jo traders ke liye important hai aur unhe market ke further movement ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Is level ke upar price movement ke potential implications ko samajhne ke liye, technical analysis ka istemal zaroori ha

USD-JPY TAARUF

H1 Waqt-Fraim Ka Chart Dekhne Par Manzar Kam Kashish Hai Jahan Qeematain Din Bhar Sirf Aage Peeche Chalti Hain. Napaydaar Qeemat Ka Inteqaal 156.91 -157.11 Ke Darmiyan Hota Hai. Is Surat Mein Trading Shara'it Puri Nahi Hoti Aur Mumkin Hai Ke Qeemat Aik Naye Raah Banaye. Intahai Bahtar Par Qeemat Pehle Se Hi Aage Barhti Rahi, Din Ba Din Qeemat Mein Izafa Hota Raha. Taaqat Mandi Budhwar Ko Ruk Gai Jab Qeemat 157.21 Ko Chhoi, Jo Na Sirf Is Haftay Ka Buland Tareen Nukta Tha Balkay Pichle Do Hafton Ke Buland Tareen Nukta Se Bhi Buland Tareen Tha. Is Shumari Tak Pohnchnay Ke Baad Qeemat Ne Mehdoode Tehqeeq Ki Aur Yeh Tehqiq Jari Rahi Jis Tak Pichlay Jummay Tak Jaari Raha. EMA 12 Aur EMA 36 Jo Uper Dayre Ban Rahe Hain, Ab Tang Ho Rahe Hain Aur Keemat Ke Tehqeeq Ke Liye Barhte Hue Kam Jagah Ke Sath Jhuke Ja Rahe Hain. Rukh Abhi Tak Bullish Ko Zahir Karta Hai Ke EMA 200 Jo Keemat Ke Harkat Ke Neeche Hai. Muttahid Qeematien Theek Munfaasil Hona Munasib Mouqa Hoga Kyun Ke Agar EMA 12 Aur EMA 36 Ek Crossover Banate Hain To Dabao Ya Dabao Zahir Hoga Aur Faida Ki Imkanaat Khul Jaengay.




USD-JPY H1 Plan

Do Uper Di Gayi Do Waqt-Fraim Ko Dekhne Ke Baad, Qeemat Ka Islaah Hone Ka Imkaan Bohot Ziyada Hai. Magar, Do Raastay Ka Plan Ab Bhi Taayar Hai Jismein H1 Waqt-Fraim Ki Qeemat Ki Surat Hal Par Bunyaad Banai Gayi Hai.
Bechnay Ka Irada Kiya Gaya Hai Yeh Mansobah Ke Sath Ke Qeemat Bazaar Ke Khareed Se Mutasir Ho, EMA 12 Aur EMA 36 Neeche Jhuk Jaate Hain, Qeemat 156.32 Alaqa Mein Ghus Jaati Hai, Qeemat EMA 200 H1 Ke Neeche Chali Jaati Hai, Nafa 155.61 – 155.37 Tak.
Agar Barhne Ka Silsila Jaari Rahe Aur Qeemat 158.24 – 160.20 Se Mukhaatib Hoti Hai Tou Doosra Bechna Ikhtiyaar Hai Jis Mein Qareebi Nishan 157.21 – 156.62 Hote Hain.
Bullish Trend Ko Follow Karte Hue, Khareed Karne Ka Tayyar Hai Agar Qeemat 157.51 Resistance Ko Torr De, EMA 12 Aur EMA 36 H1 Uper Crossover Banaate Hain, Nafa 158.30 – 158.46 Tak.
Pullback Khareedne Ka Faisla Kiya Gaya Hai Soch Kar Ke Qeemat Nakis Tarah Barhti Hai Aur 155.32 Alaqa Se Mukhaatib Hoti Hai, Nafa 156.29 Tak.
Rok Tham 15 - 20 Pips

USD/JPY KI PESHGUFTAGI: Karobari Tehqiqat aur Trading ke Liye Tips
156.56 ke qeemat ke imtehaan ko dekhte hue jab MACD indicator zero mark se kafi ooncha uth chuka tha, toh isne jodiyon ke mazeed urooj ko had mein rakha. Isi wajah se maine isay khareedna pasand nahi kiya. Kyunki yeh America ki session ke ikhtitam ke qareeb hua tha, isliye koi naye dakhilay market mein nahi mile. Kal Japan mein machinery orders aur trade balance ke musbat figures ko nazar andaz kiya gaya, lekin aaj Japan ki maaliyat ki gatividhiyon ke indicators ne yen ko mazbooti di. Japan ki manufacturing PMI aur services PMI economists ke tajaweezat ko paar kar gaye, jiski wajah se USD/JPY jodi mein halka sa nichla asar dekha gaya. Magar sawal ye hai ke yen kharidari kis had tak tikti rahegi, khaaskar bullish dollar market mein aur Federal Reserve ki interest rates par mazboot rukh ke sath. Aaj, main 156.80 ke qareeb section point par USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon (chart par hara line) taake 157.15 (chart par moti hara line) tak pohanch sakoon. 157.15 ke qareeb, main khareedari chhodne ka irada rakhta hoon aur dosri taraf se bechne ka faisla karta hoon (30-35 jagah dosri taraf ki taraf se chalne ki tawaqo). Aaj ke pair ka taraqqi par tawajjo dena chahiye jaise ke silsila jaari hota hai. Ahem! Khareedne se pehle, yaqeeni banayein ke MACD pointer zero mark ke oopar hai aur sirf is se uthne ki shuruat hai. Main aaj USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon agar do mazid imtehaan 156.56 ke qeemat par hote hain jab MACD pointer oversold area mein hota hai. Ye jodi ke neeche utarne ki mumkinat ko had mein rakhega aur market mein ek seedhi uljhan ka raasta nikaal dega. 156.80 aur 157.15 ke ulte darjat par, izaafa muntazir hai. Aaj, main sirf 156.56 ke darja ko torne ke baad USD/JPY bechna chahta hoon (chart par lal line), jo pair ko foran kum kar dega. Farokht karne walon ke liye ahem manzil 156.30 hogi, jahan main farokht ko chhod kar foran kharidari kholna chahta hoon (20-25 jagah dosri taraf ki taraf se chalne ki tawaqo). Pair par bechna dabav wapas aa sakta hai agar wo din ka high ke aas paas mazbooti hasil nahi karta. Ahem! Bechna se pehle, yaqeeni banayein ke MACD pointer zero mark ke neeche hai aur sirf is se utarne ki shuruat hai. Agar do mazid imtehaan 156.80 ke qeemat par hote hain jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hota hai, toh main bhi aaj USD/JPY bechna chahta hoon. Ye jodi ko seedha kar dega aur market mein ek seedha rukh ki taraf le jayega. Neeche girne ka intezar 156.56 aur 156.30 ke ulte darjaton par hai.

US dollar aur Japanese yen ka joda khaas tor par upar ya neeche nahi jata, jaise ke ye karta hai; Qeematein ruk gayi hain, aur middle of the working week mein instrument north ki taraf move kiya, jo ke ek impulsive bullish exit tha four-hour range se, consolidation ke sath. Kareeban 270 points ki flat accumulation banane ke baad, dekha gaya ke apni lower limit tak pohanchte hue, currency pair ne ek local block order banaya, jo ke mazid upside ki taraf le jaane ka imkaan rakhta hai. Is version ki sahi tasdeeq ke liye, 157.140 ka bullish breakout aur is mark ke upar round price hona zaroori hai. Ye scenario kaafi faidemand aur promising hai aane wale kal se. Lekin, aksar hota hai ke ye forecast sach na ho aur is surat mein aapko bazaar mein mirror image ka intezar karna chahiye.

### USD/JPY. Baat ko jari rakhte hain.

Is tarah, 160 ka target is raftaar mein agle kuch hafton mein hasil ho jayega. Jaise hi non-farm payrolls ka data kareeb aata hai, ek mazid strong movement ki umeed ki jani chahiye. Aur phir, agar non-farm payrolls mein aisi activity na ho, to is surat mein humein Fed meeting ki taraf momentum milega. Ye log pichle kuch hafton se yahan chhupay hue hain. To agar do aur haftay mein 150 points ka range hota hai, to 160 terminals par ho jayega, to 160 se upar ka move liquidity ko accumulate karega. Aur ye mumkin hai ke meeting ke baad USD ki qeemat barhegi. Is liye, USD/JPY barhega barabar ke imkaan ke sath. Losses ko limit karne ke liye, guzishta hafte ke minimum ko dekhna mufeed hoga, jo ke current week se pehle tha. Is tarah se achi security hasil hogi.

USD/JPY H4 TAJZIYA.
Jaise ke meri tawaqo se zaahir hai, agar keemat oopar jaati hai, to yeh ek ahem vertical dhakka paida karegi, jiske natije mein mombatti kuch faslay par chale jaayegi, 100 time-frame basic moving average ke ilaake se door. Kharidari ka dabao 5,3,3 stochastic indicator ke zariye dikhaya gaya hai jo 80 ilaake tak pohanch kar oopar ja raha hai. Ek aur chhota time frame ek ghante par dekhte hue saaf dikh raha hai ke keemat ki harkat 100-period simple moving average line ke upar settle ho rahi hai. Yeh ishaara deta hai ke keemat ko shayad abhi bhi kisi naye junoon ka intezar hai taake uska hafta bhar ke izafay ka silsila jaari rahe. Is tajziye ke mutabiq, hum mahine ke ikhtitam ke liye trade ke faislon ko bana sakte hain. Market mein mukhtalif baton par ek nazar daalne par lagta hai ke wo apni bullish rah par wapas aa sakta hai. Is ke baad, Japanese yen apne chhate par laut sakta hai. Mujhe yeh darust hai ke keemat agle haftay mein 157,000 tak barhne ka imkaan hai.





Keemat 4 ghante ki trading chart par oopar ja rahi hai, aur Relative Strength Index ab bhi 50.00 ke upar hai, iska matlab hai ke oopri harkat ab bhi qubool hai. Main samajhta hoon ke uthao is jodi ko 156.90 ke darjy tak le jaayega. Is point ke oopar, 157.00 ke gola mark, iske baad 157.30, qoutes ka maqsad honge. Magar agar keemat halaat ke hawale se abhi ke darjy se girne lage, to 155.50 ke ilaake ko pehla maqsad banaya jaayega, iske baad 155.00 ke mansoobi darje par hamla kiya jayega. Agar bhaluon ko market mein acha dabao mila aur jodi 155.00 ke darje ke neeche trade karna shuru kiya, to keemat 154.40 ke darjy ki taraf jaayegi, iske neeche 154.10 aur 153.80 ke darje hain. Chalo dekhte hain ke market kis tarah ka khail khelta hai. Sab ko khoob mubarak ho!

mushkilat paida hoti hain, kyunke yahan yeh samjha jata hai ke humein Fibonacci grid istemal karke "1" aur "2" darjat se trade karna chahiye. Yani, humein ek oonchi impulse mili, phir 50% classic correction hua, aap dekh sakte hain ke yeh darja kis tarah se mazeed izafa ki umeed mein kharida gaya tha. Magar market foran upar nahi gayi, pehle woh 2 darjat neeche gayi (jo surkhi saalomon se numaya hai). Pehla darja bhi ahem hai, lekin yeh baad mein ahem ho gaya, jaise ke baad mein pata chala. Doosra darja sab se ahem sabit hua, kyunke yeh hi tha jo quotes ko mazeed girne se bachaya. Mazeed, darja "1" ne breakout darja aur support darja ka kirdar ada kiya, kyunke yeh hi tha jo quotes ki mazeed barhne mein madad ki aur yeh hi tha jo H4 par kharid ke liye indicator signal banane mein madad ki. Aur ab hum 161.8% ke hisaab se ek intezam ka maza le rahe hain, aur bilkul is ke mutabiq. Ye tawaqo'at ka darja kaam karta hai, bas sidhe raste par nahi gaye, balke ek mukhtalif raste par gaye, apne peechay track ko ulajhate hue. TimeframeH1 time frame par currency pair ya instrument humein is ki darmiyan term ke harkat ko qubool karke faida hasil karne ka moqa deta hai. Hamara maqsad yeh hai ke H4 time frame par mojood mojooda trend ko sahi taur par tasleem karen aur munfarid dhalil noktay ko market mein faida hasil karne ke liye darust taur par pehchanen. Apne instrument ka chart 4 ghantay ki time frame ke sath kholen aur halaat-e-haal ke rukh ko dekhen. Hum dekhte hain ke aaj market humein kharidari ke mufassil muamlat perfect karne ka behtareen moqa deta hai. Hum apne kaam mein teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color ke indicators ka istemal karte hain. Hama aur RSI Trend ke indicators ke signals ke mutabiq, hum H1 time frame par bullish dilchaspi ke sath trend pakar rahe hain, jab dono indicators neela aur sabz rang me hote hain, jo kharidaron ke faujon ka faida ho ga. Jab okay zaroori shirayat perfect ho jayen, hum apne deal khol sakte hain. Hum market se bahar niklenge magnetic levels indicator ke signals ke mutabiq. Aaj ka sab se dilchasp darjat 153.368 par kaam karne ke liye

Main sab thakay huay logon ke liye pursukoon araam ki dua karta hoon jo zindagi ki buniyadi zarooriyaat hasil karne ke liye mushkilat ka samna karte rahay hain. Umeed hai ke yeh araam aapki mustaqil koshishon ke phal samait laye. Aap aur aapki family ke sath aik khoobsurat hafta guzarein. Yeh yaad rakhna mufeed hai ke hum SWT ke diye huay tamaam inaamaat, khaaskar hamari sehat, par shukar guzar rahain. Yeh shukar guzari humein is pyari forum mein share aur discuss karne ka moqa faraham karti hai. Main apne sab doston ka dil se shukriya ada karta hoon jo pichlay chand mahinon mein mere blog par aye. Afsoos hai ke sab ke naam fard fard nahin le saka, lekin aapki support ko dil se sarahata hoon.

Pichle Pirs ko, ek mumkinah vaccine-resistant variant ke khabar ke baad sarmayakaron ne Japanese yen mein rujhan dikhaya. Sath hi, traders ne US dollar ke lambi rally ke baad munafa hasil kiya. Juma ko Australian dollar aur Norwegian krone ki kam trading volumes ke bawajood, South Africa mein pehli dafa dekhi gayi variant ke mutaliq zyada maloomat darkaar thi. Magar, scientists ka maanna hai ke is mein aise ghair mamooli mutations hain jo isay immune responses se bachne aur tezi se phailne mein madadgar ho sakti hain. Is khabar ka USD/JPY par gahra asar pada, jis se iski qeemat gir gayi. Juma ke qeemat ke utar chadhav ne barhti hui trend ke silsile ko munqata kar diya. Yeh wazeh ho gaya ke USD/JPY qeemat Bollinger band se upar nahin jayegi, jo ke currency kharidne aur bechne mein tawazun barqarar rakhne ki zaroorat ko zahir karti hai. Juma ko, USD/JPY pair ne 151.00 par open kiya aur 151.50 ka lowest point dekha, jo ke 120 points ka faraq tha. Isne 150.60 par bhi open kiya aur 150.85 ka lowest point dekha.