جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

InstaSpot: کسی بھی EPS اور بینک سے منافع واپس لی GBP/USD currency pair ke price changes ke analysis ke hawalay se hai. Yeh pair, jo British Pound ko US Dollar ke muqablay main dikhata hai, bohot zyada US job market data aur mukhtalif geopolitical developments se mutasir hota hai. Haal hi main, US ka monthly job data acha aya hai, jis ki wajah se US Dollar ki qeemat barh gayi hai aur GBP/USD pair girawat ka shikar hai. Mazboot employment figures se yeh pata chalta hai ke US ki economy acha perform kar rahi hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ko interest rates barhane ke liye support deti hai. Doosri taraf, UK ki economy ko kuch challenges ka samna hai, jisme inflationary pressures aur growth ka uncertain future shamil hai. Bank of England ki monetary policy decisions, Pound ki taqat ke hawalay se aham kirdar ada karengi. Is ke ilawa, post-Brexit trade negotiations aur wahan ki siyasi stability GBP/USD ki dynamics ko aur mushkil banati hain. Jab traders in tamam factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hain, toh GBP ko le kar market ka rawaiya abhi bhi ehtiyat se bharpoor hai, khaaskar Bank of England ke aanay walay steps ke hawalay se.Is haftay UK economy se koi bara data release nahi hua, jis ki wajah se Pound Sterling zyada ter global market sentiment se mutasir ho raha hai. Traders ab external factors par nazar rakhe hue hain, aur agla bara event US ka GDP data ka release hai. Lekin, kisi bara price movement ki umeed nahi hai, kyun ke markets ne zyada ter Q2 ka annualized GDP growth ko 2.8% par stable rehne ka andaza laga liya hai. Is liye, UK currency zyada ter global developments, khaaskar US se mutasir ho sakti hai.Aham Focus US PCE Inflation Data par hai:Is haftay ka sab se anticipated data release US ka Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index hai. Investors is data ka intezar kar rahe hain taake US main aanay walay inflation ke trends ko samajh saken. Agar inflation barh raha hai ya kam az kam stable hai, toh yeh Fed ke September main rate cut ke expectations ko mazid barhawa dega. Pound ki movements bhi is outcome se mutasir hongi, kyun ke US monetary policy main koi bhi bara tabadla global financial markets ko adjust karne par majboor kar sakta hai.Moving averages filhal Pound Sterling ke liye koi immediate support nahi de rahi hain. Traders trend channel ke lower band par bounce ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke pichlay 6 mahinon se mazbooti se 1.3120 ke aas paas bana hua hai. Agar yeh level toot gaya, toh agla support zone 1.3047 ke aas paas hai, jo August main pehle resistance point tha. Agar aur girawat dekhi gayi, toh 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo ke 1.3186 par hai aur critical level jo 1.3100 hai, mazid support de sakte

GBP/USD

GBP/USD pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai kyunki moving average lines ne ab tak koi positive crossover signal nahi diya. Magar price ne upar ki taraf correction ki hai aur lagbhag 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke qareeb 1.3074 tak pohonch chuki hai. Ye upward correction mukhtasir ho sakti hai aur price wapas 61.8% ya 50% Fibonacci retracement levels par aa sakti hai jo 1.3052 ya 1.3037 ke qareeb hain. Is ke baad hi price apni downward momentum ko jari rakh sakti hai, jo ke bearish trend ke mutabiq hoga.
Price ne 200-day simple moving average ko cross kiya tha jo dynamic resistance ke taur par kaam kar rahi thi, magar phir wapas gir kar 50-day exponential moving average ya 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke qareeb 1.3022 tak agayi. Lagta hai ke yeh phir se bounce back kar rahi hai towards 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, jo ke 200-day simple moving average ke qareeb hai. Agar price 200-day simple moving average ke upar rahti hai, toh bearish trend kamzor ho sakta hai. Magar overall price pattern lower low aur lower high show kar raha hai, jo ke trend reversal ka koi indication nahi deta. Upward correction ko aage barhna hoga jab tak ke price 1.3101 ke higher price par invalidation level ko cross na kar le. Price ne new lower low pattern form kiya hai low prices par 1.2973 ke qareeb, jo ke 1.3020 ke low prices ko cross kar chuka hai. Lekin upward correction Fibonacci Retracement level 78.6% tak 1.3074 par pohonch sakti hai, jo ke downward rally ko naya lower low pattern banane mein mushkil kar sakti hai, jo 1.2973 ke neeche ho, kyunki rising price high of 1.3101 ke qareeb hai.

Stochastic indicator yeh suggest karta hai ke price mazeed upward correct ho sakti hai kyunki parameters ab tak overbought zone mein enter nahi hue hain, jo ke 90-80 level par hota hai, aur yeh show karta hai ke buying saturation point ab tak confirm nahi hua. Is ka matlab hai ke price ko 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level 1.3052 ya 200-period Simple Moving Average ko as a dynamic resistance test karne ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator bhi uptrend momentum ko support kar raha hai, kyunki histogram positive area mein ya 0 ke upar hai aur iska volume dobara se widen ho raha hai.

GBP/USD ka H4 chart dekhte hue, yeh clear hota hai ke recent market movement ne kafi ups and downs dekhe hain. Price abhi 1.29197 ke aas paas trade ho rahi hai, jo ek critical level hai. Pehle dekha gaya ke price ne lower support level 1.28650 ko test kiya aur wahan se bounce back kiya. Yeh level ek strong support ke taur par kaam kar raha hai aur price ko neeche girne se roke raha hai. Upper side pe, 1.29777 ka resistance level bohot important hai. Agar bulls is level ko break karte hain, toh price 1.30344 tak ja sakti hai, jahan se pehle bhi rejection dekha gaya hai. Yeh level market ke liye ek barrier ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar yeh bhi break hota hai, toh further upside move expect kiya ja sakta hai jisme next target 1.30758 hoga. Chart pe moving averages bhi nazar aa rahe hain jo overall bearish trend ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. 50-period moving average ne price ko neeche ki taraf push kiya hai aur abhi bhi resistance provide kar raha hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke jab tak price is line ke upar sustain nahi karti, bearish pressure qayam reh sakta hai. RSI indicator ka value 45 ke kareeb hai, jo neutral territory main hai. Iska matlab hai ke market abhi oversold ya overbought nahi hai, lekin kuch bhi directional push aanay ki gunjaish hai. Agar RSI 50 ke upar move karta hai, toh bullish momentum aane ka signal milega, jabke neeche girne par selling pressure barh sakta hai. Is waqt, traders ko samjhna chahiye ke koi bhi major economic event ya fundamental news market ko jaldi se influence kar sakti hai. Is liye, trading karte waqt proper risk management aur stop loss ka istemal zaroori hai taake kisi bhi unexpected move se bach sakein. GBP/USD ki price short-term mein consolidation mode mein lagti hai lekin significant moves ke liye 1.29777 aur 1.28650 ke levels dekhna zaroori hoga.

GBP/USD ka yeh H4 chart hamain recent price action aur market ke trend ke bare mein important insights de raha hai. October ke third week se 31 October tak, GBP/USD mostly sideways movement mein tha, jisme zyada bullish ya bearish trend ka koi clear indication nahi tha. Yeh phase consolidation ka tha, jisme buyers aur sellers ka balance barqarar raha. Lekin 31 October ke aas paas, market mein major selling pressure aaya aur GBP/USD ki price me significant girawat dekhne ko mili. Is girawat ne price ko lower support levels ki taraf dhakel diya, aur current rate 1.28957 ke aas paas hai. Chart mein dekha ja sakta hai ke ye movement bearish trend ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Abhi price lower levels par test kar rahi hai, aur 1.28630 ka support level uske liye ek important point ban gaya hai.
Volume indicator bhi recent selling pressure ko support karta hai. Volume bars mein green aur red bars ki rotation dikhai de rahi hai, jo market mein buying aur selling pressure ke balance ko reflect karti hai. Lekin abhi zyada red bars aur bearish trend dominate karte nazar aa rahe hain, jo ye suggest karta hai ke sellers abhi bhi zyada control mein hain aur buyers ke liye upward movement difficult ho sakti hai. Agar price is support level ko break karti hai, to yeh GBP/USD ke liye ek naya bearish phase initiate kar sakti hai, aur agla target lower levels par hosakta hai. Lekin agar price is level se bounce karti hai aur stability dikhaati hai, to thodi upward correction ka imkaan ban sakta hai. Is upward correction mein pehla resistance level 1.29520 ke kareeb ho sakta hai, jaha se price phir se rejection face kar sakti hai.
Short term traders ke liye yeh waqt intehai ehtiyat se trading ka hai kyun ke price abhi uncertain zones mein hai. Agar support level break hota hai, to sell positions stronger ban sakti hain. Lekin, safe trading ke liye, traders ko agle kuch candles aur support ke reaction ka intezaar karna chahiye, taake wo market direction ko aur achi tarah samajh saken aur apni trades uske mutabiq adjust kar saken.

GBP/USD ka yeh H4 chart hamen yeh dikhata hai ke market abhi downtrend mein hai aur major trend line neche ki taraf ja rahi hai. Is chart par price lagatar downward pressure mein thi aur recent high points ko cross nahi kar saki, jo ke bearish sentiment ko support kar raha hai. Lekin ab price mein thoda bounce aya hai aur yeh resistance line ke qareeb pohanch chuki hai. Yeh line ek important barrier hai jo ke is waqt resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai. Agar price is level ko cross nahi karti, toh downtrend wapas continue ho sakta hai aur price neeche support area ki taraf ja sakti hai, jo ke 1.2800 ke aas-paas hai. MACD indicator bhi is waqt negative territory mein hai, lekin thoda sa bullish momentum ka ishara de raha hai. MACD line ne crossover ki taraf move kiya hai, jo ke thoda bullish signal de raha hai lekin abhi bhi strong confirmation nahi hai. Agar MACD mein mazeed strength ati hai aur yeh positive territory mein chali jati hai, toh yeh ek bullish reversal ka confirmation ho sakta hai. Magar, jab tak MACD negative hai aur price resistance line ke neeche hai, tab tak downtrend ka pressure hamesha maujood rahega. Is chart ko dekhte hue, conservative traders shayad filhal wait aur observe karein, jab tak ke ek clear breakout ya rejection signal nahi milta. Agar price resistance line ko break karke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh buyers ke liye ek strong signal ho sakta hai aur bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai. Is surat mein, agla target levels 1.3000 aur uske baad 1.3100 ho sakte hain. Lekin agar price resistance ko break nahi karti aur wapas neeche girti hai, toh sellers ke liye ye downtrend continuation ka signal ho sakta hai aur 1.2800 tak neeche girne ka chance ho sakta hai. GBP/USD downtrend mein hai, lekin resistance line ke qareeb hai. MACD ka bhi weak bullish signal hai, lekin confirmation abhi clear nahi hai. Agar price resistance ko break kar ke upar close hoti hai, toh bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai; warna downtrend ka pressure continue reh sakta hai aur price neeche support level 1.2800 tak gir sakti hai.

GBP/USD
GBP/USD ka yeh H4 chart hamain recent price action aur market ke trend ke bare mein important insights de raha hai. October ke third week se 31 October tak, GBP/USD mostly sideways movement mein tha, jisme zyada bullish ya bearish trend ka koi clear indication nahi tha. Yeh phase consolidation ka tha, jisme buyers aur sellers ka balance barqarar raha.
Lekin 31 October ke aas paas, market mein major selling pressure aaya aur GBP/USD ki price me significant girawat dekhne ko mili. Is girawat ne price ko lower support levels ki taraf dhakel diya, aur current rate 1.28957 ke aas paas hai. Chart mein dekha ja sakta hai ke ye movement bearish trend ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Abhi price lower levels par test kar rahi hai, aur 1.28630 ka support level uske liye ek important point ban gaya hai.
Volume indicator bhi recent selling pressure ko support karta hai. Volume bars mein green aur red bars ki rotation dikhai de rahi hai, jo market mein buying aur selling pressure ke balance ko reflect karti hai. Lekin abhi zyada red bars aur bearish trend dominate karte nazar aa rahe hain, jo ye suggest karta hai ke sellers abhi bhi zyada control mein hain aur buyers ke liye upward movement difficult ho sakti hai. Agar price is support level ko break karti hai, to yeh GBP/USD ke liye ek naya bearish phase initiate kar sakti hai, aur agla target lower levels par hosakta hai. Lekin agar price is level se bounce karti hai aur stability dikhaati hai, to thodi upward correction ka imkaan ban sakta hai. Is upward correction mein pehla resistance level 1.29520 ke kareeb ho sakta hai, jaha se price phir se rejection face kar sakti hai.
Short term traders ke liye yeh waqt intehai ehtiyat se trading ka hai kyun ke price abhi uncertain zones mein hai. Agar support level break hota hai, to sell positions stronger ban sakti hain. Lekin, safe trading ke liye, traders ko agle kuch candles aur support ke reaction ka intezaar karna chahiye, taake wo market direction ko aur achi tarah samajh saken aur apni trades uske mutabiq adjust kar saken.

GBP/USD, H4 timeframe par, yeh ab tak ki movement hai, aur yeh growth ka aakhri maqam nahi lagta. Maine yahan decline ka estimate kiya tha, aur yeh exactly un do upper points ke parallel level par khatam hua jo maine north mein resistance par mark kiye the. Ab hamare paas 4 points ke sath ek naya channel hai. Is channel ke sath growth continue hogi, lekin shayad pehle ki tarah dheere-dheere barhne ka silsila rahe, jab bottom par zyada der rukna zaroori tha. Lekin yahan humare paas ek thoda different fundamental factor hai - elections. Elections ki wajah se GBP/USD mein aur bhi active movement aa sakti hai.Market ka rukh bullish lagta hai, aur forecast ke mutabiq, yeh 1.3094 ke level tak pohanchne mein bulls ko faida denge. Is baar bulls zyada taqatwar nazar aate hain, jo har support level par active ho kar decline ko rok rahe hain. Yeh naya growth stage dikhata hai, aur bulls systematically 1.3051 ke level tak barhte dikhayi dete hain. Agar yeh activity continue hoti hai, toh market ko GBP/USD ke liye ek strong bullish growth ki umeed hai, jo ke 1.3051 ke important resistance level tak ja sakta hai. Beech-beech mein declines bhi ho sakti hain lekin higher lows ke sath, aur main baat yeh hai ke price ko 1.2919 ke support se neeche na girne diya jaye.Is trading week ki shuruaat GBP/USD pair ke daily chart ke prospects ko puri tarah se palat sakti hai, jo ke kuch din pehle tak southern (bearish) direction mein lag rahe the. Pair ka northern gap ke sath open hona, is waqt pichle daily maximum ko update karna, MA100 indicator ki middle line ko dobara todna, aur 1.2843 ke level par lower daily fractal banane ka high probability hona - yeh sab cheezen asset ke northern trend ko resume karne mein asaani se madadgar ho sakti hain. Iske liye zaroori hai ke price MA100 ki middle line ke upar consolidate ho, kam az kam do daily candles ki form mein.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Yah bat qabile gaur hai keh market me josh o kharosh, khas taur par GBP/USD jodi ke liye, iftetahi ghanti ke fauran bad shuru hua, lekin abhi bhi kafi aham khabrein aane wali hain. Bartanwi pound ek waqfe ke sath khula aur fauri taur par badhna shuru ho gaya, taqriban 1.30 ki satah par pahunch gaya, jis se zahir hota hai keh market ka jazbah badastur tez hai. Americi nonfarm payrolls is satah ke mayus kun aidad o shumar ke bad dollar ke kamzor hone ki tawaqqo karna kafi mutaqi hai, lekin abhi tak wazeh nahin hai keh Jumah ko dollar ki mazbuti ki wajah kiya hai. Ab bhi, mai yah nahin kahunga keh niche ka rujhan toot gaya hai. Majmui taur par, surprise mumkin hain, lekin mujhe abhi bhi tezi ka imkan dikha raha hai. Agar qimat 1.2910 ki satah ya is se niche girti hai to, mai wahan long positions kholne ke liye taiyar rahunga.

نومبر 4 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

آج، برطانوی پاؤنڈ 50 پیپس کے تیزی کے فرق کے ساتھ کھلا۔ عام طور پر، قریب ترین مزاحمتی سطح تک پہنچنے کے بعد (اس صورت میں، 1.2994)، قیمت فرق کو ختم کرنے کے لیے گھوم جائے گی۔ تاہم، 5-6 نومبر کو ہونے والے امریکی صدارتی انتخابات اور 7 نومبر کو فیڈرل ریزرو اور بینک آف انگلینڈ کے مانیٹری پالیسی کے فیصلوں کے ساتھ، صورت حال کچھ بھی نہیں بلکہ عام ہے۔ مغربی پریس) کہ بینک اف انگلینڈ شرح کو 0.50 فیصد کم کر سکتا ہے۔ آنے والے دنوں میں اہم واقعات کی اس پیشگوئی نے مارکیٹ میں ایک واضح اوورلوڈ پیدا کر دیا ہے۔



اس ماحول میں، کرنسی کی نقل و حرکت کا درست اندازہ لگانا ناممکن ہے۔ ابھی کے لیے، پاؤنڈ بڑھنے کا رجحان دکھاتا ہے، یعنی اگر یہ 1.2994 پر مزاحمت سے اوپر جاتا ہے، تو قیمت 1.3080 کی طرف بڑھ سکتی ہے۔ اس میں مزید ترقی کی طاقت ہے یا نہیں یہ الیکشن کے بعد واضح ہو جائے گا۔ قیمت اور مارلن آسیلیٹر کے درمیان ہم آہنگی اب بھی اثر میں ہے۔

ایچ -٤ چارٹ پر، صورت حال مکمل طور پر تیزی سے برقرار ہے- قیمت دونوں اشاری خطوط سے اوپر بڑھ گئی ہے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر بھی آج صبح مثبت علاقے میں جانے کے بعد چڑھ رہا ہے۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (1.2915) سے نیچے منتقل ہونے سے کمی کو 1.2859 کے پہلے ہدف تک بڑھا دیا جائے گا۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD ka yeh H4 chart hamen yeh dikhata hai ke market abhi downtrend mein hai aur major trend line neche ki taraf ja rahi hai. Is chart par price lagatar downward pressure mein thi aur recent high points ko cross nahi kar saki, jo ke bearish sentiment ko support kar raha hai. Lekin ab price mein thoda bounce aya hai aur yeh resistance line ke qareeb pohanch chuki hai. Yeh line ek important barrier hai jo ke is waqt resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai. Agar price is level ko cross nahi karti, toh downtrend wapas continue ho sakta hai aur price neeche support area ki taraf ja sakti hai, jo ke 1.2800 ke aas-paas hai. MACD indicator bhi is waqt negative territory mein hai, lekin thoda sa bullish momentum ka ishara de raha hai. MACD line ne crossover ki taraf move kiya hai, jo ke thoda bullish signal de raha hai lekin abhi bhi strong confirmation nahi hai. Agar MACD mein mazeed strength ati hai aur yeh positive territory mein chali jati hai, toh yeh ek bullish reversal ka confirmation ho sakta hai. Magar, jab tak MACD negative hai aur price resistance line ke neeche hai, tab tak downtrend ka pressure hamesha maujood rahega. Is chart ko dekhte hue, conservative traders shayad filhal wait aur observe karein, jab tak ke ek clear breakout ya rejection signal nahi milta. Agar price resistance line ko break karke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh buyers ke liye ek strong signal ho sakta hai aur bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai. Is surat mein, agla target levels 1.3000 aur uske baad 1.3100 ho sakte hain. Lekin agar price resistance ko break nahi karti aur wapas neeche girti hai, toh sellers ke liye ye downtrend continuation ka signal ho sakta hai aur 1.2800 tak neeche girne ka chance ho sakta hai. GBP/USD downtrend mein hai, lekin resistance line ke qareeb hai. MACD ka bhi weak bullish signal hai, lekin confirmation abhi clear nahi hai. Agar price resistance ko break kar ke upar close hoti hai, toh bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai; warna downtrend ka pressure continue reh sakta hai aur price neeche support level 1.2800 tak gir sakti hai.

GBP/USD ka H4 chart dekhte hue, yeh clear hota hai ke recent market movement ne kafi ups and downs dekhe hain. Price abhi 1.29197 ke aas paas trade ho rahi hai, jo ek critical level hai. Pehle dekha gaya ke price ne lower support level 1.28650 ko test kiya aur wahan se bounce back kiya. Yeh level ek strong support ke taur par kaam kar raha hai aur price ko neeche girne se roke raha hai. Upper side pe, 1.29777 ka resistance level bohot important hai. Agar bulls is level ko break karte hain, toh price 1.30344 tak ja sakti hai, jahan se pehle bhi rejection dekha gaya hai. Yeh level market ke liye ek barrier ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar yeh bhi break hota hai, toh further upside move expect kiya ja sakta hai jisme next target 1.30758 hoga. Chart pe moving averages bhi nazar aa rahe hain jo overall bearish trend ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. 50-period moving average ne price ko neeche ki taraf push kiya hai aur abhi bhi resistance provide kar raha hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke jab tak price is line ke upar sustain nahi karti, bearish pressure qayam reh sakta hai. RSI indicator ka value 45 ke kareeb hai, jo neutral territory main hai. Iska matlab hai ke market abhi oversold ya overbought nahi hai, lekin kuch bhi directional push aanay ki gunjaish hai. Agar RSI 50 ke upar move karta hai, toh bullish momentum aane ka signal milega, jabke neeche girne par selling pressure barh sakta hai. Is waqt, traders ko samjhna chahiye ke koi bhi major economic event ya fundamental news market ko jaldi se influence kar sakti hai. Is liye, trading karte waqt proper risk management aur stop loss ka istemal zaroori hai taake kisi bhi unexpected move se bach sakein. GBP/USD ki price short-term mein consolidation mode mein lagti hai lekin significant moves ke liye 1.29777 aur 1.28650 ke levels dekhna zaroori hoga