جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Pound Sterling ne American Dollar ke against strong rebound kiya hai, jo Wednesday ke rally ke baad correct kar raha hai. US Dollar Trump ke US presidential election mein jeetne par mazid support mein hai. Investors ab Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) ke monetary policy selections ka intezar kar rahe hain, aur dono central banks se 25 basis points (bps) ka interest rate cut expect kiya ja raha hai. Thursday ke London session mein Pound Sterling (GBP) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against takriban 1.2935 ka level touch kiya hai, jab ke Wednesday ko woh 1.2830 ke lagbhag 11-week low pe tha. GBP/USD pair ne rebound kiya kyunke US Dollar (USD) ne sharp rally ke baad halka sa correction dikhaya hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke price ko chhe major currencies ke against gauge karta hai, fresh 4-month high 105.40 ke aas paas hai, jo ab drop ho kar 104.90 ke kareeb hai.Wednesday ko US Dollar ne mazid strength gain ki, Republican candidate Donald Trump ki Democratic rival Kamala Harris pe landslide victory ke bawajood. Trump ne import tariffs 10% raise karne aur corporate taxes ko kam karne ka wada kiya hai agar woh election jeet te hain, jo ke US Dollar ke liye positive cheez interpret hui hai. Higher tariffs se domestic output ki demand increase ho sakti hai, aur corporate tax cuts se companies ke paas zyada paise rahenge jo investments ko enhance karenge. Yeh sab mil kar investments aur spending ko boost denge, jo ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ko interest rates par hawkish stance lene ka signal dega. Trump ki victory ke impact ko samajhne ke liye, investors Fed ki policy meeting par focus karenge jo ke 19:00 GMT pe hogi, jisme officials 25 bps ka rate cut expect kar rahe hain aur new range 4.50%-4.75% hogi.Pound Sterling ne fresh 11-week low ke baad 1.2830 ke kareeb US Dollar ke against sharp rebound dikhaya. GBP/USD pair ne buying interest discover kiya jo ke 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke around 1.2860 pe tha. Magar near-term trend ab bhi bearish hai kyunke 20-day aur 50-day EMAs jo ke 1.2990 aur 1.3030 ke aas paas hain, wo ab bhi decline par hain. Daily time frame pe ek rising channel ka breakdown bhi downside ko support kar raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40 ke paas hover kar raha hai. Agar RSI (14) is level ko hold karne mein fail hota hai, toh bearish momentum resume ho sakta hai. Niche dekhte hue, 1.2800 ka round-level support Pound Sterling bulls ke liye ek prime cushion ho sakta hai. Upar ki taraf Cable ke liye resistance psychological level 1.3000 ke kareeb hoga.

Uske baad, maine H4 time frame chart par market ke motion ko dekhne ki koshish ki jahan October ke shuruwat se candle ne ek sharp bearish trend reverse kiya hai. Ek candle neeche gir kar simple moving average indicator ke neeche chali gayi thi. Lekin kabhi kabhar ek upward correction motion bhi hota hai jo kabhi kabhi candle ko red-colored 150 simple moving average ke kareeb le aata hai. Upar wale chart mein dekha ja sakta hai ke overall decline ne kuch hafton ka lowest level touch kiya hai. MACD indicator ke sath yellow line ek baar phir zero level ke neeche aa gayi hai jabke histogram bar ab bhi short hai. Wahi par, relative strength index (14) indicator 50 level ke neeche move kar raha hai, jo ye dikhata hai ke market trend ab bhi fish sector mein hai. Yeh scenario sell-out troops ke dominance ko support karta hai aur yeh lagta hai ke yeh mazeed important standards ka intezar kar rahe hain jo market pe ek bara asar daal sakte hain. H4 time frame ka chart dekhne ke baad lagta hai ke market ke conditions mein bearish trend ko barqarar rakhne ka potential hai.
GBPUSD currency pair ke technical data ka tajziya karne ke baad, ye dekh sakte hain ke lagbhag tamam indicators ab bhi candles ko bearish trend mein dikhate hain. Mairay estimation ke mutabiq, agar price break back karke 1.2850 level par pohonchti hai toh agli market conditions mein downside movement dekha ja sakta hai. Agar candlestick analysis ke mutabiq move karti hai toh bearish target place karne ka behtareen area 1.2800 ke aas paas dekha ja sakta hai jo sellers' forces ke target hai. Yeh Thursday ke trading journal ke liye hai aur umeed hai ke jo kuch maine likha hai woh forum mein tamam participants ko high profit yielding trading positions decide karne mein madad dega. Good luck sab ko.

BOE ke decision ke saath hi, aaj MPC ke Official Bank Rate ka release bhi buyers ke liye ek naya insight layer add karega jo pound ke strength pe impact kar sakta hai. Yeh information important hai kyunke kisi bhi future economic policy ke hints market shift kar sakte hain, khas taur par jab buyers BOE ka approach gauge karte hain jo inflation aur economic growth ka balance banaye rakhta hai. Dusri taraf, US Unemployment Rate report bhi release hone wali hai aur kal Federal Funds Rate aur FOMC announcements bhi aayenge, jo ke US dollar ki strength mein significant role play karenge. Positive US employment data se Federal Reserve ke firm economic tightening stance ke expectations mazid strong ho sakte hain jo US dollar ko strengthen kar sakte hain. Yeh in turn GBP/USD pe pressure daal sakta hai kyunke BOE ke decisions ke baad jo bhi initial gains pound ko milte hain woh reduce ho sakte hain. Is volatility ka potential ka matlab hai ke buyers ko rapid market shifts ke liye prepared rehna chahiye, khas taur par jab US dollar in key economic indicators pe react karta hai.

Aaj ke market ke hawale se, bearish trend ka continue hona zyada mumkin lagta hai, lekin kuch short-term fluctuations bhi ho sakte hain. Jab hum Bollinger Bands ko dekhte hain, to lower band 1.2566 par positioned hai. Yeh level ek strong support area ko indicate karta hai, lekin price ne ab tak Bollinger Average aur lower moving average ko consistently break nahi kiya. Iska matlab yeh hai ke bearish sentiment dominant hai, lekin market ko aagey aur neeche girne ke liye kisi counter-movement ki zaroorat ho sakti hai.

Agar hum Monday ki taraf dekhein, to traders ko potential higher pullback ke liye alert rehna chahiye. Agar market iss lower band se stabilize ho kar rally karta hai, to yeh ek uptrend ki shuruat ka indication ho sakta hai. Agar pullback successful hota hai, to price upper moving average ki taraf waapas aa sakti hai, jo abhi 1.3075 par hai. Yeh point kaafi important hoga; agar price is level ke kareeb pohanchti hai, to traders ko market reactions closely monitor karni chahiye, taake yeh samajh sakein ke upward momentum apni direction maintain kar sakta hai ya nahi.

Agar price 1.3075 ke level ko cross kar jati hai, to aur upar movement ka door khul sakta hai, jo upper Bollinger Band tak pohanchne ka possibility hai, jo ke 1.3368 par hai. In key levels ke aas paas price ka behavior bohot critical hoga, kyun ke yeh agla directional move decide karne mein madad karega. Agar price 1.3075 ke upar consistently trade karna start karti hai, to yeh sentiment ka shift ho sakta hai, jo traders ke liye bullish positions ke liye favorable environment bana sakta hai.




Agar price moving averages ke upar levels maintain karne mein fail hoti hai aur neeche drift karti hai, to bearish outlook mazid strong ho sakta hai, jiske baad aur declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Bollinger Bands se market ki volatility indicate hoti hai, isliye traders ko price swings ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, jo kisi bhi direction mein ho sakti hain.

Summary mein, jab ke bearish continuation kaafi zyada probable lagta hai, lekin pullback ka possibility trading opportunities de sakta hai. Traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur key price levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh levels market sentiment aur aane wali trading strategies mein bohot important role play karenge. All traders ko best of luck in navigating these dynamics!

GBP/USD Forecast Review

Humari baat ka topic GBP/USD currency pair ki pricing movement analysis hai. 4-hour chart par, GBP/USD pair ne apne expected decline ka pehla target successfully break kiya hai aur abhi bhi clear downtrend mein hai. Ichimoku cloud ke neeche positioned, price bearish momentum ko reflect kar raha hai, jab ke Stochastic indicator bhi neeche ki taraf pointing kar raha hai. Pichli session mein, pair ne niche jana continue kiya, reversal level ke neeche position banai, aur pehla support level break karte hue ab 1.2969 par trade kar raha hai. Aagey intraday decline ka reference point classic pivot level hoga. Agar current price se drop continue hoti hai, to dusra support level 1.2913 tak pahunch sakta hai, aur is level ke neeche consolidation hone se pair ko teesre support line 1.2852 ke aas paas push mil sakta hai. Agar bulls wapis enter karte hain, to resistance level 1.3108 is chart section mein potential turnaround point ho sakta hai.




Meri position GBP/USD par hai, lekin abhi tak upward reversal ke koi clear signs nahi hain. Agar kuch bhi hai, to 1.3043 se 1.3003 tak daily support zone ke neeche break hone se downtrend ka continuation lag raha hai. Mein abhi is level par pound par koi trade nahi kar raha, kyunki abhi buy karne ke liye koi solid signals nahi hain. Mera estimate hai ke pair 1.2852 tak pohanch sakta hai, jo ke monthly resistance zone ka lower boundary hai, aur yahan se upward bounce ho sakta hai. GBP/USD ke liye, mujhe immediate buying trend mein confidence chahiye. Agar corrective move resistance 1.3042 ki taraf hota hai, to pair apna downtrend resume kar sakta hai, jo ke lower support 1.2858 ki taraf ja sakta hai. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke is support level se reversal ho sakta hai, jisme pair resistance 1.3269 ki taraf move karega, aur pura shift buying outlook ki taraf ho sakta hai.

نومبر 7 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل کے سیشن کے اختتام تک، امریکی انتخابات کے نتائج کی عکاسی کرتے ہوئے، برطانوی پاؤنڈ 1.2859 کے ہدف کی حمایت کی سطح تک پہنچ گیا۔ قیمت نے آج صبح اس کمی کو قدرے درست کیا، جس سے مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ ایک دوہرا کنورجنس بن گیا۔ آج کی بنیادی توجہ بینک آف انگلینڈ کی مانیٹری پالیسی کے فیصلے پر ہوگی۔ کچھ عرصہ پہلے، مارکیٹ میں ممکنہ دوہرے ریٹ میں کٹوتی کے خدشات گردش کر رہے تھے، لیکن آج کی میٹنگ سے پہلے، سرمایہ کار مضبوطی سے چوتھائی پوائنٹ کی شرح میں کمی کی توقع کر رہے ہیں۔



تکنیکی نقطہ نظر سے، سرمایہ کاروں نے ابھی تک اس معیاری ریٹ کٹ میں بھی قیمت نہیں رکھی ہے، جس کی بنیادی وجہ ستمبر کے دوسرے اور تیسرے ہفتوں میں قیاس آرائیوں میں اضافہ ہے۔ نتیجے کے طور پر، پاؤنڈ پر دباؤ میں نرمی کے کوئی آثار نظر نہیں آتے ہیں- جب تک کہ امریکی فیڈرل ریزرو کی متوقع سہ ماہی پوائنٹ کی شرح میں آج رات کے بعد کمی اس دباؤ میں سے کچھ کو کم کرنے میں مدد کرتی ہے۔ عوامل کے مجموعے کی بنیاد پر قیمت 1.2859–1.2994 کی وسیع رینج کے اندر مستحکم ہوتی رہ سکتی ہے۔

قیمت کو اوپر کی طرف دھکیلتے ہوئے چار گھنٹے کے ٹائم فریم میں کنورجنسی پہلے ہی مکمل ہو چکی ہے۔ اگر قیمت کجن - سین لائن سے اوپر ٹوٹتی ہے، 1.2937 کو عبور کرتی ہے، تو یہ 1.2994 ہدف کی طرف راستہ کھول دے گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Aaj, mein GBP/USD par ek mixed outlook dekh raha hoon jo ke fundamental aur technical dono factors se influence ho raha hai. Fundamentally, pound U.K. ke weak PMI data ki wajah se pressure mein hai, jo contraction ko indicate karta hai, khaas kar jab yeh U.S. ke strong economic indicators se compare kiya jaye. Yeh disparity dollar ke haq mein ja rahi hai, jo GBP/USD par downward pressure daal rahi hai. Lekin, inflation concerns abhi bhi barqarar hain, aur kuch speculation yeh hai ke Bank of England cautiously approach apna sakta hai, jo agar inflation high rehti hai to GBP ko support de sakta hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Technically, GBP/USD ne recently key 1.2970 support level ke neeche dip kiya hai, jo is baat ka signal hai ke downward trend ka continuation ho sakta hai. Agla major support level 1.2683 par hai, aur agar bearish momentum sustain hota hai to further downside 1.2445 tak ja sakti hai. Resistance 1.3269 par hai, jahan breakout hone se current bearish forecast invalidate ho sakte hain. Iske ilawa, Awesome Oscillator price action ke saath divergence dikhata hai, jo bearish scenario ko aur majboot karta hai agar koi reversal signals nahi aate. Yeh sab kuch yeh indicate karta hai ke GBP/USD apne downtrend ko continue kar sakta hai, jab tak yeh resistance ke upar break nahi kar leta.




Near Term Outlook

Short term mein, mein in technical levels par focus kar raha hoon aur U.S. ke economic releases ka wait kar raha hoon, kyunki yeh GBP/USD mein aur zyada volatility la sakte hain. U.S. data aur U.K. economic indicators ka interplay pair mein movement ke liye kaafi important hoga. Iske ilawa, Bank of England ki inflation management strategy ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga, khaas kar jab global markets mein inflation trends abhi bhi persistent hain. Geopolitical tensions aur shifting interest rate expectations jaise significant risk factors ke sath, ek flexible approach zaroori hogi, jese jese sentiment aur data unfold hotay hain, jo GBP/USD ki outlook ko shape karenge agle kuch hafton mein.

October mein manufacturing aur services sectors ki output growth mein halki si kami dekhne ko mili hai, lekin experts ke mutabiq yeh har gizaat naheen hai. Chris Williamson, jo ke S&P Global Market Intelligence ke Chief Business Economist hain, ne kaha ke survey data ab bhi is baat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai ke economy teesre quarter mein lagbhag 0.3% ki growth rate se barh rahi hai, jo ke Bank of England (BoE) ke forecast ke mutabiq hai. Yeh is baat ka indication hai ke UK ki economy, kuch sectors mein slow down ke bawajood, still steady growth kar rahi hai.

Isi dauran, United States mein Federal Reserve (Fed) se 2024 mein mazeed rate cuts ki umeedain barh rahi hain, jo ke US Dollar (USD) par pressure daal sakti hain. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, markets is waqt 50% chance de rahe hain ke is saal ke end tak 75 basis points ka rate reduction ho sakta hai, jo Fed ki interest rate ko 4.0-4.25% ke daire mein le aayega. Yeh dovish outlook, US ke labor markets aur doosri economic challenges ke hawale se dar ka nateeja hai. Aise mein, financial markets yeh bhi expect kar rahe hain ke BoE bhi is saal ek aur rate cut kar sakta hai, jiska sabab UK ke service sector mein inflation hai. BoE ke policy decisions GBP/USD pair ki direction par asar daalte rahenge.




GBP/USD ke chart par dekha jaa raha hai ke pair ne ek ascending channel ke upar break kiya hai, jo bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Ab yeh pair apne saal ke low 1.2914 ko challenge karne ke liye tayar hai, aur 1.2900 level ek important support zone ke taur par kaam kar raha hai. Lekin, daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 se upar chala gaya hai, jo yeh signal de raha hai ke pair overbought territory mein ho sakta hai. Aise mein, yeh aksar ek correction ka indication hota hai, lekin yeh upar ki taraf movement ko bhi aur barha sakta hai isse pehle ke pullback ho. Traders ko consolidation ya price mein halki retreat ke signs dekhne chahiye, jo ke buying opportunity provide kar sakti hai jab pair apni upward trend ko dobara start kare. RSI ka position yeh batata hai ke pullback mumkin hai, lekin pair ab bhi further gains ke liye room rakh sakta hai, jo is waqt market participants ke liye critical point hai.

GBP/USD Currency Pair

Aaj ke article mein, main GBP/USD currency market ke current pricing behavior ko discuss karunga. GBP/USD pair ne aaj apni expected decline dobara start ki, jisme yeh 1.2938 par support tod kar four-hour descending channel ki lower boundary ko test kar raha hai. Abhi, ek chhoti si upward correction ho sakti hai, jo pehle break kiye gaye levels, yani 1.2971 aur 1.3001 ke beech tak pahunch sakti hai. Maine thodi si buy trade lene ka faisla kiya hai, short-term targets ke sath, jisme main channel ke boundaries se rebound expect kar raha hoon. Lekin, further declines bhi mumkin hain, jahan 1.2908 aur 1.2877 par supports hain, jahan se correction shuru ho sakti hai. Yeh decrease zyada pronounced ho sakta hai higher time frames par, aur H4 chart par 1.2816 ya daily chart par 1.2694 tak bhi jaa sakta hai. Jab tak intraday recoveries ho sakti hain, lekin overall downtrend par iska zyada asar nahi hoga. 1.2989 kal ke liye upper boundary ho sakta hai, jahan pair apni bearish trajectory mein kuch waqt ke liye ruk sakta hai.





GBP/USD aur dusre major currency pairs ke liye downward trend abhi bhi continue kar raha hai, aur targets ab zyada visible ho rahe hain 1.2751 aur 1.2675 ke aas paas. Sirf 249-301 points ka gap hai; aur yeh levels hum agle elections tak dekh sakte hain. Kuch brief pullbacks ho sakte hain, lekin overall direction strongly bearish hai, aur reversal ka koi zyada indication nahi hai. Aaj hum dekh sakte hain ke pair 1.2905 tak dip ho jaye, aur phir Asian trading session mein slight recovery aaye, uske baad hume upper intraday level ko break karne ke potential ko dekhna hoga. Aaj pair ne achha perform kiya, apna target hit kiya, lekin further declines ki umeed hai. Chart par, pair 1.2921 level ko test kar raha hai aur 1.2922 par trade kar raha hai. Pair buy zone ke kareeb hai, lekin downward trend mein hai, jabke (CCI) sell signal de raha hai.

GBP-USD Pair Ka Daily Time Frame Par Analysis

GBP/USD pair ne kal jo trade ki thi, us par abhi bhi seller ka control tha, jo zyada dominantly market mein enter karne mein successful tha, jabke buyers phir se price ko bullish banane mein fail ho gaye. Seller ne price ko 1.2993-1.2990 ke resistance area mein press kiya, jahan seller ne stronger selling pressure apply karke price ko neeche ki taraf bearish move karne ke liye suppress kar diya.

Agar Bollinger Bands indicator ko Daily time frame par monitor kiya jaye, to yeh nazar aata hai ke prices abhi bhi sellers ke control mein hain, jo buyers se zyada dominant hain. Sellers price ko Middle Bollinger Bands ke area se door rakh rahe hain aur bearish candlesticks dikh rahi hain, jo indicate karte hain ke GBP/USD market pair abhi bhi market players se support paa raha hai, jo isko aur zyada bearish karne ke liye chahte hain. Iska bearish target Lower Bollinger Bands ke area ki taraf hai, jo 1.2837-1.2835 ke aas paas hai, jo abhi tak ek strong buyer demand support area bana hua hai.

Aaj ke Trading Session Ka Analysis

Aaj subah ke trading session mein, GBP/USD market pair mein buyers ka dominance tha. Buyers ne price control sellers se wapas le liya jo abhi tak dynamic buyer support area mein stuck the. Is wajah se buyers ke paas bullish correction karne ka moka tha, jiska target 1.2939-1.2940 ke seller resistance area ki taraf tha. Agar yeh area penetrate ho jata hai, to price bullish move karega aur agla target 1.2974-1.2976 ke seller supply resistance area ki taraf ho sakta hai. Lekin agar nearest resistance area break nahi hota, to GBP/USD pair ka price phir se bearish ho sakta hai, aur agla target buyer demand support area 1.2849-1.2850 tak ho sakta hai.




Trading Conclusion:

Sell Entry: Agar seller buyer’s support area ko penetrate karne mein successful hota hai 1.2885-1.2884 ke price par, to sell entry li ja sakti hai. Target price 1.2850-1.2848 ke aas paas hoga.

Buy Entry: Agar buyer nearest seller resistance area ko break karne mein successful hota hai 1.2939-1.2940 ke price par, to buy entry li ja sakti hai. Target price 1.2974-1.2976 ke aas paas hoga.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

EUR USD Moving Downside

Euro-US Dollar currency pair mein lagataar chaar din se decline ho rahi hai, aur abhi 1.0760 mark ke aas-paas hai, jab ke Thursday ke Asian trading hours mein recent low 1.0754 par pohoncha. Yeh downward trend ziadahtar Euro ke upar mounting challenges ki wajah se hai, jo ke European Central Bank (ECB) ke aane wale important monetary policy decision se aur bhi mushkil ho rahi hain. Inflationary pressures aur economic growth ke hawale se uncertainty ke saath market sentiment par asar par raha hai, aur traders Euro ki performance ko aane wale dinon mein closely monitor kar rahe hain.
Euro ki weakness ki ek badi wajah yeh hai ke ECB se dovish stance ka umeed barh rahi hai. Yeh shift inflationary pressures ke tezi se kam hone aur economic growth slow hone ke concerns ki wajah se hai. ECB policymaker Yannis Stournaras, jo ke Greek Central Bank ke Governor bhi hain, ne recently kaha ke inflation ECB ke September forecasts se ziada tezi se kam ho raha hai. Unhone aur rate cuts ko support karte hue yeh bhi kaha ke 2024 ke bache hue meetings mein 25 basis point ke aur do cuts ho sakte hain, aur 2025 mein bhi cuts ke chances hain.

Fundamentals of the EUR/USD:

Jab ke inflation abhi bhi aik aham concern hai, recent data Eurozone se mixed picture dikhata hai. Annual core Consumer Price Index (CPI), jo ke volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, mein halki si barhawa dekhi gayi, jo ke 3.3% se badh kar 3.2% ho gayi. Isi dauran, headline CPI mein 2.4% ka izafa huwa, jo expectations ke 2.3% se slightly upar tha, magar pichlay mahine ke 2.5% ke reading se kam hai. Mahana basis par, headline aur core CPI dono mein thori si barhawa dekhi gayi, 0.2% aur 0.3% ka izafa respectively. Halan ke inflationary pressures abhi bhi hain, ye numbers Fed ke hawale se market expectations ko badalne ka waasta nahi bante, jo ke apne interest rates ko 50 basis points se reduce karne ke pressure mein hai, jo ke is saal ke end se pehle ho sakta hai.

Is saal ab tak, ECB ne apne Deposit Facility Rate mein 50 basis points ka cut kiya hai, jo ke ab 3.5% par hai. Traders ab agle mahine mein aur December mein 25 basis point ka cut umeed kar rahe hain, jo ke Euro par bearish sentiment ko aur barhawa de raha hai, kyun ke lower rates se currency ki attractiveness kam ho jati hai. Future rate cuts ki umeed ECB ke inflation aur economic growth ko support karne ke commitment ko highlight karti hai, chahe is se currency ki short-term strength mein kami ho jaye.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Spot price significant challenges ka samna kar raha hai. 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo ke abhi 1.0867 ke qareeb hai, kisi bhi Euro recovery ke liye aik key level of resistance hai. Lekin jab tak selling momentum kam hai, Euro bulls ko is level se filhaal pareshani nahi hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair apne bearish slide ko extend karta hai, tou yeh naye lows ko test kar sakta hai, aur 2024 ke lows ke qareeb 1.0600 tak ja sakta hai. Halan ke EUR/USD ne recently 1.0680 se 1.0996 ke narrow range mein trade kiya hai, is ne largely unchanged 1.0773 par close kiya. Momentum indicators neutral hain, jo ke pair ke 1.0700 area ke qareeb sideways range mein trade karne ka ishara dete hain.

Spot losses ab stable ho gayi hain, aur intraday chart patterns mein kuch potential recovery ke signs dekhe gaye hain. Notably, intraday charts par bullish 'hammer' pattern develop huwa hai, jo ke 1.0940 ko test karne ke baad aya. Yeh short-term rebound ka signal hai, lekin broader trend ab bhi negative hai, aur Euro mein koi bhi gain mid-to-upper 1.0800 region mein resistance face kar raha hai. Given ke prevailing bearish sentiment hai, traders ehtiyaat se kaam lenge, aur pair ko kisi bhi significant upside movement se pehle resistance ka samna hoga."

GBP/USD ka H4 (4-hour) timeframe dikhata hai jisme Bollinger Bands aur RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicators lage huay hain. Chart se hamein price action aur market ke trend ke baare mein kuch insights milte hain.
Bollinger Bands Analysis**:
Bollinger Bands ka use market ki volatility aur trend ko samajhne ke liye hota hai. Chart pe dekha ja sakta hai ke price ne middle band ke kareeb bounce back kiya tha, lekin phir neeche ke band ke kareeb aagayi. Bollinger Bands ke neeche waale band ka touch ya uske qareeb price ka pohanchna yeh signal deta hai ke market abhi oversold (over-sold) zone mein hai, yani selling pressure zyada hai.
Agar price neeche ke Bollinger Band ke neeche close hoti hai, toh yeh bearish continuation ka ishara ho sakta hai, matlab ke price aur neeche girne ke chances hain. Lekin agar yahan se price mein bounce aata hai aur middle band ki taraf wapas jaati hai, toh short-term bullish reversal ho sakta hai. Yeh reversal sirf tab confirm hoga jab price consistently middle band se upar trade kare.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) Analysis**:
RSI ek momentum indicator hai jo market ki strength aur weakness ko dikhata hai. Iss waqt RSI lagbhag 48 ke level par hai, jo neutral zone ke kareeb hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke na toh market mein khaas buying pressure hai aur na hi selling pressure. Agar RSI 50 se upar chala jaye, toh yeh buying momentum ko indicate karega, lekin agar yeh 30 ke kareeb ya usse neeche pohanchta hai, toh selling momentum dominate karega.
Final Conclusion:
Is chart se abhi tak koi strong buy ya sell signal nahi milta, lekin kuch scenarios ko dekh ke trading decisions liye ja sakte hain. Agar price neeche ke Bollinger Band se support leti hai aur RSI 50 se upar chala jata hai, toh short-term buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price neeche break karti hai aur RSI bhi neeche ki taraf trend karta hai, toh downtrend continue ho sakta hai aur sell karna behtar hoga.
Isliye, traders ko is chart ke hisaab se carefully price movements observe karni chahiye aur indicators ke signal ke mutabiq hi trade entries leni chahiye.

GBP/USD pair ka 4-hour time frame par downward trend nazar aa raha hai, jahan yeh price trend line ko tor chuki hai aur ek minor support level par pohanch gayi hai. Agar yeh support level hold nahi karta, to mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai jo next support level tak ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar price 1.2650 resistance level ke upar break karke close hoti hai, to ek trend reversal aur bullish trend ka imkaan ban sakta hai.Abhi pair ne 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko test kiya hai. Agar price 100-day SMA ke upar qaim rehti hai, to ek uptrend shuru ho sakta hai, lekin breached trend line ke aas paas resistance ka samna hoga. Lekin agar yeh resistance torne mein kamyab nahi hoti aur support level tor diya jata hai, to extended bearish continuation ka indication mil sakta hai.Aane wale European session mein agar price girti hai to yeh triangle base ke lower boundary 1.2745 ke kareeb pohanch sakti hai, jo long position ka moka faraham kar sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh level tor diya jata hai, to bearish trend mazeed tezi se age barh sakta hai. Direction ka tayeun largely support aur resistance levels ke interaction par munhasir hai.Kal, GBP/USD ne 1.2986 level ko test kiya tha, lekin MACD indicator ke zero se upward movement ne pair ke upward potential ko limit kar diya, jis ke baad doosri dafa test par MACD overbought territory mein tha is ne selling ka moka faraham kiya aur pair mein 40 pips ki girawat hui. Aaj, U.S. presidential election aur UK ke services sector aur composite PMI data GBP/USD par asar dal sakte hain. Agar PMI positive revise hota hai to pound recover ho sakta hai; warna pair horizontal channel mein chala ja sakta hai. Intraday trading ke liye main scenario 1 (support par buying) aur scenario #2 (resistance ke qareeb selling) ko implement karne par focus karunga, in interactions par depend karte hue.

GBP/USD pair mein recent price


movement kaafi volatility aur significant selling pressure ko reflect kar raha hai. Yeh chart specifically is baat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai ke market mein bullish momentum ke baad ab bearish pressure dominate kar raha hai, jise hum neeche diye gaye analysis se samajh sakte hain.

Chart par 1.3048 ka level ek strong resistance point ke taur par nazar aa raha hai. Yeh woh level hai jahan se price ne multiple attempts ke baad breakout nahi kiya aur bearish reversal dikha raha hai. Is point par, price ne ek major pullback liya aur neeche ki taraf downward trend mein move kiya, jo ke selling momentum ka signal hai. Yeh selling pressure itna strong tha ke hum ne large bearish candle dekhi, jo clearly downside momentum ko show kar rahi hai.


Agar hum support levels par focus karein toh 1.2868 ka level as an important support zone identify ho raha hai. Yeh woh area hai jahan se price ne pehle bhi kuch stability show ki thi, aur yahan ek potential buying interest ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko breach karti hai toh hum aur bhi downside move dekh sakte hain, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke liye ek deeper bearish outlook ka indication hoga.
Is market scenario mein, agar koi trader short position lena chahta hai, toh yeh behtar hoga ke woh 1.3048 ke resistance level ke aas paas selling opportunity dekhe. Yeh entry point potential pullback area ke taur par kaam kar sakta hai. Wahan se price gir sakti hai aur target 1.2868 ke aas paas set kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh cautious approach traders ko downside trend ke saath align rehne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.
Agar price 1.2868 ke support level se bounce karti hai toh temporary buying opportunity ho sakti hai, lekin is mein high risk rahega. Major trend abhi bhi bearish hai, aur short entries zyada reliable ho sakti hain jab tak ke price 1.3048 ka resistance level break nahi karti.
GBP/USD pair mein abhi selling pressure zyada hai aur yeh 1.2868 ke support level ko test kar sakta hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai toh further downside moves expected hain, aur yeh short-term traders ke liye ek potential short entry setup ho sakta hai.

Pound Sterling (GBP) ne Wednesday subah ko kuch giraawat dekhi, aur apne recent gains ko US Dollar (USD) ke against kho diya. Shuruat mein, GBP/USD pair ne 1.3041 ke significant resistance level ko cross kiya, lekin phir USD ke rebound hone par, jo apne recent lows se uth gaya,

GBP/USD ko phir pressure ka samna karna pada. Yeh shift US Dollar Index (DXY) mein bhi nazar aayi, jo Greenback ki performance ko major currencies ke against track karta hai, khaas tor par jab Dollar ko 103.00 ke aas-paas support mila. Is se pehle, Dollar week ke shuruat mein US inflation data ke baad weak hua tha, jo August ke liye release kiya gaya tha aur jisme price pressures mein aur slowdown dikhayi gayi thi.


Lekin yeh decline zyada der tak nahi chali aur market sentiment dobara USD ke haq mein ho gaya.

US mein inflation ki pressures ka thoda kam hona, market ki expectations ko Federal Reserve ke policy decisions ke hawale se zyada affect nahi karega. Halanke US ki inflation rate dheemi ho gayi hai, lekin yeh expect nahi kiya ja raha ke Fed November mein interest rates ko aggressively 50 basis points tak cut karega.


Federal Reserve ne pehle hi yeh signal diya hai ke inflation eventually apne 2% target par wapas aa jayegi, aur yeh slowdown price growth kaafi serious concern nahi hai. Iske alawa, Federal Reserve ke officials labor market ke risks ko bhi closely monitor kar rahe hain, khaas tor par un potential imbalances ko jo economic recovery ko hamper kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD Ke Fundamentals:

Federal Reserve ne 50 basis points ka interest rate cut kiya, jisse federal funds rate 4.75% se 5.00% ke range mein chala gaya. Yeh move policy-easing cycle ka shuruat thi, jo labor market ke risks ko address karne ke liye tha. Job growth aur wage inflation ke concerns ko dekhte hue, Fed ne yeh indication diya hai ke wo employment ko support karne ke liye zaroori steps uthayega aur broader economy ko track par rakhega. Lekin recent inflation data yeh suggest nahi karta ke aggressive cuts ki zarurat hai, jisse Fed ko future monetary policy decisions mein balance maintain karne ka mauka milega.

Jab ke Federal Reserve ka stance thoda aggressive hai, Bank of England (BoE) ka approach thoda measured hai interest rate adjustments ke hawale se. BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Kent Messenger newspaper ko bataya ke interest rates ka rasta "gradually downwards" hoga. Yeh statement BoE ke confidence ko dikhata hai ke wo inflation ko apne 2% target par la sakta hai. Lekin Bailey ne yeh bhi kaha ke central bank pandemic ke doran jo historically low interest rates dekhe gaye thay, unko wapis nahi laega. Iske bajaaye, wo gradual aur sustainable approach ko prefer karte hain, jo GBP ko long term mein stability de sakti hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Spot price Tuesday ke range ke andar trade kar raha hai, aur ab market participants ka focus US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke release par hai, jo September ke liye hoga. Pair ko 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo ab tak 1.3114 ke aas-paas hai, ke upar hold karne mein mushkil ho sakti hai. Yeh technical level currency pair ke short-term outlook ke liye critical hai, aur agar yeh level maintain nahi hota, toh aur neeche giraawat ka risk ho sakta hai. Investors CPI data ko closely dekh rahe hain, taake US inflation ki trajectory aur Federal Reserve ke future policy decisions ko samajh sakein.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum!
Market ghair yaqini hai kiyunkeh 4-ghante ka chart mile jule ishare dikha raha hai. Pichle das karobari dino se, pound/dollar ke jode ne 1.2845-1.3040 ki sideways range banayi hai, jiske andar qimat filhal aage badh rahi hai. 1.2845 par sideways range ki nichli hadd ko mazbut support ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai kiyunkeh isne jodi ko mazid do bar girne se roka hai.
Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh Bartanwi pound pahle 1.3040 ki muzahmati satah ka test karega, jahan market ka radde amal dekhne ke qabil hoga.
Agar qimat 1.3040 ko tod deti hai to, pound/dollar ka joda mumkena taur par 1.3068 ki agli muzahmati satah tak faida badhayega, jo 61.8% Fibonacci level ke sath mawafiq hai. Mutabadil taur par, agar 1.3040 se rebound hota hai to, mai 1.3900 ke nishan par wapsi ke sath kami par gaur karunga.



Yaumiyah chart par, 1.2865 ki ifqi satah ne bar-bar market me reversal ki radde amal ki bayas bani hai. Bartanwi pound bhi hal hi me do bar is satah se ucchli hai. Short positions kholte waqt, 1.2865 ki satah se thik niche stop-loss order rakha ja sakta hai.
Trend indicator ab mutazad ishare de rahe hain aur isliye, unhen nazar andaz kiya ja sakta hai. Halankeh, basement indicators mumkena ooper ki harkat ka ishara kar rahe hain.
Fibonacci levels ka istemal ka istemal kar ke pound/dollar ke jode ki movement ka tajziyah karte hue, 1.2298 se 1.3432 tak ke bullish cycle ne pahle hi 1.2865 (50% Fibonacci level) ki support satah ke test ke bad mukammal islah ki ijazat de di hai. Lehaza mujhe ummid hai keh Bartanwi currency ki qadar me izafa hoga.