جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD currency pair ki recent performance ne kaafi volatility ko showcase kiya hai, jo ke UK aur US ki economic factors se driven hai. Ek aham wajah jo pair ke upward trajectory ko support kar rahi hai, woh hai US dollar ki broader weakness. Hal hi mein, US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne report diya ke US GDP 2024 ke second quarter mein 3.0% se barha, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Yeh data positive tha, lekin dollar ki strength ko barhane ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Iske ilawa, US mein initial jobless claims 218,000 par aa gaye, jo ke labor market ki resilience ko dikhata hai. Lekin, Federal Reserve officials jaise ke Fed Governor Lisa Cook ke dovish remarks ne dollar ke mixed outlook ko janam diya. Cook ne 50 basis point rate cut ka mashwara diya aur "downside risks" ko employment ke hawalay se point out kiya, jo ke Fed ki less aggressive monetary policy ka ishara deti hai. Yeh dovish sentiment dollar ko weak kar raha hai, jis se British pound GBP/USD pair mein mazid faida utha raha hai. Doosri taraf, UK ne bhi apni resilience dikhayi hai, khaaskar jab Bank of England ki monetary policy par concerns ka izhar kiya gaya tha. British pound ne recent tor par strength gain ki hai, jisse umeed hai ke BoE apna rate-tightening approach zyada arsay tak barkarar rakhe ga, inflationary pressures ke chalte. Pair ke upward momentum ko public participation ne bhi support kiya, jahan logon ne buying interest dikhaya. Halankeh, markets abhi bhi ehtiyat kar rahe hain, aur woh crucial economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. Yeh fundamental uncertainty, aur US aur UK ke divergent monetary policy outlooks, GBP/USD pair mein continued volatility ka stage tayar kar rahe hain. Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ne April se lekar steady uptrend maintain kiya hai, jo ke consistently 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se support ho raha hai. Pair ne hal hi mein 1.3434 ka high touch kiya, jo ke 2.5 saal ka peak tha, lekin 1.3427 ke aas paas kafi resistance ka samna karna para. September 25 ko bulls ne is key level ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin woh kamiyab nahi ho sake, jis ke baad pair ne retracement ki taraf move kiya, wapas 34-day EMA ke taraf. Kai dafa higher push ki koshishon ke bawajood, bulls ko significant resistance levels par challenges ka samna karna para. Is waqt, price EMA ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai, aur

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

GBP/USD 0.26% gir kar 1.3076 par aa gaya hai, jab yeh 1.3134 par pahuncha tha, jo dovish BoE ke bayanat aur US Treasury yields ke barhne se mutasir hua. Bearish RSI bechne walon ki dominate position darust karta hai; key supports 50-DMA par 1.3077, 1.3031, aur 1.3001 par hain.

Resistance 1.3100 par hai, sath hi mazeed targets 1.3134 aur 4 October ka high 1.3174 hain. Pound Sterling apne losses ko Greenback ke khilaf barhata ja raha hai, North American session ke shuruati trading mein 0.26% ki girawat ke sath. Bank of England (BoE) ke Governor Andrew Bailey ke dovish bayanat ne pichle hafte Sterling ki girawat shuru ki. Is liye, GBP/USD 1.3076 par trade kar raha hai, jabke yeh daily high 1.3134 ko chhoo chuka hai.

American traders ke liye overnight session ke doran, GBP/USD ne 1.3058 par teen hafton ka sabse nicha level dekha, lekin phir kuch had tak recovery ki. US Treasury yields mein izafe ne Greenback ko mazboot kiya, jo 7 hafton ke high par 102.00 se upar chala gaya, lekin ab bhi 103.00 se door hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) yeh darust karta hai ke bechne walon ka rukh haavi hai, jabke yeh bearish ho gaya hai. Is silsile mein, Pound ke liye kam se kam resistance ka rukh neeche ki taraf hai.

GBP/USD ke liye pehla support 50-day moving average (DMA) par 1.3077 hoga. Agar zyada kamzori hoti hai, agla support September 12 ka low 1.3031 hoga, uske baad aakhri swing low 1.3001, jo September 11 ka low hai.

Dusri taraf, agar joṛ 1.3100 se upar chala jata hai, toh din ka high 1.3134 ka dobarah jaiza liya ja sakta hai, uske baad 1.3150 ko challenge karna hoga. Uske baad October 4 ka peak 1.3174 hoga, phir 1.3200 tak pahuncha ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD Outlook Analysis:

GBP/USD D1 time frame chart par, GBP/USD currency pair bearish trend ke potential ke nishan dikhata hua nazar aa raha hai. Jab maine haal ki price movements aur chart patterns ka jaiza liya, to ye lagta hai ke 1.2980 support level ki taraf aage ke downward momentum ka imkaan hai. Ye projection maujooda market structure aur pair ke ird gird chalu bearish sentiment par mabni hai. Ye zaroori hai ke key indicators aur price action signals ko qareebi taur par monitor kiya jaye taake ye tasdiq ki ja sake ke ye downward trend jari rahega. Iske ilawa, economic data releases, central bank announcements, ya broader market sentiment mein tabdeeliyan jaise external factors GBP/USD ki movement par khaas asar daal sakte hain. Is liye, traders ko hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko kisi bhi na-umeed price reversals ya tez market moves ko dekhte hue adjust karna chahiye. Halankeh mera immediate target 1.3080 par hai, lekin maine dekha hai ke agar bearish trend jari raha aur pair upar ki taraf traction hasil nahi kar paya, to 1.2980 tak aur bhi girawat mumkin hai. Is waqt maine aur bhi neeche ke levels par baat karne se parhez kiya hai kyun ke ye dekhna zaroori hai ke price intermediate levels of support par kaise react karti hai pehle se aage ki predictions karne se pehle. Agar price 1.2980 tak pohanchti hai, to ye British pound par selling pressure ke jaari rehne ki nishani hogi.

**GBP/USD H4 Time Frame Analysis:**

GBP/USD H4 time frame chart par, hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ke ongoing live assessment ke sath closely aligned hai. Haal ki market behavior aur current chart patterns ka jaiza lene par ye saaf nazar aa raha hai ke pair ek corrective phase ka samna kar raha hai, kyun ke ye haal ki unchaiyon se adjust karne aur stabilize hone ki koshish kar raha hai, taake wo apne primary trend ko phir se resume kar sake. Main aapke nazariye se poori tarah se muttefaq hoon ke 1.3083 level ki taraf corrective move ka imkaan hai. Ye price level historical price action aur technical indicators ke buniyad par ek key area hai.

Wasee nazariye se, 1.3083 ki taraf correction ko ek natural pullback process ka hissa samjha ja sakta hai jo ke significant price movements ke baad hota hai. Aam tor par, aise retracements market ko equilibrium hasil karne ka mauqa dete hain, jahan traders naye entry aur exit points ka jaiza le sakte hain. 1.3083 level temporary support ke taur par kaam kar sakta hai, jahan traders confirmation ka intezar kar sakte hain pehle kisi bhi faisle se pehle.

Technical analysis ke hawale se, mukhtalif indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur moving averages mazeed insights faraham kar sakte hain. Agar RSI 1.3083 ke qareeb oversold conditions dikhata hai, to ye ye suggest kar sakta hai ke correction apne potential limit tak pohanch chuka hai, aur reversal ka imkaan hai. Lekin agar bearish momentum jari raha, to correction aur gehri ho sakti hai pehle strong support dhoondne se pehle.

### GBP/USD Ke Prices Ka Jaiza

Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke live pricing movements ko samajhne par markooz hai. GBP/USD pair ne neeche ki taraf rujhan ikhtiyar kiya hai, jo aage ke liye aur kami ki sambhavnayein darshata hai. Haal hi mein khabrein leak hui hain jo Bank of England ke iradon ke baare mein hain ke wo interest rates kam karne wale hain, jo Thursday ko pound par khaas asar daal rahi hain. Iske bawajood, pound ne qafi mustahkam raha hai, aur 1.31 se neeche nahi gaya. Dusri taraf, dollar ne behtareen ma'ashi data ki wajah se khaas taqat hasil ki hai. Is mauqe par, main in price levels par trading karne ki sifarish nahi karta, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke 1.3050 se neeche girne ki sambhavnayein hain, jahan main kharidari karne par ghor karunga, kam se kam short-term pullback ke liye. Mere akhri technical analysis ke baad GBP/USD pair mein koi khaas tabdeeli nahi aayi hai. H4 time frame par ek neeche ki taraf rujhan ka madhya-masool trend channel tayar hua hai, aur pichle trading din ne ek bearish candle ke saath band kiya, jo hafte ka naya low darshata hai.

### Ichimoku Cloud Aur Market Analysis

Abhi price Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade ho rahi hai, jo bearish momentum ko darshata hai aur sell positions ke liye ek mauqa faraham karta hai. Stochastic indicator support zone mein hai, jo neeche ki taraf rujhan ko aur mazid support karta hai. Pichle trading session mein, pair ne girawat ko jaari rakha, doosre support level ke neeche position banaye rakhte hue. Bears ne Friday ki trading par qabza kiya, closing 1.3122 par hui.

Din ke liye aage ke liye key intraday benchmarks mein classic Pivot support levels shamil hain. Neeche ki taraf rujhan jaari rahega, aur agar teesra support level toota, to ek aur girawat ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai, jo pair ko 1.2955 ke aas-paas support line ke neeche le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar buyers market mein dobara enter karte hain, to unka ahem resistance point 1.3452 hoga.

Maujooda market dynamics ke sath, traders ko potential entry points ke liye waqif rehna chahiye, khaaskar agar pair critical support levels ke kareeb aata hai. Aane wale dinon mein bullish ya bearish movements ke liye aur mauqe dekhne ko mil sakte hain.

### GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Raat bhar, GBP/USD apne October ke low 1.3110 se upar chala gaya. November mein, ye level ek khaas resistance level tha. Ab tak, agla resistance level November ka high 1.3220 hai. Agar ye level toota, to upar ka target 50-day moving average par pahunchega, jo SMA par mabni hai. Tuesday ka bullish engulfing candle chart exchange rate ki momentum ko barhata hai. MACD aur RSI bhi upar ki taraf jaane ki taraf rujhan rakhte hain.

Author ke mutabiq, agle kuch dinon mein, British dollar 1.3130 par November ka high tak pahunchnay ki sambhavna rakhta hai. Reversal se pehle, GBP/USD ne pehle November ke high ko briefly todte hue 2023 ka naya high 1.3290 banaya. Ascending triangle ki resistance, jo August aur December ke highs se supported hai, shayad ban rahi hai.

### GBP/JPY Technical Analysis

Jaisay is mahine ke shuruat mein rebound hua tha, Britain dollar/yen apne 6-, 9- aur 13-day moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai. Halanke price upar ki taraf ja raha hai, MACD aur slow stochastic indicators apni signal lines aur midlines ke neeche hain. Price movement ko yahan se mazeed taraqqi ki zarurat hai. Isay Britain dollar/yen ka low declare karne ke liye, pehla qadam 21-day moving average ke upar close karna hoga, kyunki October ke high ke baad nazar aati hui downward trend ke chalte, isay low declare karna abhi bahut jaldi hai.

Dusse taraf, agar hum D1 chart ko dekhein, to humein dekhne ko milta hai ke slip hone ki ek samaan sambhavana hai jo $1.3240 tak ek mazboot comeback ki taraf le ja sakta hai. 1.3285 par ek mazboot buying opportunity maujood hai, aur hum aaj ke trading session mein 1.3275 tak ki badhoti ki umeed kar sakte hain. Is bullish trend ka faida uthane ke liye, buyers ke paas 50-60 pips hasil karne ka mauqa hai, kyunki price ne pehle 1.3265 ka high dekha phir 1.3040 tak swing kiya.

GBP/USD Profit Potential

Filhal, hum GBP/USD currency pair ki live pricing ko samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. GBP/USD pair ke liye, bulls ne price ko Friday ke opening point tak wapas le aaya, jo market ki pareshani ko darshata hai. Aapko yaad hai, Yuri? Main chahunga ke price dheere dheere neeche aaye. Lekin sab ko pata hai ke market meri khwahishat par itna dhyan nahi deti. Phir bhi, main ab bhi neeche ki taraf ke trend ki umeed karta hoon. Bas bearish weekly candle ko dekhiye! Ye sirf ek candle nahi hai; ye neeche ki taraf chalne ka ek acha mauka hai. Lekin humein aage nahi badhna chahiye. Meri strategy munafa dene wale sales zone se bechne par focus karegi. Behtar hoga agar opening se hi bearish move dekhein, khaas taur par gap ke zariye, taake neeche kuch buying ho sake. Meri upside target 1.3190 hai, jabke neeche ke liye meri minimum wish list 1.2780 hai.




Price phir 1.32557 support level tak gir gaya, isay todte hue ek false sell signal 1.31840 par bana. Phir is level ke upar phir se uthane par ek aur buy signal bana, jiska target 1.34154 resistance tha. Lekin ye buy signal bhi fail ho gaya, aur price phir se is level ke neeche aa gaya, ek aur failed sell signal generate karte hue. Ye false signals ka silsila Tuesday aur Wednesday tak chala, jo 1.32557 support level ke neeche break hone ki taraf le gaya. Thursday ko ek valid sell signal bana, jo 1.31840 support ko target kar raha tha, aur price is level ke neeche gir gaya. Jab price 1.31840 ke neeche stabilize hua, toh ye 1.31130 tak pahuncha, jo sell signal ki effectiveness ko confirm karta hai. Friday ko ek aur false sell signal tha 1.31130 support ke neeche breakdown ke liye, lekin price is level ke upar bana raha aur 1.30272 support tak nahi gira.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

GBP/USD ne 0.26% ki kami ke saath 1.3076 par trade kiya, jab yeh 1.3134 par peak hua. Yeh kami Bank of England (BoE) ke dovish bayan aur US Treasury yields ke barhne ki wajah se aayi. Bearish RSI seller ki dominance ko darshata hai; key supports 50-DMA par 1.3077, 1.3031, aur 1.3001 hain.

Resistance 1.3100 par hai, aur additional targets 1.3134 aur October 4 ke high 1.3174 par hain. Pound Sterling ne North American session ke shuruaati trading mein Greenback ke khilaf apne nuqsanat ko barhaya, 0.26% ki kami ke sath. BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ke dovish bayan ne pichle hafte Sterling ki girawat shuru ki. Isliye, GBP/USD ab 1.3076 par hai, jabke iska daily high 1.3134 tha.

American traders ke liye overnight session ke doran, GBP/USD ne 1.3058 par teen hafton ka low chhua, phir kuch ground recover kiya. US Treasury yields mein izafa ne Greenback ko mazid mazboot banaya, jo 7 hafton ka high 102.00 se upar chala gaya hai, lekin 103.00 tak nahi pahuncha.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) yeh darshata hai ke sellers ab control mein hain, aur bearish trend mein shift ho chuke hain. Is background mein, Pound ka raasta neeche ki taraf hai.




GBP/USD ke liye pehla support 50-day moving average (DMA) par 1.3077 hoga. Agar kamzori barh gayi, toh agla support September 12 ka low 1.3031 hoga, jo ke is se pehle ka swing low 1.3001 par hai, jo September 11 ka low hai.

Agar pair 1.3100 se upar chala gaya, toh din ke high 1.3134 ka dobara test karne ki umeed karein, us ke baad 1.3150 ko challenge karne ki koshish hogi. Agla target October 4 ka peak 1.3174 hoga, us se aage 1.3200 par nazar hogi.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Technical Outlook

GBP/USD currency pair ek aham technical level ke qareeb aa raha hai, jahan 1.3400 ka mark todne ki potential hai. Agar yeh level toota, toh yeh upar ki taraf aur movement ka darwaza khol sakta hai, jahan agla major resistance level 1.3437 hoga. Yeh level 1 March 2022 ka high darshata hai, aur is tak pahunchnay se British pound ki US dollar ke muqablay mein taqat darshayi jaayegi. Traders isay bullish trend ka jaari rehna samjhenge, khaas taur par agar momentum is point se aage barhta hai.

Agar GBP/USD pair 1.3437 ke resistance ko toota, toh agla dhyan psychological aur technical hurdle 1.3500 par hoga. Yeh round number forex trading mein ek critical level banata hai, kyunki yeh traders ke liye strong psychological ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar yeh barrier toota, toh agla target 1.3550 tay kiya ja sakta hai. 1.3500 ke upar ka break pound ki taqat ka darshak hoga, jo economic data, market sentiment, ya geopolitical developments ki wajah se British economy ko faida pohanchata hai.

Lekin agar pair 1.3400 level ke upar momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam hota hai aur girne lagta hai, toh ek mukhtalif manzar-e-qabul samne aa sakta hai. Agar yeh 1.3300 ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh potential retreat aur bearish correction ki shuruat ka ishara dega. Is surat mein, GBP/USD ko September 23 ke low par pehli support milayegi, jo 1.3248 par record hui thi. Yeh level ek key point of support hai jahan buyers shayad further losses ko rokne ke liye aayenge. Agar yeh support level toota, toh agla support level 1.3200 hoga, jo traders ke liye ek aur psychological level hai.



Agar girawat 1.3200 ke aage bhi jaari rahi, toh GBP/USD pair ka target 1.3100 ho sakta hai, jo ke ek gehri correction darshata hai. Yeh level is liye ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki yeh ek lower boundary hai jo strong support zone ban sakta hai. Agar downtrend jaari raha, toh agla critical target 1.3005 ka low hoga. Is point tak pahunchnay se currency pair ke liye ek zyada sustained bearish phase ka darshak ho sakta hai.

In summary, GBP/USD currency pair ek pivotal juncture par hai. 1.3400 ke upar jaane se bullish momentum darshayi ja sakti hai, jahan targets 1.3437 aur 1.3500 hain. Iske muqablay, agar yeh 1.3300 ke neeche girta hai toh ek bearish trend shuru ho sakta hai, jahan support levels 1.3248, 1.3200, 1.3100, aur mumkinah 1.3005 par hain. Traders ko in key levels ko nazar mein rakhna chahiye taake pair ki agle direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

GBP/USD Analysis

Agar hum GBP/USD pair ko hafton ke hawale se dekhein, toh yahan ek bearish candlestick Engulfing hai, jahan ek candle ne do pehle ke bullish candlesticks ko engulf kiya hai. Yeh ek reversal ka darshak ho sakta hai jo is do saal ke cycle ko south ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Yeh bearish reversal pattern technical indicator ke upar wale zone se bhi taqat pakar raha hai. Yeh, halankeh dolat se, humein ek possible reversal ke baare mein pehle se hi ishara de raha hai. Mera pehla aham target south ke liye yeh weekly support zone hai, jo 1.2260 - 1.2360 par hai. Lekin yeh ek long-term forecast hai, shayad yeh ek saal se zyada chale, sab kuch volatility par depend karega. Is maamle mein price ka issue 850 points neeche hai. Lekin yeh sirf meri raaye hai, aur isay neeche diye gaye tasveer mein dekha ja sakta hai.




Daily chart par, aap dekh sakte hain ke price channel ki upper border se bahar nikal gayi, aur 1.3432 se price ne apni upward movement ko downward mein tabdeel kar diya. Jab price phir se channel mein wapas aayi, toh asset ne tezi se south ki taraf girna shuru kiya. Friday ko, price ne daily period ke average moving line ko test kiya, jo 1.3069 par hai. Friday ka din pinbar ke saath band hua. Yeh average moving line se rebound ka darshak ho sakta hai. Ab average moving line green hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke buyers ki sellers par priority hai. Yeh bulls ko phir se north ki taraf jaane ke liye inspire kar sakta hai, maximum ko 1.3432 tak update karne ke liye, ya shayad us se bhi upar, 1.3780 tak.

Yahan daily period ka screenshot hai. Tafakkur ke liye, main monthly chart ko bhi dekh raha hoon. Yeh darshata hai ke price channel ki lower border se bahar nikal gayi. Uske baad, price phir se channel mein wapas aayi. Aur iske baad, price ne indicator ke upper hisson tak pahunchnay ki koshish ki. Kam se kam profitable sales ke zone tak, jo ab 1.3780-1.4361 par hai.

GBP/USD Analysis

Spot price apni girawat ko teen consecutive din tak barhata raha, lekin ab yeh apne daily aur weekly lows 1.3066 se bounce karke lagbhag 1.3120 par trade kar raha hai. Currency pair ne US economic data ke release ke baad neeche ki taraf pressure mehsoos kiya, khaaskar Federal Reserve ka pasandida inflation gauge jo expectations par pura utra. Is data ne yeh speculation barhadi ke US Federal Reserve agle September meeting mein rate cut par ghoor kar sakta hai. Jab tak market band hua, GBP/USD 1.3121 ke aas-paas tha, jo din ke dauran pehle ke lows se thodi recovery darshata hai.

Cable US Dollar ke khilaf 1.3070 ke nazdeek gir gaya, pichle hafte critical support level 1.3066 ke neeche girne ke baad muskil mein hai. Lekin, daily timeframe par Channel chart formation ke breakout zone ke nazdeek buying interest emerge hone ki sambhavna hai. Yeh region pair ke liye ek mazboot support level ban sakta hai jab traders GBP/USD ke agle direction ka andaza laga rahe hain.

GBP/USD Ke Buniyadi Pehlu:

US economy ne ghaflati taqat dikhai, jahan Gross Domestic Product (GDP) dusre quarter mein 3.0% tak barh gaya, jo ke 2.8% ke projected growth rate se zyada hai. Is mazboot economic performance ne US Dollar ko aur bhi mazboot banaya. Iske ilawa, US Initial Jobless Claims report ne dikhaya ke unemployment claims August 23 tak ke hafte mein 231,000 tak kam hue, jo pehle ke 233,000 se neeche hai aur expectations ke 232,000 se thoda kam hai. Yeh positive employment data Greenback ke momentum ko Pound Sterling ke khilaf barhata hai.

Halaanki pichli losses ke bawajood, British Pound ke liye neeche ki taraf ka risk limited ho sakta hai kyunki umeed hai ke Bank of England (BoE) US Federal Reserve ke muqablay mein lambi muddat tak zyada interest rates rakhega. BoE ne haal hi mein interest rates ko 25 basis points se kam karke 5% kiya hai, aur market participants agle saal ke end tak aur 40 basis points ke cuts ka andaza laga rahe hain. BoE ka yeh hawkish stance medium term mein GBP ke liye support de sakta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Spot price multi-year highs 1.3430 se peeche hat gaya hai aur 1.3050 level ke neeche aa gaya hai jab US Dollar par selling pressure kam hone laga. Lekin, yeh recent highs ke nazdeek bana hua hai, August mein 29-month peak tak pahunchnay ke baad. Price action bullish side ko pasand karta hai, jo 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.3109 ke upar hai. Neeche ki taraf, GBP/USD traders ke liye short-term targets 20-day EMA hain, jo 1.3230 mark ke thoda upar hai.




Technical Analysis:

Technical front par, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) lagbhag 60.00 tak gir gaya hai jab yeh overbought territory se bahar nikal gaya, jo bullish momentum ki temporary kami ka ishara de raha hai. Yeh RSI ka shift darshata hai ke pair consolidation kar sakta hai ya short term mein aur girawat mehsoos kar sakta hai pehle kisi potential recovery se.

GBP/USD Analysis

Mujhe bhi 1.3150 par rollback ki umeed thi, yahan resistance hai jise pair ke liye mazbooti se todna mushkil hoga. Shayad kuch attempts honge isay todne ke liye, jaisa ke pair abhi kar raha hai, lekin agar consolidation hoti hai, toh growth 1.3250 ke resistance tak ja sakti hai. Halankeh mujhe aisa lagta hai ke is itne girawat ke baad, jo GBP/USD pair ne aakhri waqt dikhayi hai, yeh mumkin nahi hai. Isliye main bhi aap ki tarah intezar kar raha hoon, aaj ke news par pair ke neeche ki taraf palatne ki umeed hai, lekin 1.300 mark ko todne ka waqt shayad nahi milega. Shayad yeh uske nazdeek aaye, lekin yeh agle hafte isay tod sakte hain. Abhi jo price hai usse itni doori tay karna mushkil hoga. Isliye, hum shayad 1.3065 par pahunchen aur wahan ruk jayein, aur naye hafte mein yeh 1.300 ko neeche ki taraf todne ki koshish karenge, saath hi 1.2970 ka support bhi dekhte hain.




Pound ke liye asal mein kuch nahi badla, kyunki kal yeh girna jaari raha, aur humne na sirf 1.3110 ke area mein targets ko remove kiya, balki 31st figure ke neeche bhi gaye hain, lekin abhi tak wahan consolidate nahi hua hai. Ab hum wahan se upar ki taraf badhne ya rollback karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yeh koi hairani ki baat nahi hai, kyunki yeh announce kiya gaya tha ke Bank of England bhi rates ko ghatane ka irada rakhta hai, aur kal dollar bhi barh gaya. Halankeh aaj dollar kis tarah trade karega yeh bhi ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyunki sirf hafte ka end nahi hai, balki labor market ke data bhi hain. Isliye main in prices se bechne ka nahi soch raha. Lekin agar hum 1.31 area mein wapas aate hain, toh main wahan kharidne ki koshish karunga, khaas taur par kyunki stop acceptable hoga.

GBP/USD Ka Halat:

Aakhri Jumme ko, Asian session mein spot price ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein kamzori dikhayi, jo ke 1.3150 ke ahm support level se neeche chala gaya. Yeh kami tab aayi jab USD ne Wednesday se apni recovery ko aage barhaya, jo ke United States ke Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ke doosre andaze ke behtareen aane se taqat pakar gaya. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo USD ki performance ko chhe badi currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, ne 101.80 ke qareeb pohanch kar Greenback ki demand mein izafa dikhaya.

GBP/USD Ke Bunyadi Asbab:

USD ki recent recovery ka aik aham sabab yeh hai ke speculation barh gayi hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad September mein interest rates kaatna shuru kare. Yeh jazba Fed ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke dovish bayanat se mazid barh gaya, jahan unhoon ne Jackson Hole Symposium mein kaha ke "policy ko adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai." Powell ke bayanat ne labor market ke liye neeche ke khatarat par Fed ke izafa concerns ko ubhara, yeh sujhaate hue ke inflation 2% ke target par wapas aane ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ke lagatar price pressure ke khatrey ko kam karta hai.

Is darmiyan, Bank of England (BoE) apni rate-cut strategy ko zyada ehtiyaat se samjha raha hai, jo ke UK ke service sector mein wage growth ke wajah se lagatar inflation ki wajah se hai. Is haftay ka top-tier economic data kami hai, isliye Pound Sterling ki direction shayad BoE ke mustaqbil ke rate cuts par market ki expectations se guided hogi. Filhal, market yeh umeed kar raha hai ke BoE is saal ke akhri hisson mein kam se kam aik aur rate cut karega, jabke central bank inflation aur mushkil economic halat se guzar raha hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

GBP/USD ka jor 1.3100 se neeche decline karta raha jab ke yeh 1.3270 ke aas paas momentum banane mein struggle kar raha tha. Halankeh yeh dip aaya, jor ka near-term outlook positive hai. Price ab bhi weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation ke breakout point se upar hai, jo bullish trend ko dikhata hai. Agar yeh momentum jari raha, toh jor psychological resistance 1.3500 par aim kar sakta hai, aur shayad February 2022 ka high 1.3641 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai, jab yeh apne do saal aur chaar mahine ke peak 1.3434 se upar nikalta hai.




GBP/USD ka jor aik upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke saath support kar raha hai, jo ke is waqt 1.3210 ke qareeb hai. Yeh market mein sustained bullish trend ka indication hai. Iske ilawa, 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 se 80.00 ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai, jo strong upside momentum ko confirm karta hai. Lekin, jab RSI overbought territory ke kareeb 70.00 par hai, toh short-term mein corrective pullback ka khatra barh gaya hai.

Sab Forex Traders aur Readers ko Good Morning:

Umeed hai aap sab khair maqdam hain. Aaj hum GBP/USD market mein price action par guftagu karenge. GBP/USD chart dikhata hai ke jor ne Tuesday ko $1.3200 ka nishaan chhua. Filhal, GBP/USD 1.3180 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Chart ke mutabiq, jor bearish nazar aa raha hai, jo ke is waqt ek mazboot bearish trend mein hai.

GBP/USD ke aas paas ka bearish jazba mukhtalif technical aur fundamental asbab ki wajah se hai. Technical nazariye se, jor lower highs aur lower lows bana raha hai, jo ke downtrend ka classic nishaan hai. Price action kamzori ke saaf asar dikhata hai, jahan sellers market par hakim hain aur price ko neeche le ja rahe hain. GBP/USD ka 1.3200 ke upar rukne mein naakam rehna bearish outlook ko mazid mazboot karta hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke upar ka momentum kamzor ho gaya hai aur aage aur kami ki umeed hai.

Fundamental pehlu se, kuch asbab is bearish trend ko barhane mein madadgar ho sakte hain. UK se aane wale economic data kuch khaas nahi hain, aur inflation ya aahista economic growth ke concerns British pound par bojh dal rahe hain. Iske ilawa, US dollar ki taqat bhi GBP/USD jor ko neeche le jaane mein kirdar ada kar rahi hai. Federal Reserve ka monetary tightening aur interest rate hikes par stance dollar ko support de raha hai, jo investors ke liye pound ke muqablay mein zyada attractive hai.




Maujooda price action ko dekhte hue, traders key support levels par tawajjo de rahe hain taake dekhein ke GBP/USD aane wale dinon mein kaise react karega. Pehli support level jo dekhni hai wo 1.3150 ke aas paas hai, jo pehle mazboot rukawat ka kaam kar chuki hai. Agar GBP/USD is level se neeche girta hai, toh humein downside par tez movement dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jiska agla target shayad 1.3100 ya usse bhi neeche ho.

Lekin, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke markets kabhi kabhi anjaam ko anjaam nahi dete, aur achanak khabrein ya waqiat jazbaat ko tezi se badal sakte hain. Filhal, GBP/USD pressure mein hai, aur traders ko long positions lene se pehle ehtiyaat karni chahiye. Bohat se traders shayad reversal ki tasdeeq ka intezar karna behtar samjhein.

Khulasa yeh ke GBP/USD is waqt bearish trend mein trade kar raha hai, aur price 1.3180 ke aas paas hai jab ke is haftay pehle 1.3200 chhu raha tha. Technical aur fundamental dono factors aage ke downside potential ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, aur traders ko key support levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake jor ki agla movement samajh saken.

GBP/USD pair ne nayi positive momentum dikhayi hai, khaaskar Thursday ke Asian trading session ke dauran. Yeh pair 1.3430 level ke qareeb se tezi se rebound hua, jo March 2022 ke baad se iska sabse buland point hai. Federal Reserve ke kai officials ke koshishon ke bawajood, jo market ki umeedon ko aagey ke monetary easing ke hawale se counter kar rahe hain, investor sentiment ab bhi optimistic hai ke November tak ek significant rate cut ho sakta hai. Yeh optimism, aur global financial markets mein broader bullish sentiment, GBP/USD pair ko ek full correction se bacha rahe hain, jab ke US dollar apne recent dip se recover hone ki koshish kar raha hai jo year-to-date lows ke qareeb tha.
GBP/USD exchange rate thoda increase karne ki ummeed hai, jo 1.3169 tak pohnch sakta hai, uske baad downward trend continue hone ka mumkinah hai, aur buyers ke support ke neeche 1.3074 ko break kar sakta hai, jo ek agla minimum level ho sakta hai jahan buyers apne stop-loss orders place kar sakte hain. Lekin, ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke agar price breakout kar ke 1.3179 ke upar consolidate karti hai, toh British pound mazboot ho sakta hai aur saal ke naye highs tak pohnch sakta hai, jo ke 1.3264 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Indicators abhi price chart par decline ki taraf zyada lean karte hain, na ke significant rise ki taraf. Aane wale Federal Reserve meeting aur interest rate decision ki wajah se, market mein agle hafte high volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai, isliye cautious trading aur stop-loss orders ka istemal karna behtar hoga.
Chart yeh indicate karta hai ke potential U.S. recession ka zikr nahi tha, jo initially GBP/USD exchange rate ko barhane ki wajah bana, lekin yeh trend jaldi reverse ho gaya aur price ab gir rahi hai. Decline ko 1.3010 par support mil sakta hai, jo price ko rebound karne aur overall upward trend ko continue karne ka mauka de sakta hai. GBP/USD pair ne economic data releases ki wajah se significant volatility experience ki, aur weekly candle pin bar ke roop mein close hui, jo suggest karta hai ke decline continue ho sakti hai agar price previous week's low
GBP/USD market pair par sellers ka zyada control tha, jo ke buyers ke bullish trend ko resistance area 1.3153-1.3150 ke neeche rokne mein kaamyab rahe. Yeh resistance area sellers ne mazbooti se defend kiya, jis se price neeche bearish move karne lagi, halankeh yeh distance ziada bara nahi tha, lekin sellers ka control zyada dikhai diya.
Daily time frame par Moving Average indicator ke zariye dekha jaye, toh price ab bhi Red MA 50 area 1.2954-1.2956 ke upar hai, aur bullish candlesticks dobara dominate kar rahi hain. Lekin, strong seller determination ki wajah se jab market close hogi, toh sellers ke paas bearish move ko continue karne ka moqa ho sakta hai. Unka target hoga ke price ko buyer support area 1.3035-1.3033 ke neeche le jayein, aur agar yeh level break ho gaya, toh Red MA 50 area tak raste khul sakte hain.

Upward engulfing pattern tab banta hai jab ek choti bearish candlestick ke baad ek bari bullish candlestick banti hai jo pichle din ke price action ko mukammal tor par "engulf" kar leti hai. Is pattern ko aam tor par reversal signal samjha jata hai, jo yeh batata hai ke downward trend apni taqat kho raha hai aur buyers market par qaboo hasil kar rahe hain. GBP/USD ke case mein, upward engulfing pattern yeh reflect karta hai ke traders mein optimism barh raha hai ke pound dollar ke muqable mein qareebi waqt mein mazid taqat hasil kar sakta hai.

1.3395 ka level bohot zyada ahem hai kyun ke yeh woh point hai jahan buying interest barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. GBP/USD mein long positions lene wale traders ke liye yeh level attractive ho sakta hai ke apni positions open ya aur zyada badhayein, kyun ke engulfing pattern yeh zahir karta hai ke price yahan se barh sakti hai. Lekin broader market conditions aur kisi bhi resistance levels ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo upward momentum ko rok sakte hain.
Pullback ka Imkaan


Is bullish signal ke bawajood, kuch indications hain ke price mein ek pullback ho sakta hai jab tak ke upward move mazeed barh na jaye. Short positions ya "shorts" kaafi imkaan hai ke 1.3310 ke aas paas profit lena shuru kar dein, jo un traders ka level hai jo pair mein temporary decline ka soch rahe hain. Yeh pullback market ko consolidation ka waqt de sakta hai, jisse price ko mazeed strength mil sakti hai taake phir se higher levels ki taraf move karein.

Rollback 1.3340 ya 1.3370 tak bhi ho sakta hai, jahan short sellers is opportunity ka faida utha sakte hain ke price apne upward momentum ko sustain nahi kar paa rahi. Yeh levels support aur resistance areas ke tor par kaam karte hain jahan price action zyada volatile ho sakta hai jab mukhtalif traders apni positions adjust karte hain.
Nazar Rakhne Wale Ahem Factors


Bohot se fundamental factors GBP/USD pair ki direction ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. UK aur US se anay wali economic data bohot ahem role ada karegi ke pound dollar ke muqable mein mazeed taqat hasil karta hai ya nahi. Maslan, agar UK ki GDP growth ya inflation data mazid strong aati hai, toh pound ko aur support milne ka imkaan hai. Dusri taraf, agar UK economy mein koi weakness hoti hai, toh traders long positions lene mein ehtiyaat karenge.

Isi tarah, US dollar ke developments bhi pair par asar dal sakte hain. Dollar ko rising interest rate expectations ka faida ho raha hai, aur agar Federal Reserve mazeed aggressive monetary tightening ka signal deta hai, toh dollar mazeed taqat hasil kar sakta hai, jisse GBP/USD ko upward move sustain karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

Market sentiment aur geopolitical factors bhi pair ki performance ko influence karenge. Maslan, agar koi unexpected political development hoti hai, khaaskar Brexit ya US-UK trade relations se related, toh market mein volatility aa sakti hai jo price action mein rapid shifts ka sabab ban sakti hai.
Nateeja


GBP/USD pair mein upward engulfing pattern ka formation yeh suggest karta hai ke abhi bhi upward move ka imkaan hai, aur 1.3395 ka level ek ahem interest point hai long traders ke liye. Magar, ek pullback ka imkaan abhi bhi barqarar hai aur 1.3310 ke aas paas ho sakta hai, aur rollback 1.3340 ya 1.3370 tak ho sakta hai jab tak ke pair apni upward trajectory ko phir se na pakray. Traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur technical aur fundamental factors ko dekhte hue apne trading decisions lena chahiye, aur risk management strategies ko apply karna zaroori hai taake unexpected market shifts se apni positions ko protect kiya ja sa