جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Humari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke price changes ke analysis ke hawalay se hai. Yeh pair, jo British Pound ko US Dollar ke muqablay main dikhata hai, bohot zyada US job market data aur mukhtalif geopolitical developments se mutasir hota hai. Haal hi main, US ka monthly job data acha aya hai, jis ki wajah se US Dollar ki qeemat barh gayi hai aur GBP/USD pair girawat ka shikar hai. Mazboot employment figures se yeh pata chalta hai ke US ki economy acha perform kar rahi hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ko interest rates barhane ke liye support deti hai. Doosri taraf, UK ki economy ko kuch challenges ka samna hai, jisme inflationary pressures aur growth ka uncertain future shamil hai. Bank of England ki monetary policy decisions, Pound ki taqat ke hawalay se aham kirdar ada karengi. Is ke ilawa, post-Brexit trade negotiations aur wahan ki siyasi stability GBP/USD ki dynamics ko aur mushkil banati hain. Jab traders in tamam factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hain, toh GBP ko le kar market ka rawaiya abhi bhi ehtiyat se bharpoor hai, khaaskar Bank of England ke aanay walay steps ke hawalay se.Is haftay UK economy se koi bara data release nahi hua, jis ki wajah se Pound Sterling zyada ter global market sentiment se mutasir ho raha hai. Traders ab external factors par nazar rakhe hue hain, aur agla bara event US ka GDP data ka release hai. Lekin, kisi bara price movement ki umeed nahi hai, kyun ke markets ne zyada ter Q2 ka annualized GDP growth ko 2.8% par stable rehne ka andaza laga liya hai. Is liye, UK currency zyada ter global developments, khaaskar US se mutasir ho sakti hai.Aham Focus US PCE Inflation Data par hai:Is haftay ka sab se anticipated data release US ka Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index hai. Investors is data ka intezar kar rahe hain taake US main aanay walay inflation ke trends ko samajh saken. Agar inflation barh raha hai ya kam az kam stable hai, toh yeh Fed ke September main rate cut ke expectations ko mazid barhawa dega. Pound ki movements bhi is outcome se mutasir hongi, kyun ke US monetary policy main koi bhi bara tabadla global financial markets ko adjust karne par majboor kar sakta hai.Moving averages filhal Pound Sterling ke liye koi immediate support nahi de rahi hain. Traders trend channel ke lower band par bounce ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke pichlay 6 mahinon se mazbooti se 1.3120 ke aas paas bana hua hai. Agar yeh level toot gaya, toh agla support zone 1.3047 ke aas paas hai, jo August main pehle resistance point tha. Agar aur girawat dekhi gayi, toh 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo ke 1.3186 par hai aur critical level jo 1.3100 hai, mazid support de sakte hain.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis GBP/USD currency pair ki recent performance ne kaafi volatility ko showcase kiya hai, jo ke UK aur US ki economic factors se driven hai. Ek aham wajah jo pair ke upward trajectory ko support kar rahi hai, woh hai US dollar ki broader weakness. Hal hi mein, US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne report diya ke US GDP 2024 ke second quarter mein 3.0% se barha, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Yeh data positive tha, lekin dollar ki strength ko barhane ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Iske ilawa, US mein initial jobless claims 218,000 par aa gaye, jo ke labor market ki resilience ko dikhata hai. Lekin, Federal Reserve officials jaise ke Fed Governor Lisa Cook ke dovish remarks ne dollar ke mixed outlook ko janam diya. Cook ne 50 basis point rate cut ka mashwara diya aur "downside risks" ko employment ke hawalay se point out kiya, jo ke Fed ki less aggressive monetary policy ka ishara deti hai. Yeh dovish sentiment dollar ko weak kar raha hai, jis se British pound GBP/USD pair mein mazid faida utha raha hai. Doosri taraf, UK ne bhi apni resilience dikhayi hai, khaaskar jab Bank of England ki monetary policy par concerns ka izhar kiya gaya tha. British pound ne recent tor par strength gain ki hai, jisse umeed hai ke BoE apna rate-tightening approach zyada arsay tak barkarar rakhe ga, inflationary pressures ke chalte. Pair ke upward momentum ko public participation ne bhi support kiya, jahan logon ne buying interest dikhaya. Halankeh, markets abhi bhi ehtiyat kar rahe hain, aur woh crucial economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. Yeh fundamental uncertainty, aur US aur UK ke divergent monetary policy outlooks, GBP/USD pair mein continued volatility ka stage tayar kar rahe hain.
Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ne April se lekar steady uptrend maintain kiya hai, jo ke consistently 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se support ho raha hai. Pair ne hal hi mein 1.3434 ka high touch kiya, jo ke 2.5 saal ka peak tha, lekin 1.3427 ke aas paas kafi resistance ka samna karna para. September 25 ko bulls ne is key level ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin woh kamiyab nahi ho sake, jis ke baad pair ne retracement ki taraf move kiya, wapas 34-day EMA ke taraf. Kai dafa higher push ki koshishon ke bawajood, bulls ko significant resistance levels par challenges ka samna karna para. Is waqt, price EMA ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai, aur jab tak yeh iss level ke upar hai, bullish sentiment barqarar rehne ki umeed hai

GBPUSD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain.

aas-paas trade kar rahi hai, jo bullish sentiment ko darshata hai aur is pair ko pehle ke resistance levels ko todne mein madad di hai. Haal ki price action mein displaced liquidity (DLiq) zones 1.25000 aur 1.30000 par dekhe gaye hain, jinhon ne price ke uncha uthane se pehle retest kiya. Yeh areas ab crucial support levels ke taur par kaam karte hain. Is uptrend mein maujood fair value gaps (FVGs) bhi yeh darshate hain ke kuch unmitigated zones hain jo baad mein price ke pullbacks ke liye price magnets ban sakte hain.
Ek major resistance zone 1.35000 ke aas-paas hai, jo chart ke upper liquidity clusters mein dikh raha hai. Yeh psychological level ab tak break nahi hua hai, aur traders iski potential rejection ya breakthrough par nazar rakh rahe hain, jo market ki agle phase ka tay karega. Agar price is resistance ko todne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, to agla significant target shayad 1.36500 ke aas-paas hoga, jahan further liquidity maujood hai aur yeh 2024 mein dekha gaya peak bhi hai.



Downside par, koi bhi retracement price ko recently tested DLiq zones par wapas le ja sakta hai, khaas taur par 1.30000 aur 1.25000 ke aas-paas, kyunki yeh areas historically bullish momentum ko support karte rahe hain. In levels ke beech kuch FVGs bhi maujood hain, jo corrective movements ki sambhavnayein darshate hain isse pehle ke upward leg se pehle.

Is daily timeframe par broader structure ek long-term bullish market structure ko darshata hai, jahan higher highs aur higher lows consistently saal ke shuruat se ban rahe hain. Yeh current trend ki taqat ko confirm karta hai, lekin volatility aur tez retracements ki umeed hai, khaas taur par jab pair key resistance levels ke kareeb pahunchta hai.

Akhir mein, GBP/USD ab bhi mazboot upward momentum dikhata hai, jahan 1.35000 bulls ke liye immediate target hai. Lekin, caution zaroori hai kyunki pair overbought conditions ke nazdeek hai, aur agar yeh resistance ko clear karne mein nakam raha, to yeh corrective phase ki taraf le ja sakta hai, price ko 1.30000 zone ki taraf la sakta hai jahan liquidity maujood hai. Traders ko ya to 1.35000 ke upar breakout ka intezar karna chahiye ya phir support zones par pullback ka dekhna chahiye, pehle significant decisions lene se.

GBP/USD 24-Hour View Aur 1-3 Weeks View:

24-Hour View: Pichlay Friday ko, GBP ne 1.2727 aur 1.2773 ke darmiyan trade kiya, aur lagbhag unchanged close hua (1.2756, +0.04%). Halankeh price action itna noticeable nahi tha, lekin downward momentum mein thoda izafa nazar aaya hai. Aaj ke liye, umeed hai ke GBP thora neeche ki taraf jaye ga. Lekin yeh downward pressure itna zyada nahi hai ke support level 1.2710 ko todh sake. Ooper ki taraf, resistance levels 1.2780 aur 1.2800 par hain.

1-3 Weeks View: Hum ne last month ke aakhri dino mein GBP ke liye negative outlook diya tha. Jab GBP 1.2674 tak gira, humne apne recent analysis mein (07 Aug ko jab spot 1.2690 tha) kaha tha ke 'momentum ke taghazza se downside risk ab bhi hai, aur watch karne wale levels 1.2645 aur 1.2610 hain.' GBP iske baad 1.2665 tak gira aur phir tez rebound kiya, aur 1.2773 tak pohanch gaya. Halankeh humara 'strong resistance' level 1.2780 ab tak breach nahi hua, downward momentum kaafi had tak kam ho gaya hai, aur ab 1.2665 ke neeche girne ka chance kam lagta hai. Agr GBP 1.2780 ko breach karta hai, to iska matlab hoga ke GBP ek consolidation phase mein daakhil ho gaya hai.

GBP/USD ka immediate barrier 1.2767 level par jo ke nine-day EMA hai, test ho sakta hai, aur upper boundary 1.2800 level par hai. Daily chart ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, pair ka bias bearish hai. Descending channel ka lower edge, jo ke 1.2650 level par hai, ek key support ke taur par kaam kar sakta hai.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi bearish momentum dikhata hai, kyun ke MACD line signal line aur centerline ke neeche hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level se neeche hai, jo bearish outlook ko mazeed taqat deta hai.

Resistance ke liye, pair ka immediate barrier 1.2767 level (nine-day EMA) aur upper boundary 1.2800 level hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ko breach karta hai, to ye yearly peak 1.3044 level tak pohanch sakta hai, jo ke 17 July ko record kiya gaya tha.

Neeche ki taraf, GBP/USD key support 1.2650 level par jo descending channel ka lower edge hai, test kar sakta hai. Agar is level ke neeche girta hai, to downward pressure barh sakta hai, aur pair ko throwback support 1.2615 level par le ja sakta hai, jo ke June mein note kiya gaya tha.

Aise signals traders ke liye bohot ahem hote hain, kyunki yeh aksar downtrend ke aaghaz ka pata dete hain. Aap ne iss signal par action lekar downward movement se fayda uthaya.Price ko support level 1.33271 tak pohanchne ka intezar karna aur uske baad trade ko close karna ek well-planned exit strategy ka zahir hai. Established support levels par profit lena kaafi successful traders ki common technique hai, kyunki in levels par price reversal ya consolidation ke chances hote hain. Aapka iss point par trade close karna market behavior ko samajhne ki achi misaal hai.Bearish trend ka continuity, jahan further declines ne 1.32819, 1.32620, aur aakhir mein 1.32351 tak pohancha, yeh dikhata hai ke aapka analysis bilkul sahi tha. Har level ek trader ke liye interest ka area ban sakta hai, aur in levels ko pehchanna aapko future trades ke liye informed decisions lene mein madad karta hai.Aapka ongoing bearish outlook, khaaskar 1.31874 ki taraf potential decline, market dynamics ko samajhne ka comprehensive approach zahir karta hai. GBP/USD jese currency pairs par market sentiment, economic indicators, aur geopolitical factors ka bohot asar hota hai. In elements par nazar rakhna aapko future price movements ko behtar samajhne mein madad dega.Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke aap market ke behavior ko in levels par dekhte rahain. 1.3199 ka area jisko aap ne zahir kiya ke aap ke liye zyada significance nahi rakhta, ho sakta hai doosre traders ke liye important ho. "Wait and observe" ki strategy aap ko risk minimize karne mein madad de sakti hai, khaaskar jab market volatile ho aur unexpected outcomes ka khatra ho.Aapka reflection, US dollar ko favor karne wali zyada trades place karne ka, market trends ke liye aapki keen awareness ko zahir karta hai. US dollar ka strength ya weakness kaafi economic data releases aur central bank policies par depend karta hai. Future trades ko consider karte waqt, in indicators par nazar rakhna bohot ahem hoga. Economic reports jaise employment figures, inflation data, aur interest rate decisions, currency valuations par bara asar daal sakti hain

GBP/USD ke halia market halat ke mutabiq British pound ne 1.2900 level se rebound ke baad ek confident ascending price channel bana liya hai, jahan pound/dollar pair ab 1.3350 par trade kar raha hai. H4 timeframe par hum dekhte hain ke ek reversal candle (pin bar) ka formation bhi hua hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai ke northern channel ke lower boundary se price thodi qareeb hai, lekin abhi 60-80 points ka farq hai. Is waqt ya to current levels se ya phir support line ke south mein entry ke zariye, main decline wave ke khatam hone aur ek nai growth wave ke banne ka intezar kar raha hoon. Yeh growth wave, ascending channel mein teesri wave hogi, jo sabse taqatwar bhi ho sakti hai. Main ne liquidity level 1.3585 par exit karne ka faisla kiya, jo main pehle posts mein discuss kar chuka tha. Broader uptrend ko dekhte huye, yeh H4 timeframe ka pehla liquidity point tha, jahan se price ka mazeed growth ho sakta tha. Jab price ne is level ko break kiya, to yeh mere liye structural breakdown ka signal nahi tha, balkay sirf trading range ko 1.3470 tak expand karne ka ishara tha. Agla liquidity level 1.3620 par hai, jo ek downward move ka possibility de sakta hai. Magar, abhi price 1.3650 ke liquid area mein trade kar raha hai, jahan se ek upward reaction bhi aasakti hai. Abhi tak yeh unclear hai ke hum neeche jainge ya iss level se correct karenge, magar main 1.3410 ke broken liquidity level ke response par focus kar raha hoon, jahan 120 points ka target hai.Market ab bearish phase mein ja raha hai, aur price 1.3400 par chal raha hai. GBP/USD ka price movement pattern pichlay chand dinon se bearish pressure ka samna kar raha hai, jahan H4 timeframe par kai resistance levels ko cross kiya gaya. Agla bearish trend ka target 1.3700 zone ko break karne ki koshish kar sakta hai. Jabke price abhi market consolidation phase mein atka hua hai. Is month ke aghaz se market conditions mein jo cheez interesting rahi hai, wo yeh ke sellers ne prices ko neeche lane ki koshish ki hai. Prices abhi bearish hain, kyunke trade start se sell ho rahi hai, jo ke last week's sellers ko 1.3174 ke support position tak le ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD ke exchange rate ko aik challenging surat-e-haal ka samna hai, jo dono currencies par mukhtalif economic asraat ki wajah se hai. Ye pair haali mein pichle din ke low **1.3352** se neeche gir gaya, aur 137 pips se zyada ka nuqsan dekhne ko mila. Ye tezi market ki aakhri economic data aur geopolitical developments ke lehaz se hoshiyaar react karne ko dikhata hai. US Federal Reserve ki monetary policies, khaaskar interest rate mein tabdeeli, dollar ki taqat par asar daal rahi hain, jahan market ke logon ne mazeed rate cuts ki expectations ko evaluate karna shuru kar diya hai. Is dauran, Bank of England ko inflation ke barqarar rehne se pressure ka samna hai, jo unki monetary policy ke faislon ko bhi scrutiny mein la raha hai. UK ko kamzor growth aur siyasi adam istahkam jese economic challenges ka samna hai, jisse pound ka dollar ke muqable mein trajectory in hi badalte huwe factors par mabni hogi. Jaise hi traders anay wale economic indicators aur central bank ke bayanaat par nazar rakhenge, koi bhi ahem tabdeeli GBP/USD ke exchange rate mein khasa utar charh la sakti hai.
Technically dekha jaye, GBP/USD pair ahem levels ke ird gird kaam kar rahi hai, jo trading mein nuqsan ka asar daal sakta hai. Haali mein ye pair taqreeban **1.3237** tak gir gaya, jahan kuch buyers ne isse kharida aur do lagataar bullish H1 candles bani. Lekin ye bullish momentum ab kamzor nazar aaraha hai jabke price 34-period Exponential Moving Average ke qareeb aaraha hai, jo ke aik significant resistance point hai. Iske ilawa, pair ne lower highs banayen, pehle **1.3265 par, aur phir previous lower high1.3287 ko tor diya. Ye behavior aglay chand arse ke liye consolidation phase ke imkaan ko zahir karta hai. Traders jo Fibonacci retracement levels ko use karte hain wo dekhenge ke pair ab discount zone mein hai, jo khareedari ke chances ko zahir karta hai, lekin ehtiyaat lazmi hai. Bulls aur bears dono ki market sentiment kaafi muted hai, jo trading environment ko hoshiyaar bana raha hai. Aakhri bullish signals unsuspecting traders ke liye aik trap ban sakte hain agar unhone strong risk management strategies ka istemal nahi kiya. Isliye, jabke broader daily aur H4 trends bullish outlook ko barqarar rakhti hain, mojooda surat-e-haal bohot ehityat talq karti hai, khaaskar stop-loss orders ko istemal karke jo nuqsan ko kam karne mein madadgar hotay hain. Market ke fluctuations ke saath, traders ko hoshiyaar aur tayyar rehna hoga, taake wo fundamental shifts aur technical signals ko samajh kar apne trading ke faislay kar sakein.

Forum ke doston, jo khush hain ke kal trading holiday hai, mein aap sab ka shukriya ada karna chahta hoon jo mere analysis ko visit karte hain. Lagta hai ke bonus ab tak nahi aaya, ho sakta hai ke kisi ne rules ka violation kiya ho aur is wajah se bonus pay nahi ho raha. Is surat mein, sabko asar pohnchta hai jab koi rules violate karta hai. Friday ki trading ke doran GBP/USD currency pair ab tak side way chal raha hai. Is liye, aaj be-waja floating se bachne ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke European market ke khulne ka sabr se intezar kiya jaye. Ek trader ke liye behtareen faisla yeh hai ke sabr se sahi waqt ka intezar karein. Agar hum technical point of view se dekhein, tou GBP/USD currency pair H1 time frame mein ab tak downward trajectory par hai. Kal ke sharp rise ke baad aaj ek significant fall dekhne ko mili hai. Is situation mein, agle move ko anticipate karna aur disciplined stop loss ko maintain karna zaroori hai. Fundamental point of view se dekha jaye tou USD index ke recent movements mein kuch din ki girawat ke baad ab ek potential increase ka imkaan hai, jo GBP/USD ke opponents ko upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke USD opponent dobara girawat ki taraf ja sakta hai. Aapko fundamental news par nazar rakhni chahiye jo agle kuch din mein release hongi, taake forex calendar ko monitor karte hue aap ek acha forecast bana sakein. Daily candles H4 time frame par red hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend chal raha hai. Hum clearly dekh sakte hain ke price pichle mahine ke shuru se gir rahi hai. Current decline ke sath price Original Demand area tak pohonch gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke wahan solid support hai. Is liye, price wapis upar move kar sakta hai taake supply area tak, jo TOP BB line ke upar hai, pohonch sake.

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein positive momentum gain kiya hai, khaaskar jab se yeh Wednesday ko 1.3200 level se upar gaya hai. Yeh movement zyada tar risk-on sentiment ki wajah se hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke investors ab zyada risk lene ke liye tayyar hain aur British pound jese assets mein invest kar rahe hain. Is movement ke peeche ek aham factor US Federal Reserve (Fed) ka interest rates ko kam karne ka imkaan hai

BP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg
Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain

Gbp/Usd ne apne medium-term range high ke upar dobara break kiya hai. Agar yeh September 3 ke high ke upar close kar leta hai to yeh bullish breakout ka ishara ho sakta hai. Gbp/Usd ne September 11 ke low se recent pullback ke baad recovery ki hai aur 1.3100 ke range high ke upar break kiya hai, aur dheere dheere upar ki taraf barh raha hai. Yeh shayad September 3 ka 1.3200 high tak pohanch sakta hai, lekin trend abhi tak clear nahi hai aur kisi bhi taraf koi clear bias nahi hai.

Daily aur hourly time frames ka tajziya Gbp/Usd par ek bearish scenario dikhata hai. Price 1.3150 par hai aur bulls ne apni qeemat Jumay ke din kho di. Is tarah, investors Gbp/Usd mein bearish scenario ko pehchaan sakte hain. Haali conditions ne bears, yaani sellers, ko mazid mazboot banaya hai jo ab 1.3250 level par position le chuke hain. Yeh development is baat ka ishara karti hai ke market behaviors bears ko favor kar rahe hain, bulls ke muqable mein.


4-hour time frame chart ko dekhne se pata chalta hai ke buyers ka control abhi bhi dominant hai. Candlestick ko 1.3100 zone ki taraf dhakelne ki koshish abhi bhi ho rahi hai. Current candlestick position 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar cross kar chuki hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke market mein bullish continuation ka potential hai. Market ka mutali'a aur trading tools ka durust istemal investors ko bearish environment mein behtar tor par navigate karne aur apne trading objectives hasil karne mein madad de sakta hai.


RBS zone ek mazboot support level bana, aur kyunki candle is area ko puri tarah nahi tor payi, bearish pressure kam hone laga. Iska natija yeh hua ke Gbp/Usd ne apna neeche ki taraf ka rujhan badal diya aur dobara upar ki taraf chalna shuru kiya. Is upar ki harkat se yeh zahir hua ke kharidaar market mein wapas aa rahe hain, jisse aage ke nuqsan ko roka gaya aur market par control hasil kiya gaya.

GBP/USD 24-Hour View Aur 1-3 Weeks View:

24-Hour View: Pichlay Friday ko, GBP ne 1.2727 aur 1.2773 ke darmiyan trade kiya, aur lagbhag unchanged close hua (1.2756, +0.04%). Halankeh price action itna noticeable nahi tha, lekin downward momentum mein thoda izafa nazar aaya hai. Aaj ke liye, umeed hai ke GBP thora neeche ki taraf jaye ga. Lekin yeh downward pressure itna zyada nahi hai ke support level 1.2710 ko todh sake. Ooper ki taraf, resistance levels 1.2780 aur 1.2800 par hain.

1-3 Weeks View: Hum ne last month ke aakhri dino mein GBP ke liye negative outlook diya tha. Jab GBP 1.2674 tak gira, humne apne recent analysis mein (07 Aug ko jab spot 1.2690 tha) kaha tha ke 'momentum ke taghazza se downside risk ab bhi hai, aur watch karne wale levels 1.2645 aur 1.2610 hain.' GBP iske baad 1.2665 tak gira aur phir tez rebound kiya, aur 1.2773 tak pohanch gaya. Halankeh humara 'strong resistance' level 1.2780 ab tak breach nahi hua, downward momentum kaafi had tak kam ho gaya hai, aur ab 1.2665 ke neeche girne ka chance kam lagta hai. Agr GBP 1.2780 ko breach karta hai, to iska matlab hoga ke GBP ek consolidation phase mein daakhil ho gaya hai.

GBP/USD ka immediate barrier 1.2767 level par jo ke nine-day EMA hai, test ho sakta hai, aur upper boundary 1.2800 level par hai. Daily chart ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, pair ka bias bearish hai. Descending channel ka lower edge, jo ke 1.2650 level par hai, ek key support ke taur par kaam kar sakta hai.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi bearish momentum dikhata hai, kyun ke MACD line signal line aur centerline ke neeche hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level se neeche hai, jo bearish outlook ko mazeed taqat deta hai.

Resistance ke liye, pair ka immediate barrier 1.2767 level (nine-day EMA) aur upper boundary 1.2800 level hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ko breach karta hai, to ye yearly peak 1.3044 level tak pohanch sakta hai, jo ke 17 July ko record kiya gaya tha.

Neeche ki taraf, GBP/USD key support 1.2650 level par jo descending channel ka lower edge hai, test kar sakta hai. Agar is level ke neeche girta hai, to downward pressure barh sakta hai, aur pair ko throwback support 1.2615 level par le ja sakta hai, jo ke June mein note kiya gaya tha.

Federal Reserve ab sooch samajh kar interest rate cuts karegi. CPI overall expectation ke mutabiq barhi, lekin core CPI, jo ke food aur energy ke ilawa hoti hai, thodi ziada barhi jo anticipate ki gayi thi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mehngai ke pressure abhi bhi zyada hai, jo ke Fed ki ability ko aggressively rates cut karne se rok sakti hai. Iss data ke nateeje mein, Fed ki aane wali meeting mein 50 basis point rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jab ke 25 basis point cut puri tarah se priced in hai. Iss shift ne US dollar ko support diya, jis ne strength hasil ki jab investors ne kam dovish Fed ke umeed rakhi. GBP/USD ne apna downward trend resume kar liya early European trade mein, aur ek key support level ko tod diya. Ager girawat jaari rahi, toh selling pressure April-July ke uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day simple moving average ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar downside momentum jaari raha, toh bearish cycle lower support levels tak barh sakti hai, jin mein 38.2% Fibonacci level aur 50-day moving average bhi shamil hai. Technically, GBP/USD ka short-term outlook bearish hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf muft rahe hain, jab ke MACD red signal line ke neeche break kar chuki hai. Lekin moving averages ki upward slope yeh suggest karti hai ke current bearish wave larger uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai. Yeh factors ke ilawa bhi kai aur factors hain jo GBP/USD ko near term mein influence kar sakte hain. In sab complex factors ki waja se, short-term mein GBP/USD ka move predict karna mushkil hai. Lekin current bearish trend se yeh risk pata chalta hai ke near future mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Lekin doosre events aur factors bhi bulls ko dubara support kar sakte hain. Market behavior ya sentiment ko analyze karte rehna chahiye taake galtiyon se bacha ja sake aur usko puri tarah samjha ja sake. Market sentiment aksar price movements ko drive karta hai, aur usko samajhne se participants ko edge mil sakti hai. Sentiment analysis ka ek important hissa yeh hai ke samjha jaye ke doosre participants kis tarah position liye hue hain aur woh mukhtalif price levels par kis tarah react kar sakte hain. Jab bulls resistance ko test karne ki koshish karenge, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market mein strong consensus hai ya phir indecision ke

Aaj GBPUSD ki harakat ka tajziya yeh dikhata hai ke bullish candle resistance 1.3428 ko torhne mein nakam rahi. Yeh ek nishani hai ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ho rahi hai, halan ke harga upar ki taraf koshish ki. Yeh level ek ahm psychological barrier hai; agar yeh nahi toota, toh harga ka girna mumkin hai. Yeh mazboot resistance GBPUSD ki short-term upar ki taraf chalne mein rukawat daal sakta hai. Aane wale hafte ke liye trading ka plan yeh hai ke GBPUSD ka girna aur Moving Average (MA) 200 ki taraf aana dekha jaye. Jo trend hai, us se yeh lagta hai ke girawat ki sambhavana zyada hai, khaaskar agar koi fundamental factors GBP ko dabao dalte hain. Is liye, sell strategy ko tarjeeh deni chahiye, MA 200 ko support target ke tor par rakhte hue. Filhal harga MA 200 ke upar hai, lekin yeh us taraf aa sakta hai. MA 200 ek mazboot support hai jo girawat ko rokne ki koshish karega. Lekin, harga abhi tak khaafi landa hai aur trendline ko aggressively nahi toor raha. Yeh market mein uncertainty ko dikhata hai, jahan buyers aur sellers apni direction dhoondh rahe hain. Agar girawat ka momentum kafi nahi hua, toh harga sideways move karega. MA ke beech crossing jo ke bullish trend ko dikhati hai, woh bhi ab zyada taqat nahi rakh rahi. Yeh yeh bhi dikhata hai ke GBPUSD upar jaane ki taqat khatam hoti ja rahi hai, aur selling pressure barh raha hai. Aaj tak ki GBPUSD ki harakat yeh dikhati hai ke yeh resistance 1.3425 aur support 1.3365 ke beech sideway/ranging hai. Resistance 1.3425 ko baar baar test kiya gaya hai, aur ab yeh fresh nahi hai, is liye asani se toota ja sakta hai. Waisa hi support 1.3365 bhi ab fresh nahi hai, aur agar harga neeche ki taraf jaata hai, toh support 1.3313 tak pahunch sakta hai. Is waqt trend ab bhi bullish hai aur harga upar jaane ki sambhavana rakh raha hai. Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke harga pehle thoda correction dekhe kyunke six weeks tak continuous rally hui hai. Stochastic indicator bhi bullish movement ko support kar raha hai, lekin oversold zone tak nahi pahunch raha. Yeh sab milkar yeh dikhata hai ke GBPUSD abhi bhi upar ki taraf ja sakta hai, lekin cautious rehna zaroori hai.

USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed