جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP USD breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example

GBP/USD Pair Review

Pound sterling ka price Thursday ko $1.27 par qaim raha, jo ke teen hafton ke sabse oonchay level ke qareeb tha, jab England, Scotland, Wales aur Northern Ireland mein parliamentary elections ke liye votes daalay gaye. Centre-left Labor Party opinion polls mein aage thi, aur mumkin hai ke yeh British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak ki Conservative Party ko gira de. Kuch andazay yeh bhi hain ke Labor Party ko aksariyat milne ka imkaan hai, jo ke 2005 ke baad general elections mein unka pehla fatah hoga. US jobs numbers ka elan honay se pehle GBP/USD ka price resistance level 1.2780 ke qareeb stable tha.

Kuch analysts ka kehna hai ke yeh siyasi tabdeeli pound sterling, stock market, aur Britain mein investments par acha asar daal sakti hai, aur Britain ki "safe haven" ke tor par shohrat ko bahal kar sakti hai, jab ke doosray ilaqay siyasi uncertainty ka shikar hain. Monetary policy ke hawalay se, investors yeh tawaqqa kar rahe hain ke August mein Bank of England ke faida ke rates mein cut hoga, jab ke inflation central bank ke 2% target tak gir chuki hai.

Trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year bond yield apni recent highs se neeche hai, aur sab ki nazarain elections par hain. British government bonds par 10-year yield Thursday ko takreeban 4.18% thi, jo ke Monday ko chhuti 4.28% se kam thi, jab England, Scotland, Wales aur Northern Ireland mein elections ho rahe thay. Labour Party opinion polls mein aage hai aur Conservative Party ko girane ka imkaan hai, jise Prime Minister Rishi Sunak lead kar rahe hain.

Forex market trading ke mutabiq, British pound ne 2024 ke general election mein achi performance dikhai hai, lekin 10pm par exit poll ke elan ke waqt kuch volatility aasakti hai. Exit poll Thursday raat ko 10pm par ek bara waqt hoga kyun ke yeh ziada tar accurate andaza deta hai ke agla Prime Minister kaun hoga aur uska control kitna mazboot hoga. Base case ke tor par, agar Keir Starmer ki Labour Party ko bari jeet milti hai, to hum expect karte hain ke pound mein izafa hoga jab yeh natija confirm ho jata hai.

Currencies ko certainty pasand hoti hai, aur ek bari Labour jeet sterling exchange rates mein baqi rahne wale risk premium ko khatam kar degi, chahe yeh kitna bhi chhota ho. Barclays Bank ke mutabiq, “British general elections is haftay ka main focus hain, aur ziada tar plausible scenarios, jo ke available opinion polls ke mutabiq hain, pound ki mazeed taqat ko stimulate karte hain.” Is leehaz se, Barclays pound ko euro ke against buy kar raha hai, jo ke French election ke natije ke baad limited recovery dikhayega.

Latest large-scale YouGov poll ke mutabiq, Conservatives sirf 102 MPs tak ghatte nazar aate hain, jo ke party ne pichlay 5 saal mein jeeti hui seats ka 70% kho dene ka matlab hai, aur Labour ko 1832 ke baad se apni sabse bari aksariyat milegi. Deutsche Bank ke Gopal ka andaza hai ke agar Labour achi performance dikhati hai, to pound ki rate ziada tabdeel nahi hogi, aur “EUR/GBP ka risk premium zyada rates par mabni rahega.”

Lekin agar Conservatives opinion polls se behtar karti hain, to yeh sterling ke liye tail risk ho sakta hai, jo ke mumkin hai kyun ke kai voters ab tak faisla nahi kar paye. Agar hung parliament hota hai – jisme koi party aksariyat nahi jeetti – to yeh uncertainty peda karega, jis se sterling kamzor hosakta hai. Yeh sochte hue, pound-euro exchange rate 1.18 se neeche gir sakta hai. Agar French election bhi hung legislature ka natija deta hai, to phir 1.1750 aur 1.17 ke midpoints tak ka rasta saaf hoga. Issi waqt, GBP/USD exchange rate wapas 1.27 tak gir sakti hai, lekin hum samajhte hain ke US ka jobs report Friday ko final asar dalega.

Sterling Dollar ka aaj ka forecast:

Aaj ke US jobs numbers ka reaction GBP/USD ke liye is haftay ke trading ka closing price tay karega, jo ke ek bullish weekly close ke qareeb hai. Jaise pehle zikar kiya, resistance 1.2775 bulls ke control mein wapas anay ke liye sabse important station hai, aur daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, price resistance levels 1.2830 aur 1.2900 tak pohonch sakti hai. Doosri taraf, agar price wapas 1.2660 ke support area tak jati hai, to yeh upward rebound ke liye khatra hai.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Price Action Breakdown GBP/USD apne aakhri waqt mein U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot hota ja raha hai, jo ek aham rukh hai dekhne ke liye. GBP/USD ke four-hour chart par yeh upward movement puri tarah se chal rahi hai, aur buying opportunities kaafi favorable lag rahi hain. Maine kuch signals identify kiye hain jo long positions ke liye positive hain.
MACD histogram ne negative zone se shift hotey hue zero level ko cross kiya hai aur ab positive territory mein hai. Agar yeh movement 50% se zyada hoti hai aur open long position profitable ban jaati hai, toh stop-loss ko breakeven par le jaana samajdari hai. Halankeh order book mein dekhi gayi selling wave is growth ko support karti hai, lekin yeh abhi tak clear nahi hai ke price kitna upar ja sakta hai. Zyada volumes dekhne ko mile hain, jo aage ke development ke liye zyada space nahi chhodte. Buying momentum ab dheere dheere kam ho raha hai, aur price ab aise lag raha hai ke additional purchases ke liye bohot high hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pair jald hi reversal karega.

Market ke nazar mein, traders ko British pound ke liye koi achhe entry points nahi dikh rahe hain, lekin unka rukh bearish correction ki taraf hai. Asset price is waqt ek significant weekly liquidity level 1.3401 ke aas-paas test kar raha hai, jo shayad Asian trading session ke doran ho raha hai. Trader ko umeed hai ke correction opposite liquidity areas 1.3238 aur 1.3222 ke aas-paas aayegi, jinko unhoon ne pehle highlight kiya tha. Ab wo market close ka intezar kar rahe hain taake dekhein ke Asian traders kaise respond karte hain.

Maujooda growth speculative lagti hai, jo Britain mein economic decline aur U.S. ki economic strength se driven hai. Technically, agar resistance line tooti hai toh ye further buying opportunities ka signal ho sakta hai, lekin trader ka rukh ab bhi ek aur rebound ki taraf hai jo corrective decline ko trigger kar sakta hai, shayad 1.3366 tak.

GBP/USD pair ne American session ke dusre hise mein lagataar growth dekhi hai, jo trader ki analysis ko galat sabit karti hai. Unhoon ne 1.3401 level se rebound aur baad mein corrective decline ki tawaqqo ki thi, lekin asal mein unhoon ne sell trade mein entry ki aur phir bhi upward momentum dekha. Price steady rise par hai, jo upward-trending channel bana raha hai. Yeh recent movement ka exact sabab clear nahi hai, lekin lagta hai ke ek major player choti dips par asset ko khareed raha hai, jo price ko upar le ja raha hai. Yeh growth jo 6:31 PM Moscow time se shuru hui, shayad northward channel ke upper limit tak, jo 1.3431 ke aas-paas hai, c

GBP/USD Price Analysis

Jo ne chouthi consecutive din ke liye apne losses ko barhaya hai, aur critical level 1.3200 ke neeche chali gayi hai. Ye giraawat August mein 400-pip ke significant rally ke baad hui, jab bearish momentum wapas aaya, jo further price gains ke expectations ko kam kar raha hai. Halankeh UK se koi major economic data nahi aaya, lekin pair par stronger US economic figures ka asar pada, jis se price 1.3160 tak gir gayi, jo ke 0.69% ki giraawat hai.

UK Budget Outlook ka Pound Sterling par Asar

UK ke Prime Minister Keir Starmer ke comments upcoming financial budget par pound ki performance ko bhi asar andaz kar rahe hain. Starmer ne indicate kiya ke October ka budget short-term pain par long-term gain par focus karega, jo ke higher taxes ka sugerstion deta hai, khaaskar un households ke liye jinki aamdani zyada hai. Ye ehtiyaati fiscal outlook British Pound ki appeal ko barhane mein madadgar raha hai, halankeh market mazeed developments par nazar rakhti hai.

US Economic Data ka Greenback par Asar

Stronger-than-anticipated US economic data ne jo ki recent giraawat mein significant contribution diya hai. Revised report ne dikhaya ke US economy 3% ki growth dikhate hue, pehle ke estimate 2.8% se zyada hai, jo iski resilience ko highlight karta hai. Ye positive growth figure recession ke concerns ko kam karne mein madadgar raha, jo pehle disappointing jobs report ke wajah se uth raha tha, jis ne labor demand mein slowdown aur unemployment rate mein izafa dikhaya.

Job Market Data aur GBP/USD par Asar

Latest Initial Jobless Claims, jo August 23 ko khatam hui, 231,000 par aaye, jo ke 232,000 ke expectations ke kareeb hain aur pichli release 233,000 se halka behtar hai. Ye figures US labor market ki taqat ko mazid barhawa dete hain, jo Greenback ki appeal ko barhata hai aur GBP/USD pair par additional pressure dalta hai.

GBP/USD Technical Outlook: Key Levels ko Dekhne ki Zarurat

Technically, GBP/USD pair 1.3140 level ko test kar sakta hai, jo ke support area ban sakta hai. Jo 1.3100 se 1.3222 ke narrow range mein trade kar rahi hai, aur jab ke ye ab tak 1.3120 mark ko breach nahi kiya, lekin 1.3110 ko bhi test nahi kiya. Pichle hafte ke end se aayi rally ab rukti hui lag rahi hai, traders short term mein range-bound movement ki umeed rakh rahe hain jab tak 1.3105 ke neeche decisive break nahi hota, jo ye indicate kar sakta hai ke recent GBP strength apne aakhri marahil par hai.

GBP/USD Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators yeh darshate hain ke market ab sellers ki taraf jhukh raha hai. Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ne overbought territory se peeche hat kar critical 70 level ke neeche gir gaya hai. Ye tabdeeli jo ki do din ki pullback mein contribute ki hai, aur ab GBP/USD current exchange rates ke nazdeek trade kar raha hai.

Halankeh pullback ke bawajood, jo apne 50-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar hai, jo 1.3110 ke kareeb hai. Ye is baat ka ishara hai ke overall long-term trend ab bhi bullish ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Kal European Core CPI Rate mein koi izafa nahi hua. Lekin buyers ne 1.3415 level ko breakout ke sath successfully cross kiya. Neeche diye gaye chart ke mutabiq, buyers ke paas bullish aur bearish dono nazariyat hain. Buyers ne pichle hafte mein jo nuksan uthaya tha, usay pura recover kar liya hai. Ye situation technical tor par buyers ke liye behtar hai. Lekin sellers ab bhi is support zone 1.3405 par optimistic hain. Wapas aane ke liye unhein 1.3390 level ke neeche rehna hoga. Mujhe lagta hai ke is hafte EUR currency mazboot rahegi. Buyers ne naye range 1.3450 ko successfully cross kiya hai. Daily micro economic calendar mein koi khabar nahi hai. Humein asal market faislay ko samajhne ke liye technical analysis par rely karna hoga. Is naye market scenario ke natije mein, buyers is waqt mazboot hote ja rahe hain. Magar aane wale din unke liye mushkil ho sakte hain kyunki buyers ek baar phir overbought level tak pahunch gaye hain. Aaj ki buy position ka take profit point 1.3380 hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke GBP/USD market meri analysis aur predictions ko effectively follow karega.

GBP/USD currency pair ne Friday ko Asian trading session ke doran ek temporary pullback ka samna kiya, jo ke March 2022 ke baad se apne sab se unche levels se neeche aaya. Ye girawat kuch had tak ek mazboot US dollar ki wajah se thi, jo key inflation data ke release se pehle momentum hasil kar raha tha. Jabke market Federal Reserve se monetary policy mein continues easing ki umeed rakhta hai, haal ki economic data aur Fed officials ke bayanon ne November mein zyada aggressive rate cut ki umeedon ko kam kar diya hai. Isne US dollar ko kuch support diya hai, jis se iski gains ko limit kiya gaya.

Is darmiyan, pound sterling ko is umeed ka faida mila hai ke Bank of England ka interest rate cuts ka pace Federal Reserve se aahista hoga. Ye, Chinese government ke stimulus measures ke sath mil kar, global risk sentiment ko support kar raha hai aur British currency ko boost de raha hai.

GBP/USD: A Roadmap to Successful Trading

Hamari guftagu ka markaz GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ki real-time evaluation hai. Margin trading system mein trend abhi buy hai, lekin kuch specific rules aaj GBP/USD ki trading ko restrict karte hain. Kisi bhi move se pehle, buyers ya sellers se clear signals ka intezar karna zaroori hai. Main abhi bhi is system ka jaiza le raha hoon, isliye main iske signals par nazar nahi rakhta.

Mujhe umeed hai ke downward movement aayegi (halankeh is bias ke liye mere paas koi technical ya fundamental evidence nahi hai). Main fundamental analysis se lagbhag puri tarah disconnect ho chuka hoon aur kabhi kabhi hi economic calendars check karta hoon. Lekin, mujhe umeed hai ke U.S. dollar jald hi mazboot hoga. Medium se long term mein, main dekh raha hoon ke U.S. dollar kaafi kamzor hoga.

Main sabr se intezar kar raha hoon ke pair meri target price 1.2779 tak gir jaaye, taake mere trading goals poore ho sakein.

GBP/USD and EUR/USD Morning Outlook

Aaj subah, GBP/USD aur EUR/USD ka outlook kaafi milta-julta hai, jahan buyers kal ki losses se ubharne ki koshish kar rahe hain. M15 chart par, GBP buyers 1.3224 ke low se upward push shuru karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Jab critical resistance level 1.3293 ko retest kiya gaya aur break kiya gaya, to bulls ke paas ek significant bullish retracement stage karne ka behtar mauka hai.

Agar price is line ke upar stabilize hoti hai, to pehle impulse zones ki taraf 1.3329 aur 1.3352 ki taraf further growth mumkin hai, lekin ye levels naye downward corrections ko bhi janam de sakte hain. Ek alternative scenario ye hai ke GBP/USD 1.3279 ke RIS support ke neeche gir jaye, jo kal ke low par wapas jaane ki koshish karega, lekin is hone ki sambhavna kaafi had tak geopolitical developments par depend karti hai.

Kal, price 1.3246 par ruk gayi, jo daily chart par middle Bollinger Band ke kareeb hai. Jabke kisi definitive conclusion tak pahunchnana abhi jaldi hai, agar aaj reversal doji pattern banta hai, to price 1.3425 par wapas aa sakti hai aur shayad us resistance ko bhi tod de.

BP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain

Technical Analysis of GBP/USD
Sterling ne last trading week me apna growth continue rakha aur naye local highs tak pohanch gaya, magar usay kafi resistance face karna para jiski wajah se upward momentum slow ho gaya. Jab price ne 1.3292 level ke upar consolidation kiya, to pair ne rebound kiya aur 1.3427 level tak pohanch gaya jahan usay ek strong resistance mila jo aur ziada growth ko rok raha hai. Is tarah expected growth partically achieve hui, magar target area abhi bhi intact hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart super trendy green zone me trade kar raha hai jo buyers ke control ko indicate karta hai.

Agar hum aaj ka 4-hour chart dekhein, to 50-day simple moving average support kar raha hai ke trend wapas upward ho, jab ke intraday trading mazid 1.3300 ke upar stable hai. Is liye, aglay kuch ghanton me uptrend ka resumption possible hai. Target abhi bhi 1.3410 hai, aur agar is level ke upar break ho gaya to gains aur ziada increase ho sakte hain, jisse short term me price 1.3480 tak ja sakti hai. Lekin agar trading wapas 1.3300 ya 1.3290 ke niche chali gayi, to pair downward correction resume kar sakta hai jahan initial target 1.3245 hoga.



Is waqt pair weekly high ke thoda upar trade kar raha hai. Key support areas abhi test nahi hue aur hold kar rahe hain, jo upward movement ki importance ko highlight karte hain. Ager price ko mazid higher jana hai to isay 1.3292 ke upar consolidate karna hoga jo ab ek key support area ke border pe hai. Agar is level ka retest hone ke baad bounce hota hai, to sustained advance ka mauqa milega towards target area 1.3500 aur 1.3646 ke darmiyan.

Lekin agar support break hoti hai aur price 1.3170 pivot level ke niche chali gayi, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

GBP/USD currency pair ne Wednesday ko thodi si girawat ke sath trading jari rakhi. Yeh humein koi hairani nahi hui, kyunke British pound euro ke muqable mein ziyada overbought aur unjustifiably mehnga hai. 2024 mein euro ne kabhi kabar corrections dekhi hain, lekin aisa lagta hai ke pound ne yeh option abhi tak nahi liya. Isliye, jo girawat humein pehle teen hafton mein dekhne ko mili, yeh sirf minimum girawat thi jo ho sakti thi. Hum samajhte hain ke British currency ka girna aur U.S. dollar ka barhna medium term mein lagbhag har scenario mein jari rehna chahiye.
Kal sirf ek report worth noting thi, jo ADP report thi regarding non-farm payrolls ka tabadla, jisne U.S. session ke doran dollar ko thoda mazid barhne mein madad di. Iske ilawa, ye bhi zaroori hai ke hum yaad rakhein ke is hafte UK ka GDP report second quarter ke liye expect se bura aaya tha. Isliye, currency pair ke paas girawat ko jari rakhne ke kai wajahein hain. Lekin market jaldi mein nahi hai aur Non-Farm Payrolls aur unemployment reports ka intezar kar raha hai. Badqismati se dollar ke liye, yeh dono reports is hafte ki uski progress ko negate kar sakti hain.

Wednesday ko kai trading signals bane, lekin sab ghalat sabit hue. Price ne baar baar ya to Senkou Span B line ko breach kiya ya phir wahan se bounce kiya aur aakhir mein neeche settle ho gaya. Is tarah, traders sirf pehle do signals ke sath kaam kar sakte thay. Sell trade ne choti si loss ke sath close kiya, jabke buy trade ko choti si profit ke sath close kiya ja sakta tha. Hourly time frame par, GBP/USD pair ne girawat shuru kar di hai. Upward trend cancel ho chuka hai, aur ab hum sirf ek solid aur lambay arse tak British currency ki girawat ki tawaqo kar sakte hain. Yaqeenan, market ek baar phir se British pound ki unjustified buying shuru kar sakta hai, lekin dobara batate chalain ke is ke liye koi fundamental ya macroeconomic reasons nahi hain. Isliye, hum ab bhi GBP/USD pair ki girawat ko hi pasand karte hain.

October 3 ke liye, hum kuch important levels highlight karte hain: 1.2796-1.2816, 1.2863, 1.2981-1.2987, 1.3050, 1.3119, 1.3175, 1.3222, 1.3273, 1.3367, 1.3439. Senkou Span B line (1.3288) aur Kijun-sen line (1.3334) bhi signal sources ke tor par kaam kar sakti hain. Stop Loss ko break even par set karna jab price 20 pips intended direction mein move kare, recommended hai. Ichimoku indicator lines din ke doran shift ho sakti hain, jisse trade signals ko samajhne mein madad milegi

Hello doston, aap kaise hain? GBP/USD pair Tuesday ke din 1.3370 ke qareeb struggle kar rahi hai. Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke dovish remarks ne greenback ko thodi support di aur pair ko neeche le aaye. GBP/USD 12 September se ek rising regression channel mein hai aur 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index 60 ke qareeb hai, jo ek bullish bias ko reflect karta hai. Upside par, 1.3440 (ascending channel ka midpoint) agla resistance ho sakta hai, uske baad 1.3500 (round level) aur 1.3520 (ascending channel ki upper limit) ho sakti hai. Neeche dekhein to support 1.3375 (ascending channel ki lower limit), 1.3330 (50-period simple moving average) aur 1.3300 (round level) par mil sakta hai.
GBP/USD ne Friday ko choti losses record ki, lekin phir bhi dosray hafte mein positive region mein end kiya. Monday ke din early trading mein pair apni position qaim rakhta hai aur 1.3400 ke upar trade kar raha hai. Nai hafte ke shuru mein US Dollar par selling pressure GBP/USD ko ooper dhakel raha hai.
Friday ko US Bureau of Economic Analysis ne data release kiya ke core personal consumption expenditures price index August mein month-over-month basis par 0.1 percent bara, jo ke expected 0.2 percent gain se zyada tha. Dusri taraf, Britain ki Office for National Statistics ne yeh announce kiya ke second quarter ke liye annual gross domestic product growth 0.7 percent par revise ki gayi hai, jo pehle reported 0.9 percent se neeche hai. In figures ne koi khaas market reaction trigger nahi kiya. Baad mein, US session ke dauran, Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell National Association for Business Economics ke annual meeting mein economic outlook par baat karenge. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, market yeh dekh raha hai ke November ke next policy meeting mein Fed ke 25 basis points ka rate cut karne ke 50% chances hain. Market positioning yeh suggest karti hai ke US dollar ke neeche jaane ke risks hain. Agar Powell ek aur bara rate cut ke liye rasta khula rakhtay hain, toh USD apne major rivals ke against kamzor ho sakta hai.

Institute for Supply Management (ISM) ki taraf se raat ko jaari ki gayi strong economic activity report service sector mein mazid growth ka ishara deti hai. Halanke unemployment claims thodi barh gayi hain, magar yeh phir bhi normal hadon mein hain. Kyunke pehle non-farm labor ke hawale se ADP report ne bhi kaafi acha izafa dikhaya tha. Agar in data ko milaya jaye, toh aaj raat ko aane wali NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) report ke expectations ko 147K se zyada paar karne ka imkaan hai, jo USD ko is hafte ke doran apne bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ka moqa dega. Agar weekly chart dekha jaye, toh USDX ka weekly basis par 102.00 se upar close karne ka imkaan hai. Daily chart (jo ke left side par hai) mein yeh wazeh hai ke GBP/USD market ne 1.3212 - 1.3156 ke yellow base area ke neechay close kiya hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke market ke paas 1.3000 level ke significant support ki taraf girne ka bara imkaan hai. Is price level se market mein strong buyer reaction ke zariye ek bounce hone ka bara imkaan hai, kyunke yahaan strong support zone hai, jo ke lower BB aur Purple EMA100 ke darmiyan hai. Iske ilawa, yeh area wo lowest swing hai jab price 1.3430 ki taraf upar jaane wala tha, toh isko future trading ke liye buying ke liye rujhan banaya ja sakta hai. Lekin, Daily Red EMA200 ki taraf mazeed girawat ka imkaan bhi khula hai, magar iske liye zaroori shart yeh hai ke 1.3000 ke gray support ka solid tor hona zaroori hai. Filhaal, market ka bearish rujhan barqarar hai, is liye agar koi upward correction hoti hai aur yellow resistance ke 1.3156 tak pohanchti hai, toh yeh ek acha waqt hoga sell option ko open karne ke liye. Daily basis par sell scenario ko H4 basis par bhi support milta hai. Pehle se hi ek bearish signal momentum sell candlestick ki shakal mein nazar aya jo lower BB ko poori taqat ke sath tor gaya, isliye downward movement impulsive thi. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke overall price quotation Red EMA200 se neeche hai, isliye medium-term trend reversal ka imkaan kam hai. Is assumption ke madde nazar, jab price upar uthegi toh yeh sirf ek correction hogi aur hum sell karne ke liye tayar hain. Mere khayal mein behtareen sell location green resistance 1.3169 ke qareeb hai, jo pehle ki Daily basis par re-entry sell area ke mutabiq hai. Is tarah ka sync analysis hamein zyada confidence deta hai. Aaj ke trading plan ke mutabiq, GBPUSD ko 1.3160 - 1.3170 ke aas-paas sell karna behtareen rahega, jiska profit target blue support 1.3000 par rakha jaye.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza liya gaya hai. Abhi ke liye yeh pair upar ki taraf ja raha hai, aur agar hum daily chart dekhein toh yeh kuch dinon se sideways movement dikhata hai. Ahem sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh bullish aur sideways trend barqarar rahega ya phir koi tabdeeli dekhne ko milegi. Aaj ke technical outlook ko dekhtay hain. Moving averages aur technical indicators dono hi buy ka mashwara de rahe hain. Abhi tak koi wazeh faisla nahi kiya gaya hai. UK se kuch zaroori updates aaye hain, lekin wo neutral lag rahi hain. Jabke US se aane wali khabrein zyada optimistic hain, aur kuch ahem updates baqi hain. Is hawale se, yeh pair apni upward momentum ko barqarar rakhega, aur 1.3259 ke resistance level tak buying ka imkaan hai. Agar selling hoti hai, toh yeh support level 1.3179 tak ja sakti hai. Bullish trend ka imkaan zyada hai, aur sideways pattern se breakout expected lag raha hai.
Aaj, yeh pair sharply bara, apna target hit kar ke reverse hua. Chart dikhata hai ke pair ne resistance level 1.3254 ko test kiya, phir pull back kiya, aur ab 1.3203 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. RSI neutral hai lekin upar ki taraf dekh raha hai, jabke Awesome Oscillator (AO) sell signal de raha hai. Pair abhi tak kal ke trading range ke andar hai, lekin indicators potential growth ki taraf ishara karte hain. Main expect karta hoon ke 1.3254 resistance level ka dobara test hoga, aur mumkin hai ke 1.33 range tak break ho. Halat abhi kuch zyada optimistic nahi hain. Buyers ka momentum kamzor lag raha hai, halanke din promising shuru hua tha. GBP/USD abhi tight range mein chal raha hai, jo 1.3139 aur 1.3262 ke darmiyan hai. Agar pair 1.3199 se upar reh sakta hai, toh mazeed upward movement ho sakti hai. Magar aaj ka ahem point 1.3262 resistance ko break karna hai, jo naye highs ka rasta khol sakta hai. Agar pair 1.3139 se neeche chala gaya, toh short-term downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai, aur yeh 1.2999 tak gir sakta hai.
Aaj ke liye, agar hum 4-hour chart par technical nazar daalain, toh hum dekhte hain ke pair ko 1.3130 ke breakout resistance ke upar temporary support mil raha hai, aur 50-day moving average bhi price ko support kar raha hai. Average moving average dobara neeche move hui hai. Isliye, agle chand ghanton mein uptrend ka imkaan hai, jisme pehla target 1.3180 ka hoga. Yeh growth ko barhane ke liye ek channel khol sakta hai jo ke 1.3210 aur 1.3230 tak jaye ga. Yaad rahe ke agar trading 1.3130 ke neeche aur sirf 1.3100 ke upar rahti hai, toh pair ki downward correction dobara shuru ho sakti hai, jisme targets 1.3065 aur 1.3040 se start honge. Niche chart dekhain:
Iss waqt pair weekly highs se thoda upar trade kar raha hai. Large support areas test ki gayi hain, aur barhti hui tension ke bawajood, unhone apni integrity barqarar rakhi hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke upward vector ki ahmiyat hai. Growth ko barqarar rakhne ke liye price ko 1.3082 ke upar mazid taqat hasil karni hogi, jo ke main support area ki sarhad hai. Agar yeh area dobara test hone ke baad rebound hota hai, toh mazeed growth ka imkaan hoga aur price target area jo 1.3427 aur 1.3500 ke darmiyan hai, us tak pohnch sakti hai.

wednesday ko us dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hua jab us inflation data release hui, jis ne yeh suggest kiya ke federal reserve ab sooch samajh kar interest rate cuts karegi. cpi overall expectation ke mutabiq barhi, lekin core cpi, jo ke food aur energy ke ilawa hoti hai, thodi ziada barhi jo anticipate ki gayi thi. yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mehngai ke pressure abhi bhi zyada hai, jo ke fed ki ability ko aggressively rates cut karne se rok sakti hai. iss data ke nateeje mein, fed ki aane wali meeting mein 50 basis point rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jab ke 25 basis point cut puri tarah se priced in hai. iss shift ne us dollar ko support diya, jis ne strength hasil ki jab investors ne kam dovish fed ke umeed rakhi. gbp/usd ne apna downward trend resume kar liya early european trade mein, aur ek key support level ko tod diya. ager girawat jaari rahi, toh selling pressure april-july ke uptrend ke 23.6% fibonacci retracement aur 20-day simple moving average ki taraf barh sakta hai. agar downside momentum jaari raha, toh bearish cycle lower support levels tak barh sakti hai, jin mein 38.2% fibonacci level aur 50-day moving average bhi shamil hai. technically, gbp/usd ka short-term outlook bearish hai. rsi aur stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf muft rahe hain, jab ke macd red signal line ke neeche break kar chuki hai. lekin moving averages ki upward slope yeh suggest karti hai ke current bearish wave larger uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai. yeh factors ke ilawa bhi kai aur factors hain jo gbp/usd ko near term mein influence kar sakte hain. in sab complex factors ki waja se, short-term mein gbp/usd ka move predict karna mushkil hai. lekin current bearish trend se yeh risk pata chalta hai ke near future mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. lekin doosre events aur factors bhi bulls ko dubara support kar sakte hain. market behavior ya sentiment ko analyze karte rehna chahiye taake galtiyon se bacha ja sake aur usko puri tarah samjha ja sake. market sentiment aksar price movements ko drive karta hai, aur usko samajhne se participants ko edge mil sakti hai. sentiment analysis ka ek important hissa yeh hai ke samjha jaye ke doosre participants kis tarah position liye hue hain aur woh mukhtalif price levels par kis tarah react kar sakte hain. jab bulls resistance ko test karne ki koshish karenge, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market mein strong consensus hai ya phir indecision ke signs hain

GBP/USD ke halia market halat ke mutabiq British pound ne 1.2900 level se rebound ke baad ek confident ascending price channel bana liya hai, jahan pound/dollar pair ab 1.3350 par trade kar raha hai. H4 timeframe par hum dekhte hain ke ek reversal candle (pin bar) ka formation bhi hua hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai ke northern channel ke lower boundary se price thodi qareeb hai, lekin abhi 60-80 points ka farq hai. Is waqt ya to current levels se ya phir support line ke south mein entry ke zariye, main decline wave ke khatam hone aur ek nai growth wave ke banne ka intezar kar raha hoon. Yeh growth wave, ascending channel mein teesri wave hogi, jo sabse taqatwar bhi ho sakti hai. Main ne liquidity level 1.3585 par exit karne ka faisla kiya, jo main pehle posts mein discuss kar chuka tha. Broader uptrend ko dekhte huye, yeh H4 timeframe ka pehla liquidity point tha, jahan se price ka mazeed growth ho sakta tha. Jab price ne is level ko break kiya, to yeh mere liye structural breakdown ka signal nahi tha, balkay sirf trading range ko 1.3470 tak expand karne ka ishara tha. Agla liquidity level 1.3620 par hai, jo ek downward move ka possibility de sakta hai. Magar, abhi price 1.3650 ke liquid area mein trade kar raha hai, jahan se ek upward reaction bhi aasakti hai. Abhi tak yeh unclear hai ke hum neeche jainge ya iss level se correct karenge, magar main 1.3410 ke broken liquidity level ke response par focus kar raha hoon, jahan 120 points ka target hai.Market ab bearish phase mein ja raha hai, aur price 1.3400 par chal raha hai. GBP/USD ka price movement pattern pichlay chand dinon se bearish pressure ka samna kar raha hai, jahan H4 timeframe par kai resistance levels ko cross kiya gaya. Agla bearish trend ka target 1.3700 zone ko break karne ki koshish kar sakta hai. Jabke price abhi market consolidation phase mein atka hua hai. Is month ke aghaz se market conditions mein jo cheez interesting rahi hai, wo yeh ke sellers ne prices ko neeche lane ki koshish ki hai. Prices abhi bearish hain, kyunke trade start se sell ho rahi hai, jo ke last week's sellers ko 1.3174 ke support position tak le ja sakta hai.

main ju aj technical picture describe kar raha hun wo GBP/USD currency pair ke behavior par focus karta hai, khaas tor par 1.3300 aur 1.3410 ke key levels par. 4-hour chart par 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ek ahm role ada kar raha hai, jo price ko support kar raha hai aur uptrend ko barqarar rakhnay mein madad kar raha hai. 50-day SMA ko forex traders aksar use kartay hain kyun ke yeh price data ko smooth karta hai aur ek updated average price banata hai. Jab price is SMA ke upar hoti hai, to yeh is baat ki nishani hoti hai ke market ka uptrend abhi tak intact hai.Intraday trading, yani din mein buying aur selling ka amal, 1.3300 ke key level ke upar ho raha hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke prices mein din bhar fluctuation ke bawajood, price is level ke upar hi stay kar rahi hai, jo indicate karta hai ke market mazeed gains ki taraf ja sakta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf barhta rahta hai, to yeh 1.3410 ka target achieve kar sakta hai.1.3410 ka level ek potential breakout point mana ja raha hai. Agar price is point ke upar chali jati hai, to yeh mazid strong upward momentum ka signal ho sakta hai, jisme agla target 1.3480 tak ho sakta hai. Yeh 1.3410 ka resistance level kaafi important hai, yani price shuru mein is level ko cross karne mein mushkil mehsoos karega, lekin agar yeh cross ho jata hai to market mein aur bhi bara gain dekhne ko mil sakta hai.Lekin agar price wapis 1.3300 ke level se neeche chali jati hai, khaas tor par 1.3290 ke neeche, to yeh uptrend ke weak hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Is surat mein downward correction ka intezar hai, jisme price girna shuru ho sakti hai. Neeche ka target kareeban 1.3245 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. jab tak price 1.3300 ke upar rahti hai, uptrend continue rehnay ki umeed hai, aur aglay targets 1.3410 aur 1.3480 ho sakte hain. Lekin agar price 1.3300 aur khaas tor par 1.3290 se neeche chali jati hai, to downward correction shuru ho sakti hai, jo price ko 1.3245 tak le ja sakti hai. Traders in levels ko ghaur se dekh rahay hain kyun ke yeh market ke direction ke bare mein zaroori clues dete hain.