جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Aaj maine GBP/USD market pair ka jaiza liya kyun ke ye agle haftay ke liye aik trading option ho sakta hai. 4-hour ke chart pe jo observations hain, wo Monday ko guzra hua haftay ka market ka halat dikhati hain. Market ne 1.3311 ke price zone se apna safar shuru kiya aur 1.3433 tak uthne ki koshish ki. Halankeh bohot zyada nahi, lekin rising trend Thursday tak qaim raha, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke upar jane ka silsila rukne wala nahi. Guzishta haftay ke market halat ko dekha jaye, tou optimism ka rujhan barqarar hai. Market mein bullish rally ka safar last week ke trading session mein zyadah range ke sath dekhne ko mila; jis ka natija ye hai ke is haftay tak price thori barh gayi thi lekin Saturday raat ko correct ho gayi. Jaisa ke maine pehle kaha, buyer ke control ka ishara hai. Journal ko update karte waqt, price momentarily 1.3370 pe ruk gayi thi. Yeh lagta hai ke buyer, jo ab bhi strong position mein hai, ne price ko guzra hua mahine ke lowest zone se bullish territory mein dhak diya hai pichle do haftay se. Mera khayal hai ke USD/JPY pair apni bullish market trajectory agle haftay qaim rakhega. Agar aap trend pattern ko guzishta chand hafton ka dekhein, tou market uptrend mein hai lekin kam range ke sath. Rally ka growth dheere se ho raha hai aur narrow range mein hai, is liye aglay haftay bhi is mein barhawa dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jab price upar ki taraf chalne ki koshish karegi. Aaj subah jo candlestick close hui, usne market trend ke climb ke liye umeed dikhayi hai, halankeh ye abhi downward correction mein hai aur period 100 simple moving average zone ke upar hai. Agar buyer 1.3402 ke price zone ko tor deta hai tou aglay haftay ke trading session mein bullish trend market pe dominate kar sakta hai.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S

G B P / U S D


Good morning, sab forex traders aur readers. Umeed hai aap sab khair maqdam hain. Aaj hum GBP/USD market ki price action par guftagu karenge. GBP/USD ka chart dikhata hai ke GBP/USD ne Tuesday ko $1.3370 ko touch kiya. Filhal GBP/USD ka trading price 1.3370 hai. GBP/USD bearish nazar aa raha hai kyunki is chart ke mutabiq, GBP/USD is waqt ek strong bearish trend mein hai.
Market Sentiment


Kul mila kar, zyada log GBP/USD bech rahe hain na ke kharid rahe hain. Is waqt, Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators GBP/USD ke liye sell signal de rahe hain. MACD ek bearish signal dikha raha hai kyunki signal line ya slow line zero line ya midline ke neeche hai.
Indicators

• Relative Strength Index (RSI): Is waqt 39.3394 hai jo bearish territory mein hai aur bearish momentum dikhata hai.
• Moving Average Indicator: Is chart mein GBP/USD ke liye sell signal de raha hai.

Support aur Resistance Levels


Agar GBP/USD 1.3312 ke support ko tor deta hai, jo ke primary level hai, toh GBP/USD aur neeche gir sakta hai takreeban 1.3227 ya 1.3156 tak. Lekin agar GBP/USD 1.3432 ke resistance ko torne mein kamyab hota hai, jo ke primary level hai, toh GBP/USD aur mazid takreep 1.3932 ya phir 1.4543 tak jaanay ki sambhavna hai.
Closing Remark


Aap sab ko ek kamiyab weekend ki dua!
Indicators used in the chart:

• MACD Indicator
• RSI Indicator (Period 14)
• 50-day Exponential Moving Average (Color: Orange)
• 20-day Exponential Moving Average (Color: Magenta)

Technical indicators ke ilawa, support aur resistance ke key levels ka dehan rakhna bhi zaroori hai. Aapko 1.3230 ka region observe karna chahiye jo ke sab se qareebi resistance level hai. Agar price is level ko achi volume ke sath breach kar le, toh is baat ka imkaan hai ke price 1.3500 tak ya us se bhi ooper ja sakti hai. Doosri taraf, agar market mein correction ya selling pressure aata hai, toh qareebi support level 1.2990 ke aas paas hai, jo ek significant area ho sakta hai. Fibonacci retracement bhi istimaal kar sakte hain is research ko support karne ke liye. 61.8% retracement level, swing low se swing high tak, 1.2200 ke region mein located hai, jo ke ek aham support level bhi hai. Agar price neeche jaata hai, toh yeh ek achi jagah ho sakti hai buyers ke liye. Bullish rise ke liye pehla target 1.2300 region mein ho sakta hai, jo ke 23.6% retracement level ke aas paas hai. Price ka breakout peechle Daily high ke ooper aur price ka Daily aur H4 timeframes par 20 SMA se uper position hona, technical analysis mein bullish bias ko show karta hai. Technical indicators jaise ke Stochastic, CCI, aur OsMA bhi is bullish bias ko support karte hain. Lekin, price ke aagey barhne se pehle koi chhoti correction ya consolidation zaroor ho sakti hai. Is liye traders ko support aur resistance ke levels ko dekhte rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi unexpected price movements se bachne ke liye risk management ko sahi tareeqe se implement karna chahiye. Akhir mein, technical aspects aur price ka 20 SMA se ooper hona ek mazboot buy opportunity ko show karta hai jo GBP/USD pair ko is haftay ke start mein mil raha hai. Traders ko resistance level par kisi bhi correction ke imkaanaat se hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur trading session ke start mein candlestick pattern ko closely dekhna chahiye. Agar aap achi analysis aur discipline ka riyaasat karte hain, toh profit ke imkaanaat kaafi hain. Umeed hai ke yeh research aap sab dostoon ke liye trading mein achi decisions lene mein madadgar sabit hogi, aur hum sab consistent profits hasil kar sakte hain is haftay. Aap sab ko Monday mubarak ho aur trading mein kaamyabi naseeb ho!

GBP/USD H1 Analysis Assalam-o-Alaikum doston, aaj dopahar mein GBP/USD currency pair ka H1 time frame par analysis karne ki koshish karunga. Guzishta chand dino mein GBP/USD H1 time frame par kaafi pressure mein raha hai aur jab market aaj close hogi, toh yeh currency pair ab bhi upar ya neeche trade kar raha hoga. Is ke baraks, is mein izafa ho sakta hai. Jab market mein bari movement hoti hai, toh hum technical analysis ke zariye GBP/USD currency pair mein entry lene ki koshish karenge.

Mein H1 time frame par trend ko samajhne ke liye moving average indicator period 21 aur moving average indicator period 34 ka bhi istimaal karunga. Filhaal price apne moving average indicators ke upar move kar rahi hai, isliye GBP/USD bullish trend mein hai, jahan yeh agle resistance 1.3264 ke price level tak push karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai.

Kal Friday ko GBP/USD market pair par sellers ka zyada control tha, jo ke buyers ke bullish trend ko resistance area 1.3153-1.3150 ke neeche rokne mein kaamyab rahe. Yeh resistance area sellers ne mazbooti se defend kiya, jis se price neeche bearish move karne lagi, halankeh yeh distance ziada bara nahi tha, lekin sellers ka control zyada dikhai diya.

Daily time frame par Moving Average indicator ke zariye dekha jaye, toh price ab bhi Red MA 50 area 1.2954-1.2956 ke upar hai, aur bullish candlesticks dobara dominate kar rahi hain. Lekin, strong seller determination ki wajah se jab market close hogi, toh sellers ke paas bearish move ko continue karne ka moqa ho sakta hai. Unka target hoga ke price ko buyer support area 1.3035-1.3033 ke neeche le jayein, aur agar yeh level break ho gaya, toh Red MA 50 area tak raste khul sakte hain.

Monday ke trading session mein ab bhi bearish trend continue hone ke chances hain, jab tak sellers prices ko apne resistance area ke neeche rakhe hue hain. Bearish seller ka pehla target buyer support area 1.3104-1.3102 hoga, aur agar yeh level validly break ho gaya, toh agla target buyer demand support area 1.3055-1.3053 hoga.

USD trend line ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market par selling pressure bohat zyada hai. Trend line ke neeche break hone se yeh ek aham resistance level ban gaya hai, jisse bulls ke liye short term mein control wapas lena mushkil ho gaya hai. Yeh confirm karta hai ke sellers ka market par zyada daaboo hai, jo market sentiment ko ab drive kar rahe hain. Sellers ke liye control banaye rakhne aur downward movement ko barhane ke liye, support zone 1.3150 ka break hona zaroori hai. Yeh level buyers ke liye ek aham barrier hai, aur agar price is se neeche break karta hai, to GBP/USD mein aur zyada downside potential ki umeed hai. Is break ke baad sellers ko aur neeche nayi targets ki taraf push karne ka mauka milega, kyun ke technical barriers kam ho jaayenge. Aise scenario mein, kuch aham support levels par nazar rakhni chahiye jo pair ke liye potential targets ban sakte hain. Ek important level daily bull zone hai jo 1.3190 ke qareeb hai, jahan history mein buyers ne price ko reverse kiya tha. Yeh level is liye crucial hai kyun ke yeh pehle strong demand ka point raha hai jab pound is tak pohoncha tha. Lekin, current bearish momentum ke saath, yeh zone ab neeche se retest ho sakti hai, jo support ke bajaye resistance ka kaam kar sakti hai.

Agar pair 1.3150 ka level hold karne mein nakam hota hai, to agla leg neeche 1.3190 zone par support mil sakta hai, lekin bearish sentiment phir bhi rahega. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke agar in levels par koi significant buying pressure aata hai, to decline slow ho sakta hai ya short-term rebound ho sakta hai, lekin trend tab tak bearish rahega jab tak bulls trend line ko reclaim karke price ko resistance levels ke upar push nahi karte.

Nateejatan, current technical setup yeh dikhata hai ke GBP/USD sellers ke control mein hai, aur trend line resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai kisi bhi bullish attempt ke liye. Agar 1.3150 support zone ke neeche break hota hai, to mazeed downside movement confirm hogi, jisme target 1.3190 ka daily bull zone ho sakta hai

Gbp/usd pair ne wednesday ko US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hua jab US inflation data release hui, jis ne yeh suggest kiya ke Federal Reserve ab sooch samajh kar interest rate cuts karegi. CPI overall expectation ke mutabiq barhi, lekin core CPI, jo ke food aur energy ke ilawa hoti hai, thodi ziada barhi jo anticipate ki gayi thi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mehngai ke pressure abhi bhi zyada hai, jo ke Fed ki ability ko aggressively rates cut karne se rok sakti hai. Iss data ke nateeje mein, Fed ki aane wali meeting mein 50 basis point rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jab ke 25 basis point cut puri tarah se priced in hai. Iss shift ne US dollar ko support diya, jis ne strength hasil ki jab investors ne kam dovish Fed ke umeed rakhi. GBP/USD ne apna downward trend resume kar liya early European trade mein, aur ek key support level ko tod diya. Ager girawat jaari rahi, toh selling pressure April-July ke uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day simple moving average ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar downside momentum jaari raha, toh bearish cycle lower support levels tak barh sakti hai, jin mein 38.2% Fibonacci level aur 50-day moving average bhi shamil hai. Technically, GBP/USD ka short-term outlook bearish hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf muft rahe hain, jab ke MACD red signal line ke neeche break kar chuki hai. Lekin moving averages ki upward slope yeh suggest karti hai ke current bearish wave larger uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai. Yeh factors ke ilawa bhi kai aur factors hain jo GBP/USD ko near term mein influence kar sakte hain. In sab complex factors ki waja se, short-term mein GBP/USD ka move predict karna mushkil hai. Lekin current bearish trend se yeh risk pata chalta hai ke near future mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Lekin doosre events aur factors bhi bulls ko dubara support kar sakte hain. Market behavior ya sentiment ko analyze karte rehna chahiye taake galtiyon se bacha ja sake aur usko puri tarah samjha ja sake. Market sentiment aksar price movements ko drive karta hai, aur usko samajhne se participants ko edge mil sakti hai. Sentiment analysis ka ek important hissa yeh hai ke samjha jaye ke doosre participants kis tarah position liye hue hain aur woh mukhtalif price levels par kis tarah react kar sakte hain. Jab bulls resistance ko test karne ki koshish karenge, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market mein strong consensus hai ya phir indecision ke signs hain

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis
GBP/USD currency pair ki recent performance ne kaafi volatility ko showcase kiya hai, jo ke UK aur US ki economic factors se driven hai. Ek aham wajah jo pair ke upward trajectory ko support kar rahi hai, woh hai US dollar ki broader weakness. Hal hi mein, US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne report diya ke US GDP 2024 ke second quarter mein 3.0% se barha, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Yeh data positive tha, lekin dollar ki strength ko barhane ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Iske ilawa, US mein initial jobless claims 218,000 par aa gaye, jo ke labor market ki resilience ko dikhata hai. Lekin, Federal Reserve officials jaise ke Fed Governor Lisa Cook ke dovish remarks ne dollar ke mixed outlook ko janam diya. Cook ne 50 basis point rate cut ka mashwara diya aur "downside risks" ko employment ke hawalay se point out kiya, jo ke Fed ki less aggressive monetary policy ka ishara deti hai. Yeh dovish sentiment dollar ko weak kar raha hai, jis se British pound GBP/USD pair mein mazid faida utha raha hai.

Doosri taraf, UK ne bhi apni resilience dikhayi hai, khaaskar jab Bank of England ki monetary policy par concerns ka izhar kiya gaya tha. British pound ne recent tor par strength gain ki hai, jisse umeed hai ke BoE apna rate-tightening approach zyada arsay tak barkarar rakhe ga, inflationary pressures ke chalte. Pair ke upward momentum ko public participation ne bhi support kiya, jahan logon ne buying interest dikhaya. Halankeh, markets abhi bhi ehtiyat kar rahe hain, aur woh crucial economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. Yeh fundamental uncertainty, aur US aur UK ke divergent monetary policy outlooks, GBP/USD pair mein continued volatility ka stage tayar kar rahe hain.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ne April se lekar steady uptrend maintain kiya hai, jo ke consistently 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se support ho raha hai. Pair ne hal hi mein 1.3434 ka high touch kiya, jo ke 2.5 saal ka peak tha, lekin 1.3427 ke aas paas kafi resistance ka samna karna para. September 25 ko bulls ne is key level ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin woh kamiyab nahi ho sake, jis ke baad pair ne retracement ki taraf move kiya, wapas 34-day EMA ke taraf. Kai dafa higher push ki koshishon ke bawajood, bulls ko significant resistance levels par challenges ka samna karna para. Is waqt, price EMA ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai, aur jab tak yeh iss level ke upar hai, bullish sentiment barqarar rehne ki umeed hai.

Lekin, caution zaroori hai kyun ke technical indicators weakness ka ishara de rahe hain. Stochastic Oscillator overbought zone mein chala gaya hai, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne 70 level se bounce lene ke baad downward trend dikhaya, jo market exhaustion ka ishara hai. Sath hi, 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ka positive momentum bhi lose hota nazar aa raha hai, jo ke downward pressure ka ishara hai. Agar pair EMA ke neeche break karta hai, toh deeper correction ho sakti hai, aur agle support levels 1.3265 aur 1.3170 par hain. Agar price neeche jaari rahi, toh 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 1.3113 par aayega, aur wahan se 1.3000 ka potential drop ho sakta hai.

Lekin agar bulls strength gain kar lete hain aur price ko 1.3429 ke upar push karte hain, toh yeh uptrend continuation ka signal hoga, aur naye highs ka rasta khul sakta hai.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis
GBP/USD currency pair ki recent performance ne kaafi volatility ko showcase kiya hai, jo ke UK aur US ki economic factors se driven hai. Ek aham wajah jo pair ke upward trajectory ko support kar rahi hai, woh hai US dollar ki broader weakness. Hal hi mein, US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne report diya ke US GDP 2024 ke second quarter mein 3.0% se barha, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Yeh data positive tha, lekin dollar ki strength ko barhane ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Iske ilawa, US mein initial jobless claims 218,000 par aa gaye, jo ke labor market ki resilience ko dikhata hai. Lekin, Federal Reserve officials jaise ke Fed Governor Lisa Cook ke dovish remarks ne dollar ke mixed outlook ko janam diya. Cook ne 50 basis point rate cut ka mashwara diya aur "downside risks" ko employment ke hawalay se point out kiya, jo ke Fed ki less aggressive monetary policy ka ishara deti hai. Yeh dovish sentiment dollar ko weak kar raha hai, jis se British pound GBP/USD pair mein mazid faida utha raha hai.

Doosri taraf, UK ne bhi apni resilience dikhayi hai, khaaskar jab Bank of England ki monetary policy par concerns ka izhar kiya gaya tha. British pound ne recent tor par strength gain ki hai, jisse umeed hai ke BoE apna rate-tightening approach zyada arsay tak barkarar rakhe ga, inflationary pressures ke chalte. Pair ke upward momentum ko public participation ne bhi support kiya, jahan logon ne buying interest dikhaya. Halankeh, markets abhi bhi ehtiyat kar rahe hain, aur woh crucial economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. Yeh fundamental uncertainty, aur US aur UK ke divergent monetary policy outlooks, GBP/USD pair mein continued volatility ka stage tayar kar rahe hain.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ne April se lekar steady uptrend maintain kiya hai, jo ke consistently 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se support ho raha hai. Pair ne hal hi mein 1.3434 ka high touch kiya, jo ke 2.5 saal ka peak tha, lekin 1.3427 ke aas paas kafi resistance ka samna karna para. September 25 ko bulls ne is key level ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin woh kamiyab nahi ho sake, jis ke baad pair ne retracement ki taraf move kiya, wapas 34-day EMA ke taraf. Kai dafa higher push ki koshishon ke bawajood, bulls ko significant resistance levels par challenges ka samna karna para. Is waqt, price EMA ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai, aur jab tak yeh iss level ke upar hai, bullish sentiment barqarar rehne ki umeed hai.

Lekin, caution zaroori hai kyun ke technical indicators weakness ka ishara de rahe hain. Stochastic Oscillator overbought zone mein chala gaya hai, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne 70 level se bounce lene ke baad downward trend dikhaya, jo market exhaustion ka ishara hai. Sath hi, 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ka positive momentum bhi lose hota nazar aa raha hai, jo ke downward pressure ka ishara hai. Agar pair EMA ke neeche break karta hai, toh deeper correction ho sakti hai, aur agle support levels 1.3265 aur 1.3170 par hain. Agar price neeche jaari rahi, toh 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 1.3113 par aayega, aur wahan se 1.3000 ka potential drop ho sakta hai.

Lekin agar bulls strength gain kar lete hain aur price ko 1.3429 ke upar push karte hain, toh yeh uptrend continuation ka signal hoga, aur naye highs ka rasta khul sakta hai.

Friday ko currency pair ne positive close kiya, aur 1.3430 mark ke qareeb trade kiya. Is upward movement ka bada sabab US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke hints thay, jo September mein apni monetary policy ko ease karne ka ishara de rahe hain. Is wajah se DXY (US Dollar Index) par downward pressure aaya, jis ne pair ko support diya. Ab investors US Durable Goods Orders ki report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo pair ke agle trajectory ke liye mazeed guidance faraham kar sakti hai.
Price abhi 1.3300 ke critical support level ka samna kar raha hai, jo bullish investors ke liye ek psychologically significant barrier hai. Agar price is level ke neeche gir jata hai, toh yeh current upward trend ki kamzori ka ishara ho sakta hai, aur aage mazeed decline ka sabab ban sakta hai. Magar jab tak pair is crucial support ke upar rehta hai, outlook optimistic hai aur gains continue reh sakte hain.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

British Pound (GBP) ko UK ke economic data se mazeed support mila hai. August ke Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ne expectations ko surpass kiya, jahan sabhi key components mein improvement nazar aayi. UK Composite PMI aur us ke Manufacturing aur Services components dono ne higher-than-expected figures record kiye. Khaaskar, Services PMI 53.3 tak barh gaya, jo pehle mahine ke 52.5 se zyada tha aur forecasted 52.8 ko exceed kar gaya. Yeh April ke baad se services activity ka sabse zyada level tha, jo UK economy ke mazid strong hone ka ishara deta hai.

Bank of England (BoE) ki monetary policy approach ne bhi British Pound ko support diya hai. Yeh speculation barh rahi hai ke BoE ka policy-easing cycle doosri major central banks ke mukable mein dheere dheere chalega. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne late Friday ko kaha ke inflation UK ke liye abhi bhi ek bara concern hai. Halankeh kuch pricing pressures expected se zyada tezi se kam hue hain, lekin Bailey ne emphasize kiya ke inflation par fatah ka daawa karna abhi jaldi hoga. BoE ka yeh cautious stance Pound ko buoy kar raha hai.

Weekly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technical perspective se, GBP/USD ke liye apne upward momentum ko maintain karna ek challenge hai. Short sellers ka nishana 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2765 par hoga, taake pair ko neeche le jaa sakein. Multiple attempts lag sakti hain bearish trend establish karne ke liye, jo prices ko 200-day EMA ke qareeb, yani 1.2845 tak le ja sake. Doosri taraf, 20-week EMA jo is waqt 1.2908 par position hai, broader trend ko upward dikhata hai.

14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong bullish momentum ko indicate kar raha hai, jo 60.00 aur 80.00 range ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, RSI jab 70.00 ke qareeb overbought territory mein aa raha hai, toh yeh ek corrective pullback ki likelihood ko barhata hai. Traders ko is par ghour se nazar rakhni hogi, kyun ke yeh market dynamics mein shift ka signal ho sakta hai agar pair apni current strength ko maintain karne mein na kamiyab ho.

Friday ko currency pair ne positive close kiya, aur 1.3430 mark ke qareeb trade kiya. Is upward movement ka bada sabab US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke hints thay, jo September mein apni monetary policy ko ease karne ka ishara de rahe hain. Is wajah se DXY (US Dollar Index) par downward pressure aaya, jis ne pair ko support diya. Ab investors US Durable Goods Orders ki report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo pair ke agle trajectory ke liye mazeed guidance faraham kar sakti hai.
Price abhi 1.3300 ke critical support level ka samna kar raha hai, jo bullish investors ke liye ek psychologically significant barrier hai. Agar price is level ke neeche gir jata hai, toh yeh current upward trend ki kamzori ka ishara ho sakta hai, aur aage mazeed decline ka sabab ban sakta hai. Magar jab tak pair is crucial support ke upar rehta hai, outlook optimistic hai aur gains continue reh sakte hain.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

British Pound (GBP) ko UK ke economic data se mazeed support mila hai. August ke Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ne expectations ko surpass kiya, jahan sabhi key components mein improvement nazar aayi. UK Composite PMI aur us ke Manufacturing aur Services components dono ne higher-than-expected figures record kiye. Khaaskar, Services PMI 53.3 tak barh gaya, jo pehle mahine ke 52.5 se zyada tha aur forecasted 52.8 ko exceed kar gaya. Yeh April ke baad se services activity ka sabse zyada level tha, jo UK economy ke mazid strong hone ka ishara deta hai.

Bank of England (BoE) ki monetary policy approach ne bhi British Pound ko support diya hai. Yeh speculation barh rahi hai ke BoE ka policy-easing cycle doosri major central banks ke mukable mein dheere dheere chalega. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne late Friday ko kaha ke inflation UK ke liye abhi bhi ek bara concern hai. Halankeh kuch pricing pressures expected se zyada tezi se kam hue hain, lekin Bailey ne emphasize kiya ke inflation par fatah ka daawa karna abhi jaldi hoga. BoE ka yeh cautious stance Pound ko buoy kar raha hai.

Weekly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technical perspective se, GBP/USD ke liye apne upward momentum ko maintain karna ek challenge hai. Short sellers ka nishana 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2765 par hoga, taake pair ko neeche le jaa sakein. Multiple attempts lag sakti hain bearish trend establish karne ke liye, jo prices ko 200-day EMA ke qareeb, yani 1.2845 tak le ja sake. Doosri taraf, 20-week EMA jo is waqt 1.2908 par position hai, broader trend ko upward dikhata hai.

14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong bullish momentum ko indicate kar raha hai, jo 60.00 aur 80.00 range ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, RSI jab 70.00 ke qareeb overbought territory mein aa raha hai, toh yeh ek corrective pullback ki likelihood ko barhata hai. Traders ko is par ghour se nazar rakhni hogi, kyun ke yeh market dynamics mein shift ka signal ho sakta hai agar pair apni current strength ko maintain karne mein na kamiyab ho.

### GBP/USD Market Analysis
Aaj main GBP/USD market pair ka jaiza le raha hoon, jo agle hafte ke liye trading choice ke tor par plan kiya gaya hai. 4-hour time frame ke graph ko dekhte hue, ye nazar aata hai ke market ki halaat kal shuru hoti hain, jahan price area 1.3311 se shuru hote hue 1.3433 ke position tak badhne ki koshish ki gayi. Bullish trend kal tak jari raha, Thursday tak. Halankeh ye trading period lambha nahi tha, lekin phir bhi upward journey ka silsila jari raha. Agar aap pichle hafte ki market halaat dekhein, to ye ab bhi bullish hai.

Pichle hafte ke trading session mein, market ne ek wide range ke saath bullish trend dikhaya, jis wajah se price hafte ke liye barh gayi, lekin Saturday raat ko correction hui. Jo maine upar kaha, ye dikhata hai ke market kharidne walon ke control mein hai. Journal update karne par, price 1.3370 par ruk gayi. Pichle do hafton mein, buyers jo ab bhi mazboot asar rakhte hain, unhone price ko upar push kiya hai takay wo pichle mahine ke low zone se door ja sakein. Agle hafte ke liye, main ye predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY pair bullish market situation ko jari rakhega. Yeh mumkin hai ke price phir se higher zone ki taraf move kare.

Agar aap pichle kuch hafton ke trend pattern ko dekhein, to market ek wide range mein upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai. Rally ka upward journey itna mazboot nahi hai ya choti range mein hai, lekin ye umeed hai ke rally agle hafte bhi jari rahegi, aur price forecasting ab bhi upward trend mein hai. Aaj subah ka candlestick bearish correction position mein band hua, lekin ye ab bhi 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar hai, jo ye dikhata hai ke market bullish trend mein hai. Agar buyer price zone 1.3402 ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, to bullish trend agle hafte ke trading session mein bhi market par dominate kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair mein abhi tak bohot strong buying momentum hai, jaisa ke price daily chart par upper Bollinger Bands ke sath chipki hui hai. Agar pichlay harakat ka tajziya kiya jaye, jo ke chaar blue boxes se zahir ki gayi hain, toh ye dikhayi deta hai ke jab bhi buy breakout candle form hoti hai, toh aglay teen dinon tak price barhti rehti hai. Is data kay madad se yeh andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke GBP/USD aglay haftay mein bhi apna gain jari rakhega, aur gray-marked resistance zone 1.3400 - 1.3437 tak pahunchne ki umeed hai. Correction ki bhi guzarish hai, lekin filhaal yeh kam chances mein hai, kyun ke naya RBS (Resistance Ban Gaya Support) area establish ho chuka hai. Yeh RBS zone H4 timeframe par yellow 1.3270 line ke qareeb hai, aur jab is area ka retest hua toh bullish pinbar candle bani, jo buyers ki strong interest ko dikhata hai. Magar yeh area pehle test ho chuka hai, is liye traders ko is par khas tawajju deni chahiye. Halankeh short-term mein market overbought condition mein hai, jo ke ek correction ko trigger kar sakta hai, khas tor par aglay hafte mein jab bohot zyada US aur UK se big news expect ki ja rahi hai. Yeh news market mein volatility la sakti hai aur correction ka sabab ban sakti hai.



Agar 1.3350 level ki taraf aur girawat hoti hai, to yeh traders ke liye buying opportunity faraham kar sakta hai. Yeh level, jo 1.3400 ke psychological barrier ke sath milta hai, ek key pivot point ke tor par kaam karega. Agar GBP/USD pair 1.3400 ke upar decisively break kar leta hai, to yeh technical selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke potential drop ko agle significant support area 1.3250 ke kareeb le ja sakta hai, jiske baad 1.3200 mark hai.

ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai. GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend

GBP/USD ka 1-day chart ek mazboot uptrend dikhata hai, jahan price iss waqt 1.33754 ke aas paas trade ho rahi hai, jo ke bullish sentiment ka izhaar karti hai. Yehi sentiment pair ko pichle resistance levels torhne par majboor kar raha hai. Haal hi ki price action ne displaced liquidity (DLiq) zones ko 1.25000 aur 1.30000 par retest kiya tha, jiske baad price ooper gayi. Ye areas ab crucial support levels ka kaam kar rahe hain. Uptrend ke dauran milne wale fair value gaps (FVGs) abhi tak unmitigated zones hain jo ke future pullbacks ke liye price magnets ka kaam kar sakte hain. Major resistance zone chart ke upper liquidity clusters ke paas hai, jo ke 1.35000 ke qareeb hai. Ye psychological level abhi tak breach nahi hui hai, aur traders yeh dekh rahe hain ke kya is level par rejection ya breakthrough hoga. Agar price is resistance se ooper nikalti hai, toh agla significant target takreeban 1.36500 ho sakta hai, jahan aur liquidity mojood hai. Yeh wo level hai jo 2024 ke shuruat mein dekha gaya tha.
Agar downside movement hota hai, toh price phir se recently tested DLiq zones ko, khaaskar 1.30000 aur 1.25000 ke qareeb, revisit kar sakti hai. Ye zones bullish momentum ko support karne mein historically significant rahe hain. In levels ke darmiyan kuch FVGs ki maujoodgi ye baat aur mazid emphasize karti hai ke corrective movements ke baad ek aur upward leg aa sakti hai. Fundamental perspective se dekha jaye, toh spot prices ka rasta abhi bhi ooper ki taraf hai, magar daily chart par overbought conditions ki waja se bullish traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye. British Pound ko Bank of England ke rate cuts ke expectations ka support hai jo ke US ke compare mein dheere dheere hote rahenge. BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne Tuesday ko kaha ke interest rates ka rukh downward hoga, magar ye progress dheere hogi aur bina kisi major shocks ke ultra-low levels par wapis nahi aayegi. Doosri taraf, markets zyada aggressive policy easing ki expectations rakh rahi hain Federal Reserve (Fed) se, jo ke US Dollar (USD) ko YTD levels ke paas neeche rakh raha hai aur GBP/USD pair ke liye tailwind ka kaam kar raha hai. Kai ahem fundamental factors GBP/USD pair ki future direction ko mutasir kar sakte hain. UK aur US, dono mulkon ki economic data is faislay mein kirdar ada karegi ke kya pound apni strength dollar ke muqable mein barqarar rakh sakta hai ya nahi. Misal ke taur par, agar UK GDP growth, employment figures, ya inflation data expectations se zyada mazboot hoti hain, toh pound ko mazeed support mil sakti hai. Magar agar UK mein kisi qisam ki economic weakness ke asaar nazar aate hain, toh traders apni long positions ko hold karne mein ehtiyaat barat sakte hain.

Forum ke doston, jo khush hain ke kal trading holiday hai, mein aap sab ka shukriya ada karna chahta hoon jo mere analysis ko visit karte hain. Lagta hai ke bonus ab tak nahi aaya, ho sakta hai ke kisi ne rules ka violation kiya ho aur is wajah se bonus pay nahi ho raha. Is surat mein, sabko asar pohnchta hai jab koi rules violate karta hai. Friday ki trading ke doran GBP/USD currency pair ab tak side way chal raha hai. Is liye, aaj be-waja floating se bachne ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke European market ke khulne ka sabr se intezar kiya jaye. Ek trader ke liye behtareen faisla yeh hai ke sabr se sahi waqt ka intezar karein. Agar hum technical point of view se dekhein, tou GBP/USD currency pair H1 time frame mein ab tak downward trajectory par hai. Kal ke sharp rise ke baad aaj ek significant fall dekhne ko mili hai. Is situation mein, agle move ko anticipate karna aur disciplined stop loss ko maintain karna zaroori hai. Fundamental point of view se dekha jaye tou USD index ke recent movements mein kuch din ki girawat ke baad ab ek potential increase ka imkaan hai, jo GBP/USD ke opponents ko upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke USD opponent dobara girawat ki taraf ja sakta hai. Aapko fundamental news par nazar rakhni chahiye jo agle kuch din mein release hongi, taake forex calendar ko monitor karte hue aap ek acha forecast bana sakein.
Daily candles H4 time frame par red hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend chal raha hai. Hum clearly dekh sakte hain ke price pichle mahine ke shuru se gir rahi hai. Current decline ke sath price Original Demand area tak pohonch gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke wahan solid support hai. Is liye, price wapis upar move kar sakta hai taake supply area tak, jo TOP BB line ke upar hai, pohonch sake.

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein positive momentum gain kiya hai, khaaskar jab se yeh Wednesday ko 1.3200 level se upar gaya hai. Yeh movement zyada tar risk-on sentiment ki wajah se hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke investors ab zyada risk lene ke liye tayyar hain aur British pound jese assets mein invest kar rahe hain. Is movement ke peeche ek aham factor US Federal Reserve (Fed) ka interest rates ko kam karne ka imkaan hai. Kai analysts yeh predict kar rahe hain ke Fed rates ko 50 basis points (bps) se reduce karega. Agar aisa hota hai, tou US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko aur upar le ja sakt