جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Currency pair ne aaj ke din ke dauran 1.2700 ke critical psychological level ke aas paas notable fluctuations dikhayi hain. Is movement ne pair ko is position mein laa diya hai ke yeh crucial resistance trendlines ke upar close kar sakti hai, jo ke pehle support ke tor par kaam kar rahi thi 1.2661 ke aas paas. Filhaal, GBP/USD 1.2715 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Pair ne strength dikhayi aur thoda gain kiya, lekin is dauran 0.20% se zyada drops ka bhi samna kiya. Yeh upward movement Greenback ke gradual decline ki wajah se hui, jo is wajah se tha ke market mein expectations barh rahi hain ke Federal Reserve September mein borrowing costs ko reduce kar sakti hai. Aane wala hafta US market ke liye pivotal hoga, kyun ke ismein significant events hain, jismein Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke Congress ke samne speeches aur critical inflation data shamil hain. Yeh developments Fed ke upcoming policy decisions ko influence karne ki umeed hai. Abhi, GBP/USD 1.2719 par trade kar rahi hai, jo ke pichle paanch hafton ke lowest level ke kareeb hai.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ne 1.2704 level ko surpass kar liya hai, aur apni winning streak ko sat consecutive trading days tak extend kar diya hai. Yeh upward momentum recent low of 1.2613 se 1.62% increase ko represent karta hai. Price action ne 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke 1.2608 ke qareeb decline ko rok diya hai, aur ab bids supply zone ke upar challenge karne ke liye position mein hain, jo ke 1.2661 ke upar hai. Agar sellers exchange rate ko 1.2633 se neeche push karne mein kamyab hote hain, to focus April 8 ke high par shift hoga, jo pehle support ke tor par kaam kar raha tha 1.2609 par, aur phir yeh 1.2600 level tak pohnch sakta hai.




Pair ne haal hi mein descending resistance trendline ko break kiya hai jo ke August 2023 ke highs se originate hui thi. Yeh trendline ab support level mein convert ho gayi hai jab pair ne successful breach kiya 1.2650 ke psychological threshold ko. Current momentum yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers exchange rate ko aur higher drive kar sakte hain, jaisa ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bullish territory mein rehta hai.

GBP-USD currency pair ke hawale se, abhi tak sellers girawat ko barhawa dene mein nakam rahe hain, aur non-farm data ke doran dollar mein tezi se kami aayi. Mein samjhta tha ke aaj buyers apni potential ko barhawa denge, magar subah se ab tak koi tezi se harkat nazar nahi aayi. Aam tor par, buyers abhi tak upar kisi ahem level ko tor nahi paaye hain, aur active upward movement ke liye unhe 1.28394 level ko tor kar us par qaim hona zaroori hai. Growth ko barhawa dene ke liye pehla target 1.28637 ka level hoga.
Is level ka torna downward trend ko tor kar growth ke mumkinah barhawa ka signal dega. Girawat ko jari rakhne ke liye, sellers ko 1.27772 ka level tor kar us par qaim hona hoga. Girawat ka target 1.27063 ka mark hoga. GBPUSD H4: 4-hour chart par 1-pound pair tapes ke central area mein hai, aur yahan se harkat kisi bhi direction mein ho sakti hai. Is surat-e-haal mein, price ke barhawa ya girawat ka naya signal hasil karne ke liye, hume upper ya lower band ke bahar nikalne ka intezar karna chahiye aur phir evaluate karna chahiye ke bands outward open hote hain ya koi reaction nahi hoti.

Agar fractals ki baat ki jaye, to ek naya fractal upward bana hai; is ka breakout aur consolidation price ko 31 July ke fractal ki taraf 1.28637 tak le jaane ka moqa dega. Price fall ka target qareebi fractal downward hai; is ka breakout aur consolidation price ko 3 July ke fractal ki taraf 1.26772 tak le jaane ka moqa dega. AO indicator negative zone mein fade ho raha hai, jo price ke barhawa ka signal de raha hai. Agar ane wale dino mein hum zero se transition aur positive zone mein active increase dekhenge, to hume price ke barhawa ka zyada strong signal milega. Negative area mein nayi acceleration price ke girawat ka signal dega

US Dollar apni recovery ko snap karte hue aksar major currencies ke muqablay mein wapas retreat kar gaya. Greenback ke pehle ke gains recession fears ke ubharne se evaporate ho gaye hain. US Dollar index 103.00 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek technical rejection hai.

US Dollar (USD) ke rate mein girawat dekhi gayi hai lagbhag sab major peers ke muqablay mein, aur yeh Thursday ke din mein ek nervousness ke tor par saamne aaya. Markets hiltey dikhai de rahe hain jab ke weekly US Jobless Claims data aaj ke baad release hone wali hai. Yehi data point pichle hafte ki volatility ka sabab bana tha, jo US Jobs reports ke samne aane se pehle hui thi, aur iske natije mein Monday ko sabhi asset classes mein massive sell-off dekha gaya.

Economic data front par aane wale dinon mein kuch khaas nahi hai. Is waqat, jab ke trading week economic data ke lehaz se kaafi calm hai, weekly Initial Jobless Claims print jo August 2 ko khatam hui week ke liye aane wali hai, zyada ahmiyat hasil kar legi. Is wajah se, aaj ka din Thursday ko Jobless Claims data ke hawale se kafi rough rehne ki umeed hai.

Pound Sterling (GBP) ke lehaz se bias downside ki taraf hai; koi bhi girawat mushkil se 1.2645 ke neeche break karegi. Rejuvenated momentum yeh darshata hai ke risk downside ki taraf hi bana rahega; dekhne ke layak levels 1.2645 aur 1.2610 hain, jaisa ke UOB Group FX ke analysts Quek Ser Leang aur Lee Sue Ann note karte hain. Agli resistance 1.2720 par hai.

24-HOUR VIEW:
“Do din pehle, GBP mein tezi se girawat dekhi gayi. Kal humne yeh indication di thi ke ‘jab ke decline oversold hai, yeh ab tak stabilise nahi hua,’ aur humne yeh view rakha tha ke GBP 1.2645 tak gir sakta hai jab tak stabilisation ki umeed hai. Humne yeh bhi kaha tha, ‘resistance 1.2710 par hai; agar 1.2735 breach hota hai to yeh signal hoga ke GBP ki weakness stabilize ho gayi hai.’ Hamara view materialize nahi ho saka, kyun ke GBP 1.2682 aur 1.2734 ke beech trade hota raha, aur akhri trade 1.2689 (-0.03%) par largely unchanged raha. Jab ke downward momentum mein koi wazeh izafa nazar nahi aaya, GBP ka bias ab bhi downside ki taraf lagta hai. Aaj, jab tak 1.2720 (minor resistance 1.2700 par hai) breach nahi hota, GBP ke lower drift karne ki umeed hai. Halankeh, koi bhi girawat mushkil se 1.2645 ke neeche jayegi.”




1-3 WEEKS VIEW:
“Hamne kareeban do hafton se GBP ke liye negative view rakha hua hai. Jab GBP do din pehle tezi se gira, humne kal yeh indicate kiya ke ‘rejuvenated momentum yeh darshata hai ke risk downside par hi rahega.’ Humne is par zor diya ke ‘dekhne ke layak levels 1.2645 aur 1.2610 hain.’ Humne yeh bhi kaha tha ke ‘yeh level solid support hai (June ke low ke kareeb).’ Hum apna yeh view continue rakhenge jab tak 1.2765 (‘strong resistance’ level jo ke kal 1.2780 par tha) breach nahi hota.”

GBP/USD/H1

Assalam-o-Alaikum. Kal, buyers ne Pound mein upward movement banane ki koshish ki, lekin aakhir mein trading ke end tak, price din ke opening values par wapas aagai, aur overall downward trend ab bhi qaim hai. Sellers ke liye agla target girawat ko continue karne ke liye 1.26719 ka level hai. Agar woh is level ko break karne aur consolidate karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to 1.26148 ke level ki taraf girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Dusri taraf, buyers ko upward movement ke liye 1.27351 ke level ko break karna aur consolidate karna zaroori hai. Agar woh aaj yeh karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to 1.28026 ke level ki taraf growth continue rehne ki umeed hai.

4-Hour Chart Analysis:

Pound 4-hour chart par tapes ke central area mein hai, aur tapes inward tuck karna shuru ho gayi hain. Yeh movement kisi bhi direction mein continue ho sakti hai. Price ke rise ya fall ke liye behtar signal pane ke liye, upper ya lower band ke kareeb active approach ka intezar karna zaroori hai, aur phir assess karna chahiye ke bands outward open hoti hain ya koi reaction nahi hota. Agar hum current situation ko fractals se judge karen, to naye closer fractals up aur down dono directions mein form ho gaye hain. Nearest fractal ka downward breakout price ko July 2 ke fractal 1.26148 ki taraf girne ki ijazat dega. Usi tarah, nearest fractal ka upward breakout price ko August 6 ke fractal 1.28026 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.




Aaj ke liye pair ke conditions mein zyada tabdeeli nahi hui. Key role 1.2680 ke support ka hoga. Agar yeh support break ho jata hai, to pair downward impulse ko 1.2570 tak continue kar sakta hai. Yahaan se shayad ek rollback hoga aur phir se 1.2447 tak neeche aasakta hai, lekin is hafte yeh mushkil lagta hai. Agar yeh support break nahi hota aur 1.2680 ke neeche consolidate nahi hota, to dobara growth 1.2750 ke resistance tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance ko break karna zaroori hoga, taake 1.2860 tak ek aur impulse ban sake, jo upward trend ko 1.3065 ki taraf restore kar sake. Lekin is hafte itna zyada growth hona mushkil hai. Agar 1.2860 ka breakthrough hota bhi hai, to yeh sirf tabhi mumkin hai agar aaj 1.2750 ke resistance ko break kar sakein, lekin is hafte 1.300 se zyada umeed nahi rakhni chahiye, maximum 1.2970 tak ja sakta hai, lekin is resistance tak pohanchne ke chances bhi zyada nahi lagte.

HeLast night's price drop kaafi zyada lagta hai jab pehle haftay ke shuruat se compare kiya jaye jo aam tor par abhi bhi quiet hoti hai. Weekly GBPUSD market situation lagta hai ke sellers ke control mein chal rahi hai jis se price ko neeche lana jaari hai. Agar hum pichle haftay ke situation par qaim rahein, market bearish trend mein chal rahi thi, to jo pichle haftay ke shuruat mein hua wo ek bearish market trend situation thi. Sellers ki strength ke hawale se bhi yeh lagta hai ke yeh bohot zyada force hai isliye ek waqt aaya jab buyers ke efforts ko higher jaane se rok diya gaya kyun ke unhein selling pressure ka saamna tha.
Agli trade ke liye, main predict karta hoon ke downtrend ke lambey hone ka imkaan abhi bhi hai. Main predict karta hoon ke sellers market ko kuch dinon tak control kar sakte hain jab tak haftay ke aakhir tak. Ek trading guideline ke tor par market mein achay mauqe dhoondhne ke liye jab ek bearish direction continue ho jaye tab tak candlestick 1.2832 area ki taraf girti hai taake hum is situation ka faida uthate hue market mein zyada efficiently aur low risk ke saath entry le sakein kyun ke continued bearish trend clear hota ja raha hai. Price drop sellers ke liye zyada aggressive hone ka trigger ban sakta hai with the aim of lowering prices even lower.
Agar baad mein market plan ke mutabiq chalti hai jo banayi gayi hai, to behtar hoga ke target area ko reach karne se pehle position ko close karne mein jaldbazi na ki jaye, ho sakta hai ke future mein market abhi bhi neeche jaana chahti ho agar 1.2606 area ko asaani se pass kar sakti hai. Is haftay abhi bhi strong sellers hain jo market ko bearish side par trend continue kar sakte hain jaise ke pichle haftay ke market situation thi.
Kal GBP/USD pair ek notable zone mein enter hui thi, jahan usne ek significant ascending channel ke upper boundary ka samna kiya. Break out ki koshish ke bawajood, price retreat hui aur ab consolidate kar rahi hai. RSI upward trend dikhata hai, jab ke Stochastic downward trend dikhata hai, jo mixed signals hain. Ye market developments ko carefully monitor karne ka signal hai.
Kuch UK news release hui hain, magar ab tak price par significant impact nahi hua. Aaj koi major GBP-specific news releases nahi hain, siwaye kuch potential European news ke jo EUR/GBP ko affect kar sakti hain. Agar price rise hoti hai, to pehle upper limit of the Bollinger Band 1.3027 par pohnch sakti hai, jo ke channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb hai. Traders ko observe karna chahiye ke price is level ko break karti hai ya retreat hoti hai.
Dusri taraf, agar price decline hoti hai, to Bollinger Band midline ke qareeb 1.2981 par potential support ke liye dekhen. Aik further drop pair ko 1.2949/37 support levels test karne par majboor kar sakti hai, jo moving averages aur Bollinger Bands ke niche situated hain. Agar price downward continue karti hai, to lower moving average support offer kar sakti hai. Current support level 1.2903 par hai, jahan ek rebound expected hai.
Conclusion
Jab GBP/USD pair critical levels aur news impacts ke through navigate kar rahi hai, traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur market movements ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adapt karna chahiye. In technical indicators aur news releases ko monitor karna informed trading decisions lene mein crucial hoga. Sab traders ko apni transactions mein good luck.
Kal GBP/USD pair ek notable zone mein enter hui thi, jahan usne ek significant ascending channel ke upper boundary ka samna kiya. Break out ki koshish ke bawajood, price retreat hui aur ab consolidate kar rahi hai. RSI upward trend dikhata hai, jab ke Stochastic downward trend dikhata hai, jo mixed signals hain. Ye market developments ko carefully monitor karne ka signal hai.
Kuch UK news release hui hain, magar ab tak price par significant impact nahi hua. Aaj koi major GBP-specific news releases nahi hain, siwaye kuch potential European news ke jo EUR/GBP ko affect kar sakti hain. Agar price rise hoti hai, to pehle upper limit of the Bollinger Band 1.3027 par pohnch sakti hai, jo ke channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb hai. Traders ko observe karna chahiye ke price is level ko break karti hai ya retreat hoti hai.
Dusri taraf, agar price decline hoti hai, to Bollinger Band midline ke qareeb 1.2981 par potential support ke liye dekhen. Aik further drop pair ko 1.2949/37 support levels test karne par majboor kar sakti hai, jo moving averages aur Bollinger Bands ke niche situated hain. Agar price downward continue karti hai, to lower moving average support offer kar sakti hai. Current support level 1.2903 par hai, jahan ek rebound expected hai.
Conclusion
Jab GBP/USD pair critical levels aur news impacts ke through navigate kar rahi hai, traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur market movements ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adapt karna chahiye. In technical indicators aur news releases ko monitor karna informed trading decisions lene mein crucial hoga. Sab traders ko apni transactions mein good luck.

GBPUSD ANALYSIS UPDATES

H4 timeframe chart par GBPUSD currency pair ka analysis karte hue pichle teen hafton se dekha gaya hai ke yeh wapas bearish path par move karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Is hafte ke market analysis ke mutabiq, yeh wazeh hai ke price conditions abhi bhi consistently downward trend mein hain aur price 1.2671 ke range tak gir chuki hai. Pichle mahine, yeh pair bullish trend mein continue karne mein nakam rahi, lekin pichle kuch dinon mein general trend bearish path par raha hai. Upar diye gaye conditions se yeh nateeja nikalta hai ke agla market trend girawat ke saath continue rehne ki umeed hai, aur price mein mazeed girawat ho sakti hai. Seller ki taraf se pressure barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai, jo ke price ko 1.2650 ke range ko test karne ke liye mazeed neeche le jane ka aim rakhta hai, ya phir yeh pehle se bhi zyada neeche gir sakti hai. Kal raat ka bearish movement expected hai ke kaafi waqt tak barqarar rahega, kyun ke aaj market mein ab bhi consolidation phase hai.




MACD indicator par histogram bar ki position dekh kar lagta hai ke market ab bearish trend mein move kar raha hai, kyun ke yeh abhi bhi zero level ke neeche consistently play kar raha hai. Yeh bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke GBPUSD currency pair neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai, lekin yeh range zyada wide nahi hai, jaise ke yeh 1.26780 level ko break karne ki koshish kar raha ho, aur uske baad most likely apni bearish wave ko continue karega. Kyun ke current price position abhi bhi yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator line ke neeche comfortable hai, isliye mazeed bearish trend ka indication mil raha hai. Aaj aur kal ke liye, maine yeh faisla kiya hai ke main sirf acchi area dhoondne par focus karunga taake SELL trading enter kar saku, kyun ke price movement ne 1.2750 level ko break kar liya hai, jo ke bearish trend ke continuation ke liye opportunities open kar raha hai, jo shayad week ke end tak continue rahe.

GBP-USD PAIR REVIEW

H4 timeframe chart par GBPUSD currency pair ka analysis karte hue pichle teen hafton se dekha gaya hai ke yeh wapas bearish path par move karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Is hafte ke market analysis ke mutabiq, yeh wazeh hai ke price conditions abhi bhi consistently downward trend mein hain aur price 1.2671 ke range tak gir chuki hai. Pichle mahine, yeh pair bullish trend mein continue karne mein nakam rahi, lekin pichle kuch dinon mein general trend bearish path par raha hai. Upar diye gaye conditions se yeh nateeja nikalta hai ke agla market trend girawat ke saath continue rehne ki umeed hai, aur price mein mazeed girawat ho sakti hai. Sellers ab bhi price ko neeche le jane ka pressure banaye hue hain, aur price 1.2650 ke range ko test kar sakti hai ya is se bhi zyada neeche gir sakti hai. Kal raat ka bearish movement expected hai ke kaafi arsay tak barqarar rahega, kyun ke aaj market mein ab bhi consolidation phase hai.




MACD indicator par histogram bar ki position dekh kar lagta hai ke market ab bearish trend mein move kar raha hai, kyun ke yeh abhi bhi zero level ke neeche consistently play kar raha hai. GBPUSD currency pair neeche ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin yeh range zyada wide nahi hai, jaise ke yeh 1.26780 level ko break karne ki koshish kar raha ho, aur uske baad most likely apni bearish wave ko continue karega. Kyun ke current price position abhi bhi yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator line ke neeche hai, isliye mazeed bearish trend ka indication mil raha hai. Aaj aur kal ke liye, maine yeh faisla kiya hai ke main sirf acchi area dhoondne par focus karunga taake SELL trading mein enter kar saku, kyun ke price movement ne 1.2750 level ko break kar liya hai, jo ke bearish trend ke continuation ke liye opportunities open kar raha hai, jo shayad week ke end tak continue rahe.

GBP/USD /H4 Analysis

Aaj ke US SRF President Jerome Powell ke speech ke liye tayyari karte hue, GBP/USD ne teen din lagatar strong resistance level 1.2695 ko break karne mein nakami ka samna kiya hai. Aaj raat 19:00 (GMT+4) par Jerome Powell ka speech hoga, jismein woh inflation ke khilaf larna ke liye pehle se zyada bara rate hike announce kar sakte hain. Agli meeting mein, jo ke 25 July ko hogi, kai investors yeh umeed kar rahe hain ke rate 55 basis points se nahi balki 76 basis points se barhaya ja sakta hai. Aise faislay ke natija mein, GBP/USD pair 1.2710 level tak barh sakti hai. Jab tak US SRF ke head monetary policy ke bare mein wahi rhetoric barqarar rakhtay hain, tab tak dollar ke weak hone ka imkaan hai, jo ke is waqt instrument correction ko 0.9890 tak le ja sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, CME FedWatch tool ne yeh report kiya hai ke September mein Federal Reserve rate cuts ka imkaan barh gaya hai. Yeh likelihood ab 72.6% par hai, jo ke pichle hafte ke 66% se barh kar hai. Yeh tabdili expectations mein is liye ayi hai kyun ke kai US economic indicators, khas tor par labor market mein, weakness ka izhar kar rahe hain. US economy ke overall health mein slowdown nazar aata hai, jisse market participants expect kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve proactive measures le sakta hai.

US service sector ne dusray quarter ko ek subdued note par khatam kiya. ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) ne June mein contraction record kiya, jo 48.8 par gir gaya, jo ke char saal ka lowest hai. Yeh index, jo ke US economy ka do-tihayi hissa hai, 50.0 threshold ke neeche contraction signal kar raha hai. Aise data US economy ke challenges ko highlight karte hain, jo ke broader market sentiments aur currency exchange rate par asar dalte hain.




Wednesday ko yeh pair 1.2701 ke aas-paas hover kar rahi thi. Technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke is pair mein bearish inclination hai, aur yeh pair daily chart par descending channel mein consolidate kar rahi hai. Is ke bawajood, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) suggest karta hai ke bearish trend mein potential weakening ho sakti hai, kyun ke iska current position 50 level ke upar hai, jo ke mazeed upward movement ki gunjaish indicate karta hai.

GBP/USD Price Overview

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke ongoing price assessment ka mutaala kar rahe hain. Hourly chart par, price downward channel ke andar move kar rahi hai. Aaj subha, price channel ke lower boundary par, yani 1.2695 par pohonchi. Is boundary ko thoda sa break karne ke baad, price ne reverse kiya aur upward movement shuru hui. Ab yeh pair mazeed barh sakti hai, jisme target descending channel ka upper boundary, yani 1.2782, ho sakta hai. GBP/USD pair ke chart se yeh wazeh hota hai ke ek apparent directional movement hai. Yeh 1.2779 level se sell karne ka ek promising mauqa hai, kyun ke yeh level consistently resistance ke tor par kaam karta aaya hai, jo sell positions initiate karne ke liye ideal point hai. Mein yeh trades support level 1.2675 tak hold karne ka plan rakhta hoon. Agar market conditions badal jayein aur price barh jaaye, to mein losses minimize karne ki koshish karunga.




Agar resistance 1.2779 par likely hai, to yeh ek naya buying opportunity pesh kar sakta hai, jismein yeh level ek support zone mein convert ho sakta hai. Indicators ke targets ke hawale se, previous lows ko break karne ke baad yeh nearly complete ho gaye, khaaskar 1.2677 level par. Is ke baad, doosra target 1.2624 par hai. Yeh targets 161.8% Fibonacci retracement level se align karte hain, lekin buyers ke liye upward scenario ke liye abhi tak growth momentum poori tarah se materialize nahi hua. Buyers ne apne stop orders senior minimum 1.2610 ke aas-paas rakhe honge, jo suggest karta hai ke agar price mazeed decline karti hai, to target 1.2624 ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, ek visual platform bhi mojood hai jo sellers ne shayad overlook kiya ho, jahan market ne pehle potential signal kiya tha lekin isay realize nahi kiya tha. Ab yeh potential ko realize karne ka waqt ho sakta hai.

Kayi dinon se GBP/USD exchange rate mein moderate volatility dekhne ko mili hai, jo ke underlying economic factors aur market sentiment ka natiqa hai. 5 August 2024 ko exchange rate takreeban 1.2765 USD per GBP tha. Yeh rate Federal Reserve ke recent signals ke baad ongoing market reactions se mutasir hua, jo ke kamzor economic data ki wajah se potential interest rate cuts ki expectations ki taraf ishara kar rahe the. Aise expectations aam tor par dollar ko kamzor karte hain, jis se doosri currencies, jaise ke British pound, nisbi tor par mazboot hoti hain.

6 August 2024 ko exchange rate thoda barh kar 1.2785 USD per GBP ho gaya. Is uptick ki wajah Fed ki rate policy ke baray mein speculation ka jari rehna aur U.S. labor market mein slowdown ka data tha, jis ne dollar par pressure barhaya. Saath hi, British economy ne mazahmat dikhayi, jo ke pound ki value ko dollar ke muqablay mein support kar rahi thi.

7 August 2024 ko exchange rate thoda sa barh kar 1.2799 USD per GBP ho gaya. Yeh stability investors ke economic data ke mutabiq adjustments aur geopolitical tensions ke combination ki wajah se thi, jo ke aam tor par investors ko safe assets, jaise ke dollar, ki taraf le jati hain. Lekin, pound in dynamics ke darmiyan apni strength barqarar rakhne mein kamiyab raha.

Kul mila kar, GBP/USD exchange rate mein aakhri do dinon mein thoda upward movement dekha gaya hai, jo ke U.S. aur U.K. ke contrasting economic indicators ka natiqa hai. Pound ki strength relatively mazboot British economic outlook ko reflect karti hai, jab ke dollar Federal Reserve ki monetary easing ki expectations ki wajah se down raha hai.



Yeh fluctuations currency markets ke dynamic nature ko highlight karte hain, jahan exchange rates economic data, central bank policies, aur investor sentiment ke complex interplay se mutasir hote hain.

GBP/USD: Trends aur Patterns

Humari guftagu ka markaz GBP/USD currency pair ki current price action ka jaiza lena hai. Kaafi arsay se sab log is GBPUSD pair ke liye ek resolution ka intezar kar rahe the. Kayi dinon tak stable rehne ke baad, aakhir kar is ne neeche ki taraf ek decisive move banaya. Meri haali observations bhi ek bearish trend ki taraf ishara kar rahi thi, kyun ke growth ki prospects kuch khaas nazar nahi aa rahi thi. Yeh baat pichlay Jumma se dekhne ko mil rahi thi aur pair ki euro ke sath correlation se bhi yeh hi sabit ho raha tha. Din ke doran, pair ne ek critical zone ko breach kar diya, magar yeh kehna abhi jaldi hoga ke stabilization hui hai. Isi tarah, potential purchases ya significant retracements ki guftagu karna bhi abhi jaldi hai. Ab focus is baat par hona chahiye ke downward momentum ko maintain kiya jaye, kyun ke buyers ghalti kar rahe hain. Minimum update hone ke bawajood, pair ne koi significant decline experience nahi kiya.




Aaj, sellers ne puri tarah control sambhal liya hai. Level 1.2803 par sustain nahi ho saka, jo ke yeh darsha raha hai ke downward trend abhi bhi jari hai. Resultantly, sellers ne lower levels ko breach kar liya. Din ke doran yeh baat zahir hui ke naya level 1.2803 yeh batane ke liye signal hai ke aage kya expect karna chahiye. Phir bhi, medium-term mein abhi significant development ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke upward zigzag number 2 par abhi tak nahi ban saka. Main kuch mazeed points note karunga; agar aaj price 1.2760 tak pohanchti hai, to yeh buyers ko kal ke liye motivate kar sakti hai, jo ke ek potential upward correction ka sabab ban sakta hai. Current contract tab tak valid hai jab tak price is level ke neeche rehti hai. Euro par koi significant news ka asar nahi, jo ke stabilize ho chuka hai, aur stock market kal ke downturn ke baad rebound ho sakta hai. GBPUSD ke liye koi zabardast waja nahi hai ke yeh girna jari rakhe, kyun ke triangle pattern se breakout ke baad solid support bilkul neeche hai. Aaj koi upward movement nazar nahi aayi, aur pair abhi bhi declining channel mein hai.

گڈ مارننگ۔ گرمیوں کی شدت کا احساس ہو رہا ہے۔ بڑے سرمایہ کار بھی لوگ ہیں اور وہ بھی آرام کرنا چاہتے ہیں کیونکہ پیسہ بھی کمایا گیا ہے، اس لیے مارکیٹ میں اتنی زیادہ اتار چڑھاؤ نہیں ہو رہی۔ پاؤنڈ پر کل بیچنے والے اپنی پوزیشن کو برقرار نہیں رکھ سکے، لیکن آج صبح وہ قیمت کو مزید نیچے دھکیلنے کی کوشش کر رہے ہیں۔ گراوٹ کو جاری رکھنے کے لیے قریب ترین ہدف 1.28768 کا لیول ہے، اگر یہ یہاں سے نیچے گرتا ہے تو اگلا ہدف 1.27773 کی قیمت پر ہو گا۔ خریداروں کو اب 1.29372 کے لیول کے پیچھے جانا ہوگا اور یہاں سے اوپر جانا ہوگا۔ اس صورت حال میں، قیمت میں 1.30123 تک اضافے کی توقع کی جا سکتی ہے۔ GBP/USD H4 چارٹ پر: 1 سے 4 گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، پاؤنڈ نیچے والے بینڈ کے ساتھ چلنے کی کوشش کر رہا ہے۔ قیمت میں کمی کے لیے بہترین سگنل حاصل کرنے کے لیے، ہمیں نیچے والے بینڈ سے فعال طور پر باہر نکلنے کا انتظار کرنا چاہیے اور پھر دیکھنا چاہیے کہ آیا بینڈز باہر کی طرف کھلیں گے یا کوئی ردعمل نہیں ہو گا۔ اگر ہم حالات کو فریکٹلز کے ذریعے جانچیں تو، نئے فریکٹلز اوپر اور نیچے بن رہے ہیں۔ قریب ترین فریکٹل کا نیچے بریک آؤٹ قیمت کو 9 جولائی کے فریکٹل 1.27773 کی طرف لے جانے کی اجازت دے گا۔ قریب ترین فریکٹل کے اوپر بریک آؤٹ اور اس کے پیچھے استحکام قیمت کو 18 جولائی کے فریکٹل 1.30132 کی طرف لے جائے گا۔ 2 - AO انڈیکیٹر نیگیٹو زون میں ختم ہو رہا ہے، اگر آنے والے دنوں میں ہم صفر کے ذریعے ایک منتقلی اور پازیٹو زون میں فعال نمو دیکھتے ہیں تو ہمیں قیمت میں اضافے کے لیے ایک مضبوط سگنل ملے گا۔ نیگیٹو زون میں نئی تیزیاں پاؤنڈ کی کمی کو ظاہر کریں گی۔

Hum traders market ka analysis karne mein busy hain taake aaj ke market ke liye achi entry points dhoondh sakein jo hamare trading plans ke saath align karti hoon. Bolang relaxed rehta hai jab post karta hai, jo usko consistent aur increasing bonuses kamaane mein madad karta hai har hafte. Lekin, pichla hafta uske liye mushkil tha kyunki kuch floating losses market trading mein ho gaye the, aur ab woh is hafta mein acha profit kamaane ki umeed kar raha hai taake withdrawal (WD) kar sake. Isi liye, hum ek trend confirmation pattern ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Chhote traders jaise humne 1.2645 pe buy kiya, aur kuch pehle ke buyers ne bhi is level pe pehle touch par buy kiya, unhone apne stop losses 1.2715 par rakhe. Kuch traders zyada confident the aur apne stop losses is level se neeche set kiye.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaruri hai ke 80% market market makers se bana hota hai. Is scenario mein, market makers aksar chhote traders ke against move karte hain taake liquidity le sakein aur unke stop losses hit kar sakein. Hum dekh sakte hain ke market ne aisa hi kiya, jiski wajah se direction sideways se downtrend mein badal gayi.

Fundamentally, GBP/USD pair, aur doosri pairs ke saath, Ukraine mein chalti hui jang aur Fed rate hike ke concerns ki wajah se vulnerable hai. Yeh factors GBP/USD pairs ki movement ko depress kar rahe hain. Iske alawa, scheduled news ya high-impact fundamental events GBP/USD market pairs mein significant volatility cause kar sakte hain. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Bolang ne identify kiya hai ke aaj kuch news releases ya low-impact fundamentals, jaise JOLTS Opening, honge. Agar results favorable aayein, toh US dollar ki strength barh sakti hai, jisse GBP/USD pair weaken ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD ne Monday ko apna positive trading resume kiya. Halankeh pound ne din ke akhir mein upar jaane mein nakam raha, lekin pair ne pull back bhi nahi kiya. Din ke pehle hissay mein, pound thoda neeche jaane ki koshish kar raha tha, lekin market agar ise kharidti rahe to yeh kahan jaaye? Monday ko pair kharidne ka koi wajah market ke paas nahi tha. Lekin bohot arsay se market ko wajah aur base ki zaroorat nahi thi. Pound sterling kuch dinon se rise kar raha hai, yeh ignore karte hue ke Bank of England August 1 ko rate kam kar sakta hai, aur UK mein inflation central bank ke target level pe gir gayi hai.

Lekin yeh sab market ke liye koi matter nahi karta. Local upward trend continue ho raha hai, jo ke rising trend line se zahir hai. Second point jahan yeh formed hui, simply ek point hai flat mein, na ke ek extreme. Agar pound bina reason ya justification ke kharida ja raha hai, to yeh jitna chahay rise kar sakta hai. 5-minute timeframe pe, price 1.2980-1.2993 ke area mein wapas aayi. Yeh is mark ko overcome nahi kar saka, lekin jab next important level ya area overcome ho raha hai, to kya farq padta hai? Market in resistances ko consider nahi kar raha, chahay corrections ya rollbacks bhi ho. Isliye, yeh bohot mumkin hai ke pound continue kare rise karna jab yeh is area ko overcome kar le.

Tuesday ke trading tips: Hourly chart pe, GBP/USD promising signs show kar raha hai downtrend form karne ka, lekin iska yeh matlab nahi ke pair ek upward trend form nahi kar sakta. Pair dobara rise kar raha hai, aur overall, yeh erratic aur illogical movements exhibit kar raha hai. Filhal, pound sterling apne latest local high ko surpass kar gaya hai aur fundamental backdrop ko ignore kar raha hai. Lekin, koi deny nahi kar sakta ke filhal economic reports pound ko support kar rahi hain.

Tuesday ko, pound sterling gradually fall kar sakta hai towards level of 1.2913 agar yeh 1.2980-1.2993 ko overcome karne mein nakam ho gaya. Lekin, hum ek sharp decline expect nahi karte jab tak pound trend line ko breach nahi karta. Aur agar aisa hota bhi hai, to yeh altogether nahi hoga. Yeh hal kam az kam pichlay paanch mahino mein paanch dafa hua hai.

GBP/USD ko zaroori hai lekin yeh zyada intense nahi hona chahiye. Level 1.30262 ek critical point hai correction ko confirm karne ke liye. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, ek sharp fall ke bajaye, ek upward pullback zyada suitable hoga, jo market ko stabilize karne mein madad karega.

Iske baad, ek full-fledged channel establish karne ke liye, humein top se work karna hoga. Northward move ke liye, pehle humein 1.2989 level ko surpass karna hoga, aur phir raasta clear hoga 1.29710 tak, jahan ek aur downward correction signal kar sakta hai.

Aise market analysis mein, humein har level ko carefully monitor karna hoga aur accordingly apni trading strategies ko adjust karna hoga. Southern descent se upward pullback tak aur phir northward move tak, har step ko accurately assess karna zaroori hai. Yeh critical points hain GBP/USD currency pair ko samajhne ke liye, aur in indicators ko follow karke humein apni next trading moves decide karni chahiye.

GBPUSD market mein kuch interesting movement conditions hain, jaise ke H4 time frame (TF) reference mein dekh sakte hain. Abhi ke liye price wapas MA 200 (blue) movement ke range mein chal rahi hai, jahan MA ka limit ek crucial level ho sakta hai jo agle trend ke direction ka pata de sakta hai. Upar ka limit jo dekhne ke laayak hai, woh resistance area 1.2862 ke aas paas hai, aur neeche ka limit support area ke ird gird hai jo ke iss haftay ka lowest price level hai 1.2706 par.

Jab tak price in do crucial levels ke darmiyan trade ho rahi hai, short-term transactions par pehle focus kiya ja sakta hai. Ek option short-term sale ka hai jo 1.2800 ke range se kiya ja sakta hai, jisme target kiya jaye 50 pips ka decline taake price 1.2750 tak pohonch sake, aur risk loss limit ko 1.2865 ke upar set karein. Aik short-term buy plan bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai jisme entry 1.2750 ke range se ki jaye aur target kiya jaye 1.2810 tak ka increase, aur stop loss limit ko 1.2700 ke neeche rakhein.

Agar long-term purchases ka socha jaye, toh bullish trend ke wapas aane ke liye intezaar karna hoga jab price 1.2865 ke upar increase kare. Is potential base up rally ka target pichle mahine ke highest price limit 1.3042 ko touch karna ho sakta hai, aur phir pichle saal ke highest price limit 1.3140 tak jaane ka chance ban sakta hai.

Sales plan ke liye, agar price 1.2700 ke level ka breakout kare, toh ek interesting possibility yeh ho sakti hai ke bearish rally further neeche jaye. Uska target agle support area ko 1.2611 ke range mein touch karna ho sakta hai, aur iske baad base drop rally ke zariye iss saal ke lowest price limit 1.2299 tak pohonch sakti hai.





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