gbp/usd

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, market ne ummid di keh pound/dollar ka joda 1.37270 ki muzahmati satah se niche ki taraf palatne me kamyab hoga. Halankeh, qimat dobara se is satah tak chadh gayi. Ab tak, yah is muzahmati satah ko todne aur faide ko badhane me kamyab nahin hua hai. Halankeh Bartanwi pound piche hat gaya, lekin trend line barqarar hai. Qimat ke dhanche ko dekhte hue, sterling mazid faide ke liye taiyar hai. Agar qimat maujudah muzahmati satah ko tod deti hai aur nayi bulandiyon par pahunch jati hai to, pound/dollar ka joda apni tezi ko jari rakhega aur kam az kam agli muzahmati satah 1.35043 ki taraf badhega.

ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai. GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend

Chart D1 par currency pair GBP/USD ki baat karte hue, jaise ke pehle andaza lagaya gaya tha, kal ki trading session mein price neeche ki taraf move hui. Wave structure abhi bhi ascending order mein bana hua hai, jabke MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. MACD indicator par bearish divergence nazar aa raha hai, jo ke ek strong sell signal hai. CCI indicator bhi overbought zone se neeche aa chuka hai aur yeh bhi bearish divergence dikhata hai. Yeh sab dekh kar yeh saaf hai ke market in signals par react hua aur price gir gayi. Kal ki candle ne purani bullish candle ko puri tarah engulf kar diya, jis se bearish engulfing candlestick pattern bana. Yeh sell signals ko confirm karta hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke agle waqt mein price ko neeche ki taraf pressure mehsoos hoga, jo ke ascending trendline ki taraf jayega jo higher daily waves ke lows se draw ki gayi hai, aur is waqt yeh level 1.3257 hai. Agar yeh trendline aur level nahi tikte, to further decline ki umeed hai, shayad yeh support level 1.3008 tak bhi pahunch sakta hai, jo haal hi mein touch kiya gaya tha pehle price ke upar uthne se, aur yeh level September ka monthly low bhi hai. Is waqt buying ka sochna nahi hai; strategy yeh hai ke chhote timeframes par sirf downside par kaam karna hai jab corresponding formations banti hain.

Aaj ka main news package 15:30 Moscow time par hai, jismein shamil hain: US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki total taadaad, Core Durable Goods Orders, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, Durable Goods Orders, US Gross Domestic Product, US GDP Deflator, aur US Initial Jobless Claims. 16:00 se 20:00 tak US Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ka speech bhi hai.

Is waqt ki haalaat ko dekhte hue, traders kisi bhi significant triggers ka intezar kar rahe honge jo next big move ko drive kar sakte hain. Chahe yeh economic data, policy changes, ya broader market sentiment shifts ke zariye aaye, GBP/USD pair potential volatility ke liye tayaar hai, aur traders ko dono directions mein sharp swings ke liye tayaar rehna chahiye. Yeh sab kuch trading decisions par asar daal sakta hai, isliye focus aur strategy ka hona zaroori hai.

GBP/USD ka current hal, jo 1.3378 par trade kar raha hai, ek bearish trend ko zahir karta hai jo ke aakhri kuch sessions se barqarar hai. Yeh trend is baat ki nishani hai ke British pound (GBP) apni qeemat US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein kho raha hai, jo ke mukhtalif economic factors ka nateeja hai jo dono currencies ko mutasir kar rahe hain.Yeh bearish sentiment UK mein jari economic uncertainties se linked ho sakta hai, jin mein mehngai ka khauf, economic growth ke masail, aur Bank of England (BoE) ke taraf se monetary policy mein tabdeeliyan shamil hain. Saath hi, market US ke taraf se Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions aur inflation data jaise factors par bhi react kar raha hai, jo dollar ki taqat ko baray peemane par asar andaz kar sakte hain.Is waqt ke bearish trend ke bawajood, kuch nishaniyan hain ke GBP/USD mein agle dinon mein aik significant movement ho sakti hai. Traders aksar volatility ka intezar karte hain jab key economic announcements ya geopolitical events market sentiment ko tabdeel kar sakte hain. Aane wale economic reports, jaise employment data, GDP growth figures, ya inflation statistics UK aur US dono ke taraf se, qeemat mein taghayyur ka sabab ban sakti hain.Mazid, technical analysis se bhi potential reversal points ya continuation patterns ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. Agar pair kisi ahm support level ke qareeb pohanchta hai, toh ho sakta hai ke wahan se ek bounce back ho, jo current bearish trend mein reversal ka izhar kare. Baraks, agar yeh support levels ke neechey toot jata hai, toh girawat tez ho sakti hai.Nateejatan, jab ke GBP/USD abhi bearish tendencies ko show kar raha hai, lekin aik bara price movement agle roz ufaq par nazar aa raha hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, economic news par nazar rakhni chahiye, aur technical analysis ka sahara le kar is currency pair ke aanay walay fluctuations ko handle karna chahiye.

**Price Movement of GBP/USD Pair**

**Current Price Action**

Haal hi mein, GBP/USD pair ne nayi positive momentum dikhayi hai, khaaskar Thursday ke Asian trading session ke dauran. Yeh pair 1.3430 level ke qareeb se tezi se rebound hua, jo March 2022 ke baad se iska sabse buland point hai. Federal Reserve ke kai officials ke koshishon ke bawajood, jo market ki umeedon ko aagey ke monetary easing ke hawale se counter kar rahe hain, investor sentiment ab bhi optimistic hai ke November tak ek significant rate cut ho sakta hai. Yeh optimism, aur global financial markets mein broader bullish sentiment, GBP/USD pair ko ek full correction se bacha rahe hain, jab ke US dollar apne recent dip se recover hone ki koshish kar raha hai jo year-to-date lows ke qareeb tha.

**Factors Supporting the GBP**

Ek aham factor jo British pound (GBP) ko madad de raha hai, wo yeh hai ke umeed hai ke Bank of England (BoE) ka rate-cutting cycle US ki counterpart se dheerey hoga. Monetary policy expectations ka yeh contrast GBP/USD exchange rate ke upward movement mein madadgar sabit ho raha hai. Lekin, bullish investors zyada aggressive upward trades mein dakhil hone se pehle Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ke trajectory par zyada solid evidence ka intezar karenge. Aane wale dino mein, traders FOMC ke aham members, khaaskar Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, ke speeches ko ghor se dekhenge, kyun ke yeh US dollar ki strength ko asar andaz kar sakti hain aur nayi trading momentum paida kar sakti hain.

**Market Caution Amid Optimism**

Optimistic outlook ke bawajood, market mein ehtiyaat ka rujhan bhi hai, jo ke technical indicators mein nazar aata hai. Stochastic oscillator overbought territory mein dakhil ho chuka hai, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 level se bounce hone ke baad downward trend dikhata hai. Is ke ilawa, 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) apni bullish momentum kho rahi hai, jo pair par downward pressure ka ishara deti hai. Agar market mein pullback hota hai, to GBP/USD support level 1.3265 par ja sakta hai, aur us ke baad 20-day moving average jo ke 1.3170 ke qareeb hai. Agar girawat jari rehti hai, to yeh 1.3113 par upward movement ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level test kar sakta hai, aur phir 1.3000 level tak girne ka imkaan hai, jo ke 50-day moving average ke sath align karta hai.

**Potential for Further Upward Movement**

Dosri taraf, agar upward pressure wapas aata hai, to price 1.3400 area tak ja sakta hai, aur longer-term target ke tor par 1.3640 tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai, jo ke February 2022 mein established hua tha.

**Conclusion**

Akhir mein, jab ke GBP/USD pair ne favorable economic conditions aur BoE ke dheere rate-cutting approach ke sabab resilience aur mazid upside potential dikhayi hai, traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Market signals aur key economic releases par ghor karna bohot zaroori hoga, kyun ke yeh factors price movements ko kisih bhi direction mein significant tor par asar andaz kar sakte hain.

**Chart D1 - Currency Pair GBP/USD**

Jaisa ke pehle andaza lagaya gaya tha, price kal ki trading session mein neeche chali gayi. Wave structure abhi bhi ek ascending order mein ban raha hai, aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - jo ke ek strong sell signal hai. CCI indicator bhi overbought zone se neeche aa chuka hai aur bearish divergence dikhata hai. Yeh saaf hai ke market in signals par react hua hai aur price gir gaya hai. Kal ka candle poori tarah se pehle ke bullish candle ko engulf kar gaya, jo ke bearish engulfing candlestick pattern banata hai. Yeh sell signals ko confirm karta hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke is overall situation ke madde nazar, aane wale waqt mein price neeche ki taraf pressure mein rahega, ascending trendline ki taraf jo ke higher daily waves ke lows se draw ki gayi hai aur 1.3257 ke level par. Agar yeh trendline aur level mazboot nahi rahe, to aage aur girawat ki umeed hai, shayad support level 1.3008 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai, jo ke haal hi mein price ke upar uthane se pehle touch kiya gaya tha, aur yeh level September ka monthly low bhi hai. Is waqt buying ka koi plan nahi hai; strategy yeh hai ke chhoti timeframes par sirf neeche ki taraf kaam kiya jaye jab relevant formations hoti hain.

Aaj ka main news package 15:30 Moscow time par scheduled hai: Total number of individuals receiving unemployment benefits in the US, Core Durable Goods Orders in the US, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index in the US, Durable Goods Orders in the US, US Gross Domestic Product, US GDP Deflator, US Initial Jobless Claims. 16:00 se 20:00 tak - US Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ki speech.

Maujooda halaat ko dekhte hue, traders kisi bhi aham triggers ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo agla bada move drive kar sakte hain. Chahe yeh economic data, policy changes, ya broader market sentiment shifts ke tor par aaye, GBP/USD pair volatility ke liye tayyar hai, aur traders ko dono directions mein sharp swings ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Naye resistance levels ki kami yeh dikhati hai ke price mein further declines ki umeed hai, aur market reversal ke chances kam hain jab ke US dollar mazboot ho raha hai. Is analysis ke madde nazar, GBP/USD exchange rate ke barhne ki thodi si umeed hai, jo shayad 1.3169 tak pohanch sakta hai, phir aage neeche ki taraf trend continue kar sakta hai. Price shayad 1.3074 se neeche break kare, jo ke agla minimum level ban sakta hai jahan buyers apne stop-loss orders rakh sakte hain.

**GBP/USD Daily Chart Analysis**

GBP/USD ke 1-day chart par ek mazboot uptrend nazar aa raha hai, jahan price ab 1.33754 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai, jo bullish sentiment ko darshata hai aur is pair ko pehle ke resistance levels ko todne mein madad di hai. Haal ki price action mein displaced liquidity (DLiq) zones 1.25000 aur 1.30000 par dekhe gaye hain, jinhon ne price ke uncha uthane se pehle retest kiya. Yeh areas ab crucial support levels ke taur par kaam karte hain. Is uptrend mein maujood fair value gaps (FVGs) bhi yeh darshate hain ke kuch unmitigated zones hain jo baad mein price ke pullbacks ke liye price magnets ban sakte hain.

Ek major resistance zone 1.35000 ke aas-paas hai, jo chart ke upper liquidity clusters mein dikh raha hai. Yeh psychological level ab tak break nahi hua hai, aur traders iski potential rejection ya breakthrough par nazar rakh rahe hain, jo market ki agle phase ka tay karega. Agar price is resistance ko todne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, to agla significant target shayad 1.36500 ke aas-paas hoga, jahan further liquidity maujood hai aur yeh 2024 mein dekha gaya peak bhi hai.

Downside par, koi bhi retracement price ko recently tested DLiq zones par wapas le ja sakta hai, khaas taur par 1.30000 aur 1.25000 ke aas-paas, kyunki yeh areas historically bullish momentum ko support karte rahe hain. In levels ke beech kuch FVGs bhi maujood hain, jo corrective movements ki sambhavnayein darshate hain isse pehle ke upward leg se pehle.

Is daily timeframe par broader structure ek long-term bullish market structure ko darshata hai, jahan higher highs aur higher lows consistently saal ke shuruat se ban rahe hain. Yeh current trend ki taqat ko confirm karta hai, lekin volatility aur tez retracements ki umeed hai, khaas taur par jab pair key resistance levels ke kareeb pahunchta hai.

Akhir mein, GBP/USD ab bhi mazboot upward momentum dikhata hai, jahan 1.35000 bulls ke liye immediate target hai. Lekin, caution zaroori hai kyunki pair overbought conditions ke nazdeek hai, aur agar yeh resistance ko clear karne mein nakam raha, to yeh corrective phase ki taraf le ja sakta hai, price ko 1.30000 zone ki taraf la sakta hai jahan liquidity maujood hai. Traders ko ya to 1.35000 ke upar breakout ka intezar karna chahiye ya phir support zones par pullback ka dekhna chahiye, pehle significant decisions lene se.

BP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg
Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain

USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai. GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend segment 22 April se shuru hua aur ab tak ek five-wave form le chuka hai, hume ab kam se kam ek three-wave correction expect karni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, pair ko 1.2627 ke aas-paas targets ke saath sell karna consider karna chahiye. Lekin abhi tak kisi bhi last upward wave ke end ka signal nahi hai, lekin corrective wave ke formation ki umeed abhi bhi ki ja sakti hai. Bade wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum ek complex aur extended upward corrective structure ka assumption le sakte hain. Filhal ye ek three-wave structure hai, lekin ye five-wave structure mein bhi transform ho Click image for larger versions

Click image for larger version

GBP/USD currency pair ke price movement yeh indicate karte hain ke bears ne market ko control kar liya hai non-farm payroll data ke release ke baad. Price 1.3141 level ke neeche gir gayi hai, aur downward trend tab tak chalne ke ummeed hai jab tak price 1.2796 tak nahi pohnchti. Agar pair 1.2793 ke neeche stabilize hoti hai, toh price zigzag pattern mein girti rahegi. Indicators buy positions mein kami dikhate hain, aur RSI thoda increase kar raha hai last candle ke temporary upward movement ke wajah se H4 chart par. Naye resistance levels ki kami yeh suggest karti hai ke price mein zyada girawat aayegi, aur market reversal ke chances kam hain kyunki U.S. dollar mazboot ho raha hai.

Analysis ke basis par, GBP/USD exchange rate thoda increase karne ki ummeed hai, jo 1.3169 tak pohnch sakta hai, uske baad downward trend continue hone ka mumkinah hai, aur buyers ke support ke neeche 1.3074 ko break kar sakta hai, jo ek agla minimum level ho sakta hai jahan buyers apne stop-loss orders place kar sakte hain. Lekin, ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke agar price breakout kar ke 1.3179 ke upar consolidate karti hai, toh British pound mazboot ho sakta hai aur saal ke naye highs tak pohnch sakta hai, jo ke 1.3264 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Indicators abhi price chart par decline ki taraf zyada lean karte hain, na ke significant rise ki taraf. Aane wale Federal Reserve meeting aur interest rate decision ki wajah se, market mein agle hafte high volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai, isliye cautious trading aur stop-loss orders ka istemal karna behtar hoga.

Chart yeh indicate karta hai ke potential U.S. recession ka zikr nahi tha, jo initially GBP/USD exchange rate ko barhane ki wajah bana, lekin yeh trend jaldi reverse ho gaya aur price ab gir rahi hai. Decline ko 1.3010 par support mil sakta hai, jo price ko rebound karne aur overall upward trend ko continue karne ka mauka de sakta hai. GBP/USD pair ne economic data releases ki wajah se significant volatility experience ki, aur weekly candle pin bar ke roop mein close hui, jo suggest karta hai ke decline continue ho sakti hai agar price previous week's low

GBP/USD H1 Analysis Assalam-o-Alaikum doston, aaj dopahar mein GBP/USD currency pair ka H1 time frame par analysis karne ki koshish karunga. Guzishta chand dino mein GBP/USD H1 time frame par kaafi pressure mein raha hai aur jab market aaj close hogi, toh yeh currency pair ab bhi upar ya neeche trade kar raha hoga. Is ke baraks, is mein izafa ho sakta hai. Jab market mein bari movement hoti hai, toh hum technical analysis ke zariye GBP/USD currency pair mein entry lene ki koshish karenge.

Mein H1 time frame par trend ko samajhne ke liye moving average indicator period 21 aur moving average indicator period 34 ka bhi istimaal karunga. Filhaal price apne moving average indicators ke upar move kar rahi hai, isliye GBP/USD bullish trend mein hai, jahan yeh agle resistance 1.3264 ke price level tak push karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai.

Kal Friday ko GBP/USD market pair par sellers ka zyada control tha, jo ke buyers ke bullish trend ko resistance area 1.3153-1.3150 ke neeche rokne mein kaamyab rahe. Yeh resistance area sellers ne mazbooti se defend kiya, jis se price neeche bearish move karne lagi, halankeh yeh distance ziada bara nahi tha, lekin sellers ka control zyada dikhai diya.

Daily time frame par Moving Average indicator ke zariye dekha jaye, toh price ab bhi Red MA 50 area 1.2954-1.2956 ke upar hai, aur bullish candlesticks dobara dominate kar rahi hain. Lekin, strong seller determination ki wajah se jab market close hogi, toh sellers ke paas bearish move ko continue karne ka moqa ho sakta hai. Unka target hoga ke price ko buyer support area 1.3035-1.3033 ke neeche le jayein, aur agar yeh level break ho gaya, toh Red MA 50 area tak raste khul sakte hain.

Monday ke trading session mein ab bhi bearish trend continue hone ke chances hain, jab tak sellers prices ko apne resistance area ke neeche rakhe hue hain. Bearish seller ka pehla target buyer support area 1.3104-1.3102 hoga, aur agar yeh level validly break ho gaya, toh agla target buyer demand support area 1.3055-1.3053 hoga.

GBP/USD currency pair ne haali mein ek upward engulfing pattern banaya hai, jo ek bullish technical indicator hota hai aur is ka matlab yeh hai ke price mein mazeed upward momentum ka imkaan ho sakta hai. Is context mein, price action yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers ya "longs" abhi bhi 1.3395 ke level par active rehne ka imkaan rakhte hain. Yeh level un traders ke liye ek ahem point hai jo yeh samajhte hain ke price aur zyada barh sakti hai. Magar, market dynamics yeh bhi dikhate hain ke price apni upward trend ko barqarar rakhne se pehle temporary rollback ya pullback dekh sakta hai.
Upward Engulfing Pattern ko Samajhna


Upward engulfing pattern tab banta hai jab ek choti bearish candlestick ke baad ek bari bullish candlestick banti hai jo pichle din ke price action ko mukammal tor par "engulf" kar leti hai. Is pattern ko aam tor par reversal signal samjha jata hai, jo yeh batata hai ke downward trend apni taqat kho raha hai aur buyers market par qaboo hasil kar rahe hain. GBP/USD ke case mein, upward engulfing pattern yeh reflect karta hai ke traders mein optimism barh raha hai ke pound dollar ke muqable mein qareebi waqt mein mazid taqat hasil kar sakta hai.

1.3395 ka level bohot zyada ahem hai kyun ke yeh woh point hai jahan buying interest barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. GBP/USD mein long positions lene wale traders ke liye yeh level attractive ho sakta hai ke apni positions open ya aur zyada badhayein, kyun ke engulfing pattern yeh zahir karta hai ke price yahan se barh sakti hai. Lekin broader market conditions aur kisi bhi resistance levels ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo upward momentum ko rok sakte hain.
Pullback ka Imkaan


Is bullish signal ke bawajood, kuch indications hain ke price mein ek pullback ho sakta hai jab tak ke upward move mazeed barh na jaye. Short positions ya "shorts" kaafi imkaan hai ke 1.3310 ke aas paas profit lena shuru kar dein, jo un traders ka level hai jo pair mein temporary decline ka soch rahe hain. Yeh pullback market ko consolidation ka waqt de sakta hai, jisse price ko mazeed strength mil sakti hai taake phir se higher levels ki taraf move karein.

Rollback 1.3340 ya 1.3370 tak bhi ho sakta hai, jahan short sellers is opportunity ka faida utha sakte hain ke price apne upward momentum ko sustain nahi kar paa rahi. Yeh levels support aur resistance areas ke tor par kaam karte hain jahan price action zyada volatile ho sakta hai jab mukhtalif traders apni positions adjust karte hain.
Nazar Rakhne Wale Ahem Factors


Bohot se fundamental factors GBP/USD pair ki direction ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. UK aur US se anay wali economic data bohot ahem role ada karegi ke pound dollar ke muqable mein mazeed taqat hasil karta hai ya nahi. Maslan, agar UK ki GDP growth ya inflation data mazid strong aati hai, toh pound ko aur support milne ka imkaan hai. Dusri taraf, agar UK economy mein koi weakness hoti hai, toh traders long positions lene mein ehtiyaat karenge.

Isi tarah, US dollar ke developments bhi pair par asar dal sakte hain. Dollar ko rising interest rate expectations ka faida ho raha hai, aur agar Federal Reserve mazeed aggressive monetary tightening ka signal deta hai, toh dollar mazeed taqat hasil kar sakta hai, jisse GBP/USD ko upward move sustain karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

Market sentiment aur geopolitical factors bhi pair ki performance ko influence karenge. Maslan, agar koi unexpected political development hoti hai, khaaskar Brexit ya US-UK trade relations se related, toh market mein volatility aa sakti hai jo price action mein rapid shifts ka sabab ban sakti hai.
Nateeja


GBP/USD pair mein upward engulfing pattern ka formation yeh suggest karta hai ke abhi bhi upward move ka imkaan hai, aur 1.3395 ka level ek ahem interest point hai long traders ke liye. Magar, ek pullback ka imkaan abhi bhi barqarar hai aur 1.3310 ke aas paas ho sakta hai, aur rollback 1.3340 ya 1.3370 tak ho sakta hai jab tak ke pair apni upward trajectory ko phir se na pakray. Traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur technical aur fundamental factors ko dekhte hue apne trading decisions lena chahiye, aur risk management strategies ko apply karna zaroori hai taake unexpected market shifts se apni positions ko protect kiya ja sake.

GBP/USD pair Monday ko 1.3260 balance level par ek ahem marhala ka saamna kar raha hai, jo qeemat ka ek ahem point hai jo pair ki short-term direction ka faisla kar sakta hai. Agar pair is level ke upar break nahi kar pata, toh yeh ek reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, aur price wapis 1.3260 support par retest karne ke liye neeche ja sakti hai. Yeh level traders ke liye ek bohot ahem support zone hoga, jahan nayi buying interest ka imkaan hai, jo price ko phir se upar le ja sakti hai. Is level ke upar break na kar pana yeh zahir karta hai ke market participants aur zyada bullish momentum ke baghair price ko upar push karne mein hesitant hain.

Agar GBP/USD pair 1.3260 level ke upar convincingly breach kar jata hai, toh yeh ek correction ka imkaan banata hai. Is balance ke upar break karna shayad sustain na ho sake, jisse price H1 support par 1.2180 tak neeche aa sakta hai, jo ek corrective move ho sakti hai. H1 support woh area hai jahan pair ko temporary relief mil sakta hai pehle ke yeh apne longer-term bullish trend ko continue kare. Is scenario mein short-term sellers price ki pullback ka faida utha sakte hain, jab ke longer-term bulls is level par entry lene ka soch sakte hain jab price neeche aayegi.

Agar pair 1.2180 level ke aas paas support paata hai, toh ek rebound hone ka imkaan zyada hai jo GBP/USD ko phir se upar ki taraf le ja sakta hai uske agle targets ki taraf. Yeh rebound pair ko 1.3420 aur phir 1.3510 tak le ja sakta hai, jo do ahem resistance levels hain jahan traders bullish move ki taqat ko dobara evaluate karenge. 1.2180 support zone se rebound yeh confirm karega ke corrective move temporary thi aur broader uptrend abhi bhi barqarar hai, jo pair mein mazeed taqat ko zahir karta hai.

Akhir mein, GBP/USD ek critical point par hai, jahan 1.3260 ek bohot ahem balance point ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Agar pair is level ke upar break karta hai ya wahan se reverse hota hai, yeh uski short-term direction ka faisla karega. Agar pair break nahi kar pata, toh shayad 1.3260 ko dobara retest kare aur phir ek rally ho, jab ke successful breach ek corrective move ko 1.2180 tak le ja sakti hai. Wahan se pair rebound karne ka imkaan hai aur key upside targets 1.3420 aur 1.3510 tak push kar sakta hai, jo overall bullish outlook ko barqarar rakhta hai. Traders ko in levels par closely nazar rakhni hogi taake pair ke agle major move ki confirmation ho sake.

USD/JPY Currency Pair ka Tajziya
USD/JPY currency pair ne 143.22 ke aas-paas aik mazboot base bana liya hai, jab ke investors Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke recent comments ko gahri nazar se dekh rahe hain. Ueda ke remarks yeh dikhate hain ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) monetary policy mein bara ehtiyaat se kaam le raha hai aur interest rate hikes mein deri karne ka irada hai.

Governor Ueda ne yeh wazeh kiya ke policy decisions lene se pehle market aur economic conditions ka gehra tajziya karna zaroori hai, jo ke foran rate hike ke chances ko kam kar deta hai. Ueda ne external risks, jaise ke financial markets mein volatility aur U.S. economy ke hawalay se uncertainties ko bhi highlight kiya, jo Japan ki monetary policy ko mutasir kar sakte hain.

September ki meeting mein, BoJ ne apni interest rates 0.25% par barqarar rakhi, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq thi. Ab yeh speculation hai ke October ki meeting mein Monetary Policy Committee mein koi tabdeeli nahi aayegi. Lekin December tak, BoJ ko itne saboot mil sakte hain ke woh rate hike par ghoor kar sake.

Is dauran, U.S. dollar mein girawat, jo ke weak U.S. consumer confidence data ki wajah se hui, yen ko mazeed taqat de rahi hai. Yeh girawat Federal Reserve ke mazeed rate cuts ki umeedon ko bhi barha rahi hai.

Is waqt, USD/JPY aik broad consolidation zone mein hai, jahan yeh 143.43 aur 144.66 ke darmiyan trade kar raha hai. Market ne downside ko 142.55 tak test karna shuru kar diya hai, lekin umeed hai ke price upper limit ki taraf rebound karegi. Agar price 144.70 ke upar break karti hai, toh yeh raasta 145.77 tak jaane ka bana sakta hai, aur shayad 146.66 tak bhi jaaye. Dosri taraf, agar price 142.00 tak girti hai aur mazeed neeche jaati hai, toh yeh 137.77 tak trend continuation ka signal de sakti hai. MACD indicator bhi is bullish scenario ko support karta hai, kyun ke iski signal line zero ke upar hai aur upwards trend mein hai.

Akhir mein, USD/JPY pair abhi aik aham mor par hai, jahan mukhtalif external factors aur BoJ ka ehtiyaat se barhawa policy approach agle movements ko mutasir kar sakti hai. Investors ko in dynamics ko closely dekhte rehna chahiye jab ke yeh unfold ho rahe hain.

GBP/USD Ka Halat: Ek Aham Mod


GBP/USD ka jora ab ek ahem makam par hai, jahan 1.3260 ka balance level hai. Yeh price area short-term direction ko tay karega.
1.3260 ka Balance Level


GBP/USD agar is level ko todne mein nakam rahe, toh yeh ek reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke price phir se 1.3260 ke support par aane ke liye ghat sakti hai. Traders is point ko ek ahem support zone ke taur par dekhenge, jahan par kharidari ki nayi lehr samne aa sakti hai. Agar buyers is level par wapas aate hain, toh phir seh price upar jaane ki koshish karegi.
Break Above 1.3260


Agar GBP/USD is level ko mazbooti se todne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh iska matlab hai ke correction ka moka mil sakta hai. Lekin, agar yeh breakthrough sustainable nahi hota, toh price 1.2180 ketar support ki taraf ghat sakti hai. Yeh H1 support ek badi key area hai jahan trading ka ek aur phase shuru ho sakta hai.
1.2180 Support Zone


Jab price 1.2180 ko support ke tahat accept karti hai, toh wapas rebound hone ki sambhavana hai. Is rebound se GBP/USD ke liye naye targets tayar ho sakte hain, jaise 1.3420 aur 1.3510. Yeh levels traders ke liye naye resistance areas honge jahan woh bullish trend ki taqat ka eyaas karenge.
Naye Resistance Levels


1.3420 aur 1.3510 par pahunchnay par, traders ko special tawajjo deni hogi kyunki yeh do levels naye resistance points hain. Agar price in levels ko todne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh iska matlab yeh hoga ke bullish trend bohot mazboot hai aur GBP/USD ka outlook bhi positive hai.
Nateejah


Aakhir mein, GBP/USD ek ahem mod par hai. 1.3260 ki value critical hai kyunki is par break karne se ya reverse hone se short-term direction tay hota hai. Agar yeh level nahi tutta toh yeh wapas 1.3260 ki taraf ja sakta hai, lekin agar isse sustainably breach kiya jata hai toh correction ki taraf dikkat karni chahiye. Is tasveer mein 1.2180 ki taraf aik mauka zaroori hai, jahan se nayi bullish movement ki sambhavana hai. Traders ko in levels ko dhyan se dekhna chahiye taake unhe next major move ka confirmation mil sake.