جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Igor Anatolyevich, aapko shandaar weekend ki dua! Abhi ghante ke chart par, khareedari ke targets ban chuke hain. Pehla target Fibonacci grid ke 161.8 level par hai, jo ke 1.3172 ke value par hai. Doosra target 261.8 level par hai, jo ke 1.3212 ke value par hai. Teesra target 423.6 level par hai aur yeh bullish structure ko darshata hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator jo market ki balance of power ko dikhata hai, chart par noise ko smooth karta hai aur technical analysis ko aasaan banaata hai, is se trading decisions ki accuracy bhi barh jati hai.
TMA channel indicator (laal, neela, aur peela rang) support aur resistance lines ko twice smoothed moving averages par build karta hai aur instrument ke movement ki current boundaries ko darshata hai, jo market ke sath dynamically change hoti hain.

Hamare guftagu ka mawad GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka evaluation hai. U.S. mein, GBP/USD pair abhi bhi mumkin hai kyunki kal Britain ka GDP release hone wala hai. Technically, hum "Descending Triangle" pattern ka retest dekh rahe hain. Is level se bounce hona selling opportunity ka signal ho sakta hai, pehla target EMA200 ho sakta hai jo ab 1.3019 par aa gaya hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke GBP/USD ne downward reversal shuru kar diya hai. Market news ka intezaar kar rahi hai jo shayad pehle se hi mumkin hai, isliye dollar ke against negative response robust nahi ho sakta. Long term mein, pair ka decline zyada mumkin lagta hai. Lekin, aaj Britain ka employment data bilkul unexpected tha.

Pound-dollar pair ke bare mein, H1 chart par, price ne din ke low 1.3049 se teen ghante pehle reversal kiya aur upward movement shuru ki. Yeh bearish Bollinger Bands zone mein 1.3068 par hai, CCI mid line ke neeche hai aur MACD histogram zero ke neeche hai. Jaldi reversal hua, aur pair wapas 1.3024 par chala gaya. Ab, chaliye price action ko sirf Fibonacci grid ka istemal karke dekhein. Dekhein price kis tarah se move kar rahi hai. April 22, 2024 se wave trend ne sub-wave ko break kiya aur saal ki high 1.3044 ko update kiya pehle retracing se second wave par, jo ke 1.2669 se bounce hua—a textbook 50% Fibonacci retracement of the first wave's trend. Abhi third wave chal rahi hai. Aam taur par, 138 aur 161 levels Fibonacci grid par classic correction ke doran aate hain. 138 level abhi tak mumkin nahi hua, aur price usay hit karne ki ummed hai

/USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai.
GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend segment 22 April se shuru hua aur ab tak ek five-wave form le chuka hai, hume ab kam se kam ek three-wave correction expect karni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, pair ko 1.2627 ke aas-paas targets ke saath sell karna consider karna chahiye. Lekin abhi tak kisi bhi last upward wave ke end ka signal nahi hai, lekin corrective wave ke formation ki umeed abhi bhi ki ja sakti hai.
Bade wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum ek complex aur extended upward corrective structure ka assumption le sakte hain. Filhal ye ek three-wave structure hai, lekin ye five-wave structure mein bhi transform ho Click image for larger versions

**GBP/USD Daily Market Analysis**

Salam dosto, aaj dopahar mein main GBP/USD currency pair ka jaiza lene ki koshish karunga. Is waqt jo pattern ban raha hai, wo bearish hai kyunki price divergence stochastic indicator ke khilaf hai. Main ye dekhne ki koshish karunga ke kya ye bearish trend sirf correction hai ya trend reversal. Iske liye, main D1 time frame ka istemal karunga, jo ke movement ko samajhne mein kaafi reliable hai. Pehle trend ko analyze karne ke liye, main moving average indicator ka period 21 aur 34 D1 time frame par dekhta hoon. Abhi moving average indicator ka trend upar hai, aur price moving average se upar hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke trend abhi bhi bullish hai, is liye decline sirf ek correction hogi.

Current market conditions ab bhi Friday ki tarah hain. Exchange rate 1.3260 par balanced hai, jahan H1 chart par support level 1.3180 aur H4 chart par 1.3060 hai. Is pair mein aage barhne ki potential hai, jo 1.3380 tak ja sakta hai aur shayad 1.3420 ko bhi paar kar sakta hai. Lekin agar GBP/USD is Monday ko 1.3260 ke balance ko todne mein nakam raha, to ye reverse ho kar wapas us level par aa sakta hai, phir se apne upward trend ko resume karne se pehle.

Agar pair 1.3260 ko tod leta hai, to ye ulat kar H1 support 1.2180 tak gir sakta hai, jo ke ek corrective move hoga. Wahan se ye wapas rebound kar sakta hai aur 1.3420 aur 1.3510 ki taraf barh sakta hai, jab tak H1 support nahi toota. Agar H1 support toota, to correction gehri ho jayegi, aur GBP/USD phir se H4 support 1.3060 tak gir sakta hai, jahan se aage barhne ki umeed hai. Lekin agar H4 support bhi toota, to bullish outlook khatam ho jayega aur pair bearish ho sakta hai.

Is analysis ke zariye, traders ko samajhna chahiye ke market ki current conditions ko kaise handle karna hai. Har surat mein, timely decisions lena aur market movements par nazar rakhna bohot zaroori hai. Aakhir mein, ye dekhna hoga ke kya price patterns hamein bullish ya bearish trend ki taraf le ja rahe hain.

GBP/USD

Aakhri kaam ka hafta, pound ne uptrend resume karne ki koshish ki, magar apne local highs banane ke baad qaim na reh saka aur girawat shuru hui. Ibtida mein price 1.3170 ke level se upar chali gayi, magar wahan ek wazeh rukawat ka samna hua, jis ki wajah se price ne sari positions kho di aur wapas shuruati levels, jo ke 1.3082 ke qareeb thay, par aa gayi. Nateeja yeh nikla ke umeed ki gayi growth hasil nahi ho saki, magar target territory ab bhi workable hai. Us waqt, price chart supertrend red zone mein move karna shuru kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers apni koshishen jaari rakhe huye hain. Technical front par, aaj 4-hour chart mein dekhne se nazar aata hai ke negative pressure simple moving averages par hai, jo ke daily downward price curve ko support karte hain, aur yeh chart par ek bearish technical structure ki nishani hai.

Is hisaab se, aaj ke trading session ke doran downtrend ke resume hone ka imkaan hai, aur agla official level 1.3050 hai, jisme target aage chal kar 1.3000 par jaane ka imkaan hai. Kul mila kar, jab tak trading 1.3130 ke level se neeche stable hai, hum overall bearish trend par remain karenge. Agar is level ko break karte hain, toh yeh bearish scenario ko rok dega aur pair ko 1.3170 ki taraf le jaayega. Yeh retest ka trigger hoga, aur is level par rise ka imkaan ho sakta hai 1.3200 tak.



Naye hafta ke liye conditions bilkul wahi hain jo Friday ki subah thi. Din ka balance 1.3260 par hai, H1 support 1.3180 par hai, aur H4 support 1.3060 par hai. Agar pair 1.3380 tak grow karta hai, toh wahan se 1.3420 tak jaane ka imkaan hai. Agar Monday ko GBP/USD din ke balance 1.3260 ko todne mein nakaam hota hai, toh rollback aur targets ki taraf growth ka reversal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar balance of the day 1.3260 ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh pair H1 support 1.2180 tak decline karega, jahan se growth ka reversal 1.3420 aur 1.3510 ki taraf ho sakta hai, lekin sirf is surat mein ke H1 support break na ho. Agar H1 support break hota hai, toh correction ka depth barh jaayega aur GBP/USD pair H4 support 1.3060 tak rollback karega, jahan se phir bhi growth ka intezar hai. Lekin agar H4 support break hota hai, toh growth cancel ho jaayegi aur trend south ki taraf move karega. Jab tak H4 support break nahi hota, 1.3670 ka main target growth ke liye relevant rahega.

GBP/USD currency pair ab tak side way chal raha hai. Is liye, aaj be-waja floating se bachne ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke European market ke khulne ka sabr se intezar kiya jaye. Ek trader ke liye behtareen faisla yeh hai ke sabr se sahi waqt ka intezar karein. Agar hum technical point of view se dekhein, tou GBP/USD currency pair H1 time frame mein ab tak downward trajectory par hai. Kal ke sharp rise ke baad aaj ek significant fall dekhne ko mili hai. Is situation mein, agle move ko anticipate karna aur disciplined stop loss ko maintain karna zaroori hai.
Fundamental point of view se dekha jaye tou USD index ke recent movements mein kuch din ki girawat ke baad ab ek potential increase ka imkaan hai, jo GBP/USD ke opponents ko upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke USD opponent dobara girawat ki taraf ja sakta hai. Aapko fundamental news par nazar rakhni chahiye jo agle kuch din mein release hongi, taake forex calendar ko monitor karte hue aap ek acha forecast bana sakein.

Daily candles H4 time frame par red hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend chal raha hai. Hum clearly dekh sakte hain ke price pichle mahine ke shuru se gir rahi hai. Current decline ke sath price Original Demand area tak pohonch gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke wahan solid support hai. Is liye, price wapis upar move kar sakta hai taake supply area tak, jo TOP BB line ke upar hai, pohonch sake.

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein positive momentum gain kiya hai, khaaskar jab se yeh Wednesday ko 1.3200 level se upar gaya hai. Yeh movement zyada tar risk-on sentiment ki wajah se hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke investors ab zyada risk lene ke liye tayyar hain aur British pound jese assets mein invest kar rahe hain. Is movement ke peeche ek aham factor US Federal Reserve (Fed) ka interest rates ko kam karne ka imkaan hai. Kai analysts yeh predict kar rahe hain ke Fed rates ko 50 basis points (bps) se reduce karega. Agar aisa hota hai, tou US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai.

UK mein, sab Bank of England (BoE) par nazar rakhe hue hain. Is haftay UK apni CPI inflation data release karne wala hai, jo bohot ahem hai kyun ke yeh economy mein price increase ka pata deta hai. Agar inflation high hota hai, tou BoE interest rates ko barha sakta hai taake inflation ko control kar sake. Higher interest rates aam tor par British pound ko mazid mazboot karti hain. Fed ke rate cuts aur BoE ke rate hikes ke imkaan ke sath, GBP/USD pair ke liye bullish outlook banta hai. Investors UK inflation figures aur BoE ke rate decision ko ghor se monitor kar rahe hai

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Pound/dollar ka joda 1.3057 ki satah par trade kar raha hai. Bartanwi pound ek chadhte hue channel ke andar aage badh raha hai aur filhal iske bulandi par hai. Sab se zyada imkani scenario is channel ke andar kami ki tajwiz karta hai. RSI indicator chart ke oopri hisse me chala gaya hai, jis se zahir hota hai keh RSI strategy ke mutabiq pound/dollar ki jodi overbought hai, jo bechne walon ke haq me hai.



1-ghante ke chart par, pound/dollar ka joda moving average se ooper khula. MA strategy ke mutabiq, yah is bat ka ishara karta hai keh pound/dollar ke jode me MA satah par ja kar izafa karne ki salahiyat hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ne Monday ke din significant price action dekha, jisme market mai ek wazeh upward trend tha. Trading session ke aghaz par, price dheere dheere barhti rahi aur 1.3183 ke key trading level ko break karne mai kamiyab rahi. Yeh breakout 1.3183 ke upar bohot ahem tha, kyun ke isne market sentiment mai ek tabdeeli ko zahir kiya aur traders ke liye ek buy signal generate kiya. Aam tor par is breakout ke baad umeed yeh hoti hai ke price barhti rahegi aur agle major resistance level 1.3261 ko target karegi.
Pura Monday ke doran, GBP/USD pair ne apni position 1.3183 ke level ke upar barqarar rakhi, jo ke market mai bullish sentiment ko reinforce kar raha tha. Jab price consistently aik significant support ya resistance level ke upar rahti hai, to yeh current trend ki strength ko zahir karti hai. Is case mai, price ka 1.3183 ke upar rehna yeh dikhata hai ke buyers market mai control mai hain aur pair ko aglay target ki taraf, yani 1.3261 resistance, push kar rahe hain.

Jese ke anticipated tha, upward momentum Tuesday tak qaim raha, lekin GBP/USD pair ne session ke aghaz mai ek narrow range mai move kiya. Yeh range-bound movement aksar is wajah se hoti hai kyun ke market apni agle significant move se pehle consolidate karti hai. Consolidation ke baad, price phir se momentum gain karke pehle se identified resistance level, 1.3261, tak barhne lagi. Yeh movement Monday ke initial buy signal ko confirm karti hai, kyun ke price successfully anticipated resistance level tak pohanch gayi thi.

Lekin, jese hi GBP/USD pair 1.3261 resistance level ke qareeb pohancha, price action mai shift dekha gaya. Resistance levels aksar psychological barriers ke tor par kaam karte hain, jahan sellers aksar market mai shamil hote hain, jo ke market mai reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is case mai, price ne 1.3261 ke resistance ke qareeb reverse karna shuru kiya, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers dominate kar rahe hain aur market ko neeche ki taraf push kar rahe hain. Significant resistance levels par reversal aksar trend ke tabdeel hone ka ishara dete hain, aur traders in levels ko closely monitor karte hain taake bullish momentum ke kamzor hone ke asraat ko dekh sakein.

Is reversal ke baad, GBP/USD pair neeche ki taraf move hui aur wapas 1.3183 support level ke neeche break kar gayi. Support ke neeche break hona significant hota hai kyun ke is se pehle wala buy signal invalidate ho jata hai aur yeh zahir karta hai ke bearish pressure barh raha hai. Jab price ek key support level ke neeche move karti hai, to yeh is baat ki nishani hoti hai ke sellers control mai hain, aur market mai further declines ki umeed hoti hai.

Agar GBP/USD price 1.3183 level ke neeche stable ho jati hai, to yeh ek naya sell signal generate karegi, jisme agla target 1.3112 ka support level hoga. Technical analysis mai, jab support level break hota hai, to price aksar agle major support ki taraf move karti hai. Is scenario mai, traders ka focus 1.3112 level par hoga, jo ek aisa point ho sakta hai jahan market ko support milay aur phir se reverse kar sake.

GBP/USD pair ke overall price action ne support aur resistance levels ki ahmiyat ko highlight kiya hai jo ke market sentiment ko guide karte hain. Pehle 1.3183 ke upar breakout se strong upward trend aya, lekin 1.3261 ke qareeb reversal aur phir wapas 1.3183 ke neeche break hona market dynamics mai tabdeeli ka ishara deta hai. Aane walay dino mai traders closely price action ko dekhte rahenge, khaaskar yeh dekhne ke liye ke kya price 1.3183 ke neeche stable hoti hai, kyun ke yeh bearish trend ko confirm karegi jisme target 1.3112 ka support level hoga.

ستمبر 24 2024 کو جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی کے لئے پیش گوئی

برطانیہ میں ستمبر کے لئے کاروباری سرگرمی کے اشارے میں کمی کا مظاہرہ کیا گیا۔ خدمات کے شعبے میں سرگرمی متوقع 53.5 کے مقابلے میں 53.7 سے 52.8 ہوگئی۔ مینوفیکچرنگ پی ایم آئی اگست میں 52.5 کے مقابلے میں 51.5 پوائنٹس پر آئی۔



اس کے باوجود ، پاؤنڈ سٹرلنگ دن کے اختتام تک اٹھنے میں کامیاب ہوگئے (یورو کے برعکس ، جو پی ایم آئی کے کمزور نتائج کی وجہ سے بھی جدوجہد کر رہے تھے) ، ممکنہ طور پر متوقع امریکی پی ایم آئی سے تھوڑا سا کمزور ہونے کی حمایت کی جاتی ہے ، حالانکہ وہ پیش گوئی سے بہتر تھے۔ .

بہر حال ، پاؤنڈ دن میں کمزور ہورہا ہے۔ کل کی ہدف کی سطح 1.3360 اس کی آخری کامیابی ہوسکتی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ موڑ صرف مضبوط ہوتا جارہا ہے۔ 1.3300 کی سطح سے نیچے کی واپسی 1.3220 ہدف کی طرف ایک راستہ کھول دے گی۔

آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ ایک معمولی موڑ چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر قیمت کی کمزوری کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے۔ اگر مارلن آسیلیٹر منفی علاقے میں چلا جاتا ہے تو ، مختلف حدود کو نیچے کی طرف ٹوٹ جانے والے سگنل لائن میں تبدیل ہوجائے گا۔ 1.3300 سپورٹ لیول کے آس پاس کی جنگ بھی بیلنس اشارے لائن کے ساتھ لڑائی کے ساتھ منسلک ہوگی۔ اس کے لئے بیرونی (اسٹاک) یا متعلقہ (کرنسی) مارکیٹوں سے مدد کی ضرورت ہوگی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD pair ke liye current market conditions Friday se lagbhag wahi hain, jahan exchange rate 1.3260 par stable hai. Yeh level market mai ek balance point ko represent karta hai, jahan na to buyers aur na hi sellers ko koi wazeh faida hai, jiski wajah se trading environment mein ek relative stability nazar aati hai. H1 (one-hour) chart par aik key support level 1.3180 par identify kiya gaya hai, jabke H4 (four-hour) chart par support thoda neeche, 1.3060 par hai. Yeh support levels wo areas hain jahan agar price neeche jati hai to market ko buying interest mil sakta hai, jo further decline ko roknay mai madadgar hoga.
Is waqt GBP/USD pair mai mazeed upward movement ka potential hai. Agar market apni current trajectory ko barqarar rakhti hai, to yeh agle target 1.3380 tak barh sakti hai. Yeh level aik short-term resistance hai, aur iske upar break hona aik bullish signal hoga, jo price ke aur zyada barhnay ko zahir karega. Is scenario mai, pair 1.3420 tak bhi agay barh sakta hai, jo ek aur key resistance point hai aur traders ke liye aik long-term objective ho sakta hai jo bullish outlook rakhte hain.

Lekin, market ka aik crucial test 1.3260 balance level ke aas-paas hai. Agar Monday ko GBP/USD is balance point ke upar decisively break karne mai nakam rehti hai, to pair reverse kar sakti hai aur wapas is level tak retrace kar sakti hai. Aisa retracement necessarily upward trend ke khatam hone ko zahir nahi karta, lekin yeh aik consolidation period ko indicate kar sakta hai, jisse pehle pair apna upward momentum dobara se hasil kare aur 1.3380 aur shayad 1.3420 ke targets tak pohanchay. Forex trading mai aise movements aam tor par dekhe jate hain, jahan price significant levels ko retest karne se pehle koi decisive move karti hai.

Dosri taraf, aik bearish reversal ka bhi imkaan hai agar pair 1.3260 ke upar apni position barqarar rakhne mai nakam hoti hai. Is case mai, agar price is balance point ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh ek aur bara decline ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario play out hota hai, to pair daily chart (D1) par agle major support level 1.2180 tak ja sakti hai. Yeh corrective move market mai aik deeper pullback ko reflect karega, jo shayad traders ke liye aik naya opportunity de sakta hai ke wo market mai aik behtar price par enter karein, is se pehle ke upward trend dobara shuru ho.

Kul mila kar, GBP/USD pair aik critical juncture par hai. Jabke mazeed gains ka potential hai, traders ko price action ko 1.3260 level ke aas-paas closely dekhna hoga. Yeh dekha jayega ke pair is balance ke upar break karti hai ya wapas neeche retrace karti hai, jo market ke aglay direction ke bare mai ahm insights dega.

Pichle hafte ke shuruat se GBP/USD market ka analysis dikhata hai ke price downward correction ke taraf chal raha tha jab tak 100-period simple moving average line se neeche gir gaya. Bearish trend ne price ko lowest monthly zone tak, yani 1.3001 tak le aaya. Lekin jab market agay chali, to bearish trend continue nahi ho saka kyun ke buyers ne control le liya. Agar hum chart ko dekhein, to market shuruat se zyadatar bullish side par move kar raha tha, jo lowest position ko chhodte hue upar gaya.Pichle hafte seller ke pressure ki wajah se ek downward correction hua tha, lekin is hafte yeh bearish trend continue nahi ho saka. Abhi price 100-period simple moving average line se upar chal raha hai, aur buyer ab bhi upward trend ko maintain karne ki koshish mein hain. Journal ke update ke waqt, price 1.3347 zone ke aas paas chal raha tha, jo shuruat-e-hafta se zyada upar hai. Agar hum pichle kuch hafton ka price trend dekhein, to lagta hai ke price ka increase candlestick ko uptrend side par maintain karne mein madad karega.Akhri raat AUD/USD pair 1.3311 par open hua, aur 4-hour time frame par clearly dikh raha hai ke buyers ka control pichle hafte se price ko upar le ja raha hai. Halanke last week downward correction dekhne ko mili, buyers ab bhi umeed rakhe hue hain ke aglay uptrend ko dekhne ka mauqa milega. Pichle do hafton ka market trend zyadatar bullish raha hai, aur lagta hai ke is hafte bhi market uptrend ko continue karne ke liye intezar kar raha hai.Jab tak candlesticks 100-period simple moving average line se upar chalti hain, mere khayal mein is hafte market ke paas uptrend ko continue karne ka mauqa hai. Lekin Asian session mein market thoda quiet rehta hai aur correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai, is liye humein dopahar ya shaam tak intezar karna hoga taake koi clear trading signal mil sake. Agar buyers price ko 1.3362 - 1.3376 ke aas paas le jaane mein kaamyab ho jate hain, to agla bullish target 1.3424 ka price zone hoga.

GBP/USD pair par market analysis yeh dikha rahi hai ke Friday se market conditions consistent rahi hain, aur exchange rate 1.3260 par stable hai. Yeh level market ka balance point hai, jahan buyers aur sellers mein se kisi ko bhi upper hand nahi mila, jo ke stable trading environment ko suggest karta hai. H1 (one-hour) chart par 1.3180 ka ek key support level identify kiya gaya hai, jab ke H4 (four-hour) chart par support thoda neeche 1.3060 par hai. Yeh support levels un areas ko represent kartay hain jahan price agar neeche jaye, toh market buying interest dikha sakta hai aur further downside ko rok sakta hai.
Is waqt GBP/USD pair mein upward movement ka potential nazar aa raha hai. Agar market apna current trajectory maintain karay, toh yeh agle target 1.3380 tak barh sakta hai, jo ek short-term resistance hai. Agar price is level ke upar break karta hai, toh yeh bullish signal hoga, aur is se price aur barh kar 1.3420 tak ja sakti hai, jo ke traders ke liye ek longer-term objective ban sakta hai agar woh bullish outlook rakhte hain. Lekin market 1.3260 balance level par ek crucial test face kar raha hai. Agar Monday ko GBP/USD is level ko decisively break nahi karta, toh pair wapas se reverse ho sakta hai aur phir se usi level tak retrace kar sakta hai. Aisa retracement necessarily upward trend ka end nahi hoga, lekin yeh consolidation ka period indicate kar sakta hai jab tak pair phir se upward momentum resume kare aur 1.3380 aur shayad 1.3420 ke targets ko hit kare. Forex trading mein is tarah ki movement aam hai jahan price pehle significant levels ko retest karta hai phir ek decisive move banata hai.
Doosri taraf, agar pair 1.3260 ke upar apni position maintain nahi karta, toh bearish reversal ka bhi possibility hai. Aisa hone par, agar yeh balance point break hota hai, toh price ek zyada substantial decline ka shikar ho sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario play out karta hai, toh pair D1 (daily) chart ke agle major support level 1.2180 tak ja sakta hai. Yeh corrective move ek deeper pullback ko reflect karega, jo traders ke liye ek behtareen entry opportunity provide kar sakta hai pehle se zyada favorable price par, jab tak upward trend ke liye ek nayi koshish nahi hoti.
Overall, GBP/USD pair ab ek critical juncture par hai. Jab ke further gains ka potential hai, traders ko 1.3260 ke aas-paas ke price action ko closely dekhna hoga. Kya pair is balance ke upar break karta hai ya neeche retrace karta hai, yeh market ke agle direction ka pata dega.

Gbp/usd pair ne wednesday ko US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hua jab US inflation data release hui, jis ne yeh suggest kiya ke Federal Reserve ab sooch samajh kar interest rate cuts karegi. CPI overall expectation ke mutabiq barhi, lekin core CPI, jo ke food aur energy ke ilawa hoti hai, thodi ziada barhi jo anticipate ki gayi thi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mehngai ke pressure abhi bhi zyada hai, jo ke Fed ki ability ko aggressively rates cut karne se rok sakti hai. Iss data ke nateeje mein, Fed ki aane wali meeting mein 50 basis point rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jab ke 25 basis point cut puri tarah se priced in hai. Iss shift ne US dollar ko support diya, jis ne strength hasil ki jab investors ne kam dovish Fed ke umeed rakhi. GBP/USD ne apna downward trend resume kar liya early European trade mein, aur ek key support level ko tod diya. Ager girawat jaari rahi, toh selling pressure April-July ke uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day simple moving average ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar downside momentum jaari raha, toh bearish cycle lower support levels tak barh sakti hai, jin mein 38.2% Fibonacci level aur 50-day moving average bhi shamil hai. Technically, GBP/USD ka short-term outlook bearish hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf muft rahe hain, jab ke MACD red signal line ke neeche break kar chuki hai. Lekin moving averages ki upward slope yeh suggest karti hai ke current bearish wave larger uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai. Yeh factors ke ilawa bhi kai aur factors hain jo GBP/USD ko near term mein influence kar sakte hain. In sab complex factors ki waja se, short-term mein GBP/USD ka move predict karna mushkil hai. Lekin current bearish trend se yeh risk pata chalta hai ke near future mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Lekin doosre events aur factors bhi bulls ko dubara support kar sakte hain. Market behavior ya sentiment ko analyze karte rehna chahiye taake galtiyon se bacha ja sake aur usko puri tarah samjha ja sake. Market sentiment aksar price movements ko drive karta hai, aur usko samajhne se participants ko edge mil sakti hai. Sentiment analysis ka ek important hissa yeh hai ke samjha jaye ke doosre participants kis tarah position liye hue hain aur woh mukhtalif price levels par kis tarah react kar sakte hain. Jab bulls resistance ko test karne ki koshish karenge, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market mein strong consensus hai ya phir indecision ke signs hain

Recent market movements in the currency pair reflect significant shifts influenced by central bank decisions and economic indicators. Bank of England (BoE) ke recent policy adjustments ke baad, GBP/USD ek 'hammer' candlestick pattern banata nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 2.21% ki kami ke baad aaya. Yeh technical formation potential upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, jisse price 1.3120 level ke upar chadh sakti hai aur 1.3100 mark ko dobara dekh sakti hai. BoE ke borrowing costs ko kam karne ke bawajood, unki policy restrictive hi rahi hai, largely inflation expectations ke 2.25% tak barhane ki wajah se. Current market dynamics central bank policies aur economic data ke beech ek tug-of-war ko reflect karte hain. Jaise BoE aur Fed apne respective policy paths ko navigate kar rahe hain, GBP/USD traders ko inflation trends aur interest rate adjustments ke further clues ke liye alert rehna chahiye. In developments ke results future market movements aur trading strategies ko impact karenge. Central Bank Moves: Powell Hints at Rate Cut, Bailey Defends Policy

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne rate cut ke potential ke bare mein hint diya hai agar inflation expectations ke sath align hoti hai, economic growth robust rehta hai, aur labor market apne current trend par rehta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye hain, jo suggest karte hain ke aisa move Fed ke September meeting ke doran consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, yeh apne gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai, ek weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay bade currencies ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak 101.89 par aa gaya hai jo intraday low 100.48 se upar hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ki decision ko defend kiya hai jo policy rate ko 5% par kam kiya gaya. Bailey ne media inquiries ko address karte hue bataya ke minimum wage ka barhna unke perspective se detrimental nahi hai. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karti hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress karti hain, lekin overall inflation trajectory, including potential risks, ab 2% target ke nazdeek hai jo ke pehle ke forecasts ke muqablay mein.

GBP/USD
GBP/USD Ka Technical Analysis
GBP/USD, jo ke ek popular currency pair hai, US Dollar aur British Pound ke darmiyan trading ko represent karta hai. Yeh pair forex traders ke liye bohat interest ka sabab hai kyunke is mein volatility aur liquidity dono bohat zyada hoti hain. Abhi hum dekhte hain ke GBP/USD ka recent technical aur fundamental analysis kaisa hai.

Trend Aur Price Movement

Agar hum GBP/USD ka price trend dekhein, toh recent weeks mein is pair mein downward movement dekhne ko mili hai. British Pound mein weakness aur US Dollar ki strength ne GBP/USD ko pressure mein rakha hai. Abhi tak yeh pair 1.2300 ke important support level par trade kar raha hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai toh yeh aur neeche jaa sakta hai. Upper side pe, resistance level 1.2500 ke aas paas hai.

Resistance Levels:

1.2450

1.2500


Support Levels:

1.2300

1.2200


Indicators Ka Analysis

Indicators ke madad se hum market ka sentiment aur momentum ko achi tarah samajh sakte hain. 50-day Moving Average abhi downward slope par hai, jo ke ek bearish signal hai. Is ke ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40 ke qareeb hai, jo ke near oversold zone ko indicate karta hai, matlab yeh ke GBP/USD abhi weak position mein hai.

Bollinger Bands ka analysis karein, toh price abhi lower band ke paas trade kar rahi hai, jo ke ek oversold condition ka ishara hai. Lekin hamesha confirmatory signals ka intezar karna chahiye before entering the trade.

Fundamental Factors Ka Asar

Fundamental factors bhi GBP/USD ke price movement par bohat bara asar daal rahe hain. British economy Brexit ke baad se kaafi pressure mein hai, aur abhi inflation aur economic slowdown ke concerns aur barh rahe hain. Doosri taraf, US Dollar ko Federal Reserve ki hawkish policies ka support mil raha hai, jo ke GBP/USD ko neeche le jaane ka sabab bana hai.

Agar UK ki economy ke hawale se koi positive news aati hai, ya US Dollar weaken hota hai due to economic data, toh GBP/USD mein reversal dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Conclusion

GBP/USD abhi downward trend mein hai, lekin support levels par strong reaction dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Is liye, traders ko technical indicators ke saath fundamental news ko bhi closely monitor karna hoga. Yeh pair filhal range-bound lag raha hai, lekin kisi bhi major economic event ki wajah se yeh trend break ho sakta hai.

USD trend line ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market par selling pressure bohat zyada hai. Trend line ke neeche break hone se yeh ek aham resistance level ban gaya hai, jisse bulls ke liye short term mein control wapas lena mushkil ho gaya hai. Yeh confirm karta hai ke sellers ka market par zyada daaboo hai, jo market sentiment ko ab drive kar rahe hain. Sellers ke liye control banaye rakhne aur downward movement ko barhane ke liye, support zone 1.3150 ka break hona zaroori hai. Yeh level buyers ke liye ek aham barrier hai, aur agar price is se neeche break karta hai, to GBP/USD mein aur zyada downside potential ki umeed hai. Is break ke baad sellers ko aur neeche nayi targets ki taraf push karne ka mauka milega, kyun ke technical barriers kam ho jaayenge.

Aise scenario mein, kuch aham support levels par nazar rakhni chahiye jo pair ke liye potential targets ban sakte hain. Ek important level daily bull zone hai jo 1.3190 ke qareeb hai, jahan history mein buyers ne price ko reverse kiya tha. Yeh level is liye crucial hai kyun ke yeh pehle strong demand ka point raha hai jab pound is tak pohoncha tha. Lekin, current bearish momentum ke saath, yeh zone ab neeche se retest ho sakti hai, jo support ke bajaye resistance ka kaam kar sakti hai.

Agar pair 1.3150 ka level hold karne mein nakam hota hai, to agla leg neeche 1.3190 zone par support mil sakta hai, lekin bearish sentiment phir bhi rahega. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke agar in levels par koi significant buying pressure aata hai, to decline slow ho sakta hai ya short-term rebound ho sakta hai, lekin trend tab tak bearish rahega jab tak bulls trend line ko reclaim karke price ko resistance levels ke upar push nahi karte.

Nateejatan, current technical setup yeh dikhata hai ke GBP/USD sellers ke control mein hai, aur trend line resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai kisi bhi bullish attempt ke liye. Agar 1.3150 support zone ke neeche break hota hai, to mazeed downside movement confirm hogi, jisme target 1.3190 ka daily bull zone ho sakta hai