GBP-USD ka movement bullish hai, USD
GBP/USD karansi pair ne Friday ko Asian trading session ke doran positive territory mein trade kiya, jo ke US dollar ki lagataar kamzori ki wajah se supported tha. Market participants ab eagerly August ke US non-farm payrolls data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Federal Reserve ke interest rate decision ke expectations ko baray had tak mutasir karega. Automatic Data Processing (ADP) report, jo pehle hafte mein release hui thi, ne August mein private sector job growth mein kami ko dikhaya, jo Fed ke taraf se rate cut ki potential ka ishara deti hai. Filhal, markets September 17-18 ke aane wale meeting mein rate cut ki expectations ko price kar rahe hain. Pound bhi Bank of England (BoE) se potential rate cut ki expectations ki wajah se supported hai. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne ye toh kaha hai ke inflationary pressures kam ho rahe hain, lekin unhone rate cut karne mein jaldbazi se bhi mana kiya hai. Investors ne BoE se 25% chance of rate cut ko price kar liya hai, lekin November tak rate cut ki possibility ko puri tarah se price kiya ja chuka hai.
GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ko kam volatility ke saath aur upar ki taraf movement ki. Market mein British currency kharidne ki koi wazeh wajah nahi thi. Thursday ka rise quotes mein ek correction ke tor par samjha jaa sakta hai, lekin abhi tak US currency ke ird gird koi excitement nahi hai, jo ke do saal se girti ja rahi hai. Aur agar hum dekhein, to jo movement hum abhi dekh rahe hain, wo kisi naye downward trend ke aaghaz ki tarah nahi lagti jo kam az kam ek saal tak chalega. Lagta hai ke market thoda correct hua hai aur ab ek naye wave ke liye tayaar hai, jo ke be-bunyad kharidari ki hai. Magar market ke nazar mein yeh kharidari justified hai. Agar hum fundamentals aur macroeconomics ki baat karein, toh British currency ke growth mein koi logic nahi hai.
Downward trend tab tak qaim hai jab tak price Ichimoku indicator lines aur descending trend line ke neeche rahta hai. Shayad yeh hi waqt mein US dollar ka ek hope hai. Jab se yeh maloom hua hai ke America mein inflation 2.5% tak kam ho gaya hai, toh Federal Reserve har agle meeting mein rate ko kam kar sakta hai. Agar market ne waqai monetary policy easing ko price kar liya hai, jaise hum samajhte hain, to phir yeh acha hai—dollar ko bachaya ja sakega. Agar nahi, toh US dollar ko ek lambi girawat ka samna ho sakta hai. Issi dauran, European Central Bank aur Bank of England ki monetary policies market participants ko filhal koi
dilchaspi nahi deti. Kal teen trading signals form huye the. Price ne 1.3050 level se do baar bounce kiya, lekin 20 pips tak bhi neeche nahi ja saka. Phir price ne 1.3050 ke upar consolidate kiya, aur aakhir mein kuch movement dekhne ko mili jis par hum thoda profit kama sakein. Magar pehla short position unprofitable tha, toh Thursday ko overall profit banana mushkil tha. Hourly timeframe mein, GBP/USD correct ho raha hai, lekin yeh correction kisi bhi waqt khatam ho sakti hai. Hum ab tak yeh nahi dekh rahe ke market pair ko bechne aur US dollar kharidne ke liye jaldi mein hai. Iss tarah, British currency ka yeh be-bunyad aur illogical izafa dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Yeh tab pehchana ja sakta hai jab price Senkou Span B aur Kijun-sen lines ke upar consolidate ho jaye aur trend wapas aaye.
kitrading ke liye.
GBP/USD karansi pair ne Friday ko Asian trading session ke doran positive territory mein trade kiya, jo ke US dollar ki lagataar kamzori ki wajah se supported tha. Market participants ab eagerly August ke US non-farm payrolls data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Federal Reserve ke interest rate decision ke expectations ko baray had tak mutasir karega. Automatic Data Processing (ADP) report, jo pehle hafte mein release hui thi, ne August mein private sector job growth mein kami ko dikhaya, jo Fed ke taraf se rate cut ki potential ka ishara deti hai. Filhal, markets September 17-18 ke aane wale meeting mein rate cut ki expectations ko price kar rahe hain. Pound bhi Bank of England (BoE) se potential rate cut ki expectations ki wajah se supported hai. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne ye toh kaha hai ke inflationary pressures kam ho rahe hain, lekin unhone rate cut karne mein jaldbazi se bhi mana kiya hai. Investors ne BoE se 25% chance of rate cut ko price kar liya hai, lekin November tak rate cut ki possibility ko puri tarah se price kiya ja chuka hai.
GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ko kam volatility ke saath aur upar ki taraf movement ki. Market mein British currency kharidne ki koi wazeh wajah nahi thi. Thursday ka rise quotes mein ek correction ke tor par samjha jaa sakta hai, lekin abhi tak US currency ke ird gird koi excitement nahi hai, jo ke do saal se girti ja rahi hai. Aur agar hum dekhein, to jo movement hum abhi dekh rahe hain, wo kisi naye downward trend ke aaghaz ki tarah nahi lagti jo kam az kam ek saal tak chalega. Lagta hai ke market thoda correct hua hai aur ab ek naye wave ke liye tayaar hai, jo ke be-bunyad kharidari ki hai. Magar market ke nazar mein yeh kharidari justified hai. Agar hum fundamentals aur macroeconomics ki baat karein, toh British currency ke growth mein koi logic nahi hai.
Downward trend tab tak qaim hai jab tak price Ichimoku indicator lines aur descending trend line ke neeche rahta hai. Shayad yeh hi waqt mein US dollar ka ek hope hai. Jab se yeh maloom hua hai ke America mein inflation 2.5% tak kam ho gaya hai, toh Federal Reserve har agle meeting mein rate ko kam kar sakta hai. Agar market ne waqai monetary policy easing ko price kar liya hai, jaise hum samajhte hain, to phir yeh acha hai—dollar ko bachaya ja sakega. Agar nahi, toh US dollar ko ek lambi girawat ka samna ho sakta hai. Issi dauran, European Central Bank aur Bank of England ki monetary policies market participants ko filhal koi
dilchaspi nahi deti. Kal teen trading signals form huye the. Price ne 1.3050 level se do baar bounce kiya, lekin 20 pips tak bhi neeche nahi ja saka. Phir price ne 1.3050 ke upar consolidate kiya, aur aakhir mein kuch movement dekhne ko mili jis par hum thoda profit kama sakein. Magar pehla short position unprofitable tha, toh Thursday ko overall profit banana mushkil tha. Hourly timeframe mein, GBP/USD correct ho raha hai, lekin yeh correction kisi bhi waqt khatam ho sakti hai. Hum ab tak yeh nahi dekh rahe ke market pair ko bechne aur US dollar kharidne ke liye jaldi mein hai. Iss tarah, British currency ka yeh be-bunyad aur illogical izafa dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Yeh tab pehchana ja sakta hai jab price Senkou Span B aur Kijun-sen lines ke upar consolidate ho jaye aur trend wapas aaye.
kitrading ke liye.
تبصرہ
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