gbp/usd

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price ke current behavior ka analysis karenge. Maine hourly chart ko dekh kar yeh identify kiya ke koi aise formation hai jo decline ka signal de raha ho. Chart pe dekha gaya ke maheene ka aakhri din aik large body wali candle ke sath close hua jo dono sides pe shadows bhi show kar raha hai. GBP/USD pair ke liye, Friday ke trading ne upward movement ko disrupt kiya jo bears ke liye hopeful hai jo aage price drop ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Price 1.3122 pe settle hui hai aur support level 1.3131 ko break kar diya. Lekin, agar yeh false breakout hai to price 60 points tak rebound kar sakti hai. Meri expectation hai ke September mein price decline karegi aur 1.2991 se 1.2931 ke beech aayegi. Hourly chart par resistance 1.3201 hai, aur indicator suggest kar raha hai ke price 1.3071 aur 1.2991 tak gir sakti hai. 30-minute chart yeh show karta hai ke teen substantial waves of decline form hui hain, jo suggest karti hain ke currency pair ka downward movement continue ho sakta hai.
Jab 4-hour timeframe se GBP/USD market ka observation kiya gaya, to yeh nazar aata hai ke buyers ka trend dominate kar raha hai. Pichle kuch hafton se price uptrend side ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Market ka journey pichle hafte se sellers ke downward correction ke bawajood bullish trend ko delay kar raha hai. Aaj market ko monitor karne se yeh lagta hai ke trend bullish side ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Mere hisaab se agla price journey shayad upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai taake current position se door ho sake. Pichle do hafton ke trading period mein fairly bullish conditions dekhne ko mili hain jo price ko upar laane mein madad kar sakti hain aur 1.3264 area tak pahunch sakti hain, halankeh market phir se correction down dekhti hai. Aaj subah market ki opening par price ko barhane ki koshish ki gayi, aur candlestick 1.3126 ke zone ke around hai. Agar 100-period ke simple moving average ka analysis kiya jaye, to signal line upar jaati hui nazar aati hai jo pichle hafton ke trend ko show karti hai. Overall, candlestick simple moving average zone of period 100 ko cross kar chuki hai jo ke bullish zone mein movement ka indication hai. Price increase bhi ab 1.3144 zone ke pass hai jo buying interest ke dominance ko indicate karta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ne 1.3219 ka level touch kiya aur phir hourly chart pe is level ke neeche position secure ki. Lekin trend abhi poora bearish nahi hai, is liye selling ka option itna safe nahi lagta. Kal aap ne kaha tha ke 1.3189 level aik acha selling point ho sakta hai, lekin agar kisi ko thoda risk lena ho toh 1.3239 resistance level ke qareeb ek signal mil sakta hai, jo ke pichle hafte ka high tha. Is waqt lagta hai ke pound 1.3189 ke qareeb close karega. Halat abhi thori unclear hai, aur subah tak hi pata chalega ke market kis taraf jaayegi. Trading ke liye yeh mera approach hai shaam mein aksar mein thak jata hoon aur cheezein dhundhli lagne lagti hain, lekin subah price action ko dekh ke trading plan bana leta hoon.
Asia session ke baad GBP/USD ne girna shuru kiya, 1.3269 se shuruaat ki. Sellers ne local trend ko tor diya hai aur 1.3174 ka early support level test kar rahe hain. Agar sellers is 1.3174 mark ko tor dete hain (aur hourly candle neeche close hoti hai), toh mein sochta hoon ke yeh girawat 1.3089 tak jaari rahegi. Dusri taraf, agar price upar 1.3249 tak chali jati hai, toh wahan se girawat wapas aa sakti hai. D1 time frame ke analysis se yeh pata chalta hai ke aaj ki D1 candle kal ke high ko cross nahi kar saki aur ab neeche aagayi hai, jo ke kal ke opening ke qareeb hai. Lekin abhi kaafi waqt baaqi hai D1 candle ke close hone ka, is liye predict karna mushkil hai ke yeh candle kis shakal mein close hogi. Mere khayal mein yeh bearish overlap ke saath close hogi. Yeh pattern ek poora reversal nahi lagta, lekin upper Bollinger band ke qareeb aik temporary pause ka indication de raha hai.
Neeche diye gaye graph ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke candlestick abhi bhi 1.3200 ke price level ke upar comfortably trade kar rahi hai. Mere nazar mein, yeh aik bullish potential ka indication ho sakta hai. Sellers ka pressure zaroor hai, lekin yeh condition temporary lagti hai, aur girawat ka silsila khatam ho sakta hai. Agle trading session mein lagta hai ke bullish trend ka continuation dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo shayad kal Friday ke session tak chalta rahe.

Mojooda price position abhi bhi gir rahi hai aur akhri projection jo 423% tha Fibonacci retracement ka uski taraf ja rahi hai. Magar iska matlab yeh nahi ke price iss projection level pe pohanch ke aur nahi gir sakti. Agar hum mojooda halat dekhein, to andaza hai ke price movement consolidate karti rahegi uss area mein jo dynamic resistance hai EMA200 H4 ka. Kyun ke price pichle 16 ghanton se ya 4 candlesticks se puri tarah 200 period moving average se neeche hai, isliye buyers ke liye aasan nahi hoga ke woh bearish trend ko tabdeel kar sakein. Is halat mein sell trading ek acha option ho sakta hai.

Agar bearish pressure barqarar rehta hai, to fresh demand area 1.2950 tak pohanch sakta hai, agar sellers lagatar sell off karte rahein. Agar hum in teeno bearish candles ko dekhein jo ke is girawat ka sabab bani hain, to price ke pass ab bhi kafi chance hai ke 1.2950 tak gir sakti hai baghair kisi baray resistance ke, jab tak koi significant upward correction na ho. Yeh tab ho sakta hai agar aaj raat ko US unemployment claims data 227,000 ke estimate se zyada aaye, jo ke unemployment ke barhne ka ishara hoga, ya PPI data estimate se neeche aaye jo ke producer purchasing index mein kamzori ka pata dega. Is surat mein GBPUSD ek tezi ke sath correction kar sakta hai.

Is liye, bearish opportunity ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, seller ko zaroor price ko neeche laake 1.30000 ka support torhna hoga jo ke kal ke lower daily trading arena mein tha. Magar aisa lagta hai ke aaj USD yaani US dollar ke kamzor hone ka chance hai. Agar USD kamzor hota hai, to phir GBPUSD ke pass wapas bullish raasta ikhtiyar karne ka mauqa hoga, jo ke resistance target test karne ka hoga EMA200 TF h1 orange line pe 1.31000 ke price level par.

TRADING SETUP
- Instant Sell GBPUSD with TP1 1.2980 - TP2 1.2930 and SL 1.3065

Hamari guftagu ka markaz GBP/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka jaiza lena hai. Daily oscillator ne neeche ki taraf move kiya hai, aur linear oscillator zero line ke neeche hai, jo ke short-term selling opportunities ko zahir karta hai. Lekin, weekly histogram mein ab tak koi neeche ki taraf trend nahi dikhai de raha. Price ko ek aakhri upward move karne ke liye zyada waqt lag sakta hai, is se pehle ke ek significant decline aaye. Agarche weekly histogram high hai, magar koi strong buy signals nahi hain—sirf sell signals dikhayi de rahe hain. Khaaskar, weekly channel ne monthly channel ke upper boundary se reversal liya hai, aur neeche ki taraf candlesticks zyada strong lag rahi hain banisbat un ke jo upward trend ko zahir karti hain. Agar price is hafte ke opening level aur APR 50% mark 1.3033 ke ird-gird rukti hai, toh yeh ek solid downward signal bana sakta hai, jo ek achi selling opportunity ko zahir karta hai.
Wave technique ke mutabiq GBP/USD par hamein ab do moving averages ke jab MA100 se bounce le kar neeche aaye hain, toh ab neeche jaana zaroori hai—MA100 ka test karne ke liye. Aur lagta hai ke unhone decline ko shuru kar diya hai. Lekin ab tak yeh kyun ruka hai? Aur aaj lagta hai ke growth ke haq mein reversal shuru ho gaya hai. For some reason, is growth ko nazar andaz karna mushkil hai. Wajah yeh hai ke donon differently configured moving averages apni tapes ko 20-degree ke trend angle par north ki taraf kaam karne ke haq mein kheench rahe hain. Ichimoku Cloud bullish rangon mein hai, aur rise ko bhi kaam kar raha hai, 30-degree ke trend angle par. ek kaafi wazeh pattern nazar aata hai: price ne na sirf local MA18 ke neeche dive kiya, balki uske neeche konsolidate bhi kiya. Iska natija yeh hai ke ab yeh legitimately expected hai ke jab MA100 se bounce le kar neeche aaye hain, toh ab neeche jaana zaroori hai—MA100 ka test karne ke liye. Aur lagta hai ke unhone decline ko shuru kar diya hai. Lekin ab tak yeh kyun ruka hai? Aur aaj lagta hai ke growth ke haq mein reversal shuru ho gaya hai. For some reason, is growth ko nazar andaz karna mushkil hai. Wajah yeh hai ke donon differently configured moving averages apni tapes ko 20-degree ke trend angle par north ki taraf kaam karne ke haq mein kheench rahe hain. Ichimoku Cloud bullish rangon mein hai, aur rise ko bhi kaam kar raha hai, 30-degree ke trend angle par. Oscillators teesri bullish wave mein trade kar rahe hain, lekin ab tak koi sell signals nahi dekhe gaye.

Four-hour chart ke mutabiq, yeh zahir hota hai ke ab bhi hum purchases ke liye ja rahe hain: market yahan kaafi sell-off ke sath settled hai: donon MA18 ne MA100 ko oopar se neeche cross kiya hai, dead cross banate hue, aur Ichimoku Cloud bears ke side par chala gaya hai, lekin fir bhi light stochastic ne ek buy signal diya hai. Kam se kam, yeh MA100 test 1.3130 tak hold karna chahiye.

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.


Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain

GBP/USD currency pair dheere dheere gir rahi hai, lekin yeh girawat aahista hai, jo sabr ka imtihaan le rahi hai. Market filhal do rukh hai, jisme pair kisi bhi taraf khaas harkat nahi kar raha. Recent low 1.3049 par tha, jisse thoda rebound upar ki taraf dekha gaya. Aane wali U.S. inflation data se mutawaqqa hai ke volatility mein izafa hoga. Upward trend ab bhi barqarar hai, lekin analyst ko umeed hai ke GBP/USD aakhir kar unke target 1.2781 tak giraygi. Pair ne ek chhoti pullback ke baad mazeed girawat dekhi hai, jahan bears ne isay naye lows tak dhakel diya. Ichimoku cloud ke neeche price action 4-hour chart par bearish momentum ko zahir karta hai, jo ek sell position ke liye worth considering ho sakti hai. Filhal price qareeban 1.3069 par hai, jo bears ke liye pehli support level hai. Typical Pivot support levels current intraday sales targets ke sath match karte hain. Downward movement jaari hai, aur agar pehli support level break ho jaati hai, toh ek naye girawat ka phase shuru ho sakta hai, jisse price 1.3001 se neeche jaa sakti hai. Agar buyers active hote hain, toh wo resistance level 1.3212 ke aas paas target karenge.

GBP/USD exchange rate ne Wednesday ko ek noticeable recovery dekhi, jisme daily aur weekly lows se wapas aakar 1.3105 mark ko surpass kiya. Yeh izafa market sentiment mein behtari ki wajah se aaya, jab ek Bank of England official ne yeh bayan diya ke wo market instability ke bawajood interest rates nahi badhayenge. Is assurance ne risk appetite ko boost kiya, jis wajah se GBP/USD rate mein temporary rise dekha gaya. Magar pair ab bhi 1.3043 par trade ho raha hai jab pehle 1.2998 ka low dekha gaya tha. Current market sentiment aur technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke pair mein limited corrective declines ho sakte hain, jahan har dip ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekha jaa sakta hai. Improved risk appetite aur Fed ke anticipated interest rate cuts pair ke movements ko mazeed mutasir karenge. Traders ko aane wale economic data aur central bank statements par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh GBP/USD exchange rate ke future direction ka taayun karne mein crucial honge. Recent UK economic data ne British Pound ko kuch support diya hai, jisme unemployment rate mein unexpected girawat dekhi gayi, jo doosray kam favourable indicators jaise ke July mein unemployment-related benefits claim karne walon ki tadaad ke izafa ko overshadow karta hai.

UK ka unemployment rate June ke teen mahine tak ke dauran 5.7% se 4.5% tak kam hua, halan ke overall tasveer mix hai. Yeh unemployment mein girawat British Pound ke liye ek positive factor rahi hai. Dosri taraf, US dollar market expectations ke wajah se pressure mein hai, jisme Federal Reserve ke substantial interest rate cuts ka imkaan hai, jo weaker-than-expected Producer Price Index report se mazid reinforced hua. General positive market sentiment ne US dollar bulls ko defensive rakhne par majboor kiya hai. Yeh halat GBP/USD pair ko support karti rahi hai, aur iske value mein aane wali potential girawat ko investors buying opportunities ke tor par dekhne ka imkaan hai.

GBPUSD ne upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish ki hai, jo bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Aakhri ghanton mein, pair ne diagonal resistance level ko successfully breach kiya hai, jo ke upar movement ke liye ek significant barrier tha. Yeh breakout ek shuruati indication ho sakta hai ke market sentiment buying ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke naye upward trend ke establishment ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar, in positive signs ke bawajood, caution zaroori hai isse pehle ke puri tarah se uptrend ko embrace kiya jaye aur long positions commit ki jayein. Diagonal resistance ka breach ek positive technical development hai, jo traders ke liye bullish signal ke taur par interpret kiya jata hai. Aise resistance level ko break karna yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers jo pehle market ko control kar rahe the, unki grip kamzor ho rahi hai, aur buyers ko upper hand mil raha hai. Yeh control ka shift kabhi kabhi naye upward trend ko lead kar sakta hai, jab zyada traders long positions lena shuru karte hain, yeh expect karte hue ke pair aage bhi upar jayegi. Lekin, is potential breakout ko measured perspective se dekhna zaroori hai. Diagonal resistance ka breach hone se sirf yeh confirm nahi hota ke bullish trend sustainable hai. Financial markets mein false breakouts aam hote hain, jahan price temporarily resistance levels ke upar move karti hai aur phir tez reversal ke saath pehle ke trend par wapas aa jati hai. Isliye, additional confirmations dekhna zaroori hai before confidently naye upward trend ko declare karne se.sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega. Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe. Shukriya aapki tawajju ka, guys, jo mere explanation ko suni

**GBP/USD Price Analysis**

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Aaj pair mein halka sa girawat dekhi gayi lekin ye target tak nahi pohnchi. Chart ke mutabiq, pair ne 1.3064 ka support level test kiya aur ab 1.3077 par trade kar raha hai. RSI range ke beech mein hai, jo upar ki taraf inclination dikhata hai, jabke AO buy signal de raha hai. Pair ab tak previous day ki range ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Ye signals mazboot hain, aur growth potential dikhate hain. Main ummeed karta hoon ke price resistance level 1.3129 ko test karegi. Broader bullish trend ke andar, pound dheere dheere neeche ja raha hai ek logical upward move ke baad. Thode se chote movements ke baad, price ek daily Doji candle bana rahi hai. Price ab ek critical internal level par settle ho gayi hai, jahan pehle ek long movement shuru hui thi.


Daily chart par dekha gaya candle hourly chart par bhi hai. Khaaskar, price bullish weakness dikhati hai jo nazar aati hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price ke is critical level ke baad neeche ki taraf tezi se girne ke chances hain. Ye bearish correction zyada waqt le sakti hai kyunke ye aam tor par non-trend movement hoti hai, jo dheere aur zyada hoti hai. Magar, price ab bhi ek din mein significant move kar sakti hai is stagnant phase mein. Last trading session ki final movements kaafi surprising thi, lekin zyada impressive nahi thi, kyunke bearish trend dheere dheere expand hota nazar aa raha hai. Main kaafi confident hoon ke ab bhi growth ka potential hai, kyunke D1 period ka moving average low ab 1.2876 par hai, aur lagta hai ke hum is mark ki taraf ja rahe hain. Daily chart par ek strong support level test ho raha hai, jo bearish trend ko priority dikhata hai. Aaj tak hum bearish activity ki ummeed rakhte hain, agla critical level 1.3037 par hai. 4-hour time frame chart par, jab se GBP/USD strengthen hua hai, ye hua hai. Do lines ab tak cross nahi hui hain, halanke kijun sen line breach ho chuki hai. Mere khayal se, behtar hai ke do lines cross hone ka intezar karein taake rising signal confirm ho sake. Candle demand region mein locked hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke ek intersection jald hone wala hai. Upward-facing direction ka matlab hai ke upward signal ab bhi hai. Lekin ehtiyaat zaroori hai kyunke ye GBP/USD ko girane ka sabab ban sakta hai jab line level 80 par pohnchti hai aur neeche ki taraf point karti hai. Aur, price 1.3051 par base demand area ab tak breach nahi hui hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ne 1.3219 ka level touch kiya aur phir hourly chart pe is level ke neeche position secure ki. Lekin trend abhi poora bearish nahi hai, is liye selling ka option itna safe nahi lagta. Kal aap ne kaha tha ke 1.3189 level aik acha selling point ho sakta hai, lekin agar kisi ko thoda risk lena ho toh 1.3239 resistance level ke qareeb ek signal mil sakta hai, jo ke pichle hafte ka high tha. Is waqt lagta hai ke pound 1.3189 ke qareeb close karega. Halat abhi thori unclear hai, aur subah tak hi pata chalega ke market kis taraf jaayegi. Trading ke liye yeh mera approach hai shaam mein aksar mein thak jata hoon aur cheezein dhundhli lagne lagti hain, lekin subah price action ko dekh ke trading plan bana leta hoon. Asia session ke baad GBP/USD ne girna shuru kiya, 1.3269 se shuruaat ki. Sellers ne local trend ko tor diya hai aur 1.3174 ka early support level test kar rahe hain. Agar sellers is 1.3174 mark ko tor dete hain (aur hourly candle neeche close hoti hai), toh mein sochta hoon ke yeh girawat 1.3089 tak jaari rahegi. Dusri taraf, agar price upar 1.3249 tak chali jati hai, toh wahan se girawat wapas aa sakti hai. D1 time frame ke analysis se yeh pata chalta hai ke aaj ki D1 candle kal ke high ko cross nahi kar saki aur ab neeche aagayi hai, jo ke kal ke opening ke qareeb hai. Lekin abhi kaafi waqt baaqi hai D1 candle ke close hone ka, is liye predict karna mushkil hai ke yeh candle kis shakal mein close hogi. Mere khayal mein yeh bearish overlap ke saath close hogi. Yeh pattern ek poora reversal nahi lagta, lekin upper Bollinger band ke qareeb aik temporary pause ka indication de raha hai.
Neeche diye gaye graph ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke candlestick abhi bhi 1.3200 ke price level ke upar comfortably trade kar rahi hai. Mere nazar mein, yeh aik bullish potential ka indication ho sakta hai. Sellers ka pressure zaroor hai, lekin yeh condition temporary lagti hai, aur girawat ka silsila khatam ho sakta hai. Agle trading session mein lagta hai ke bullish trend ka continuation dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo shayad kal Friday ke session tak chalta rahe.

GBPUSD pair ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, 1-hour chart par aaj ke trading ke aghaz mein price buy zone mein thi, kyun ke price pichlay do dinon ke dauran ascending price channels ke andar trade kar rahi thi jo price ki movement ka direction bata rahe thay. Price weekly pivot level aur niche ke channel lines ke upar trade kar rahi thi, lekin jab price channels ke middle line tak pohanchi, toh wahan se neeche ki taraf rebound hui. Abhi price dobara weekly pivot level par trade kar rahi hai, aur yeh level break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yeh level break karne mein kaamyaab hoti hai, toh price girti rahegi. Trading advice yeh hai ke jab price weekly pivot level se ek ghantay ke liye niche stable ho, tab sell karein. Aur jab price current candle ke sabse zyada high price ke upar trade kare, toh buy karein.

Economic side par, British data aksar taur par favorable hai, lekin adverse risk conditions currency ko nuqsaan pohancha sakti hain, khaas tor par jab long sterling positions mein izafa ho raha hai. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke services sector ke liye August ka final Purchasing Managers' Index 53.7 tha, jo ke preliminary reading 53.3 se zyada aur July ke reading 52.5 se bhi zyada hai, aur yeh expansion zone mein daswin mutawatar reading hai. Is par tippani karte hue, Alex Gykov, jo BNP Paribas mein forex market analyst hain, keh rahe hain: “Humara yaqeen hai ke pound mein izafa ho sakta hai lekin positions ke extent ki wajah se downside ka risk zyada hai.”

Isi waqt, Brad Bechtel, Jefferies mein forex analyst, yeh tawakku karte hain ke aaj ke US jobs data se US dollar mein tez movements honge. Unho ne izafa kiya, “Friday ke print ke baad, meri tawakku ke mutabiq, hum ya toh dollar index mein 100 ya us se kam ya 104 ya us se zyada par honge.” Taza tareen US JOLTS data ke mutabiq, July mein job openings ki tadaad gir kar 7.67 million ho gayi, jo ke June ki downwardly revised 7.91 million ki reading se bhi kam hai, jo ke pehle 8.18 million report hui thi. Yeh consensus forecast 8.09 million se bhi kam thi aur April 2021 ke baad se sab se kam reading thi.

GBP/USD currency pair ke upar hai, jo aik noticeable upward trend experience kar raha hai. Yeh tabdeeli zyada tar US dollar ke major global currencies ke muqablay mein kamzori ki wajah se hai, jisme British pound bhi shamil hai. Dono economies ke darmiyan ka farq utsalar labor market dynamics mein zahir hota hai. Jab ke US kuch uncertainties ka samna kar raha hai, UK ka labor market mazbooti se bharpur hai aur wage growth bhi solid pace par hai. Britain ki yeh mazboot economic performance ne pound ko taqat di hai, jo iske recent gains ka sabab hai. Jumeraat ko GBP/USD pair ne 1.3219 par close kiya, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Jab tak pound critical support range 1.3134-1.3139 ke upar hai, bulls market par control barqarar rakhne ke qabil hain. Yeh support range isliye ahmiyat rakhti hai kyun ke yeh aage ke upward movement ke liye foundation ka kaam karti hai. Agar pound is range ke upar barqarar rehta hai, to agla potential target 1.3299 ho sakta hai. Jab ke hourly chart shayad abhi zyada reliable signals na de, four-hour chart market ka clear aur dependable view provide karta hai. Is time frame ke mutabiq, agar current formation expected tariqe se develop hota raha, to GBP/USD pair approximately 149 points ka gain achieve kar sakta hai. Yeh potential increase ongoing trend ki strength ko highlight karta hai aur support range ke importance ko underline karta hai.
In dynamics ko dekhte hue, is waqt selling ka sochna bhi nahi chahiye. Upward trend mazboot nazar aa raha hai, aur market fundamentals pound ko favor kar rahe hain, isliye further gains ki potential zyada hai. Isliye, traders ko long positions maintain karna ya initiate karna chahiye, osaliyar agar pair 1.3134-1.3139 support range ke upar trade karta hai. Hamesha vigilant rehna aur market ko kisi bhi reversal ya consolidation signs ke liye monitor karna zaroori hai jo bullish outlook ko

GBP/USD Analysis aur Trading Strategy:
Wednesday ke din, GBP/USD pair ne apni girawat jaari rakhi, chaahe woh thori hi kyun na ho, lekin girawat phir bhi hui. Aur agar yaad ho, 2024 mein British currency ki girawat kafi kam dekhi gayi hai, khaaskar jab U.S. ke macroeconomic data dollar ko support nahi kar rahe. Humein yaad nahi padh raha ke dollar kamzor data par kab badha tha. Lekin, humne baar baar yeh cheez note ki hai ke market, kam az kam 2024 ke pore saal (ya shayad is se zyada) se, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ki future easing ko factor kar raha hai aur baaki sab cheezon ko nazarandaz kar raha hai. Kabhi na kabhi, yeh waqt aana tha jab market tamam rate cuts ko puri tarah se price in kar le. Uske baad, dollar ke girne ka koi reason nahi rahega. Hum yeh nahi keh rahe ke woh waqt aagaya hai, lekin iska imkaan zaroor hai. Agar aisa hua, toh dollar ab lambe waqt ke liye strong ho sakta hai. Budh ke din ke British reports, bilkul waisa hi jaise Mangal ke din wale reports, pair ke movement par koi khas asar nahi daal sake.

Budh ke din 5-minute timeframe par kuch achay signals generate huay. European trading session ke start mein price ne 1.3102-1.3107 area se bounce kiya, phir 1.3043 level tak giri, usko tod diya, aur mushkil se 1.2993 level ko miss kiya. Is tarah se, naye traders ke paas short positions kholne ke reasons subah hi se thay. Woh un positions ko U.S. session mein kisi bhi waqt close kar sakte thay kyun ke woh profit de chuki hoti.

Hourly timeframe par, GBP/USD ke paas achi chance hai ke global downtrend ko resume kare ya kam az kam ek significant correction dekhe. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market abhi bhi dollars ko bechne par zyada focus kar raha hai na ke khareedne par. Abhi tak pound sirf thori si bearish correction dikhata hai. Puri tarah se downtrend ke baare mein baat karna abhi jaldi hoga. Bohot intezaar ki jaane wali Fed meeting agle hafte hogi, uske baad medium-term direction ke baare mein koi faasla kiya ja sakta hai.

Thursday ko, agar yeh pair 1.3043 level ke niche rehne mein kamyaab ho gayi toh iski decline jaari reh sakti hai.

Key Levels Jo 5M Timeframe Par Consider Karne Hain:

1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Thursday ko UK mein koi khaas event schedule nahi hai, lekin humne wazeh tor par dekha ke Tuesday aur Wednesday ke din British data ne pair ke movement par koi khas asar nahi dala. U.S. mein Producer Price Index aur unemployment claims release honge, lekin yeh secondary indicators hain.

Gbp/usd pair ne wednesday ko US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hua jab US inflation data release hui, jis ne yeh suggest kiya ke Federal Reserve ab sooch samajh kar interest rate cuts karegi. CPI overall expectation ke mutabiq barhi, lekin core CPI, jo ke food aur energy ke ilawa hoti hai, thodi ziada barhi jo anticipate ki gayi thi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mehngai ke pressure abhi bhi zyada hai, jo ke Fed ki ability ko aggressively rates cut karne se rok sakti hai. Iss data ke nateeje mein, Fed ki aane wali meeting mein 50 basis point rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jab ke 25 basis point cut puri tarah se priced in hai. Iss shift ne US dollar ko support diya, jis ne strength hasil ki jab investors ne kam dovish Fed ke umeed rakhi. GBP/USD ne apna downward trend resume kar liya early European trade mein, aur ek key support level ko tod diya. Ager girawat jaari rahi, toh selling pressure April-July ke uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day simple moving average ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar downside momentum jaari raha, toh bearish cycle lower support levels tak barh sakti hai, jin mein 38.2% Fibonacci level aur 50-day moving average bhi shamil hai.

Technically, GBP/USD ka short-term outlook bearish hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf muft rahe hain, jab ke MACD red signal line ke neeche break kar chuki hai. Lekin moving averages ki upward slope yeh suggest karti hai ke current bearish wave larger uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai. Yeh factors ke ilawa bhi kai aur factors hain jo GBP/USD ko near term mein influence kar sakte hain. In sab complex factors ki waja se, short-term mein GBP/USD ka move predict karna mushkil hai. Lekin current bearish trend se yeh risk pata chalta hai ke near future mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Lekin doosre events aur factors bhi bulls ko dubara support kar sakte hain. Market behavior ya sentiment ko analyze karte rehna chahiye taake galtiyon se bacha ja sake aur usko puri tarah samjha ja sake. Market sentiment aksar price movements ko drive karta hai, aur usko samajhne se participants ko edge mil sakti hai. Sentiment analysis ka ek important hissa yeh hai ke samjha jaye ke doosre participants kis tarah position liye hue hain aur woh mukhtalif price levels par kis tarah react kar sakte hain. Jab bulls resistance ko test karne ki koshish karenge, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market mein strong consensus hai ya phir indecision ke signs hain. In factors ka analysis karne se mehngi galtiyon se bacha ja sakta hai aur movements se opportunities lene ka advantage hasil kiya ja sakta hai. Market sentiment ko samajhna potential reversals ya trend ke continuations ko identify karne mein bhi madad karta hai, jo informed decisions lene ke liye zaroori insight deti hai.

GBP/USD par, ek buy entry short goal 1.3075 ke saath bulls ya buyers ko 15 pips cover karne mein madad karegi. Tajzia karke, hum ek aur buying scenario dekh sakte hain jahan bulls apni entries open kar sakte hain. Jab market resistance area ki taraf move karega, toh strong possibility hai ke hum mazeed buying opportunities dekhein, khaas kar jab Vulcan apna momentum maintain kare. Yeh buying scenarios aksar pullbacks ya retracements ki soorat mein samne aayenge, jahan bulls temporarily momentum kho denge, jo behtar entry points dene mein madad karenge.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Pound/dollar ka joda filhal 1.3039 ki satah par trade kar raha hai. Yuamiyah chart ke mutabiq, Bartanwi pound chadhte hue channel ke bulandi par hai. Aaj ke liye sab se zyada imkani scenario chadhte hue channel ke andar mumkena kami ki tajwiz karta hai. RSI indicator chart ke darmiyan me tair raha hai, jiska matllab yah hai keh tawil muddati karwaiyon ko rokna qabile qadar hai.



1-ghante ke chart par, pound/dollar ka joda apni moving average se niche khula. Is tarah, MA ki hikmat amli ke mutabiq, mumkena taur par MA ke test ke bad currency jodi me girawat ka imkan hai.