جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

European market mein GBP/USD ki price mein kaafi izafa dekhne ko mila, jo 1.31043 tak pohnchi. Yeh izafa is wajah se hua ke Pound Sterling ka exchange rate mazid mazboot ho gaya jab se **Claimant Count Change** (jo unemployment benefit claimants ki tadaad ko dikhata hai) mein 23 hazaar logon ki kami hui, aur unemployment rate 0.1% kam ho gaya. Iss wajah se GBP/USD ki movement mein izafa dekhne ko mila. Lekin yeh izafa zyada dair tak qaim na reh saka, kyunki Average Earnings Index UK ka 4% gir gaya, jis se GBP/USD ki price doobara se gir ke 1.30854 par aa gayi, jo ke 7 pips ka nuqsan hai. Meri aaj ki fundamental analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ke movement ko dekhte hue mein ab bhi isay SELL karna behtar samjhta hoon, aur meri target price 1.30500 hai. Agar technical analysis se dekha jaye, toh lagta hai ke GBP/USD ki price aur zyada gir ke 1.3000 tak ja sakti hai. H1 time frame mein bearish candle engulfing ban chuki hai, jo ke ek strong signal hai SELL ka, aur is se GBP/USD ki price 1.3000 tak gir sakti hai. Lekin humein upward correction ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye, kyun ke RSI 14 indicator ke mutabiq, 1.30560 par GBP/USD oversold ho chuki hai, matlab yeh ke selling kaafi zyada ho chuki hai, aur is se lagta hai ke GBP/USD ki price aaj 1.31100 tak wapas barh sakti hai. BUY ka signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi support ho raha hai, kyun ke jab price 1.30620 par thi, toh yeh RBS area (Resistance Become Support) mein thi, jahan se buyers isay wapas khareed sakte hain aur price 1.31100 tak le ja sakte hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj mein BUY karne ka plan kar raha hoon, aur meri target price 1.31100 hogi.

GBP/USD currency pair ko dobara dekhtay hain. Is four-hour chart mein upward trend jari hai, wave structure upar ki taraf apni order bana rahi hai. MACD indicator upar purchase zone mein hai, lekin is par bearish divergence bhi nazar aa rahi hai, aur dusre CCI indicator par bhi yehi haal hai. Aaj price ne phir se peechla maximum update kiya hai, lekin mere khayal mein price apni inteha par hai. Itni dair tak bina correction ke upar jaane ka silsila kab tak chal sakta hai? Correction ka waqt aa chuka hai, aur ye signal kaafi acha chance rakhta hai ke ye kaam kare. Pehli divergences ne kuch khaas kaam nahi kiya tha, zyada tar price ne sideways ka rukh apnaya tha thodi si kami ke saath. Ab price bohot zyada overheated lag rahi hai, aur sab possible targets ko senior periods mein achieve kar chuki hai. Ab ye waqt hai ke price decline shuru kare, jab ke horizontal level 1.3177 ne price ko support diya hua hai. Hamesha upward geese banana mumkin nahi hai, correction shuru hoga hi. Mein yeh expect karta hoon ke price is week ke minimum tak gir sakti hai, ie level 1.3175 tak. Dosra target 1.3122 hai. Daily Chart Agar D1 period par dekhein aur target Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par apply karein, toh aap dekhenge ke 161.8 level achieve ho chuka hai. Price ne last year 2023 ke maximum ko bhi cross kar liya hai, jo ke ek potential sales zone hai. Yeh saaf hai ke price maximum ke ird gird ghuma rahi hai, agar yeh neeche jati hai, toh aapko buyers ki positions lena chahiye jo samajhte hain ke upward trend jari rahega. CCI indicator yahaan se neeche jana chahta hai upper overheating zone se, aur weekly chart par bhi yehi situation hai. Iske ilawa, chaar ghante se chote period par, aaj ke maximum update ke baad bearish divergence - yani sell signal - nazar aa raha hai. In sab factors ka combination is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke qareebi waqt mein decline hoga aur iska target level 1.3007 hoga. Itne zabardast growth ke baad bina rollback ke, ye normal lagta hai ke ab rollback wahan tak ho

hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein

GBP/USD 09.09.2024

British Pound ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke current uptrend sustainable nahi hai. Isliye, ek potential downtrend shuru ho sakta hai ya continue kar sakta hai. Saath hi, Pound Euro ko bhi neeche le ja sakta hai, jaisa ke maine ek long position enter ki thi ek signal ke base par. Ek similar buy signal Pound ke liye last Friday ko trigger hua tha aur yeh fulfill bhi hua hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke Pound fractal support 1.30857 ki taraf tezi se badh raha hai aur iske niche break ho sakta hai. Yeh ek reversal pattern banane ki taraf indicate karta hai jo ke 1-2-3 ke naam se jaana jaata hai. Pound Euro ke comparison mein zyada bearish lag raha hai, lekin is scenario mein Euro apne buy signal target tak nahi pohnch sakta. Pound ne H4 timeframe par apne buy signal ko successfully complete kiya, jaisa ke grey column ne potential ko dikhaya. Filhal moving averages ke base par sell signal generate karne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai, lekin isay tab tak consider nahi kiya ja sakta jab tak current H4 candle close nahi hoti. Lekin hum roughly sellers ke target ko estimate kar sakte hain.

Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke H4 timeframe par ek initial sell signal already tha, jis base par maine ab Fibonacci retracement draw kiya hai. Signal level 1.31346 se calculate kiya gaya hai. Pound ne apne previous major low ko update kiya hai, aur ek 1-2-3 pattern aur descending channel banaya hai, jo grey mein mark kiya gaya hai. 100% level downtrend ka target hai, jo ke 1.30036 hai. Dono signals ek hi target level ko indicate kar rahe hain. Maine dono signals ke potentials ko orange column (primary) aur red column (secondary) ke saath mark kiya hai. Is scenario mein, sell positions ke liye stop-loss level ko 0.0% se thoda neeche set kiya ja sakta hai, yani 1.32324 ke niche, 1.32656 ke bajaye. Current levels se potential downside lagbhag 80 pips hai. Agar favorable pullback hota hai, to sell positions ke liye 1:1 risk-reward ratio aim kiya ja sakta hai ya M15 timeframe par sell positions enter ki ja sakti hai with higher timeframe analysis ke support ke saath.

GBP/USD Price Movement Insights

GBP/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Non-farm payroll data ke release ke baad bears ne market par dominance hasil kiya, GBP/USD ko 31 figure ke niche push karte hue aur quotes ne 1.3141 level ko break kiya. Downward movement chart par continue hui, jahan sellers ne Friday ke downtrend ka faida uthaya. H4 time frame ka tajziya bearish momentum ko confirm karta hai, aur pullback ke chances ko limited batata hai, kyunki downward trend shayad tab tak chale ga jab tak yeh 1.2796 tak nahi pohanchta. Agar pair 1.2793 ke niche stabilize hota hai, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price zigzag pattern mein niche jaati rahegi. Primary chart ke neeche do indicators, jo ke price fluctuations ko track karte hain, buy positions mein kami dikhate hain, lekin RSI thoda upar tick kar raha hai, jo ke H4 chart par last candle ke temporary upward pull ke wajah se hai. Main pehle se upper resistance levels ke through kaam kar chuka hoon, aur kyunki koi naye levels nahi bane, main zyada pronounced price drop ki ummeed rakhta hoon.

Market Reversal Analysis for GBP/USD

Market reversal ka likelihood kam ho gaya hai, mainly is wajah se ke U.S. dollar mazboot hua hai. Data release hone se pehle, analysts ne predict kiya tha ke agar job numbers 101,000 se 201,000 ke darmiyan rahte hain, toh yeh 25-basis-point rate cut ko signal karega, lekin unhone possible U.S. recession ka zikr nahi kiya. Shuru mein, is forecast ne GBP/USD pair mein rally ko janm diya, lekin trend jaldi bears ke haq mein palat gaya.

Abhi ki downward correction ko 1.3010 par support mil sakta hai, jahan price rebound kar sakti hai aur overall uptrend ko resume kar sakti hai. GBP/USD pair ne week ke doran heightened volatility experience ki, economic statistics ke aane ke wajah se. Weekly candle pin bar ke saath close hui, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke decline continue ho sakta hai agar price last week's low 1.3082 ko break karti hai. Agar yeh hota hai, toh pair 1.3046 tak gir sakta hai, aur further decreases se yeh 1.3001 ya 1.2891 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Is waqt ke scenario mein, main sirf selling opportunities ko consider kar raha hoon.

GBP/USD currency pair ki live analysis kar rahe hain. 1.2445 ke low se shuru hone wale upward momentum ke doran GBP/USD buyers ne pair ko doosray impulse zone mein dhakel diya, jisse foran hi bearish reaction trigger hui. Filhaal H4 chart par pound-dollar pair ke liye critical level 1.3197 hai. Agar buyers is level se upar price ko phir se push karte hain, toh uptrend resume ho sakta hai, aur resistance 1.3265 ko todne ki doosri koshish ho sakti hai. Lekin agar bears 1.3197 se neechay price ko rok lete hain, toh GBP/USD ka price pehle impulse zone ke upper boundary ki taraf girega, jo 1.3071 aur 1.3023 ke qareeb hai, jahan se potential upward movements ubhar sakti hain.
Aaj ke trading session ka close 1.3197 level ke qareeb dekhna bohot zaroori hai. H4 chart par abhi tak koi reversal ka asar nazar nahi aata kyun ke ab tak kisi pullback ne strong growth ko correct nahi kiya ya koi wazeh minimum establish nahi kiya. Iss waqt, sirf ek zyada substantial pullback hi likely lagta hai.
Upward correction aur level analysis bohot precise rahe. Plan ke mutabiq, pullback green level 1.3244 ko cross nahi kar saka. Price ne iss raaste ko bilkul follow kiya: pullback liya, level ko cross nahi kiya, aur foran downward move kar gaya. Yeh sell karne ke liye ek ideal condition thi, khaaskar ek sirf 34 points ka stop loss ke sath—yeh moka chhorna mushkil tha. Aaj ka nateeja bohot successful raha. Kal, jab ek anticipated upward correction ke baad, ek aur push downward kiya jaaye, toh ideally 1.3149 level tak consider karna chahiye. Lekin euro ke farq ke bawajood, pound ne kal naye highs achieve kiye, jo ek naye reference point banate hain, halan ke aaj ke price action ne GBP/USD ko Friday ke growth ka poora faida uthana nahi diya. Main umeed karta hoon ke kal subah ya din ke aghaz mein ek slight bounce upward ho sakta hai, jo 1.3149 level ki taraf ek mazboot decline ka raasta saaf karega. Kal ki khabar, khaaskar U.S. GDP data, ek bohot bara movement ko trigger kar sakta hai.
United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo Friday ko publish hogi. PCE report se umeed hai ke year-on-year core inflation June ke 2.6% se barh kar 2.7% tak pahunch gayi hai, aur monthly figures 0.2% ki steady growth dikhayengi. Inflation data market speculation ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September monetary policy decision ke liye significant influence de sakti hai.
Thursday ke session mein UK economic calendar khali hai, lekin investors US data par focus karenge. Ek key point Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data ka second estimate hai, jo 12:30 GMT par publish hoga. Economists expect karte hain ke data revise nahi hoga, jo confirm karega ke US economy annualized basis par 2.8% expand hui. GDP data ka US Dollar par significant impact hone ki umeed nahi hai jab tak koi significant revision nahi hoti. Is ke ilawa, weekly US Jobless Claims numbers bhi due hain, jo substantial increase hone par markets ko move kar sakti hain.
Pound Sterling ne halka corrective move ke baad 1.3200 ke round-level support ke qareeb rebound kiya hai. GBP/USD pair ki near-term appeal mazboot hai kyunke yeh weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation ka breakout hold kar raha hai. Agar bullish momentum dobara shuru hota hai, toh Cable se expected hai ke yeh 1.3500 ke psychological resistance aur 4 February, 2022 ke high 1.3640 ki taraf barhega, jabke yeh US Dollar ke muqabley fresh two-and-a-half-year high 1.3266 ko todta hai.

GBP/USD Analysis in Roman Urdu**
Jummah ke din GBP/USD ka price poore din mein pichle din ki range ko break nahi kar saka, jis ke natije mein aik indecision candle bani jo thori si bullish bias ke sath thi. Aane wale hafte ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke southern movement ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Is surat mein, jaisa ke pehle bhi mein ne mention kiya, main apna focus mirror support level par rakhne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.25694 par waqia hai. Is support level ke qareeb do scenarios samne aa sakte hain.
Pehla scenario ye hai ke aik reversal candle bane aur price phir se upward movement shuru kare. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, to mein intizar karoon ga ke price resistance level 1.27025 ya phir resistance level 1.27399 tak laut aye. Agar price in resistance levels ke upar close hoti hai, to mazeed northward movement ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, jo ke resistance level 1.2864 ya resistance level 1.28938 tak ho sakti hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main trading setup ke formation ka intizar karoon ga taake mazeed trading direction ka tayun ho sake.
Lekin agar price ko further north push kiya jata hai to mazeed northern targets tak le jane ka chance hai, lekin filhal mein is option ko consider nahi kar raha hoon kyun ke iski quick realization ke liye prospects nazar nahi aa rahe. Ek alternative scenario ye ho sakta hai ke support level 1.25694 ke retesting par price is level ke neeche close ho aur mazeed southern movement shuru ho. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, to mein price ke support level 1.24601 ya support level 1.24456 tak jane ki umeed karoon ga. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ki talash karoon ga aur umeed karoon ga ke upward price movement ka silsila phir se shuru ho jaye.
Mujhe lagta hai ke next week mein price locally nearest support level ko test karegi, aur phir mein bullish signals ki talash mein rahoon ga taake price ke upward movement ki umeed ki ja sake. June ke mahine mein market ki situation ab bhi bearish side par chal rahi hai. Pichle hafte ke trading mein bhi market trend downward tha. Is hafte ke liye, price jo ke position 1.2636 se shuru hui, thoda upar move kar sakti hai 1.2701 ke area tak. Phir pichle hafte ke end par thodi bearishness hui jis se price close hui 1.2641 par. Is mahine ka downtrend ab tak significant nahi lagta, lekin last three weeks ki bearishness next week ke bearish trend ke liye aik mauqa ban sakti hai.
Candlesticks ab tak stable nazar aa rahi hain jo ke simple moving average zone of period 100 ke neeche move kar rahi hain. Meri prediction ye hai ke next week candlestick ab bhi niche move kar sakti hai taake bearish trend jari rakha ja sake, jis se price current position se lower position tak ja sakti hai. Mujhe shak hai ke agle hafte price downward trend ko continue kar sakti hai, jo ke pichle do hafton ki drastic bearishness ka asar hai, aur ye shayad 1.2600 ke area ko test karne ki koshish kare. Agar ye koshish kamiyab hoti hai, to GBP/USD pair ke liye agle bearish target tak girne ka chance hai, lekin agar bearishness continue nahi hoti to mujhe lagta hai ke price bullish side ki taraf uth sakti hai, shayad 1.2686 ke position ko test karna chahti ho.

ستمبر 10 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، برطانوی پاؤنڈ نے 1.3080 سے 1.3120 تک کی سطح کی پوری رینج کے ذریعے کام کیا، جس نے سپورٹ کے نیچے دن بند کیا۔ آج صبح، کمی جاری ہے. روزانہ ٹائم فریم پر مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں داخل ہو رہا ہے۔ 1.2994 کا ہدف کھلا ہے۔



برطانیہ کے روزگار کا ڈیٹا آج جاری کیا جائے گا۔ جولائی کی بے روزگاری کی شرح 4.2% سے کم ہو کر 4.1% ہونے کی توقع ہے۔ اگست کے لیے جرمنی کا سی. پی. آئی. 2.3% y/y سے کم ہو کر 1.9% y/y تک متوقع ہے۔ پاؤنڈ مخصوص ہدف کی طرف بڑھنا جاری رکھ سکتا ہے۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، قیمت 1.3080 کی سطح سے نیچے مضبوط ہو گئی۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں مسلسل کم ہو رہا ہے۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن نیچے کی طرف مڑ گئی ہے۔ موجودہ رجحان نیچے کی طرف ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD Analysis in Roman Urdu** Jummah ke din GBP/USD ka price poore din mein pichle din ki range ko break nahi kar saka, jis ke natije mein aik indecision candle bani jo thori si bullish bias ke sath thi. Aane wale hafte ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke southern movement ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Is surat mein, jaisa ke pehle bhi mein ne mention kiya, main apna focus mirror support level par rakhne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.25694 par waqia hai. Is support level ke qareeb do scenarios samne aa sakte hain.
Pehla scenario ye hai ke aik reversal candle bane aur price phir se upward movement shuru kare. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, to mein intizar karoon ga ke price resistance level 1.27025 ya phir resistance level 1.27399 tak laut aye. Agar price in resistance levels ke upar close hoti hai, to mazeed northward movement ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, jo ke resistance level 1.2864 ya resistance level 1.28938 tak ho sakti hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main trading setup ke formation ka intizar karoon ga taake mazeed trading direction ka tayun ho sake.
Lekin agar price ko further north push kiya jata hai to mazeed northern targets tak le jane ka chance hai, lekin filhal mein is option ko consider nahi kar raha hoon kyun ke iski quick realization ke liye prospects nazar nahi aa rahe. Ek alternative scenario ye ho sakta hai ke support level 1.25694 ke retesting par price is level ke neeche close ho aur mazeed southern movement shuru ho. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, to mein price ke support level 1.24601 ya support level 1.24456 tak jane ki umeed karoon ga. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ki talash karoon ga aur umeed karoon ga ke upward price movement ka silsila phir se shuru ho jaye.
Mujhe lagta hai ke next week mein price locally nearest support level ko test karegi, aur phir mein bullish signals ki talash mein rahoon ga taake price ke upward movement ki umeed ki ja sake. June ke mahine mein market ki situation ab bhi bearish side par chal rahi hai. Pichle hafte ke trading mein bhi market trend downward tha. Is hafte ke liye, price jo ke position 1.2636 se shuru hui, thoda upar move kar sakti hai 1.2701 ke area tak. Phir pichle hafte ke end par thodi bearishness hui jis se price close hui 1.2641 par. Is mahine ka downtrend ab tak significant nahi lagta, lekin last three weeks ki bearishness next week ke bearish trend ke liye aik mauqa ban sakti hai.
Candlesticks ab tak stable nazar aa rahi hain jo ke simple moving average zone of period 100 ke neeche move kar rahi hain. Meri prediction ye hai ke next week candlestick ab bhi niche move kar sakti hai taake bearish trend jari rakha ja sake, jis se price current position se lower position tak ja sakti hai. Mujhe shak hai ke agle hafte price downward trend ko continue kar sakti hai, jo ke pichle do hafton ki drastic bearishness ka asar hai, aur ye shayad 1.2600 ke area ko test karne ki koshish kare. Agar ye koshish kamiyab hoti hai, to GBP/USD pair ke liye agle bearish target tak girne ka chance hai, lekin agar bearishness continue nahi hoti to mujhe lagta hai ke price bullish side ki taraf uth sakti hai, shayad 1.2686 ke position ko test karna chahti ho.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai.
Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg
Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain.

GBP/ USD Exchange Rate

Hum abhi GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Pehle mujhe laga tha ke U.S. inflation data shayad Thursday ko aayega, magar dekhte hain ke kya hota hai. Main is baat se mutafiq hoon ke UK GDP ziada asar nahi dalta market par—British currency dheere dheere irrelevant hoti ja rahi hai. Agar hum traders ke beech GBP/USD mein kam hoti interest par nazar daalein, to yeh baat bilkul wazeh hai ke doosre instruments ab iska jagah le rahe hain. Akhirkar, 31 saal lag gaye hain is interest ko kam hone mein.

Filhaal, sara focus sirf inflation par hoga. Agar data releases Wednesday ko hoti hain, to Tuesday ko tayyari ka din hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke Monday ko thoda upar delayed sell order set karein, aur agar yeh trigger ho jaye, to GBP/USD ko 1.2719 ke target level tak girne dein. Iss wave mein prices ke is se neeche girne ka imkaan kam lagta hai.



GBP/USD ke liye yeh U.S. dollar ke liye mazid mazbooti ka ek favorable setup hai. Jumma ki raat ko bears ne price ko neeche rakha, aur din aur hafta dono ke akhri lamhat mein price lows ke qareeb band hui. Yeh close yeh zor ka ishara deti hai ke market open hote hi girawat ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Agar wo log 1.3085 ka local low break kar dete hain (khaaskar agar wo kuch ghanton tak candles ko is level ke neeche close karte hain), to yeh aam tor par 1.2999 ke psychological level ki taraf move ka ishara ho sakta hai. Lekin, market hamesha unpredictability ka shikar hoti hai. Yeh bilkul mumkin hai ke price wapis upar 31st figure tak push ho jaye, jisse agle move ke baray mein humaray andaze ghair yaqini ho jayein.

Ideal tor par, main seedhi girawat ko pasand karunga, lekin market kabhi bhi personal preferences ke mutabiq nahi chalti. Mera foran target abhi bhi 1.2779 zone ke qareeb hai.

GBP/USD ne ek aur koshish ki hai ke "descending triangle" formation se bahar aaye, aur agar yeh poori tarah se America mein trading khulne par wapas formation mein nahi jata, toh hum border se rebound par decline ko pakar sakte hain, jo ke is waqt EMA200 par 1.3005 par limited hai. Formation ka border 1.3078 ke aas paas hai. Yahi se hum aaj dance shuru kar sakte hain.
GBP/USD ke currency pair ke liye, sellers ne support level 1.3090 ke neeche consolidate karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jo ab resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Is se yeh range khulti hai ke quotes ke lagataar girne ka silsila key support level 1.3009 tak jari rahega. Iss se humein short-term mein price ka wapas upar rebound ki umeed ho sakti hai.


support level 1.3090 ke neeche consolidat
e karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jo ab resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Is se yeh range khulti hai ke quotes ke lagataar girne ka silsila key support level 1.3009 tak jari rahega. Iss se humein short-term mein price ka wapas upar rebound ki umeed
Is instrument ka ek alternative forecast yeh hai ke quotes ka growth dobara shuru ho. Is ke liye instrument ko resistance level 1.3090 ke ooper wapas aana hoga. Pehla movement resistance level 1.3137 tak hoga. Aur agar yeh toot jata hai, toh agla resistance level 1.3187 hoga. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke horizontal lines 1.3090 aur 1.3137 ke darmiyan quotes sideways trend mein move karein.

Yahan hamari umeedein mukhtalif hain. Main GBPUSD currency pair ke kisi tez growth ki tawakku nahi karta. Main sirf girawat ki umeed rakhta hoon. Maine 1.3190 aur 1.3220 se sales open ki hui hain. Abhi yeh trades chhoti si profit mein hain. Main daily chart par focus kar raha hoon. Is chart se yeh pata chal raha hai ke price channel ke upper border se bahar nikli, jo us waqt 1.3170 par tha. Ab main asset ki girawat ki umeed kar raha hoon, kam az kam daily period ki average moving line tak, jo ab 1.2899 par hai. Agar price moving average se rebound karne mein kaamiyab hoti hai, toh hum 1.3262 par maximum ka update dekh sakte hain. Lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh mushkil hai. Mera khayal hai ke price moving average ko upar se neeche tak tor dega aur phir profitable purchase zone 1.2832-1.2764 tak jaega. Magar meri trading idea tabhi kaam karegi jab price channel ke lower border se bahar nikle. Uske baad main northern correction aur girawat ke silsile ko jari dekh raha hoon.

Pound GBP/USD ke hawale se, yeh pair 1.3070 ke opening level ke qareeb aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Main indicators southern direction dikhate hain aur price trend line MA72 ke neeche hai, jahan volume unloading aam tor par hoti hai. Agar price 1.3093 ke level ke upar hoti hai, toh hum pair ki growth ki umeed kar sakte hain jo ke 1.3107 aur shayad 1.3130 tak ja sakti hai. Agar price 1.3070 ke neeche chali jati hai, toh main pair ke 1.3056 aur shayad 1.3019 tak jaane ki umeed karta hoon.

Pound ab monthly Pivot level 1.3019 (pehle 1.2837) ke upar, weekly Pivot level 1.3151 (pehle 1.3167) ke neeche, aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo humein pair ke strong southern correctional mood ke bare mein batata hai. Weekly Pivot level 1.3151 ke upar pair north ki taraf jaega, jab ke daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche pair monthly Pivot ki taraf chala jaega. Pehla resistance level north mein 1.3107 par hai, aur south mein 1.3056 ke neeche jana ziada ahem hai.

hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein

*GBP/USD Ke Long Aur Short Positions Ka Analysis**
Meri subah ki forecast mein, maine 1.3088 level ko highlight kiya tha aur market entry decisions is level ke aadhar par lene ka plan kiya tha. Chaliye 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur dekhte hain kya huwa. Girawat aur false breakout ki formation ne pound khareedne ka ek entry point diya, jis se pair mein 15 points ki rise dekhi gayi, lekin uske baad pressure wapas aagaya. Technical outlook ko din ke dusre hisse ke liye revise kiya gaya.

**GBP/USD Par Long Positions Khulne Ke Liye:**

Ye koi hairani ki baat nahi hai ke Friday ki statistics aur tez risk-off sentiment ke baad, pound aaj ki European session mein girta raha. UK se important statistics ki kami naye buyers ko attract nahi kar rahi, even in attractive prices par. Dusre hisse mein, wholesale inventories aur consumer credit se related US data ke market par zyada impact hone ki umeed nahi hai. Is liye, mein sirf tabhi buying ka plan karunga jab 1.3077 ke naye support level ke aas-paas ek false breakout form ho. Ye hi ek chance provide karega correction aur 1.3109 level tak recovery ka. Agar is range ka breakout aur retest top se bottom ki taraf hota hai, to intraday upward trend ke chances barh jayenge, jisse sellers ke stop-loss orders activate honge aur long positions ke liye ek accha entry point milega. Is se possible move 1.3140 tak hoga, jahan moving averages currently sellers ko favor kar rahi hain. Sabse door ka target 1.3168 level hoga, jahan main apne profits lene ka plan kar raha hoon. Agar GBP/USD girta hai aur 1.3077 ke aas-paas koi bullish activity nahi hoti, jo ke zyada mumkin hai, to pair par pressure barh jayega. Ye decline 1.3045 ke agle support level ko update kar sakti hai, jo buyers ke plans ko nullify kar dega. Is level par ek false breakout long positions kholne ka ek matra condition hoga. Main GBP/USD ko 1.3012 ke low se rebound par kharidunga, din ke andar 30-35 points ki correction ka target rakhta hoon.

**GBP/USD Par Short Positions Khulne Ke Liye:**

Sellers market ko control kar rahe hain aur naye hafte ka low achieve kar chuke hain, jo ke is summer ke end par dekhe gaye bullish trend ko le kar doubts ko janm deta hai. Agar US data weak hoti hai, to bears ka main task 1.3109 resistance ko defend karna hoga, jahan ek false breakout naye short positions kholne ke liye achha mauka provide karega, jo ek naye trend aur 1.3077 support ka retest ki taraf le jayega. Agar is range ka breakout aur retest bottom se top ki taraf hota hai, to buyers ke positions hit hongi, stop-loss orders activate honge aur move 1.3045 tak hoga, jahan major players se zyada active trading ki umeed hai. Sabse door ka target 1.3012 level hoga, jahan main profits lunga. Agar GBP/USD upar chalta hai aur 1.3109 ke aas-paas bearish activity nahi hoti, to buyers ko pair ko sideways channel mein confined karne ka chance milega. Bears ko fir 1.3140 resistance area tak retreat karna padega, jahan moving averages pair ke upward potential ko limit kar rahi hain. Main yahan sirf ek false breakout ke baad sell karunga. Agar downward movement nahi hoti, to main 1.3168 se rebound par short positions dekhoonga, din ke andar 30-35 points ki downward correction ke liye.