جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Pound/dollar ka joda filhal 1.30703 ki support satah ke qarib trade kar raha hai. Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh Bartanwi currency ooper ki raftar hasil karegi aur moving average aur 1.31250 ki muzahmati satah ki taraf badhegi. Iske bad, qimat ke wapas ucchalne aur nayi muqami bulandiyon par pahuchne se pahle nichli trend line aur 1.30095 ki support satah par wapas jane ka imkan hai.

GBP/USD Pair Technical Analysis

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein 1.3231 ka saal ka sabse bara level choa, jo is pair ke liye ek aham high tha. Is high ke baad ek kafi wazeh bearish movement dekhi gayi, jisme pair 1.3300 se gir kar taqreeban 1.3240 tak pohoncha, aur aakhir mein 1.3250 ke qareeb settle ho gaya. Is tez girawat ke baad yeh baat zahir hoti hai ke market sentiment mein tabdeeli ayi hai, jahan selling pressure ne pehle ke bullish momentum ko shikast di. Peak par GBP/USD pair aise lag raha tha ke mazeed gains ke liye tayar hai, jise positive momentum aur strong bullish outlook ne support kiya tha. Magar iske baad jo tez bearish candle bani, usne dikhaya ke is upward momentum ko kafi resistance mila hai.

Price ka yeh movement market correction ya reversal ka aik izhar hai, jahan sellers ne pair ke trajectory par zyada asar dalna shuru kar diya hai. Aik key indicator jo is surat-e-haal mein madadgar ho sakta hai wo hai Relative Strength Index (RSI). RSI ek momentum oscillator hai jo price movements ki speed aur tabdeeli ko napta hai. 70 se upar ki reading typically yeh signal deti hai ke currency pair overbought hai, jabke 30 se neeche ki reading oversold hone ka ishara deti hai. Haal hi ke peak par, RSI ne overbought levels ko choo liya hoga, jo yeh batata hai ke bullish trend apni taqat kho raha hai. RSI ki haali readings, aur iska downward slope, yeh dikhate hain ke bullish momentum kamzor ho raha hai aur bearish forces ka asar barh raha hai.

Halaankeh RSI ka ishara ek potential bullish outlook de raha tha, lekin GBP/USD ki haali downtrend yeh zahir karti hai ke selling pressure dominate kar raha hai. RSI ka downward slope is view ko support karta hai, jo buying interest ke kam hone aur selling activity ke barhne ka izhar hai. Market dynamics mein yeh tabdeeli short term mein bearish trend ke continuation ka ishara ho sakti hai.



Price ka upward correction aur level analysis perfect raha. Plan ke mutabiq, pullback green level 1.3244 ko cross nahi kar saka. Price ne is raaste par bilkul theek move kiya: pullback aaya, level cross nahi hua, aur jaldi se neeche ki taraf chala gaya. Maine selling ke liye ek ideal condition banayi, khaaskar sirf 34 points ka stop loss rakha tha — yeh ek bohot acha mouqa tha jo chhodna mushkil tha. Din ka natija kafi successful raha. Kal ek mazeed downward push ka intezaar hai, ideally 1.3149 tak. Magar euro ke mukablay mein pound ne kal naye highs ko choa tha, jo ek naya reference point bana, halankeh aaj ka price action GBP/USD ko Friday ki growth ka pura faida uthane nahi diya. Mera khayal hai ke kal subah ya din ke aghaz mein thoda upward bounce hoga, jo ek mazeed decline ke liye raasta banayega, jo 1.3149 level tak jaye ga. Kal ki news, khaaskar U.S. GDP data, bohot zyada movement ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price ke current behavior ka analysis karenge. Maine hourly chart ko dekh kar yeh identify kiya ke koi aise formation hai jo decline ka signal de raha ho. Chart pe dekha gaya ke maheene ka aakhri din aik large body wali candle ke sath close hua jo dono sides pe shadows bhi show kar raha hai. GBP/USD pair ke liye, Friday ke trading ne upward movement ko disrupt kiya jo bears ke liye hopeful hai jo aage price drop ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Price 1.3122 pe settle hui hai aur support level 1.3131 ko break kar diya. Lekin, agar yeh false breakout hai to price 60 points tak rebound kar sakti hai. Meri expectation hai ke September mein price decline karegi aur 1.2991 se 1.2931 ke beech aayegi. Hourly chart par resistance 1.3201 hai, aur indicator suggest kar raha hai ke price 1.3071 aur 1.2991 tak gir sakti hai. 30-minute chart yeh show karta hai ke teen substantial waves of decline form hui hain, jo suggest karti hain ke currency pair ka downward movement continue ho sakta hai.
Jab 4-hour timeframe se GBP/USD market ka observation kiya gaya, to yeh nazar aata hai ke buyers ka trend dominate kar raha hai. Pichle kuch hafton se price uptrend side ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Market ka journey pichle hafte se sellers ke downward correction ke bawajood bullish trend ko delay kar raha hai. Aaj market ko monitor karne se yeh lagta hai ke trend bullish side ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Mere hisaab se agla price journey shayad upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai taake current position se door ho sake. Pichle do hafton ke trading period mein fairly bullish conditions dekhne ko mili hain jo price ko upar laane mein madad kar sakti hain aur 1.3264 area tak pahunch sakti hain, halankeh market phir se correction down dekhti hai. Aaj subah market ki opening par price ko barhane ki koshish ki gayi, aur candlestick 1.3126 ke zone ke around hai. Agar 100-period ke simple moving average ka analysis kiya jaye, to signal line upar jaati hui nazar aati hai jo pichle hafton ke trend ko show karti hai. Overall, candlestick simple moving average zone of period 100 ko cross kar chuki hai jo ke bullish zone mein movement ka indication hai. Price increase bhi ab 1.3144 zone ke pass hai jo buying interest ke dominance ko indicate karta hai.

significant liquidity grabs aur fair value gaps (FVGs) ko fill karne ki wajah se driven hai. April se price action ne higher highs aur higher lows ka silsila dikhaya hai, jo ek solid uptrend ko darshata hai, jismein key liquidity areas aur FVGs ka central role hai jo market ko guide kar rahe hain. April ke dauran, price 1.2350 aur 1.2650 ke beech consolidation phase mein phansi hui thi, jahan in levels ke aas-paas kai FVGs aur liquidity zones maujood thay. Market ne dheere dheere momentum build kiya, aur early June mein is range se breakout karte hue price ne 1.2650 resistance level ko paar kiya, jo ke strong bullish sentiment se driven tha. Is breakout ne ek significant rally ko janam diya, aur price 1.2850 region ki taraf barh gayi jahan ek aur liquidity zone target tha.

Late June aur July mein, pair ne 1.2850 se 1.3000 area ke aas-paas resistance face kiya, jiske baad price ne consolidation phase mein entry ki, aur rally ke dauran create kiye gaye FVGs ko fill kiya. Magar, bullish bias qaim raha, kyun ke price 1.2650 support level ke ooper rahi, jo lower levels par strong buying interest ko zahir karta hai. Yeh consolidation ek aur bullish leg ke liye raah banayi, jo early August mein materialize hui jab price ne 1.3000 resistance ke ooper breakout kiya. August ke dauran, price ne apni upward trajectory jari rakhi, 1.3100 se ooper highs ko chhota aur 1.3200 level ko target kiya. Is move ko pichle FVGs ke fill karne aur key levels ke ooper liquidity ko clear karne se characterize kiya gaya, jo bullish trend ki taqat ko signal karta hai. Chart 1.3000 level ki ahmiyat ko bhi highlight karta hai, jo is dauran ek crucial support aur resistance zone ke tor par kaam karta raha hai.

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai. - Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.

Jab British Pound ko dekha jaye, lagta hai ke mojooda uptrend sustainable nahi hai. Isliye, aik mumkin downtrend shuru ho sakta hai ya chaloo rahe sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Pound Euro ko bhi neeche le ja sakta hai, kyunki maine aik long position li thi based on signal. Ek similar buy signal Pound ke liye bhi triggered hua tha, jo usne pichle Jumme ko fulfill kiya.

Mujhe dekha raha hai ke Pound fractal support 1.30857 ki taraf tez raftar se barh raha hai, aur iske neeche girne ki sambhavana hai. Yeh aik reversal pattern banane ka imkaan hai, jise 1-2-3 kaha jata hai. Pound Euro ke muqablay mein zyada bearish lagta hai, halanki is scenario mein, Euro apne buy signal target ko nahi pohnch sakta. Pound ne apne H4 timeframe par buy signal ko successfully complete kiya hai, jaisa ke grey column se potential dikhaya gaya hai. Filhal moving averages par based aik sell signal generate karne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai, lekin jab tak current H4 candle close nahi hoti, isay consider karna waqt se pehle hai. Lekin hum roughly sellers ke target ko pehle se andaza laga sakte hain.

Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke Pound ke liye H4 timeframe par pehle se aik initial sell signal tha, jis par main ab Fibonacci retracement draw kar raha hoon. Signal level 1.31346 se calculate kiya gaya hai. Pound ne apne pehle ke major low ko update kar liya hai, ek 1-2-3 pattern aur descending channel ko neeche ki taraf banate hue, jo grey color se mark kiya gaya hai. 100% level downtrend ke target ko dikhata hai, jo ke 1.30036 par hai. Dono signals ek hi target level ko indicate karte hain. Maine dono signals ke potentials ko orange column (primary) aur red column (secondary) se mark kiya hai. Is scenario mein, sell positions ke liye stop-loss level ko 0.0% ke thoda neeche set kiya ja sakta hai, yani ke 1.32324 ke level ke neeche, 1.32656 ke bajaye. Current levels se potential downside lagbhag 80 pips hai. Agar favorable pullback hota hai, to sell positions mein 1:1 risk-reward ratio ka aim rakha ja sakta hai, ya M15 timeframe par higher timeframe analysis ki support se sell positions consider ki ja sakti hain.

significant liquidity grabs aur fair value gaps (FVGs) ko fill karne ki wajah se driven hai. April se price action ne higher highs aur higher lows ka silsila dikhaya hai, jo ek solid uptrend ko darshata hai, jismein key liquidity areas aur FVGs ka central role hai jo market ko guide kar rahe hain. April ke dauran, price 1.2350 aur 1.2650 ke beech consolidation phase mein phansi hui thi, jahan in levels ke aas-paas kai FVGs aur liquidity zones maujood thay. Market ne dheere dheere momentum build kiya, aur early June mein is range se breakout karte hue price ne 1.2650 resistance level ko paar kiya, jo ke strong bullish sentiment se driven tha. Is breakout ne ek significant rally ko janam diya, aur price 1.2850 region ki taraf barh gayi jahan ek aur liquidity zone target tha.

Late June aur July mein, pair ne 1.2850 se 1.3000 area ke aas-paas resistance face kiya, jiske baad price ne consolidation phase mein entry ki, aur rally ke dauran create kiye gaye FVGs ko fill kiya. Magar, bullish bias qaim raha, kyun ke price 1.2650 support level ke ooper rahi, jo lower levels par strong buying interest ko zahir karta hai. Yeh consolidation ek aur bullish leg ke liye raah banayi, jo early August mein materialize hui jab price ne 1.3000 resistance ke ooper breakout kiya. August ke dauran, price ne apni upward trajectory jari rakhi, 1.3100 se ooper highs ko chhota aur 1.3200 level ko target kiya. Is move ko pichle FVGs ke fill karne aur key levels ke ooper liquidity ko clear karne se characterize kiya gaya, jo bullish trend ki taqat ko signal karta hai. Chart 1.3000 level ki ahmiyat ko bhi highlight karta hai, jo is dauran ek crucial support aur resistance zone ke tor par kaam karta raha hai.

Agar Aaj hum British Pound ka analysis karein, toh lagta hai ke jo current uptrend chal raha hai, woh sustainable nahi hai. Iss se yeh andaza hota hai ke ek potential downtrend shuru ho sakta hai ya phir jo downtrend already chal raha hai, woh continue ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Pound ke girne se Euro bhi neeche aa sakta hai, kyunke maine ek signal ki base par Euro mein long position enter ki thi. Isi tarah ka ek buy signal Pound ke liye bhi trigger hua tha, jo usne last Friday ko fulfill kar diya.

Main observe kar raha hoon ke Pound ab 1.30857 par jo fractal support hai, uski taraf tez raftari se move kar raha hai, aur yeh support ke neeche break kar sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh ek reversal pattern form ho sakta hai, jise 1-2-3 pattern kehte hain. Pound Euro ke muqablay mein zyada bearish lag raha hai, halan ke is scenario mein ho sakta hai ke Euro apne buy signal target tak na pahunch sake. H4 timeframe par Pound ne apna buy signal successfully complete kiya, jo grey column mein potential ke tor par show kiya gaya hai. Filhal ek sell signal generate karne ki koshish ho rahi hai moving averages ki base par, lekin yeh premature hai jab tak current H4 candle close nahi hoti. Phir bhi, hum roughly sellers ke target ka estimation pehle se kar sakte hain.

Interesting baat yeh hai ke H4 timeframe par Pound ke liye pehla sell signal already aa chuka tha, jiski base par main ab ek Fibonacci retracement draw kar raha hoon. Signal level 1.31346 mark se calculate hota hai. Pound ne apna previous major low update kar liya hai, jisse downside ke liye ek 1-2-3 pattern aur ek descending channel ban gaya hai, jo grey color mein mark kiya gaya hai. 100% level downtrend ka target represent karta hai, jo 1.30036 par hai. Dono signals yeh same target level indicate karte hain. Main ne in dono signals ke potentials ko orange column (primary) aur red column (secondary) se mark kiya hai. Is scenario mein, sell positions ke liye stop-loss level ko thoda neeche, 0.0% se, yani 1.32324 ke level se neeche set kiya ja sakta hai, instead of 1.32656. Current levels se downside potential kareeban 80 pips ka hai. Agar favorable pullback hota hai, toh 1:1 risk-reward ratio ke liye aim kar sakte hain sell positions mein, ya M15 timeframe par sell positions enter kar sakte hain, higher timeframe analysis ka support le kar.

Monday ko GBP/USD pair ne niche trade kiya, aur Senkou Span B line price level ke upar move hui. Is wajah se pound sterling mein ek downward trend nazar aaya, lekin yeh trend bahut kamzor aur uncertain hai. Trendline breach hone ke bawajood bhi pair ki girawat abhi tak shuru nahi hui. Saal ke shuru se hum consistently yeh mention kar rahe hain ke British pound mein girne ki khubsurat resistance hai. Seedhi baat yeh hai ke pound euro ke muqablay mein kam girta hai, halan ke European Central Bank aur Bank of England ne key rates almost sync mein kam kiye hain aur yeh process Federal Reserve se pehle shuru kiya. Aur yaad rahe ke pound pichle maheenay mein 600 pips se zyada upar gaya hai aur abhi ek third tak bhi correct nahi kar sakta. Lagta hai ke pound sirf kabhi kabhi break leta hai agle upward movement ke liye.
Monday ko US ya UK mein koi macroeconomic data nahi tha. British pound thoda sa gira lekin convincingly previous local low ke neeche nahi ja saka. Ab tak, British currency ki koi bhi girawat bahut uncertain lagti hai aur kabhi bhi khatam ho sakti hai. Iss haftay bhi market ke paas kafi reasons hain ke woh dollar selling ka naya round shuru kare. UK mein paanch aham reports release hongi aur US mein inflation report aayegi. Agle haftay BoE aur Fed ki meetings hongi, jin ke results ko asaani se pound ke favor mein interpret kiya ja sakta hai.

Monday ko kuch trading signals form hue, lekin sirf sabse pehla signal jo 1.3119 level ke kareeb tha, execute kiya ja sakta tha. Iss point par short positions khuli ja sakti thi. Iske baad Senkou Span B line se rebound hua, lekin is signal ko ignore kiya ja sakta tha kyun ke resistance level 1.3119 ab bhi upar tha. Ya toh level aur line ko ek area samajh kar trade karen, ya consolidation ke liye Senkou Span B line ke neeche ka intezar karen short positions open karne ke liye. Baad mein price ne har kuch ghanton ke baad neeche se Senkou Span B se bounce kiya. Short position kisi bhi waqt close ki ja sakti thi.

Hourly time frame mein GBP/USD correction continue kar raha hai, lekin yeh correction kisi bhi waqt khatam ho sakta hai. Yeh correction end bhi ho chuki ho sakti hai kyun ke price Senkou Span B line ke neeche consolidate nahi kar paayi, jo ke price se upar settle hui hai. Pichle haftay ke dauraan, US ke zyada macroeconomic data weak the, jo market ki dollar kharidne ki desire ko aur kamzor kar gaye. Pair ne correction ki, lekin nayi downtrend shuru nahi ho saki.

September 10 ke liye hum important levels highlight karte hain: 1.2605-1.2620, 1.2691-1.2701, 1.2796-1.2816, 1.2863, 1.2981-1.2987, 1.3050, 1.3119, 1.3175, 1.3222, 1.3273, 1.3367. Senkou Span B (1.3170) aur Kijun-sen (1.3152) lines bhi signals ke sources ke taur par serve kar sakti hain. Jab price intended direction mein 20 pips move kare, toh Stop Loss ko break even par set karne ki recommendation hai. Ichimoku indicator lines din ke dauraan shift ho sakti hain, jo trading signals determine karte waqt madde nazar rakhni chahiye.

Tuesday ko UK mein wages, unemployment rate aur number of unemployed mein changes ke reports release honge. Yeh reports market reaction provoke kar sakte hain, lekin ziada strong reaction ki umeed nahi hai. US mein koi bhi cheez planned nahi hai.

GBPUSD ne upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish ki hai, jo bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Aakhri ghanton mein, pair ne diagonal resistance level ko successfully breach kiya hai, jo ke upar movement ke liye ek significant barrier tha. Yeh breakout ek shuruati indication ho sakta hai ke market sentiment buying ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke naye upward trend ke establishment ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar, in positive signs ke bawajood, caution zaroori hai isse pehle ke puri tarah se uptrend ko embrace kiya jaye aur long positions commit ki jayein. Diagonal resistance ka breach ek positive technical development hai, jo traders ke liye bullish signal ke taur par interpret kiya jata hai. Aise resistance level ko break karna yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers jo pehle market ko control kar rahe the, unki grip kamzor ho rahi hai, aur buyers ko upper hand mil raha hai. Yeh control ka shift kabhi kabhi naye upward trend ko lead kar sakta hai, jab zyada traders long positions lena shuru karte hain, yeh expect karte hue ke pair aage bhi upar jayegi. Lekin, is potential breakout ko measured perspective se dekhna zaroori hai. Diagonal resistance ka breach hone se sirf yeh confirm nahi hota ke bullish trend sustainable hai. Financial markets mein false breakouts aam hote hain, jahan price temporarily resistance levels ke upar move karti hai aur phir tez reversal ke saath pehle ke trend par wapas aa jati hai. Isliye, additional confirmations dekhna zaroori hai before confidently naye upward trend ko declare karne se.sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega. Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai,
GBP/USD ke 4-hour chart par ek wazeh aur mustahkam bullish trend nazar aa raha hai, khas tor par mid-August se jab pair ne 1.27000 level ke aas-paas significant support hasil ki. Iss upward movement mein higher highs aur higher lows shamil hain, jo strong aur persistent bullish momentum ko zahir karte hain jiss ne kuch hafton mein pair ko 400 pips se zyada upar le gaya. Iss rally se pehle, pair ne early July se mid-August tak consolidation ka period experience kiya tha. Is dauran, price zyada tar 1.27000 support aur 1.29000 resistance level ke darmiyan range mein qaid rahi. Yeh range multiple key technical indicators, jaise ke Fair Value Gaps (FVG) aur Bottom Liquidity (BLiq) zones se defined thi. Yeh zones wo areas hain jahan price imbalances hue, jis se yeh signal milta hai ke market accumulation phase mein tha, jo ke ek potential breakout ke liye momentum gather kar raha tha. Yeh zones aksar future mein support ya resistance ke tor par kaam aate hain, jo inhen possible entry ya exit points ke liye critical banate hain.
Consolidation phase se breakout August ke aakhir mein hua, jahan GBP/USD pair ne strong upward momentum ke saath 1.29000 resistance level ko breach kiya. Yeh breakout significant tha kyunke iss ne consolidation phase ke khatam hone aur ek naye bullish trend ke shuru hone ki nishani di. Yeh surge bhi ek Fair Value Gap (FVG) ke mojudgi se support hui jo 1.29000 level ke qareeb thi, jis ne demand zone ke tor par kaam kiya aur price ko upar jaane ke liye zaroori support provide kiya. Breakout ke baad, ek rapid ascent 1.32000 level ki taraf hui, jo ke ek key psychological level hai aur maazi mein resistance ke tor par kaam karta raha hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ki live analysis kar rahe hain. 1.2445 ke low se shuru hone wale upward momentum ke doran GBP/USD buyers ne pair ko doosray impulse zone mein dhakel diya, jisse foran hi bearish reaction trigger hui. Filhaal H4 chart par pound-dollar pair ke liye critical level 1.3197 hai. Agar buyers is level se upar price ko phir se push karte hain, toh uptrend resume ho sakta hai, aur resistance 1.3265 ko todne ki doosri koshish ho sakti hai. Lekin agar bears 1.3197 se neechay price ko rok lete hain, toh GBP/USD ka price pehle impulse zone ke upper boundary ki taraf girega, jo 1.3071 aur 1.3023 ke qareeb hai, jahan se potential upward movements ubhar sakti hain.
Aaj ke trading session ka close 1.3197 level ke qareeb dekhna bohot zaroori hai. H4 chart par abhi tak koi reversal ka asar nazar nahi aata kyun ke ab tak kisi pullback ne strong growth ko correct nahi kiya ya koi wazeh minimum establish nahi kiya. Iss waqt, sirf ek zyada substantial pullback hi likely lagta hai.
Upward correction aur level analysis bohot precise rahe. Plan ke mutabiq, pullback green level 1.3244 ko cross nahi kar saka. Price ne iss raaste ko bilkul follow kiya: pullback liya, level ko cross nahi kiya, aur foran downward move kar gaya. Yeh sell karne ke liye ek ideal condition thi, khaaskar ek sirf 34 points ka stop loss ke sath—yeh moka chhorna mushkil tha. Aaj ka nateeja bohot successful raha. Kal, jab ek anticipated upward correction ke baad, ek aur push downward kiya jaaye, toh ideally 1.3149 level tak consider karna chahiye. Lekin euro ke farq ke bawajood, pound ne kal naye highs achieve kiye, jo ek naye reference point banate hain, halan ke aaj ke price action ne GBP/USD ko Friday ke growth ka poora faida uthana nahi diya. Main umeed karta hoon ke kal subah ya din ke aghaz mein ek slight bounce upward ho sakta hai, jo 1.3149 level ki taraf ek mazboot decline ka raasta saaf karega. Kal ki khabar, khaaskar U.S. GDP data, ek bohot bara movement ko trigger kar sakta hai.
United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo Friday ko publish hogi. PCE report se umeed hai ke year-on-year core inflation June ke 2.6% se barh kar 2.7% tak pahunch gayi hai, aur monthly figures 0.2% ki steady growth dikhayengi. Inflation data market speculation ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September monetary policy decision ke liye significant influence de sakti hai.
Thursday ke session mein UK economic calendar khali hai, lekin investors US data par focus karenge. Ek key point Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data ka second estimate hai, jo 12:30 GMT par publish hoga. Economists expect karte hain ke data revise nahi hoga, jo confirm karega ke US economy annualized basis par 2.8% expand hui. GDP data ka US Dollar par significant impact hone ki umeed nahi hai jab tak koi significant revision nahi hoti. Is ke ilawa, weekly US Jobless Claims numbers bhi due hain, jo substantial increase hone par markets ko move kar sakti hain.
Pound Sterling ne halka corrective move ke baad 1.3200 ke round-level support ke qareeb rebound kiya hai. GBP/USD pair ki near-term appeal mazboot hai kyunke yeh weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation ka breakout hold kar raha hai. Agar bullish momentum dobara shuru hota hai, toh Cable se expected hai ke yeh 1.3500 ke psychological resistance aur 4 February, 2022 ke high 1.3640 ki taraf barhega, jabke yeh US Dollar ke muqabley fresh two-and-a-half-year high 1.3266 ko todta hai.

GBPUSD currency pair mein bullish trend ka clear indication mil raha hai, jo indicators ke zariye confirm hota hai. 120-period moving average bhi bullish trend ko confirm karta hai kyunki yeh price ke neeche hai. Zigzag indicator bhi ek ascending structure ko show kar raha hai, jahan lows aur highs barh rahe hain. Aaj ki hourly candle ka closing level 1.3180 hai, jo ke upward movement ko continue karne ka signal hai.
Is waqt ke nazar mein, GBPUSD ki movement buying ke liye favorable lag rahi hai. Agar aap buy karna chahte hain, to entry point 1.3160 hai. Pehla target price level 1.3200 rakha gaya hai, aur doosra target 1.3240 ke aas-paas hai. Stop-loss ko 1.3130 par set kiya gaya hai taake agar market unexpected move kare, to nuksan ko kam kiya ja sake.
Agar GBPUSD ki price 1.3160 se entry ke baad upward movement continue karti hai, to pehla target 1.3200 achieve ho sakta hai. Iske baad, agar trend positive rehta hai, to aapka doosra target 1.3240 bhi achieve ho sakta hai. Stop-loss ko 1.3130 par set karna zaroori hai taake kisi bhi unforeseen market movement ke case mein aapka loss limit mein rahe.
Agar pair 1.3100 ke neeche break aur consolidate karti hai, to selling consider ki ja sakti hai. Is situation mein, take profit ko 1.3060 par set kiya gaya hai, aur stop-loss ko is trade ke liye 1.3130 par rakha gaya hai. Agar market is level ke neeche consolidate karti hai, to selling entry ke liye suitable ho sakti hai.
In trading strategies ko follow karte waqt, market ke overall trend aur indicators ka bhi dhyan rakhein. Har trade ke liye risk management zaroori hai, isliye stop-loss aur take profit levels ko sahi tarah se set karna chahiye. Aaj ke bullish trend ko dhyan mein rakhtay hue, buy positions ko consider karna zyada sensible lag raha hai. Lekin, agar market unexpected direction le, to selling opportunities bhi explore ki ja sakti hain. Trading decisions ko carefully analyse karte hue hi execute karein aur market ke changes ke saath adapt karna seekhein.
GBP/USD ke price mein 80 pips ka downfall aya, jo yeh signal de sakta hai ke seller sentiment dheere dheere resistance kar raha hai. Agar aage chal kar ek valid candlestick pattern ke sath aur decline hota hai, to trend bearish ho sakta hai, aur tab mein seller scenario ke liye tayar ho jaunga. Lekin agar price wapis upar chali jati hai, to buyer scenario ab bhi applicable rahega, is liye jaldi decision lene ki zarurat nahi hai.

GBP/USD pair mujhe badhati hui drawdown mein le ja rahi hai. Dekhna hoga ke bulls kab tak control mein reh sakte hain, khaas kar FOMC minutes ke aanay se pehle jo ke aakhri meeting ke hain.
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja

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Forex trading tips
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Yaumiyah chart ke mutabiq, pound/dollar ke jode ke 1.3265 ki satah se piche hatne ke bad rujhan tezi se mandi me badal gaya hai. Maujudah tejarati suratehal me, mujhe yaqin hai keh munafa kamane ka behtarin tariqah short positions kholna hai. Ek bar fir, OsMA histogram ne musbat ilaqah chor aur manfi ilaqe me dakhil ho gaya, jabkeh DeMark oscillator line mandi me badal gayi. Lehaza, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh Bartanwi pound 1.2820 ki satah tak gir jayega. Jaise hi short positions munafabaksh ho jati hai aur qimat aadhi ho jati hai, stop-loss ko breakeven par le jana danishmandi hogi.

Aaj, 10 September ko, GBPUSD currency pair ke liye brief forecast yeh hai ke din ka aghaaz uncertainty ke saath hua hai. General picture abhi bhi downward movement ko indicate kar rahi hai. Daily chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke downward movement ke liye nearest optimal target 38.2% Fibonacci level par hai jo ke 1.2900 ke aas-paas hai. Is level ko selling target ke roop mein choose kiya ja sakta hai.
Mujhe lagta hai ke downward movement continue karegi aur 1.2900 level ke breakthrough ka attempt kiya jayega. Aaj ke trading din ke liye, price movement ka trend abhi bhi niche ki taraf hai, aur yeh trend continue karne ki umeed hai. Agar 1.2900 level break hota hai, to yeh further downward movement ke liye ek significant signal ho sakta hai.

Is waqt, market ki uncertainty aur overall downward trend ko dekhte hue, trading decisions ko carefully consider karna zaroori hai. Agar 1.2900 level par price hold nahi karti aur niche girti hai, to aage ke levels ko bhi monitor karna padega jo further downward movement ko indicate kar sakte hain.

Agar aap selling position consider kar rahe hain, to 1.2900 ko apne target ke roop mein rakhein. Yeh level ek important support point hai jo break karna market ke downward trend ko aur strengthen kar sakta hai. Is level ke breakdown ke baad, agle targets ko bhi dekhna zaroori hai jahan price further move kar sakti hai.

Market conditions aur global events ka bhi is forecast par asar ho sakta hai. Har trading decision lene se pehle, market ki current situation aur technical indicators ko analyze karna zaroori hai. Agar price 1.2900 ke level ko successfully break karti hai, to aapki selling strategy ko implement karne ka best time ho sakta hai.

In sab cheezon ko madde nazar rakhte hue, trading karte waqt apni strategy ko flexible rakhna aur market ke changes ke saath adjust karna behtar rahega. Yahi approach aapko market ke trends ko samajhne aur profitable trades execute karne mein madad karegi.