جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD pair apni upward movement ko Wednesday ko sustain nahi kar saka, jo ke thora hairan kun hai. British pound aam tor par kisi bhi mouqa ka faida uthata hai apni growth dikhane ke liye. Lekin, kal ka UK ka inflation report expectations se neeche raha. Dosray alfaz mein, Consumer Price Index increase hua, lekin market ke mutabiq jitna umeed thi utna nahi. Iska nateeja yeh hua ke Bank of England ke agle meeting mein rate cut ke chances thode barh gaye, jo British currency ke liye achi baat nahi hai. Doosri taraf, U.S. inflation report dopehar mein release hui, jisme 3% se 2.9% ka slowdown dikhaya gaya. Hamari nazar mein, 2.9% rate 3% se ziada farq nahi rakhta. Dono figures Federal Reserve ko monetary policy ko ease karne ka koi sabab nahi deti. Phir bhi, market ne dobara U.S. dollar ko bechna shuru kar diya, aur sirf mushkil se price ko 1.2860 ke upar close hone se bachaya.
5-minute time frame mein, Wednesday ko do sell signals generate hue, lekin dono bohot vague the. Din ki volatility sirf 49 pips thi, aur itni kam volatility ke sath, achi signals aur profit ki umeed karna unrealistic hai. Price ne do martaba 1.2848-1.2860 area se bounce kiya. Pehla bounce ke baad pair mein paanch minute ka drop dekha gaya, is liye us signal par market mein enter karne ka mouqa nahi mila. Doosra signal shaam mein form hua jab market se nikalne ka waqt tha, na ke enter karne ka.

Trading tips Thursday ke liye:
Hourly time frame mein, GBP/USD ke paas downtrend ko sustain karne ka acha mouqa hai lekin filhal yeh ek upward correction se guzar raha hai. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, jabke dollar undervalued hai, aur market har mouqa ka faida utha raha hai British currency ko kharidne ka. Market koi bhi unfavorable reports ko nazar andaz kar raha hai. Kal ek naye dollar collapse ki umeed thi, jo kisi tarah se nahi hua

Thursday ko, novice traders 1.2848-1.2860 ya 1.2791-1.2798 area se trade kar sakte hain. UK aur U.S. mein macroeconomic background mojood hoga, is liye in reports par tawajju dena zaroori hai

GBP/USD currency pair ne apni rally ko Friday ke din dusre consecutive din ke liye extend kiya, aur Asian session ke doran 1.2870 level ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Yeh upward movement zyada tar improved risk sentiment ki wajah se tha, jo ke stronger-than-expected US retail sales data se fuel hua. Is ne US recession ke hawale se fears ko kam kiya aur risk-sensitive currencies, jaise ke pound sterling, ko support diya. Iske ilawa, British pound ko positive domestic economic data se bhi support mila, jo ke Thursday ko release hui thi. UK's GDP second quarter mein 0.6% expand hui, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq thi. Furthermore, annualized GDP growth rate 0.9% tak pohanch gayi, jo ke estimates aur previous quarter ke figure se zyada thi.

Market participants eagerly UK retail sales data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Friday ko release hone wali hai. July ke liye 0.5% monthly increase ki expectation hai, jabke pehle month mein 1.2% decline dekha gaya tha. Annual retail sales growth ka estimation hai ke 1.4% tak rise karegi, pehle ke 0.2% contraction se recover karte hue.

Wahin doosri taraf, US Dollar weak ho gaya hai kyun ke traders increasingly September mein Federal Reserve ki taraf se 25 basis point interest rate cut ko price kar rahe hain. Lekin, ek aggressive 50 basis point reduction ka bhi possibility hai, jise CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq 26% probability mili hai. Iske bawajood, Dollar ko Thursday ko release hone wale robust US economic data se support mila, jisme stronger-than-expected retail sales aur initial jobless claims ka decline shamil hai.

Technically, GBP/USD pair ne August 8 ko 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar break hone ke baad upward trend kiya hai. Immediate resistance December 2023 high 1.2826 par located hai. Agar prices rise karti hain, to June high 1.2859 next obstacle ban sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, to March high 1.2892 tak move hone ka rasta khul sakta hai. Downside par, initial support 1.2710 level par dekha ja sakta hai, jo pehle resistance act karta tha lekin ab support provide kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level breakdown hota hai, to August low 1.2663 ko challenge kar sakta hai, jo ke 200-day SMA ke sath coincide karta hai. Aage ki losses pair ko June aur March ke lows tak push kar sakti hain, jo ke 1.2620 aur 1.2598 ke darmiyan situated hain.

Overall, GBP/USD pair bullish bias exhibit kar raha hai, jo ke positive economic data aur weakening US Dollar se supported hai. Lekin upward momentum ko multiple levels par resistance face karna par sakta hai, jabke downside risks bhi hain agar pair apni current strength ko maintain nahi kar pata.

GBP/USD karansi jor ne Jumay ke din doosray musalsal din ke liye apni rally ko barqarar rakha, aur Asian session mein 1.2870 level ke qareeb trading kar raha tha. Ye upward movement asasan tor par behtareen risk sentiment ki wajah se hui, jo ke strong US retail sales data ki wajah se aaya tha. Is data ne US me mandi aane ke khadshay ko kam kiya aur risk-sensitive karansi jese ke British pound ko boost diya. Is ke ilawa, British pound ko Thursday ke din release hone wale positive domestic economic data se bhi support mili. UK ka GDP doosray quarter mein 0.6% tak barh gaya, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq tha. Saal ka GDP growth rate 0.9% tak pohncha, jo ke pechlay quarter aur estimate dono se zyada tha. Market participants ab UK retail sales data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo ke Jumay ke din release hoga, aur umeed hai ke July mein 0.5% monthly increase hoga, jab ke pechlay mahine 1.2% ka decline tha. Saalana retail sales growth 1.4% tak barhney ki umeed hai, jo ke pechlay mahine ke 0.2% contraction se recovery ho gi. Is dauran, US Dollar kamzor hua kyun ke traders ne September mein Federal Reserve se 25 basis point interest rate cut ki pricing zyada ki hai. Magar, ek aur aggressive 50 basis point reduction ki possibility ab bhi hai, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq 26% probability hai. Is ke bawajood, US Dollar ko Thursday ke din release hone wale strong US economic data se support mili, jo ke strong retail sales aur initial jobless claims mein kami par mabni tha Technically, GBP/USD pair August 8 ko 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) se ooper break karne ke baad se upward trend mein hai. Immediate resistance December 2023 ke high 1.2826 par hai. Agar prices barhte rahe to June high 1.2859 agla obstacle ban sakta hai. Agar ye level successful break ho gaya to ye March high 1.2892 ki taraf move karne ka rasta khol sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, initial support 1.2710 level par hai, jo pehle resistance ke tor par act kar chuka hai lekin ab support provide kar sakta hai. Agar ye level break hota hai to August low 1.2663 ko challenge kiya ja sakta hai, jo 200-day SMA ke saath coincide karta hai. Mazid losses GBP/USD pair ko June aur March lows ki taraf dhakel sakti hain, jo ke 1.2620 aur 1.2598 ke darmiyan hain. Kul mila kar, GBP/USD pair bullish bias dikha raha hai, jo ke positive economic data aur kamzor hotay US Dollar se support ho raha hai. Magar upward momentum ko multiple levels par resistance ka samna ho sakta hai, jab ke neeche ki taraf risks ab bhi mojood hain agar pair apni current strength ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam hota hai

Morning forecast mein, maine 1.2758 ke level par focus kiya aur wahan se trading decisions lene ka plan banaya. 5-minute chart ko dekhte hue, jo kuch bhi hua uska analysis karte hain. Breakout aur uske baad 1.2758 ka retest hone ke baad buying entry point mil gaya. Lekin, 12 points upar jane ke baad momentum kamzor ho gaya, jo wapas 1.2758 ke aas paas aane aur uske neeche girne ka sabab bana. Is surat mein, din ke doosre hisson ke liye technical picture puri tarah se revise ho gayi hai.
**GBP/USD par Long Positions kholne ke liye:**
U.K. se koi significant statistics na hone ke bawajood, 1.2758 ke aas paas bulls ke active moves koi nayi baat nahi thi, lekin major players ka support nazar nahi aaya. Yeh lagta hai ke pair din ke doosre hisson mein sideways channel mein trade karega, kyunke koi significant U.S. data releases ya Federal Reserve speakers nahi hain. Jab buyers ne pehle hi attempts kiye hain, isliye phir se daily high ko break karne ki ummeed kam hai. Isliye, main 1.2735 ke aas paas nearest support par decline par action lena prefer karta hoon, jo kal ke results par based hai. Sirf false breakout ki formation hi long positions kholne ke liye suitable condition hogi, jiska target rise hoga resistance 1.2775 tak, jo hum pehle nahi reach kar sake. Is range ka breakout aur retest top se bottom tak pound ke upar jane ke chances ko badha dega, jisse long entry point mil sakta hai, aur potential exit 1.2807 par hoga. Door ka target 1.2836 area hoga, jahan par main profit lene ka plan bana raha hoon. Agar GBP/USD girti hai aur 1.2735 ke aas paas bull activity nahi hoti, toh pound zyada significant decline kar sakti hai. Isse support 1.2700 par phir se aayega aur bade fall ke chances badh jayenge. Isliye, sirf 1.2700 ke aas paas false breakout hone par long positions kholna suitable hoga. Main immediately 1.2667 ke low se rebound par buy karunga, aur intraday correction ka target 30-35 points rakhoonga.

**GBP/USD par Short Positions kholne ke liye:**

Sellers ne sabit kar diya hai ke woh abhi bhi market mein hain, aur ab main pehli activity resistance 1.2775 ke aas paas expect karta hoon. Sirf false breakout ki formation hi yeh confirm karegi ke large players market mein hain aur pound ki further decline par betting kar rahe hain, jo naye short positions kholne ka mauka dega targeting support 1.2735 tak. Is range ka breakout aur retest niche se buyers ko undermine karega, jisse stop-loss triggers honge aur raasta 1.2700 tak khul jayega. Door ka target 1.2667 area hoga, jahan par main profit lene ka plan bana raha hoon. Yeh level test karne se bearish trend phir se establish ho jayega. Agar GBP/USD upar jati hai aur 1.2775 par bear activity nahi hoti, toh buyers ke paas recovery ka acha mauka hoga. Aise mein, main selling ko 1.2807 par false breakout tak postpone kar dunga. Agar downward movement nahi hoti, toh main GBP/USD ko 1.2836 se rebound par sell karunga, lekin sirf 30-35 points ka downward correction

GBP/USD currency pair mein kuch notable movements dekhi gayi jo recent economic data se mutasir hui. 15 August ko GBP weak hua jab UK inflation data forecast se zyada aya, jisme Consumer Price Index 3.5% par bara, jabke 3.2% ka forecast tha. Yeh is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke Bank of England future mein tightening kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US retail sales ke unexpected strong data, jo month-over-month 0.8% barhe, ne USD ko boost kiya. 16 August ko GBP ne pressure mehsoos kiya jab UK unemployment rate 5.2% par bara, jo UK labor market aur economic growth par concerns raise karta hai. Halanke US jobless claims mein slight uptick 220,000 tak dekhne ko mili, lekin USD relatively stable raha. In mixed economic signals ke wajah se USD ne GBP ke muqable mein strength hasil ki.

Closing day par, GBP/USD ne bullish trend show kiya. Mene is pair par kal discuss kiya tha, noting ki price ne 1.2678 par support dhoondi aur double bottoms form karne ke baad rebound kiya. Pehle ke price action ko dekhte hue, sellers ne effectively market ko control kiya, bearish pattern create kiya, support tak pahunchne se pehle. Jab price support par aya, toh sellers ne apne positions close kiye, jisse buyers market mein significant force ke sath enter kar paye.Downside lagging map ko dekhte hue, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 ke upar extended period tak raha, momentum gather karta hua. Recently, yeh 50.00 aur phir 60.00 ke upar gaya, yeh indicate karta hai ke British pound US dollar ke muqable mein strong strength show kar raha hai. Kal yeh volatile pair daily support level 1.2800 par retrace hua aur phir tezi se upar reverse hua, level ko respect karte hue. GBP/USD ne lower time frames par lower low banaya, jisse retail traders ke stop-loss orders trigger hue. Bullish scenario ke base par, mein expect karta hoon ke GBP/USD upward move karta rahega, aur potentially bearish pattern target 1.3030 ya isse zyada tak pohanch sakta hai.Kal raat ke market close tak pound dobara strong hua aur 1.2940 par ya opening price se upar close hua, D1 time frame par candle ab MA 24 aur MA 200 line ke upar hai, aur stochastic indicator 5.3.3 bhi level 80 line ke upar hai, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi market mein dominate kar rahe hain. Yeh mumkin hai ke agle hafte GBP/USD currency pair bullish trend continue kare.

Fundamental perspective se dekha jaye to, USD index bhi weaken ho raha hai, jo ke trading instruments, especially jo pairs USD ke sath paired hain, un par asar dal sakta hai, including GBP/USD pair. Technical aur fundamental analysis ke base par lagta hai ke GBP/USD currency pair trading next week mein bullish trend continue karega, aur hum is pair par buy action ka mauka dhoond sakte hain, lekin hamesha proper money management ko implement karna zaroori hai takay account resilience strong aur well maintained rahe.Mere trading plan ke liye agle hafte mein, mein buy action ka mauka dhoondne ka soch raha hoon, jisme buy order 1.2940 par lagane ka irada hai, profit target 1.2970 par, aur stoploss 1.2910 par rakha jayega. Lot volume ko hum apne respective trading accounts ke resistance ke mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain. Yeh trading journal update hai jo mein aaj subah convey kar raha hoon, umeed hai ke yeh mufeed rahega aur doosre doston ke liye samajhna asaan hoga.

**GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis:**

GBP/USD currency pair ne recent economic data ke asar se kaafi movements dekhe. 15 August ko, GBP kamzor ho gaya jab UK ka inflation data expectations se zyada aaya, Consumer Price Index 3.5% tak pohnch gaya jabke forecast 3.2% tha, jo Bank of England ke tightening ka potential suggest karta hai. Is dauran, US ke retail sales, jo 0.8% month-over-month barh gaye, ne USD ko boost kiya. 16 August ko, GBP pressure mein raha jab UK unemployment rate 5.2% tak pohnch gaya, jo UK labor market aur economic growth ke bare mein concerns ko raise karta hai. USD relatively stable raha, halankeh US jobless claims thoda barh kar 220,000 tak pohnch gaya. USD ne GBP ke muqablay mein strength gain ki due to these mixed economic signals.

**Technical Outlook:**

Closing day par, GBP/USD ne bullish trend dikhaya. Main ne kal is pair ke bare mein discuss kiya tha, noting that price ne 1.2678 par support paya aur double bottoms banane ke baad rebound kiya. Pichli price action ko observe karte hue, sellers ne effectively market ko control kiya, bearish pattern create kiya support tak pohnchne se pehle. Jab support par pohnche, sellers ne apni positions close kar di, jisne buyers ko significant force ke saath market mein enter karne ki ijaazat di.

Downside lagging map ko dekhte hue, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 se upar tha ek lambi duration ke liye, momentum gather karta raha. Recently, RSI 50.00 aur phir 60.00 se upar chala gaya, jo British pound ki US dollar ke muqablay mein strong strength ko indicate karta hai. Kal, is volatile pair ne 1.2800 daily support level ko retrace kiya aur phir tezi se upar ki taraf reverse ho gaya, is level ko respect karte hue.

GBP/USD ne lower time frames par lower low banaya, jo retail traders ke stop-loss orders ko trigger karta hai. Bullish scenario ko dekhte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke GBP/USD upar ki taraf move karte rahega, aur shayad bearish pattern target ko 1.3030 ya usse upar tak pohnchayega.

Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ke zariye monitor karne par, price ya candle ab bhi MA MA 50 Red area ke upar hai, jo ke 1.2785-1.2787 ke daira-e-amal mein hai. Is se lagta hai ke price dobara upar ki taraf ja sakti hai aur bullish candlestick ki formation bhi iska support hai. Filhal buyers ke paas jo faida hai, aaj trading ke doran zyada tar bullish action ki umeed hai jo ke buyers ke liye hai, target unka bullish area hoga jo ke Supply resistance seller area 1.2958-1.2960 ke daira-e-amal mein hai.

Aaj Friday subah trading ke doran, buyers ne apni dominance ko barqarar rakha hai, market mein zyada taqat aur quantity ke saath wapas aaye hain, jo ke buyers ko bullish rising prices ko control karne ki ijazat de raha hai. Buyers ka bullish target lagta hai ke seller's resistance area 1.2887-1.2890 ki taraf ja raha hai aur agar ye strong penetration ke saath clear hota hai, to GBPUSD pair price ko upar ki taraf tezi se barhne ka moka mil sakta hai, agla target strong seller's supply resistance area 1.2957-1.2960 hoga. GBPUSD price movement resistance area 1.28690 ke nazdeek aa rahi hai, jo ke pehle bhi kai baar test kiya gaya hai lekin break nahi ho saka. Ye level strong selling pressure ko darshata hai, jahan sellers prices ko upar jane se rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Dusri taraf, support area 1.28073 ke aas paas hai, jo ke kai baar test kiya gaya hai aur price decline ko roknay mein kamiyab raha hai. Ye level buyers ke buying interest ko darshata hai, jahan buyers price ko niche girne se rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Stochastic Oscillator indicator dikhata hai ke ab market overbought condition mein hai, jahan indicator line 80 level ke upar hai. Ye condition aam taur par yeh darshati hai ke prices ab bohot high level par hain aur future mein correction ya downward reversal ho sakta hai. Buy trading options ko tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price seller's resistance area ko successfully penetrate kare aur pending buy stop order ko 1.2887-1.2890 ke daira-e-amal mein rakha jaye aur TP area 1.2957-1.2960 par ho.

Sell trading options ko tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price buyers' support area ko successfully penetrate kare aur pending sell stop order ko 1.2843-1.2840 ke daira-e-amal mein rakha jaye aur TP area 1.2815-1.2813 par ho."

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis:

GBP/USD currency pair mein recent economic data ke asar ki wajah se notable movements dekhi gayi. 15 August ko GBP weaken hua jab UK inflation data expected se zyada aya, jahan Consumer Price Index 3.5% tak barh gaya jab ke forecasted 3.2% tha. Yeh potential Bank of England tightening ke liye ek ishara hai. Dosri taraf, stronger-than-expected US retail sales, jo ke month-over-month 0.8% barhi, ne USD ko boost diya. 16 August ko GBP ne pressure mehsoos kiya jab UK unemployment rate 5.2% tak barh gaya, jis ne UK labor market aur economic growth par concerns uthaye. Is dauran, USD relatively stable raha halanke US jobless claims thodi si barh kar 220,000 tak chali gayi. In mixed economic signals ki wajah se USD ne GBP ke muqable mein strength hasil ki.

Technical Outlook:
Closing day par, GBP/USD ne bullish trend dikhaya. Maine kal is pair par baat ki thi, jismein yeh note kiya tha ke price ne 1.2678 par support paya aur double bottoms banane ke baad rebound kiya. Pehle ke price action ko dekhte hue, sellers ne effectively market ko control kiya tha, jis se ek bearish pattern bana, lekin support ko reach karne ke baad, unhone apni positions close kar di, jisse buyers ko market mein significant force ke sath enter hone ka moka mila.

Downside lagging map ko dekhte hue, Relative Strength Index (RSI) lambay arsay tak 40.00 ke upar raha, aur momentum ikattha kiya. Haal hi mein, yeh 50.00 aur hatta ke 60.00 ke upar chala gaya, jo ke is baat ka ishara hai ke British pound US dollar ke muqable mein mazbooti dikhata hai. Kal is volatile pair ne daily support level 1.2800 ka retracement kiya aur phir tezi se upar ki taraf reverse kar gaya, is level ka ehtaram karte hue.



GBP/USD ne lower time frames par ek lower low banaya, jisse retail traders ke stop-loss orders trigger hue. Bullish scenario ke base par, mujhe umeed hai ke GBP/USD apni upward movement jari rakhega, aur potentially bearish pattern target 1.3030 ya us se upar tak pohanch sakta hai.

GBP USD Forum Analysis,Forecast

Kal ke trading ke nateeje kaise rahe? Umeed hai ke maximum results milein aur aap profits ka lutf utha saken. Aur umeed hai ke hum sab hamesha sehatmand rahein aur sab kuch asaan ho. Is subah ke moqe par, main agle hafte ke liye GBPUSD market ka tajziya karunga.

Pound ne kal raat ko market ke close ke waqt phir se mazbooti dikhayi aur 1.2940 par close hua, jo ke pichle din ke khulne ke daam se zyada hai. D1 time frame par jo candle bani hai woh MA 24 line aur MA 200 line ke upar hai, jab ke stochastic indicator 5.3.3 bhi level 80 ke upar hai. Yeh is baat ka izhaar hai ke kal ke trading mein buyers ab bhi market par hakim hain aur aise mein agle hafte GBPUSD currency pair ka bullish trend continue rehne ki umeed hai.

Fundamental perspective se bhi, USD index kamzor hota nazar aa raha hai, jo ke kai trading instruments ki movement ko impact karega, khaaskar un pairs ko jo USD currency ke sath paired hain, jisme GBPUSD pair bhi shamil hai. Technical aur fundamental analysis ke madde nazar, GBPUSD currency pair ka bullish trend continue rehne ka lagta hai agle hafte ke trading mein aur hum buy action ke moqe dekh sakte hain, lekin hamesha money management ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai taake account ki resilience mazboot aur achi tarah se maintained rahe.

Meri trading plan agle hafte ke liye yeh hai ke buy action ka moqa talash karunga, jisme buy order 1.2940 par place karunga, profit target 1.2970 rakhoonga aur stoploss 1.2910 par place karunga. Lot volume ko hum apne trading account ki resistance ke mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain. Yeh trading journal update hai jo main is subah aapko de raha hoon, umeed hai ke yeh faida mand aur samajhne mein asaan hoga.

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: GBP/USD currency pair mein zyada harkat dekhi gayi hai jo ke haali mein aayi hui economic data ke asar se hai. 15 August ko, GBP kamzor ho gaya jab UK ka inflation data umeed se zyada aaya, Consumer Price Index 3.5% tak barh gaya jo forecasted 3.2% se zyada hai. Yeh Bank of England ki tightening ke mumkinah chances ko darshata hai. Wahi, stronger-than-expected US retail sales jo ke 0.8% mahine-to-mahine barh gayi, ne USD ko boost diya. 16 August ko, GBP aur pressure mein raha jab UK ki unemployment rate 5.2% tak barh gayi, jo UK labor market aur economic growth ke bare mein chinta ko janam deti hai. USD relatively stable raha halan ke US jobless claims mein halka sa izafa hua jo ke 220,000 tak pohnch gaya. USD ne GBP ke muqablay mein taqat hasil ki.

Technical Outlook:
Closing day par GBP/USD ne bullish trend dekha. Maine kal is pair ka zikr kiya tha, noting that price ne 1.2678 par support pay paake rebound kiya tha, double bottoms banane ke baad. Pichle price action ko dekhte hue, sellers ne effectively market ko control kiya, bearish pattern banaya support tak pohnchne se pehle. Support par aane ke baad, unhone apni positions close kar di, jis se buyers ne market mein significant force ke sath enter kiya.

Downside lagging map ko dekhte hue, Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne 40.00 ke upar lamba waqt guzara, momentum ikattha kiya. Haal hi mein, yeh 50.00 aur 60.00 ke upar gaya, jo British pound ke US dollar ke muqablay mein strong strength ko indicate karta hai. Kal, yeh volatile pair ne daily support level 1.2800 ko retrace kiya aur phir se upar ki taraf reversal dekha, level ko respect karte hue.


GBP/USD ne lower time frames par lower low banaya, retail traders ke liye stop-loss orders trigger hue. Bullish scenario ko dekhte hue, main expect karta hoon ke GBP/USD upar ki taraf move karta rahega, shayad bearish pattern target 1.3030 ya usse bhi zyada tak pohnchay.Munafa ka lutf uthao. Aur ummeed hai ke hum sab hamesha achi sehat mein rahein aur sab kuch asaan rahe. Aaj subah ke moqe par, main GBPUSD bazaar ka tajziya karunga taake agle hafte ke liye entry ki tayyari kar sakun.

Pound ne phir se apni qeemat ko barhaya aur kal raat bazaar ke band hone ke waqt 1.2940 par band hua, jo ke pichle din ke khule huye qeemat se zyada hai. D1 time frame par jo candle bani hai wo ab MA 24 line aur MA 200 line ke upar hai, aur stochastic indicator 5.3.3 bhi ab level 80 line ke upar hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke kal ke trading mein buyers ka daura hai aur yeh mumkin hai ke agle hafte GBPUSD currency pair bullish trend ko continue kare.

Fundamental perspective se, USD index bhi kamzor hota nazar aa raha hai, jo ke kuch trading instruments, khaaskar USD ke sath paired pairs, par asar daal sakta hai, jisme GBPUSD pair bhi shamil hai. Technical aur fundamental analysis ki roshni mein, GBPUSD currency pair ke bullish trend ko continue karne ke imkaanat hain agle hafte trading mein. Is pair par buy action ka mauqa dekhne ki koshish karenge, hamesha MM ko sahi se implement karte hue taake account ki resilience mazboot aur achi rahe.
Mere trading plan ke mutabiq, agle hafte buy action ka mauqa talash karunga, jisme buy order 1.2940 par place karunga, profit target 1.2970 par hoga aur stoploss 1.2910 par rakhoonga. Lot volume ko apne trading account ki resistance ke mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain. Yeh trading journal update subah ke liye hai, umeed hai ke yeh madadgar aur samajh mein aaye.

Let's analyze the new chart you provided.

### Chart Analysis

1. **Trendlines and Channels**:
- The chart shows a clear upward trend with an established channel.
- There are visible trendlines that the price seems to respect, indicating support and resistance levels.

2. **Fibonacci Retracement Levels**:
- The chart prominently displays Fibonacci retracement levels.
- These levels are used to identify potential support and resistance areas where the price might reverse or consolidate.

3. **Moving Averages**:
- The chart includes moving averages, likely the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
- These averages help in identifying the overall trend direction and potential reversal points.

4. **Support and Resistance**:
- Key resistance levels are marked by the upper Fibonacci retracement levels.
- The price is approaching a significant resistance zone, indicated by the convergence of Fibonacci levels and previous highs.

5. **RSI (Relative Strength Index)**:
- The RSI indicator is shown at the bottom, which measures the speed and change of price movements.
- It helps in identifying overbought or oversold conditions. When the RSI is above 70, the asset is considered overbought; below 30, it is considered oversold.

### Current Price Action
- The price is currently approaching a key resistance level near the upper Fibonacci retracement level.
- The RSI indicates whether the asset is in overbought or oversold territory, helping predict potential reversals.

### Potential Scenarios
1. **Bullish Scenario**:
- If the price breaks above the resistance level, it could continue its upward trajectory.
- The next target would be the next Fibonacci retracement level or previous high.
- Confirmation of the breakout would be essential, ideally with increased volume and sustained price action above the resistance level.

2. **Bearish Scenario**:
- If the price fails to break the resistance and reverses, it might test lower support levels.
- The first support level would be the closest Fibonacci retracement level below the current price.
- Further support levels would align with the trendlines and moving averages shown on the chart.

### Strategy Recommendations
- **For Long Positions**:
- Wait for a clear breakout above the resistance level with confirmation from volume and other indicators.
- Place stop-loss orders below the breakout level to manage risk.

- **For Short Positions**:
- Look for signs of reversal at the resistance level, such as bearish candlestick patterns or divergence in RSI.
- Target the nearest support levels, placing stop-loss orders above the resistance level.

### Conclusion
The GBP/USD pair is approaching a critical resistance level. Traders should monitor the price action closely at this level to determine if a breakout or reversal will occur. Using technical indicators like RSI and moving averages in conjunction with Fibonacci levels can provide valuable insights for making informed trading decisions.

### GBP-USD تجزیہ

جب آپشن کنٹریکٹس ناکام ہونا شروع کرتے ہیں، تو میں ہمیشہ لہروں کی طرف متوجہ ہوتا ہوں۔ وہاں اہداف واضح ہوتے ہیں، خاص طور پر سینئر اہداف۔ پچھلی بار GBPUSD پر روزانہ کی بنیاد پر ہم نے لہر "c" کا کم از کم ہدف 1.2828 حاصل کیا اور اس سے دو اعداد کم از کم ریٹریسمنٹ دیا، ویسے، یہ تمام بڑی کرنسیوں پر ایک عام عمل ہے۔ کبھی کبھی لہریں اس طرح کے اہداف پر ختم ہو جاتی ہیں اور لہر "a" سے آگے نہیں بڑھتی ہیں۔ تصحیح کی ایک ایسی قسم ہے۔

اس لیے، لہر "c" کا یہ ہدف بڑھنے اور کمی پر 1.2828 کو توڑ دیا گیا تھا، اور اب وہ واضح طور پر اسے دوبارہ جانچنے جا رہے ہیں۔ اگر وہ 1.2828 سے اوپر مستحکم ہو جاتے ہیں، تو واضح طور پر اضافہ جاری رہے گا، اور پہلے ہدف کے لیے، ہدف سے ایک اعداد زیادہ منتقل ہو جائے گا، یعنی ماہانہ محور کے مزاحمت والے علاقے R2-1.2951+- کی طرف۔ اگر وہ 1.2828 سے اوپر مستحکم ہونے میں ناکام رہتے ہیں اور محور R1-1.2796 کی مزاحمت کے نیچے چلے جاتے ہیں، تو ہم جنوب کی طرف الٹ جائیں گے محور آف دی منتھ 1.2704 کی طرف، اور پھر امکان ہے کہ کمی کا تسلسل محور کی سپورٹ 1.2549 کی طرف، شاید اس سے بھی کم ہو جائے۔

عام طور پر، اب سب سے اہم سطح 1.2828 ہے؛ اس پر خاص توجہ دیں۔ بہرحال، برطانوی وزیر اعظم نے ہفتے کے آخر میں تبدیلی کی۔ اور اس کا پاؤنڈ پر کیا اثر پڑے گا ابھی تک واضح نہیں ہے؛ شاید یہ پاؤنڈ کو کچھ طاقت دے گا، اگرچہ عارضی طور پر۔ نیچے دی گئی تصویر میں، کوئی فوری اہداف نہیں ہیں، لیکن ایک طویل اقدام ہے، حالانکہ ایک اچھا ریٹریسمنٹ طویل عرصے سے نامکمل ہے۔ اور اس طرح ڈالر خود کل بے روزگاری میں اضافے کے بعد سنجیدگی سے گر گیا۔

GBP/USD Technical View:

GBP/USD ke technical view ke hawale se aapki analysis kafi insightful hai. Kal price confidently southern direction mein move kar rahi thi, aur aapke nearest support level 1.2790 per bilkul kareeb hai. Aapko umeed hai ke aaj price is southern target ko achieve karegi.

Daily chart par, aapne notice kiya ke Great Britain Pound ka bearish candlestick previous day's low ke neeche quickly fix ho sakta hai. Aap expect kar rahe hain ke yeh pair minor northern correction ko khatam karke downward movement ko resume karega. Downward movement ke liye local support level 1.2915 aapka reference point hoga. Iss level par do scenarios possible hain: pehle scenario mein, agar price iss support level ke neeche fix ho jati hai, toh further decline ho sakta hai.



Aap plan kar rahe hain ke price ko 1.2960 jo ke local support level hai, tak move karne ka intezar karenge. Aap iss support level ke aas paas rahenge jab tak koi trade setup form nahi hota, jo ke aapko trade ka direction determine karne mein madad karega. Aap yeh bhi maan rahe hain ke agar turning candle 1.2960 ke level par form hoti hai, toh price wapas local resistance level 1.2985 tak ya dynamic resistance level jo ke 21 EMA hai, tak return kar sakti hai. Aap turning signal ka intezar karenge aur phir downward price movement ko resume karne ki umeed karenge jab turning signal appear ho.

CONCLUSION:

Aapki trading strategy mein, aap 1.2960 ke level tak price ke move hone ka intezar kar rahe hain aur wahan koi turning candle form hone ka intezar karenge. Agar turning candle wahan appear hoti hai, toh aap maan rahe hain ke price wapas 1.2985 ke resistance level ya 21 EMA ke dynamic resistance tak return kar sakti hai. Lekin, aapka primary focus downward movement ke resume hone par hai jab turning signal form hota hai.

Is analysis ka final conclusion yeh hai ke aap cautiously trade karenge, turning signals par focus rakhenge, aur bearish trend ke continuation ka intezar karte hue apni strategy ko implement karenge.

GBPUSD currency pair ka daily timeframe par price movement kuchh waisa hi hai jaise ke US Dollar ke saath kuchh aur pairs ka hota hai. Pichle hafte ke trading session mein upar ki taraf ek achi rally dekhi gayi thi jo kafi wide range ke saath thi. Yeh pichle hafte ke bearish trend ke liye resistance ka kaam kar raha hai, jahan ek chhoti candlestick bani thi. Pichle hafte ek bullish candlestick dekhi gayi thi jo opening price se niche close hui thi. Yeh correction ki condition is hafte ke liye price ke upar jane ki potential ko dikhati hai. Aaj subah market 1.2939 ki price level par open hui thi aur ab price thodi si increase dekh rahi hai aur 1.2955 ke level par hai.

Is analysis ko complete karne ke liye, maine kuch support indicators ke signals ko dekha. Relative Strength Index (14) par Lime Line pehle level 50 ke neeche chal rahi thi, lekin ab thodi si upar chali gayi hai. MACD indicator (12,26,9) par histogram bar ka position bhi abhi zero level ke upar hai aur iska size kafi lamba hai, saath hi yellow signal line bhi pichle hafte ke downward correction ke baad wahi direction follow kar rahi hai. Is waqt ki candlestick position abhi bhi Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 lines ke upar hai. Indicators ke technical readings se lagta hai ke sabhi bullish market signals de rahe hain.



Agla step ke liye, main H4 timeframe par price movements ko observe karunga. Lagta hai ke aakhri kuch hafto ke trading mein GBPUSD currency pair buyers ke control mein hai. Yeh condition price movement ke through dikhai deti hai jo zyada tar upar ki taraf hi chal rahi hai aur same din ke opening price se higher level par close ho rahi hai, jo bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Maine indicators se kuch technical clues liye hain. Relative Strength Index (14) ki Lime Line pehle level 30 par thi, aur ab level 70 se upar chali gayi hai. MACD indicator (12,26,9) se histogram bar bhi zero level ke upar lamba ho raha hai. Candlestick position abhi bhi Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 lines ke upar hai. H4 timeframe ke technical readings se bullish signal dominate kar raha hai.

H4 timeframe chart per dekhne se yeh samajh aata hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ne pichle teen hafton se bearish rukh ki taraf wapas janay ki koshish shuru kar di hai. Is hafte ke market analysis ke mutabiq, yeh saaf hai ke price ab tak consistently downward trend mein hai aur 1.2671 ke price range tak neeche gir chuki hai. Pichle mahine mein, yeh pair bullish trend mein aagay barhnay mein nakam raha, lekin aakhri kuch dinon mein general trend bearish hi raha hai.

Is haalat ko dekhte hue yeh anuman lagaya jaa sakta hai ke aglay market trend mein girawat ka silsila jari reh sakta hai aur price aur neeche gir sakti hai. Seller army ab bhi price ko neeche press karne ki potential rakhti hai aur price 1.2650 ke range ko test kar sakti hai ya phir is se bhi neeche jaa sakti hai. Kal raat ka bearish movement lamba chalne ki umeed hai kyunki aaj bhi market mein consolidation phase jaari hai.

Aaj ke liye pair ki haalat zyada nahi badli hai. 1.2680 ki support ek key role play kar sakti hai. Agar yeh support break hoti hai, toh pair downward impulse ko 1.2570 tak le jaa sakti hai. Yahan, zahir hai ke ek rollback hoga aur phir se neeche 1.2447 tak jaane ki koshish karegi, lekin is hafte mein yeh hone ke chances kam hain. Agar yeh support break nahi hoti aur 1.2680 ke neeche consolidate nahi hoti, toh wapas 1.2750 ke resistance tak growth ho sakti hai. Lekin isko break karna zaroori hai taa ke doosra impulse 1.2860 tak form ho sake, jo ke upward trend ko restore kare 1.3065 tak. Lekin is hafte mein itni growth ke chances kam hain. Ho sakta hai ke 1.2860 ka breakthrough mil jaye agar 1.2750 ka resistance aaj break ho jata hai, lekin is hafte 1.300 ke upar jaane ki umeed nahi, maximum 1.2970 tak jaane ka chance hai, lekin wo bhi zyada strong nahi lagta.