جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Hello doston, aap kaise hain? GBP/USD ne Friday ko US session mein teen hafton ki bulandiyon par, lagbhag 1.2900 ke aas paas trade kiya. Wall Street par dekhe gaye bearish onset ne risk sentiment mein negative tilt ko zahir kiya aur is wajah se pair ke liye mazeed bullish momentum ikattha karna mushkil bana diya. Upar ki taraf, pehla muqabla 1.2950 (static level) aur 1.3000 (psychological level, static level) par hai. Neeche ki taraf, pehla support 1.2850-1.2840 (Fibonacci 50% retracement, 200-period Simple Moving Average) ke aas paas hai, jo 1.2800 (100-period SMA, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) se pehle aata hai. GBP/USD ne apna bullish momentum barqarar rakha aur Friday ko European session mein teen hafton ki bulandiyon par, lagbhag 1.2900 ke zara neeche trade kiya. High-impact data releases ki ghair mojoodgi mein, risk perception ka pair ki action par asar par sakta hai din ke doosre hissa mein. Thursday ko, US data ne dikhaya ke weekly initial jobless claims 7,000 ki kami ke saath 227,000 tak gir gaye. Iske ilawa, retail sales July mein 1% barh gayi, jo ke market expectations (0.3% increase) se zyada thi. Yeh upbeat data release USD ko support karte hue GBP/USD ko 1.2800 tak neeche le aya.

Lekin, jab Thursday ko Wall Street ke opening bell ke baad risk flow ne financial markets par dominate karna shuru kiya, to GBP/USD ne dobara apni position sambhali aur din ko positive territory mein band kiya. University of Michigan ka preliminary index of consumer sentiment for August bhi aya. Investors ke mutabiq, yeh figures ko nazarandaz karte hue, risk perception par zyada tawajju di ja sakti hai. Is waqt, US stock index futures 0.15% aur 0.3% ke darmiyan barh rahi hain. Wall Street ka bullish start USD ko nuqsan pohancha sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko mazeed barhne ka moqa de sakta hai. Yeh bhi yaad rakhna chahiye ke weekend market ke taaluqat profit taking aur weekend flows ke sabab se kamzor ho sakte hain. Daily chart par British Pound mazboot uptrend dikha raha hai. Filhal, iske quotes ne 1.29 level ko cross kar liya hai aur qareebi weekly high of 1.3043 saamne hai, jo ke pair ke current price increase ka target hai. Daily timeframe par GBP/USD currency pair ki technical picture bullish sentiment ko support kar rahi hai. MACD indicator ka histogram positive zone mein hai. Pair ke quotes MA100 indicator ki midline se ooper trade kar rahe hain. RSI indicator overbought conditions ko zahir nahi kar raha. Isliye, sab kuch pair ke quotes mein mazeed growth ke haq mein hai.
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GBP-USD currency pair ke hawale se, abhi tak sellers girawat ko barhawa dene mein nakam rahe hain, aur non-farm data ke doran dollar mein tezi se kami aayi. Mein samjhta tha ke aaj buyers apni potential ko barhawa denge, magar subah se ab tak koi tezi se harkat nazar nahi aayi. Aam tor par, buyers abhi tak upar kisi ahem level ko tor nahi paaye hain, aur active upward movement ke liye unhe 1.28394 level ko tor kar us par qaim hona zaroori hai. Growth ko barhawa dene ke liye pehla target 1.28637 ka level hoga. Is level ka torna downward trend ko tor kar growth ke mumkinah barhawa ka signal dega. Girawat ko jari rakhne ke liye, sellers ko 1.27772 ka level tor kar us par qaim hona hoga. Girawat ka target 1.27063 ka mark hoga. GBPUSD H4: 4-hour chart par 1-pound pair tapes ke central area mein hai, aur yahan se harkat kisi bhi direction mein ho sakti hai. Is surat-e-haal mein, price ke barhawa ya girawat ka naya signal hasil karne ke liye, hume upper ya lower band ke bahar nikalne ka intezar karna chahiye aur phir evaluate karna chahiye ke bands outward open hote hain ya koi reaction nahi hoti.
Agar fractals ki baat ki jaye, to ek naya fractal upward bana hai; is ka breakout aur consolidation price ko 31 July ke fractal ki taraf 1.28637 tak le jaane ka moqa dega. Price fall ka target qareebi fractal downward hai; is ka breakout aur consolidation price ko 3 July ke fractal ki taraf 1.26772 tak le jaane ka moqa dega. AO indicator negative zone mein fade ho raha hai, jo price ke barhawa ka signal de raha hai. Agar ane wale dino mein hum zero se transition aur positive zone mein active increase dekhenge, to hume price ke barhawa ka zyada strong signal milega. Negative area mein nayi acceleration price ke girawat ka signal

GBP/USD ke H4 timeframe chart ko dekhte hue, yeh samajh aata hai ke teen haftay pehle se yeh pair bearish path par wapas aane ki koshish kar raha hai. Iss hafte ke market analysis ke mutabiq, yeh baat wazeh hai ke price conditions ab tak consistent downward trend mein hain aur ab yeh 1.2671 ke price range tak gir chuki hai. Pechlay maheenay ke dauran, yeh pair bullish trend ko continue karne mein nakam raha, magar overall trend pichlay kuch dino mein bearish rahi hai.
In haalaton se yeh andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke aglay dino mein market trend ka rukh neeche ki taraf hi rahega aur price ke girne ke imkanaat zyada hain. Seller army ab bhi price ko neeche ki taraf press karne ki potential rakhti hai, aur yeh 1.2650 ke price level ko test karne ka aim rakhe huye hai, ya phir ho sakta hai yeh pehle se bhi zyada neeche chale jaye. Kal raat ke bearish movement se umeed hai ke yeh movement kaafi der tak jaari rahega kyun ke aaj bhi market mein consolidation phase jaari hai.

Aaj ke market conditions mein koi khaas tabdeeli nahi dekhi gayi hai. 1.2680 ka support ek key role ada kar sakta hai; agar yeh support break ho jata hai, toh pair apna downward impulse continue kar sakta hai aur 1.2570 tak pohnch sakta hai. Wahan par most likely ek rollback dekhne ko milaygi, aur phir se price 1.2447 tak neeche ja sakti hai. Lekin iss hafte mein yeh expect karna mushkil hai. Agar 1.2680 ka support break karne mein nakami hoti hai, toh phir price dobara se 1.2750 ke resistance tak grow karegi. Agar yeh resistance break hota hai, toh ek aur impulse banne ka chance hai jo 1.2860 tak price ko le ja sakta hai, jisse upward trend wapas se restore ho kar 1.3065 tak ja sakta hai. Lekin iss hafte mein aisa growth expect nahi kiya jaa sakta. Agar 1.2750 ka resistance break ho bhi jata hai, toh bhi 1.300 se upar jane ke chances is week mein bahut kam hain. Maximum level jo expect kiya ja sakta hai wo 1.2970 hai, aur us tak bhi pohnchne ke chances zyada strong nahi lagte.

Pound Sterling (GBP) is naye haftay ke aghaz mein apni key currency pairs ke saath mixed trade kar raha hai. GBP, US Dollar ke muqablay mein barh raha hai kyun ke USD recession ke concerns se do-char hai – lekin Yen ke muqablay mein kamzor ho raha hai, jo ke strong Japanese data ki wajah se hai.
Agar technical perspective dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD apne short-term uptrend mein barh raha hai. Pound Sterling (GBP) apni ziada traded pairs mein Monday ke din mixed trade kar raha hai, halanki recent economic data releases positive rahi hain. Sterling US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein gain kar raha hai, lekin Euro (EUR) ke muqablay mein flat hai aur Japanese Yen (JPY) ke muqablay mein gir raha hai. GBP ke recent moves UK ke khabron ya data ke bajaye uske counterparts mein volatility se ziada mutasir hain.

**Pound Sterling mixed magar resilient positive data ke baad**
Naye haftay ke aghaz mein Pound Sterling mixed trade kar raha hai. UK economy ke recent assessments ziada tar positive rahe hain, kuch economists ne ise "Goldilocks" balance se describe kiya hai, yani "na ziada thanda" aur "na ziada garam". Headline inflation Bank of England ke 2.0% target ke aas paas hai, aur Services inflation – jo ab tak khas tor par high rahi – July mein 5.7% se gir kar 5.2% tak aa gayi, aur apne long-run average jo ke 3.5% ke aas paas hai, wapas aane ki koshish kar rahi hai.

UK Retail Sales data ne last week mein July mein 0.5% ka rebound dikhaya, jab ke June mein yeh negative 0.9% tha. Unemployment Rate Q2 mein 4.4% se gir kar 4.2% tak aa gayi, aur Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 0.3% se barh kar 0.9% tak pohnch gaya. Lower headline inflation aur stubbornly high Services inflation mein ease aane se Bank of England ne August meeting mein apni interest rates 5.25% se girakar 5.00% kar di. Lower interest rates GBP ki value ko depress karti hain kyun ke yeh foreign capital inflows ko kam kar deti hain. Market-based gauges ke mutabiq September mein 0.25% ka further cut hone ka slightly lower than 50% chance hai. Capital Economics ke economists ke mutabiq, is saal ke end tak aur do 0.25% cuts hone ki umeed hai.

**Technical Analysis: GBP/USD ka short-term rally jaari**
GBP/USD 4-hour time frame par apni higher highs aur higher lows ka silsila barhata ja raha hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke short-term trend bullish hai, aur "the trend is your friend" ke mutabiq, yeh barh ne ka inclined hai. GBP/USD ke aglay target 1.3042 (July 17 high) tak pohnch ne ka imkaan hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought zone mein pohnch gaya hai, jo ke is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke pair mein pull back hone ka risk barh gaya hai. Former highs at 1.2940 koi support level provide kar sakti hai agar koi pull back hota hai. Round number 1.2900 bhi ek aur level hai jahan yeh pair correction ki surat mein gir sakta hai.

Medium aur longer-term trends ab tak unclear hain aur ziada "sideways" hain directional se, jahan price action 1.2300 aur 1.3042 ke beech mein November 2023 se trapped hai.

GBP/USD

H4 timeframe chart par GBPUSD currency pair ka analysis dekha jaye to pichle teen hafton se yeh pair bearish path par wapas anay ki koshish kar raha hai. Is haftay ki market analysis ke mutabiq yeh wazeh hai ke price conditions ab bhi consistent downward trend mein hain aur 1.2671 ke price range tak neeche aa chuki hain. Pichle mahine, yeh pair bullish trend mein move karne mein nakam raha, lekin guzashta kuch dino mein yeh general trend bearish hi raha hai.

In conditions ko dekhte huay yeh anuman lagaya ja sakta hai ke aglay market trend mein girawat continue hogi aur price ke neeche girne ke chances hain. Sellers ka pressure ab bhi price ko neeche ki taraf push kar sakta hai, aur yeh 1.2650 ke price level ko test kar sakti hai ya phir us se bhi neeche ja sakti hai. Kal raat ka bearish movement kaafi dair tak chalne ki umeed hai kyun ke aaj market mein consolidation phase chalta hua nazar aa raha hai.



Aaj ke conditions mein zyada tabdeeli nahi nazar aa rahi, aur support level 1.2680 key role play kar sakta hai. Agar yeh support level break ho jata hai, to pair downward impulse ko continue karte huay 1.2570 tak ja sakta hai. Yahan par rollback ki shuruat ho sakti hai aur phir se downtrend 1.2447 tak ja sakta hai, lekin is haftay yeh movement complete hona mushkil hai.

Agar yeh support level 1.2680 ko break karne mein nakam hota hai aur us se neeche consolidate nahi kar pata, to yeh wapas growth karte huay resistance 1.2750 tak pohanch sakta hai. Wahan par agar yeh resistance break kar leta hai, to 1.2860 tak ka impulse banne ka chance hai, jo ke upward trend ko 1.3065 ki taraf restore karne mein madadgar hoga. Lekin is haftay mein aise growth ke chances kam lagte hain, aur agar yeh 1.2860 ko break karne mein kaamyab hota hai aur resistance 1.2750 ko aaj ke din mein cross kar leta hai, to bhi is haftay 1.300 ke upar jaane ke chances nahi lagte, maximum 1.2970 tak pohanch sakta hai, lekin is resistance tak bhi pohanchne ke chances zyada nahi hain.

GBP/USD

Over the past three weeks, the GBP/USD currency pair on the H4 timeframe has been trending bearish. According to this week’s market analysis, the price has consistently moved downward, reaching a range of 1.2671. Last month, the pair struggled to maintain a bullish trend, and recent movements indicate a continued bearish path. Given these conditions, the market trend is expected to persist in a downward direction, with the potential for the price to fall further. The selling pressure may push the price toward the 1.2650 level or lower.

Last night's bearish movement is anticipated to continue for a while, as the market is currently in a consolidation phase.



The key support level to watch today is 1.2680. If this support is breached, the pair could continue its downward momentum toward 1.2570. After reaching this level, a potential bounce could occur before further declines to 1.2447, though such a move might not materialize this week.

If the price fails to break and consolidate below 1.2680, it might rise to test resistance at 1.2750. A successful break above this resistance could lead to an impulse move towards 1.2860. If the price reaches and breaks through 1.2860, it could signal a recovery trend toward 1.3065, though significant growth beyond 1.3000 this week seems unlikely. The maximum potential target for the week might be around 1.2970, but the chances of reaching this level are not very high.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Pound/dollar ki jodi filhal 1.2978 ki satah par karobar kar rahi hai. Yaumiyah chart ke mutabiq, Bartanwi pound chadhte channel ke oopri hisse me aage badh raha hai. Sab se zyada imkani scenario channel ki oopri trendline ke liye ek rally ke bad is mandi ki islah ke taur par kami ki tajwiz pesh karti hai. RSI indicator chart ke bulandi hai, jis se zahir hota hai keh pound/dollar ki jodi mumkena taur par overbought hai. Yah badle me bechne wale ke haq me hai.



Ek-ghante ke chart par, Bartanwi currency moving average se ooper khuli. MA strategy ke mutabiq, yah ek mumkena ooper ki movement ka ishara karta hai. Halankeh, pound/dollar ka joda mumkena taur par munafa hasil karne se pahle moving average tak gir jayegi.

GBP/USD H4 British Pound - US Dollar. Heiken Ashi candles ke readings ko TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke signals ke sath mila kar analyze karne ke baad, hum dekhte hain ke iss waqt market buyers ki taqat mein kamzori aur sellers ke initiative mein shift expect kar rahi hai. Heiken Ashi candles, regular candles ke mukablay mein, ek smoothed ya averaged price value dikhati hain, jo technical analysis ko simplify aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko barhati hain. TMA channel indicator (red, blue aur yellow colors ki lines) twice smoothed moving averages ke base par support aur resistance lines build karta hai aur instrument ke movement ke current boundaries ko clearly demonstrate karta hai. Heiken Ashi ke sath positive results show karte hue, trades ke liye ek additional filtering oscillator ke tor par hum RSI basement indicator use karenge. Currency pair ke chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke candles ka color red ho gaya hai aur is tarah bearish interest ki priority power ko emphasize karte hain. Price ne channel ki upper boundary (blue dotted line) ko cross kiya aur, maximum point se bounce karte hue, phir apni middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf headed hai. Iss waqt, RSI oscillator additional sell signal ko confirm karta hai, kyunke iski curve ab downward directed hai aur oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai. Is hawale se, yeh logical conclusion nikalta hai ke aik acha moment hai profitable short sell transaction conclude karne ka, market quotes ko channel ke lower boundary (red dotted line) ke price mark 1.26754 par pohanchane ke aim ke sath. GBP/USD ki girawat ko is negative economic signal par market reaction ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Traders aur investors apni positions ko economic data releases ki base par adjust karte hain. Weak retail sales ke natije mein UK ki economic outlook ka reassessment hota hai, jo pound ki selling ko badhava deta hai. Yeh pound ko euro aur dollar ke muqable mein weak karta hai, jo investor confidence mein kami aur future economic conditions ke shift expectations ko reflect karta hai.

GBP/USD Technical View
Shukriya aane ke liye! Options kaafi zyada hain. Aam tor par, main ek direction chun kar usi direction mein entry points dhoondta hoon. Kal ke din, prices kaafi confident tareeqe se niche ja rahi thi. Mere sab se nazdeek support level, jo ke 1.2790 par hai, ke paas bahut kam rahe gaya hai, isliye mujhe ummeed hai ke aaj price is southern target tak pohnch jayegi. Is pair ke liye meri following forecast hai.

Daily chart par Great Britain Pound ke hisaab se, ek poora bearish candlestick jaldi se pichle din ke low ke neeche fix ho sakta hai. Filhaal, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pair choti si northern correction khatam kar ke phir se niche ki taraf move karega. Niche ki movement ke liye, local support level 1.2915 hoga jo ke reference point hoga. Is support level ke paas situation develop hone ke do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehle scenario mein, price designated support level ke neeche fix ho kar aur neeche gir sakti hai.



Main plan kar raha hoon ke price ko 1.2960 tak move karne ka intezaar karun, jo ke local support level hai. Main is support level ke aas paas rukunga jab tak ek trade setup nahi banta, jo mujhe trade ki direction determine karne mein madad karega. Mujhe lagta hai agar 1.2960 ke level par ek turning candle banti hai, to main assume kar sakta hoon ke price ya to local resistance level 1.2985 tak wapas aa sakti hai ya dynamic resistance level jo ke 21 EMAs ke form mein hai, tak pohnch sakti hai. Main in resistance levels ke aas paas ek turning signal ka intezaar karunga aur turning signal ke milne ke baad downward price movement ke phir se shuru hone ka intezaar karunga.

Price Action Analysis: GBP/USD
Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par baat karenge. Mujhe GBP/USD ke hourly time frame ko le kar kuch concerns hain. Quotes 1.2938 (8/8) aur 1.3009 (+2/8) ke beech overheating zone mein aa chuki hain, jab ke MACD signal line neutral mark ke kareeb hai. Yeh suggests karta hai ke corrective pullback qareeb ho sakta hai. Key support levels 1.2907 (stop reversal 7/8) aur 1.2877 (rotation reversal 6/8) par hain. Inmein se, 1.2839 sab se attractive lagta hai testing ke liye, kyunki yeh pehle ek strong resistance ke tor par kaam aaya tha sirf teen attempts ke baad. 1.2877 level se buy trade plan karne ka mauka ho sakta hai, lekin abhi faisla karna zyada waqt se pehle hoga. Pair ne pehle ke highs ke paas rebound kiya. Main pehle yeh soch raha tha ke pair decline karegi jab weekly sideways chart update ho jayega aur 1.2869 resistance se bounce karegi.




Lekin, 1.2438 support ke neeche girne ke baad, pair ne upar ki taraf move kiya. Pair ne apne pichle highs ko update kiya, jab ke Bank of England ki taraf se monetary policy ko ease karne ke koi indications nahi mile. Jab unhone easing ki baat ki, tab bhi pair ne surprisingly upar ki taraf move kiya, halanke UK mein inflation 2% target ko pohnch gaya tha. Un highs ko hit karne ke baad, pair gira, jaisa ke maine expect kiya tha. Current uptick sellers ke stop-losses ko trigger kar raha hai. Pair ko apni decline resume karni chahiye, aur 1.21918 support level ki taraf move karni chahiye. GBP/USD pair ne upar ki movement ka kaam shuru kiya, jaise ke maine anticipate kiya tha, lekin bohot se false breakouts ke baad, jo ke frustrating sabit hue. Sab se critical issue yeh tha ke growth shuru hone se pehle hi stop ho gaya. Is bullish movement ke liye initial target abhi bhi 1.301 hai, jo ke buyers ke liye lamba samay se primary objective raha hai. Jab yeh level break hota hai, to further buying opportunities aa sakti hain, jo ke ek extended bullish trend ki shuruat ko indicate kar sakti hain. Agar Monday ko correction hoti hai, to phir se buy karne ka mauka mil sakta hai, lekin current price par ideal stop-loss level determine karna abhi clear nahi hai.

Current Developments in GBP/USD
Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ka analysis karenge. GBP/USD abhi bhi upward trajectory par hai, lekin Friday ki growth kuch dheemi thi, aur traders session ke end ke qareeb zyada active hue. Mera target abhi bhi local swing high 1.3043 hai, jo ke four-hour chart analysis ke sath match karta hai. Lekin, price ko 1.2945 aur 1.2931 ke beech ek significant resistance zone ka samna hai. Agar price is level ko break karke iske upar hold karti hai, to yeh further growth ke liye raasta kholta hai. Phir bhi, mujhe lagta hai ke ek choti correction hone ki ummeed hai. Maine nearest liquidity zones identify kiye hain, khas kar 1.2919 aur 1.2872 ke aas paas, jahan main reversal patterns dekhne ke baad buy karna plan kar raha hoon. Stop-loss in areas ke neeche hoga. Main har scenario mein kam se kam 1:3 ka risk-to-reward ratio target kar raha hoon, jo ke in levels se ideal buy banaata hai. Halanke correction ki ummeed hai, technical indicators "active" buy phase ko signal kar rahe hain.




Pound-dollar pair hi nahi, balki doosre currency pairs bhi bullish momentum dikha rahe hain aur dollar ke sath bullish trend mein hain. Precious metals, khaaskar gold, ne recently apne record highs ko break kiya hai. Main suggest karta hoon ke GBP/USD ka weekly chart analyze karein taake market dynamics aur future potential ka broader view mil sake. Pair abhi Bollinger Bands ke upper price range mein hai aur lagta hai ke 1.3142 resistance level ki taraf push kar raha hai weekly basis par, ek extended bearish decline ke baad. Last weekly candle ek pin bar bani hai, jo potential buy ya inverted hammer ko signal kar rahi hai, jo ke pending order ke sath ho sakti hai. Yahan risk-to-reward ratio 1:2 ka hai. Main expect karta hoon ke bearish correction 1.2799 range tak hoga, uske baad pair shayad apni bullish move ko continue kare.

GBP/USD Forum Analysis, Forecast



Market timeframe ke hisaab se, Friday ko GBP/USD pair mein buyers ka dominance raha, jo ke zyada aur strong positions le paaye. Sellers prices ko neeche nahi le ja paaye kyunki buyers ne 1.2850-1.2852 ke price area ko mazbooti se pakad rakha tha, jahan se unhone strong buying actions karke prices ko kaafi upar le jaya.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ka analysis karne se yeh nazar aata hai ke price buyers ke control mein hai, jo ke price ko bullish movement mein rakhne ke liye Upper Bollinger Bands area ke paas 1.2970-1.2972 tak le ja rahe hain. Yeh area aaj ke trading ke liye bullish target area lagta hai, khaaskar kyunki buyers ko bullish candles ke dominance se support mil raha hai, jo bullish trend ko continue karne ka mauka de raha hai. Ab tak sellers bearish momentum fight nahi kar paaye hain.

Monday morning trading mein, GBP/USD pair ab bhi buyers ke control mein hai jo ke zyada strength ke saath price ko bullish move mein le ja rahe hain aur sellers ke resistance area 1.2972-1.2974 ko test kar rahe hain. Agar yeh resistance successfully break ho jata hai, to price aur upar ja sakti hai next target ke liye jo ke sellers ke supply resistance area 1.3004-1.3006 tak ho sakta hai.

Conclusion:

Sell entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar seller 1.2895-1.2893 ke nearest buyer support area ko successfully penetrate kar leta hai, aur TP target area 1.2850-1.2848 hoga.

Buy entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar buyer 1.2972-1.2975 ke nearest seller resistance area ko successfully break kar leta hai, aur TP target area 1.3003-1.3005 hoga.

Asian trading session ke doran, Tuesday ko, GBP/USD jo jo 1.2960 ke ird-gird tha aur pehle session mein 1.2995 ka 13-month high banaya, uski nazdeekiyon ko barqarar rakha. British Pound (GBP) ki ye stability UK ke markets mein barhti hui investor interest ko dikhati hai, jo ab US markets ki muqablay mein zyada attractive samjhe ja rahe hain, jo filhal political uncertainties se joojh rahe hain. Keir Starmer’s Labour Party ki recent jeet ne bhi investor confidence ko mazboot kiya hai, jo ek stable fiscal environment aur smooth ministerial transitions ko ensure karta hai.
Strong US Retail Sales ka GBP/USD Performance par Asar

Is positive outlook ke bawajood, pair ne Friday ke New York session ke doran ek noticeable decline dekha. Ye girawat tab aayi jab US Retail Sales ka June ka report ummed se zyada acha aaya, behtareen sales receipts ke saath. Monthly Retail Sales flat rahe, forecasts ke mutabiq, lekin May ke upwardly revised 0.3% gain se adjust ho gaye. Ye unexpected strength US retail data ne currency pair ko kafi had tak influence kiya.

US Retail Sales for July ne 0.0% ki flat growth report ki, jo predictions ke mutabiq thi lekin pichle mahine ke revised 0.3% increase se gir gayi. Ye weaker retail performance ne market expectations ko aane wale rate cut ke liye aur tez kar diya, jo Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki September 18 ki meeting mein expect kiya ja raha hai. Traders aur investors rate reduction ke liye bet kar rahe hain, aur Federal Reserve se ek dovish stance ki umeed rakhte hain.

GBP/USD ke Liye Bullish Breakout aur Key Resistance Levels

Pair ne ek significant bullish breakout dekha, trading lagbhag 1.2945 par thi jab US Dollar Index kamzori ke signs dikhane laga. Ye upward momentum suggest karta hai ke agar pair critical 1.2970 resistance level ko paar kar jaata hai, to ye 1.3050 mark tak pahunch sakta hai. Aise move se ek strong bullish trend indicate hota hai, jo British Pound mein barhti hui investor confidence aur kamzor US Dollar ko reflect karta hai, aur aage ke gains aur market opportunities ke liye raasta kholta hai.



Agar pair 1.2950 ke upar support banaye rakhta hai aur 1.2970 threshold ko paar kar jaata hai, to pehla significant resistance level 1.2996 hoga jo July 27, 2023 ko record hua tha. Is level ko breakthrough karne se further gains ke liye raasta khul sakta hai, agla resistance point 1.3000 hoga, uske baad 1.3126 jo July 18, 2023 ko peak tha, aur last year ka high 1.3143.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis On Weekend
Good Morning! Bollinger Bands ka dheyan se jaiza lene se yeh nazar aata hai ke Friday ko ek significant signal saamne aaya jab dono bands bahar ki taraf phail gaye, aur price upper band ke saath chal rahi thi. Ye expansion lagata hai ke upward movement ka potential hai, kyunki dono bands abhi bhi outward open hain aur lower band inward nahi hui. Iski configuration se lagta hai ke bullish momentum barqarar rehne ka mumkin hai, lekin market ka response aane wale dinon mein hi ye signal confirm hoga.

Ab hum August 15 se fractal level ki taraf barh rahe hain.

Zaroori baat ye hai ke abhi tak koi downward fractal nahi bana, isliye behtaar hoga ke iska intezar kiya jaye pehle, uske baad hi selling opportunities ko consider kiya jaye. GBP/USD pair mein directional movement ki uncertainty bhi dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo ke abhi clear price direction establish karna zaroori hai. Halankeh pichle hafte ka bullish trend ke bawajood, GBP/USD consolidation mein nazar aa raha hai aur 1.2690 resistance level ko paar karne ke baad iski bullish trend extend ho sakti hai.

Is decisive movement ki kami market mein uncertainty ko dikhati hai, jo shayad low liquidity ke wajah se hai, aur isse price trends clear nahi ho rahe hain.

Pichle hafte GBP/USD ka sharp drop aam nahi tha, jab pair 1.2845 se 1.2650 tak gir gaya, ek din mein 50-pip ki girawat. Ye achanak girawat market sentiment ko unsettle kar rahi hai, jo shayad fundamental data, news events, ya significant market players ke large volumes ki trading ke karan ho sakta hai, jo M30 chart mein reflect hota hai. Ye situation historical events jaise George Soros trade ka unwinding aur pound ka collapse ko yaad dilati hai.

In factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur vigilance rakni chahiye jab GBP/USD is critical juncture se guzarta hai. Current market conditions mein opportunities aur risks dono hain, isliye key levels aur market signals ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai trading decisions lene se pehle.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD market aaj subah gir gaya jab isne is hafte ke trading session mein 1.2910 level ko touch kiya. Price 1.2960 level ko touch karne ke baad apni gains ko continue nahi kar saki, jo is hafte ke shuru mein ya pichle Tuesday ko dekha gaya. Price range mein izafa hua aur Bollinger Bands ke lower border 30 area tak pohanch gayi, jahan GBP/USD market mein downtrend dikhai de raha hai. H4 time chart par bullish K-line nazar aati hai, lekin pichle do din ke price declines ke bawajood trend badal gaya hai. Jab maine graph dekha, mujhe yaqeen nahi aaya. Price rally ko continue karne ke liye, price ko 1.2880 ke qareeb apni position bechni hogi. Humne 1.2865 level par foran bech diya. Jab mein ise wapas leunga, toh zyada price par bechunga. Main dekhna chahunga. Church maza hai! Mujhe candles pasand hain! Aap upside-down candle bhi use kar sakte hain! Aise candle ko upside-down hona chahiye! Imperfection ko na pasand karne wale log hamari company mein nahi chahte. 1.2910 achha stop point hai. Stop ko pakad kar, maine naye din ki taraf dekhna shuru kiya. Candle neeche diye gaye conditions ke mutabiq move karegi. Yahan pichle din ka chart hai jo meri soch ko illustrate karta hai.




GBP/USD Pair Analysis

GBP/USD pair mein koi activity nahi thi, pair 1.2855 ke upar freeze raha. Trend rebuild ho raha hai aur ek standard pattern follow kar raha hai. Neeche se, ek ascending channel ko hold karna zaroori hai. Ye aam taur par ek powerful attack ke baad breakdown hota hai jo FSL 66% of the pitchfork se hota hai. Is currency pair ka hourly chart dikhata hai ke bottom 1.2810 tak pohncha aur ek naya crest perfect tha. High - 1.2935 - ko update nahi kiya jayega kyunki hum ismein interested nahi hain. Iske natije mein, humne document ko pehle hi correct kar diya hai. Transaction ke successful hone ke liye, ek prominent seller zaroori hai.