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Pound GDP Contract Ke Bawajood Slip Kar Gaya, Critical Support Level Par Nazar
GBPUSD Ka Jaiza:
Pound ki dollar ke saath girawat 1.2480 ke low par cushioned rahi, jahan inflationary risks ki wajah se UK ke naye labor law ke madde nazar rate hold ki umeedain support de rahi hain. Lekin aaj ka contracting GDP reading -0.1% par growth concerns ko reflect kar raha hai aur aglay hafte ke BOE decision ko aur bhi complex banata hai.
Aham Events
- Markets central bank decisions aur 2024 ke insights ke liye brace kar rahi hain, holiday season ke agay.
- UK GDP -0.1% contract kar gaya hai, jo Thursday ke BOE decision ke agay sawalat ko janam deta hai.
- FOMC aur BOJ meetings aglay Wednesday aur Thursday ko markets ki volatility barha sakti hain.
- Key GBP events: Flash PMI (Monday), employment data (Tuesday), aur BOE decision (Thursday).
US CPI aur PPI data ke uptick ke baad, aur aglay hafte Fed rate cut price-in hone ke saath, US Dollar index 107-mark ke upar stabilize ho gaya hai. Agar 108-resistance zone breach ho jata hai, to currencies critical lows ka samna karengi, jisse central banks apni economies ko stabilize karne ke liye aggressive measures apna sakti hain. SNB, BOC, aur PBOC jaise banks pehle hi drastic actions le chuke hain, aur ECB bhi Trump policies ke 2025 risks ke madde nazar suit follow kar sakta hai.
UK Data
BOE rate hold ki umeedain UK ke naye labor law ke inflationary pressures ki wajah se bani hui hain. Lekin GDP ka -0.1% contraction economic growth ke concerns ko barha raha hai, jo BOE ke decision-making process ko mushkil banata hai. Aglay hafte British pound mein increased volatility expected hai, jo Monday ke flash PMI data aur Tuesday ke employment figures ke zariye shape hogi, jo BOE insights ke liye aham role ada karegi.
Technical Analysis: Uncertainties Ka Tajaweez
2021 ke high, 2022 ke low, aur 2024 ke high ke darmiyan Fibonacci extension tool ka istamaal karte huye, GBPUSD ke recent drop ne 0.272 extension level par support dhoondha hai. Agla aham support level 0.382 extension par hai. Agar GBPUSD 1.2480 ke critical level ke upar rebound ko sustain karne mein nakam hota hai, to aur girawat October 2023 aur February 2023 ke lows ke darmiyan support zones ko test kar sakti hai, jo 1.21 aur 1.19 hain.
Upside par, jo current candlestick pattern 1.25 support ke upar form ho raha hai, wo ek weekly bullish engulfing pattern ko signal kar raha hai, jo strong reversal potential ka pata deta hai. Key resistance levels jo bullish scenario resume karne ke liye dekhne hain, wo 1.30 aur 1.3170 hain.
تبصرہ
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