جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD pair mujhe badhati hui drawdown mein le ja rahi hai. Dekhna hoga ke bulls kab tak control mein reh sakte hain, khaas kar FOMC minutes ke aanay se pehle jo ke aakhri meeting ke hain.
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja

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GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Pound-dollar currency pair apne upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhta hai, halankeh recently notable correction dekhi gayi hai. Pound ne shuru mein bullish peak 1.3259 ko reach kiya, phir lagbhag ek aur aadha figure se retreat hua aur ab 1.3101 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Overall, pound ki correction kafi kamzor hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair kabhi bhi apni upward movement resume kar sakta hai. Market iske liye anticipate kar rahi hai aur potential buy ke liye position kar rahi hai. Magar, aaj ke fundamental data ne reaction nahi diya, halankeh news ne business index ko negatively impact kiya, jo teen red bulls se indicate hota hai. Pound-dollar pair shayad purani highs 1.3259 ko revisit karne ki koshish karega. Ab, pair is range se break out ho chuka hai aur 1.30 level ko thoroughly test kar raha hai, sirf briefly touch nahi kar raha.
GBP/USD pair ne Tuesday ko thoda decline dekha, lekin yeh drop formal consider kiya ja sakta hai. Ascending trend line breach ho chuki hai, lekin price abhi tak Senkou Span B line ke neeche consolidate nahi hui. Agar hum technical analysis se hatkar dekhen, to substantial rise ke baad agar aap ek new downward trend ki shuruat ki ummeed kar rahe hain, to kaisa downward movement dekhne ko mil sakta hai? Shayad ek strong movement, jahan sellers daily pressure dalte hain aur macroeconomic data support provide karta hai. Abhi tak kuch aisa nazar nahi aa raha. Price barely downward movement de rahi hai aur kisi bhi moment par apni illogical rise resume kar sakti hai. Isliye, agar price Senkou Span B line ke neeche consolidate hoti hai, to further decline ka likelihood barh jayega, lekin abhi tak sab kuch minor correction ke jaise lag raha hai, aur phir pound phir se rise shuru kar sakta hai. Pichle din ke macroeconomic events se kuch khas highlight karne layak nahi hai. U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI August ke liye 47.2 points tha. Yeh value July se zyada hai, lekin important comparison forecast se hai jo 47.5 points tha. Isliye, ek baar phir se important indicator ki actual value forecast se neeche thi. Halankeh kal kuch trading signals bane, pair din ke zyada tar hisson mein erratically aur sideways move hota raha. 1.3119 level ko dono directions mein breach kiya gaya. Price finally iske neeche settle hui, lekin ab Senkou Span B line, jo 1.3100 level par hai, price ko neeche se support kar rahi hai. Abhi bhi solid downward movement par rely karna mushkil hai. Hourly time frame mein GBP/USD correction mein hai, lekin yeh correction kisi bhi moment khatam ho sakti hai. Decline medium term ke liye ek consistent aur logical scenario hai, considering all factors: technical, fundamental, aur macroeconomic. Lekin, market pounds ko buy aur dollars ko sell kar rahi hai, chahe corrections ya specific days par news ki kami ho. Iske ilawa, overseas ke economic reports phir se mediocre hain, aur aise conditions mein dollar ko apni growth sustain karna mushkil hoga.
GBP/USD ke paas global downward trend ko dobara start karne ka acha chance hai, magar is waqt ek strong local uptrend chal raha hai, kyun ke price mushkil se trendline tak pohnchi hai. British pound ab bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market har moka istemal kar rahi hai British currency ko kharidne aur dollar ko bechne ka. Ab tak pound sirf thoda bearish correction dikha raha hai, aur abhi poori downtrend ki baat karna jaldi hogi.
Tuesday ko pair shayad downward move kare, magar ab trendline support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Rebound mumkin hai, jab ke breakthrough baad mein ho sakta hai. Pound ka correction dheere aur kamzor ho sakta hai.

Aaj GBP/USD pair mein kuch buying opportunities nazar aa rahi hain. Yeh is liye bhi important hai kyun ke aaj US Fed Chair Powell ka speech hai, jo market sentiment ko badal sakta hai. Is liye mujhe umeed hai ke market sellers ke favor mein rahegi, aur yeh 1.2621 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Aane wali news bhi market sentiment ko bara asar de sakti hai aur trading results ko significant taur par influence kar sakti hai. Traders ko mashwara hai ke woh informed rahain aur apni strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karein. Market sentiment mein ayaan wali shifts ko anticipate karte hue, agar traders strategically position lein, to yeh unki ability ko enhance karega ke woh uncertainties ko navigate kar sakein aur favorable trading conditions ka fayda utha sakein. Aaj ka market ek behtareen buying opportunity paish kar raha hai, jahan buyer sentiment mazboot hai aur upward momentum ka potential hai. Agar traders prevailing market sentiment ke sath align karein aur well-defined buy strategies ko implement karein, to unke profitable outcomes ke chances barh jate hain. Disciplined trading practices par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena traders ko market ke complexities mein confidently navigate karne mein madad deta hai. Agar woh market developments se well-informed rahain aur evolving conditions par adeptly respond karein, to woh apni trading strategies ko refine kar sakte hain aur financial markets ke dynamic landscape mein opportunities ka fayda utha sakte hain.

Aaj ke liye, mein sell-side position ko prefer kar raha hoon, jahan mera short target 1.2600 hai. Sath hi aaj ka market environment ek compelling buying opportunity bhi paish kar raha hai, jo ke buyer sentiment ke sustain hone aur potential upward movement ki wajah se hai. Market direction aur sentiment ke sath strategic alignment, proactive trade planning, aur timely execution ke sath, traders ke success ke prospects enhance ho jate hain. Disciplined approach par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena, traders ko market ke complexities ko confidence ke sath navigate karne mein madad deta hai, aur profitable outcomes achieve karne mein bhi.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai.
Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg

Budh ke din American trading session mein GBP/USD pair lagbhag 1.3170 tak barh gaya USD ke muqable mein. Yeh izafa Middle East mein barhti hui tensions aur risk aversion ki wajah se hua. Halanki US Dollar Index (DXY) kafi kamzor ho gaya, aur akabo 101.30 tak gir gaya, jo ke March 11 ke baad se sabse kam hai, lekin fir bhi GBP/USD pair mein khaas girawat dekhne ko mili. Fed Rate Cut Expectation aur BoE ke Taqreebi Asrat:
Market ki expectations Federal Reserve ke hawale se kaafi tabdeel ho chuki hain. CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, 18 September ko 50-basis point rate cut ka imkaan 74.5% tak barh gaya hai, jo ke sirf ek haftay pehle 11.5% tha. Yeh tabdeeli US ke disappointing jobs data aur factory activity mein zyada contraction ko zahir karte hue ISM Manufacturing PMI report ke baad hui hai.

Pound Sterling (GBP) ko bhi kaafi challenges ka samna hai. Bank of England (BoE) ne August meeting mein 25-basis point rate cut ka elaan kiya, jo ke umeed thi. BoE Governor Bailey ne kaha ke minimum wage mein izafa abhi tak economic outlook ko bura asar nahi diya. Unhon ne yeh bhi kaha ke inflation ab 2% ke target ke qareeb aa rahi hai, halan ke kuch risks ab bhi moujood hain.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Asia ke stock markets ke zabardast girawat aur trading halts ke bawajood, Pound Sterling ne kuch recovery ki. Iss waqt pair 1.3145 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Ahem resistance levels mein 1.3200 ka round figure aur 1.3265 ke qareeb multi-year high shamil hain, jo Pound Sterling bulls ke liye ahem hote hain.

Is ke bawajood, pair ab bhi 1.3100 ke critical support level se neeche hai. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2930 ke qareeb hai, jo ke near-term trend mein uncertainty ko zahir karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne bearish signal diya hai, jo yeh batata hai ke market mein is waqt sellers dominate kar rahe hain, aur mazeed nuqsanat ka imkaan moujood hai

Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke against paanch din ki bulandi ko dobara 1.3200 ke qareeb choa, jab ke US NFP report par sab ki nazar thi. Kamzor US JOLTS job openings aur ADP Employment Change data ne is baat ka ishara diya ke US ka labor market kamzor ho raha hai.
Bank of England (BoE) se umeed hai ke baqi saal mein sirf ek dafa interest rate mein kami karega. Pound Sterling (GBP) thoda dheela para jab ke Friday ki European session mein naya paanch din ka high 1.3200 ke qareeb post kiya. GBP/USD pair US Dollar (USD) ke against zabardast consolidation kar raha hai jab ke United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ke intezar mein hai, jo ke August ka data hai aur 12:30 GMT par publish hoga.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki qeemat ko chhey baray currencies ke against track karta hai, zara si neeche gira aur crucial support 101.00 ke neechay aaya.

Maashiyat ke maahiron ka andaza hai ke US employers ne August mein 160,000 naye workers hire kiye, jo ke July ke 114,000 se zyada hai. Isi doran, Unemployment Rate umeed hai ke 4.3% se ghat kar 4.2% tak aaya hoga. Sarmayadaron ka dihan Average Hourly Earnings data par bhi hoga, jo ke wages ke barhtay huay dor ka ahem meyar hai aur consumer spending aur mehngai ko barhawa deta hai. Salana tor par wage growth ka andaza hai ke yeh 3.7% tak barh gaya hoga, jo ke pehle ke 3.6% se zyada hai. Mahana tor par, Average Hourly Earnings mein 0.3% ka izafa dekha gaya hai, jo ke July ke 0.2% ke baraks zyada hai.

US ka official employment data Federal Reserve (Fed) ki monetary policy ka faisla is mahine mein tay karega. Job data ki ahmiyat bohat zyada barh gayi hai jab ke Fed ne yeh kaha hai ke ab woh labor market ki sehat par ziyata dihan de raha hai, kyun ke inflation wapas bank ke 2% target par aane ke qareeb hai.

Fed se umeed ki ja rahi hai ke September ki meeting se interest rates kam karna shuru karega. Magar traders is baat par ikhtilaf karte hain ke interest rate cut ka size kitna hoga. Fed ke ek bara interest rate cut karne ka imkaan is hafte barh gaya hai jab ke kamzor US JOLTS Job Openings aur ADP Employment Change data ne labor market mein kamzoriyon ko ujagar kiya. Technical Analysis: Pound Sterling 1.3200 ke qareeb aagaya Pound Sterling thoda dheela para jab ke lagbhag 1.3200 ke qareeb US Dollar ke against barh gaya. GBP/USD ne strong buying interest daryaft kiya, jo ke ek upward-sloping trendline ke breakout region ke paas tha, jo December 28, 2023 ka daily time frame ka high 1.2828 se plot hua tha. Upward-sloping short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) yeh suggest karti

reports ne yeh dikhaya hai ke US mein growth slow ho rahi hai, special labor market mein. Misal ke taur par, Automatic Data Processing (ADP) report jo is haftay ke aghaz mein ayi thi, ne yeh dikhaya ke August mein private sector ki job growth expected se kam rahi. Yeh data is baat ka ishara de sakta hai ke economy thandi par rahi hai, jis se Federal Reserve ke dovish monetary policy apnane ki umeed barh sakti hai.
US non-farm payrolls ka intezar hai jo ke labor market ki taqat ke baare mein aur insight de sakta hai. Agar yeh data umeed se kam aya, to yeh speculation ko barhawa dega ke Federal Reserve apni aane wali meeting mein rate cut karega, jis se US dollar aur kamzor hoga. Rate cut se US dollar par hold karna kam faida mand hoga, jo GBP/USD pair ke liye acha sabit hoga. Market pehle hi Federal Reserve ki September 17-18 ki meeting mein rate cut ka imkaan price kar raha hai, lekin payroll data ka surprise expectations ko barhawa ya kam kar sakta hai.

### Bank of England Ki Position
Dosi taraf, British pound ko Bank of England (BoE) ke rate cut ki umeedon ne support diya hai. BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne acknowledge kiya hai ke UK mein inflationary pressures kam ho rahe hain, jo future meetings mein dovish stance ko justify kar sakta hai. Lekin Bailey ne ye bhi kaha hai ke rates ko jaldi kam karne mein sikke baratni chahiye, kyun ke inflation abhi bhi central bank ke target se zyada hai.

In concerns ke bawajood, market ne near term mein BoE se rate cut ka 25% imkaan price kar diya hai, aur November tak rate cut ka pura imkaan rakha gaya hai. UK economy mein easing inflation aur slow growth ke hawalay se BoE ke paas apni current monetary policy stance ko barqarar rakhne ka kam imkaan hai, jo rate cut ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar BoE rate cut ka signal deta hai, to pound par downward pressure barh sakta hai, agar agar yeh US dollar ke mazid taqat ke daur mein hota hai.

### Technical Analysis: Bearish Indicators
Technical perspective se, GBP/USD pair is waqt bearish tendencies dikhata hai, especially 1.3200 level ke aas paas. Pair ne 1.3229 ke key resistance trend line ko torne mein nakami ka samna kiya, jis ke baad downside correction dekhne ko mili. Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Stochastic Oscillator dono hi overbought territory mein hain, jo is baat ka ishara de rahe hain ke pair mein mazid girawat ho sakti hai. Agar pair 1.3180 area ke niche break karta hai, to yeh ek significant pullback ki tasdeeq karega, jo next support levels 1.3025 aur 1.3085 ke darmiyan ho sakte hain

Somwaar ke subah ke Asian session ke dauran, GBP/USD jorha zyada ucha gaya, teen din ke girawat ke baad. Yeh momentum 1.3135 ke aas-paas hai. Is hafte GBP/USD ki qeemat ko USD ke daam ki harkat se zyada farq padega kyunki UK se koi bara economic data release nahi ho raha. Jumme ko, August ke liye US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) sabse ahem hoga. US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke expectations ke kam hone se currency par asar pad raha hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne pichle hafte kaha tha ke rate cut ho sakta hai, isse labor market ki fikr hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 50 basis points ke rate drop ki umeed 30% hai, lekin traders September mein Fed ke 25 bps rate cut ki 70% se zyada ki pricing kar rahe hain.
Jumme ka US jobs report tay karega ke USD ka rebound lamba chalega ya nahi. August mein 163K naye jobs ki umeed hai aur unemployment rate thoda kam ho kar 4.2% hone ki ummed hai. July mein average hourly earnings ka 0.3% MoM barhne ka andaza hai. Agar results expected se kam rahe, to investors ko US economy ke girne ki chinta ho sakti hai, jo USD ki value ko kam kar sakti hai. Magar investors ko lagta hai ke Bank of England (BoE) apni policy easing ko dheere dheere chalata rahega, jo pound sterling (GBP) ko mazbooti de sakta hai. Ek Reuters survey ke mutabiq, economists ko lagta hai ke Bank of England is saal aur 25 basis points ke interest rate cut kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD ki Kahani Charts Mein

Aaj humari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke price action analysis ke bare mein hogi. H4 chart par 1.3179 ke bullish buy level ko breach kiya gaya, jo ke potential growth ko zahir karta hai aur bullish priority set karta hai. Maine apna sell position loss par close kiya aur buy ki taraf switch kiya. Thoda bohot izafa expected hai jo ke 1.3279 tak pohanch sakta hai, aur mazid growth ke liye resistances 1.3546–1.3575 tak ja sakti hai. Price abhi alternative sell level ke qareeb hai, aur main H4 chart par sirf tab sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon agar bearish sell level 1.3089 ho. Agar ye bearish scenario samne aata hai, toh mujhe umeed hai ke price support range 1.2776–1.2688 tak giray gi. Beshaq, in sab assumptions ko aapke trading strategy ke mutabiq dobara evaluate karna hoga. Wave analysis se lagta hai ke correction mein break aaya hai, jo mazeed bearish movement ka ishara deta hai.

GBP/USD Mein Foran Growth Ka Imkaan Kam Hai




Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain.

Aaj subah GBPUSD market mein thoda buyer ka pressure tha, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi ke trend bullish hai. Agar aap subah ke opening price ko dekhein, toh yeh level daily pivot zone ke neeche hai, jo yellow box mein 1.3156 - 1.3186 ke darmiyan hai. Is liye yeh fitri baat hai ke price action pivot level ko touch karne ki koshish karega, phir apna bearish trend jari rakhega.

Lekin, bearish trend tab fail ho sakta hai jab buyer ka pressure zyada ho jaye, jo pivot point ke upar se guzarne se nazar aayega. Agar price H1 basis par poori tarah 1.3186 level ko cross kar le, toh buyers dobara market mein dominate karenge, aur traders sell ka option khol sakte hain. Lekin agar price fail ho jaye aur seller ka reaction aaye, toh sell option turant khola ja sakta hai kyun ke yeh chal rahi trend ke direction ke mutabiq hoga.

Teeno din tak lagataar izafa hone ke baad, aakhir kaar pichlay Jumay ko GBPUSD currency pair ne kaafi gehri girawat dekhi. Yeh candle 1.3228 se 1.3132 ke area tak move kar gayi. Agar H1 timeframe se dekha jaye, toh abhi current candle 1.3133 ke shoulder area mein phansi hui hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke apna izafa jari rakhne se pehle, AUDUSD pehle thoda upar chalay.

Masla yeh hai ke H1 timeframe ke support area mein ek evening star candle pattern nazar aayi hai, jo ke reversal ka sign hota hai. Agar ichimoku indicator se analysis kiya jaye, toh abhi bhi girawat ka signal hai kyun ke candle position abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai.

Aapke analysis ke mutabiq, GBPUSD ka rise hona abhi bhi mumkin hai kyun ke candle abhi bhi MA 50, MA 100, aur MA 200 lines ke upar hai. Aaj ke liye meri prediction hai ke GBPUSD pehle upar jayega, is liye meri salah yeh hai ke aap pehle buy position par focus karein. Target resistance level 1.3191 par rakha ja sakta hai.

Jumeraat ko currency pair mein kaafi ziada utar chadhav dekhne ko mila, jisme yeh 1.3180 mark tak gir gaya. Yeh girawat US mein nayi mandi ke khadshon ke sabab se hui, jo disappointing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) numbers ki wajah se barh gayi. Sath hi, Pound Sterling ka flow bhi kam ho gaya jab Bank of England (BoE) ne ek intehai umeed ki jaane wali quarter-point rate cut ka elaan kiya. Aakhri updates ke mutabiq, GBP/USD 1.3181 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai. GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Haal hi ke US economic data ne mandi ke khadshon ko barha diya hai. Berozgari ki shara 4.3% tak barh gayi hai, jo November 2021 ke baad se sabse zyada hai, aur labor demand bhi kam ho gayi hai. Saath hi, Manufacturing PMI mein July ke mahine mein sakht girawat dekhi gayi. Lekin, technical tor par jab do musalsal quarters mein GDP growth negative ho, tabhi recession hota hai, aur filhal US ki economy ne second quarter mein 2.8% ki growth dikhayi hai, jo pehle quarter ki growth se dugni hai.

US Services PMI, jo ke economy ka do tihayi hissa hai, ne June mein contraction ke baad July mein behtri dikhayi. PMI report ne 51.4 ka unexpected expansion dikhaya, jo pehle ke 48.8 se barh kar 51.0 tak anay ka andaza tha. Magar, bawajood is ke, US Dollar ka mustaqbil ab bhi qeyal hai mandi ke khadshon aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke emergency rate cuts ke imkaanaat ki wajah se.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Spot price ab 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb hai, jo ke 1.3165 par hai. Yeh pehli dafa hai ke yeh long-term moving average ko May ke baad se test kar raha hai. Iss pair ne August ki peak 1.3264 se lagbhag 3% ki girawat dekhayi hai, jo ek aham downtrend ko zahir karta hai.

Iss waqt, pair ek ahem mor par hai, jo Rising Channel chart pattern ki lower boundary ke qareeb hai hourly timeframe mein. Tareekhi taur par, aise pullbacks ko traders khareedne ka mauqa samajhte hain, jo ek rebound ka imkaan zahir karta hai.

**GBP/USD Ka Tajziya Aur Trading Ke Liye Raahnamai:**

GBP/USD jori ne Wednesday ko U.S. JOLTs report ke base par upar trading ki. July mein job openings ka number market ke expectations se kaafi kam tha, aur jab July mein unemployment rate bhi barh gaya, toh aur bhi kuch ummeed nahi thi. Market ko phir se weak US data ne disappoint kiya, jo ke market aur experts dono ki expectations se kam tha. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market participants ke liye actual value nahi balki forecast important hota hai. Agar forecast baar-baar zyada high set kiya jata hai, toh wo kabhi bhi meet nahi hota, aur US dollar aur kuch saalon tak girta rah sakta hai. Yeh currency market ki halat hai aaj kal. Haftay ke do din abhi baaki hain aur abhi bhi kai important macroeconomic data release honi hai. GBP/USD jori apne last local high se sirf thoda hi upar gayi hai. Agar baaki reports, jo ke labor, business activity, aur unemployment par hain, bhi weak hoti hain, toh pound is haftay 1.3250 ke level par wapas aa sakta hai.

Wednesday ko 5-minute time frame par do buy signals ban gaye. Price ne 1.3102-1.3107 ke area se do baar rebound kiya aur phir 1.3145-1.3167 ke area tak uthi, jahan se bhi rebound hua. Is tarah se, long positions ne novice traders ko kuch dozen pips ka profit dilaya. 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound bhi kiya ja sakta tha, lekin aaj pair ko phir se rise continue karna chahiye agar US reports forecast se kamzor nikli toh.

**Thursday Ko Trading Karne Ka Tareeqa:**

Hourly time frame par GBP/USD ko global downward trend resume karne ya kam se kam kuch decline ka achha chance hai. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market har mauke ko British currency ko buy karne aur dollar ko sell karne ke liye use kar rahi hai. Filhal, pound sirf minor bearish correction dikhata hai, aur full-fledged downtrend ke bare mein baat karna abhi jaldi hai.

Thursday ko, pair ke niche move karne ki umeed hai kyun ke trend line breach ho chuki hai. Kal, price 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound hui thi. Lekin aaj dollar rate bhi US macro data par depend karega.

5-minute timeframe par key levels hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Wednesday ko UK business activity in the construction sector ka secondary report release hoga, jo ke August ke liye second estimate hai. Zyada important reports, jaise ADP aur ISM services sector mein, US mein release hongi. Major movements phir se din ke dusre

Is subah GBP/USD market mein kuch kharidari ka dabao tha, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi ke trend bullish hai, kyun ke agar aap subah ke khulaay rate ko dekhein, toh yeh daily pivot zone (jo ke zard box 1.3156 - 1.3186 mein hai) se kaafi door tha, is liye yeh baat qabil-e-faham hai ke price action pehle pivot level ko touch karega phir apna bearish trend jari rakhega.
Lekin, bearish trend us waqt fail ho sakta hai agar kharidari ka dabao mazeed barh jata hai, jo ke pivot point ke upper side ko tor kar dekha ja sakta hai. Agar price H1 basis par poori tarah se 1.3186 level ko tor deta hai, toh buyers dobara market mein ghul mil jayenge, aur traders sell trading ka option khol sakte hain. Lekin agar price yeh level torne mein nakam hoti hai aur sellers ka rejection aata hai, toh sell ka option foran liya ja sakta hai, kyun ke yeh chalte huay trend ke saath mutabiq hai.

Teen lagataar dino ke izafay ke baad, aakhir kar Friday ko GBP/USD currency pair ne ek gehra nuqsan dekha kyun ke candle 1.3228 se gir kar 1.3132 ke ilaqay mein chali gayi thi. Agar H1 timeframe se dekha jaye toh abhi jo candle ka maqam hai, woh shoulder area ke qareeb 1.3133 par hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke izafa jari rakhne se pehle GBP/USD thoda aur barhega.

Masla yeh hai ke H1 timeframe mein support area mein ek evening star candle pattern zahir ho chuka hai, jo ke ek reversal ka ishara hai. Agar isay Ichimoku indicator ke zariye dekha jaye, toh ab bhi neeche ka signal hai kyun ke candle ka maqam tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai.

Aap ke upar wale tajziye ko dekhte huay, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke GBP/USD abhi aur barh sakta hai kyun ke candle ka maqam ab bhi MA 50, MA 100, aur MA 200 lines ke upar hai. Is liye, aaj ke liye meri tajweez hai ke GBP/USD pehle upar jayega, aur main aapko pehle buy position kholne ka mashwara doonga. Target ko resistance par 1.3191 ke qeemat par rakha ja sakta hai.support area mein ek evening star candle pattern zahir ho chuka hai, jo ke ek reversal ka ishara hai. Agar isay Ichimoku indicator ke zariye dekha jaye, toh ab bhi neeche ka signal hai kyun ke candle ka maqam tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke

GBPUSD pair ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, 1-hour chart par aaj ke trading ke aghaz mein price buy zone mein thi, kyun ke price pichlay do dinon ke dauran ascending price channels ke andar trade kar rahi thi jo price ki movement ka direction bata rahe thay. Price weekly pivot level aur niche ke channel lines ke upar trade kar rahi thi, lekin jab price channels ke middle line tak pohanchi, toh wahan se neeche ki taraf rebound hui.

Abhi price dobara weekly pivot level par trade kar rahi hai, aur yeh level break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yeh level break karne mein kaamyaab hoti hai, toh price girti rahegi. Trading advice yeh hai ke jab price weekly pivot level se ek ghantay ke liye niche stable ho, tab sell karein. Aur jab price current candle ke sabse zyada high price ke upar trade kare, toh buy karein.

Economic side par, British data aksar taur par favorable hai, lekin adverse risk conditions currency ko nuqsaan pohancha sakti hain, khaas tor par jab long sterling positions mein izafa ho raha hai. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke services sector ke liye August ka final Purchasing Managers' Index 53.7 tha, jo ke preliminary reading 53.3 se zyada aur July ke reading 52.5 se bhi zyada hai, aur yeh expansion zone mein daswin mutawatar reading hai. Is par tippani karte hue, Alex Gykov, jo BNP Paribas mein forex market analyst hain, keh rahe hain: “Humara yaqeen hai ke pound mein izafa ho sakta hai lekin positions ke extent ki wajah se downside ka risk zyada hai.”

Isi waqt, Brad Bechtel, Jefferies mein forex analyst, yeh tawakku karte hain ke aaj ke US jobs data se US dollar mein tez movements honge. Unho ne izafa kiya, “Friday ke print ke baad, meri tawakku ke mutabiq, hum ya toh dollar index mein 100 ya us se kam ya 104 ya us se zyada par honge.” Taza tareen US JOLTS data ke mutabiq, July mein job openings ki tadaad gir kar 7.67 million ho gayi, jo ke June ki downwardly revised 7.91 million ki reading se bhi kam hai, jo ke pehle 8.18 million report hui thi. Yeh consensus forecast 8.09 million se bhi kam thi aur April 2021 ke baad se sab se kam reading thi