gbp/usd

Good Morning doston!

GBP/USD ka market kal ke din 1.2740 ke aas-paas pohnch gaya, jo ke ek ahem support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan hai. Yeh middle ground aksar traders ke liye mushkil faisle ka samay hota hai. Magar meri analysis ke mutabiq, main agle hafte ke liye GBP/USD mein buy order dena pasand karunga. Mera tajwez yeh hai ke price ab overbought condition mein hai, jo ke upar ki taraf momentum ka ishaara deti hai. Iske ilawa, US Elections ke qareeb aane ki wajah se market sentiment asar-andaz ho sakta hai. Elections aksar financial markets ko volatility de deti hain, kyun ke traders potential outcomes aur economic policy ke implications par react karte hain. Isliye, trade karte waqt ehtiyaat baratni zaroori hai aur strategies ko current market sentiment ke saath align karna chahiye. GBP/USD ke price position, overbought conditions, aur upcoming US Election ke combination se yeh nazar aata hai ke cautiously optimistic approach rakhna faida mand ho sakta hai. Aaj, main buy order ki recommendation dunga, jiska short target 1.2765 ke aas-paas hai. Market sentiment ke kisi bhi tabdeeli se bachne ke liye stop loss zaroor lagayein aur GBP/USD market se related news data par nazar rakhein.

Dekhte hain agle kuch ghanton mein kya hota hai.

Khush raho aur mehfooz raho. Hamesha pur-sukoon raho.

GBP:USD:H4: 1.2830 Budh ke din Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke muqable mein halka sa decline experience kiya, jo 1.2704 par trade ho raha tha, jo ke 0.14% ki kami ko zahir karta hai. Yeh movement hal hi mein hone wale UK general elections ke baad dekhi gayi, jahan Labour Party ke significant victory hasil karne ka imkaan hai. Currency market ka response UK ke evolving political landscape ko reflect kar raha hai, jo investor sentiment aur currency trading dynamics par asar dal raha hai.

Iske parallel, CME FedWatch tool ne September mein Federal Reserve rate cuts ke probability mein izafa report kiya. Yeh probability 72.6% tak barh gayi hai, jo ek hafta pehle 66% thi. Yeh expectations ka shift kaafi US economic indicators, khaaskar labor market mein, kamzori ke asaar zahir karne ke baad dekha gaya. US ki overall economic health dheemi par rahi hai, jiski wajah se market participants Federal Reserve se proactive measures ki tawakku kar rahe hain.

GBP:USD:H4: 1.2830

Saat saalon tak -0.75 percent reference rates ke bawajood, Swiss National Bank inhe barhane ka irada nahi rakhti. US regulators ki meeting ke baad, department 10 July ko mulaqat karega. Aakhir mein, in dono sessions ka faisla instrument ke mustaqbil ka tayun karega. 13 July tak, hum GBP/USD pair quote ko mazid mazboot hotay dekh sakte hain, jahan possible corrections favorable prices denge taake instrument ko khareed sakein. Long term mein ek upward trend dekha gaya hai. Market participants ne resistance level 1.2780 tak pohanch liya hai, jo price growth ko mazid rok raha hai. Jab yeh mark upar ki taraf break nahi hota, toh correction shuru honay ka imkaan hai; objective yeh hoga ke 1.2685 support level ko examine kiya jaye jab yeh hota hai. RSI indicator ke overbought state ki wajah se medium term mein correction ka imkaan hai. Price ab phir se upper channel lines ka samna kar raha hai, aur yeh upward break kar ke 1.2710 level tak ja sakta hai, ya phir monthly pivot level par gir kar phir se rise kar sakta hai. Price ka samna ab weekly level 1.2830 ke resistance se hai, jo downward correction ka sabab ban sakta hai.

GBP/USD H4 British Pound - US Dollar. Heiken Ashi candles ke readings ko TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke signals ke sath mila kar analyze karne ke baad, hum dekhte hain ke iss waqt market buyers ki taqat mein kamzori aur sellers ke initiative mein shift expect kar rahi hai. Heiken Ashi candles, regular candles ke mukablay mein, ek smoothed ya averaged price value dikhati hain, jo technical analysis ko simplify aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko barhati hain. TMA channel indicator (red, blue aur yellow colors ki lines) twice smoothed moving averages ke base par support aur resistance lines build karta hai aur instrument ke movement ke current boundaries ko clearly demonstrate karta hai. Heiken Ashi ke sath positive results show karte hue, trades ke liye ek additional filtering oscillator ke tor par hum RSI basement indicator use karenge. Currency pair ke chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke candles ka color red ho gaya hai aur is tarah bearish interest ki priority power ko emphasize karte hain. Price ne channel ki upper boundary (blue dotted line) ko cross kiya aur, maximum point se bounce karte hue, phir apni middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf headed hai. Iss waqt, RSI oscillator additional sell signal ko confirm karta hai, kyunke iski curve ab downward directed hai aur oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai. Is hawale se, yeh logical conclusion nikalta hai ke aik acha moment hai profitable short sell transaction conclude karne ka, market quotes ko channel ke lower boundary (red dotted line) ke price mark 1.26754 par pohanchane ke aim ke sath.
GBP/USD ki girawat ko is negative economic signal par market reaction ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Traders aur investors apni positions ko economic data releases ki base par adjust karte hain. Weak retail sales ke natije mein UK ki economic outlook ka reassessment hota hai, jo pound ki selling ko badhava deta hai. Yeh pound ko euro aur dollar ke muqable mein weak karta hai, jo investor confidence mein kami aur future economic conditions ke shift expectations ko reflect karta hai.
Retail sales ki yeh kami UK economy ke mukhtalif challenges ke darmiyan aa rahi hai, jin mein shamil hain: Brexit ka ongoing effects aur uncertainties economic performance par asar andaz hain; inflationary pressures rising costs consumer spending aur business operations ko impact karte hain; aur global economic uncertainties jaise ke geopolitical tensions aur global market volatility is complexity mein izafa karti hain.
Pound ke strength regain karne ke liye mazeed robust economic data aur clear economic outlook ki zaroorat hai. Positive signals jaise ke: improvement in retail sales, increased consumer confidence aur favorable economic developments pound ko stabilize kar sakte hain.
Short term mein, traders upcoming economic releases aur central bank statements ko closely monitor karenge for further indications of UK's economic trajectory. Key events jin par nazar rakhni chahiye economic data releases, central bank statements aur global market sentiment hain.
British pound par recent downward pressure disappointing UK retail sales data aur broader economic challenges ko reflect karta hai. Pound ko stabilize aur apni current trend ko reverse karne ke liye strong economic data aur clear economic outlook ki zaroorat hai. Traders ko upcoming economic releases aur central bank statements ko closely monitor karna chahiye for further insights into UK's economic health aur potential currency movements.

GBP/USD pair ne upar jane ki koshish ki lekin 1.2867 par resistance ka samna kiya. Is resistance ne pullback shuru kiya, jo M15 time frame ko bullish se bearish bana diya. Agar pair 1.2862 se upar nikalta hai, to yeh bearish trend likely hai. Lekin agar price aur girti hai aur recent low se neeche jati hai, to yeh 1.2757 ke H1 pivot tak girne ka imkaan hai. Abhi H1 time frame bearish hai. Agar 1.2901 zone — jo ke H1 pivot 1.2910 ke paas hai — ke upar jati hai, to yeh bullish trend indicate karegi H1 time frame mein. H4 time frame abhi bearish hai lekin bullish tab hoga jab pair 1.2931-1.2961 zone ke through jata hai. Daily time frame par trend bullish hai. Bearish reversal tab hoga jab price daily pivot 1.2696 ke neeche aur 1.2621 se neeche girti hai. Bearish M15 time frame likely hona chahiye for an uptrend to continue, followed by breaking the bearish H1 time frame.
GBP/USD overbought territory aur daily channel ke resistance tak pohanch gaya hai. Is pehle breakthrough ke baad ek pullback hua hai. Yeh actions technical analysis ke mutabiq hain, lekin Friday ke daily candle se thodi se slowdown nazar aa rahi hai jo ek neutral "top" form kar raha hai. Yeh trend weekly timeframe se milti julti hai, jo ke is channel ke andar correction ke end hone ki taraf ishara karti hai jab tak yeh current resistance intact rehti hai. Agar bulls is level ko hold karne mein naakam hote hain, toh yeh daily channel ke support line ki taraf ja sakti hai correction framework ke andar. Agar trendline break hoti hai, toh mujhe apni long positions ko reconsider karna parega aur faisla karna parega ke unhein rakhun, close karun ya sell positions par shift karun. Ek purchasing opportunity tab aasakti hai agar price 1.2879 level ko cross kar le aur usay maintain kare. Dusri taraf, agar bearish correction galti se 1.2851 mark ko breach kar le, toh yeh ongoing growth ko indicate kar sakta hai. Ek buy signal ki further confirmation tab hogi agar strength 1.2906 ke upar continue kare, aur is ke baad 1.2911 mark ke beyond break kar le.
Agar price 1.2891 ke level ko breach kar le, toh yeh buying ke liye acha waqt ho sakta hai, aur 1.2906 se zyada growth ke liye possibility ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 1.2936 ko exceed na kar sake aur naya high na set kar sake, toh yeh buying interest mein kami ko indicate kar sakta hai. Sellers ke liye, price drop ko 1.2848 tak monitor karna prudent hoga, aur is level ko successfully breach karna ek signal ho sakta hai sell karne ka. 1.2848 ka test hone ke baad, agar price correct ho kar 1.2911 ke upar wapas chali jaye, toh yeh buy indication ho sakta hai. 1.2911 ke upar clear breakthrough potential for continued buying opportunities ke hint de sakti hai upcoming week mein.



Aaj, humne is signal ke liye risk level ko exceed kar diya hai. Green aur gray bars clarity ke liye thi taake hum samajh sakein ratios jab hum ek level ya doosre se sell karte hain. Phir, growth impulse ke baad, hume ek reverse signal (i.e., buy signal) bhi H4 timeframe par mila, aur yeh jaldi apne targets tak bina pullback ke pohanch gaya. Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, rise significant pullback ke bina tha, isliye lower timeframe par enter karna zyada successful nahi tha, kyunke signal ke turant baad up chale gaye.
Darasal, pound ke technical execution par koi shikayat nahi hai, kyunke isne sab kuch beautifully kiya. Agar pound ne local maximum break kiya, toh yeh ek true breakout tha, na ke false. Pehli wave of growth ke baad, pound ne apne lows ko maintain kiya aur elegantly third large wave mein enter kiya. Decline paanch waves ki form mein tha, jo ek exception thi. Yahan hum pehli long wave dekhte hain, phir third short thi, aur fifth bhi third ki tarah thi. Iske ilawa, fourth wave third wave ke zone mein enter hui, jo ke aksar corrections mein hota hai

H4 Chart Analysis for USD/JPY Pair


USD/JPY pair ke H4 time frame chart par ek nuqta e nazar ka izhar hota hai, jahan Bollinger Bands phailte huye dikhaye dete hain. Lekin, jab ke price upper band ke qareeb hai, ek classic breakout signal ab tak nazar nahi aaya. Yeh is liye hai ke lower band ka phailna upper band ke muqablay mein kam hai, jo ke decisive signal ki kami ka sabab bana. Is wajah se, price ab central zone mein vaasat kar rahi hai.
Mawazna e Bazaar


Price ka Bollinger Bands ke beech maqam dikhata hai ke bazaar ek barqarar maamlat ki halat mein hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke market dono taraf ja sakti hai. Is unpredictability ki wajah se, trading strategy mein ikhtiyaat zaroori hai, kyun ke agla aham qadam abhi tak wazeh nahi hai. Is situation ke liye sab se behtareen tareeqa yeh hai ke traders price ke upper ya lower Bollinger Band ke qareeb aate hi dekhein. In levels ko ma'anay rakhna agle bazaar ki direction ka ta'een karne ke liye zaroori hoga.
Strategic Ghor-o-Fikr


Jab price kisi Bollinger Band ko chhu le ya usay tor de, to traders ko dekhna chahiye ke kya dono bands phailte hain. Aisa phailna price ki movement ke direction mein jaari rehne ka ishara dega, jo ek critical indicator hai, kyunki yeh yeh tasdeeq karta hai ke bazaar mein barhiyat itni hai ke trend ko barqarar rakha ja sakta hai, traders ke liye wahaan entry signal ko wazeh karta hai.
Ahem Levels Ko Dekhne Ki Zaroorat

1. Resistance at 1.0780: Agar price aaj is resistance level ko tor de, to yeh 1.0968 ki agle resistance taraf barhne ki ummeed jaaga. Yeh movement is baat ka ishara karegi ke din ke liye bullish trend ban raha hai, jo traders ko long positions lene ka mauqa dega.
2. Resistance at 1.0865: Agar price is resistance level ko torne mein nakam hota hai, to ek reversal ho sakta hai, jo support level 1.0900 ki taraf dobarah aane ka emkan rakhta hai. Yeh scenario bearish reversal ka ishara dega, jo traders ko short positions par ghor karne ka mauqa de sakta hai.

Ihtimaalat Barh Gayi Hain


Recent fractal patterns, upar aur neeche dono taraf ke, bazaar mein volatility barhanay ka ishara dete hain. Yeh patterns aksar significant price swings ki mumkinat ko darust karte hain, jo traders ke liye essential indicators hote hain. In fractals ke maujood hone se yeh zahir hota hai ke bazaar achanak aur tez movements ka samna kar sakta hai, is liye ikhtiyaat aur hoshyari ki zaroorat hai.
Khulasa


Akhir mein, USD/JPY pair ke H4 chart ki analysis ek balanced scenario dikhati hai, jahan dono taraf barhne ya ghatne ki mumkinat hain. Is environment mein successful trading ka raaz sabr aur dekhne mein hai. Traders ko upper aur lower Bollinger Bands ke saath saath recently bane hue fractal patterns par nazar rakhni chahiye, taake bazaar ki agle aham move ke liye wazeh signals ka pata chale. Critical levels ke qareeb price aane ka intezar kartay huye aur band expansion ko confirm karke, traders behtar faislay kar sakte hain aur profitable mauqay hasil karne ke liye apni chances ko barha sakte hain. Yeh strategic approach bazaar ki uncertainty ko navigate karne mein madad degi aur potential breakouts ya reversals par fawaid hasil karne ka mauqa degi.

GBPUSD ANALYSIS UPDATES
11 AUGUST 2024

GBP/USD Market Pair Analysis:

Trading Time Window:

Kal, Friday ko GBP/USD market pair trading buyers ke control mein thi jo ke price ko bullish upar le aaye, jabke pehle sellers ke control mein thi lekin buyers support area at price 1.2733-1.2735 ke neeche penetrate nahi kar paye. Is wajah se sellers ne price ko neeche push karne ka mauka kho diya aur buyers ne price ko wapas bullish banane ka faida uthaya.

Daily Time Frame Analysis:

Moving Average indicator ke zariye Daily time window par dekha jaye to price ya candle abhi bhi Red MA 50 area ke neeche hai, jo ke bearish pressure ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, buyers ke recent days mein bullish candlesticks ke dominance ke saath trading ko dominate karne ki wajah se, yeh buyers ko agle week ke trading mein price ko upar bullish le jaane ke mauke deta hai, jiska agla bullish target Red MA 50 area ko dobara test karna hai price 1.2780-1.2783 par. Agar yeh area ko penetrate karke iske upar rehne mein kamiyab hota hai, to GBP/USD pair ki movement future mein aur bhi zyada strengthen ho sakti hai.

Monday Trading Outlook:

Kal Monday ko, bearish pressure sellers se aane ki ummeed hai kyunki buyers abhi tak sellers ke resistance area at price 1.2770-1.2768 ko break nahi kar paaye hain, jo sellers ko prices ko neeche push karne ka mauka deta hai towards the buyer's support area at price 1.2735-1.2733. Agar yeh support area penetrate hota hai, to GBP/USD pair ki price aur bhi kamzor ho sakti hai next target towards the demand support area at price 1.2675-1.2673. Lekin agar buyer support area ko secure kar leta hai, to price wapas bullish ho sakti hai aur long-term bullish trend ko continue kar sakti hai.

Conclusion:

• Buy Trading Options: Agar price sellers ke resistance area ko penetrate kar leti hai to pending buy stop order price 1.2768-1.2770 par place kiya ja sakta hai, with a TP area at price 1.2835-1.2835.
• Sell Trading Options: Agar price buyers ke support area ko penetrate kar leti hai to pending sell stop order price 1.2735-1.2733 par place kiya ja sakta hai, with a TP area at price 1.2675-1.2670.

GBPUSD ANALYSIS UPDATES
11 AUGUST 2024

**Subah ke greetings forum ke doston ko aur shubh chhuttiyon ki dua is weekend ke liye. Aapki chhutti enjoy ho aur hum sab hamesha sehatmand rahein aur sab kuch asaan ho, is subah ke moqe par main GBP/USD market ka analysis karunga taake kal subah market ke khulte hi entry ke liye tayar ho sakoon. Poora analysis niche dekhen.

GBP/USD currency pair Friday ke trading mein bullish move kiya aur 1.2754 ke price par close hua, jo ke previous day ke opening price se zyada hai. D1 time frame par jo candle formed hui hai, woh abhi bhi MA 200 line ke upar hai aur MA 24 line ke qareeb aa rahi hai, jaise ke upar di gayi picture mein dekha ja sakta hai. Stochastic indicator 5.3.3 level 50 ki taraf ja raha hai jo ke pehle level 20 se hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers market mein enter kar rahe hain aur agle hafte trading mein market ko dominate karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Fundamentals ke hisaab se, USD index bhi depressed aur weakening dikh raha hai, jo ke GBP/USD market ke movement ko impact karega aur isse market ko agle hafte strengthen hone ka potential hai. Analysis ke hisaab se, agle hafte GBP/USD currency pair ke bullish trend ko continue karne ki ummeed hai aur hum buy action lene ke mauke dekh sakte hain, lekin hamesha mm ko properly implement karte hue taake account ki resilience strong aur well maintained rahe.

Mere trading plan ke mutabiq, kal subah main 1.2754 par buy order place karunga aur profit target 1.2784 rakhoonga, aur stop loss 1.2724 par rakhunga, aur lot size ko trading account ki resilience ke hisaab se measure aur adjust karunga. Yeh trading journal update hai jo main subah convey kar sakta hoon, umeed hai ke yeh useful hoga aur doston ke liye samajhne mein aayega, aur forex business mein hamari insight ko barhane mein madad karega.

GBP/USD mein buy order dena pasand karunga. Mera tajwez yeh hai ke price ab overbought condition mein hai, jo ke upar ki taraf momentum ka ishaara deti hai. Iske ilawa, US Elections ke qareeb aane ki wajah se market sentiment asar-andaz ho sakta hai. Elections aksar financial markets ko volatility de deti hain, kyun ke traders potential outcomes aur economic policy ke implications par react karte hain. Isliye, trade karte waqt ehtiyaat baratni zaroori hai aur strategies ko current market sentiment ke saath align karna chahiye. GBP/USD ke price position, overbought conditions, aur upcoming US Election ke combination se yeh nazar aata hai ke cautiously optimistic approach rakhna faida mand ho sakta hai. Aaj, main buy order ki recommendation dunga, jiska short target 1.2765 ke aas-paas hai. Market sentiment ke kisi bhi tabdeeli se bachne ke liye stop loss zaroor lagayein aur GBP/USD market se related news data par nazar rakhein.
Dekhte hain agle kuch ghanton mein kya hota hai.
Aakhir mein, in dono sessions ka faisla instrument ke mustaqbil ka tayun karega. 13 July tak, hum GBP/USD pair quote ko mazid mazboot hotay dekh sakte hain, jahan possible corrections favorable prices denge taake instrument ko khareed sakein. Long term mein ek upward trend dekha gaya hai. Market participants ne resistance level 1.2780 tak pohanch liya hai, jo price growth ko mazid rok raha hai. Jab yeh mark upar ki taraf break nahi hota, toh correction shuru honay ka imkaan hai; objective yeh hoga ke 1.2685 support level ko examine kiya jaye jab yeh hota hai. RSI indicator ke overbought state ki wajah se medium term mein correction ka imkaan hai. Price ab phir se upper channel lines ka samna kar raha hai, aur yeh upward break kar ke 1.2710 level tak ja sakta hai, ya phir monthly pivot level par gir kar phir se rise kar sakta hai. Price ka samna ab weekly level 1.2830 ke resistance se hai, jo downward correction ka sabab ban sakta hai.

GBP/USD overbought territory aur daily channel ke resistance tak pohanch gaya hai. Is pehle breakthrough ke baad ek pullback hua hai. Yeh actions technical analysis ke mutabiq hain, lekin Friday ke daily candle se thodi se slowdown nazar aa rahi hai jo ek neutral "top" form kar raha hai. Yeh trend weekly timeframe se milti julti hai, jo ke is channel ke andar correction ke end hone ki taraf ishara karti hai jab tak yeh current resistance intact rehti hai. Agar bulls is level ko hold karne mein naakam hote hain, toh yeh daily channel ke support line ki taraf ja sakti hai correction framework ke andar. Agar trendline break hoti hai, toh mujhe apni long positions ko reconsider karna parega aur faisla karna parega ke unhein rakhun, close karun ya sell positions par shift karun. Ek purchasing opportunity tab aasakti hai agar price 1.2879 level ko cross kar le aur usay maintain kare. Dusri taraf, agar bearish correction galti se 1.2851 mark ko breach kar le, toh yeh ongoing growth ko indicate kar sakta hai. Ek buy signal ki further confirmation tab hogi agar strength 1.2906 ke upar continue kare, aur is ke baad 1.2911 mark ke beyond break kar le. Agar price 1.2891 ke level ko breach kar le, toh yeh buying ke liye acha waqt ho sakta hai, aur 1.2906 se zyada growth ke liye possibility ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 1.2936 ko exceed na kar sake aur naya high na set kar sake, toh yeh buying interest mein kami ko indicate kar sakta hai. Sellers ke liye, price drop ko 1.2848 tak monitor karna prudent hoga, aur is level ko successfully breach karna ek signal ho sakta hai sell karne ka. 1.2848 ka test hone ke baad, agar price correct ho kar 1.2911 ke upar wapas chali jaye, toh yeh buy indication ho sakta hai. 1.2911 ke upar clear breakthrough potential for continued buying opportunities ke hint de sakti hai upcoming week mein.
Aaj, humne is signal ke liye risk level ko exceed kar diya hai. Green aur gray bars clarity ke liye thi taake hum samajh sakein ratios jab hum ek level ya doosre se sell karte hain. Phir, growth impulse ke baad, hume ek reverse signal (i.e., buy signal) bhi H4 timeframe par mila, aur yeh jaldi apne targets tak bina pullback ke pohanch gaya. Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, rise significant pullback ke bina tha, isliye lower timeframe par enter karna zyada successful nahi tha, kyunke signal ke turant baad up chale gaye.
Darasal, pound ke technical execution par koi shikayat nahi hai, kyunke isne sab kuch beautifully kiya. Agar pound ne local maximum break kiya, toh yeh ek true breakout tha, na ke false. Pehli wave of growth ke baad, pound ne apne lows ko maintain kiya aur elegantly third large wave mein enter kiya. Decline paanch waves ki form mein tha, jo ek exception thi. Yahan hum pehli long wave dekhte hain, phir third short thi, aur fifth bhi third ki tarah thi. Iske ilawa, fourth wave third wave ke zone mein enter hui, jo ke aksar corrections mein hota hai
GBP/USD pair quote ko mazid mazboot hotay dekh sakte hain, jahan possible corrections favorable prices denge taake instrument ko khareed sakein. Long term mein ek upward trend dekha gaya hai. Market participants ne resistance level 1.2780 tak pohanch liya hai, jo price growth ko mazid rok raha hai. Jab yeh mark upar ki taraf break nahi hota, toh correction shuru honay ka imkaan hai; objective yeh hoga ke 1.2685 support level ko examine kiya jaye jab yeh hota hai. RSI indicator ke overbought state ki wajah se medium term mein correction ka imkaan hai. Price ab phir se upper channel lines ka samna kar raha hai, aur yeh upward break kar ke 1.2710 level tak ja sakta hai, ya phir monthly pivot level par gir kar phir se rise kar sakta hai. Price ka samna ab weekly level 1.2830 ke resistance se hai, jo downward correction ka sabab ban sakta hai.

GBP/USD: Price Action Analysis
The GBP/USD currency pair is currently in an upward trend, indicating a bullish market. However, I predict that a downturn and corrective movement will occur soon, particularly based on the H4 timeframe, which suggests a potential decrease. Despite the possibility of a slight upward movement towards 1.2810, I am not considering making any purchases because system signals indicate an imminent trend reversal within the day. My target for a downward movement is at the 1.2605 level, where a breakout to the bullish side could challenge the medium-term forecast. With more than half of the growth already achieved, there are only 125 points left to reach 1.2893. This urges caution in making purchases, but selling is not justified. The market conditions favor an upward trend with potential for bullish momentum. Initially, I focused solely on a bullish trend, but my initial doubts led me to stay out of the market, resulting in missed profit opportunities.

However, repositioning to align with the average over the interval proved beneficial for potential gains. Considering the reversal movement, there may still be opportunities to capture some profit from the rise. By monitoring the news background and chart dynamics, we observed that Tuesday concluded with a bullish candle, and the Asian session continued the upward momentum, albeit with attempts at reversal. The price tested the upper channel limit at 1.2755, then retreated but only to the moving average line at 1.2673 before resuming its upward trajectory. Currently, the upper limit is at 1.2793, and I anticipate a potential breach followed by a bearish correction, possibly towards 1.2703 or even the buying zone at 1.2671-1.2655, before expecting a reversal and further growth towards 1.2830.

Price range 1.27548 ke aas paas hai, aur agar hum lower time frame, yani H4 time frame pe chart dekhein, to GBP/USD currency pair ne supply aur resistance ko 1.27330 ke level par break kiya. Price ne pull back kiya hai lekin lagta hai ke buyers ab bhi trading process pe dominate kar rahe hain. Mere GBP/USD pair ke scenario ke liye, do scenarios hain. Pehle scenario ke mutabiq, agar price successfully 1.27970 ke level par supply aur resistance ko break karti hai, to price ke barhne ka potential ab bhi ban sakta hai aur target agle supply aur resistance 1.28522 ke level par ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price supply aur resistance ko 1.28522 ke level par break nahi karti, to price pull back ho sakti hai.

Dusre scenario ke mutabiq, agar price phir se girti hai aur 1.27238 ke level par demand aur support ko successfully break karti hai, to price phir se girne ka potential ban sakta hai aur agle najdeek demand aur support 1.26713 ke level par test karne ke liye chal sakti hai. Lekin agar price 1.26713 ke level par demand aur support ko break nahi karti, to price pull back ho sakti hai.

Abhi market band hai aur Monday ko khulega, is liye humein sabr rakhna chahiye aur market ke open hone ka wait karna chahiye. Agar support aur resistance successfully penetrate hoti hain, to current trend ko follow karna behtar hoga. H4 ke trend ke mutabiq, GBP/USD abhi bearish condition mein hai, aur EMA50 area ko penetrate karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Weekend pe bade movement ke bawajood, GBP/USD bullish movement mein nahi aa paayi hai aur EMA50 ke niche hai, lekin gap bahut zyada nahi hai aur kabhi bhi penetrate ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD Currency Pair: Bara Movement Ka Imkan


GBP/USD currency pair, jo ke "cable" ke naam se bhi jana jata hai, filhal 1.2754 par trade kar raha hai aur bearish trend mein hai. Market dheere dheere move kar rahi hai, lekin aane wale dino mein kuch factors hain jo bara movement ka sabab ban sakte hain. In factors ko samajhkar traders aur investors behtar decisions le sakte hain.

1. Economic Indicators Aur Unka Asar


Economic indicators GBP/USD currency pair ke direction ko determine karne mein important role ada karte hain. UK aur US regularly economic data release karte hain, jese ke GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, aur retail sales. Ye indicators dono economies ki health ke baare mein insights dete hain aur currency ki value ko influence karte hain.

Agar UK se better-than-expected GDP growth figures aati hain, to British pound ko boost mil sakta hai, jo bearish trend ko reverse kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar US economy strong signs dikhati hai, jese ke robust job growth ya higher inflation, to US dollar ko gain mil sakta hai, aur GBP/USD pair niche ja sakta hai.

Is waqt ki bearish trend ko dekhte hue, dono UK aur US se aanewale economic releases par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Kisi bhi significant deviation se GBP/USD pair mein substantial movement trigger ho sakti hai.


2. Monetary Policy Aur Central Bank Actions


Central banks ke actions aur statements, khaaskar Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve (Fed), GBP/USD currency pair par profound impact dalte hain. Interest rate decisions, quantitative easing measures, aur forward guidance se market sentiment drive hoti hai aur currency pair ka direction influence hota hai.

Recently, Bank of England ne monetary policy ko cautious approach di hai, inflation ke impact ko dekhte hue. Is ke muqablay mein, Federal Reserve ne interest rate hikes aur balance sheet reduction par aggressive stance rakha hai. Ye divergence monetary policy ko bearish trend ko aur exacerbate kar sakta hai.

Lekin, agar BoE inflationary pressures ke response mein zyada hawkish stance leti hai, to current trend reverse ho sakta hai. Waise, agar Fed economic growth ke concerns ki wajah se dovish ho jata hai, to US dollar weaken ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko upward momentum de sakta hai.

3. Geopolitical Events Aur Unka Asar


Geopolitical events forex market mein sudden aur significant movements cause kar sakte hain, aur GBP/USD pair bhi is se immune nahi hai. Brexit developments, trade negotiations, aur political instability UK ya US mein volatility create kar sakte hain aur sharp price swings ka sabab ban sakte hain.

Maslan, agar UK-EU trade relationship ke positive news aate hain post-Brexit, to pound ko boost mil sakta hai, jab ke negative developments pound par heavy weight daal sakti hain. US mein political uncertainty, jese ke fiscal policy debates ya upcoming elections, US dollar ko impact kar sakti hai aur GBP/USD pair ko influence kar sakti hai.

Traders ko geopolitical developments par nazar rakhni chahiye aur market reactions ke liye tayar rehna chahiye jo GBP/USD pair mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakte hain.

4. Technical Analysis Aur Market Sentiment


Technical analysis bhi GBP/USD currency pair ke movements ko predict karne mein important tool hai. Price charts ko analyze karke, key support aur resistance levels ko identify karke, aur technical indicators jese ke moving averages aur RSI (Relative Strength Index) ko use karke traders potential market movements ka insight gain kar sakte hain.

Filhal, GBP/USD pair bearish trend mein hai, aur price action key moving averages ke neeche hai. Lekin, technical analysis suggest karta hai ke pair ek critical support level ke kareeb aa raha hai. Agar ye level hold hota hai, to reversal ya significant bounce ho sakta hai. Agar support level breach hota hai, to bearish trend accelerate ho sakta hai aur further downside dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Market sentiment bhi GBP/USD pair ko drive karta hai. Sentiment economic data, central bank actions, aur geopolitical events se influence hota hai. Sentiment ka shift bullish se bearish, ya vice versa, sharp movements ka sabab ban sakta hai.
5. Market Liquidity Aur Volatility


Market liquidity aur volatility bhi GBP/USD pair ke movements ko influence karte hain. Low liquidity periods, jese ke holidays ya Asian trading session, market ko sharp movements ke liye zyada susceptible banate hain. Dusri taraf, high liquidity periods, jese ke London ya New York sessions, market ko zyada stable banaate hain.

Volatility bhi major economic releases ya unexpected geopolitical events ke doran significant increase dekh sakti hai. Traders ko aane wale dino mein increased volatility ke liye aware rehna chahiye, jo GBP/USD pair mein substantial movements ka sabab ban sakti hai.
6. Nateejah: Bara Movement Ka Imkan


In conclusion, GBP/USD currency pair filhal 1.2754 par trade kar raha hai aur bearish trend mein hai. Jab ke market dheere dheere move kar rahi hai, kuch factors hain jo aane wale dino mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakte hain. Economic indicators, central bank actions, geopolitical events, technical analysis, market sentiment, aur liquidity sab GBP/USD pair ke direction ko determine karte hain.

Traders aur investors ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur potential market-moving events ke liye prepared rehna chahiye jo GBP/USD pair mein substantial movement ka sabab ban sakti hain. Informative aur analytical approach se traders behtar decisions le sakte hain aur aane wali market volatility ka faida utha sakte hain.

USD ke price action ka jaiza lete hue, hum current price assessment ko dekh rahe hain. Agar rise ke peak par zyada activity hoti hai, to is se ek rebound ki umeed hai, jisme large buy orders close ho sakte hain aur unhein weaker hands mein transfer kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke price mukhtalif levels par kaise react karti hai aur slowdowns kaise form ho rahe hain. Is waqt price kaafi confidence ke sath ek substantial angle par upar ja rahi hai. Yeh 1.2763 se do dafa bounce kar chuki hai aur apna din news high ko surpass karte hue khatam kiya, apni zone mein rukte hue. Sensitive indicators ke mutabiq, oscillator window mein kisi decline ke koi asaar nazar nahi aa rahe. Senior daily CCI ne overbought zone mein mazbooti se entry kar li hai bina kisi reversal ke signs ke, aur histogram bhi upward trend mein hai. Ek junior indicator horizontal move kar raha hai, lekin isme bhi kisi decline ke koi asaar nazar nahi aa rahe. Primary trend abhi bhi strongly bullish hai, is liye iske against argue karna mushkil hai.

Live bands ke mutabiq sell zone 1.2531 - 1.2626 ke darmiyan hai aur buy zone 1.2636 - 1.2741 ke darmiyan hai. Current price GBP/USD 1.2811 par hai. Kya is level par buy karna chahiye? Main samajhta hoon ke ye behtar hoga ke 11:00 ke qareeb situation ko observe kiya jaye taake zyada clarity mil sake. Main slide ko catch karne ka plan bana raha hoon, pehla sale 1.2851 se initiate karte hue. Agar price upar jaata hai, to main har 10 points par sales add karta rahunga. Meri reduction targets 1.2801, 1.2776, 1.2756, aur 1.2741 hain. Range significant hai, aur pure din mein isko cover karna mushkil hai. Agar meri estimates sahi hain, to main leading position ko 1.2801 par close karunga aur har next step par close karta rahunga. 1.2741 ke neeche jaana behtar nahi hoga. Agar yeh hota hai, to yeh bullish trend ko dampen kar dega lekin poori tarah break nahi karega. Is se bulls ke liye recover karna mushkil ho sakta hai, aur yeh drop ko 1.2631-41 tak le ja sakta hai. Main mid-to-long-term mein 1.2741 tak pullback ki umeed karta hoon, jiske baad ek rebound aur ek nai upward wave dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

USD ke price action ka jaiza lete hue, hum current price assessment ko dekh rahe hain. Agar rise ke peak par zyada activity hoti hai, to is se ek rebound ki umeed hai, jisme large buy orders close ho sakte hain aur unhein weaker hands mein transfer kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke price mukhtalif levels par kaise react karti hai aur slowdowns kaise form ho rahe hain. Is waqt price kaafi confidence ke sath ek substantial angle par upar ja rahi hai. Yeh 1.2763 se do dafa bounce kar chuki hai aur apna din news high ko surpass karte hue khatam kiya, apni zone mein rukte hue. Sensitive indicators ke mutabiq, oscillator window mein kisi decline ke koi asaar nazar nahi aa rahe. Senior daily CCI ne overbought zone mein mazbooti se entry kar li hai bina kisi reversal ke signs ke, aur histogram bhi upward trend mein hai. Ek junior indicator horizontal move kar raha hai, lekin isme bhi kisi decline ke koi asaar nazar nahi aa rahe. Primary trend abhi bhi strongly bullish hai, is liye iske against argue karna mushkil hai.

Live bands ke mutabiq sell zone 1.2531 - 1.2626 ke darmiyan hai aur buy zone 1.2636 - 1.2741 ke darmiyan hai. Current price GBP/USD 1.2811 par hai. Kya is level par buy karna chahiye? Main samajhta hoon ke ye behtar hoga ke 11:00 ke qareeb situation ko observe kiya jaye taake zyada clarity mil sake. Main slide ko catch karne ka plan bana raha hoon, pehla sale 1.2851 se initiate karte hue. Agar price upar jaata hai, to main har 10 points par sales add karta rahunga. Meri reduction targets 1.2801, 1.2776, 1.2756, aur 1.2741 hain. Range significant hai, aur pure din mein isko cover karna mushkil hai. Agar meri estimates sahi hain, to main leading position ko 1.2801 par close karunga aur har next step par close karta rahunga. 1.2741 ke neeche jaana behtar nahi hoga. Agar yeh hota hai, to yeh bullish trend ko dampen kar dega lekin poori tarah break nahi karega. Is se bulls ke liye recover karna mushkil ho sakta hai, aur yeh drop ko 1.2631-41 tak le ja sakta hai. Main mid-to-long-term mein 1.2741 tak pullback ki umeed karta hoon, jiske baad ek rebound aur ek nai upward wave dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum!
Market ki suratehal kafi ghair yaqini hai. Yumiyah chart ke mutabiq, pound/dollar ki jodi bull market me hai. Aakhir kar, 100- aur 200- roza exponential moving averages aur oversold Stochastic indicator par Ichimoku cloud ka test karne ke bad, qimat me ucchal aagay, jo 1.3042 se 1.2663 tak ibtedai nuqsanat me tezi ki islah ke aaghaz ki nishandahi kari hai. Agar aisa hota hai to, Bartanwi pound ke 1.2853 ke nishan tak badhne ka imkan hai.
Trend indicators ke mutabiq, long positions kholna munafa kamane ka behtarin tariqa hai. Agar digar timeframes ke sath koi tazad na ho to, mai maujudah qimaton par kharidunga.



4-ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, niche ka rujhan rujhan ek tarjih hai. Pound/dollar ka joda niche ki taraf zigzag bana raha hai, jisme trend indicators qimat se ooper hain, aur Stochastic zyada kharidari ke ilaqe me dakhil ho raha hai, jo Bartanwi currency ke girawat ke qarib aane ka ishara kar sakta hai.
1.2937 se 1.2663 tak mandi ki lahar ka talluq hai, 1.2768 (61.8% Fibonacci level) ki muzahmati satah ka test karne ke bad, kam az kam islah pahle hi kam kar chuka hai.
Lehaza, maujudah satah se girawat ko kharij nahin kiya ja sakta hai.
Mai tasleem karta hun keh qimat girawat se pahle 1.2800 (50% Fibonacci level) ki muzahmati satah ka test kar sakti hai. Is surat me, mai 1.2728 (76.4% Fibonacci level) ki support satah tak girawat ki ummid karte hue short positions kholunga.