جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Pound Sterling Mein Halka Izafa, US Inflation Report Ke Baad Khud Ko Sambhalte Huye
Thursday ki subah, Pound Sterling ne mazeed izafa banaye rakhne mein kamiyaab raha, yeh izafa US ke taaza inflation report ke baad hua. Yeh report ne sarmaaya kaaron ki umeedon ko mazeed barhaya ke US Federal Reserve apne September ke monetary policy meeting mein interest rates mein kami karna shuru kar sakta hai. Filhal, GBP/USD pair 1.3191 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke pehle ke levels se thoda si tabdeeli darshata hai.

GBP/USD Ke Asliyati Bunyadi Haalaat:

Aane wala Federal Reserve ka meeting Wednesday ko honay jaa raha hai jo ke bazaar ki khasa tawajjo ka markaz hoga. Sarmaaya kaar be sabri se intezaar kar rahe hain kisi bhi aisi nishani ka jo yeh bataye ke Fed apne aglay maali meeting mein, jab Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) September mein dobara milay gi, ek anticipated rate cut implement karne ki tayari kar raha hai. Maujooda bazaar ki umeedein yeh zahiar kar rahi hain ke September 18 ko kam az kam ek quarter-point rate cut hone ke imkanaat hain, jahan CME ka FedWatch Tool 25 basis point cut ke 90% chance aur ek baday cut ke 10% chance ko dikhata hai.

Maali bazaar yeh bhi tawaqqo kar raha hai ke Fed is baat ka izhaar kare ga ke mehengayi ko apne 2% target ke qareeb laye jaane mein khasa progress hasil hui hai, saath hi labor market ki badhti hui fikar par bhi tawajjo di jaaye gi. Yeh izhaar Fed ki interest rates kam karne ki taiyyari ka ishara bhi ho sakta hai. Fed ke policy faislay ke ilawa, sarmaaya kaar US ke maeeshi indicators par bhi ghehri nazar rakhenge, jismein JOLTS Job Openings for June, ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), aur Nonfarm Payrolls data for July shamil hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Wednesday ko pair ne neeche ki taraf test kiya aur 1.3166 ka naya teen din ka low maara. Is ke bawajood, Pound Sterling ke kharidaaron ne mazbooti dikhayi aur pair ko aham 1.3100 mark ke upar rakha. Yeh karan seeza 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2896 ke upar position mein hai aur ab bhi 200-day EMA 1.2701 ke bullish side par trade kar raha hai.

Iss waqt spot price daily timeframe par Rising Channel chart pattern ke neechey wali had ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. 1.3100 ke significant support level ke neechey ke recent drop ne pair ko pressure mein daal diya hai. Iske ilawa, karan 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neechey 1.2945 ke qareeb gir gaya hai, jo ke short-term trend mein potential uncertainty ki taraf ishara karta hai

GBP/USD Forum Analysis aur Forecast

Daily chart ke mutabiq, wave technique ka istemal karte hue main ne ek aisa ascending channel identify kiya hai - neeche diye gaye screenshot ko dekhein. Is waqt hamare paas koi primary movement nahi hai, balki ek tarah ka premium trend hai. Is liye jab tak hum is ke bahar nahi nikalte, aur kisi aur cheez ko catch karne ka faida nahi hai. Abhi price hamare ascending channel ki lower border ke saath chal rahi hai.

Chaliye dekhte hain ke indicators kya dikha rahe hain:
MA100 almost floor ke parallel space ko work out kar raha hai - sirf thoda sa ascent angle hai jo growth ke haq mein hai.

MA18 ziada confidently north ki taraf pull kar raha hai - 40 degrees ke trend angle par, jo dikhata hai ke pair par strong bulls maujood hain. Ab sab candles moving averages, guides, aur local Ichimoku Cloud ke upar space ko work out kar rahi hain, yaani mood zyada buy karne ka hai.

Light MACD bullish wave ko work out kar raha hai, ab tak koi sell signal nahi hai.

Light stochastic hi ek aisa hai jis ne sell signal diya hai. Lekin is par ziada bharosa nahi hai - as an engine of sales. Yeh pehle hi oversold zone mein pahunch chuka hai, yaani ke yeh potentially north ki taraf turn karne ke liye tayaar hai.

Indicators ki mazboot bundle puri tarah bulls ki side par hai, koi sell signal nahi hai.
Shayad, ab main ek rise ka intezar karoon - channel ki upper band ki taraf - level 1.3270 tak

Recent market movements in the currency pair reflect significant shifts influenced by central bank decisions and economic indicators. Bank of England (BoE) ke recent policy adjustments ke baad, GBP/USD ek 'hammer' candlestick pattern banata nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 2.21% ki kami ke baad aaya. Yeh technical formation potential upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, jisse price 1.3120 level ke upar chadh sakti hai aur 1.3100 mark ko dobara dekh sakti hai. BoE ke borrowing costs ko kam karne ke bawajood, unki policy restrictive hi rahi hai, largely inflation expectations ke 2.25% tak barhane ki wajah se.

Current market dynamics central bank policies aur economic data ke beech ek tug-of-war ko reflect karte hain. Jaise BoE aur Fed apne respective policy paths ko navigate kar rahe hain, GBP/USD traders ko inflation trends aur interest rate adjustments ke further clues ke liye alert rehna chahiye. In developments ke results future market movements aur trading strategies ko impact karenge.

Central Bank Moves: Powell Hints at Rate Cut, Bailey Defends Policy

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne rate cut ke potential ke bare mein hint diya hai agar inflation expectations ke sath align hoti hai, economic growth robust rehta hai, aur labor market apne current trend par rehta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye hain, jo suggest karte hain ke aisa move Fed ke September meeting ke doran consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, yeh apne gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai, ek weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay bade currencies ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak 101.89 par aa gaya hai jo intraday low 100.48 se upar hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ki decision ko defend kiya hai jo policy rate ko 5% par kam kiya gaya. Bailey ne media inquiries ko address karte hue bataya ke minimum wage ka barhna unke perspective se detrimental nahi hai. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karti hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress karti hain, lekin overall inflation trajectory, including potential risks, ab 2% target ke nazdeek hai jo ke pehle ke forecasts ke muqablay mein.

GBP/USD Fluctuates: Asian Session Decline and Key Support Levels in Focus

Asian session ke doran Wednesday ko, GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja sakta hai.

Tuesday ke trading mein GBP/USD pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.3111 ke nazdeek struggle kiya. Price action 1.3000 handle ke neeche hi rahi, aur bids abhi bhi 50-day EMA 1.3121 ke aas-paas thi. Lekin, traders ko traction gain karna mushkil ho raha hai, kyunki GBP/USD apne multi-year peak 1.3264 se 2.58% neeche hai.

GBP/USD: Kamiyab Trading

Yeh guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya hai. Kal ke bullish buy level se breakout ne misleading sabit kiya, kyunki iske baad koi growth nahi hui; balke bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach ho gaya. Yeh bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, is liye maine selling ki taraf switch kar diya. Mera tajwez hai ke price kam se kam 1.30859 tak gir sakti hai. Price aur bhi neeche gir sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya support level 1.29384 tak. Buying ka sochne ke liye bullish buy level se breakout zaroori hai. Filhal, mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 set hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod kar gain karte hain, to main foran buying ki taraf shift karunga, ummed hai ke resistance levels 1.31849-1.32089 tak thodi si upar chadhai dekhein. Pichle high ki taraf bhi growth ka potential hai.

Mainne abhi tak upward movement ko khatam nahi kiya, is liye main apni buy position ko close karne mein hesitant hoon. Lagbhag 1.3049 ke aas-paas, agar poori tarah se upward movement hoti hai, to mere profit target 1.3407 ki taraf jaa sakti hai, lekin main iski tasdeeq nahi kar sakta. Agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak neeche le aate hain, to shayad main apni buy position manually close kar dunga, kyunki bullish move ke chances kafi kam ho jayenge. Mainne 1.3099-1.3049 tak girawat ki umeed ki thi aur abhi bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyunki pair abhi overbought lag raha hai. Jabke euro ne normal adjustment kiya aur apni gains ko lagbhag khatam kar diya, pound ne sirf 29% ka retracement dekha hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% par aati hai aur significant drop dikhati hai, jiski wajah se ECB rates cut karti hai jaise Fed ne kiya, to UK inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, to mujhe girawat ki umeed hai, kyunki market shayad realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko aur kam karegi. Kul milaakar, is hafte ke liye meri GBP/USD ke liye outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar break karega.

GBP/USD ka Raasta Tay Karna

GBP/USD pair mein kal izafa hua, jabke US dollar market mein aam tor par aur pound ke muqablay mein bhi girawat ki taraf gaya. Yeh ab uthane walay khameer ki tarah barh rahe hain, lekin is senior season H4 ke dauran is baat ke asaar hain ke ek nayi girawat shuru honay wali hai. Sab se pehle, agar aap target Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par lagayein, toh aap dekhein ge ke pehla target (is grid par level 161.8) aur doosra target (level 200) dono hi hasil kiye ja chuke hain, jo guzishta saal July ke muqabil mein zyada hain. Iske ilawa, senior period ki pehli aur teesri wave (jo zard rang mein numayan ki gayi hai) lagbhag ek hi size ki hain; haqeeqat mein teesri wave bari hai; yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke poora cycle mukammal ho chuka hai. Yeh aam tor par poori ulat ya chauthi wave ki correction ka sabab banta hai. Mazeed yeh ke CCI indicator par triple bearish divergence ya sell signal nazar aaraha hai jo istemal kiya ja raha hai. Senior daily chart par bhi yeh indicator overheated zone se neeche ki taraf utarne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh bhi yaad rakhne ki zarurat hai ke kal ke izafay ne qareeb qareeb price ko resistance level 1.3136 tak pohanchaya, jo ek ahem weekly level hai aur guzishta saal July ka peak hai. Qeemat ko mazeed barhanay ya shayad ulatnay se pehle chauthi wave ki correction zaroori hogi. 1.3036 support level aur do wave bottoms par bani hui upar uthti hui line girawat ke maqasid hain. Aaj ke khabron mein yeh baat qabil-e-zikr hai: pehli bar bekarri ke faidye ke liye darkhwaston ki tadaad aur Moscow time ke mutabiq 15:30 par kul haqdaaran ki tadaad. US service ke business activity index (PMI) ka range 16 se 45 tak hai Neeche GBP/USD ka daily chart diya gaya hai. Bechne walon ki tadaad khareedne walon se kam hai, kyun ke agar aisa hota, toh quote ne pehle hi niche gir jaana hota bajaye ke izafa ho raha hai. Market mein seller hain lekin unka volume khareedne walon ke muqablay mein zyada nahi hai. Jab khareedne walay apni khareedariyan theek karna shuru karenge, toh baat alag hogi, lekin izafa pehle hi dheema ho chuka hai, aur yeh imkaan hai ke aaj khareedari ki theek saazi hogi, aur yeh sellers ke liye raasta kholegi. Yeh pair bahut zyada overbought hai aur iss saal ki qeematon ke muqablay mein mehngi ho chuki hai, isliye aap British ki shorting shuru kar sakte hain. Iss tarah, mojudah qeematon ke ilaqe mein aap har 40-50 points par ek sale ki grid ikathi karna shuru kar sakte hain aur Fibonacci grid ke 38.20% level par is non-rollback movement se nikal sakte hain, jo guzishta haftay hui thi aur jo 150 points se zyada ki non-rollback movement thi, kyun ke aise bulandiyon aur aise mehngi qeematon par is pair ko khareedne ke liye logon ki

Pound Sterling Mein Halka Izafa, US Inflation Report Ke Baad Khud Ko Sambhalte Huye
Thursday ki subah, Pound Sterling ne mazeed izafa banaye rakhne mein kamiyaab raha, yeh izafa US ke taaza inflation report ke baad hua. Yeh report ne sarmaaya kaaron ki umeedon ko mazeed barhaya ke US Federal Reserve apne September ke monetary policy meeting mein interest rates mein kami karna shuru kar sakta hai. Filhal, GBP/USD pair 1.3191 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke pehle ke levels se thoda si tabdeeli darshata hai.

GBP/USD Ke Asliyati Bunyadi Haalaat:

Aane wala Federal Reserve ka meeting Wednesday ko honay jaa raha hai jo ke bazaar ki khasa tawajjo ka markaz hoga. Sarmaaya kaar be sabri se intezaar kar rahe hain kisi bhi aisi nishani ka jo yeh bataye ke Fed apne aglay maali meeting mein, jab Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) September mein dobara milay gi, ek anticipated rate cut implement karne ki tayari kar raha hai. Maujooda bazaar ki umeedein yeh zahiar kar rahi hain ke September 18 ko kam az kam ek quarter-point rate cut hone ke imkanaat hain, jahan CME ka FedWatch Tool 25 basis point cut ke 90% chance aur ek baday cut ke 10% chance ko dikhata hai.

Maali bazaar yeh bhi tawaqqo kar raha hai ke Fed is baat ka izhaar kare ga ke mehengayi ko apne 2% target ke qareeb laye jaane mein khasa progress hasil hui hai, saath hi labor market ki badhti hui fikar par bhi tawajjo di jaaye gi. Yeh izhaar Fed ki interest rates kam karne ki taiyyari ka ishara bhi ho sakta hai. Fed ke policy faislay ke ilawa, sarmaaya kaar US ke maeeshi indicators par bhi ghehri nazar rakhenge, jismein JOLTS Job Openings for June, ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), aur Nonfarm Payrolls data for July shamil hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Wednesday ko pair ne neeche ki taraf test kiya aur 1.3166 ka naya teen din ka low maara. Is ke bawajood, Pound Sterling ke kharidaaron ne mazbooti dikhayi aur pair ko aham 1.3100 mark ke upar rakha. Yeh karan seeza 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2896 ke upar position mein hai aur ab bhi 200-day EMA 1.2701 ke bullish side par trade kar raha hai.

Iss waqt spot price daily timeframe par Rising Channel chart pattern ke neechey wali had ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. 1.3100 ke significant support level ke neechey ke recent drop ne pair ko pressure mein daal diya hai. Iske ilawa, karan 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neechey 1.2945 ke qareeb gir gaya hai, jo ke short-term trend mein potential uncertainty ki taraf ishara karta hai

Aaj humari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par hogi. Jumay ke din, GBP/USD pair apne girawat ko jaari rakhte hue support level 1.3130 par pohonch gayi thi. Aik rebound ka imkaan tha agar pair resistance level 1.3213 ko tor dey ya support 1.3130 ko torne mein nakam ho jaye. Pair ne 1.3130 support ko tor diya tha lekin is level se neeche sustain karne mein mushkil mein thi. Iss tarah, maujooda level se rebound ka risk kam nazar aata hai. Agar 1.3213 tor diya jaye, toh growth ka imkaan 1.3284 ki taraf hosakta hai, lekin naya M15 signal hourly chart ki potential overloads ki wajah se thik se align nahi ho sakta. Behtareen soorat-e-haal yeh hogi ke 1.3130 se neeche break ho, 1.3054 tak pohonch jaye, aur wahan consolidate kare, jis se effective signal processing ke liye mauqa milay. Yeh setup rebound aur potential rise ko support karega 1.3185 tak, aur aagay mazeed gains 1.3501 tak.

Hourly chart par, pair apne maujooda low se rebound ki koshish kar sakti hai, lekin congestion kam hone ki wajah se is move ki urgency kam nazar aati hai. Agar decline 1.3130 support se neeche jaari rehti hai toh agli support 1.3054 ho sakti hai. Agar pair Monday ko aadha din 1.3054 ke aas paas guzaar deti hai, toh hourly moving averages mazeed decline ka signal de sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar pair 1.3130 se upar bounce hoti hai, toh yeh 1.3213 ki taraf ja sakti hai, jis se bullish signal milega. Ideal soorat-e-haal mein, 1.3054 se neeche break ho jaye, aur decline 1.2966 ki taraf chala jaye, lekin yeh four-hour chart par kam mumkin lagta hai. Agar pair 1.3130 se rebound hoti hai lekin 1.3213 ko torne mein nakam hoti hai, toh phir bhi yeh bearish trend mein 1.3054 tak ja sakti hai, taake hourly averages adjust ho jayen. Agar 1.3213 ka breakthrough hota hai, toh yeh mazeed growth ko zahir karega, aur M15 chart par potential bullish signal mil sakta hai. Agar pair M15 bearish signal ko follow karti rahe, toh Monday aur Tuesday tak ye trend jaari reh sakta hai. Agar Tuesday tak signal valid rehta hai, toh pair bullish trend ki taraf switch kar sakti hai, khas tor par agar hourly signal bhi align hota hai.

Early New York trading session mein, spot price ne Dollar ke against 1.3140 ka level cross kar liya. Yeh increase us waqt hui jab pair ne thori weakness face ki, lekin US Dollar ne apni stability wapas hasil ki six-month low se bounce karne ke baad. USD Index, jo ke greenback ka performance six major currencies ke against measure karta hai, ne approximately 101.30 ka ground regain kiya hai.
**GBP/USD Ahem Level par Fed Rate Cut Speculation ke Dauran:**

Iss waqt, yeh pair ek critical juncture par hai, jo ke four-hour timeframe ke Rising Channel chart formation ke lower boundary ke qareeb hai. Historically, is chart pattern ke andar pullback ko market participants buying opportunity ke tor par dekhte hain. Is dauran, latest US ISM Services PMI data July ke liye expectations se zyada achi rahi. Report ne services sector mein expansion ka wapas aanay ka indication diya hai, jahan PMI 48.8 se barhkar 51.4 par agayi hai, jo ke anticipated 51.0 se zyada hai.

US Dollar abhi substantial pressure ke neeche hai, jabke speculation barh rahi hai ke Federal Reserve September mein 50 basis point (bps) rate cut opt kar sakti hai. Traders predict kar rahe hain ke iss saal mein 100 bps se zyada rate cuts bhi ho sakte hain. Yeh forecasts US labor market mein softening conditions aur manufacturing sector activities ke downturn se driven hain.

**H4 Chart GBP/USD ke Resistance aur Key Support Levels:**

Aaj ke trading session mein, pair ne 50-day moving average (DMA) 1.3169 par test kiya lekin low 1.3084 par agaya, uske baad rebound hua. Buyers ne exchange rate ko 1.3100 ke upar wapas push kar diya. Iss recovery ke bawajood, momentum abhi bhi sellers ke haq mein lag raha hai, jaisa ke bearish Relative Strength Index (RSI) se zahir hota hai. Dusri taraf, agar 20-DMA 1.3133 ke upar rise hoti hai, to rally 1.3100 se aage ja sakti hai aur potentially 1.3264 level tak pohanch sakti hai.

Current trend ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke least resistance ka path downward hai. Pair ka initial support 1.3084 par hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to pair 100-DMA 1.3069, aur phir 200-DMA 1.2938 ko test kar sakta hai. Agar weakness barqarar rehti hai, to pair 1.2900 mark tak bhi approach kar sakta hai.

Hamara discussion abhi GBP/USD currency pair ke current pricing behavior par focus kar raha hai. GBP/USD pair ne aaj target support level tak reach nahi kiya, halan ke mein ne 1.3079 ka test anticipate kiya tha. Rebound 1.3084 par hua, jo ke "price noise" ko dekhte hue effectively target ko hit karne ke barabar samjha ja sakta hai. Abhi ka resistance level 1.3114 par hai, jo ke 1.3114 aur 1.3079 ke darmiyan trading range create kar raha hai. Key resistance 1.3129 par hai, aur agar price is level ke upar rise hoti hai, to selling pressure kam ho sakta hai. US stock market mein aaj ke sharp drop ke bawajood, dollar ko thoda support mila, jiski wajah se minor sell-offs dekhnay ko mile.
UK kal apne service sector mein business activity ka data release karega, jabke US apni job openings ke figures publish karega. Expectations ye hain ke UK business activity mein growth hogi, jabke US job vacancies mein decline anticipate kiya ja raha hai. Dekhte hain ke in reports ka market par kya asar hota hai. Mein abhi bhi expect karta hoon ke price 1.3079 ke neeche move karegi aur pair EMA-200 par 1.2964 ki taraf jaayegi.

**Technical Analysis:**

Pound ne bullish trend channel mein ek similar reversal exhibit kiya hai, lekin yeh reversal khud uncertain lagta hai, kyun ke price zyada tar stagnant hai. Yeh movement current market behavior ka ek typical example lagta hai. Price abhi intraday level ke neeche hai ek daily paranormal candle ka, jise yeh already closely test kar chuka hai. Yeh price yahan thoda react kar sakti hai. Agar hum likely price action ko dekhein, to situation kuch is tarah unfold ho sakti hai: recent history ko dekhte hue, next pullback in trend suitable lag raha hai. Kuch aisa hi ab develop ho raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke price downward drift kar sakti hai bearish movement mein, aur bulls momentum lose kar sakte hain.

Accumulation ke baad, price ne ek doji form ki, jo ke bearish pin bar se resemble karti hai, aur uske baad ek small candle—yeh sab H4 chart par hai. In signals ko dekhte hue, mein apni sell positions hold karne ka inclined hoon, kyun ke lagta hai ke price downward slide continue karegi, jo ke bulls ke beech exhaustion ka indication de rahi hai.

Early New York trading session mein, spot price ne Dollar ke against 1.3140 ka level cross kar liya. Yeh increase us waqt hui jab pair ne thori weakness face ki, lekin US Dollar ne apni stability wapas hasil ki six-month low se bounce karne ke baad. USD Index, jo ke greenback ka performance six major currencies ke against measure karta hai, ne approximately 101.30 ka ground regain kiya hai.
**GBP/USD Ahem Level par Fed Rate Cut Speculation ke Dauran:**

Iss waqt, yeh pair ek critical juncture par hai, jo ke four-hour timeframe ke Rising Channel chart formation ke lower boundary ke qareeb hai. Historically, is chart pattern ke andar pullback ko market participants buying opportunity ke tor par dekhte hain. Is dauran, latest US ISM Services PMI data July ke liye expectations se zyada achi rahi. Report ne services sector mein expansion ka wapas aanay ka indication diya hai, jahan PMI 48.8 se barhkar 51.4 par agayi hai, jo ke anticipated 51.0 se zyada hai.

US Dollar abhi substantial pressure ke neeche hai, jabke speculation barh rahi hai ke Federal Reserve September mein 50 basis point (bps) rate cut opt kar sakti hai. Traders predict kar rahe hain ke iss saal mein 100 bps se zyada rate cuts bhi ho sakte hain. Yeh forecasts US labor market mein softening conditions aur manufacturing sector activities ke downturn se driven hain.

**H4 Chart GBP/USD ke Resistance aur Key Support Levels:**

Aaj ke trading session mein, pair ne 50-day moving average (DMA) 1.3169 par test kiya lekin low 1.3084 par agaya, uske baad rebound hua. Buyers ne exchange rate ko 1.3100 ke upar wapas push kar diya. Iss recovery ke bawajood, momentum abhi bhi sellers ke haq mein lag raha hai, jaisa ke bearish Relative Strength Index (RSI) se zahir hota hai. Dusri taraf, agar 20-DMA 1.3133 ke upar rise hoti hai, to rally 1.3100 se aage ja sakti hai aur potentially 1.3264 level tak pohanch sakti hai.

Current trend ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke least resistance ka path downward hai. Pair ka initial support 1.3084 par hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to pair 100-DMA 1.3069, aur phir 200-DMA 1.2938 ko test kar sakta hai. Agar weakness barqarar rehti hai, to pair 1.2900 mark tak bhi approach kar sakta hai.

Recent market movements in the currency pair reflect significant shifts influenced by central bank decisions and economic indicators. Bank of England (BoE) ke recent policy adjustments ke baad, GBP/USD ek 'hammer' candlestick pattern banata nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 2.21% ki kami ke baad aaya. Yeh technical formation potential upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, jisse price 1.3120 level ke upar chadh sakti hai aur 1.3100 mark ko dobara dekh sakti hai. BoE ke borrowing costs ko kam karne ke bawajood, unki policy restrictive hi rahi hai, largely inflation expectations ke 2.25% tak barhane ki wajah se.

Current market dynamics central bank policies aur economic data ke beech ek tug-of-war ko reflect karte hain. Jaise BoE aur Fed apne respective policy paths ko navigate kar rahe hain, GBP/USD traders ko inflation trends aur interest rate adjustments ke further clues ke liye alert rehna chahiye. In developments ke results future market movements aur trading strategies ko impact karenge.

Central Bank Moves: Powell Hints at Rate Cut, Bailey Defends Policy

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne rate cut ke potential ke bare mein hint diya hai agar inflation expectations ke sath align hoti hai, economic growth robust rehta hai, aur labor market apne current trend par rehta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye hain, jo suggest karte hain ke aisa move Fed ke September meeting ke doran consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, yeh apne gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai, ek weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay bade currencies ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak 101.89 par aa gaya hai jo intraday low 100.48 se upar hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ki decision ko defend kiya hai jo policy rate ko 5% par kam kiya gaya. Bailey ne media inquiries ko address karte hue bataya ke minimum wage ka barhna unke perspective se detrimental nahi hai. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karti hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress karti hain, lekin overall inflation trajectory, including potential risks, ab 2% target ke nazdeek hai jo ke pehle ke forecasts ke muqablay mein.

GBP/USD Fluctuates: Asian Session Decline and Key Support Levels in Focus

Asian session ke doran Wednesday ko, GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD ki movement Wednesday ko kaafi zyada barh gayi, jahan price ne pehle ke high value ko break kar diya. Ye baat is cheez ki taraf ishara karti hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi strong hai aur market ke players is currency pair ke prospects ke liye optimistic hain. Jab price previous high ko break kar leti hai, toh aksar is ke baad mazeed upward movement hoti hai, khaaskar agar fundamental ya technical factors is ko support kar rahe hon. Ye increase ye signal de raha hai ke short-term trend bullish direction mein hai, aur main is movement ka faida uthane ka soch raha hoon, lekin ehtiyaat se. Agar High Low price pehle candle ke high aur low values se upar chalti hai, agla step yeh hoga ke main wait karoon ke confirmation milay ke price kya is movement ko maintain kar sakti hai ya nahi. Aise halat mein, mujhe agle resistance levels par tawajju deni chahiye jo ke price test kar sakti hai. Agar price mazeed upar jati hai, toh humko uptrend ka continuation dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Magar agar consolidation ya retracement hoti hai, toh ye samajhna zaroori hoga ke price pehle ke support ko retest karegi ya apna increase jari rakhegi.



H4 time frame mein, price filhal neeche chal rahi hai, jo is cheez ki nishani hai ke short-term trend bullish ho sakta hai. Jab tak price 5-period MA ke upar rehti hai, ye dikhata hai ke buyers abhi bhi market mein dominate kar rahe hain, aur upward momentum kaafi strong hai. 5-period MA dynamic support ka kaam bhi kar sakti hai, jahan price bounce kar sakti hai agar MA ko touch kare. Is halat mein, main buy position mein rehnay ka soch sakta hoon jab tak price MA ko neeche break na kare. Wednesday ki increase ke bawajood, kal ka Low abhi bhi break hone ka potential rakhta hai agar koi achanak correction ya selling pressure aata hai. Ye Low ek ahem support area hai jis par mujhe focus karna chahiye. Agar price neeche wapas jati hai aur Low ke qareeb aati hai, toh ek reversal ya retracement ka chance ho sakta hai. Lekin agar ye Low successfully penetrate ho jata hai, toh ongoing bullish trend apna momentum kho sakta hai, aur sell opportunities samne aa sakti hain.

Pound Sterling Mein Halka Izafa, US Inflation Report Ke Baad Khud Ko Sambhalte Huye
Thursday ki subah, Pound Sterling ne mazeed izafa banaye rakhne mein kamiyaab raha, yeh izafa US ke taaza inflation report ke baad hua. Yeh report ne sarmaaya kaaron ki umeedon ko mazeed barhaya ke US Federal Reserve apne September ke monetary policy meeting mein interest rates mein kami karna shuru kar sakta hai. Filhal, GBP/USD pair 1.3191 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke pehle ke levels se thoda si tabdeeli darshata hai.

GBP/USD Ke Asliyati Bunyadi Haalaat:

Aane wala Federal Reserve ka meeting Wednesday ko honay jaa raha hai jo ke bazaar ki khasa tawajjo ka markaz hoga. Sarmaaya kaar be sabri se intezaar kar rahe hain kisi bhi aisi nishani ka jo yeh bataye ke Fed apne aglay maali meeting mein, jab Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) September mein dobara milay gi, ek anticipated rate cut implement karne ki tayari kar raha hai. Maujooda bazaar ki umeedein yeh zahiar kar rahi hain ke September 18 ko kam az kam ek quarter-point rate cut hone ke imkanaat hain, jahan CME ka FedWatch Tool 25 basis point cut ke 90% chance aur ek baday cut ke 10% chance ko dikhata hai.

Maali bazaar yeh bhi tawaqqo kar raha hai ke Fed is baat ka izhaar kare ga ke mehengayi ko apne 2% target ke qareeb laye jaane mein khasa progress hasil hui hai, saath hi labor market ki badhti hui fikar par bhi tawajjo di jaaye gi. Yeh izhaar Fed ki interest rates kam karne ki taiyyari ka ishara bhi ho sakta hai. Fed ke policy faislay ke ilawa, sarmaaya kaar US ke maeeshi indicators par bhi ghehri nazar rakhenge, jismein JOLTS Job Openings for June, ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), aur Nonfarm Payrolls data for July shamil hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Wednesday ko pair ne neeche ki taraf test kiya aur 1.3166 ka naya teen din ka low maara. Is ke bawajood, Pound Sterling ke kharidaaron ne mazbooti dikhayi aur pair ko aham 1.3100 mark ke upar rakha. Yeh karan seeza 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2896 ke upar position mein hai aur ab bhi 200-day EMA 1.2701 ke bullish side par trade kar raha hai.

Iss waqt spot price daily timeframe par Rising Channel chart pattern ke neechey wali had ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. 1.3100 ke significant support level ke neechey ke recent drop ne pair ko pressure mein daal diya hai. Iske ilawa, karan 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neechey 1.2945 ke qareeb gir gaya hai, jo ke short-term trend mein potential uncertainty ki taraf ishara karta hai

Technical setup ke lehaz se bulls ke liye ihtiyat zaroori hai aur mazeed gains ke liye position lene se pehle sochna chahiye. GBP/USD pair Thursday ke Asian session mein aik choti si range mein ghoom rahi hai aur July 2023 ke baad se apne sabse unche level ke qareeb hai, jo kal 1.3120 area mein touch hua tha. Filhal spot prices 1.3085 ke qareeb trade ho rahi hain, jo din ke lehaz se lagbhag unchanged hain, aur ab traders UK aur US se flash PMIs ka intezar kar rahe hain short-term opportunities ke liye.
Is doran, US Treasury bond yields mein halki si izafa US Dollar (USD) ko Wednesday ko touch ki gayi YTD low se thoda recover karne mein madad de raha hai. Yeh wajah hai jo GBP/USD pair ke liye aik headwind ka kaam kar raha hai, halan ke Bank of England (BoE) ke September mein aur aik interest rate cut ke kam hotay huye chances kuch support de rahe hain. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke zyada aggressive policy easing ke badhte hue chances USD ke gains ko limit karne mein madad dein ge aur currency pair ke losses ko control karne mein bhi madad dein ge.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye, is hafte 1.3000 psychological mark ke upar sustained breakout aur uske baad pehle YTD peak ke qareeb, jo ke 1.3045 area tha, ke upar move ko bullish traders ke liye aik fresh trigger ke tor par dekha gaya hai. Magar daily chart pe oscillators ab overbought zone mein ghusne ke qareeb hain, jo ke near-term consolidation ya aik halki si pullback ke liye intezar karna zaroori banata hai, kisi bhi further appreciating move ke liye position lene se pehle. Phir bhi, bias mazid bulls ke haqq mein hi hai. Is liye, agar yeh pair 1.3050-1.3045 region ke qareeb halki si slide kare, to ise buying opportunity samjha ja sakta hai aur 1.3000 ke round figure ke qareeb cushioned reh sakta hai. Yeh level aik ahem pivotal point ke tor par kaam karega, jo agar decisively break ho jaye to kuch technical selling ko trigger kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD pair ko agle relevant support ke qareeb 1.2950 area tak le ja sakta hai jo ke 1.2900 mark ke raaste mein hoga. Agar yeh support levels defend karne mein nakam rahta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke spot prices near term mein top out ho chuki hain aur ek meaningful corrective decline ke raste ko paves kar sakti hain

GBP/USD Pair Technical Analysis

GBP/USD pair ne do din ke liye downtrend ka samna kiya, jismein price 1.3200 level ke neeche chala gaya. Yeh reversal un bullish momentum se mukhtalif tha jo pichle kuch hafton se market mein dekhne ko mil raha tha. UK se kisi significant economic data ka na hona aur US ke mazboot economic indicators ne dollar ke haq mein balance ko jhuka diya hai. Filhal, pair 1.3151 par trade kar raha hai aur downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Technical analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke July 17 ko set kiya gaya session high 1.3043 ke level tak further decline ho sakta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 level se neeche aa gaya hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke bulls ka momentum kam ho raha hai. Bearish trend ko continue karne ke liye, sellers ko 1.3100 aur 1.3050 support levels ko torhna hoga. Agar yeh levels successfully break ho jaate hain, toh price March 8 ka daily high 1.2893 ko target kar sakta hai.

Salam subhu ka waqt mubarak ho! Jabke wahan growth par ek objective weekly scale par baat ki gayi hai, aaj ka focus decline par hai, aur yeh ziada likely hai ke aaj yeh hi hoga. Dekhna yeh hai ke aaj kya hota hai. GBP/USD ka situation mukhtalif charts par apni alag tasveer de raha hai, bilkul aise jaise different websites par weather forecast mukhtalif hota hai. Lekin 4-hour chart ek reference point ka kaam kar raha hai. Yahaan volumes bearish sales zone mein decline karna shuru hue hain, lekin growth index—jo movement ke direction ka primary indication hai—wo downside ki taraf ek slight correction ko show kar raha hai jabke kal ke bullish highs se decline hua tha. Aur yeh wazeh taur par aage further consolidation aur stabilization ko point karta hai, yesterday ke highs ke qareeb, jo 1.31500/1.32200 ke aas paas hain. Yeh steady ya sideways decline ka imkaan day raha hai pound sterling ke value mein. GBP/USD ne kal apni direction di thi; aaj ka focus southward movement par hai jo 1.31275 ke daily resistance zone mein hai, lekin usse pehle price 1.31900 tak upar jaane ke baad wapas 1.32190 tak barh sakta hai. Asal mein, daily volumes ek downward correction ko show kar rahe hain jo ek fall mein tabdeel ho sakti hai. Mera khayal hai ke aaj ka GBP/USD price action aane wale hafte ke liye direction ko determine karega. Technical terms mein, downhill movement ko din ke doran pasand kiya ja raha hai; American session mein ek upward jump mumkin hai, jabke ek proper decline stress wala ho sakta hai.