gbp/usd

GBP/USD ke exchange rate mein do din ki girawat hui, jo North American session mein Friday ko 1.3150 se neeche chali gayi. Yeh neeche ki taraf movement U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data ke release ke baad hui, jo July ke liye ummeed se dheemi aayi. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) 101.50 se upar chala gaya, jo U.S. dollar ki taqat ko chhey badi currencies ke against reflect kar raha hai.

PCE inflation report se maloom hua ke core inflation, jo volatile khoraak aur energy ke daam ko exclude karta hai, 2.6% bara, jo anticipated 2.6% se neeche raha. Mahwari tor par core inflation mein 0.2% izafa hua, jo expectations ke mutabiq hai. Tareekhi tor par, PCE inflation data Federal Reserve ke interest rate ke faislon mein ahem kirdar adaa karta raha hai. Lekin is martaba, core inflation data se market ke spekulasyon par limited asar ki tawaqqo hai ke Fed ke rate cuts ki raah ki taraf.

Abhi officials U.S. labor market ki taqat ke mumkin khatron par tashweesh ka izhaar kar rahe hain, jab ke yaqeen barh raha hai ke inflation Fed ke 2% target ki taraf girti rahegi. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apni speech mein Jackson Hole (JH) symposium mein pichlay hafta, risks ke balance mein shift ko highlight kiya. Dusre Fed policymakers ne bhi yeh ishara diya ke agar labor market mein tez girawat ke mazeed saboot milay, toh Fed apne key borrowing rate mein khasa cut lagane se hichkichaega nahi.

Financial market participants is waqt tawaqqo kar rahe hain ke Fed September mein rate cuts shuru karne par taqriban yaqini hai. Lekin, PCE inflation data se price pressures mein aane wale istahkam ke asaraat ne aggressive policy easing cycle par lagaye gaye bets ko thanda kar diya hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 50 basis point rate cut ki probability 36% se kam ho kar 30.5% tak aagai hai.

GBP/USD apni correction ko 1.3150 ke neeche extend kar raha hai, jab ke woh 1.3200 level ke qareeb barhna mein nakaam raha. Is ke bawajood, near-term outlook GBP/USD ka positive hai jab ke weekly time frame par ascending channel chart pattern ko break kiya. Agar bullish momentum jaari rehti hai, toh GBP/USD se tawaqqo hai ke psychological resistance 1.3500 aur February 4, 2022 ke high 1.3640 tak pahunch sakta hai, jab ke naya 2.5 saal ka high 1.3266 ko break kiya. 20-week exponential moving average (EMA) 1.3000 level ke qareeb aa raha hai, jo ke mazboot uptrend ko zahir karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 aur 80.00 ke bullish range mein oscillate kar raha hai, jo ke strong bullish momentum ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin, yeh ab bhi overbought levels ke qareeb hai, jo 70.00 ke aas paas hai, jis se pullback ki imkanat barh jati hain. Neeche ki taraf, 1.3000 ka psychological level GBP bulls ke liye main support rahega.

Currency global tor par dekhi jaye to impulsive candle ke range mein hai. Bearish sentiment ki taqat moving average indicator se zahir ho rahi hai. Jab tak indicator reverse signal nahi deta, sirf girawat ka mauqa hai. GBP-USD currency pair is waqt H1 chart par correctional level -1.313 par trade ho raha hai. Currency ki qeemat ke mazeed girne ke liye Correction Zone - 1.316 ka break hona zaroori hai. Iss price action se sabse ahem borders 1.317 tak ka price channel khul jayega. Consolidation sellers ki taqat ko validate karega. Iske ilawa, mein mukhalif rujhan ke imkaniyat ko bhi nazarandaz nahi karta, jo ke mark -1.314 se shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin, iske liye buyer ko trend line ko torna hoga, jo ke upar hai aur Bulls ke liye challenge paish kar raha hai. Pehla level, 1.337 ya to beech mein maximum banega ya phir rasta band karne wali rukawat banega jab upward trend develop hoga.

RSI aur TMA (Triangular Moving Average) indicators ke hawalay se dekha jaye to market is waqt buyers ki taraf move ke liye anticipate kar raha hai aur sellers ki taqat kamzor ho rahi hai. Heiken Ashi candles, jo conventional candles ke mukablay mein smooth ya averaged price value dikhatay hain, technical analysis ko samajhna asaan banatay hain aur trading decisions ko zyada accurate banatay hain. TMA channel indicator, jo ke red, blue, aur yellow lines par mushtamil hai, instrument ki mojudah movement ke limits show karta hai aur twice smoothed moving averages se support aur resistance lines construct karta hai.

Hourly timeframe par, abhi hamaray paas paanch asal waves hain, jinhein maine red arrows se mark kiya hai. Haan, structure mazeed niche continue kar sakta hai aur wave extensions ke sath mukhtalif pattern bana sakta hai, lekin abhi ke liye hamaray paas asal mein paanch waves hain. Yeh paanch waves ek exception mein fall karte hain, kyun ke chothi wave pehli wave ke zone mein enter hoti hai. Lekin, yeh aam tor par correction mein hota hai, aur pound ke case mein, hum waqayi correction mein hain. Yahan reversal ka koi sign nahi hai, aur mein recommend nahi karta ke "head and shoulders" pattern ko kaam mein lane ki koshish ki jaye. Agar sell signal H4 par moving averages ke basis par aata bhi hai, to yeh zaroori nahi ke market reversal ko zahir kare. Yeh signal itne lambe uptrend ke baad pehla hoga, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke pehla signal tayyar hoga play hone ke liye. Aam tor par, hum pound par nazar rakh rahe hain aur sells ya buys mein jaldi nahi kar rahe. Jaise ke practice se maloom hota hai, sells ke signals is waqt M15 par behtar kaam kar rahe hain, lekin kabhi kabhi buys ke liye bhi.

Sterling ne zyadah tar major currencies ke muqablay mein kamzor perform kiya hai, Australian Dollar (AUD) aur New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ke siwa. Yeh kamzori GBP par barhtay huay pressure ko reflect karti hai, jahan market analysts yeh tawako kar rahe hain ke BoE August mein policy normalization ki taraf ja sakta hai. Iske baraks, tawako yeh hai ke US Federal Reserve apni July meeting mein current rates ko barqarar rakhay ga, lekin September mein apni monetary policy ko ease karne ka aaghaaz kar sakta hai, jiss se Federal Funds Rate 5.00%-5.25% range tak girne ke imkaan hain. Inflationary pressures ke signs ke bawajood, market ne in concerns ko largely dismiss kiya hai aur risk-on sentiment ko prefer kiya hai. Yeh shift un umeedon se driven hai jo rate cut ke aane ki hai. CME FedWatch Tool yeh indicate karta hai ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) 31 July ko rates ko steady rakhne ke liye 100% ka imkaan hai. Lekin, markets mein FOMC ke taraf se 18 September ko kam az kam 25-basis-point ka rate cut price ho raha hai, jabke kuch logon ke liye zyada optimistic ho kar 50-bps reduction ka 12% chance bhi hai GBP/USD D1 chart par, aaj ki market activity UK mein chutti ke sabab se relatively stagnant hai. Guzishta trading week mein bearish success ke liye zyada mauqay nahi mile; chotay intraday corrections ko bhi kafi mehnat lagi. Pair ne jack ki tarah upar chadha, lekin aisa laga ke ab niche girne wala hai. Thursday ki candle ne, jo ke inverted hammer jaisi thi, potential decline ki taraf ishaara kiya. Market poore din flat raha, shayad upar se niche correction ke liye sellers ka ek group accumulate kar raha tha. Lekin, yeh expectation mukhtasar arsay ke liye thi kyun ke United States se Friday ko significant news ayi thi. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke address aur US mein new home sales ke announcement ne price mein sharply surge kar diya, jiss se kayi stop losses trigger hue aur kayi accounts ko impact kiya. Yeh movement pound ki taraf nahi thi; balki, US dollar market mein kafi kamzor ho gaya

Pound Sterling Mein Halka Izafa, US Inflation Report Ke Baad Khud Ko Sambhalte Huye
Thursday ki subah, Pound Sterling ne mazeed izafa banaye rakhne mein kamiyaab raha, yeh izafa US ke taaza inflation report ke baad hua. Yeh report ne sarmaaya kaaron ki umeedon ko mazeed barhaya ke US Federal Reserve apne September ke monetary policy meeting mein interest rates mein kami karna shuru kar sakta hai. Filhal, GBP/USD pair 1.3191 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke pehle ke levels se thoda si tabdeeli darshata hai.

GBP/USD Ke Asliyati Bunyadi Haalaat:

Aane wala Federal Reserve ka meeting Wednesday ko honay jaa raha hai jo ke bazaar ki khasa tawajjo ka markaz hoga. Sarmaaya kaar be sabri se intezaar kar rahe hain kisi bhi aisi nishani ka jo yeh bataye ke Fed apne aglay maali meeting mein, jab Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) September mein dobara milay gi, ek anticipated rate cut implement karne ki tayari kar raha hai. Maujooda bazaar ki umeedein yeh zahiar kar rahi hain ke September 18 ko kam az kam ek quarter-point rate cut hone ke imkanaat hain, jahan CME ka FedWatch Tool 25 basis point cut ke 90% chance aur ek baday cut ke 10% chance ko dikhata hai.

Maali bazaar yeh bhi tawaqqo kar raha hai ke Fed is baat ka izhaar kare ga ke mehengayi ko apne 2% target ke qareeb laye jaane mein khasa progress hasil hui hai, saath hi labor market ki badhti hui fikar par bhi tawajjo di jaaye gi. Yeh izhaar Fed ki interest rates kam karne ki taiyyari ka ishara bhi ho sakta hai. Fed ke policy faislay ke ilawa, sarmaaya kaar US ke maeeshi indicators par bhi ghehri nazar rakhenge, jismein JOLTS Job Openings for June, ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), aur Nonfarm Payrolls data for July shamil hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Wednesday ko pair ne neeche ki taraf test kiya aur 1.3166 ka naya teen din ka low maara. Is ke bawajood, Pound Sterling ke kharidaaron ne mazbooti dikhayi aur pair ko aham 1.3100 mark ke upar rakha. Yeh karan seeza 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2896 ke upar position mein hai aur ab bhi 200-day EMA 1.2701 ke bullish side par trade kar raha hai.

Iss waqt spot price daily timeframe par Rising Channel chart pattern ke neechey wali had ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. 1.3100 ke significant support level ke neechey ke recent drop ne pair ko pressure mein daal diya hai. Iske ilawa, karan 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neechey 1.2945 ke qareeb gir gaya hai, jo ke short-term trend mein potential uncertainty ki taraf ishara karta hai

British Pound abhi 1.3200 ke qareeb US Dollar ke muqable mein stable hai jab ke traders US ke aanay walay economic data par nazar rakhay hue hain, khas tor par Core PCE Price Index, GDP estimates, aur Initial Jobless Claims. Khaas tor par Core PCE data important hai kyun ke yeh Fed ke aglay qadam ke baray mein umeedon ko shape kar sakta hai. Agar yeh data zyada strong hota hai, to chhoti rate cut ki umeed ho sakti hai jo USD ko mazid strong karega aur GBP/USD par pressure dalega.
Aaj ka economic data bara ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar PCE aur GDP expect se zyada strong hotay hain, to yeh aggressive Fed rate cuts ki umeedon ko kam kar sakta hai, jis se US Dollar mazid strong hoga aur Pound ke liye khatar ho sakte hain. Iske baraks, UK economy bhi focus mein hai jab ke Bank of England ke dosray rate cut par speculation ho rahi hai. In factors ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ne 1.3200 ke qareeb resilience dikhayi hai.

Technical indicators abhi bhi pair ke liye potential upside ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin is kaafi kuch aaj ke US data par depend karta hai. Investors khaas tor par Core PCE inflation report mein interested hain, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke near-term mein key driver ban sakta hai. Result ke hisaab se, ya to pair 1.3500 ki taraf break kar sakta hai ya phir nayi selling pressure ka samna kar sakta hai.

British Pound ne 1.3200 ke level ke qareeb stability hasil kar li hai, lekin is ki agay ki direction ziada tar US ke aanay walay economic data par munhasir hai, khaas tor par Core PCE inflation report par. Yeh data market sentiment ko influence karne mein bara kirdar ada karega aur Pound ke aglay move ko drive karega. Is uncertainty ko barhawa Bank of England ke potential rate cut se mil raha hai, jo traders ke liye mazeed complexity paida kar raha hai.

Lower time frame chart par, British Pound par kuch downward pressure hai, lekin optimism ki ehsaas hai kyun ke is ne recovery ki signs dikhayi hain. Bulls se umeed hai ke woh dobara control hasil karenge aur GBP/USD pair mein bullish trend ko re-establish karenge. Traders ko in developments par kareebi nazar rakhni hogi taake apni strategies ko accordingly adjust kar sakein.

Hum is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ki live analysis kar rahe hain. 1.2445 ke low se shuru hone wale upward momentum ke doran GBP/USD buyers ne pair ko doosray impulse zone mein dhakel diya, jisse foran hi bearish reaction trigger hui. Filhaal H4 chart par pound-dollar pair ke liye critical level 1.3197 hai. Agar buyers is level se upar price ko phir se push karte hain, toh uptrend resume ho sakta hai, aur resistance 1.3265 ko todne ki doosri koshish ho sakti hai. Lekin agar bears 1.3197 se neechay price ko rok lete hain, toh GBP/USD ka price pehle impulse zone ke upper boundary ki taraf girega, jo 1.3071 aur 1.3023 ke qareeb hai, jahan se potential upward movements ubhar sakti hain.

Aaj ke trading session ka close 1.3197 level ke qareeb dekhna bohot zaroori hai. H4 chart par abhi tak koi reversal ka asar nazar nahi aata kyun ke ab tak kisi pullback ne strong growth ko correct nahi kiya ya koi wazeh minimum establish nahi kiya. Iss waqt, sirf ek zyada substantial pullback hi likely lagta hai.

Upward correction aur level analysis bohot precise rahe. Plan ke mutabiq, pullback green level 1.3244 ko cross nahi kar saka. Price ne iss raaste ko bilkul follow kiya: pullback liya, level ko cross nahi kiya, aur foran downward move kar gaya. Yeh sell karne ke liye ek ideal condition thi, khaaskar ek sirf 34 points ka stop loss ke sath—yeh moka chhorna mushkil tha. Aaj ka nateeja bohot successful raha. Kal, jab ek anticipated upward correction ke baad, ek aur push downward kiya jaaye, toh ideally 1.3149 level tak consider karna chahiye. Lekin euro ke farq ke bawajood, pound ne kal naye highs achieve kiye, jo ek naye reference point banate hain, halan ke aaj ke price action ne GBP/USD ko Friday ke growth ka poora faida uthana nahi diya. Main umeed karta hoon ke kal subah ya din ke aghaz mein ek slight bounce upward ho sakta hai, jo 1.3149 level ki taraf ek mazboot decline ka raasta saaf karega. Kal ki khabar, khaaskar U.S. GDP data, ek bohot bara movement ko trigger kar sakta hai.

British Pound abhi 1.3200 ke qareeb US Dollar ke muqable mein stable hai jab ke traders US ke aanay walay economic data par nazar rakhay hue hain, khas tor par Core PCE Price Index, GDP estimates, aur Initial Jobless Claims. Khaas tor par Core PCE data important hai kyun ke yeh Fed ke aglay qadam ke baray mein umeedon ko shape kar sakta hai. Agar yeh data zyada strong hota hai, to chhoti rate cut ki umeed ho sakti hai jo USD ko mazid strong karega aur GBP/USD par pressure dalega.
Aaj ka economic data bara ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar PCE aur GDP expect se zyada strong hotay hain, to yeh aggressive Fed rate cuts ki umeedon ko kam kar sakta hai, jis se US Dollar mazid strong hoga aur Pound ke liye khatar ho sakte hain. Iske baraks, UK economy bhi focus mein hai jab ke Bank of England ke dosray rate cut par speculation ho rahi hai. In factors ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ne 1.3200 ke qareeb resilience dikhayi hai.

Technical indicators abhi bhi pair ke liye potential upside ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin is kaafi kuch aaj ke US data par depend karta hai. Investors khaas tor par Core PCE inflation report mein interested hain, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke near-term mein key driver ban sakta hai. Result ke hisaab se, ya to pair 1.3500 ki taraf break kar sakta hai ya phir nayi selling pressure ka samna kar sakta hai.

British Pound ne 1.3200 ke level ke qareeb stability hasil kar li hai, lekin is ki agay ki direction ziada tar US ke aanay walay economic data par munhasir hai, khaas tor par Core PCE inflation report par. Yeh data market sentiment ko influence karne mein bara kirdar ada karega aur Pound ke aglay move ko drive karega. Is uncertainty ko barhawa Bank of England ke potential rate cut se mil raha hai, jo traders ke liye mazeed complexity paida kar raha hai.

Lower time frame chart par, British Pound par kuch downward pressure hai, lekin optimism ki ehsaas hai kyun ke is ne recovery ki signs dikhayi hain. Bulls se umeed hai ke woh dobara control hasil karenge aur GBP/USD pair mein bullish trend ko re-establish karenge. Traders ko in developments par kareebi nazar rakhni hogi taake apni strategies ko accordingly adjust kar sakein

Hello, dost! Umeed hai aapka trading din acha guzray!

GBP/USD pair mujhe badhati hui drawdown mein le ja rahi hai. Dekhna hoga ke bulls kab tak control mein reh sakte hain, khaas kar FOMC minutes ke aanay se pehle jo ke aakhri meeting ke hain.

Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.

Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.

Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.

Market ke reaction ko support level par nazar rakhain aur apni trading strategy ko ussi ke mutabiq adjust karne ke liye tayyar rahain

Pound Sterling Ki Price Action Par Nazar
Pound Sterling (GBP) ne 1.3150 ke qareeb bounce back kiya jab US Dollar (USD) July ke core PCE inflation data ke intezaar mein thanda trade kar raha hai. Sarmaaya kaaron ko umeed hai ke annual core PCE inflation June ke 2.6% se badh kar 2.7% ho jayegi. Bank of England (BoE) ki policy easing ki raftaar apne bade peers se dheemi hone ki tawaqqo hai.

Pound Sterling (GBP) ne 1.3150 ke qareeb support dhunda jab do din ki sell-off ke baad US Dollar ke muqable mein Friday ki London session mein zameen haasil ki. GBP/USD pair mein izafa hua hai kyunke US Dollar United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) ke data ke release hone se pehle sust performance dikhata hai, jo 12:30 GMT par shaaya kiya jayega. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki value ko chhe badi currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, halka sa gir kar 101.30 par aa gaya hai.

Maeeshat daan yeh tawaqqo karte hain ke annual core PCE inflation, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, June ke 2.6% se barh kar 2.7% tak pohanch gayi hai, jabke mahina dar mahina figures mein 0.2% ka mustahkam izafa ho raha hai.

Taareekhi tor par, PCE inflation data ka asar hamesha se zyada raha hai kyunke yeh Federal Reserve (Fed) ka pasandeeda inflation gauge hota hai jo ke mafaad ke faisalon mein madad karta hai. Is dafa, asar mehdood rehne ki umeed hai jab tak ke data mein kisi wazeh inhiraf ya pehlay ke mukable mein koi bara farq na ho.

Zyada itminan ke saath ke inflation sustainable tor par Fed ke 2% target tak jaye gi, afsar ab US labor market ki mazoor hoti hui soorat-e-haal ke risk par zyada fikrmand hain. "Humare mandate ke risks ka tawazun badal gaya hai", Fed ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne pichlay haftay Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein apne khitab mein kaha. Kuch aur Fed policymakers ne bhi yeh ishara diya hai ke central bank mein kisi bhi shadeed girawat ke case mein badi jald key borrowing rates ko aggressively kam karne mein hichkichaahat nahi hogi.

Filhaal, maali bazaar ke participants yeh tawaqqo karte hain ke September mein Fed ke interest rates kam karne ka taqreeban yaqini imkaan hai. Lekin, traders iss baat par mutafarriq hain ke Fed policy easing ko shuru karte waqt kitna interest rate kam karega. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, September mein 50-basis-points (bps) ki interest-rate reduction ki sambhaavna 32.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ki cut ko tarjeeh dete hain.

Pound Sterling ne ek mild correction ke baad 1.3150 ke aas-paas se US Dollar ke muqable mein rebound kiya. GBP/USD pair ka near-term appeal abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunke yeh weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation ke breakout ko barqarar rakhta hai. Agar bullish momentum barqarar rehti hai, toh Cable se tawaqqo hai ke yeh 1.3500 ke psychological resistance aur 4 February, 2022 ke high 1.3640 ko target karega jab yeh US Dollar ke muqable mein 1.3266 ke fresh do saal se zyada ke high se upar break karta hai.

Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.3000 ek strong upside trend ki taraf ishara karta hai.

14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00-80.00 ke bullish range mein oscillate karta hai, jo ek strong upside momentum ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin, yeh 70.00 ke aas-paas overbought levels ke qareeb hai, jo corrective pullback ke chances ko barhata hai. Downside par, 1.3000 ka psychological level Pound Sterling bulls ke liye ek ahem support hoga.

British Pound abhi 1.3200 ke qareeb US Dollar ke muqable mein stable hai jab ke traders US ke aayan walay economic data par nazar rakhay hue hain, khas tor par Core PCE Price Index, GDP estimates, aur Initial Jobless Claims. Khaas tor par Core PCE data important hai kyun ke yeh Fed ke aglay qadam ke baray mein umeedon ko shape kar sakta hai. Agar yeh data zyada strong hota hai, to chhoti rate cut ki umeed ho sakti hai jo USD ko mazid strong karega aur GBP/USD par pressure dalega. Aaj ka economic data bara ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar PCE aur GDP expect se zyada strong hotay hain, to yeh aggressive Fed rate cuts ki umeedon ko kam kar sakta hai, jis se US Dollar mazid strong hoga aur Pound ke liye khatar ho sakte hain. Iske baraks, UK economy bhi focus mein hai jab ke Bank of England ke dosray rate cut par speculation ho rahi hai. In factors ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ne 1.3200 ke qareeb resilience dikhayi hai.

Technical indicators abhi bhi pair ke liye potential upside ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin is kaafi kuch aaj ke US data par depend karta hai. Investors khaas tor par Core PCE inflation report mein interested hain, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke near-term mein key driver ban sakta hai. Result ke hisaab se, ya to pair 1.3500 ki taraf break kar sakta hai ya phir nayi selling pressure ka samna kar sakta hai.

British Pound ne 1.3200 ke level ke qareeb stability hasil kar li hai, lekin is ki agay ki direction ziyata tar US ke aayan walay economic data par munhasir hai, khaas tor par Core PCE inflation report par. Yeh data market sentiment ko influence karne mein bara kirdar ada karega aur Pound ke aglay move ko drive karega. Is uncertainty ko barhawa Bank of England ke potential rate cut se mil raha hai, jo traders ke liye mazeed complexity paida kar raha hai

GBPUSD currency pair kal ke trading mein mazid mazboot hui, jab market subah band hui, to D1 time frame par ek bullish candle bani aur abhi iska price 1.2853 hai, jo pichle din ke opening price se zyada hai. Is waqt daily candle MA 200 line ke upar hai aur MA 24 line ke range mein hai. Stochastic indicator 5.3.3 bhi level 80 ke upar hai jo pehle level se niche tha. Is wajah se GBPUSD currency pair ka bullish trend aaj bhi barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. Dosri taraf, fundamentals ki baat karein to USD index abhi bhi pressure mein hai, halanki raat ko release hui news data positive thi, magar market band hone se pehle phir se kamzor ho gaya, jiski wajah se kuch aur trading instruments mazboot hue hain. Technical aur fundamental analysis ke madde nazar, aaj GBPUSD currency pair ke bullish trend ko continue karne ka ummeed hai. Aaj ke trading plan ke liye, main current price 1.2853 par buy order place karunga, profit target 1.2883 rakhoonga aur stop loss 1.2823 par rakhoonga. Lot volume ko apne trading account ki resilience ke mutabiq adjust karunga. Yeh trading journal update subah ke liye hai, umeed hai ke yeh useful hai aur doston ko samajh aayega.

Pichle waqt mein bhi GBPUSD ki girawat kaafi gehri thi kyun ke GBPUSD ne h1 support ko 1.2821 par penetrate kiya. Lekin yeh girawat zyada der tak nahi chali, kyunki 1.2807 area ko touch karne ke baad movement phir se upar hui. Upar diye gaye tasveer se lagta hai ke GBPUSD ab bhi upar ki taraf badega kyunki candle ab bhi MA 200 ke upar hai aur ab candle ne MA 24 line ko bhi penetrate kar liya hai. Aaj Friday ko mera prediction hai ke GBPUSD phir se upar ki taraf barhne ka chance hai kyunki 1.2807 ka RBS area niche penetrate nahi ho paya. Isliye, jo log is pair mein trade karte hain, unhein buy positions par focus karna chahiye. Take profit target ko nearest resistance 1.2937 par rakhein aur stop loss ko nearest support 1.2791 par rakhein.

H4 timeframe chart par yeh nazar aata hai ke AUDUSD ki price movement pichlay mahine se trading mein bullish candlesticks se dominate ho rahi hai yaani ke yeh ek upward trend ki taraf ja rahi hai. Agar August ke shuru mein candlestick abhi bhi yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke neeche thi, lekin is mahine ke dauran yeh uske upar chali gayi hai. Is surat-e-haal ki wajah se har roz price position higher level par close ho rahi hai, jo ke market conditions ke bullish trend ki taraf janay ka ishara hai.
Is technical analysis ke liye mazeed data ke tor par, maine Relative Strength Index (14) ke Lime Line se bhi instructions dekhi hain, jo ke level 70 ke kareeb hai. Yeh is baat ka signal hai ke market ek strong bullish state mein hai. MACD indicator (12,26,29) par bhi yellow line toot kar upar ki taraf jana shuru ho gayi hai aur histogram bar ki shakal barh rahi hai, jo ke yeh signal deti hai ke market abhi bhi buyers ke kabze mein hai. Saath hi yeh bhi nazar aata hai ke candlestick abhi bhi Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar play kar rahi hai, jo ke yeh idea deti hai ke market upar ki taraf ja raha hai.

Nateeja:

Market conditions ki reading ki buniyad par jo ke kayi indicators se li gayi hai, sab yeh dikhate hain ke daily aur H4 timeframes par market trend abhi bhi bullish hai aur iske upward movement ke jari rehne ki umeed hai. Mere khayal mein, BUY trading position kholna kafi moqa farahem kar sakta hai jo ke aagay chal kar faida bhi de sakta hai, lekin is baat ka bhi khayal rakhna zaroori hai ke ideal candlestick position ke liye intezaar kiya jaye jab tak price 0.6825 ke level tak na barh jaye. Agla bullish target level 0.6875 par rakh sakte hain, aur stop loss level 0.6790 ke price level par set kiya ja sakta hai.

**British Pound (GBP) aur US Dollar (USD) Analysis in Roman Urdu**

Jumeraat ke din British Pound (GBP) ne thori si rahat hasil ki aur New York trading session mein key level 1.2600 ke thoda upar support mil gaya. Yeh development us waqt hui jab US Dollar (USD) mein thori si pullback nazar ayi, halan ke US Dollar Index (DXY) ne nai 8-week high ko touch kiya tha jo 1.0610 ke qareeb tha. Lekin, investors mein ehtiyaat ab bhi barqarar hai kyun ke Jummah ke din crucial US inflation data release hone wala hai. Federal Reserve Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) ko inflation ke tor par apni pasandeeda gauge ke tor par dekhta hai. Yeh data Jummah ko release hone ki umeed hai, aur ye shayad dikhaye ke May mein price increases April ke muqablay mein slow ho gayi hain. Agar inflation ka reading cool aata hai, to USD kamzor ho sakta hai aur GBP ko faida mil sakta hai. Lekin, US se aanewali positive economic signals ki wajah se GBP ka upside ab bhi limited lagta hai.

Taza data ke mutabiq, unemployment claims ke numbers expectations se kam aaye hain aur durable goods orders mein bhi unexpected uptick hui hai. Yeh numbers US economy ki underlying strength ko zahir karte hain, jis se investor sentiment USD par ab bhi bullish hai.

Agar GBP/USD apni ground kho deta hai aur immediate support level 1.2655 ke neeche gir jata hai, to shayad ye ek martaba phir one-month low 1.2620 ko retest kare. Agar mazeed decline hoti hai, to significant support level 1.2598 bhi play mein aa sakta hai, jo ke iss saal ke pehle half mein kaafi mazboot tha. Dusri taraf, agar GBP rally karta hai to shayad resistance zone 1.2771 ko challenge kare, jo ke 2024 ke pehle do mahine mein establish hua tha. Agar yeh area decisively break hota hai, to shayad 1.2816-1.2859 range ka test ho sakta hai. Yeh zone three-month high ke liye represent karta hai aur December 2023 ke peak ke saath coincide karta hai. Agar yeh range break hoti hai, to shayad GBP/USD wapas 2024 ke high 1.2892 ki taraf laut jaye.

Overall, GBP/USD ne apne recent decline ko 50-day moving average ke qareeb roka, lekin sustained reversal ke liye outlook ab bhi uncertain hai. GBP ko apne recent downtrend se clear break dikhana hoga taake positive trajectory establish ho sake. Aane wale Jummah ko release hone wala US inflation data is situation mein aik key turning point ban sakta hai. Agar inflation ka r

British Pound abhi 1.3200 ke qareeb US Dollar ke muqable mein stable hai jab ke traders US ke aanay walay economic data par nazar rakhay hue hain, khas tor par Core PCE Price Index, GDP estimates, aur Initial Jobless Claims. Khaas tor par Core PCE data important hai kyun ke yeh Fed ke aglay qadam ke baray mein umeedon ko shape kar sakta hai. Agar yeh data zyada strong hota hai, to chhoti rate cut ki umeed ho sakti hai jo USD ko mazid strong karega aur GBP/USD par pressure dalega. Aaj ka economic data bara ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar PCE aur GDP expect se zyada strong hotay hain, to yeh aggressive Fed rate cuts ki umeedon ko kam kar sakta hai, jis se US Dollar mazid strong hoga aur Pound ke liye khatar ho sakte hain. Iske baraks, UK economy bhi focus mein hai jab ke Bank of England ke dosray rate cut par speculation ho rahi hai. In factors ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ne 1.3200 ke qareeb resilience dikhayi hai.

Technical indicators abhi bhi pair ke liye potential upside ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin is kaafi kuch aaj ke US data par depend karta hai. Investors khaas tor par Core PCE inflation report mein interested hain, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke near-term mein key driver ban sakta hai. Result ke hisaab se, ya to pair 1.3500 ki taraf break kar sakta hai ya phir nayi selling pressure ka samna kar sakta hai.

British Pound ne 1.3200 ke level ke qareeb stability hasil kar li hai, lekin is ki agay ki direction ziada tar US ke aanay walay economic data par munhasir hai, khaas tor par Core PCE inflation report par. Yeh data market sentiment ko influence karne mein bara kirdar ada karega aur Pound ke aglay move ko drive karega. Is uncertainty ko barhawa Bank of England ke potential rate cut se mil raha hai, jo traders ke liye mazeed complexity paida kar raha hai.

Lower time frame chart par, British Pound par kuch downward pressure hai, lekin optimism ki ehsaas hai kyun ke is ne recovery ki signs dikhayi hain. Bulls se umeed hai ke woh dobara control hasil karenge aur GBP/USD pair mein bullish trend ko re-establish karenge. Traders ko in developments par kareebi nazar rakhni hogi taake apni strategies ko accordingly adjust kar sakein.

Daily Trading Mein EUR/USD Market Pair Ka Tajaaziya

Kal Tuesday ke din buyers ne market ko kamyabi se apne qabze mein kar liya tha. Buyers ne sellers ko peeche hata kar price ko bullish banaya, jab sellers ne price ko neeche le jaane ki koshish ki thi lekin wo 1.1155-1.1158 ki support area ko break nahi kar sake. Yeh support area sellers ne mazbooti se pakar rakha tha, jise buyers ne strong bullish pressure ke liye istemal kiya aur price ko wapas upar le aaye.

Moving Average indicator ko Daily time frame par dekhte hue yeh nazar aata hai ke price ya candle abhi bhi MA 50 Red area ke upar hai, jiska price range 1.0885-1.0887 hai. Yeh kaafi door hai jo ke is baat ki nishani hai ke market abhi bhi technically bullish trend mein hai. Lekin buyers ka seller ke resistance area ko breach karne mein naakami ke baad, jo ke sellers ne achhi tarah se guard kiya hua hai, current price ne direction badal li hai aur neeche bearish move kar rahi hai. Ab sellers ka target hai ke wo price ko neeche dhakel kar qaribi buyer support area tak le jayein.

Wednesday ko European market session mein trading ke dauran, sellers ab bhi market ko dominate kar rahe hain aur bullish buyer ke rate ko rok rahe hain. Wo EUR/USD pair ki price ko neeche bearish move karte hue buyer support area 1.1137-1.1135 ko test karne ka target kar rahe hain. Agar yeh area mazbooti se break ho jata hai, toh price ke mazeed girne ke mauqey barh jayein ge aur agla target buyer ke demand support area par hoga, jiska price range 1.1120-1.1118 hai.

Nateeja:

- Buy Trading Options: Agar price seller ke resistance area ko successfully penetrate kar le, toh buy trading options ko tabhi istemal kiya jaa sakta hai. Pending buy stop order area ko 1.1119-1.1120 par rakhte hue aur TP area ko 1.1215-1.1220 par set karen.




- Sell Trading Options: Sell trading options ko tabhi istemal kiya jaa sakta hai jab price buyer ke support area ko successfully penetrate kar le. Pending sell stop order ko 1.1137-1.1135 par lagayein aur TP area ko 1.1120-1.1118 par set karen.