gbp/usd

# Fundamental Analysis

Tuesday ke London session mein, Pound Sterling (GBP) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein 1.3200 ke aas-paas apni gains barqarar rakhi hain. Pichle haftay ke bade faide ke baad, GBP/USD pair thodi rukawat par hai jabke investors naye ishare dekh rahe hain ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September interest rate kam hone ki ummeed kitni badi ho sakti hai.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures price data kehti hai ke 28.5% traders ko lagta hai ke September mein 50 basis point (bps) ki interest rate cut ho sakti hai, jabke baqi traders 25 bps ke kam cut ki ummeed rakhte hain. Yeh tool dikhata hai ke traders ne Fed ke policy normalization ko puri tarah se price mein include kar liya hai, jo US Dollar ko pichle ek haftay se kamzor rakha hua hai.

Investors core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data ka intezaar karenge jo Friday ko release hona hai. Pichli report mein 2.6% annual core PCE ke barhne ki ummeed hai aur monthly statistics bhi 0.2% se behtar hone ki umeed hai. Usse pehle, US economic calendar mein Conference Board ka August consumer confidence index aur S&P/Case-Shiller June home price indices Tuesday ko publish honge.

### Technical Analysis

GBP/USD ne 1.3200 par ek naya do saal ka high hit kiya, uske baad pound sterling mein decline aaya. Weekly time scale par Rising Channel chart pattern ka breakthrough hone ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne strength show kiya. Agar bullish momentum dobara se barhta hai, to yeh pair 1.3640 ke high ki taraf barh sakta hai jo February 4, 2022 ko dekha gaya tha.

20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.2766 ke aas-paas hai, ek significant rising trend ko dikhata hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko indicate karta hai aur bullish region mein 60.00–80.00 ke beech oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, RSI 70.00 ke aas-paas overbought levels tak pahuncha hua hai, jo corrective retreat ki possibility ko darshata hai. 1.3000 ka psychological level pound sterling ke liye critical support ban gaya hai agar price niche jaati hai.

Hello, dost! Umeed hai aapka trading din acha guzray!

GBP/USD pair mujhe badhati hui drawdown mein le ja rahi hai. Dekhna hoga ke bulls kab tak control mein reh sakte hain, khaas kar FOMC minutes ke aanay se pehle jo ke aakhri meeting ke hain.

Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.

Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.

Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.

Market ke reaction ko support level par nazar rakhain aur apni trading strategy ko ussi ke mutabiq adjust karne ke liye tayyar rahain

GBP/USD currency pair ko dobara dekhtay hain. Is four-hour chart mein upward trend jari hai, wave structure upar ki taraf apni order bana rahi hai. MACD indicator upar purchase zone mein hai, lekin is par bearish divergence bhi nazar aa rahi hai, aur dusre CCI indicator par bhi yehi haal hai. Aaj price ne phir se peechla maximum update kiya hai, lekin mere khayal mein price apni inteha par hai. Itni dair tak bina correction ke upar jaane ka silsila kab tak chal sakta hai? Correction ka waqt aa chuka hai, aur ye signal kaafi acha chance rakhta hai ke ye kaam kare. Pehli divergences ne kuch khaas kaam nahi kiya tha, zyada tar price ne sideways ka rukh apnaya tha thodi si kami ke saath. Ab price bohot zyada overheated lag rahi hai, aur sab possible targets ko senior periods mein achieve kar chuki hai. Ab ye waqt hai ke price decline shuru kare, jab ke horizontal level 1.3177 ne price ko support diya hua hai. Hamesha upward geese banana mumkin nahi hai, correction shuru hoga hi. Mein yeh expect karta hoon ke price is week ke minimum tak gir sakti hai, ie level 1.3175 tak. Dosra target 1.3122 hai.
Daily Chart Agar D1 period par dekhein aur target Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par apply karein, toh aap dekhenge ke 161.8 level achieve ho chuka hai. Price ne last year 2023 ke maximum ko bhi cross kar liya hai, jo ke ek potential sales zone hai. Yeh saaf hai ke price maximum ke ird gird ghuma rahi hai, agar yeh neeche jati hai, toh aapko buyers ki positions lena chahiye jo samajhte hain ke upward trend jari rahega. CCI indicator yahaan se neeche jana chahta hai upper overheating zone se, aur weekly chart par bhi yehi situation hai. Iske ilawa, chaar ghante se chote period par, aaj ke maximum update ke baad bearish divergence - yani sell signal - nazar aa raha hai. In sab factors ka combination is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke qareebi waqt mein decline hoga aur iska target level 1.3007 hoga. Itne zabardast growth ke baad bina rollback ke, ye normal lagta hai ke ab rollback wahan tak ho

British Pound abhi 1.3200 ke qareeb US Dollar ke muqable mein stable hai jab ke traders US ke aayan walay economic data par nazar rakhay hue hain, khas tor par Core PCE Price Index, GDP estimates, aur Initial Jobless Claims. Khaas tor par Core PCE data important hai kyun ke yeh Fed ke aglay qadam ke baray mein umeedon ko shape kar sakta hai. Agar yeh data zyada strong hota hai, to chhoti rate cut ki umeed ho sakti hai jo USD ko mazid strong karega aur GBP/USD par pressure dalega.
Aaj ka economic data bara ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar PCE aur GDP expect se zyada strong hotay hain, to yeh aggressive Fed rate cuts ki umeedon ko kam kar sakta hai, jis se US Dollar mazid strong hoga aur Pound ke liye khatar ho sakte hain. Iske baraks, UK economy bhi focus mein hai jab ke Bank of England ke dosray rate cut par speculation ho rahi hai. In factors ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ne 1.3200 ke qareeb resilience dikhayi hai.

Technical indicators abhi bhi pair ke liye potential upside ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin is kaafi kuch aaj ke US data par depend karta hai. Investors khaas tor par Core PCE inflation report mein interested hain, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke near-term mein key driver ban sakta hai. Result ke hisaab se, ya to pair 1.3500 ki taraf break kar sakta hai ya phir nayi selling pressure ka samna kar sakta hai.

British Pound ne 1.3200 ke level ke qareeb stability hasil kar li hai, lekin is ki agay ki direction ziyata tar US ke aayan walay economic data par munhasir hai, khaas tor par Core PCE inflation report par. Yeh data market sentiment ko influence karne mein bara kirdar ada karega aur Pound ke aglay move ko drive karega. Is uncertainty ko barhawa Bank of England ke potential rate cut se mil raha hai, jo traders ke liye mazeed complexity paida kar raha hai

Monday ko, GBP/USD currency pair ne apni sat din ki winning streak ko khatam kiya, jo ke ek mohtaat market ke mizaj ko zahir karta hai. Yeh pullback uske baad aaya jab yeh pair 1.3000 mark ke qareeb pohanch gaya tha lekin apna bullish momentum barqarar nahi rakh saka. GBP/USD ki is retreat ki wajah chand factors hain, jin mein extended UK bank holiday weekend ke dauraan patlay trading volumes aur iss haftay ke baad aham economic data releases se pehle sarmaayakaron ki hichkichaahat shamil hai. Sarmaayakaar bechain hain kyunke woh aham data points ka intezar kar rahe hain, jin mein US Retail Sales aur UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures shamil hain, jinka market ki direction par asar parne ki umeed hai. Market ki tawajjoh Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke faislay par bhi hai, jahan bohat se log September mein rate cut ke imkaanat ke bare mein soch rahe hain. Iss soch-bichaar ne trading mein ek mohtaat approach ko janam diya hai, kyunke sarmaayakaar in aayan walay events ke mumkin asarat ko tol rahe hain.

Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell aur San Francisco Fed ke President Mary Daly ki taraf se wazeh ainday ki rehnumayi ke kami ne bhi mohtaat jazbaat ko mazid taqviat di. Dono officials ne yeh wazeh kiya ke ainday rate ke faislay meeting-by-meeting basis par kiye jayenge, jis ne market ko ek wazeh direction ke baghair chorr diya hai.

Taqneeki tor par, GBP/USD ki haaliya price action uske ooper ki taraf rujhan mein ek waqfa ko zahir karti hai, jahan yeh pair 1.3000 ke aham level ko breach karne mein nakam raha. Currency pair ne mukhtasir tor par ek naya 12-mahina high hasil kiya tha lekin phir wapas pull back kiya, jo is mark ke aas paas ek mumkin resistance level ki taraf ishara karta hai. Is wajah se, ab tajir is baat ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain ke kya koi naya bullish momentum ka sign milta hai ya aane wale dino mein mazeed downside movement hoti hai

Pound Sterling Ki Price Action Par Nazar
Pound Sterling (GBP) ne 1.3150 ke qareeb bounce back kiya jab US Dollar (USD) July ke core PCE inflation data ke intezaar mein thanda trade kar raha hai. Sarmaaya kaaron ko umeed hai ke annual core PCE inflation June ke 2.6% se badh kar 2.7% ho jayegi. Bank of England (BoE) ki policy easing ki raftaar apne bade peers se dheemi hone ki tawaqqo hai.

Pound Sterling (GBP) ne 1.3150 ke qareeb support dhunda jab do din ki sell-off ke baad US Dollar ke muqable mein Friday ki London session mein zameen haasil ki. GBP/USD pair mein izafa hua hai kyunke US Dollar United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) ke data ke release hone se pehle sust performance dikhata hai, jo 12:30 GMT par shaaya kiya jayega. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki value ko chhe badi currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, halka sa gir kar 101.30 par aa gaya hai.

Maeeshat daan yeh tawaqqo karte hain ke annual core PCE inflation, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, June ke 2.6% se barh kar 2.7% tak pohanch gayi hai, jabke mahina dar mahina figures mein 0.2% ka mustahkam izafa ho raha hai.

Taareekhi tor par, PCE inflation data ka asar hamesha se zyada raha hai kyunke yeh Federal Reserve (Fed) ka pasandeeda inflation gauge hota hai jo ke mafaad ke faisalon mein madad karta hai. Is dafa, asar mehdood rehne ki umeed hai jab tak ke data mein kisi wazeh inhiraf ya pehlay ke mukable mein koi bara farq na ho.

Zyada itminan ke saath ke inflation sustainable tor par Fed ke 2% target tak jaye gi, afsar ab US labor market ki mazoor hoti hui soorat-e-haal ke risk par zyada fikrmand hain. "Humare mandate ke risks ka tawazun badal gaya hai", Fed ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne pichlay haftay Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein apne khitab mein kaha. Kuch aur Fed policymakers ne bhi yeh ishara diya hai ke central bank mein kisi bhi shadeed girawat ke case mein badi jald key borrowing rates ko aggressively kam karne mein hichkichaahat nahi hogi.

Filhaal, maali bazaar ke participants yeh tawaqqo karte hain ke September mein Fed ke interest rates kam karne ka taqreeban yaqini imkaan hai. Lekin, traders iss baat par mutafarriq hain ke Fed policy easing ko shuru karte waqt kitna interest rate kam karega. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, September mein 50-basis-points (bps) ki interest-rate reduction ki sambhaavna 32.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ki cut ko tarjeeh dete hain.

Pound Sterling ne ek mild correction ke baad 1.3150 ke aas-paas se US Dollar ke muqable mein rebound kiya. GBP/USD pair ka near-term appeal abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunke yeh weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation ke breakout ko barqarar rakhta hai. Agar bullish momentum barqarar rehti hai, toh Cable se tawaqqo hai ke yeh 1.3500 ke psychological resistance aur 4 February, 2022 ke high 1.3640 ko target karega jab yeh US Dollar ke muqable mein 1.3266 ke fresh do saal se zyada ke high se upar break karta hai.

Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.3000 ek strong upside trend ki taraf ishara karta hai.

14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00-80.00 ke bullish range mein oscillate karta hai, jo ek strong upside momentum ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin, yeh 70.00 ke aas-paas overbought levels ke qareeb hai, jo corrective pullback ke chances ko barhata hai. Downside par, 1.3000 ka psychological level Pound Sterling bulls ke liye ek ahem support hoga.

Pound Sterling Ki Price Action Par Nazar
Pound Sterling (GBP) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein wednesday ke pullback ke baad 1.3200 ke upar dubara se move kiya. Traders ab US core PCE inflation data ke intezaar mein hain jo ke maali bazaar mein speculation ko asar andaaz kar sakta hai ke Fed rate cut ka size kitna hoga. Sarmaaya kaaron ko umeed hai ke Bank of England (BoE) iss saal ek aur interest rate cut karega.

Pound Sterling (GBP) ne Thursday ki European session mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein 1.3200 ke key support se rebound kiya. GBP/USD pair mein izafa hua jab US Dollar ne Wednesday ko mazboot rebound ke baad thodi kamzori dikhayi. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chhe badi currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, 101.20 ke immediate resistance ke upar apni recovery ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish mein dabao mein hai.

Greenback ke liye mushkil hoga ke woh apne recent rebound ko barqarar rakh sake kyunke Federal Reserve (Fed) ka September meeting se interest rates kam karna lagbhag yaqini hai. Jab ke traders yeh baat le kar taqseem hain ke Fed apni policy-easing ko 25 ya 50-basis-points (bps) cut se shuru karega, lekin rate reduction market mein poori tarah se price ho chuka hai.

September se Fed ke rate cut karne ki taqatwar speculation Fed ke Chair Jerome Powell ke dovish commentary se aayi hai jo unhone pichlay haftay Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein ki thi. Powell ne kaha ke "ab waqt aagaya hai ke policy adjust ki jaye," aur is baat par zor diya ke US central bank ab zyada fikrmand hai labor market ke downside risks ke baare mein jab ke inflation 2% ke maqsoodha rate par wapas aane ki raah par nazar aata hai.

Is beech, sarmaaya kaar United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) report ke intezaar mein hain jo ke Friday ko shaaya hogi. Umeed hai ke PCE report dikhaye gi ke year-on-year core inflation ki raftaar tez ho kar 2.6% se barh kar 2.7% ho gayi hai, jab ke mahana data mein mustahkam izafa 0.2% ka hai. Yeh inflation data market speculation ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September monetary policy faislay par khas asar daal sakta hai.

Thursday ki session mein UK economic calendar khali hai, lekin sarmaaya kaar ab bhi US data par tawajjo denge. Ek ahem nuqta Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data ka doosra estimate hai jo 12:30 GMT par shaaya hoga. Maeeshat daan yeh tawaqqo karte hain ke data mein koi tarmeem nahi hogi, jis se yeh tasdeeq hoti hai ke US maeeshat annualized basis par 2.8% se expand hui hai. GDP data US Dollar par zyada asar nahi daalega jab tak ke kisi aham revision ka imkaan na ho. Iske ilawa, weekly US Jobless Claims numbers bhi jari kiye jayenge jo ke market ko hilane ki salahiyat rakhte hain agar is mein koi wazeh izafa hota hai.

Pound Sterling ne ek mild corrective move ke baad round-level support 1.3200 ke qareeb US Dollar ke muqable mein rebound kiya. GBP/USD pair ki near-term appeal ab bhi mazboot hai kyunke yeh weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation ke breakout ko barqarar rakhta hai. Agar bullish momentum dobara shuru hoti hai, toh Cable se tawaqqo hai ke yeh apni upside ko psychological resistance 1.3500 aur 4 February, 2022 ke high 1.3640 tak le jaye, jab ke yeh US Dollar ke muqable mein ek naya 2.5 saal ka high 1.3266 ko todta hai.

Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.3000 ke qareeb ek strong upside trend ki taraf ishara karti hai.

14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00-80.00 ke bullish range mein oscillate karta hai, jo ek strong upside momentum ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin, yeh 70.00 ke qareeb overbought levels tak pohanch gaya hai, jo corrective pullback ke chances ko barhata hai. Downside par, 1.3000 ka psychological level Pound Sterling bulls ke liye ek ahem support hoga.

Pound Sterling Ki Price Action Par Nazar
Pound Sterling (GBP) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein wednesday ke pullback ke baad 1.3200 ke upar dubara se move kiya. Traders ab US core PCE inflation data ke intezaar mein hain jo ke maali bazaar mein speculation ko asar andaaz kar sakta hai ke Fed rate cut ka size kitna hoga. Sarmaaya kaaron ko umeed hai ke Bank of England (BoE) iss saal ek aur interest rate cut karega.

Pound Sterling (GBP) ne Thursday ki European session mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein 1.3200 ke key support se rebound kiya. GBP/USD pair mein izafa hua jab US Dollar ne Wednesday ko mazboot rebound ke baad thodi kamzori dikhayi. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chhe badi currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, 101.20 ke immediate resistance ke upar apni recovery ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish mein dabao mein hai.

Greenback ke liye mushkil hoga ke woh apne recent rebound ko barqarar rakh sake kyunke Federal Reserve (Fed) ka September meeting se interest rates kam karna lagbhag yaqini hai. Jab ke traders yeh baat le kar taqseem hain ke Fed apni policy-easing ko 25 ya 50-basis-points (bps) cut se shuru karega, lekin rate reduction market mein poori tarah se price ho chuka hai.

September se Fed ke rate cut karne ki taqatwar speculation Fed ke Chair Jerome Powell ke dovish commentary se aayi hai jo unhone pichlay haftay Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein ki thi. Powell ne kaha ke "ab waqt aagaya hai ke policy adjust ki jaye," aur is baat par zor diya ke US central bank ab zyada fikrmand hai labor market ke downside risks ke baare mein jab ke inflation 2% ke maqsoodha rate par wapas aane ki raah par nazar aata hai.

Is beech, sarmaaya kaar United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) report ke intezaar mein hain jo ke Friday ko shaaya hogi. Umeed hai ke PCE report dikhaye gi ke year-on-year core inflation ki raftaar tez ho kar 2.6% se barh kar 2.7% ho gayi hai, jab ke mahana data mein mustahkam izafa 0.2% ka hai. Yeh inflation data market speculation ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September monetary policy faislay par khas asar daal sakta hai.

Thursday ki session mein UK economic calendar khali hai, lekin sarmaaya kaar ab bhi US data par tawajjo denge. Ek ahem nuqta Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data ka doosra estimate hai jo 12:30 GMT par shaaya hoga. Maeeshat daan yeh tawaqqo karte hain ke data mein koi tarmeem nahi hogi, jis se yeh tasdeeq hoti hai ke US maeeshat annualized basis par 2.8% se expand hui hai. GDP data US Dollar par zyada asar nahi daalega jab tak ke kisi aham revision ka imkaan na ho. Iske ilawa, weekly US Jobless Claims numbers bhi jari kiye jayenge jo ke market ko hilane ki salahiyat rakhte hain agar is mein koi wazeh izafa hota hai.

Pound Sterling ne ek mild corrective move ke baad round-level support 1.3200 ke qareeb US Dollar ke muqable mein rebound kiya. GBP/USD pair ki near-term appeal ab bhi mazboot hai kyunke yeh weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation ke breakout ko barqarar rakhta hai. Agar bullish momentum dobara shuru hoti hai, toh Cable se tawaqqo hai ke yeh apni upside ko psychological resistance 1.3500 aur 4 February, 2022 ke high 1.3640 tak le jaye, jab ke yeh US Dollar ke muqable mein ek naya 2.5 saal ka high 1.3266 ko todta hai.

Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.3000 ke qareeb ek strong upside trend ki taraf ishara karti hai.

14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00-80.00 ke bullish range mein oscillate karta hai, jo ek strong upside momentum ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin, yeh 70.00 ke qareeb overbought levels tak pohanch gaya hai, jo corrective pullback ke chances ko barhata hai. Downside par, 1.3000 ka psychological level Pound Sterling bulls ke liye ek ahem support hoga.

Pound Sterling Mein Halka Izafa, US Inflation Report Ke Baad Khud Ko Sambhalte Huye
Thursday ki subah, Pound Sterling ne mazeed izafa banaye rakhne mein kamiyaab raha, yeh izafa US ke taaza inflation report ke baad hua. Yeh report ne sarmaaya kaaron ki umeedon ko mazeed barhaya ke US Federal Reserve apne September ke monetary policy meeting mein interest rates mein kami karna shuru kar sakta hai. Filhal, GBP/USD pair 1.3191 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke pehle ke levels se thoda si tabdeeli darshata hai.

GBP/USD Ke Asliyati Bunyadi Haalaat:

Aane wala Federal Reserve ka meeting Wednesday ko honay jaa raha hai jo ke bazaar ki khasa tawajjo ka markaz hoga. Sarmaaya kaar be sabri se intezaar kar rahe hain kisi bhi aisi nishani ka jo yeh bataye ke Fed apne aglay maali meeting mein, jab Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) September mein dobara milay gi, ek anticipated rate cut implement karne ki tayari kar raha hai. Maujooda bazaar ki umeedein yeh zahiar kar rahi hain ke September 18 ko kam az kam ek quarter-point rate cut hone ke imkanaat hain, jahan CME ka FedWatch Tool 25 basis point cut ke 90% chance aur ek baday cut ke 10% chance ko dikhata hai.

Maali bazaar yeh bhi tawaqqo kar raha hai ke Fed is baat ka izhaar kare ga ke mehengayi ko apne 2% target ke qareeb laye jaane mein khasa progress hasil hui hai, saath hi labor market ki badhti hui fikar par bhi tawajjo di jaaye gi. Yeh izhaar Fed ki interest rates kam karne ki taiyyari ka ishara bhi ho sakta hai. Fed ke policy faislay ke ilawa, sarmaaya kaar US ke maeeshi indicators par bhi ghehri nazar rakhenge, jismein JOLTS Job Openings for June, ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), aur Nonfarm Payrolls data for July shamil hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Wednesday ko pair ne neeche ki taraf test kiya aur 1.3166 ka naya teen din ka low maara. Is ke bawajood, Pound Sterling ke kharidaaron ne mazbooti dikhayi aur pair ko aham 1.3100 mark ke upar rakha. Yeh karan seeza 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2896 ke upar position mein hai aur ab bhi 200-day EMA 1.2701 ke bullish side par trade kar raha hai.

Iss waqt spot price daily timeframe par Rising Channel chart pattern ke neechey wali had ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. 1.3100 ke significant support level ke neechey ke recent drop ne pair ko pressure mein daal diya hai. Iske ilawa, karan 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neechey 1.2945 ke qareeb gir gaya hai, jo ke short-term trend mein potential uncertainty ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Pound Sterling Mein Halka Izafa, US Inflation Report Ke Baad Khud Ko Sambhalte Huye
Thursday ki subah, Pound Sterling ne mazeed izafa banaye rakhne mein kamiyaab raha, yeh izafa US ke taaza inflation report ke baad hua. Yeh report ne sarmaaya kaaron ki umeedon ko mazeed barhaya ke US Federal Reserve apne September ke monetary policy meeting mein interest rates mein kami karna shuru kar sakta hai. Filhal, GBP/USD pair 1.3191 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke pehle ke levels se thoda si tabdeeli darshata hai.

GBP/USD Ke Asliyati Bunyadi Haalaat:

Aane wala Federal Reserve ka meeting Wednesday ko honay jaa raha hai jo ke bazaar ki khasa tawajjo ka markaz hoga. Sarmaaya kaar be sabri se intezaar kar rahe hain kisi bhi aisi nishani ka jo yeh bataye ke Fed apne aglay maali meeting mein, jab Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) September mein dobara milay gi, ek anticipated rate cut implement karne ki tayari kar raha hai. Maujooda bazaar ki umeedein yeh zahiar kar rahi hain ke September 18 ko kam az kam ek quarter-point rate cut hone ke imkanaat hain, jahan CME ka FedWatch Tool 25 basis point cut ke 90% chance aur ek baday cut ke 10% chance ko dikhata hai.

Maali bazaar yeh bhi tawaqqo kar raha hai ke Fed is baat ka izhaar kare ga ke mehengayi ko apne 2% target ke qareeb laye jaane mein khasa progress hasil hui hai, saath hi labor market ki badhti hui fikar par bhi tawajjo di jaaye gi. Yeh izhaar Fed ki interest rates kam karne ki taiyyari ka ishara bhi ho sakta hai. Fed ke policy faislay ke ilawa, sarmaaya kaar US ke maeeshi indicators par bhi ghehri nazar rakhenge, jismein JOLTS Job Openings for June, ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), aur Nonfarm Payrolls data for July shamil hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Wednesday ko pair ne neeche ki taraf test kiya aur 1.3166 ka naya teen din ka low maara. Is ke bawajood, Pound Sterling ke kharidaaron ne mazbooti dikhayi aur pair ko aham 1.3100 mark ke upar rakha. Yeh karan seeza 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2896 ke upar position mein hai aur ab bhi 200-day EMA 1.2701 ke bullish side par trade kar raha hai.

Iss waqt spot price daily timeframe par Rising Channel chart pattern ke neechey wali had ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. 1.3100 ke significant support level ke neechey ke recent drop ne pair ko pressure mein daal diya hai. Iske ilawa, karan 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neechey 1.2945 ke qareeb gir gaya hai, jo ke short-term trend mein potential uncertainty ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Monday ko, GBPUSD currency pair ne 1.3218 ke price par resistance ko successfully break kiya aur iska movement barh kar 1.3261 tak pohanch gaya. Lekin, Tuesday ko GBPUSD ke movement mein kafi gehray girawat hui. Agar main hisaab lagaoon to GBPUSD mein lagbhag 80 pips ki girawat aayi. Ab agar aap h1 timeframe par dekhein, to yeh nazar aata hai ke candle h1 support ko 1.3181 ke price par break kar chuki hai. Candle ki position ab resistance ke upar nahi hai, isliye yeh imkaan hai ke GBPUSD ab mazeed na barhe.
Agar h1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye, toh ek wajah jo GBPUSD ke girne ki hai wo yeh hai ke candle ab supply area ko 1.3255 ke price par penetrate nahi kar paa rahi. Jab tak yeh area penetrate nahi hota, lagta hai ke GBPUSD ko upar jane mein abhi bhi mushkil hogi. 1.3181 ke price par h1 support ka tootna is baat ki nishani hai ke girne ka mauqa mazeed barh jayega. Aksar, is support break ke baad, rate ka movement pehle upar jata hai sirf correction ke liye. Mera aaj ka scenario yeh hai ke GBPUSD pehle 1.3245 ke price tak upar jayega, phir movement wapas niche ki taraf jayegi.

Agar technically ichimoku indicator ki madad se analysis kiya jaye, toh current candle position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai. Yeh tab se ho raha hai jab se GBPUSD ne girna shuru kiya hai. Is recent intersection ke saath, GBPUSD ka trend ab bullish nahi raha balki bearish ho gaya hai. Jab tak iski position line ke upar hai, main predict karta hoon ke GBPUSD ka movement barhne ke bajaye girne ki taraf rahega.

Doosri taraf, stochastic indicator se bhi yeh pata chalta hai ke GBPUSD is waqt oversold condition mein hai. Yeh is wajah se hai kyun ke kal GBPUSD mein girawat hui thi. Jaise ke maine upar kaha, support break hone ke baad, GBPUSD pehle upar jayega ek correction ke liye 1.3245 ke price tak. Mera khayal hai ke yeh izafa apne kareebi resistance ko penetrate nahi kar paayega.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ke paas girne ka mauqa abhi bhi hai, chahe abhi thoda strong lag raha ho. Wajah yeh hai ke candle supply area ko 1.3255 ke price par abhi tak penetrate nahi kar saki. Iske ilawa, ichimoku indicator se bhi candle ki position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai, jo yeh batata hai ke trend ab bearish ho chuka hai. Isliye, main aapko recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf sell positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target kareebi support 1.3070 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss kareebi resistance 1.3268 par rakh sakte hain.

Monday ko, GBPUSD currency pair ne 1.3218 ke price par resistance ko successfully break kiya aur iska movement barh kar 1.3261 tak pohanch gaya. Lekin, Tuesday ko GBPUSD ke movement mein kafi gehray girawat hui. Agar main hisaab lagaoon to GBPUSD mein lagbhag 80 pips ki girawat aayi. Ab agar aap h1 timeframe par dekhein, to yeh nazar aata hai ke candle h1 support ko 1.3181 ke price par break kar chuki hai. Candle ki position ab resistance ke upar nahi hai, isliye yeh imkaan hai ke GBPUSD ab mazeed na barhe.
Agar h1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye, toh ek wajah jo GBPUSD ke girne ki hai wo yeh hai ke candle ab supply area ko 1.3255 ke price par penetrate nahi kar paa rahi. Jab tak yeh area penetrate nahi hota, lagta hai ke GBPUSD ko upar jane mein abhi bhi mushkil hogi. 1.3181 ke price par h1 support ka tootna is baat ki nishani hai ke girne ka mauqa mazeed barh jayega. Aksar, is support break ke baad, rate ka movement pehle upar jata hai sirf correction ke liye. Mera aaj ka scenario yeh hai ke GBPUSD pehle 1.3245 ke price tak upar jayega, phir movement wapas niche ki taraf jayegi.

Agar technically ichimoku indicator ki madad se analysis kiya jaye, toh current candle position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai. Yeh tab se ho raha hai jab se GBPUSD ne girna shuru kiya hai. Is recent intersection ke saath, GBPUSD ka trend ab bullish nahi raha balki bearish ho gaya hai. Jab tak iski position line ke upar hai, main predict karta hoon ke GBPUSD ka movement barhne ke bajaye girne ki taraf rahega.

Doosri taraf, stochastic indicator se bhi yeh pata chalta hai ke GBPUSD is waqt oversold condition mein hai. Yeh is wajah se hai kyun ke kal GBPUSD mein girawat hui thi. Jaise ke maine upar kaha, support break hone ke baad, GBPUSD pehle upar jayega ek correction ke liye 1.3245 ke price tak. Mera khayal hai ke yeh izafa apne kareebi resistance ko penetrate nahi kar paayega.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ke paas girne ka mauqa abhi bhi hai, chahe abhi thoda strong lag raha ho. Wajah yeh hai ke candle supply area ko 1.3255 ke price par abhi tak penetrate nahi kar saki. Iske ilawa, ichimoku indicator se bhi candle ki position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai, jo yeh batata hai ke trend ab bearish ho chuka hai. Isliye, main aapko recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf sell positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target kareebi support 1.3070 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss kareebi resistance 1.3268 par rakh sakte hain.

**GBP/USD me Trading ke Mauke**

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ka analysis kar rahe hain. H4 candle close hui hai aur ek zig-zag pattern nazar aa raha hai, jo ke H4 time frame me downward movement ko signal kar raha hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke price ne poori tarah se rollback ke zaroori elements complete kar liye hain aur kisi bhi waqt direction reverse kar sakti hai. H4 ka pullback chota hai, jo ke 0.235 Fibo se kam hai, aur yeh kuch halaat mein kafi ho sakta hai, lekin abhi yeh faisla hona baqi hai. Hourly chart par bears uptrend ko disrupt karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, lekin bulls abhi tak apni jagah par qaim hain. Price abhi tak 1/0 angle aur 25% support level par 1.3114 se upar hai, jahan mujhe lagta hai ke bears paas aa sakte hain aur bulls dobara upward movement resume karne ki koshish karenge. Is liye, kuch consolidation ke baad, mujhe lagta hai ke ek bearish shift nazar aa sakti hai.



British Pound/US Dollar pair ke hawale se, H1 time frame par technical analysis suggest karta hai ke market me buying opportunities ke liye enter karna munasib hai. Mera reasoning chand factors par depend karti hai: pehle, price MA200 moving average se upar position mein hai, jo ke bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Guzishta din ke aakhri hisse mein, pair din ke opening mark se upar trade hua aur is par close kiya. Pore din ke dauran, price ne Bollinger band ke upper side ko neeche se cross kiya, jo ke bullish sentiment ko mazboot banata hai aur yeh suggest karta hai ke instrument ki growth jaari rehne ke imkanaat hain. Trading karte waqt, main RSI indicator ko bahut ahmiyat deta hoon aur uss waqt trade nahi karta jab yeh overbought condition (69 se upar) ya oversold condition (29 se neeche) indicate kare. RSI abhi buying ko support kar raha hai, kyun ke iska value valid range mein hai. Take-profit target 210% Fibo level par set kiya gaya hai, jo ke 1.32955 ki price ke mutabiq hai. Position ke ek hissa ko break even par secure karne ke baad, main trail karne ka plan bana raha hoon taake higher bullish quotes ke saath corrective Fibo levels ke mutabiq move karoon.

Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ke zariye monitor karne par, price ya candle ab bhi MA MA 50 Red area ke upar hai, jo ke 1.2785-1.2787 ke daira-e-amal mein hai. Is se lagta hai ke price dobara upar ki taraf ja sakti hai aur bullish candlestick ki formation bhi iska support hai. Filhal buyers ke paas jo faida hai, aaj trading ke doran zyada tar bullish action ki umeed hai jo ke buyers ke liye hai, target unka bullish area hoga jo ke Supply resistance Seller area 1.2958-1.2960 ke daira-e-amal mein hai . control karne ki ijazat de raha hai. Buyers ka bullish target lagta hai ke seller's resistance area 1.2887-1.2890 ki taraf ja raha hai aur agar ye strong penetration ke saath clear hota hai, to GBPUSD pair price ko upar ki taraf tezi se barhne ka moka mil sakta hai, agla target strong seller's supply resistance area 1.2957-1.2960 hoga. GBPUSD price movement resistance area 1.28690 ke nazdeek aa rahi hai, jo ke pehle bhi kai baar test kiya gaya hai lekin break nahi ho saka. Ye level strong selling pressure ko darshata hai, jahan sellers prices ko upar jane se rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain.
Dusri taraf, support area 1.28073 ke aas paas hai, jo ke kai baar test kiya gaya hai aur price decline ko roknay mein kamiyab raha hai. Ye level buyers ke buying interest ko darshata hai, jahan buyers price ko niche girne se rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Stochastic Oscillator indicator dikhata hai ke ab market overbought condition mein hai, jahan indicator line 80 level ke upar hai. Ye condition aam taur par yeh darshati hai ke prices ab bohot high level par hain aur future mein correction ya downward reversal ho sakta hai. Buy trading options ko tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price seller's resistance area ko successfully penetrate kare aur pending buy stop order ko 1.2887-1.2890 ke daira-e-amal mein rakha jaye aur TP area 1.2957-1.2960 par ho.

Sell trading options ko tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price buyers' support area ko successfully penetrate kare aur pending sell stop order ko 1.2843-1.2840 ke daira-e-amal mein rakha jaye

GBp/USD
Thursday ke early hours mein, Pound Sterling ne latest US inflation report ke baad thori si gains maintain ki hain. Yeh report ne investors ki expectations ko support diya hai ke shayad US Federal Reserve apne September monetary policy meeting mein interest rates cut karna shuru kar de. Abhi ke liye, GBP/USD pair 1.3191 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke previous levels se zyada change nahi dikhata.

**GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:**

Aane wali Federal Reserve meeting jo Wednesday ko hone wali hai, wo kaafi attention capture kar rahi hai. Investors eagerly wait kar rahe hain ke Fed se koi aisa signal mile jo indicate kare ke FOMC September mein expected rate cut ke liye tayari kar raha hai. Current market expectations ke mutabiq, September 18 ko quarter-point rate reduction ka 90% chance hai, aur CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, 25 basis point cut ka high probability hai, jab ke thoda zyada reduction ka 10% chance hai.

Financial markets yeh anticipate kar rahi hain ke Fed inflation ko apne 2% target ke kareeb lane mein substantial progress ko acknowledge karega, aur saath hi labor market ke rising concerns ka bhi zikr karega. Yeh acknowledgment Fed ke interest rates kam karne ke liye readiness ko signal kar sakta hai. Fed ke policy decision ke ilawa, investors kuch aur US economic indicators par bhi nazar rakhein ge, jaise ke JOLTS Job Openings for June, ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), aur Nonfarm Payrolls data for July.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Wednesday ko, pair ne lower levels test kiye, aur 1.3166 ka naya three-day low hit kiya. Is ke bawajood, Pound Sterling ke buyers ne resilience dikhayi, aur pair ko crucial 1.3100 mark ke upar rakha. Currency pair abhi bhi 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar hai jo ke 1.2896 par hai, aur 200-day EMA ke bullish side par trade kar raha hai jo ke 1.2701 par hai.



Abhi, spot price daily timeframe par Rising Channel chart pattern ki lower boundary ke kareeb approach kar raha hai. Recent drop jo ke significant support level 1.3100 ke neeche gaya hai, us ne pair ko pressure mein daal diya hai. Iske ilawa, currency 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche gir chuki hai jo ke kareeb 1.2945 par tha.