# Fundamental Analysis
Tuesday ke London session mein, Pound Sterling (GBP) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein 1.3200 ke aas-paas apni gains barqarar rakhi hain. Pichle haftay ke bade faide ke baad, GBP/USD pair thodi rukawat par hai jabke investors naye ishare dekh rahe hain ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September interest rate kam hone ki ummeed kitni badi ho sakti hai.
CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures price data kehti hai ke 28.5% traders ko lagta hai ke September mein 50 basis point (bps) ki interest rate cut ho sakti hai, jabke baqi traders 25 bps ke kam cut ki ummeed rakhte hain. Yeh tool dikhata hai ke traders ne Fed ke policy normalization ko puri tarah se price mein include kar liya hai, jo US Dollar ko pichle ek haftay se kamzor rakha hua hai.
Investors core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data ka intezaar karenge jo Friday ko release hona hai. Pichli report mein 2.6% annual core PCE ke barhne ki ummeed hai aur monthly statistics bhi 0.2% se behtar hone ki umeed hai. Usse pehle, US economic calendar mein Conference Board ka August consumer confidence index aur S&P/Case-Shiller June home price indices Tuesday ko publish honge.
### Technical Analysis
GBP/USD ne 1.3200 par ek naya do saal ka high hit kiya, uske baad pound sterling mein decline aaya. Weekly time scale par Rising Channel chart pattern ka breakthrough hone ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne strength show kiya. Agar bullish momentum dobara se barhta hai, to yeh pair 1.3640 ke high ki taraf barh sakta hai jo February 4, 2022 ko dekha gaya tha.
20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.2766 ke aas-paas hai, ek significant rising trend ko dikhata hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko indicate karta hai aur bullish region mein 60.00–80.00 ke beech oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, RSI 70.00 ke aas-paas overbought levels tak pahuncha hua hai, jo corrective retreat ki possibility ko darshata hai. 1.3000 ka psychological level pound sterling ke liye critical support ban gaya hai agar price niche jaati hai.
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Tuesday ke London session mein, Pound Sterling (GBP) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein 1.3200 ke aas-paas apni gains barqarar rakhi hain. Pichle haftay ke bade faide ke baad, GBP/USD pair thodi rukawat par hai jabke investors naye ishare dekh rahe hain ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September interest rate kam hone ki ummeed kitni badi ho sakti hai.
CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures price data kehti hai ke 28.5% traders ko lagta hai ke September mein 50 basis point (bps) ki interest rate cut ho sakti hai, jabke baqi traders 25 bps ke kam cut ki ummeed rakhte hain. Yeh tool dikhata hai ke traders ne Fed ke policy normalization ko puri tarah se price mein include kar liya hai, jo US Dollar ko pichle ek haftay se kamzor rakha hua hai.
Investors core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data ka intezaar karenge jo Friday ko release hona hai. Pichli report mein 2.6% annual core PCE ke barhne ki ummeed hai aur monthly statistics bhi 0.2% se behtar hone ki umeed hai. Usse pehle, US economic calendar mein Conference Board ka August consumer confidence index aur S&P/Case-Shiller June home price indices Tuesday ko publish honge.
### Technical Analysis
GBP/USD ne 1.3200 par ek naya do saal ka high hit kiya, uske baad pound sterling mein decline aaya. Weekly time scale par Rising Channel chart pattern ka breakthrough hone ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne strength show kiya. Agar bullish momentum dobara se barhta hai, to yeh pair 1.3640 ke high ki taraf barh sakta hai jo February 4, 2022 ko dekha gaya tha.
20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.2766 ke aas-paas hai, ek significant rising trend ko dikhata hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko indicate karta hai aur bullish region mein 60.00–80.00 ke beech oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, RSI 70.00 ke aas-paas overbought levels tak pahuncha hua hai, jo corrective retreat ki possibility ko darshata hai. 1.3000 ka psychological level pound sterling ke liye critical support ban gaya hai agar price niche jaati hai.
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