یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

performance aur monetary policies ke farq se mutasir hoti hai. Federal Reserve ka interest rates par stance ek key factor hai. Agar U.S. economy acha perform karti rahi aur inflation ek concern bana rehta hai, toh Fed apna hawkish stance qaim rakh sakti hai, jo dollar ko mazid strong karay ga aur euro par pressure dalay ga. Lekin agar U.S. economy mein kisi slowdown ke asar dikhayi dete hain ya Fed se dovish signals milte hain, toh dollar kamzor ho sakta hai aur euro ko thoda support mil sakta hai.
Doosri taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) ko bhi apne challenges ka samna hai, jinmein slow economic growth aur persistent inflation shamil hain. Agar ECB economic slowdown ke foran inteha mein interest rates ko stable rakhne ya rate cuts par ghoor karti hai, toh yeh euro par neeche ke taraf pressure dal sakta hai, jo ke bearish trend ko barqarar rakhe ga. Lekin agar ECB se unexpected tightening hoti hai, toh EUR/USD ke trend mein reversal aa sakta hai.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, 1.0940 ka level ek critical support point ban sakta hai. Agar pair is level ko decisively break karti hai, toh ek zyada pronounced bearish movement trigger ho sakta hai. Wahi agar yeh is level ke upar hold karne mein kaamyab ho jati hai, toh hum pair mein ek rebound dekh sakte hain, jo ek potential rally ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Traders key support aur resistance levels ko ghore se dekh rahe hain takay wo apni positions ke entry aur exit points identify kar sakein.

Mazid, ane wali economic data jaise ke U.S. jobs reports, dono regions se inflation data aur central bank meetings, agle bade move ke catalysts banenge. Market participants ko tayar rehna chahiye ke jab yeh events unfold honge toh volatility barh sakti hai. Aakhri mein, jab ke EUR/USD filhal dheere chal rahi hai, strong indications hain ke ek significant price movement aasakti hai, jo ke macroeconomic developments aur market sentiment se mutasir ho gi. Traders ko is potentially volatile period mein cautious aur vigilant rehna chahiye jab wo apne trades ko navigate karein

EUR/USD ka movement kal raat bearish trend ko continue karte hue 1.0812 ke level ko touch karta raha. Mazid taqatwar US dollar ne market par weekend trading session ke pehle asar dala. Kal jo price 1.0937 ke area mein badhne ki koshish kar raha tha, wo ab support level 1.0803 ke qareeb gir gaya hai. Aane walay market movement ki prediction karen to, seller pressure ke hawale se market kaafi strong lag raha hai aur is dopahar tak trend reversal ke kuch signs hain, lekin latest trend ke mutabiq, price ka girawat jaari rehne ka imkaan zyada hai. Market condition abhi bhi correction ki taraf jaa rahi hai, aur 1.0841 ke aaspaas hold karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Magar, price action ne dhyaan attract kiya hai jo previous downtrend ko resume karne ke qabil lagta hai.EUR ne US dollar ke muqable mein Monday ko girawat dekhi. Market abhi bhi Federal Reserve ke future interest rate cuts ki raftaar ko le kar pareshan hai. Agle kuch hafton mein ECB President Christine Lagarde kai dafa apni statements denge, aur ECB Governor ka important statement Wednesday ko expected hai. Global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) ka data Thursday ko release hoga, aur market PAN EU PMI survey ke results ke liye intezar kar raha hai. EUR/USD ne decisive decline ke baad 50-day aur 200-day moving average ke paas hover karna shuru kar diya hai, aur abhi 1.0815 ke aaspaas hai. Price action se ye baat samajh aati hai ke currency recent low ke paas consolidate ho rahi hai, aur tightness abhi bhi control mein hai. 200-day moving average ka upper part yeh suggest karta hai ke agla move downward hi hoga. Immediate support 1.0800 par hai.
MACD indicators ne losses ka imkaan mazid barhaya hai, jo pullback ki taqat ko darshata hai, aur yeh batata hai ke agar multi-day recovery ki koshish hoti bhi hai to strong resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Trend ko neutral mein badalne ke liye 1.0900 ka break karna zaroori hai, lekin agar koi clear bullish catalyst na hua, to short term mein sabse kam resistance wali raah downward hi hai. EUR ki girawat ka waja zyada tar Federal Reserve ke future interest rate cuts ke hawale se concerns hain. Jab ke ECB ne hal mein interest rates cut kiye hain, market abhi bhi uncertain hai ke future cuts ka level kitna hoga. Aane wali Christine Lagarde ki statements aur global PMI data ECB ki monetary policy aur economic situation par mazid insights denge.

mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market

Salam aur Good Morning dosto!
Aane wali khabrein jo EUR se related hain, is hafte buyers ko 1.1000 zone ko successfully cross karne mein madad de sakti hain. Iske ilawa, US Philly Fed Manufacturing Index bhi ek ahm indicator hai jo dekhna zaroori hai. Yeh index Philadelphia region ke manufacturing sector ki economic conditions ko darshata hai. Agar is index mein positive reading milti hai, to yeh manufacturing sector ki expansion ka signal hoga, jo US economy mein confidence ko barha sakta hai aur US dollar ko support de sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar reading kamzor hoti hai, to yeh is ahm sector mein slowdown ki nishani ho sakti hai, jo market sentiment ko kharab kar sakta hai aur currency par negative asar daal sakta hai.

EUR/USD par trading ke liye, main is hafte 1.1000 ka short target rakhtay hue buy order dene ki salahiyat ko pasand karta hoon. Iske ilawa, housing market mein Building Permits report bhi valuable insights faraham karegi. Yeh data construction aur housing sectors ke liye forward-looking indicator hai, kyun ke yeh naye residential construction projects ki tadaad ko darshata hai jo permits hasil kar chuke hain. Building permits ki strong tadaad aksar economy mein confidence ki nishani hoti hai, jo broader market optimism ko barha sakti hai aur dollar ko support de sakti hai. Lekin, agar permits mein kami aati hai, to yeh housing sector mein potential weakness ka signal ban sakta hai, jo overall economic growth par negative asar daal sakta hai.

EUR/USD traders ke liye, Empire State Manufacturing Index bhi is hafte ka ek important release hai, jo New York ke manufacturing sector ko track karta hai. Yahan par strong result se healthy manufacturing activity ka pata chalega, jo broader US economy mein confidence barha sakta hai aur US dollar ko support de sakta hai. Lekin, agar reading kamzor hoti hai, to yeh manufacturing sector mein challenges ki nishani ban sakti hai, jo currency ko negatively affect kar sakta hai.

Isliye, in sab developments par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Aane wale dinon mein market sentiment aur

Kal German aur French Flash data kaafi acha tha, lekin aaj bhi market buyers ke favor mein hai. Chances hain ke aaj EUR/USD resistance zone 1.0845 ko cross kar le. Financial markets mein trading opportunities dhoondne ke liye technical aur fundamental analysis dono ka ek comprehensive approach zaroori hai. Technical analysis, jo price patterns, trends, aur support aur resistance levels par focus karta hai, traders ko key entry aur exit points identify karne mein madad karta hai. Price charts ko dekhte hue bullish trends ya consolidation jaise patterns ko pehchan kar, traders market ki likely trajectory ko forecast kar sakte hain. Moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement jaise technical indicators ka use kar ke, market momentum aur potential reversals ke bare mein critical insights milte hain, jo informed decisions lene mein madadgar hote hain. Ummid hai ke aaj EUR/USD ka market traders ko resistance zone 1.0845 cross karne mein madad karega.Aaj ke tezi se badalte trading environment mein sirf technical analysis par bharosa karna kaafi nahi hai. Technical insights ke saath saath fundamental analysis par bhi focus karna zaroori hai, khaaskar economic data releases jo Japanese yen (JPY) market par significant impact dalte hain. Important indicators, jaise Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), Japan ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP), trade balance figures, aur global economic trends yen ke performance ko influence karte hain. Agar Tokyo CPI ka inflation data market expectations ko surpass karta hai, to Bank of Japan apni monetary policy ko reassess karne par majboor ho sakta hai. Aisa shift yen ko mazid taqat de sakta hai, jo traders ke liye faidemand ho sakta hai jo accordingly position liye hain. Ulta agar economic data expectations se kam ho, to central bank apni accommodative policies ko continue ya expand karne ka soch sakta hai, jo yen ko weaken kar ke buyers ke liye favorable environment bana sakta hai.Candlestick formations ka analysis batata hai ke sellers kaafi strong dominance dikhate hain, jo bade bearish candles se darshata hai jo selling pressure ko indicate karti hain. Agar ye trend aise hi continue karta hai, to EUR/USD pair ke aur girne ke chances significantly badh jaate hain, jiska next key support level around 1.0793 par hai, jo buyers ke liye ek crucial demand zone hai.Ab traders ka focus is par hona chahiye ke jab price moving averages ke saath interact kare to wo kis tarah behave karti hai. Agar sellers price ko Yellow MA 200 ke neeche rakhne mein kamiyab hote hain, to wo sirf apna position consolidate nahi karte, balke aur girawat ka darwaza bhi kholte hain. Market participants ko koi potential reversal patterns ya bullish signals dekhne chahiye jo momentum shift ka ishara de sakte hain.

اکتوبر 25 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

یورو نے آخر کار کافی (تکنیکی نقطہ نظر سے) تصحیح شروع کر دی ہے۔ کل کا اضافہ 44 پِپس تھا۔ تصحیح کی صلاحیت ہفتہ وار چارٹ پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن تک پھیلی ہوئی ہے، جس کا ہدف 1.1085-1.1100 ہے، جو اپریل 2023 کی چوٹی کے ساتھ موافق ہے۔



تاہم، یہ اوپر کی حرکت محض ایک اصلاح نہیں ہو سکتی۔ یہ ایک رجحان کا حصہ ہو سکتا ہے. اگر ایسا ہے تو، نمو 1.1276 سے تجاوز کر سکتی ہے، اس طرح جولائی 2023 کی بلند ترین سطح کو پیچھے چھوڑ سکتی ہے۔ ایسی ترقی کیوں ممکن ہے؟ دو وجوہات کی بنا پر: ہیریس نے ٹرمپ کو شکست دی، یا ٹرمپ نے ہیرس کو شکست دی۔ مؤخر الذکر صورت میں، مارکیٹ میں ان لوگوں کی زبردست ہلچل دیکھی جا سکتی ہے جنہوں نے سیاسی خوف کے باعث 25 ستمبر سے اب تک یورو فروخت کیا۔ یہ بات قابل غور ہے کہ فاریکس ٹریڈنگ والیوم کا 80% چھ سب سے بڑے امریکی بینکوں سے آتا ہے، جو ڈیموکریٹک پارٹی کی حمایت کرتے ہیں اور مارکیٹ کے کسی بھی رجحان کو ریورس کر سکتے ہیں۔



اس طرح کے درمیانی مدت کے آپریشن کے بعد، ہم ڈالر کی مضبوطی کی طرف ایک طویل المدتی رجحان کی توقع کرتے ہیں، یہ بھی دو وجوہات کی بناء پر: دنیا ایک عالمی کرنسی کے طور پر ڈالر کی اہمیت کو تسلیم کرے گی، اور معاشی بحران کا دور سرمایہ کاروں کو خطرے سے دور ہونے کی ترغیب دے گا۔ .

ابھی کے لیے، یورو 1.0882 کے ہدف کی سطح کی طرف بڑھ رہا ہے۔ روزانہ ٹائم فریم پر مارلن آسیلیٹر بڑھ رہا ہے۔



ایچ -٤ چارٹ پر، پچھلے مہینے میں پہلی بار قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے اوپر مستحکم ہوئی ہے۔ قیمت کو اب بیلنس لائن کی مزاحمت پر قابو پانے کی ضرورت ہے تاکہ خریداروں کی ترجیحات کو خرید سکیں۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر فعال طور پر اس ارادے کی حمایت کر رہا ہے- یہ پہلے ہی مثبت علاقے میں آباد ہو چکا ہے اور اوپر کی طرف بڑھ رہا ہے۔

.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

**EUR/USD Market Outlook**
Greetings and Good Morning Guys!

Kal ka German aur French Flash data kaafi acha tha, lekin aaj bhi market buyers ke haq mein hai. Aaj wo 1.0845 ke resistance zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Financial markets mein potential trading opportunities ko pehchan-ne ke liye aik mukammal approach zaroori hai jo technical aur fundamental analysis ko shamil kare. Technical analysis, jo ke price patterns, trends, aur support aur resistance levels par focus karta hai, traders ko yeh tools faraham karta hai jo ke entry aur exit points ko pinpoint karne mein madadgar hote hain. Price charts ko dekh kar aur bullish trends ya consolidation periods jese patterns ko pehchan kar traders market ki likely trajectory ka andaaza laga sakte hain. Technical indicators ka mazboot darakht, jaise ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels, traders ko market momentum aur potential reversals ke hawale se qeemati insights deta hai aur unke informed decisions lene ki salahiyat ko behtar banata hai.

Umeed hai ke EUR/USD market aaj traders ki madad karega ke wo resistance zone 1.0845 ko cross kar sakein. Magar sirf technical analysis par bharosa karna aaj ke fast-paced trading environment mein kafi nahi hai. Traders ko technical insights ke sath sath fundamental analysis ko bhi shamil karna chahiye, khaaskar economic data releases par focus karna chahiye jo ke Japanese yen (JPY) market par ahmiat ka asar daal sakte hain. Kuch key indicators, jaise ke Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), Japan ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP), trade balance figures, aur overall global economic trends, yen ke performance par ehm kirdar ada karte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar Tokyo CPI se aaya inflation data market expectations se barh jaata hai, toh yeh Bank of Japan ko apni monetary policy ko dobara dekhne par majboor kar sakta hai. Aisi tabdeeli yen ko mazboot bana sakti hai, jo ke aisay traders ke liye faida mand ho sakta hai jo is hisaab se position mein hain. Iske baraks, agar economic data expectations se kam hota hai, toh central bank ko apni accommodative policies ko barqarar rakhne ya barhane par majboor kar sakta hai, jis se yen kamzor ho sakta hai aur buyers ke liye ek behtar mahaul ban sakta hai.

Have a successful Friday!

**EUR/USD H4 Market Analysis**
Kal raat EUR/USD pair ka movement bearish trend par barqarar raha, jese ke peechlay bearish movement mein girawat aayi aur 1.0812 level ko touch kiya. Aik mazid mazboot U.S. dollar ne weekend trading session se pehle market par asar daala. Kal price ne 1.0937 area tak uthne ki koshish ki thi, lekin ab ye support level 1.0803 ke qareeb gir chuki hai. Agley market movement ki prediction mein, agar seller ke pressure se dekha jaye toh market kaafi strong hai aur is dopahar tak ab bhi kuch trend reversal ke isharaat hain, lekin latest trend ke lehaz se, girawat ka imkaan hai ke barqarar rahe. Market ka haal ab bhi correction ki taraf jaata dikhayi de raha hai, aur price level 1.0841 ke qareeb hold karti nazar aa rahi hai. Magar tawajju un price actions par bhi hai jo peechlay downtrend ko dobara resume kar sakti hain.

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Pichlay Monday ko euro U.S. dollar ke muqable mein neeche gir gaya. Market future interest rate cuts ke pace par parashan hai, khaaskar Federal Reserve ke taraf se rate cuts ke pace par. Agley kuch hafton mein ECB President Christine Lagarde kayi dafa present karengi. ECB Governor ka aham statement Wednesday ko hoga. Global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data Thursday ko release hoga.


Market ko PAN EU PMI survey ke results se kaafi umeedein hain. Euro currency ne U.S. dollar ke muqable mein 50-day average aur 2002-day 2009 average mein aik faisla kun girawat ke baad apne transaction ko continue kiya, aur filhal ye 1.0815 ke qareeb hover kar raha hai. Price action is baat ki tasdeeq karta hai ke currency apne recent low ke qareeb consolidate kar rahi hai, aur tightness ab bhi control mein hai. 200-day moving average ke upper part ne bhi ye suggest kiya hai ke agla action mazeed barqarar reh sakta hai. Immediate support 1.0800 par hai. MACD indicators ne losses ke imkanaat ko mazid mazboot banaya hai. Yeh pullback ke quwwat mein izafa ko zahir karta hai aur ye suggest karta hai ke kisi bhi multi-day recovery ke koshish ko strong resistance ka saamna ho sakta hai. Trend ko neutral karne ke liye 1.0900 ko break karna zaroori hai, lekin agar koi clear bullish catalyst na ho toh short term mein kam resistance ka raasta ab bhi neeche ki taraf hai. Euro ke U.S. dollar ke muqable mein decline ka asasi sabab Federal Reserve ke taraf se future interest rate cuts ke pace par concern hai. Halan ke ECB ne abhi kuch waqt pehle interest rates cut kiye hain, lekin market ab bhi uncertain hai ke future cuts kis had tak ho sakte hain. Christine Lagarde ke aanewale statements aur global PMI data ka release ECB ke monetary policy outlook aur overall economic situation ke bare mein mazid insights provide karega.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal ke PMI data ne euro ko kuch madad fraham ki, lekin kharidar ab bhi European session ke dauran 1.0810 ki muzahmati satah ko todne me nakam rahe. Shumali America ke session me tejarati sargarmiyan bhi kafi sust thi, lekin euro abhi bhi 1.0810 ke nishan ko todne me kamyab raha aur din ko thoda ooper band kiya. Natije ke taur par, pichle karobari din ka ikhtetam engulfing candlestick ke tashil ke sath hua, jis me qimat pahle muqami muzahmati satah ko tod rahi thi. Isne badle me islahi reversal ke imkanat ko badha diya.



Ek-ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, euro/dollar ke jode ke liye qarib tarin muzahmati satah ab 1.0837 par hai. Kaledi muzahmati satah 1.0864 par hai. Mai tawaqqo karta hun keh qimat 1.0810 ke nishan par wapas aa jayegi. Mai qimat ko mazid kam hote nahin dekhna chahunga. Iske bad, euro ke ooper ki taraf badhne aur 1.0837 ki satah se ooper jane ka imkan hai. Aaj, 1.0864 ke breakout ka imkan nahin hai, lekin agar yah satah toot jata hai to mujhe koi aitraz nahin hoga.

walon ke liye khaas nahi rahe, jo bhi Friday ko barh gaya tha wo aur bhi neeche gira. Is H4 chart par, wave structure neeche ki taraf apna order bana raha hai, MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai aur phir se apni signal line ke neeche hai. Kharidne walon ki taraf se kisi bhi aham upar ki taraf movement ko shuru hone se pehle hi dabaa diya ja raha hai.
Magar, ek aham nishan hai ke yeh pressure jaldi khatam ho sakta hai. Mukhtalif indicators par, MACD aur CCI par bullish divergence bana hai. Yeh pehle se hi bohot bara hai aur is liye iska kaam karne ke chances bhi zyada hain. Yeh signals hour ke chart par bhi hain. Is buniyad par, ab bechna mumkin nahi hai, chahe price kis tarah se neeche ke taraf jaane ki koshish kare, reversal kisi bhi lamha shuru ho sakta hai.

Aam tor par, dusre major pairs bhi similar situations mein hain, yeh US dollar ki kaafi lambay waqt tak ki mazbooti ke baad correction ka waqt hai. Be-sabab, bazaar se kharidna khatarnaak hai. Theory ke mutabiq, aapko intezar karna chahiye ke price kam se kam hourly chart par ek mirror level banaye, taake resistance support mein tabdeel ho, aur tab hi kharidna chahiye.

Mujhe umeed hai ke price pehle 1.0905 ke horizontal resistance level tak barhegi, jahan se kuch neeche ki taraf rebound hoga, phir breakout aur 1.0995 tak barhne ka mauqa milega, yani pichle hafte ka maximum. Theory ke mutabiq, pichle hafte ki khabrein ab guzar chuki hain, interest rate tabdeel kiya gaya hai aur yeh forecast ke mutabiq hua, ab rollback ka waqt hai. Halankeh, mujhe nahi laga tha ke euro aur dollar itne gehre tak chale jayenge, weekly chart par support tha, jo kisi wajah se kaam nahi kiya. Dabaav ke bawajood, mujhe umeed hai ke aane wale dino mein growth dekhne ko milegi

Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neechi levels se upar aya. Yeh positive momentum pair ko haftay ke trading range ke upar end tak le gaya, jo lagbhag 1.1090 ke aas-paas tha. Is upar chadhai ko kamzor US dollar ne support diya, jo ke weaker-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report ki wajah se tha. PPI data ne Federal Reserve ke agle haftay zyada aggressive rate cut ki umeed ko mazid barhadiya. Is positive risk sentiment ke sath, US dollar ne girawat dikhai aur is ka natija

EUR/USD trades marginally higher on the day above 1.0900. ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment improved more than expected in October, according to data from Germany and the Eurozone, while US data showed a sharp drop in the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index. From a technical point of view, EUR/USD is still ready to extend its slide. The daily chart shows that it is trading around its opening but also posted lower lows and lower highs. Further, EUR/USD developed below the nearly flat 100 simple moving average which provides dynamic resistance at around 1.0945. The 20 SMA, meanwhile, continues to move higher and lower in the long run, consistent with persistent selling interest. Finally, technical indicators are standing close to oversold readings, without clear directional strength, but also without signs of downside exhaustion. EUR/USD thoda upar trade kar raha hai din kay aghaz say le kar 1.0900 kay upar. ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment ki report October main umeed say ziada behtari dikhati hai, jese Germany aur Eurozone kay data se pata chala, jabkay US ka data NY Empire State Manufacturing Index main sakht kami ko zahir karta hai. Technical nuqtah-e-nazar say, EUR/USD abhi tak apni girawat barhane kay liye tayar hai. Rozana ka chart yeh dikhata hai ke yeh apni shuruaat kay aas paas trade kar raha hai lekin nayi neechi lows aur neechi highs bhi banayi hain. Mazeed, EUR/USD abhi tak taqreeban seedha 100 simple moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai jo lagbhag 1.0945 par dynamic resistance provide kar raha hai. 20 SMA, dusri taraf, lambay arsay ke dauran ooper neeche hota rehta hai jo mustaqil selling interest ko zahir karta hai. Akhir mein, technical indicators oversold readings kay qareeb hain, baghair kisi wazeh rujhan ke taqat kay, lekin neeche ki taraf thakaan ke baghair bhi hain. Aik qareebi arsay main, aur 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, EUR/USD apni girawat ko barhane kay raste par hai. Bearish 20 SMA khareedari ko reject karta rehta hai, jabkay 100 SMA current levels ke kafi upar move karta hai jo 200 SMA ke neeche hai. Is dauran, technical indicators negative levels main mustahkam hain, lekin abhi tak koi wazeh rujhan denay main nakaam hain, lekin neeche ke risk ko zahir karte hain. EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko 1.0900 mark ko hold karne mein mushkil ka samna kiya jab yeh naye do-mahina lows tak gir gaya 1.0884

Buyers ki activity ek zabardast buying opportunity ka ishara karti hai, khaaskar jab price lower channel boundary 1.11914 par hoti hai. Agla andaza hai ke market 1.12151 ke level tak rise karega, jiske baad ek correction ki umeed hai. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hoga, jahan se dobara buying opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb. H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan par jo shandar shadow hai, wo image ko kharab karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin agar price uss direction mein nahi jata, phir bhi upper trend neeche rahega. Main dusri baar 1.1001 level ko test karne ka mauqa dekhoonga. Dollar ki value kam hone ki wajah se pair ko upar jane ki zarurat hai. Ab kyunke main kisi bhi indicators par reliance nahi karta, technically mere liye kuch specify karna mushkil hai. Bas mein sirf figures sketch karta hoon

Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neechi levels se upar aya. Yeh positive momentum pair ko haftay ke trading range ke upar end tak le gaya, jo lagbhag 1.1090 ke aas-paas tha. Is upar chadhai ko kamzor US dollar ne support diya, jo ke weaker-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report ki wajah se tha

EUR/USD currency pair, jo ke abhi 1.0826 ke qareeb trade ho rahi hai, mein aik bara bearish trend dekhne ko mil raha hai. Yeh dheere dheere neeche ki taraf ja raha hai jo ke Eurozone aur United States ke economic factors ke combination ki wajah se hai. Market filhal dheemi chaal mein hai, lekin kuch aham indicators yeh batate hain ke agle chand dino mein aik bara tabadla aa sakta hai. Yeh analysis un asbab ko explore karta hai jo EUR/USD par asar daal rahe hain aur agle dino mein aik sizeable price movement ke imkaan ko highlight karta hai.
EUR/USD ke bearish trend ka ek bara sabab U.S. dollar ki relative strength hai. Dollar ka performance mukhtalif asbab ki wajah se mazboot raha hai, jis mein Federal Reserve ka inflation control karne ka azam bhi shamil hai. Haal hi mein Federal Reserve ke rate hikes ko rokne ya dheema karne par guftagu hui hai, lekin U.S. central bank ne aam tor par hawkish stance barqarar rakha hai. Yeh outlook dollar ko support karta hai aur EUR/USD par downward pressure daalta hai.

Is ke ilawa, Eurozone mein bhi kuch economic challenges hain jo ke euro ko niche le ja rahe hain. Eurozone ke aham mulkon se aane wale economic data slow growth aur inflation ke hawale se concerns ko highlight karte hain. Germany, jo ke is region ki sab se badi economy hai, apne manufacturing sector mein contraction ka shikar hai. Yeh sector hamesha euro ki strength ka bara hissa raha hai. Jab tak yeh masail barqarar hain, yeh EUR/USD par bearish pressure ko barhawa de rahe hain aur investors ka rujhan mehfooz assets jaise ke U.S. dollar ki taraf shift ho raha hai.

In macroeconomic factors ke ilawa, kuch aanewale data releases aur central bank ke announcements bhi EUR/USD mein bara movement la sakte hain. Eurozone ke inflation data aur growth forecasts release honay wale hain jo European Central Bank (ECB) ke ainday ke iqdamat ke bare mein insight denge. Agar inflation weak hone ke asaar dikhaye to ECB dovish policy stance ki taraf rujhan rakh sakta hai jo ke euro ko mazeed kamzor karega dollar ke muqablay mein.

Dusri taraf, U.S. mein employment figures aur Consumer Price Index (CPI) jaise aham data bhi release honay wale hain. Strong data dollar ki strength ko aur mazboot karega, jabke kisi bhi economic weakness ka asar temporary taur par EUR/USD ko boost de sakta hai. Traders ko Federal Reserve ke aanewale policy statements par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye. Agar Fed ke interest rates ya economic outlook mein kisi bhi unexpected shift ka imkaan ho, to yeh currency pair mein bara movement la sakta hai.

In sab factors ko dekhte hue, EUR/USD aik critical position mein hai. Short term mein bearish trend barqarar reh sakta hai lekin market jab aanewale data ko digest karegi to aik sizeable movement ka imkaan barhta hai. Agar 1.0800 ke level se neeche ka break decisively aata hai to mazeed losses ki guzarishat hain, jabke rebound ka matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke momentum mein shift aa raha hai. Traders ke liye yeh developments closely monitor karna zaroori hai kyun ke yeh aanewale dino mein EUR/USD ki trajectory mein aik bara tabadla la sakte hain.